weather WEEKLY WEATHER AND CROP BULLETIN · 2018-09-18 · record for the date—along with...

Volume 105, No. 38 http://www.usda.gov/oce/weather September 18, 2018

(Continued on page 5)

Contents

Crop Moisture Maps ................................................................. 2 Palmer Drought Maps ............................................................... 3 Extreme Maximum & Minimum Temperature Maps .................. 4 Temperature Departure Map .................................................... 5 September 11 Drought Monitor & Pan Evaporation Map .......... 6 Hurricane Florence Rainfall and Satellite Image .................. 7 Growing Degree Day Maps ...................................................... 8 National Weather Data for Selected Cities ............................. 10 National Agricultural Summary ............................................... 13 Crop Progress and Condition Tables ...................................... 14 September 13 ENSO Update ................................................ 20 International Weather and Crop Summary ............................. 21 August International Temperature/Precipitation Maps ..... 35 U.S. Crop Production Highlights ......................................... 50

WEEKLY WEATHER AND CROP BULLETIN

urricane Florence hammered the southern Mid-Atlantic region, making landfall around daybreak on

September 14 near Wrightsville Beach, NC, as a Category 1 storm with sustained winds near 90 mph. Initially, high winds, an impressive storm surge, and battering waves thrashed the coastal North Carolina, but the focus later turned to catastrophic freshwater flooding. As Florence drifted inland and weakened, torrential rain spread toward the central and southern Appalachians, generating pockets of major flooding that submerged lowlands and damaged

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U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE National Agricultural Statistics Service and World Agricultural Outlook Board

HIGHLIGHTS September 9 – 15, 2018

Highlights provided by USDA/WAOB

2 Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin September 18, 2018

September 18, 2018 Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin 3

September 18, 2018 Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin 5 (Continued from front cover) rural and municipal infrastructure. Damage to hog and pig operations—based on preliminary reports—was comparable to the impacts observed during other Carolina hurricanes, such as Fran in 1996 and Floyd in 1999. Producers in the path of Florence furiously harvested corn and other mature summer crops in the days prior to landfall. Others crops in the southern Mid-Atlantic Coastal Plain, such as cotton, peanuts, and soybeans, were not yet mature and susceptible to wind and flood damage. Many other areas of the country, including the Plains, Midwest, and much of the West, experienced warm, dry weather, favoring summer crop maturation and harvesting, and winter wheat planting. Following a spate of late-August and early-September rainfall, the warm, dry Midwestern conditions were ideal for corn and soybeans, which continued to mature at a faster-than-normal pace. In contrast, heavy rain soaked the western Gulf Coast region, hampering harvest activities but eradicating any remaining drought. Elsewhere, very warm, breezy weather in the West hampered wildfire containment efforts. Early-week rainfall associated with the remnants of Tropical Storm Gordon interacting with a cold front led to numerous daily-record totals from the Ohio Valley into the Northeast. On September 9, Pittsburgh, PA, experienced its second-wettest September day (and second-wettest day during any month) on record, with a 3.73-inch total. Pittsburgh’s wettest day remains September 17, 2004, when 5.95 inches fell. Elsewhere, record-setting totals for September 9 reached 3.83 inches in Huntington, WV; 2.54 inches in Harrisburg, PA; 2.52 inches in Zanesville, OH; 2.33 inches in Wilmington, DE; and 2.23 inches in Baltimore, MD. Lingering downpours on September 10 led to daily-record totals in locations such as Williamsport, PA (3.15 inches), and Binghamton, NY (2.70 inches). In West Virginia, Bluefield netted consecutive daily-record totals (1.95 and 1.52 inches, respectively) on September 10-11. Meanwhile, showers accompanied a surge of cool air into the Northwest, where daily-record totals reached 0.82 inch (on September 12) in Portland, OR, and 0.51 inch (on September 11) in Olympia, WA. Farther south, persistently heavy rain fell in southern Texas, where Harlingen received 10.17 inches during the week. More than half (6.25 inches) of Harlingen’s rain fell on September 12. A day later, rain associated with Hurricane Florence began to overspread coastal North Carolina. Cape Hatteras, NC, collected a daily-record sum of 4.26 inches on September 13, along with a peak wind gust to 67 mph. Elsewhere in coastal North Carolina, Wilmington clocked a gust to 105 mph on the 14th, and received 18.52 inches of rain from September 13-15. During the same 3-day period, 9.52 inches of rain fell in North Myrtle Beach, SC. As Florence moved ashore on September 14, a crest record was set at the Beaufort Marine Lab, NC, where the water level exceeded the record set on October 15, 1954, and September 19, 1955, by a little over 4 inches. The Trent River at Pollocksville, NC, climbed 5.45 feet above flood stage, second only to the Hurricane Floyd high-water mark (12.29 feet above flood stage) on September 19, 1999. The water level at Johnny Mercer Pier in Wrightsville Beach, NC, reached its third-highest level, behind October 15, 1954, and September 6, 1996. Inland flood impacts, which were just becoming serious as the week ended, will be detailed in next week’s summary. Warm weather prevailed across the Southeast in advance of Florence’s arrival and around the periphery of the storm. Cape Hatteras, NC, collected a daily-record high of 93°F on September 10. Two days later, on September 12, daily-record highs in Florida reached 95°F in Tampa and 94°F in Sarasota-Bradenton. September 14 featured daily-record

highs of 96°F in Gainesville, FL, and Mobile, AL. Gainesville logged another record high on September 15, reaching 97°F. Other record-setting highs on the 15th included 97°F in Pensacola, FL, and New Iberia, LA. Farther west, portions of the High Plains also experienced late-season heat. In Colorado, Pueblo posted a high of 99°F on September 13—not a record for the date—along with daily-record highs of 97°F on September 11, 12, and 14. Sidney, NE, registered daily-record highs of 98 and 96°F, respectively, on September 11 and 15. Elsewhere in Nebraska on the 11th, Valentine noted a daily-record high of 99°F. Record-setting heat also extended into the Southwest, where daily-record highs in Arizona included 113°F (on September 14) in Yuma and 105°F (on September 15) in Tucson. In contrast, a mid-month cool spell in the Northwest resulted in daily-record lows in Oregon locations such as Meacham (27°F on September 15) and Klamath Falls (28°F on September 14). Earlier, cool weather had also affected the Northeast, where daily-record lows dipped to 26°F (on September 9) in Saranac Lake, NY, and 28°F (on September 10) in Houlton, ME. A protracted period of late-season warmth pushed weekly temperatures more than 10°F above normal in parts of Alaska. From September 7-11, Yakutat registered five consecutive daily-record highs (72, 73, 73, 75, and 74°F). Juneau reported a pair of daily-record highs (72°F both days) on September 10-11. Later, on September 13-14, consecutive daily-record highs (70 and 75°F, respectively) occurred in King Salmon. By week’s end, however, cooler weather accompanied an increase in precipitation, following a dry start to September. For example, King Salmon collected a daily-record rainfall of 0.73 inches on September 15, following a total of 0.01 inch during the first 14 days of the month. Farther south, Tropical Storm Olivia crossed Maui County, HI, on September 12, making landfall at 9:10 am HST near Kahakuloa, Maui, about 10 miles northwest of Kahului. Maximum sustained winds at that time were near 45 mph. Just before 10 am HST, Olivia made a second landfall on Lanai, about 6 miles north-northeast of Lanai City. By day’s end, Olivia had been downgraded to a tropical depression. Nevertheless, 24-hour rainfall totals on September 12-13 ranged from 4 to 8 inches or more in several locations, including Oahu’s Manoa Lyon Arboretum (9.47 inches) and West Wailuaiki, Maui (6.10 inches). In advance of Olivia’s approach, Honolulu, Oahu, noted a daily record-tying high of 91°F on September 9. Later, Honolulu received 1.27 inches of rain on September 12-13, along with a peak wind gust to 41 mph. Kahului also reported a wind gust to 41 mph, and received 1.16 inches of rain from September 11-13.


L

SL SL

SL

SL

SL

S

LSL

SL

SL

S

LS

SL

L

SS

L

SL

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SL

L

SL

SL

The Drought Monitor focuses on broad-scale conditions. Local conditions may vary. See accompanying text summary for forecast statements.

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http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/

U.S. Drought Monitor September 11, 2018

Valid 8 a.m. EDT

(Released Thursday, Sep. 13, 2018)

Intensity:D0 Abnormally DryD1 Moderate DroughtD2 Severe DroughtD3 Extreme DroughtD4 Exceptional Drought

Author:David Miskus

Drought Impact Types:

S = Short-Term, typically less than 6 months (e.g. agriculture, grasslands)

L = Long-Term, typically greater than 6 months (e.g. hydrology, ecology)

Delineates dominant impacts

NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC

0.20

0.07

0.15

0.38

0.14

0.15

0.18

0.13

0.46

0.15

0.25

0.36

0.38

0.16

0.35

0.17

0.33

0.37

0.12

0.14

0.15

0.22

0.02

0.30

0.17

0.21

0.17

0.23

0.06

0.480.14

0.21

0.15

0.22

0.10

0.12

0.21

0.38

0.14

0.16

0.15

0.18

0.24

0.17

0.17

0.20

0.32

0.18

0.22

0.15

0.40

0.22

0.22

0.16

0.10

0.35

0.46

0.19

0.23

0.47

0.17

0.16

0.50

0.25

0.14

0.13

0.23

0.24

0.220.21

0.610.28

0.19

0.18

0.14

0.48

0.13

0.11

0.23

0.34

0.24

0.60

0.10

0.25

0.30

0.11

0.33

0.20

0.16

0.29

0.13

0.25

0.200.16

0.06

0.34

0.13

0.13

0.05

0.150.25 0.18

0.18

0.29

0.110.18

0.27

0.17

0.25

0.30

0.12

0.14

0.540.19

0.12

0.34

0.33

0.120.11

0.23

0.11

0.43

0.18

0.19

0.46

0.46

Data obtained from the NWS Cooperative Observer Network.

USDA Agricultural Weather Assessments

Based on preliminary data

Average Pan Evaporation (inches/day)September 09 - 15, 2018


GOES-16 Visible September 13, 2018

5:22 pm EDT

Hurricane Florence, formerly a Category 4 storm with sustained winds near 140 mph, made landfall at 7:15 am EDT on September 14 near Wrightsville Beach, NC. Upon reaching the coast, Florence was a Category 1 hurricane with sustained winds near 90 mph. Initial coastal impacts included a large storm surge, battering waves, and high winds, but the focus quickly turned to freshwater flooding as Florence drifted southwestward into extreme eastern North Carolina. More flood details will appear in next week’s Bulletin.


