VIETNAM REAL ESTATE REPORT Q1/2018 - VIRAC

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1 VIETNAM REAL ESTATE REPORT Q1/2018

Transcript of VIETNAM REAL ESTATE REPORT Q1/2018 - VIRAC

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VIETNAM REAL ESTATE REPORT Q1/2018

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Executive summary 4 3.3.1 Real estate for rent 40

1. Business environment 7 3.3.2 Real estate for sale 67

1.1 Macroeconomic situation 7 3.4 Risks and challenges 77

1.2 Legal framework 11 3.4.1 Risks 78

1.3 Impact of trade agreements 18 3.4.2 Challenges 80

2. World Real Estate Market 21 3.4.3 SWOT 82

2.1 Real estate market in some countries in the world 21 3.5 Housing development planning 83

2.2 Real estate market in some countries in the region 27 3.6 Driving forces 85

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market 30 3.7 M&A trend 94

3.1 Industry concepts and characteristics 30 4. Enterprise analysis 97

3.2 The period of volatility of Vietnam Real Estate Market 34 5. Appendix 125

3.3 Movement of the real estate market 39 List of infrastructure projects for the period 2010-2030 126

Financial statements 130

Content

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RS Real estate

MC Ministry of Construction

FIA Foreign Investment Agency

GSO General Statistics Office

VNAT Vietnam National Administration of Tourism

VNREA Vietnam Real Estate Association

VIRAC Vietnam Industry Research And Consultant JSC

Abbreviations

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Vietnam after a long time developed the

"bubble" with the virtual price and then fall into

recession, house prices gradually return to real

value.

Vietnam is one of the most attractive

destinations for retailers in Southeast Asia due

to the booming economy.

The supply of office space for lease in Ho Chi

Minh City in Q4/2017 remained unchanged,

Executive summary

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Executive summary

With an export-oriented economy, with

exports accounting for a significant portion of

80% of nominal GDP,

According to statistics at the end of Q3/2017,

only 750 foreigners are owning houses,

therefore, the demand for rental apartments is

relatively large.

The rate of GDP growth over the years and

policies to attract investment, as well as

tourists in recent years, is driving forces for the

hotel market in Vietnam.

The number of 5-star hotel rooms still accounts

for a large proportion of the market despite

the increase in supply from 3-star hotels.

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Vietnam is seen as an attractive market

compared to other ASEAN countries,

2017 is the year witnessed many large M & A

transactions in the real estate market when

many big investors trust to pour money into

Vietnam.

Typical businesses with the largest real estate

revenue in 2016 show a clear orientation

In addition, the former when the retail market

of Vietnam with only three big men in the

industry such as Metro, Big C or Saigon Co.op,

has formed and developed with many big

names in the domestic retail industry

Executive summary

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1. Business environment

1.1 Macroeconomic situation

1.2 Legal framework

1.3 Impact of trade agreements

Content

1. Business environment

1.1 Macroeconomic situation

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Source: VIRAC, GSO

GDP in 2017 was estimated to increase by 6.81% compared to 2016, of which

increasing by 5.15% in Q1; 6.28% in Q2; 7.46% in Q3; 7.65% in Q4.

Source: VIRAC, GSO

CPI fluctuations, 2014-2017

GDP growth, 2011 - 2017

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Source: VIRAC, GSO

1. Business environment

1.1 Macroeconomic situation

Source: VIRAC, GSO

Group CPI compared to 2016 (%)

CPI in 2017 by commodity group

Consumer Confidence Index, 2014 – Q3/2017

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In 2017, foreign investors have invested in 19 industries,

1. Business environment

1.1 Macroeconomic situation

Source: VIRAC, GSO

Source: VIRAC, FIA

FDI, 2015-2017USD billion

Average lending interest rate applied to USD, 2011 - 2017

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1. Business environment

1.1 Macroeconomic situation

1.2 Legal framework

1.3 Impact of trade agreements

Content

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1. Business environment

1.2 Legal framework

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Real estate business law effective from 1 July 2015 has some notable changes as follows:

Sale or lease of houses to be formed in the future, investors must be guaranteed by credit institutions:

Real estate business must establish enterprise:

Investors of real estate projects are allowed to transfer all or part of the project

Disclaiming that all real estate transactions must be through a real estate trading platform:

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1. Business environment

1.2 Legal framework

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Handling the recovery of real estate projects:

The Vietnam Bank for Social Policies (VBSP) will mobilize capital and provide loans to implement social support policies:

Expanding the scope of real estate business activities of domestic organizations and individuals:

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1. Business environment

1.2 Legal framework

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The 2014 Revised Housing Law, effective July 1, 2015, has some noteworthy points:

Foreigners are allowed to buy and own houses in Vietnam:

Expanding the beneficiaries of social support policies :

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1. Business environment

1.2 Legal framework

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1. Business environment

1.2 Legal framework

Circular 06/2016 amending and supplementing some articles of Circular 36/2014/TT-NHNN

A detailed walk-through map is included in the flat area and the sections

are not included.

