Week runs from Sunday to Saturday Ireland: Predictions · 2 days ago · Ireland HAB & Biotoxin...
Transcript of Week runs from Sunday to Saturday Ireland: Predictions · 2 days ago · Ireland HAB & Biotoxin...
HAB Bulletin [status of harmful and toxic algae]
Week runs from Sunday to Saturday
Ireland: Predictions
ASP event: Moderate watch precaution on all shores.
AZP event: Low ,precautionary.
DSP event: Highest SW, W, NW. Moderate all remaining areas.
PSP event: Highest SW site specific. Low to moderate elsewhere .
ASP: Continued moderate caution until trend establishes. Patches , below regulatory limits , occurring around entire coastline, related to environmental transitory conditions.
AZP: No change- 2 wk. trend. Continued negligible levels of toxins present in samples tested ,with no clear presence trend. This species has caused sudden acute issues in the past and rarely presents any reliable trends.
DSP: Highest caution in affected areas. Continue cell presence but beginning to clear slowly. Highest SW and W, now experiencing closures as indicated, and moderate throughout all coastline. Toxin levels traditionally have shown ability to bounce from low to high during natural depuration period , so full caution advised during this time.
PSP: No Change- 3 week trend. Highest SW region, see specific sites. Suitable environmental conditions may increase risk – adjacent sites’ caution advised. Low elsewhere. Alexandrium cells can occur in both toxic and nontoxic forms, and while currently most toxin levels remain negligible, this could change rapidly.
Blooms: High : Both insitu or transported ashore .Both beneficial and detrimental blooms may occur in areas of good growth and suitable environmental conditions. Transient wind driven blooms of some species may temporarily accumulate on shores. Any unusual water discoloration should always be noted and regional labs contacted if concerned /regarding possible need for additional sampling. All feedback is welcome at [email protected]
NMP Current closures
ASP AZP DSP PSP
0 0 2 0
Week 29: July 12th – 18th 2020
Based on sites tested
HAB Bulletin [status of harmful and toxic algae]
National Monitoring ProgrammeHISTORIC TRENDS
ASP events: mid-March to early May
AZP events: April to December
DSP events: May to December
PSP events: June to mid-July and end September. Predominantly in Cork Harbour.
AZP
DSP
PTX
ASP
PSP
Levels from week 1 to present week. Regulatory limit - - - - - - -
DSP and Dinophysis sp. current trends
Ireland HAB & Biotoxin Distribution maps
[current status of harmful and toxic algae]
Phytoplankton species – last 3 wks.
All levels of DSP biotoxin recorded - last 3 wks.
Current closures levels≥ DSP 0.16 µg/g
CommentsWk. 29 – Continued highestcaution. Dinophysis cellscontinue to be present inaffected areas. This toxin hasbeen known to cause bouncingin levels as it clears once celllevels drop significantly . Areasadjacent to closed areas shouldexercise high caution also. Thisis the historical season andenvironmental conditions aresuitable . Highest caution andgood sampling advised untilcells decrease completely.
Ireland HAB & Biotoxin Distribution maps
[current status of harmful and toxic algae]
Phytoplankton species – last 3 wks. All levels of AZP biotoxin recorded - last 3 wks.
AZP and Azadinium like species current trends
Current closures levels≥ AZP 0.16 µg/g
CommentsWk. 29 - Continuednegligible toxin levelscurrently . No clear trendestablished. Westernshorelines showing 2 weekpossible increase inpotential cells.
ASP
Ireland HAB & Biotoxin Distribution maps
[current status of harmful and toxic algae]
ASP and Pseudo nitzschia sp. current trends
Current closures levels≥ASP 20 µg/g
CommentsWk. 29: - Continuedprecautionary moderatewatch level caution in allaffected areas due toincreases in cell presence andfluctuating trends. Currentlyonly low levels of toxinsobserved.
Phytoplankton species – last 3 wks.
All levels of ASP biotoxin recorded – last 3 wks.
Ireland HAB & Biotoxin Distribution maps
[current status of harmful and toxic algae]
PSP and Alexandrium sp. current trends
Phytoplankton species (last 3 wks.)