NUMBER OF DAYS

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LOW

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1

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N 1

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90 A

ND

AB

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32 A

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LOW

.01

INC

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.50

INC

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AL BIRMINGHAM 91 71 97 67 81 5 0.81 -0.15 0.39 0.89 46 41.65 105 95 51 5 0 4 0HUNTSVILLE 89 69 96 65 79 5 2.83 1.81 1.54 2.83 137 38.91 95 97 62 4 0 4 2MOBILE 92 73 96 72 83 4 0.46 -1.09 0.44 3.89 118 44.26 88 96 61 6 0 2 0MONTGOMERY 93 73 96 72 83 5 2.26 1.22 2.02 2.61 124 35.96 89 96 54 7 0 4 1

AK ANCHORAGE 67 45 70 41 56 6 0.00 -0.69 0.00 0.00 0 10.93 104 88 71 0 0 0 0BARROW 43 37 48 33 40 6 0.17 0.00 0.10 0.37 97 7.66 242 100 93 0 0 3 0FAIRBANKS 61 37 65 30 49 2 0.00 -0.26 0.00 0.30 49 10.57 141 90 74 0 2 0 0JUNEAU 65 39 72 33 52 1 0.02 -1.61 0.01 0.52 16 32.37 93 88 62 0 0 2 0KODIAK 68 46 76 42 57 6 0.33 -1.38 0.33 0.52 15 45.21 94 79 62 0 0 1 0NOME 52 46 55 37 49 4 0.61 -0.02 0.34 0.67 47 12.32 106 100 91 0 0 4 0

AZ FLAGSTAFF 79 43 81 37 61 2 0.00 -0.50 0.00 0.95 86 15.30 94 68 20 0 0 0 0PHOENIX 107 81 109 77 94 6 0.00 -0.15 0.00 0.19 61 3.16 58 34 19 7 0 0 0PRESCOTT 89 57 92 52 73 6 0.00 -0.51 0.00 0.46 39 10.19 70 48 14 2 0 0 0TUCSON 103 73 105 71 88 6 0.00 -0.33 0.00 0.37 49 8.23 96 45 23 7 0 0 0

AR FORT SMITH 85 68 93 65 77 1 0.00 -0.82 0.00 0.03 2 34.56 116 92 57 2 0 0 0LITTLE ROCK 83 67 91 65 75 -1 0.10 -0.75 0.09 3.34 190 44.62 130 98 64 2 0 2 0

CA BAKERSFIELD 91 64 97 58 78 0 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.00 0 3.88 82 44 28 4 0 0 0FRESNO 91 62 98 58 76 0 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.00 0 6.32 80 50 27 3 0 0 0LOS ANGELES 79 66 82 64 72 2 0.00 -0.06 0.00 0.00 0 3.68 38 87 61 0 0 0 0REDDING 88 54 97 51 71 -4 0.00 -0.07 0.00 0.00 0 14.02 63 51 28 3 0 0 0SACRAMENTO 84 56 94 53 70 -3 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.00 0 13.54 111 82 25 2 0 0 0SAN DIEGO 78 67 85 65 73 1 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.00 0 3.24 41 82 66 0 0 0 0SAN FRANCISCO 70 54 77 52 62 -2 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.00 0 10.81 80 84 64 0 0 0 0STOCKTON 86 57 93 54 71 -3 0.00 -0.06 0.00 0.00 0 8.26 90 65 39 3 0 0 0

CO ALAMOSA 81 35 83 28 58 2 0.00 -0.21 0.00 0.70 149 3.80 71 70 22 0 1 0 0CO SPRINGS 89 55 91 51 72 11 0.00 -0.33 0.00 0.51 56 13.35 87 59 12 4 0 0 0DENVER INTL 93 59 96 55 76 13 0.00 -0.22 0.00 0.08 16 7.36 65 43 11 6 0 0 0GRAND JUNCTION 92 66 93 58 79 11 0.00 -0.19 0.00 0.00 0 4.31 69 *** *** 7 0 0 0PUEBLO 96 51 99 49 74 7 0.00 -0.22 0.00 0.08 14 5.75 55 62 25 6 0 0 0

CT BRIDGEPORT 72 63 78 54 68 0 2.64 1.80 1.23 3.61 199 36.83 116 90 78 0 0 5 3HARTFORD 72 60 84 51 66 1 2.44 1.48 1.51 2.71 131 42.30 130 95 76 0 0 4 2

DC WASHINGTON 78 69 86 62 74 1 1.62 0.74 1.59 5.79 318 45.87 163 91 78 0 0 3 1DE WILMINGTON 78 68 85 65 73 3 0.04 -0.90 0.04 0.30 17 37.73 122 96 77 0 1 1 0FL DAYTONA BEACH 91 75 94 73 83 2 0.26 -1.36 0.21 0.87 25 49.48 138 100 64 5 0 3 0

JACKSONVILLE 93 74 95 71 83 4 0.05 -1.93 0.05 0.94 23 45.89 115 97 54 7 0 1 0KEY WEST 89 82 91 77 86 2 2.65 1.32 2.59 5.26 181 30.37 111 79 64 2 0 2 1MIAMI 90 77 92 75 83 0 3.03 0.95 2.02 6.90 150 54.35 127 92 65 4 0 2 2ORLANDO 92 75 94 73 84 2 0.39 -1.08 0.38 1.47 46 39.85 104 98 59 6 0 2 0PENSACOLA 91 75 97 74 83 3 1.51 0.08 1.04 14.01 450 59.84 122 90 64 4 0 4 1TALLAHASSEE 93 73 96 71 83 3 0.07 -1.21 0.07 2.12 74 52.95 106 94 53 7 0 1 0TAMPA 92 78 95 75 85 3 2.37 0.66 1.51 4.96 131 47.50 133 84 60 6 0 5 2WEST PALM BEACH 90 76 91 74 83 1 0.03 -2.00 0.02 2.67 62 48.27 111 94 67 4 0 2 0

GA ATHENS 93 70 96 69 82 7 0.38 -0.45 0.37 0.42 24 45.43 129 98 53 7 0 2 0ATLANTA 90 73 95 72 82 7 1.09 0.11 0.74 1.09 55 45.78 123 87 57 3 0 5 1AUGUSTA 93 73 97 70 83 7 3.13 2.26 2.33 3.36 173 36.49 108 94 56 6 0 4 2COLUMBUS 93 74 97 73 84 6 0.19 -0.57 0.19 0.38 23 42.37 116 92 47 7 0 1 0MACON 96 71 99 68 84 8 0.03 -0.78 0.03 0.17 10 32.24 95 96 43 7 0 1 0SAVANNAH 91 74 93 72 82 4 0.37 -0.95 0.35 1.80 59 32.74 83 93 63 6 0 2 0

HI HILO 86 72 89 70 79 3 2.62 0.34 1.34 3.67 75 131.45 152 87 77 0 0 4 2HONOLULU 87 75 91 72 81 -1 1.33 1.24 0.85 1.43 953 11.02 106 81 71 2 0 3 1KAHULUI 88 74 89 69 81 2 1.21 1.13 0.63 1.62 900 17.55 143 90 78 0 0 4 1LIHUE 82 73 83 71 77 -3 0.47 -0.07 0.20 1.33 124 34.44 142 96 90 0 0 4 0

ID BOISE 77 52 84 48 64 -2 0.00 -0.17 0.00 0.00 0 7.06 86 46 34 0 0 0 0LEWISTON 75 48 82 45 62 -4 0.04 -0.13 0.04 0.04 11 9.68 107 68 45 0 0 1 0POCATELLO 81 45 89 39 63 2 0.00 -0.19 0.00 0.00 0 6.17 69 48 21 0 0 0 0

IL CHICAGO/O'HARE 79 60 87 56 70 4 0.00 -0.83 0.00 3.04 157 37.83 141 85 53 0 0 0 0MOLINE 83 55 90 50 69 2 0.00 -0.78 0.00 3.46 191 34.49 119 91 49 2 0 0 0PEORIA 83 59 89 53 71 4 0.00 -0.72 0.00 2.60 171 34.02 130 92 49 0 0 0 0ROCKFORD 81 55 87 51 68 3 0.00 -0.87 0.00 3.43 177 41.65 150 92 48 0 0 0 0SPRINGFIELD 84 58 90 50 71 2 0.00 -0.67 0.00 3.10 209 34.73 133 95 43 2 0 0 0

IN EVANSVILLE 82 61 93 56 72 1 0.06 -0.66 0.06 3.28 213 43.28 134 97 61 2 0 1 0FORT WAYNE 75 57 84 51 66 0 0.33 -0.35 0.28 1.03 67 33.39 124 99 71 0 0 2 0INDIANAPOLIS 77 60 88 56 69 1 0.39 -0.31 0.39 4.76 307 36.28 120 95 61 0 0 1 0SOUTH BEND 76 54 83 50 65 0 0.01 -0.91 0.01 1.35 68 38.96 138 92 58 0 0 1 0

IA BURLINGTON 83 57 91 50 70 2 0.00 -0.85 0.00 0.87 48 25.26 89 92 43 1 0 0 0CEDAR RAPIDS 81 55 88 47 68 2 0.00 -0.83 0.00 3.45 184 33.55 129 97 45 0 0 0 0DES MOINES 82 61 91 53 72 5 0.00 -0.78 0.00 6.08 338 32.53 119 91 59 1 0 0 0DUBUQUE 80 55 88 46 67 3 0.00 -0.91 0.00 5.65 274 38.32 140 88 53 0 0 0 0SIOUX CITY 83 59 92 48 71 6 0.00 -0.58 0.00 2.81 223 30.58 147 94 62 2 0 0 0WATERLOO 82 55 89 45 69 4 0.00 -0.73 0.00 7.74 463 39.13 150 96 54 0 0 0 0

KS CONCORDIA 82 62 88 56 72 2 0.00 -0.60 0.00 4.01 311 24.70 107 97 65 0 0 0 0DODGE CITY 84 63 89 57 73 2 0.00 -0.41 0.00 1.34 143 19.27 105 89 50 0 0 0 0GOODLAND 88 59 93 55 73 7 0.00 -0.26 0.00 0.44 70 17.23 101 95 60 5 0 0 0TOPEKA 84 61 93 55 73 3 0.00 -0.89 0.00 0.78 40 18.77 69 99 58 2 0 0 0

Based on 1971-2000 normals *** Not Available

National Weather Data for Selected CitiesWeather Data for the Week Ending September 15, 2018

Data Provided by Climate Prediction Center

PRECIPSTATES

AND STATIONS

RELATIVE HUMIDITY PERCENT

TEMPERATURE ˚F PRECIPITATION TEMP. ˚F


NUMBER OF DAYS

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01

PC

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N01

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AV

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90 A

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32 A

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.01

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.50

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WICHITA 83 63 90 55 73 0 0.00 -0.69 0.00 2.31 157 22.35 96 96 69 2 0 0 0

KY JACKSON 81 66 89 60 73 3 1.21 0.30 0.78 2.57 132 44.77 125 95 64 0 0 3 1LEXINGTON 80 63 91 59 72 2 1.64 0.90 1.64 4.80 302 53.19 155 91 71 1 0 1 1LOUISVILLE 80 64 92 58 72 0 0.12 -0.60 0.11 4.66 307 50.58 155 90 59 2 0 2 0PADUCAH 83 62 93 56 72 1 0.20 -0.61 0.20 3.45 208 42.82 122 92 57 3 0 1 0

LA BATON ROUGE 92 73 96 72 83 4 0.78 -0.42 0.45 1.97 74 44.73 95 98 55 6 0 2 0LAKE CHARLES 89 76 97 74 82 2 2.23 0.77 0.98 3.66 120 38.78 94 94 69 3 0 7 1NEW ORLEANS 92 76 96 75 84 4 0.24 -1.23 0.11 1.17 36 41.18 85 96 73 6 0 4 0SHREVEPORT 86 72 95 68 79 0 0.76 0.08 0.60 3.00 216 32.56 91 98 63 3 0 4 1

ME CARIBOU 74 47 87 35 61 5 0.16 -0.63 0.16 0.25 14 27.62 104 92 45 0 0 1 0PORTLAND 71 55 77 46 63 2 2.75 2.01 1.77 3.12 203 31.29 102 97 70 0 0 3 2

MD BALTIMORE 76 66 83 59 71 1 2.70 1.76 2.08 3.71 188 50.37 166 98 88 0 0 6 1MA BOSTON 71 63 75 57 67 0 1.99 1.19 0.89 2.02 118 34.85 119 89 71 0 0 4 1

WORCESTER 69 57 78 49 63 1 2.39 1.42 1.43 2.42 118 38.80 114 97 80 0 0 4 2MI ALPENA 75 48 82 43 62 4 0.02 -0.66 0.02 2.63 175 22.65 109 94 53 0 0 1 0