Source: VIRAC, Circular 03/2014/TT-BXD)

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1. Business environment

1.2 Legal framework

On 12/15/2016, Circular No. 28/2016/TT-MC

Point e, Clause 1, Article 89, Construction Law 2014:

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1. Business environment

1.2 Legal framework

The Ministry of Construction has issued two circulars effective from the beginning of February 1977 relating to apartment buildings and real estate

brokers:

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1. Business environment

1.1 Macroeconomic situation

1.2 Legal framework

1.3 Impact of trade agreements

Content

1. Business environment

1.3 Impact of trade agreements

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1998 2000 2002 2007 2008 2009 2011 2015

Vietnam's integration process since 1995 to present

By the end of 2017, Vietnam has signed, implemented, and is negotiating a total of 16 free trade agreements (FTAs).

2016 20172006

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1. Business environment

1.3 Impact of trade agreements

Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement - TPP:

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2. World Real Estate Market

2.1 Real estate market in some countries in the world

2.2 Real estate market in some countries in the region

Content

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US Real estates

Source: VIRAC, National Association of Realtors

USD

2. World Real Estate Market

2.1 Real estate market in some countries in the world

House price movement in the US, 5/2012 – 11/2017

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2. World Real Estate Market

2.1 Real estate market in some countries in the world

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In Europe:

Ireland’s real estate market:

UK’s real estate market :

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2. World Real Estate Market

2.1 Real estate market in some countries in the world

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Germany’s real estate market:

Russia’s real estate market :

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2. World Real Estate Market

2.1 Real estate market in some countries in the world

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In Asia and Oceania:

Australia’s real estate market:

New Zealand’s real estate market:

China’s real estate market:

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In the Middle East housing market:

2. World Real Estate Market

2.1 Real estate market in some countries in the world

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2. World Real Estate Market

2.1 Real estate market in some countries in the world

2.2 Real estate market in some countries in the region

Content

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2. World Real Estate Market

2.1 Real estate market in some countries in the region

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In ASEAN countries:

Myanmar’s real estate market:

.

Indonesia’s real estate market:

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Source: VIRAC, numbeo.com

Home/income price indices in some 2016 countries

2. World Real Estate Market

2.1 Real estate market in some countries in the region

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Malaysia’s real estate market:

Korea, Thailand

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3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.1 Industry concepts and characteristics

3.2 The period of volatility of Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market

3.4 Risks and challenges

3.5 Housing development planning

3.6 Driving forces

3.7 M&A trend

Content

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3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.1 Industry concepts and characteristics

Overview of real estate market

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According to the Department of Housing Management - Ministry of Construction real estate is divided into three categories:

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.1 Industry concepts and characteristics

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Basic characteristics of real estate

Firstly,

Secondly,

Thirdly,

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.1 Industry concepts and characteristics

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Fourthly,

Characteristics of investment in real estate business in Vietnam

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.1 Industry concepts and characteristics

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3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.1 Industry concepts and characteristics

3.2 The period of volatility of Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market

3.4 Risks and challenges

3.5 Housing development planning

3.6 Driving forces

3.7 M&A trend

Content

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Periods of real estate in Vietnam

Source: VIRAC

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.2 The period of volatility of Vietnam Real Estate Market

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Before 1990:

The first real estate fever (1993-1994):

The first freeze (1995-1999):

The second real estate fever (2001-2002):

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.2 The period of volatility of Vietnam Real Estate Market

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The second freeze (2002-2006):

The third real estate fever (2007-2009):

The third freeze (2009-2013):

2014 – now:

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.2 The period of volatility of Vietnam Real Estate Market

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3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.1 Industry concepts and characteristics

3.2 The period of volatility of Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market

3.4 Risks and challenges

3.5 Housing development planning

3.6 Driving forces

3.7 M&A trend

Content

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Vietnam's economy is on a growth trajectory in terms of GDP and other economic indicators. Personal income and family expenses are gradually

improving which also has a positive impact on the retail real estate market.

Forecast:

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.1 Real estate for rent – Retail market

Retail market

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Retail market – Hanoi

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Typical projects are scheduled for 2018-2020

Ongoing projectsArea

(m²)

Completion

timeLocation

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.1 Real estate for rent – Retail market

Total supply by category, Q4/2017

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Source: VIRAC, VNREA

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.1 Real estate for rent – Retail market

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Supply structure by region, Q4/2017

Vacancy rates and rental prices, Q4/2017

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The area of supply for commercial centers always accounts for a large

proportion of over 90% of the retail supply area.