All levels of PSP biotoxin recorded (last 3 wks.)
CommentsWk. 29 –Continued highest
caution advised in SW areaswith high potential cell levels.Adjacent sites should alsoexercise additional cautionduring favourableenvironmental /transportconditions. Elsewhere lowlevels of insitu potential cellsobserved. This is now thehistorical period of occurrenceand localised issues can occurrapidly in specific sites .
Current closures levels≥ PSP 800 µg/Kg
Ireland Fish killing phytoplankton Distribution maps
[current status of harmful and toxic algae]
Karenia mikimotoi
(old name: Gyrodinium aureolum)Current general conditions: Wk. 29
Potential for problematic species to cause issues : High
Karenia mikimotoi Moderate.
Heterocapsa sp. Moderate
Noctiluca scintillans Low
Coscinodiscus species Moderate increasing.
Phaeocystis sp. Moderate to high.
Chaetoceros sp Moderate to High.
Continued high levels of Phytoplankton cells observed in most
areas. Summer seasonal species dominant in populations .Calm
weather, with high UV indices combined with localised onshore
winds may cause sporadic localised bloom issues. Please note ,
any species at sufficient numbers may cause temporary issues in
water quality which could impact specific areas over the course of
a tidal cycle or for a period of days while specific suitable
conditions prevail. All areas should maintain good routine
sampling if concerned. Karenia sp. cells currently continue to be
observed inshore at low levels only. This species has been known
to come inshore suddenly, at bloom levels, during suitable
environmental conditions.
Phaeocystis speciesKarenia mikimotoiHeterocapsa spp.Noctiluca scintillans
Alexandrium spp.
Any part of coastline
Has tended ,in past ,to be very site specific
Ireland Satellite data: surface chlorophyll and temperature maps
Top 5 phytoplankton cell levels in all areas last week
NW coast (M4) Below average by 1.86°C wk.28SW coast (M3) Below average by 1.45°C wk.28SE coast (M5) Below average by 1.24°C wk.28
Week 29
Temperatures showing a 2 wk trend of belowaverage levels. Chlorophyll levels indicating potentialdecrease again this week in cell levels in general, butsome inner bay areas showing potential temporarypeaks .Caution should be exercised ifweather/environmental conditions allow transportonto exposed shorelines. Dinoflagellates andPrymesiophyte groups increasing . This is now thehistorical season for many bloom species to occur,both beneficial and detrimental. Extra cautionadvised in all areas.