GRAND RAPIDS 77 55 83 52 66 3 0.00 -1.07 0.00 2.09 92 33.08 126 94 54 0 0 0 0HOUGHTON LAKE 76 46 81 42 61 2 0.00 -0.78 0.00 1.26 72 21.23 101 97 59 0 0 0 0LANSING 76 53 84 48 65 3 0.04 -0.85 0.03 0.65 33 26.84 117 98 62 0 0 2 0MUSKEGON 77 54 85 52 66 4 0.00 -0.88 0.00 2.85 146 30.96 137 89 53 0 0 0 0TRAVERSE CITY 80 52 86 43 66 4 0.00 -0.86 0.00 2.23 121 26.02 111 95 47 0 0 0 0

MN DULUTH 76 60 81 50 68 12 1.74 0.70 1.74 2.14 95 21.12 89 85 71 0 0 1 1INT'L FALLS 74 54 82 46 64 9 0.64 -0.11 0.40 0.87 53 16.68 90 98 65 0 0 4 0MINNEAPOLIS 83 63 92 54 73 10 0.00 -0.69 0.00 1.47 92 22.95 99 86 58 1 0 0 0ROCHESTER 81 56 90 47 69 8 0.00 -0.78 0.00 3.82 217 32.19 130 95 58 1 0 0 0ST. CLOUD 82 60 91 49 71 12 0.00 -0.74 0.00 1.09 63 23.37 109 93 51 1 0 0 0

MS JACKSON 88 71 94 69 80 3 2.47 1.70 1.26 4.27 260 54.06 133 98 61 3 0 2 2MERIDIAN 92 73 96 70 82 4 1.71 0.87 0.87 4.93 288 49.43 115 93 60 6 0 2 2TUPELO 87 68 95 65 78 3 0.12 -0.65 0.07 1.10 71 49.84 126 89 57 4 0 2 0

MO COLUMBIA 84 60 92 54 72 3 0.00 -0.81 0.00 0.86 49 24.00 81 92 47 2 0 0 0KANSAS CITY 83 61 91 52 72 2 0.00 -1.07 0.00 0.88 41 26.35 93 93 54 1 0 0 0SAINT LOUIS 84 63 91 59 73 1 0.02 -0.67 0.02 1.60 110 33.98 122 94 54 2 0 1 0SPRINGFIELD 81 62 89 55 71 0 0.01 -1.17 0.01 3.21 132 33.51 106 91 66 0 0 1 0

MT BILLINGS 75 50 85 45 62 0 0.00 -0.28 0.00 0.00 0 20.35 180 69 33 0 0 0 0BUTTE 69 37 79 28 53 0 0.39 0.13 0.34 0.39 68 12.21 118 82 24 0 1 3 0CUT BANK 65 40 76 28 53 -2 0.00 -0.31 0.00 0.00 0 9.43 87 84 34 0 1 0 0GLASGOW 72 50 89 47 61 2 0.01 -0.21 0.01 0.01 2 9.62 104 72 48 0 0 1 0GREAT FALLS 69 45 85 31 57 0 0.56 0.26 0.38 0.56 84 13.70 113 74 33 0 1 2 0HAVRE 71 44 84 40 57 -1 0.08 -0.17 0.07 0.08 15 11.41 122 85 54 0 0 2 0MISSOULA 72 41 80 33 57 -1 0.09 -0.16 0.08 0.12 21 11.71 113 73 41 0 0 2 0

NE GRAND ISLAND 84 63 90 57 73 7 0.00 -0.61 0.00 1.87 136 24.02 113 91 60 2 0 0 0LINCOLN 84 60 91 52 72 4 0.00 -0.71 0.00 5.20 335 29.76 132 93 58 2 0 0 0NORFOLK 85 62 92 52 74 9 0.00 -0.54 0.00 2.43 204 27.93 128 89 58 2 0 0 0NORTH PLATTE 89 62 94 59 75 10 0.00 -0.30 0.00 0.33 49 21.04 127 89 42 4 0 0 0OMAHA 85 63 92 52 74 6 0.00 -0.77 0.00 1.66 103 29.19 123 87 60 2 0 0 0SCOTTSBLUFF 92 51 98 47 71 8 0.00 -0.28 0.00 0.07 13 20.34 153 97 48 4 0 0 0VALENTINE 90 62 99 58 76 12 0.05 -0.31 0.05 0.05 6 28.01 171 91 56 4 0 1 0

NV ELY 84 42 88 38 63 4 0.00 -0.19 0.00 0.01 2 5.59 76 29 10 0 0 0 0LAS VEGAS 101 78 105 74 89 6 0.00 -0.06 0.00 0.00 0 2.85 85 17 10 7 0 0 0RENO 83 51 92 46 67 3 0.00 -0.10 0.00 0.00 0 6.98 136 33 17 2 0 0 0WINNEMUCCA 83 43 90 36 63 1 0.00 -0.11 0.00 0.00 0 6.55 114 35 13 1 0 0 0

NH CONCORD 72 56 80 43 64 2 1.95 1.23 1.42 2.30 149 35.87 138 96 67 0 0 4 1NJ NEWARK 73 64 81 55 68 -2 1.96 1.00 0.66 2.04 101 40.91 122 95 80 0 0 6 2NM ALBUQUERQUE 90 61 91 58 75 4 0.31 0.06 0.31 0.51 86 6.81 99 53 20 5 0 1 0NY ALBANY 74 60 85 48 67 4 1.20 0.41 1.04 1.22 71 28.76 105 89 65 0 0 3 1

BINGHAMTON 69 57 78 45 63 2 2.82 1.97 2.70 2.83 155 38.26 139 98 78 0 0 3 1BUFFALO 75 60 86 50 68 5 1.48 0.54 1.36 1.67 81 27.23 98 96 67 0 0 3 1ROCHESTER 75 60 86 51 67 4 1.21 0.36 1.19 1.29 69 22.86 94 94 72 0 0 2 1SYRACUSE 73 58 85 46 65 2 1.12 0.13 1.06 1.47 71 28.24 101 100 73 0 0 2 1

NC ASHEVILLE 83 69 86 66 76 9 0.85 -0.08 0.46 0.96 47 52.56 150 94 67 0 0 4 0CHARLOTTE 86 72 90 70 79 4 3.57 2.69 1.67 3.91 209 35.35 113 98 68 1 0 6 3GREENSBORO 79 69 87 63 74 2 2.93 1.93 0.99 3.62 176 37.88 120 98 82 0 0 5 3HATTERAS 88 77 93 75 83 7 5.39 4.01 4.32 5.39 177 63.75 158 90 67 3 0 5 2RALEIGH 83 71 88 67 77 4 5.27 4.26 2.65 5.50 264 39.91 126 97 78 0 0 6 2WILMINGTON 84 74 88 72 79 2 11.32 9.60 5.62 11.33 307 74.50 170 95 71 0 0 4 4

ND BISMARCK 76 55 84 50 66 6 0.04 -0.34 0.04 1.12 133 16.30 119 90 59 0 0 1 0DICKINSON 74 47 84 45 60 1 0.25 -0.12 0.25 0.44 56 16.64 126 96 43 0 0 1 0FARGO 81 57 87 51 69 9 0.08 -0.43 0.07 0.73 66 21.28 129 91 53 0 0 2 0GRAND FORKS 77 51 87 44 64 5 0.07 -0.39 0.06 1.18 113 18.44 119 99 54 0 0 2 0JAMESTOWN 75 54 82 50 65 5 0.12 -0.29 0.11 0.31 35 22.09 146 95 55 0 0 2 0WILLISTON 73 47 84 42 60 2 0.00 -0.30 0.00 0.03 5 18.63 164 81 50 0 0 0 0

OH AKRON-CANTON 76 63 87 56 69 4 2.78 1.95 2.53 4.29 242 36.26 128 88 68 0 0 3 1CINCINNATI 77 63 89 58 70 1 0.58 -0.10 0.58 4.87 316 44.55 141 94 71 0 0 1 1CLEVELAND 76 63 86 57 69 4 1.88 0.95 1.64 2.54 127 39.68 143 91 69 0 0 3 1COLUMBUS 77 63 89 56 70 1 1.16 0.44 1.15 4.10 261 44.14 154 91 67 0 0 2 1DAYTON 75 61 88 56 68 1 0.63 -0.01 0.62 5.33 370 39.54 135 98 67 0 0 2 1MANSFIELD 74 61 87 55 68 4 1.38 0.50 1.34 2.36 117 36.27 113 100 72 0 0 2 1


Weather Data for the Week Ending September 15, 2018

TEMPERATURE ˚F PRECIPITATION TEMP. ˚F PRECIPSTATES

AND STATIONS



NUMBER OF DAYS

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TOLEDO 75 59 84 54 67 1 1.26 0.55 0.89 2.44 155 28.58 118 94 72 0 0 2 1YOUNGSTOWN 75 61 86 53 68 5 4.08 3.12 3.54 5.78 290 41.37 150 98 82 0 0 3 2

OK OKLAHOMA CITY 81 64 87 57 73 -2 0.19 -0.68 0.19 5.60 326 32.95 127 95 64 0 0 1 0TULSA 85 66 94 61 76 1 0.00 -1.09 0.00 0.65 30 23.62 79 95 65 2 0 0 0

OR ASTORIA 65 52 69 47 59 0 1.72 1.16 0.96 1.73 156 38.01 97 98 83 0 0 6 1BURNS 71 33 81 27 52 -5 0.00 -0.11 0.00 0.00 0 4.89 68 62 35 0 2 0 0EUGENE 73 47 80 42 60 -3 0.20 -0.17 0.18 0.20 26 16.96 56 87 65 0 0 2 0MEDFORD 76 50 85 46 63 -5 0.00 -0.17 0.00 0.00 0 6.63 61 71 33 0 0 0 0PENDLETON 74 50 81 45 62 -3 0.00 -0.14 0.00 0.00 0 6.52 78 61 42 0 0 0 0PORTLAND 71 55 80 51 63 -2 1.20 0.84 0.82 1.20 162 15.53 71 90 69 0 0 4 1SALEM 72 50 80 45 61 -3 0.13 -0.18 0.06 0.13 21 18.93 81 89 65 0 0 4 0

PA ALLENTOWN 73 62 80 52 68 3 1.91 0.84 0.95 1.95 86 45.78 140 89 79 0 0 4 2ERIE 75 64 85 54 69 3 2.44 1.30 1.34 2.53 103 33.37 116 87 67 0 0 3 2MIDDLETOWN 74 63 83 54 68 -1 3.45 2.62 2.49 4.37 248 48.14 166 97 79 0 0 3 2PHILADELPHIA 76 64 85 55 70 -1 2.07 1.13 1.89 7.33 374 43.99 142 96 82 0 0 2 1PITTSBURGH 75 62 83 56 68 2 4.56 3.76 3.83 5.64 330 44.66 158 95 75 0 0 3 2WILKES-BARRE 72 61 81 49 66 2 1.98 1.06 0.99 3.16 167 43.13 160 94 77 0 0 4 2WILLIAMSPORT 74 61 84 50 67 2 4.87 3.91 3.10 5.26 264 51.70 173 95 79 0 0 5 2

RI PROVIDENCE 73 61 84 56 67 1 1.86 0.97 0.85 2.16 110 38.44 118 90 77 0 0 4 2SC BEAUFORT 90 75 92 73 82 5 0.24 -1.15 0.22 0.50 15 29.72 76 97 62 5 0 3 0

CHARLESTON 87 74 91 73 81 3 1.27 -0.27 0.99 1.45 43 42.56 106 96 68 3 0 5 1COLUMBIA 91 75 95 74 83 6 1.90 0.91 1.60 2.02 90 25.76 69 95 71 5 0 4 1GREENVILLE 87 71 91 69 79 6 1.50 0.59 0.71 1.56 82 38.21 104 96 61 2 0 5 1