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Thousand m²

USD/ m²/ month

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.1 Real estate for rent – Retail market

Rental supply of commercial center, 2010-2017e

Rental rates and vacancy rates of commercial center, 2010-2017e

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Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.1 Real estate for rent – Retail market

Retail market – Ho Chi Minh city Total supply, Q4/2017

Retail supply structure by region, Q4/2017

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Regarding rental prices, average rents in the CBD as well as out-of-

town areas remained unchanged in Q4.

Ongoing projects Area (m²)Completion

timeLocation

Typical projects are expected to be completed in 2018-2020

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.1 Real estate for rent – Retail market

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

VND/m²/monthVacancy rate and rental prices, Q4/2017

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Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Thousand m²

USD/ m²/ month

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.1 Real estate for rent – Retail market

Supply of commercial center for lease, 2007-2017e

Rental price and vacancy rate of commercial centers, 2007-2017e

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In addition to the economic recovery (low inflation rate, improved GDP, high consumption), Vietnam's joining the EU - Vietnam FTA has attracted a large

amount of foreign direct investment in the real estate, electronics, consultancy, finance, etc. The demand for office space has increased sharply as many

foreign businesses will come to Vietnam and set up their offices in Vietnam in the coming years.

Office market

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.1 Real estate for rent – Office market

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Thousand m²

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Thousand m²

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.1 Real estate for rent – Office market

Office market – Hanoi New supply and vacancy rate of grade A offices, 2010-2017e

Total supply by region, Q4/2017

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Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Ongoing projects Area (m²) Completion time Location

USD/m²/month

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

USD/ m²/ month

Typical projects under construction, Q4/2017

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.1 Real estate for rent – Office market

Average rental price by area, Q4/2017

Office rental price, Q1/2015-Q4/2017

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Office market – TP.HCM

Thousand m²

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Thousand m²

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.1 Real estate for rent – Office market

USD

Office supply and vacancy rate, Q1/2015-Q4/2017

Total supply and rental price by category, Q4/2017

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Ongoing projects Area (m²)Completion

timeLocation

Typical projects under construction

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

USD/ m²/ month

Ho Chi Minh City's office market continued to grow well in Q4/2017 with

rising offer rents in both segments.

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.1 Real estate for rent – Office market

Office rental price, Q1/2015-Q4/2017

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Forecast:

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.1 Real estate for rent – Industrial zone market

Industrial zone market

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Industrial zone market – Hanoi

Total supply of industrial parks in Hanoi remained stable compared to

the previous quarter and the same period last year due to the absence

of any new supply entering the market.

Ha

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

VND thousand/ m²/ lease term

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.1 Real estate for rent – Industrial zone market

Rental price by area, Q4/2017e

Total Supply by Region, Q4/2017e

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Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Ongoing projects Area (ha) Location

Typical projects in the period 2018-2020

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.1 Real estate for rent – Industrial zone market

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3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.1 Real estate for rent – Industrial zone market

Ha

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

USD/ m²/ lease term USD/ m²/ month

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Northern Industrial Zone

Average rental price for the Northern

Industrial Zone, Q4/2017

Total supply and vacancy rate of Northern Industrial

Zone, Q4/2017

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Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

VND thousand/ m²/ lease term

Ha

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.1 Real estate for rent – Industrial zone market

Industrial zone market – Ho Chi Minh cityTotal supply and vacancy rate, Q4/2017

Rental price by area, Q4/2017

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Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Ongoing projects Area (ha) Location

Typical projects in the period 2018-2025

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.1 Real estate for rent – Industrial zone market

Vacancy rate, 2011-2017

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There is a continuous increase in demand

Source: VIRAC, VNREA Source: VIRAC, VNREA

USD/m²/lease termUSD/m²/month

Rental price for land by area, 2011 – 2017

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.1 Real estate for rent – Industrial zone market

Rental price for factories available, 2011 - 2017

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Apartment for rent is the main segment serving foreigners living and working in Vietnam.

Forecast:

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.1 Real estate for rent – Apartment for rent

Apartment for rent

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Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Apartment

USD/m²/month

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.1 Real estate for rent – Apartment for rent

Apartment for rent – Hanoi

Apartment for rent is the main segment serving foreigners living and

working in Vietnam.

