W ALL S TREET W EST W ORKSHOP Oct/Nov 2009. O UTLINE Introduction Sources of Data Stock valuation...

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WALL STREET WEST WORKSHOP Oct/Nov 2009

Transcript of W ALL S TREET W EST W ORKSHOP Oct/Nov 2009. O UTLINE Introduction Sources of Data Stock valuation...

Page 1: W ALL S TREET W EST W ORKSHOP Oct/Nov 2009. O UTLINE Introduction Sources of Data Stock valuation Cost of Capital.

WALL STREET WEST WORKSHOP

Oct/Nov 2009

Page 2: W ALL S TREET W EST W ORKSHOP Oct/Nov 2009. O UTLINE Introduction Sources of Data Stock valuation Cost of Capital.

OUTLINE

Introduction

Sources of Data

Stock valuation

Cost of Capital

Page 3: W ALL S TREET W EST W ORKSHOP Oct/Nov 2009. O UTLINE Introduction Sources of Data Stock valuation Cost of Capital.

TERMINOLOGY Investment Primary market Secondary market Value Income Capital Gain Return Rate of return Risk Speculation Marketability vs. Liquidity

Page 4: W ALL S TREET W EST W ORKSHOP Oct/Nov 2009. O UTLINE Introduction Sources of Data Stock valuation Cost of Capital.

SOURCES OF DATA

Thomson Reuters

Bloomberg

Worldwide Web

Page 5: W ALL S TREET W EST W ORKSHOP Oct/Nov 2009. O UTLINE Introduction Sources of Data Stock valuation Cost of Capital.

STOCK VALUATION

PV of all future dividends

1

1

10

10

)1(

)1(

)1(

)1(

n

nn

tt

t

tt

t

rgr

gD

r

DP

r

DP

o Capital Asset Pricing Model

)( fmifi RRRR

Page 6: W ALL S TREET W EST W ORKSHOP Oct/Nov 2009. O UTLINE Introduction Sources of Data Stock valuation Cost of Capital.

STOCK VALUATION - KEY INPUTS

Return Beta Risk Free Rate Market Risk Premium

Dividends EPS Payout ratio

Assumptions Goal Seek Problems

Page 7: W ALL S TREET W EST W ORKSHOP Oct/Nov 2009. O UTLINE Introduction Sources of Data Stock valuation Cost of Capital.

WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL

The minimum rate of return that must be earned from investments to ensure the value of the firm does not decrease

sspspsdd kwkwTkwWACC )1(

Page 8: W ALL S TREET W EST W ORKSHOP Oct/Nov 2009. O UTLINE Introduction Sources of Data Stock valuation Cost of Capital.

WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL - COMPONENTS After-tax cost of debt (kd(1-T))

Interest rate on debt less the tax savings

Cost should be based on new debt issued rather than existing debt

Cost of preferred stock (kps)

N

psps P

Dk

NOTE: PN is the price received after deducting flotation costs

Page 9: W ALL S TREET W EST W ORKSHOP Oct/Nov 2009. O UTLINE Introduction Sources of Data Stock valuation Cost of Capital.

WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL - COMPONENTS Cost of equity (ks)

Opportunity cost Alternative measures:

Risk-free rate plus risk premiumCAPMBond yield plus risk premiumDiscounted cash flow

gP

Dk

gk

DP

s

s

0

1

1

0