SD ABERDEEN 86 59 93 53 72 10 0.00 -0.42 0.00 0.28 30 12.54 76 92 62 2 0 0 0HURON 86 63 95 56 74 11 0.00 -0.41 0.00 0.00 0 16.16 94 88 50 2 0 0 0RAPID CITY 83 54 93 48 68 5 0.01 -0.22 0.01 1.10 212 22.69 166 84 44 1 0 1 0SIOUX FALLS 83 64 93 54 73 10 0.00 -0.63 0.00 0.50 36 31.78 161 87 66 1 0 0 0

TN BRISTOL 86 67 90 64 77 8 1.84 1.11 1.27 2.31 152 38.49 124 100 59 2 0 3 1CHATTANOOGA 88 71 92 69 80 6 1.19 0.15 0.93 1.37 64 41.08 104 88 58 4 0 2 1KNOXVILLE 87 68 90 66 78 5 0.05 -0.65 0.03 1.56 109 39.08 110 96 62 2 0 3 0MEMPHIS 83 68 93 63 76 -1 0.93 0.15 0.93 2.90 178 45.10 118 92 62 3 0 1 1NASHVILLE 84 67 94 61 76 3 0.99 0.12 0.99 1.67 92 41.18 119 86 57 3 0 1 1

TX ABILENE 83 64 87 57 73 -4 0.54 -0.12 0.54 4.42 311 16.57 99 98 63 0 0 1 1AMARILLO 88 61 91 59 75 4 0.00 -0.46 0.00 0.10 9 8.06 50 90 36 2 0 0 0AUSTIN 85 73 92 72 79 -2 3.35 2.75 2.08 4.78 389 19.22 84 *** *** 1 0 6 1BEAUMONT 87 75 94 74 81 1 3.77 2.31 2.17 13.04 429 63.30 150 90 78 2 0 5 2BROWNSVILLE 90 77 94 74 83 1 2.57 1.33 1.19 3.91 155 15.38 85 96 72 3 0 6 1CORPUS CHRISTI 84 75 90 73 80 -2 8.63 7.46 2.34 9.46 391 30.05 135 100 90 1 0 7 5DEL RIO 86 72 90 71 79 -2 0.55 0.11 0.42 4.38 492 12.78 96 98 73 2 0 2 0EL PASO 94 70 98 65 82 5 0.00 -0.39 0.00 0.33 40 4.61 69 53 20 7 0 0 0FORT WORTH 83 70 91 68 77 -2 0.64 0.20 0.45 3.17 360 25.58 107 93 64 1 0 4 0GALVESTON 84 77 88 75 80 -2 9.82 8.39 2.62 17.18 580 36.92 122 98 79 0 0 6 6HOUSTON 84 74 92 73 79 -1 2.21 1.19 1.22 5.03 231 39.05 117 99 87 1 0 5 1LUBBOCK 85 62 89 59 73 0 0.00 -0.61 0.00 1.08 83 6.93 48 93 56 0 0 0 0MIDLAND 85 66 89 63 75 0 0.02 -0.49 0.02 2.29 222 10.79 103 92 60 0 0 1 0SAN ANGELO 83 65 87 59 74 -2 0.79 0.12 0.78 4.58 334 18.11 123 91 66 0 0 2 1SAN ANTONIO 83 72 88 70 78 -3 5.43 4.78 2.25 13.66 997 27.39 120 93 73 0 0 6 4VICTORIA 85 74 90 72 79 -2 4.65 3.51 2.93 4.98 217 23.12 83 94 81 1 0 7 2WACO 87 72 93 71 79 -1 0.91 0.34 0.34 4.43 399 14.03 62 92 65 3 0 4 0WICHITA FALLS 84 66 90 60 75 -2 0.02 -0.69 0.02 2.35 158 19.97 97 92 68 1 0 1 0

UT SALT LAKE CITY 87 58 93 51 73 6 0.00 -0.27 0.00 0.00 0 8.36 73 45 15 2 0 0 0VT BURLINGTON 77 56 88 42 66 4 0.99 0.06 0.51 1.75 88 24.53 95 91 53 0 0 2 1VA LYNCHBURG 74 67 81 60 71 2 1.24 0.35 0.53 2.25 124 42.19 134 97 88 0 0 4 1

NORFOLK 85 75 90 73 80 6 1.51 0.55 1.43 2.70 130 45.21 132 93 76 1 0 2 1RICHMOND 83 71 89 67 77 5 1.04 0.12 0.28 2.17 112 47.63 149 96 77 0 0 6 0ROANOKE 77 67 85 60 72 2 3.07 2.16 2.14 3.40 176 40.89 130 94 79 0 0 6 2WASH/DULLES 75 65 81 57 70 1 1.71 0.80 1.35 2.74 141 46.40 154 99 88 0 0 4 1

WA OLYMPIA 67 51 74 47 59 -1 1.23 0.79 0.48 1.27 138 25.96 88 96 77 0 0 7 0QUILLAYUTE 64 51 66 44 57 0 2.28 1.47 1.26 2.69 166 58.32 97 96 88 0 0 6 1SEATTLE-TACOMA 68 56 75 53 62 -1 0.57 0.21 0.42 0.66 89 20.07 94 89 68 0 0 5 0SPOKANE 69 49 74 44 59 -2 0.00 -0.17 0.00 0.00 0 9.71 91 65 35 0 0 0 0YAKIMA 74 43 80 38 59 -3 0.01 -0.07 0.01 0.01 6 2.88 57 78 45 0 0 1 0

WV BECKLEY 76 63 81 58 70 5 3.40 2.65 2.02 5.48 351 42.94 137 89 72 0 0 5 2CHARLESTON 82 64 90 61 73 5 2.67 1.82 2.14 6.10 335 48.88 149 100 67 2 0 3 1ELKINS 78 62 84 56 70 6 2.56 1.63 1.25 3.42 171 50.81 147 91 66 0 0 4 2HUNTINGTON 81 65 89 61 73 4 4.45 3.79 3.81 5.27 359 46.33 147 95 65 0 0 2 2

WI EAU CLAIRE 81 56 90 42 69 8 0.00 -0.96 0.00 1.49 69 28.32 112 91 49 1 0 0 0GREEN BAY 79 52 86 44 66 5 0.00 -0.79 0.00 3.07 174 30.16 137 95 48 0 0 0 0LA CROSSE 83 59 91 49 71 6 0.00 -0.87 0.00 0.83 43 29.98 118 89 45 1 0 0 0MADISON 79 53 87 46 66 4 0.00 -0.80 0.00 2.85 156 41.83 164 95 50 0 0 0 0MILWAUKEE 75 59 81 57 67 2 0.00 -0.83 0.00 2.86 154 33.67 130 91 69 0 0 0 0

WY CASPER 87 43 91 38 65 5 0.00 -0.19 0.00 0.00 0 16.37 167 71 18 2 0 0 0CHEYENNE 88 51 90 48 70 11 0.00 -0.35 0.00 0.03 4 17.94 139 54 13 1 0 0 0LANDER 85 48 90 43 67 6 0.00 -0.22 0.00 0.04 10 14.45 149 51 11 1 0 0 0SHERIDAN 80 46 91 40 63 4 0.00 -0.29 0.00 0.02 4 18.17 165 75 38 1 0 0 0


PRECIPITATIONSTATES

AND STATIONS

TEMP. ˚F PRECIP


TEMPERATURE ˚F

Weather Data for the Week Ending September 15, 2018


National Agricultural Summary September 10 – 16, 2018

Weekly National Agricultural Summary provided by USDA/NASS

HIGHLIGHTS

Temperatures were above normal across most of the Great Plains, northern Corn Belt, and Southeast. In contrast, temperatures were below normal in the Pacific Northwest, southern Corn Belt, and southern Great Plains with some locations recording temperatures more than 3°F below normal. Precipitation levels were normal

across the United States except in the Pacific Northwest, Gulf Coast, and along the Atlantic Coast where Hurricane Florence brought significant amounts of rainfall and wind late in the week. Portions of North Carolina and South Carolina received significant precipitation during the week.

Corn: By September 16, ninety-three percent of this year’s acreage was at or beyond the denting stage, 9 percentage points ahead of last year and 7 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Corn dented advanced 12 percentage points or more in Colorado, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Fifty-four percent of the Nation’s corn acreage was mature by September 16, twenty-two percentage points ahead of last year and 18 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Corn maturing advanced 15 percentage points or more in 11 of the 18 estimating States. Corn harvested across the Nation was 9 percent complete, two percentage points ahead of last year and 3 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Harvest progress advanced 23 percentage points for the week in North Carolina. Overall, 68 percent of the corn acreage was reported in good to excellent condition, unchanged from last week but 7 percentage points higher than at the same time last year. Soybeans: Fifty-three percent of the Nation’s soybean acreage was at or beyond the leaf dropping stage by September 16, fifteen percentage points ahead of last year and 17 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Iowa, Minnesota, and Nebraska, each had advances of 33 percentage points or more from the previous week. Soybeans harvested across the Nation was 6 percent complete, 2 percentage points ahead of last year and 3 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Significant harvest progress was limited to the Mississippi Delta but soybean harvest had begun in most Midwestern States. Sixty-seven percent of the Nation’s soybean acreage was rated in good to excellent condition, down 1 percentage point from the previous week but 8 percentage points above the same time last year. Winter Wheat: Nationwide, producers had sown 13 percent of the intended 2019 winter wheat acreage by September 16, one percentage point ahead of last year but 1 percentage point behind the 5-year average. Winter wheat planting progress advanced by 10 percentage points or more in 6 of the 18 estimating States. Cotton: By September 16, forty-nine percent of the Nation’s cotton fields had bolls opening, 6 percentage points ahead of last year and 3 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Advances of 10 percentage points or more from the previous week occurred in 10 of the 18 estimating States. Thirteen percent of the Nation’s cotton acreage was harvested by September 16, two percentage points ahead of last year and 7 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Overall, 39 percent of the cotton acreage was rated in good to excellent condition, 1 percentage point above last week but 22 percentage points below the same time last year.

Sorghum: Eighty-eight percent of the Nation’s sorghum acreage was at or beyond the coloring stage, 5 percentage points ahead of both last year and the 5-year average. Sorghum coloring advanced 12 percentage points or more in Colorado, Kansas, Oklahoma, and South Dakota. By September 16, forty-one percent of the Nation’s sorghum acreage was considered mature, 1 percentage point behind last year and 3 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Sorghum maturing advanced 15 percentage points or more in Missouri and Nebraska. By September 16, producers had harvested 26 percent of the Nation’s acreage, 2 percentage points behind last year and 3 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Harvest progress advanced 24 percentage points for the week in Arkansas. Fifty-three percent of the Nation’s sorghum acreage was rated in good to excellent condition as of September 16, unchanged from the previous week but 12 percentage points below the same time last year. Rice: By September 16, forty-nine percent of the Nation’s rice acreage was harvested, 4 percentage points behind last year but 2 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Harvest progress advanced 14 percentage points for the week in Arkansas and 12 percentage points in Missouri. Overall, 74 percent of the Nation’s rice acreage was rated in good to excellent condition, 1 percentage point below the previous week but 5 percentage points above the same time last year. Small Grains: By September 16, barley producers had harvested 96 percent of the Nation’s barley acreage, 3 percentage point behind last year and 1 percentage point behind the 5-year average. Harvest progress advanced 7 percentage points for the week in Montana. As of September 16, ninety-seven percent of the Nation’s spring wheat acreage was harvested, 1 percentage point behind last year but 5 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Idaho, Montana, and Washington had advances of 6 percentage points or more from the previous week. Other Crops: Three percent of the Nation’s peanut acreage was harvested as of September 16, three percentage points behind both last year and the 5-year average. Florida harvest advanced 11 percentage point from the previous week. Overall, 72 percent of the peanut acreage was reported in good to excellent condition, unchanged from last week but 4 percentage points below the same time last year. By September 16, sugarbeet producers had harvested 12 percent of the Nation’s crop, 3 percentage points ahead of last year and 4 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Minnesota harvest advanced 9 percentage points from the previous week.