Total Supply by Category, 2000-2017

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Rental rates tended to decrease from 2014 and continued in

2016,

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

USD/ apartment/ month

Projects

Number of

apartment

s

LocationOccupancy

rateClass

Typical Serviced Apartments in Hanoi

Source: VIRAC

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.1 Real estate for rent – Apartment for rent

Apartment rental price and rental capacity, Q1/2014-Q4/2017

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Apartment for rent – Ho Chi Minh city

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Apartment

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Ongoing projects Number of

apartmentsCompletion time Location

Typical projects under construction

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.1 Real estate for rent – Apartment for rent

Total supply of apartments for rent, Q1/2015-Q4/2017

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Source: VIRAC, VNREA

USD/m²/month

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.1 Real estate for rent – Apartment for rent

Apartment rental prices by class, Q4/2016-Q4/2017

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Forecast:

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.1 Real estate for rent – Hotel market

Hotel market

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Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

USD/room/night

Room

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.1 Real estate for rent – Hotel market

Hotel market – Hanoi

With the increasing number of high-income tourists coming to Hanoi

thanks to the exhibitions, conferences, etc, is the favorable conditions

for the five-star hotel sector to occupy the hotel market.

Hotel total supply, Q1/2015 - Q4/2017

Rental price and capacity, Q1/2015-Q4/2017

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Rental price and capacity, Q4/2017

VND thousand/room/night

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

VND

thousand/room/night

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.1 Real estate for rent – Hotel market

Room

Hotel market – Ho Chi Minh city

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Average rental price and capacity, Q1/2015-Q4/2017

Hotel total supply, Q1/2015 – Q4/2017

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Forecast:

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.2 Real estate for sale – Apartment for sale

Apartment for sale

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Thousand m²

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.2 Real estate for sale – Apartment for sale

Apartment for sale – Hanoi

The housing market has increased sharply since 2013.

Housing supply in Hanoi, 2008-2017e

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Both primary and secondary market prices showed signs of a rise from

2014 to 2015 due to the recovery of the market.

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.2 Real estate for sale – Apartment for sale

Price fluctuation of apartment for sale, Q1/2008 – Q4/2017e

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In the coming years, positive macroeconomic

fundamentals will continue to drive the overall housing

market as well as the condominium market.

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Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Typical projects are open for sale in the last 6 months of 2017

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.2 Real estate for sale – Apartment for sale

Project Investor LocationCompletion

time

Number of

Apartments

Selling price

(USD/m²)

* Selling price does not include taxes and discounts.

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Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Apartment

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.2 Real estate for sale – Apartment for sale

Apartment for sale – Ho Chi Minh city New supply and number of apartments sold,

2010-2017e

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USD/m²

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

USD/m²

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.2 Real estate for sale – Apartment for sale

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

High-end apartment segment's price, 2010-2017eOffer price for apartment in Ho Chi Minh City, Q1/2015 –

Q4/2017

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Project Investor LocationCompletion

time

Number

of

apartme

nts

Selling

price

(USD/m²)

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.2 Real estate for sale – Apartment for sale

* Selling price does not include taxes and discounts.

Typical projects are open for sale in the last 6 months of 2017

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Source: VIRAC

BankInterest

rate(*)

Maximum

loan(**)

Maximum

repayment period

(years)

Lending rates of commercial banks, 2017

*First year interest rate

** Borrowing ratio on assets

*** Per percentage of loan demand

If popular-segment customers mainly buy to stay, luxury-segment

customers still mainly have money to buy for investment or wait for selling

out. Not only in HCMC, here is the same situation in other provinces.

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.2 Real estate for sale – Apartment for sale

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Structure of buying houses by purpose in HCM, 2016

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Forecast:

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.2 Real estate for sale – Villa and townhouse market

Villa and townhouse market

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Source: VIRAC, VNREA

Source: VIRAC, VNREA

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.2 Real estate for sale – Villa and townhouse market

Villa and townhouse market - HanoiApartment

Total villa/townhouse supply, Q1/2015-Q4/2017

Price fluctuation of villas and townhouses,

Q1/2014-Q4/2017

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3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.2 Real estate for sale – Villa and townhouse market

Project Investor Location Completion time Number of

apartments

Selling price

(USD/m² )

Typical projects are open for sale in the last 6 months of 2017

Source: VIRAC

* Selling price does not include taxes and discounts

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Source: VIRAC, VNREA

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.2 Real estate for sale – Villa and townhouse market

Villa and townhouse market - Ho Chi Minh city

ApartmentTotal villa/townhouse supply, Q1/2014-Q4/2017

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3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market - 3.3.2 Real estate for sale – Villa and townhouse market

Project Investor Location Completion

time

Number of

apartments

Selling price

(USD/m² )

Typical projects are open for sale in 2017

Source: VIRAC* Selling price does not include taxes and discounts

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3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.1 Industry concepts and characteristics