Rank Region Species Rounded Count
1 East Cylindrotheca closterium/ Nitzschia longissima
689000
2 East Chaetoceros (Hyalochaete) spp.
78000
3 East Rhizosolenia spp. 23000
4 East Pseudo-nitzschia seriata complex
7000
5 East Paralia sulcata 1000
1 North-West Chaetoceros (Hyalochaete) spp.
2284000
2 North-West Skeletonema spp. 117000
3 North-West Azadinium/heterocapsa spp. 87000
4 North-West Haptophytes 81000
5 North-West Rhaphidophytes 61000
1 South Lauderia / Detonula sp 23000
2 South Centric diatom 11000
3 South Fragilaria spp. 5000
3 South Odontella spp. 5000
5 South Biddulphia rhombus 2000
1 South-East Chaetoceros (Hyalochaete) spp.
1859000
2 South-East Microflagellate spp. 536000
3 South-East Centric diatom 116000
4 South-East Leptocylindrus danicus 39000
5 South-East Leptocylindrus minimus 25000
1 South-West Lauderia / Detonula sp 164000
2 South-West Leptocylindrus minimus 43000
3 South-West Chaetoceros (Hyalochaete) spp.
40000
4 South-West Chaetoceros debilis 14000
5 South-West Detonula confervacea 13000
1 West Chaetoceros (Hyalochaete) spp.
275000
2 West Rhizosolenia spp. 96000
3 West Pseudo-nitzschia delicatissima complex
91000
4 West Leptocylindrus danicus 33000
5 West Dactyliosolen spp. 28000
1 West North-west Chaetoceros (Hyalochaete) spp.
25000
2 West North-west Pennate diatom 19000
3 West North-west Licmophora spp. 5000
4 West North-west Pseudo-nitzschia seriata complex
5000
5 West North-west Leptocylindrus danicus 4000
1 West South-West Alexandrium spp. 43000
2 West South-West Pennate diatom 2000
3 West South-West Paralia sulcata 2000
4 West South-West Skeletonema spp. 1000
Ireland modelled data: Estimated Water PathwayWeek runs from Sunday to Saturday
Week 23: 31 May – 6 June, 2015Ireland modelled data: Estimated Water Pathway
The maps show the most
likely transport pathways
for the next 3 days of
phytoplankton found along
the presented transects
(black lines off Mizen Head
and the Mouth of Bantry Bay)
and water depths (bottom,
20 metres and surface)
Bottom water Water @ 20 metres Surface water
Reddish colours represent areas
where phytoplankton remain
longest
Cooler colours represent areas
where phytoplankton remain for
shorter periods
Southerly directional water movements in surface waters, with more Northerly movement
dominating deeper waters offshore .
Moderate continued incoming upwelling conditions of outer waters indicated, allowing
offshore waters to enter bay areas through this transportation.
SOUTHWEST: Bantry Bay Forecast for the next 3 days
Ireland modelled data: Estimated Water Pathway
Bantry Bay3 day estimated water flows at the mouth and mid-bay sections of Bantry Bay
T1
T1
T2
Forecast for next 3 days
De
pth
20 m
20 m
Water surface
Sea bed
Flow (m3 s-1)
100
80
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
-80
-100
IN
OUT
Shot Head cross section:
Continued strong upwelling
expected to be main
transportation of outer waters into
inner regions.
Mouth cross section:
Strong dominant
upwelling transport
expected as outer bay
waters move into inner
bay areas.
CURRENT inflowInflow is 47% lower than the long term mean at Shot Head
Inflow is 30% lower than the long term mean at mouth of Bay
Ireland modelled data: Estimated Water PathwayWeek runs from Sunday to Saturday
Week 23: 31 May – 6 June, 2015Ireland modelled data: Estimated Water Pathway
The maps show the most
likely transport pathways
for the next 3 days of
phytoplankton found along
the presented transects i.e.
white lines off Aughrus Point
and the Mouth of Killary
Harbour, and water depths
(bottom, 20 metres and
surface)
Reddish colours represent
areas where phytoplankton
remain longest
Cooler colours represent
areas where phytoplankton
remain for shorter periods
WEST: Killary Harbour Forecast for the next 3 days
Bottom water Water @ 20 metres Surface water
ClegganSoutherly water movements in all depth zones in offshore waters, becoming more dominant
towards surface waters .
KillaryUpwelling moderate transportation, at deeper depths, indicated as far as mid bay areas , allowing
off shore waters to be transported inshore.
Ireland modelled data: Estimated Water Pathway
Killary Harbour - 3 day estimated water flows at the mouth of Killary Harbour
T1
T1
Killary Harbour
De
pth
CURRENT inflow
Inflow is 48% lower than average long term mean at mouth of
Bay
Water
surface
Forecast for next 3 days
Flow (m3 s-1)
100
80
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
-80
-100
IN
OUT
Killary Harbour Mouth cross section:
Moderate deeper water movement of
mixed offshore water expected into
midbay areas .
Ireland modelled data: Estimated Water Pathway
West Coast - 3 day estimated water flows along a transect off Aughrus Point
T1
110 m
Water surface
Forecast for next 3 days
northward
flow
southward
flow
T1
Killary Harbour
Cleggan transect
Aughrus Point
De
pth
Flow (m3 s-1)
100
80
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
-80
-100
northward
flow
southward
flow
T1
Killary Harbour
Cleggan transect
Aughrus PointCleggan section: No change -
Generally strong Southerly
movements dominating most areas
with mid depth developing patches
of Northerly movements growing in
some areas. All waters indicating
good mixing activity and strong
transportation.