Crop Progress and Condition Week Ending September 16, 2018

Weekly U.S. Progress and Condition Data provided by USDA/NASS

Prev Prev Sep 16 5-Yr Prev Prev Sep 16 5-Yr Prev Prev Sep 16 5-Yr

Year Week 2018 Avg Year Week 2018 Avg Year Week 2018 Avg

CO 69 72 86 81 CO 18 8 22 20 CO 2 0 0 1

IL 88 96 100 91 IL 37 56 75 47 IL 5 4 12 5

IN 85 86 94 85 IN 37 40 61 38 IN 4 2 7 4

IA 86 87 94 87 IA 28 28 53 30 IA 1 0 2 1

KS 90 89 94 92 KS 59 49 63 53 KS 18 9 16 16

KY 92 90 94 91 KY 75 74 81 72 KY 28 24 34 26

MI 72 67 80 71 MI 15 13 26 19 MI 3 0 1 1

MN 84 83 92 87 MN 11 17 42 19 MN 0 0 1 0

MO 96 95 100 96 MO 58 66 81 61 MO 20 12 25 18

NE 93 86 92 91 NE 34 22 44 33 NE 2 1 4 2

NC 100 96 99 99 NC 92 90 93 94 NC 66 43 66 64

ND 74 84 92 76 ND 15 26 46 17 ND 0 0 1 0

OH 80 74 83 83 OH 25 26 41 26 OH 1 0 2 1

PA 72 66 79 77 PA 31 14 31 34 PA 4 1 1 6

SD 75 90 95 83 SD 13 29 44 23 SD 0 0 2 1

TN 97 97 99 97 TN 87 73 84 80 TN 43 23 40 35

TX 91 92 95 90 TX 73 72 80 74 TX 66 63 66 61

WI 64 70 82 71 WI 9 21 36 20 WI 0 0 1 0

18 Sts 84 86 93 86 18 Sts 32 35 54 36 18 Sts 7 5 9 6

These 18 States planted 92% These 18 States planted 92% These 18 States harvested 94%

of last year's corn acreage. of last year's corn acreage. of last year's corn acreage.

Prev Prev Sep 16 5-Yr Prev Prev Sep 16 5-Yr

VP P F G EX Year Week 2018 Avg Year Week 2018 Avg

CO 2 5 14 70 9 AR 1 0 0 0 ID 99 89 97 98

IL 2 4 18 45 31 CA 5 0 2 2 MN 100 99 100 95

IN 2 6 21 51 20 CO 21 7 24 27 MT 99 87 94 89

IA 2 6 19 53 20 ID 20 9 24 19 ND 97 94 97 90

KS 10 16 27 39 8 IL 0 0 0 1 SD 100 100 100 99

KY 2 5 16 63 14 IN 2 1 4 2 WA 98 90 96 99

MI 6 14 29 42 9 KS 6 3 7 7 6 Sts 98 93 97 92

MN 2 4 17 53 24 MI 2 1 3 4 These 6 States harvested 99%

MO 20 21 30 24 5 MO 1 0 0 1 of last year's spring wheat acreage.

NE 2 4 12 50 32 MT 16 0 0 23

NC 11 20 36 27 6 NE 21 4 22 30

ND 2 11 25 51 11 NC 1 0 0 0 Prev Prev Sep 16 5-Yr

OH 1 3 17 58 21 OH 1 0 0 1 Year Week 2018 Avg

PA 0 2 18 52 28 OK 10 2 12 11 ID 99 97 98 97

SD 7 9 21 44 19 OR 7 6 10 9 MN 100 100 100 98

TN 2 7 18 55 18 SD 26 7 29 23 MT 98 85 92 97

TX 12 24 35 27 2 TX 13 5 13 13 ND 98 96 98 94

WI 3 6 17 42 32 WA 39 29 47 44 WA 95 91 94 99

18 Sts 4 8 20 47 21 18 Sts 12 5 13 14 5 Sts 99 92 96 97

Prev Wk 4 8 20 47 21 These 18 States planted 90% These 5 States harvested 85%

Prev Yr 4 9 26 48 13 of last year's winter wheat acreage. of last year's barley acreage.

Winter Wheat Percent Planted Spring Wheat Percent Harvested

Barley Percent Harvested

Corn Percent Dented Corn Percent Mature Corn Percent Harvested

Corn Condition byPercent




Prev Prev Sep 16 5-Yr

Prev Prev Sep 16 5-Yr Year Week 2018 Avg VP P F G EX

Year Week 2018 Avg AR 23 4 9 18 AR 2 7 29 45 17

AR 56 28 40 47 IL 1 1 4 0 IL 2 4 17 47 30

IL 29 37 58 28 IN 2 NA 2 2 IN 2 7 21 51 19

IN 41 41 63 43 IA 1 NA 2 0 IA 2 5 21 53 19

IA 28 17 50 25 KS 1 NA 0 0 KS 3 9 32 46 10

KS 35 16 28 26 KY 4 2 8 3 KY 2 4 15 65 14

KY 25 19 32 22 LA 60 42 51 50 LA 2 10 35 41 12

LA 84 78 83 77 MI 0 NA 0 0 MI 3 7 25 51 14

MI 40 21 38 34 MN 2 1 7 2 MN 3 6 22 49 20

MN 33 24 59 36 MS 37 22 33 28 MS 0 5 29 49 17

MS 70 56 69 58 MO 1 NA 2 1 MO 7 17 30 38 8

MO 18 9 22 16 NE 3 NA 3 1 NE 1 4 11 55 29

NE 50 31 64 44 NC 1 NA 3 1 NC 4 8 33 48 7

NC 25 17 29 21 ND 2 3 10 2 ND 4 16 29 45 6

ND 69 57 81 64 OH 1 NA 1 1 OH 1 3 17 59 20

OH 32 31 48 41 SD 0 1 6 1 SD 8 9 23 44 16

SD 46 45 68 51 TN 3 3 8 3 TN 2 4 25 54 15

TN 35 23 41 35 WI 0 NA 1 0 WI 2 7 17 45 29

WI 17 14 37 22 18 Sts 4 NA 6 3 18 Sts 3 7 23 49 18

18 Sts 38 31 53 36 These 18 States harvested 95% Prev Wk 3 7 22 50 18

These 18 States planted 95% of last year's soybean acreage. Prev Yr 3 9 29 48 11

of last year's soybean acreage.


Year Week 2018 Avg Year Week 2018 Avg VP P F G EX

AL 49 54 67 53 AL 2 0 0 1 AL 1 1 18 62 18

AZ 90 74 87 81 AZ 12 8 14 8 AZ 1 2 55 34 8

AR 67 72 89 70 AR 0 0 1 1 AR 1 4 14 44 37

CA 27 4 10 52 CA 0 0 0 0 CA 0 0 0 30 70

GA 63 40 55 66 GA 2 0 1 1 GA 0 8 28 53 11

KS 28 24 38 24 KS 2 0 0 1 KS 1 2 25 55 17

LA 91 91 95 90 LA 7 8 14 8 LA 0 3 33 58 6

MS 59 69 81 67 MS 1 1 6 2 MS 0 5 23 45 27

MO 59 66 82 40 MO 0 0 2 0 MO 2 11 31 44 12

NC 52 43 59 54 NC 0 0 1 0 NC 5 14 33 43 5

OK 42 36 49 40 OK 0 0 0 0 OK 4 15 52 28 1

SC 61 28 37 58 SC 0 0 2 1 SC 1 7 38 42 12

TN 47 68 80 46 TN 0 0 2 1 TN 1 1 19 65 14

TX 30 30 37 35 TX 18 18 22 12 TX 13 36 29 18 4

VA 39 37 43 43 VA 0 0 0 0 VA 1 3 10 83 3

15 Sts 43 39 49 46 15 Sts 11 10 13 6 15 Sts 8 24 29 30 9

These 15 States planted 98% These 15 States harvested 98% Prev Wk 13 21 28 29 9

of last year's cotton acreage. of last year's cotton acreage. Prev Yr 6 8 25 44 17

Cotton Percent Bolls Opening Cotton Percent Harvested Cotton Condition byPercent

LeavesSoybeans Percent Dropping Soybeans Percent Harvested Soybean Condition by

Percent




Prev Prev Sep 16 5-Yr Prev Prev Sep 16 5-Yr Prev Prev Sep 16 5-Yr

Year Week 2018 Avg Year Week 2018 Avg Year Week 2018 Avg

AR 100 100 100 100 AR 97 99 100 95 AR 81 61 85 71

CO 78 75 88 75 CO 12 9 13 18 CO 0 0 0 1

IL 88 86 90 86 IL 55 56 67 39 IL 1 0 2 2

KS 79 74 86 80 KS 19 10 20 20 KS 4 2 3 3

LA 100 100 100 100 LA 100 100 100 100 LA 97 96 99 95

MO 88 78 83 88 MO 52 22 40 47 MO 10 1 4 7

NE 90 83 91 91 NE 28 13 28 21 NE 2 0 0 0

NM 75 60 65 50 NM 9 3 4 6 NM 1 0 1 0

OK 80 66 79 84 OK 44 29 40 44 OK 16 8 12 16

SD 71 61 77 84 SD 16 4 16 19 SD 0 0 0 1

TX 88 90 95 87 TX 74 78 80 77 TX 69 66 70 65

11 Sts 83 79 88 83 11 Sts 42 34 41 44 11 Sts 28 24 26 29

These 11 States planted 99% These 11 States planted 99% These 11 States harvested 99%

of last year's sorghum acreage. of last year's sorghum acreage. of last year's sorghum acreage.