3.2 The period of volatility of Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market

3.4 Risks and challenges

3.5 Housing development planning

3.6 Driving forces

3.7 M&A trend

Content

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The subjective risks from the investor side

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.4 Risks and challenges – 3.4.1 Risks

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3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.4 Risks and challenges – 3.4.1 Risks

Objective risks from macro elements

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Objective risks from macro elements

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.4 Risks and challenges – 3.4.1 Risks

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Source: VIRAC, numbeo.com

No. City, country

name

Country House price on

income (times)

20 cities with the highest average income per capita in 2016 in

the world

Source: VIRAC, numbeo.com

Time

House price on income in Vietnam, 2011 – 2016

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.4 Risks and challenges – 3.4.2 Challenges

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Source: VIRAC, MOC

VND trillion

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.4 Risks and challenges – 3.4.2 Challenges

In the period 2010-2012, the real estate market after a period of hot

development has fallen into a "frozen" situation.

Stock value of real estate, 2013 – 12/2017

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S W

O T

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.4 Risks and challenges – 3.4.3 SWOT

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3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.1 Industry concepts and characteristics

3.2 The period of volatility of Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market

3.4 Risks and challenges

3.5 Housing development planning

3.6 Driving forces

3.7 M&A trend

Content

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On 11/30/2011, the Prime Minister approved and approved Decision No. 2127/QD-TTg on national housing development strategy to 2020 and vision

to 2030:

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.5 Planning

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3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.1 Industry concepts and characteristics

3.2 The period of volatility of Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market

3.4 Risks and challenges

3.5 Housing development planning

3.6 Driving forces

3.7 M&A trend

Content

91

In South East Asia

Vietnam

Area of land

Area of sea

Population (2016)

GDP (2016)

Income per capita (2016)

GDP growth rate (2016)

Vietnam

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.6 Driving forces – Geographical location

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Population distribution in Vietnam

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.6 Driving forces – Geographical location

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The cost of capital investment for infrastructure development is raised

from public spending and foreign capital.

Structure of investment costs for infrastructure development in GDP, 1995 - 2013

Source: VIRAC, MOT

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.6 Driving forces – Infrastructure

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Largest urban areas of Vietnam

Estimated 2015

Rank City name Under

Population

(million

people)

Source: VIRAC

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.6 Driving forces – Advantages of infrastructure and population

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Level of urbanization, 2010 - 2017

Disposable income and household expenditures, 2008 – 2017f

Source: VIRAC, GSO

Source: VIRAC, GSO

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.6 Driving forces – Urbanization rate and disposable income

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Source: VIRAC, MOC

VND trillion

Source: VIRAC, MOC

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.6 Driving forces – Outstanding credit of real estate

Outstanding credit of Real estate, 2012-2017

Structure of real estate credit balance, 2017

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Structure of population by stratification (expenditure), 2013 – 2020f

Source: VIRAC, BCG

Million people

Source: VIRAC

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.6 Driving forces – The development of the middle class and consumer confidence index

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Vietnam is one of the fastest growing travel destinations in Southeast

Asia

Source: VIRAC, TCDL

Million people

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.6 Driving forces – Tourism potential

Number of tourists, 2011-2017

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3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.1 Industry concepts and characteristics

3.2 The period of volatility of Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.3 Movement of the real estate market

3.4 Risks and challenges

3.5 Housing development planning

3.6 Driving forces

3.7 M&A trend

Content

100

2017 is the year witnessed many large M&A transactions in the real estate market when many big investors believe to pour money into Vietnam.

According to consulting firm, JLL Vietnam, the total value of real estate M&A last year amounted to USD 1.5 billion. Of which, there are five typical M

& A deals:.

3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.7 M&A trend

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3. Vietnam Real Estate Market

3.7 M&A trend

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4. Enterprise analysis

Content

3. Types of real estate

Real estate enterprise analysis

Vingroup - JSC

Vinhomes Sky Lake, Pham Hung-Nam Tu Liem-Hanoi, Vingroup

100

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104

Overview of FLC Group:

Five-star resort and golf complex Quy Nhon, Binh Dinh

3. Types of real estate

Real estate enterprise analysis

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Kinh Bac City Development Corporation

3. Types of real estate

Real estate enterprise analysis

Que Vo Industrial Park, Que Vo District, Bac Ninh Province, KBC

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106

Nova Real Estate Investment Corporation:

3. Types of real estate

Real estate enterprise analysis

Residential project in Richstar, Tan Phu, HCMC, Novaland

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107

Khang Dien House Trading and Investment Joint Stock Company

3. Types of real estate

Real estate enterprise analysis

Lucasta Villa, District 9, Ho Chi Minh City

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Nam Long Investment Corporation