Prev Prev Sep 16 5-Yr

VP P F G EX Year Week 2018 Avg VP P F G EX

AR 0 2 47 43 8 AL 1 0 0 2 AL 1 1 15 63 20

CO 4 6 25 62 3 FL 17 5 16 19 FL 0 1 15 61 23

IL 0 4 22 58 16 GA 5 1 3 4 GA 1 5 18 60 16

KS 2 6 24 54 14 NC 1 0 0 1 NC 4 8 32 51 5

LA 0 3 75 22 0 OK 0 0 0 1 OK 0 4 15 69 12

MO 5 21 37 30 7 SC 4 0 1 6 SC 1 3 23 48 25

NE 0 2 14 58 26 TX 3 0 0 2 TX 8 1 41 50 0

NM 0 5 40 53 2 VA 1 1 3 1 VA 1 4 10 82 3

OK 7 5 24 60 4 8 Sts 6 1 3 6 8 Sts 2 4 22 57 15

SD 1 5 26 67 1 These 8 States harvested 96% Prev Wk 1 4 23 56 16

TX 12 26 39 18 5 of last year's peanut acreage. Prev Yr 0 5 19 59 17

11 Sts 5 12 30 44 9

Prev Wk 5 12 30 42 11

Prev Yr 2 6 27 53 12


Year Week 2018 Avg VP P F G EX Year Week 2018 Avg

AR 56 33 47 47 AR 1 5 24 48 22 ID 14 8 15 10

CA 3 2 6 7 CA 0 0 5 90 5 MI 10 12 18 8

LA 94 89 93 92 LA 0 4 23 65 8 MN 8 0 9 8

MS 60 65 70 45 MS 0 1 23 54 22 ND 9 8 9 8

MO 26 9 21 23 MO 0 10 19 50 21 4 Sts 9 5 12 8

TX 95 92 94 95 TX 0 1 50 44 5 These 4 States harvested 83%

6 Sts 53 40 49 47 6 Sts 0 4 22 58 16 of last year's sugarbeet acreage.

These 6 States harvested 100% Prev Wk 0 3 22 59 16

of last year's rice acreage. Prev Yr 1 6 24 52 17

Sugarbeets Percent Harvested

Sorghum Condition byPercent

Peanuts Percent Harvested Peanut Condition byPercent

Rice Percent Harvested Rice Condition byPercent

Sorghum Percent Coloring Sorghum Percent Mature Sorghum Percent Harvested




VP P F G EX VP P F G EX

AL 1 4 17 68 10 NH 3 9 45 36 7

AZ 32 33 15 13 7 NJ 0 8 47 43 2

AR 6 12 31 42 9 NM 14 37 36 12 1

CA 40 20 15 20 5 NY 3 7 32 43 15

CO 26 21 22 29 2 NC 3 13 43 40 1

CT 30 60 10 0 0 ND 10 21 39 28 2

DE 2 3 31 60 4 OH 1 6 36 49 8

FL 0 5 20 58 17 OK 6 16 34 41 3

GA 1 9 35 49 6 OR 58 23 17 2 0

ID 7 31 40 22 0 PA 0 7 24 38 31

IL 6 7 27 45 15 RI 30 60 10 0 0

IN 5 10 38 41 6 SC 0 9 53 38 0

IA 4 12 34 44 6 SD 13 16 29 38 4

KS 6 13 34 42 5 TN 1 14 31 46 8

KY 2 9 23 56 10 TX 10 23 36 25 6

LA 5 15 43 33 4 UT 23 37 33 7 0

ME 0 10 33 57 0 VT 1 10 57 32 0

MD 1 5 31 57 6 VA 4 14 32 40 10

MA 0 5 25 65 5 WA 25 31 25 19 0

MI 6 15 34 38 7 WV 0 16 34 45 5

MN 5 14 31 44 6 WI 3 8 25 42 22

MS 1 12 39 44 4 WY 7 17 36 32 8

MO 15 23 37 23 2 48 Sts 9 16 31 38 6

MT 11 17 32 35 5

NE 2 3 16 63 16 Prev Wk 9 17 31 36 7

NV 10 20 40 30 0 Prev Yr 9 15 31 38 7

Week Ending Sep 16, 2018Pasture and Range Condition by Percent VP - Very Poor; P - Poor;

F - Fair;G - Good; EX - Excellent

NA - Not Available* Revised

5

7

77

77

6

6

6

6.4

4

6.9

6.9

6.5 6.16.6

5.5

6.6

6.6

5.8

6.3

6.8

6.2

5.9

6.6

5.4

5.7

3.7

5.5

3.7

5.2

2.5

5.9

5.9

5.43.3

4.9

5.9

5.4

3.8

6

52

1.5

5.76.2

2

5

Days Suitable for FieldworkThis product was prepared by theUSDA Office of the Chief Economist (OCE)World Agricultural Outlook Board (WAOB)

United StatesDepartment ofAgriculture

Week EndingSeptember 16, 2018

Data obtained from USDA National AgriculturalStatistics Service (NASS) weekly Crop Progressreports. These reports are available throughhttp://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/.

Days Suitable0.0 - 0.40.5 - 1.41.5 - 2.42.5 - 3.43.5 - 4.44.5 - 5.45.5 - 6.46.5 - 7.0




15[+7]

0[0]

0[0]

0[-1]

0[0]

0[0]

2[-4]

1[-1]

0[0]

0[0]

1[-1]

2[0]

0[0]

5[-4]

3[-8]

1[-1]

3[-9]

0[-4]

8[-11]

2[-3]

15[-1]

8[-9]

18[-3]

16[+1]

25[-9]

51[-8]

7[-19]

10[-21]

12[-18]

2[-4]

28[-7]

15[+3]

79[+75]

7[+7]

43[+34]

12[-24]

24[-2]

7[-14]

30[+30]

43[+7]

0[0]

0[0]

23[+16]

10[+5]

60[-22]

15[+10]

63[+42]

Topsoil MoistureThis product was prepared by theUSDA Office of the Chief Economist (OCE)World Agricultural Outlook Board (WAOB)


Data obtained from USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service weekly Crop Progressreports. These reports are available through http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/.

Top ## - Percent Surplus

[Bottom ##] - Change from Last WeekSurplus

Change from Last Week

9

-5

48 States

Percent SurplusWeek Ending - September 16, 2018

Percent90 - 10080 - 8970 - 7960 - 6950 - 5940 - 4930 - 3920 - 2910 - 19 0 - 9

30[-16]

75[0]

60[-3]

61[0]

55[+1]

17[+2]

18[0]

47[+8]

93[-2]

90[+15] 74

[-5]

69[-5]

12[+2]

17[+5]

47[+4]

50[+4]

34[+9]

35[+5]

27[0]

63[-6]

0[0]

13[+4]

6[+2]

7[+5]

17[0]

15[+6]

8[+7]

17[-4]

10[+2]

45[+10]

26[+1]

6[-1]

1[-37]

8[-1]

1[-15]

5[+3]

18[+10]

10[0]

48[-41]

26[-68]

0[0]

0[-3]

62[+2]

11[-5]

17[-23]

0[0]

0[-1]

0[-50]

Topsoil MoistureThis product was prepared by theUSDA Office of the Chief Economist (OCE)World Agricultural Outlook Board (WAOB)


Percent Short to Very ShortWeek Ending - September 16, 2018


Top ## - Percent Short to Very Short

[Bottom ##] - Change from Last WeekShort to Very Short


28

0

48 States

Percent90 - 10080 - 8970 - 7960 - 6950 - 5940 - 4930 - 3920 - 2910 - 19 0 - 9




9[+6]

0[0]

0[0]

0[0]

0[0]

0[0]

1[-2]

1[-1]

0[0]

0[0]

1[-1]

1[0]

2[0]

0[0]

8[-3]

2[-5]

3[-3]

3[-1]

0[-2]

15[0]

8[0]

2[-4]

5[-9]

9[-1]

4[-6]

26[-9]

44[+1]

13[-11]

12[-12]

0[0]

1[-2]

25[+1]

9[-2]

10[-1]

70[+65]

32[+25]

10[-16]

28[+2]

29[+29]

31[+11]

0[0]

0[0]

24[+18]

1[+1]

100[0]

30[-16]

36[+27]

0[0]

Subsoil MoistureThis product was prepared by theUSDA Office of the Chief Economist (OCE)World Agricultural Outlook Board (WAOB)



Top ## - Percent Surplus

[Bottom ##] - Change from Last WeekSurplus


8

-1

48 States

Percent SurplusWeek Ending - September 16, 2018

Percent90 - 10080 - 8970 - 7960 - 6950 - 5940 - 4930 - 3920 - 2910 - 19 0 - 9

41[-16]

80[0]

76[0]

61[-4]

16[+2]

16[0]

42[+4]

57[+1]

92[-2]

85[+15] 76

[-5]

22[+2]70

[-1]

15[-1]

47[+4]

52[+2]

43[+3]

49[-3]

0[0]

36[+9]

18[+3]

10[+1]

7[+3]

54[-10]

21[+1]

30[+5]

8[-7]

29[-8]

22[+6]

33[-8]

5[-2]

19[+2]

18[-1]

2[-18]

8[-1]

2[-12]

8[+2]

9[0]

24[-70]

26[-62]

0[0]

0[-3]

62[+3]

8[-3]

16[-26]

0[0]

0[-24]

40[-5]

Subsoil MoistureThis product was prepared by theUSDA Office of the Chief Economist (OCE)World Agricultural Outlook Board (WAOB)


Percent Short to Very ShortWeek Ending - September 16, 2018


Top ## - Percent Short to Very Short

[Bottom ##] - Change from Last WeekShort to Very Short


31

-2

48 States

Percent90 - 10080 - 8970 - 7960 - 6950 - 5940 - 4930 - 3920 - 2910 - 19 0 - 9


Figure 1: Area-averaged upper-ocean heat content anomaly (°C) in the equatorial Pacific (5°N-5°S, 180º-100ºW). The heat content

anomaly is computed as the departure from the 1981-2010 base period pentad means.

ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Watch Synopsis: There is a 50-55% chance of El Niño onset during the Northern Hemisphere fall 2018 (September-

November), increasing to 65-70% during winter 2018-19.

ENSO-neutral continued during August, as indicated by a

blend of slightly above- and below- average sea surface

temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial Pacific Ocean.

Over the last month, the westernmost Niño-4 region was the

warmest (latest weekly value was +0.5C), while the Niño-3

and Niño-3.4 regions were weakly positive, with Niño1+2

remaining negative. Subsurface temperature anomalies

(averaged across 180°-100°W) were positive (Fig. 1), with

an increase in above-average subsurface temperatures in the

central Pacific and slight expansion of negative anomalies

in the eastern Pacific. Convection returned to near average

over the Date Line, and was slightly enhanced over

Indonesia. Low-level westerly wind anomalies re-developed

across the east-central and western Pacific, although they

were only slightly evident in the monthly average. Upper-

level wind anomalies were westerly over the eastern

Pacific. Overall, the oceanic and atmospheric conditions

reflected ENSO-neutral.

The majority of models in the IRI/CPC plume continue to

predict the onset of El Niño sometime during the Northern

Hemisphere fall and continuing through the winter. The

forecasters also favor El Niño formation during the fall, and

are leaning toward the more conservative model guidance

that indicates a weak El Niño event. The persistence of

above-average subsurface temperatures and continuing

flare-ups of westerly wind anomalies also support the

eventual development of El Niño. In summary, there is a

50-55% chance of El Niño onset during the Northern

Hemisphere fall 2018 (September-November), increasing to

65-70% during winter 2018-19 (click CPC/IRI consensus

forecast for the chance of each outcome for each 3-month

period).

This discussion is a consolidated effort of the National

Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),

NOAA’s National Weather Service, and their funded

institutions. Oceanic and atmospheric conditions are

updated weekly on the Climate Prediction Center web site

(El Niño/La Niña Current Conditions and Expert

Discussions). Forecasts are also updated monthly in the

Forecast Forum of CPC's Climate Diagnostics Bulletin.

Additional perspectives and analysis are also available in an

ENSO blog. The next ENSO Diagnostics Discussion is

scheduled for 11 October 2018. To receive an e-mail

notification when the monthly ENSO Diagnostic

Discussions are released, please send an e-mail message to:

[email protected].

September 13 ENSO Diagnostic Discussion 1414EEnEN

http://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/?enso_tab=enso-cpc_plume

http://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/?enso_tab=enso-cpc_plume

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/enso.shtml

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/enso.shtml

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CDB/Forecast/forecast.shtml

http://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/

mailto:[email protected]


For additional information contact: [email protected]

International Weather and Crop Summary

September 9-15, 2018 International Weather and Crop Highlights and Summaries provided by USDA/WAOB

HIGHLIGHTS

EUROPE: Drought intensified in northern Europe, while drier weather facilitated summer crop drydown and harvesting in southern growing area. WESTERN FSU: Much-needed rain near the Black Sea Coast improved soil moisture for winter wheat planting and establishment. EASTERN FSU: Warmer, drier conditions favored spring grain drydown and harvesting in the north, while seasonably sunny weather promoted cotton maturation in southern crop areas. MIDDLE EAST: Showers in Turkey slowed summer crop drydown and harvesting but provided soil moisture for winter grain planting. SOUTH ASIA: Unseasonably dry weather across much of India reduced soil moisture for reproductive summer (kharif) crops. EASTERN ASIA: Mostly dry weather in eastern China aided maturation and harvesting of summer crops.

SOUTHEAST ASIA: Super Typhoon Mangkhut crossed the northern Philippines with high winds and produced torrential rainfall, causing damage to rice. AUSTRALIA: Frosty weather may have trimmed local yield prospects in Western Australia. ARGENTINA: Scattered showers benefited winter grains, although more widespread rain was needed as crops enter reproduction. BRAZIL: Rain expanded across the southeast, increasing moisture for soybeans, sugarcane, and coffee. MEXICO: Heavy rain covered southern and central watersheds but monsoon showers were diminished in the northwest. CANADIAN PRAIRIES: Mostly dry weather favored spring crop harvesting across the south. SOUTHEASTERN CANADA: Warm, mostly dry weather aided autumn fieldwork, though periodic rain provided timely moisture for winter wheat establishment. `

Some Showers (Argentina)

Unseasonably Dry

(India)

Warmer & Drier (Eastern FSU)

Drought (N Europe)

Showers (Turkey)

Much-Needed Rain

(Western FSU)

Super Typhoon Mangkhut

Locally Heavy Rain

(Mexico)

Dry

Warm

Rain (S Brazil)

Dry in South

Frosty (W Australia)



Drought intensified in northern Europe, while drier weather favored summer crop maturation and harvesting across southern growing areas. Another week of dry weather (rainfall of 5 mm or less) from central and northern France eastward into northwestern Poland heightened concerns over intensifying short-term drought. During the past 30 days, crop areas from northcentral France eastward into northwestern Poland have reported 10 to 50 percent of normal rainfall (locally less), with 90-day rainfall tallying a meager 25 to 50 percent of normal in key winter crops areas of France and Germany. Rain will be needed soon to provide much-needed soil moisture for winter wheat and

rapeseed planting in these locales. Conversely, a welcomed respite from recent wetness in southeastern Europe favored summer crop drydown and harvesting. In northern portions of Italy and the Iberian Peninsula, sunny skies accelerated summer crop drydown and harvesting. Despite the generally dry weather pattern, moderate to heavy showers (10-50 mm) slowed fieldwork from southern Germany into southeastern Poland, while heavy to excessive rainfall (25-200 mm) from northern England into Scandinavia — in part associated with moisture from the remnants of Hurricane Helene — alleviated or ended lingering drought but caused localized flooding.

EUROPE



Much-needed rain arrived in key southern winter wheat areas, though dryness and drought intensified farther north and east. Showers and thunderstorms totaling 10 to 60 mm provided moisture to parched soils from central and southern Ukraine

into southwestern Russia, improving prospects for winter wheat establishment. In contrast, dry weather persisted in west-central Russia, accelerating summer crop drydown and harvesting but further reducing soil moisture for winter crops.

WESTERN FSU



Drier weather in northern portions of the region favored spring grain drydown and harvesting, while sunny skies promoted cotton maturation and harvesting in the south. A respite from recent wet weather in northern Kazakhstan and central Russia facilitated spring grain maturation and allowed harvesting to resume. However, moderate to heavy showers (10-85 mm) lingered in northern- and eastern-most spring wheat areas of Russia,

causing additional drydown and harvest delays locally. In the south, sunny weather over Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, and southern Kazakhstan encouraged cotton maturation and harvesting. This will be the last weekly summary for Eastern FSU. Coverage will resume in April, 2019, to coincide with spring grain planting.

EASTERN FSU



Showers in Turkey contrasted with seasonably dry weather elsewhere. Period of rain (10—70 mm, locally more) in northern Turkey slowed sunflower harvesting in the northwest (Thrace) and corn harvesting along the

Black Sea Coast. Mostly dry weather elsewhere in Turkey favored corn and cotton harvesting, though spotty showers near the Mediterranean Coast caused brief localized fieldwork delays.

MIDDLE EAST



Monsoon showers eased across most of India, reducing soil moisture for vegetative to reproductive crops. Appreciable rainfall (25-75 mm) was limited to outlying states in the north, south, and east. Typically, summer monsoon showers begin withdrawing from northern India in early September and fully retreat by mid-October. Most crops in central and western India are highly dependent on September rainfall as crops enter

reproduction, and premature dryness may reduce yield potential. Most northern rice and cotton are beginning to mature and will be harvested in October, therefore drier conditions are preferable. In other areas, wet weather in Bangladesh improved moisture conditions for summer (aman) rice in northern areas which have been experiencing short-term moisture deficits.

SOUTH ASIA



Mostly dry weather across eastern China aided maturation and harvesting of summer crops, including corn, cotton, and single-crop rice. Showers (10-50 mm) were mainly limited to northeastern provinces, aiding immature corn and soybeans, and parts of the central interior (up to 100 mm) where the rain slowed summer crop harvesting but improved moisture supplies ahead of winter rapeseed sowing that occurs in October.

Elsewhere, mostly dry weather on the Korean Peninsula facilitated maturation of rice, while widespread showers (25-100 mm) in southern and central Japan slowed rice maturation. Meanwhile, rainfall (over 200 mm) from Super Typhoon Mangkhut was beginning to impact eastern Taiwan as the storm approached the island by week’s end. More information on Mangkhut will appear in next week’s summary.

EASTERN ASIA



Super Typhoon Mangkhut lashed the northern Philippines at the end of the week with winds in excess of 135 knots and torrential rainfall (local reports of 850 mm or more). The storm crossed major rice-producing districts, causing damage to a crop likely in the reproductive phase of development. Potential damage could include extended submersion, salt water intrusion, lodging, and sediment deposition. The remainder of the Philippines escaped storm-related damage,

with rainfall totals generally less than 100 mm. In other parts of the region, widespread showers (15-100 mm) in Thailand and environs maintained or boosted moisture supplies for reproductive rice, while drier conditions in northern Vietnam eased some lingering excessive wetness for winter rice. In oil palm areas of Malaysia and Indonesia, rainfall amounts between 25 and 100 mm caused minor delays to harvesting but improved soil moisture for trees.

SOUTHEAST ASIA



Mostly dry weather covered the wheat belt, with isolated showers (generally less than 5 mm) confined to the west and the south. A combination of sunny skies and adequate soil moisture promoted development of winter grains and oilseeds in Western Australia and South Australia. However, in southern portions of Western Australia overnight low temperatures dipped below freezing on September 15 and 16, potentially reducing the local yield potential of reproductive

winter crops. Elsewhere in the wheat belt, unfavorably dry weather in northern Victoria further reduced moisture supplies for wheat, barley, and canola. Unwelcome dryness prevailed in New South Wales and Queensland as well, offering no relief to drought-stressed wheat while maintaining below-normal soil moisture in advance of summer crop planting. Temperatures averaged 1 to 3°C above normal in southern and eastern Australia, hastening winter crop development.

AUSTRALIA



Scattered showers benefited vegetative to reproductive winter grains in many production areas, although pockets of dryness continued in some high-yield farming areas. Rainfall totaling more than 10 mm was recorded in parts of La Pampa, southern Buenos Aires, and in western and northern Cordoba; however, most other locations recorded little to no rainfall, including a broad area stretching from southern Cordoba eastward across northern Buenos Aires and southern Entre Rios. Weekly

temperatures averaging 1 to 4°C across the region — including a lack of freezing temperatures — increased growth rates of wheat and barley. According to reports from Argentina, wheat was heading in the aforementioned dry locations. Farther north, light showers (rainfall totaling greater than 10 mm) lingered over sections of Chaco and Formosa but dry weather persisted in the northwest, where reproductive crops were also in need of moisture.

ARGENTINA



Showers overspread a large section of the south, providing timely moisture for soybeans, sugarcane, and coffee. Rainfall totaled 10 to 25 mm – locally higher – from southeastern Mato Grosso southward through Rio Grande do Sul. The moisture was timely for soybeans and first-crop corn, which are currently being planted, as well as sugarcane and coffee in Sao Paulo and Minas Gerais. According to the government of Parana, wheat was 3 percent harvested as of September 10, with 35 percent of

the remainder mature; second-crop corn was 97 percent harvested, while soybeans and first-crop corn were 1 and 13 percent planted, respectively. The moisture was accompanied by above-normal temperatures (daytime highs reaching the lower and middle 30s degrees C at the northern edge of the aforementioned area) that fostered rapid growth of crops already in the ground. Elsewhere, farmers awaited the start of the rainy season before planting of soybeans and other summer row crops could become widespread.

BRAZIL



Heavy showers covered large sections of the south and northeast, but monsoon showers diminished from previous weeks over northwestern watersheds. Rainfall totaled 25 to 100 mm across the southern plateau, sustaining moisture for late-season development of corn and other rain-fed summer crops, as well as large sections of the southeast (Veracruz southeastward through the Yucatan Peninsula). The rain in Veracruz gave a late-season boost in moisture to sugarcane and other regionally-important crops. Farther north, tropical showers (locally greater than 100 mm) accounted

for the heaviest rainfall in several months from Tamaulipas westward through Coahuila, providing a significant boost in reservoir levels while helping to alleviate summer heat (daytime highs reaching the upper 30s degrees C). In contrast to the aforementioned wetness, dry weather dominated much of the northwest from Sinaloa northward as the monsoon circulation weakened. According to the government of Mexico, irrigation reserves in the northwest were at 54 percent capacity as of September 10, behind both last year (73 percent) and 2016 (89 percent).

MEXICO



Mostly dry weather continued across southern sections of the Prairies, favoring harvests of spring grains and oilseeds. Aside from localized pockets of light to moderate rain (greater than 10 mm), mostly dry weather prevailed from southern Alberta to western Manitoba, as well as in Alberta’s Peace River Valley. Heavier rain (greater than 25 mm) was recorded in northern

Alberta and in eastern farming areas of Manitoba. Weekly temperatures averaged near to below normal, with a season-ending freeze recorded in Alberta’s northern production areas. According to the government of Alberta, harvesting of all crops reached 28 percent as of September 11, up 11 points from the previous week but still lagging the 5-year average of 34 percent.

CANADIAN PRAIRIES



Conditions remained overall favorable for autumn fieldwork. Early in the week, light to moderate showers (5-25 mm) swept across the region, boosting topsoil moisture for winter wheat germination. Dry weather dominated the remainder of the week, with daytime highs rising into the upper 20s and lower 30s (degrees C) at

week’s end. As a result of the warming trend, weekly temperatures averaged 1 to 2°C above normal. Prior to the rainfall, however, frosty weather (nighttime lows dropping into the low single digits) affected sections of Quebec and Ontario’s more easterly production areas but no widespread freeze was recorded.

SOUTHEASTERN CANADA



August International Temperature and Precipitation Maps

EUROPE

Conditions were highly variable across Europe during August. Much-needed rain (40-200 mm, locally more) along the North Sea Coast eased drought and supplied soil moisture for winter crop planting from England into the Low Countries. Meanwhile, unfavorable dryness (10-40 percent of normal) and above-normal temperatures (up to 4°C above normal) intensified drought and limited soil moisture for winter crop

planting and establishment from north-central France into Germany and western Poland. Farther south, heavy rain (100 mm or more) impeded summer crop maturation from northern Italy into the central Balkans, while dry conditions favored corn and sunflower drydown and harvesting in the lower Danube River Valley. Mostly sunny weather in Spain favored maturing summer crops following heavy early-summer rain.



WESTERN FSU

In August, drier- and warmer-than-normal weather accelerated corn, sunflowers, and soybeans toward maturity after favorable July rainfall. Monthly rainfall totaled 5 mm or less from central and southern Ukraine into parts of western and southwestern Russia. Summer crop yield

prospects remained overall favorable save for Russian corn, which was impacted by heat and dryness during late June and early July. The lack of late-summer rain limited soil moisture for winter wheat planting and establishment, though rain returned by the middle of September.



EASTERN FSU

Wet, chilly conditions during August slowed spring wheat and barley drydown and harvesting across Kazakhstan and neighboring portions of Russia. Monthly rain totaled 150 to 300 percent of normal from northern Kazakhstan into neighboring portions of central Russia, maintaining abundant

moisture supplies for filling spring wheat and barley but raising concerns over crop quality. Seasonable heat and dryness in southern portions of the region favored cotton maturation, though cotton yield prospects remained poor following record-setting heat during July.



MIDDLE EAST

During August, seasonably dry, hot weather promoted fieldwork and summer crop maturation over most of Turkey. However, showers (10-60 mm) slowed fieldwork in lesser

summer crop areas of west-central and northern Turkey. Harvesting of corn and sunflowers was underway, while cotton harvesting began by early September.