108

3. Types of real estate

Real estate enterprise analysis

Camellia and Ehome, Nam Long

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Phat Dat Real Estate Development Joint Stock Company

3. Types of real estate

Real estate enterprise analysis

Residential area of EverRich 2 (River City), District 7, HCMC, Phat Dat real

estate development

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110

3. Types of real estate

Real estate enterprise analysis

Quoc Cuong Gia Lai Joint Stock Company

Quoc Cuong Gia Lai Residence

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111

3. Types of real estate

Real estate enterprise analysis

Green Land Real Estate Group:

Sunview Town Residence – Dat Xanh Group

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112

3. Types of real estate

Real estate enterprise analysis

Binh Duong Business and Development Joint Stock Company (TDC):

TDC Plaza apartment building in Binh Duong, Hoa Phu, Thu Dau Mot,

Binh Duong

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Overview of AEON Group and AEON MALL Vietnam Co., Ltd Major shopping centers of AEON in Vietnam

Location Shopping center Floor square Total investment

3. Types of real estate

Real estate enterprise analysis

113

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114

Overview of Lotte Group

3. Types of real estate

Real estate enterprise analysis

Hanoi

Hoàng Sa

Hồ Chí Minh

Trường SaCần Thơ

Phú Quốc

Vũng Tàu

Đà Nẵng

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115

MEGA MARKET VIET NAM COMPANY LIMITED (formerly METRO Cash &

Carry VIETNAM)

3. Types of real estate

Real estate enterprise analysis

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116

Overview of BIG C

3. Types of real estate

Real estate enterprise analysis

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117

Vincom Retail Joint Stock Company:

3. Types of real estate

Real estate enterprise analysis

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118

Vincom Plaza Shopping Center

3. Types of real estate

Real estate enterprise analysis

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119

Sai Gon Co.op. Investment and Development Joint Stock Company

3. Types of real estate

Real estate enterprise analysis

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3. Types of real estate

Real estate enterprise analysis

SOME OUTSTANDING FOREIGN INVESTORS INVESTING REAL ESTATE PROJECTS IN VIETNAM

Investor Project StatusTotal investment

(USD million)

In the North

In the South

Source: VIRAC

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TOP REAL ESTATE ENTERPRISES WITH HIGHEST REVENUE 2016

Enterprise Location Tax code

Charter

capital

(VND

million)

Total assets

(VND

million)

Net revenue

(VND million)

3. Types of real estate

Real estate enterprise analysis

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122

3. Real estate enterprise analysis

Target group of business results

VND million

Source: VIRAC

Net revenue growth, 2015 - 2016

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123

3. Real estate enterprise analysis

Target group of business results

Source: VIRAC

VND

million

Gross profit growth, 2015 - 2016

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124

3. Real estate enterprise analysis

Target group of business results

Source: VIRAC

SE/NR, 2015 - 2016

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125

3. Real estate enterprise analysis

Target group of business results

Source: VIRAC

Source: VIRAC

G&AE/NR, 2015 - 2016

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126

3. Real estate enterprise analysis

Financial indicators

Source: VIRAC

Account receivable turnover, 2015 - 2016

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127

3. Real estate enterprise analysis

Financial indicators

VIC NVL FLC KDH NLG DXG KBC QCG PDR TDCIndustry

average

Current ratio

Quick ratio

Cash ratio

VIC NVL FLC KDH NLG DXG KBC QCG PDR TDC

Industry

average

Days in inventory

Total asset turnover

Fixed asset turnover

Source: VIRAC

Source: VIRAC

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128

3. Real estate enterprise analysis

Targets of business results

VIC NVL FLC KDH NLG DXG KBC QCG PDR TDCIndustry

average

ROA (%)

ROE (%)

ROS (%)

Lợi nhuận sau thuế (tỷ đồng)

Tỷ số Nợ trên tổng tài sản (%)

Tỷ số nợ trên vốn chủ sở hữu (%)

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3. Real estate enterprise analysis