NORTHWESTERN AFRICA

During August, seasonably dry, hot weather in the west contrasted with unusually wet weather farther south and east. Typically, the winter wheat harvest is complete by August and producers await the onset of seasonal rains for winter grain planting in October and November. Nevertheless, a very unusual weather pattern brought rare

August downpours (25-170 mm) from the northern reaches of the Sahara Desert into central and northern Tunisia. The rain provided supplemental moisture for summer specialty crops (olives, citrus, and wine grapes) — which rely almost entirely on irrigation supplied by wells — but likely caused localized flooding.



SOUTH ASIA

Following a poor start to monsoon rainfall across India in June, resurgent July rain improved moisture conditions for crops. However, inconsistent showers returned to large portions of India during August. August is typically the second wettest month during the summer wet season (June-September) and summer (kharif) crops are highly dependent on the moisture. Rainfall was less than 70 percent of normal in most growing areas, with a few eastern rice areas and much of Maharashtra benefiting from totals near to above

normal. In particular, showers during the latter half of the month in Maharashtra stemmed dryness that had been developing over the preceding three weeks; Maharashtra is a key cotton and soybean producing state. Meanwhile, mostly sunny weather in northern India and Pakistan promoted development of irrigated cotton and rice progressing through reproduction. In Bangladesh, lighter-than-normal showers reduced moisture supplies for summer (aman) rice, but longer-term moisture conditions remained favorable.



EASTERN ASIA

During August, eight tropical cyclones impacted the region. On average, seven tropical cyclones form in the Western North Pacific Ocean during August and fewer still impact China and environs. All eight of the tropical cyclones had sustained winds in excess of 65 knots or less when making landfall, nevertheless producing heavy showers and localized flooding in coastal provinces of China, the Korean Peninsula, and Japan. Most of these locales accumulated monthly rainfall totals over 125 percent of normal (more than 150 mm). The wet weather mainly benefited vegetative rice in China and reproductive rice in the Koreas and northern Japan, but also benefited other reproductive

summer crops grown in the impacted areas. At the same time, corn and soybeans in northeastern China benefited from consistent rainfall of over 100 mm (more than 100 percent of normal). The moisture was well timed as most of the crops were progressing through reproduction. Elsewhere in China, a pocket of hot (temperatures averaging 3°C above normal), drier-than-normal weather (rainfall less than 60 percent of normal) in interior portions of the east stressed immature crops. In western China, seasonably hot, wetter-than-normal weather (over 25 mm; more than 125 percent of normal) improved prospects of irrigated, flowering cotton after a poor start to the season.



SOUTHEAST ASIA

A large portion of the region was drier than normal for August, with parts of Thailand and environs receiving well-below-average rainfall. Rainfall in north and northeastern Thailand was below 70 percent of normal (locally below 50 percent of normal) after benefiting from near-to above-normal rainfall during the first half of the season (beginning May 1). The lower-than-normal totals extended into Cambodia, parts of southern Laos, and central Vietnam as well. In all, the unseasonable dryness reduced moisture supplies for rice in the later vegetative stages, and more rain will be needed in September when the crop progresses through reproduction. In

contrast, vegetative rice in central Thailand, northern Laos, and northern Vietnam benefited from above-normal rainfall (100-150 percent of normal), with heavy showers in the latter two areas stemming from a tropical cyclone in the middle part of the month. Meanwhile in the Philippines, western Luzon remained wetter than normal, as rainfall totals exceeded 600 mm and pockets of below-average rainfall were reported in the remainder of the country. To the south, drier-than-normal weather in oil palm areas of Malaysia and Indonesia aided maturation of fruit harvested in September and October but reduced soil moisture for fruiting trees in earlier stages of development.



AUSTRALIA

In August, unrelenting dryness in eastern Australia cemented poor winter crop prospects in southern Queensland and most of New South Wales. Farther south, below-normal rainfall in Victoria reduced moisture supplies for vegetative winter grains and oilseeds. In contrast,

above-normal rainfall in South Australia eased short-term dryness and helped stabilize the condition of winter crops. Elsewhere in the wheat belt, above-normal rainfall in Western Australia maintained good to excellent yield prospects for wheat, barley, and canola.



SOUTH AFRICA

During August, moderate to locally heavy showers covered key farming areas of Western Cape, improving long-term moisture reserves for tree and vine crops while boosting moisture for immature wheat. Similarly, showers intensified along the Indian Coast, with monthly accumulations approaching or exceeding 100 mm at a few locations nearest the coast in Eastern Cape and KwaZulu-Natal; while improving long-term moisture reserves, the rain caused some

disruptions in the sugarcane harvest. Periodic showers developed over the southern and eastern edges of the corn belt (parts of Free State and eastern Mpumalanga) but other areas remained seasonably dry. Seasonal warming began during August but freezes were common in interior farming areas, slowing development of wheat. In general, monthly temperatures averaged near to below normal in the Cape Provinces and near to above normal elsewhere.



ARGENTINA

In August, periodic showers maintained generally favorable conditions for winter grains in eastern agricultural areas, including many high-yielding farming areas in Buenos Aires. Monthly accumulations totaling more than 25 mm were recorded from central Buenos Aires northward through Entre Rios and Corrientes though for parts of the region, these totals represented below-normal amounts. Drier conditions prevailed

farther west (La Pampa northward), with most locations from Cordoba to Salta recording less than 10 mm for the entire month. Although seasonal warming progressed, frosts were common in western and southern farming areas, restricting growth rates of wheat and barley. A minor amount of early-developing crops may have been susceptible to potential damage from frost.



BRAZIL

During August, several periods of heavy rain brought some drought relief to southern farming areas. In Parana, the rain was timely for reproductive wheat, although a portion of the crop had already entered reproduction and experienced some irreversible losses in yield potential. Elsewhere in the south, rain returned to Rio Grande do Sul after an early period of dryness, renewing generally favorable levels of moisture for vegetative wheat. In contrast, heavy rain (50 mm or greater) fell in Sao Paulo and

southern Minas Gerais early in the month, followed by drier conditions. While overall favorable for the region’s agriculture after four months of unseasonable dryness, the moisture likely came too early to trigger flowering of coffee. By late August, drier conditions had also become entrenched over the central and northeastern interior after brief periods of scattered showers earlier in the month that had little impact on agriculture. Seasonal showers also diminished along the eastern coast.



MEXICO

In August, seasonal rainfall maintained overall favorable conditions for corn and other rain-fed summer crops in major southern production areas. Total accumulations reached 100 mm or more on the southern plateau (Jalisco to Puebla) and along the southern Pacific Coast, with many locations receiving more than 200 mm. Similar amounts were recorded on the Yucatan Peninsula, though amounts there represented totals below normal. In northern Mexico, monsoon showers occurred weekly in western watersheds but were less common in central areas (Coahuila and eastern sections of Chihuahua

and Durango). Pockets of dryness (monthly rainfall totaling less than 25 mm) persisted in the north (northern Tamaulipas and Nuevo Leon), where unseasonable heat (daytime highs exceeding 40°C) maintained high evapotranspiration rates of irrigated crops. According to the government of Mexico, national reservoir levels reached 56 percent of capacity as of August 30, compared with 66 percent last year and 69 percent in 2016. Northwestern reservoirs (notably those in Sinaloa, Sonora, and Chihuahua) were at 47 percent capacity, an increase of 9 points from the previous month.



CANADIAN PRAIRIES

Dry weather dominated southern agricultural districts stretching from Alberta to western Manitoba for much of the month of August, favoring drydown and early harvesting of spring grains and oilseeds. Aside from a late-month surge in moisture that brought scattered, light to moderate showers (10-25 mm), most weeks saw little to no rain and many locations received virtually no rain for extended periods of time. In addition, a mid-month spike in temperatures (daytime highs ranging from 35-40°C)

likely hastened development of later-planted crops at the expense of yield potential before seasonal cooling — and localized frost — became more prevalent toward the end of the month. Meanwhile, somewhat heavier rain (monthly accumulations exceeding 25 mm) fell in Manitoba’s Red River Valley and in northern farming areas from the Interlake Region to the Peace River Valley, maintaining overall better crop prospects but slowing early autumn fieldwork.



SOUTHEASTERN CANADA

Warm, showery weather prevailed during the month of August, favoring summer crops in the latter stages of development. Monthly rainfall was near to above normal in Ontario’s western and central agricultural districts but drier conditions prevailed farther east, with some locations

recording monthly accumulations under 50 mm. August temperatures averaged 2 to 3°C below normal, offsetting normal declines due to seasonal cooling. Daytime highs exceeded 30°C throughout the month, with nighttime lows staying well above freezing.

U.S. Crop Production Highlights The following information was released by USDA’s Agricultural Statistics Board on September 12, 2018. Forecasts refer to September 1. Corn production is forecast at 14.8 billion bushels, up 2 percent from August and up 2 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 181.3 bushels per acre, up 2.9 bushels from the August forecast and up 4.7 bushels from 2017. If realized, this will be the highest U.S. yield on record. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 81.8 million acres, unchanged from the August forecast, but down 1 percent from 2017. Soybean production is forecast at a record 4.69 billion bushels, up 2 percent from August and up 7 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average a record-high 52.8 bushels per acre, up 1.2 bushels from last month and up 3.7 bushels from last year. Area for U.S. harvest is forecast at 88.9 million acres, unchanged from August but down 1 percent from 2017. All cotton production is forecast at 19.7 million 480-pound bales, up 2 percent from August but down 6 percent from last year.

Yield is expected to average 895 pounds per harvested acre, down 16 pounds from last month and down 10 pounds from last year. Harvested area for all cotton is expected to total 10.6 million acres, down 5 percent from 2017. Upland cotton production is forecast at 18.9 million 480-pound bales, down 6 percent from 2017. Upland harvested area is expected to total 10.3 million acres, down 5 percent from last year. Pima cotton production, forecast at 771,000 bales, is up 10 percent from last year. Pima cotton harvested area, at 245,400 acres, is down 2 percent from 2017. California Navel orange production for the 2018-2019 season is forecast at 1.60 million tons (40.0 million boxes), up 11 percent from last season. This initial forecast is based on an objective measurement survey conducted in California’s Central Valley from June (due to a larger sample size) to the beginning of September. The objective measurement survey indicated that fruit set was above last year but the average fruit size was below last year. Harvest should begin in October.

The Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin (ISSN 0043-1974) is jointly prepared by the U.S. Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). Publication began in 1872 as the Weekly Weather Chronicle. It is issued under general authority of the Act of January 12, 1895 (44-USC 213), 53rd Congress, 3rd Session. The contents may be redistributed freely with proper credit. Correspondence to the meteorologists should be directed to: Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin, NOAA/USDA, Joint Agricultural Weather Facility, USDA South Building, Room 4443B, Washington, DC 20250. Internet URL: http://www.usda.gov/oce/weather E-mail address: [email protected] The Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin and archives are maintained on the following USDA Internet URL: http://www.usda.gov/oce/weather/pubs/Weekly/Wwcb/index.htm

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE World Agricultural Outlook Board Managing Editor.......................... Brad Rippey (202) 720-2397 Production Editor........................ Brian Morris (202) 720-3062 International Editor.................. Mark Brusberg (202) 720-2012 Agricultural Weather Analysts........................ Harlan Shannon

and Eric Luebehusen National Agricultural Statistics Service Agricultural Statistician and State Summaries Editor…..…..……. Jannety Mosley (202) 720-7621

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service/Climate Prediction Center Meteorologists...... David Miskus, Brad Pugh, Adam Allgood,

and Rich Tinker

USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer. To file a complaint of discrimination, write: USDA, Office of the Assistant Secretary for Civil Rights, Office of Adjudication, 1400 Independence Ave., SW, Washington, DC 20250-9410 or call (866) 632-9992 (Toll-Free Customer Service), (800) 877-8339 (Local or Federal relay), (866) 377-8642 (Relay voice users).

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