Retail enterprises

Source: VIRAC

Source: VIRAC

Distribution of supermarkets in three regions in Vietnam, 2016

Retail market share in Vietnam in 2016

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130

5. Appendix

Content

131

BALANCE SHEET

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

A. CURRENT ASSETS

I. Cash and cash equivalents

II. Short-term financial investments

III. Short-term receivables

1. Customer receivables

IV. Inventory

B. NON-CURRENT ASSETS

TOTAL ASSETS

A. LIABILITIES

I. Short-term debt

1. Short-term debt and loan

2. Taxes and amounts payable to the state

II. Long-term debt

1. Long-term debt and loan

2. Long-term provisions

B. EQUITY

TOTAL SOURCES

REPORT ON BUSINESS RESULTS

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

Net revenue

Cost of goods sold

Gross profit

Financial income

Financial expenses

Interest expenses

Selling expenses

General and administrative expenses

Net profit from business activities

Gross accounting profit before tax

Current corporate income tax expense

Deferred corporate income tax expenses

Profit after tax

STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

I. Cash flow from business activities

Depreciation of fixed assets

Unrealized foreign exchange gain/loss

Net cash flows from operating activities

II. Cash flow from investment activities

Spending on procurement, construction of fixed assets and other

non-current assets

Net cash flows from investing activities

III. Cash flow from financial activities

Net cash flows from financing activities

Effect of exchange rate difference in foreign currency

Net cash flows during the year

Appendix

Financial statements

Vingroup

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132

BALANCE SHEET

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

A. CURRENT ASSETS

I. Cash and cash equivalents

II. Short-term financial investments

III. Short-term receivables

1. Customer receivables

IV. Inventory

B. NON-CURRENT ASSETS

TOTAL ASSETS

A. LIABILITIES

I. Short-term debt

1. Short-term debt and loan

2. Taxes and amounts payable to the state

II. Long-term debt

1. Long-term debt and loan

2. Long-term provisions

B. EQUITY

TOTAL SOURCES

REPORT ON BUSINESS RESULTS

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

Net revenue

Cost of goods sold

Gross profit

Financial income

Financial expenses

Interest expenses

Selling expenses

General and administrative expenses

Net profit from business activities

Gross accounting profit before tax

Current corporate income tax expense

Deferred corporate income tax expenses

Profit after tax

STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

I. Cash flow from business activities

Depreciation of fixed assets

Unrealized foreign exchange gain/loss

Net cash flows from operating activities

II. Cash flow from investment activities

Spending on procurement, construction of fixed assets and other

non-current assets

Net cash flows from investing activities

III. Cash flow from financial activities

Net cash flows from financing activities

Effect of exchange rate difference in foreign currency

Net cash flows during the year

No-Va Real Estate Investment Corporation

Appendix

Financial statements

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133

BALANCE SHEET

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

A. CURRENT ASSETS

I. Cash and cash equivalents

II. Short-term financial investments

III. Short-term receivables

1. Customer receivables

IV. Inventory

B. NON-CURRENT ASSETS

TOTAL ASSETS

A. LIABILITIES

I. Short-term debt

1. Short-term debt and loan

2. Taxes and amounts payable to the state

II. Long-term debt

1. Long-term debt and loan

2. Long-term provisions

B. EQUITY

TOTAL SOURCES

REPORT ON BUSINESS RESULTS

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

Net revenue

Cost of goods sold

Gross profit

Financial income

Financial expenses

Interest expenses

Selling expenses

General and administrative expenses

Net profit from business activities

Gross accounting profit before tax

Current corporate income tax expense

Deferred corporate income tax expenses

Profit after tax

STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

I. Cash flow from business activities

Depreciation of fixed assets

Unrealized foreign exchange gain/loss

Net cash flows from operating activities

II. Cash flow from investment activities

Spending on procurement, construction of fixed assets and other

non-current assets

Net cash flows from investing activities

III. Cash flow from financial activities

Net cash flows from financing activities

Effect of exchange rate difference in foreign currency

Net cash flows during the year

FLC Group

Appendix

Financial statements

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134

BALANCE SHEET

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

A. CURRENT ASSETS

I. Cash and cash equivalents

II. Short-term financial investments

III. Short-term receivables

1. Customer receivables

IV. Inventory

B. NON-CURRENT ASSETS

TOTAL ASSETS

A. LIABILITIES

I. Short-term debt

1. Short-term debt and loan

2. Taxes and amounts payable to the state

II. Long-term debt

1. Long-term debt and loan

2. Long-term provisions

B. EQUITY

TOTAL SOURCES

REPORT ON BUSINESS RESULTS

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

Net revenue

Cost of goods sold

Gross profit

Financial income

Financial expenses

Interest expenses

Selling expenses

General and administrative expenses

Net profit from business activities

Gross accounting profit before tax

Current corporate income tax expense

Deferred corporate income tax expenses

Profit after tax

STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

I. Cash flow from business activities

Depreciation of fixed assets

Unrealized foreign exchange gain/loss

Net cash flows from operating activities

II. Cash flow from investment activities

Spending on procurement, construction of fixed assets and other

non-current assets

Net cash flows from investing activities

III. Cash flow from financial activities

Net cash flows from financing activities

Effect of exchange rate difference in foreign currency

Net cash flows during the year

Khang Dien Housing Investment & Trading JSC

Appendix

Financial statements

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135

BALANCE SHEET

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

A. CURRENT ASSETS

I. Cash and cash equivalents

II. Short-term financial investments

III. Short-term receivables

1. Customer receivables

IV. Inventory

B. NON-CURRENT ASSETS

TOTAL ASSETS

A. LIABILITIES

I. Short-term debt

1. Short-term debt and loan

2. Taxes and amounts payable to the state

II. Long-term debt

1. Long-term debt and loan

2. Long-term provisions

B. EQUITY

TOTAL SOURCES

REPORT ON BUSINESS RESULTS

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

Net revenue

Cost of goods sold

Gross profit

Financial income

Financial expenses

Interest expenses

Selling expenses

General and administrative expenses

Net profit from business activities

Gross accounting profit before tax

Current corporate income tax expense

Deferred corporate income tax expenses

Profit after tax

STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

I. Cash flow from business activities

Depreciation of fixed assets

Unrealized foreign exchange gain/loss

Net cash flows from operating activities

II. Cash flow from investment activities

Spending on procurement, construction of fixed assets and other

non-current assets

Net cash flows from investing activities

III. Cash flow from financial activities

Net cash flows from financing activities

Effect of exchange rate difference in foreign currency

Net cash flows during the year

Nam Long Investment JSC

Appendix

Financial statements

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136

BALANCE SHEET

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

A. CURRENT ASSETS

I. Cash and cash equivalents

II. Short-term financial investments

III. Short-term receivables

1. Customer receivables

IV. Inventory

B. NON-CURRENT ASSETS

TOTAL ASSETS

A. LIABILITIES

I. Short-term debt

1. Short-term debt and loan

2. Taxes and amounts payable to the state

II. Long-term debt

1. Long-term debt and loan

2. Long-term provisions

B. EQUITY

TOTAL SOURCES

REPORT ON BUSINESS RESULTS

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

Net revenue

Cost of goods sold

Gross profit

Financial income

Financial expenses

Interest expenses

Selling expenses

General and administrative expenses

Net profit from business activities

Gross accounting profit before tax

Current corporate income tax expense

Deferred corporate income tax expenses

Profit after tax

STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

I. Cash flow from business activities

Depreciation of fixed assets

Unrealized foreign exchange gain/loss

Net cash flows from operating activities

II. Cash flow from investment activities

Spending on procurement, construction of fixed assets and other

non-current assets

Net cash flows from investing activities

III. Cash flow from financial activities

Net cash flows from financing activities

Effect of exchange rate difference in foreign currency

Net cash flows during the year

Dat Xanh Real Estate Service & Construction JSC

Appendix

Financial statements

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137

BALANCE SHEET

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

A. CURRENT ASSETS

I. Cash and cash equivalents

II. Short-term financial investments

III. Short-term receivables

1. Customer receivables

IV. Inventory

B. NON-CURRENT ASSETS

TOTAL ASSETS

A. LIABILITIES

I. Short-term debt

1. Short-term debt and loan

2. Taxes and amounts payable to the state

II. Long-term debt

1. Long-term debt and loan

2. Long-term provisions

B. EQUITY

TOTAL SOURCES

REPORT ON BUSINESS RESULTS

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

Net revenue

Cost of goods sold

Gross profit

Financial income

Financial expenses

Interest expenses

Selling expenses

General and administrative expenses

Net profit from business activities

Gross accounting profit before tax

Current corporate income tax expense

Deferred corporate income tax expenses

Profit after tax

STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

I. Cash flow from business activities

Depreciation of fixed assets

Unrealized foreign exchange gain/loss

Net cash flows from operating activities

II. Cash flow from investment activities

Spending on procurement, construction of fixed assets and other

non-current assets

Net cash flows from investing activities

III. Cash flow from financial activities

Net cash flows from financing activities

Effect of exchange rate difference in foreign currency

Net cash flows during the year

Kinh Bac City Development Share Holding Corporation

Appendix

Financial statements

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138

BALANCE SHEET

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

A. CURRENT ASSETS

I. Cash and cash equivalents

II. Short-term financial investments

III. Short-term receivables

1. Customer receivables

IV. Inventory

B. NON-CURRENT ASSETS

TOTAL ASSETS

A. LIABILITIES

I. Short-term debt

1. Short-term debt and loan

2. Taxes and amounts payable to the state

II. Long-term debt

1. Long-term debt and loan

2. Long-term provisions

B. EQUITY

TOTAL SOURCES

REPORT ON BUSINESS RESULTS

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

Net revenue

Cost of goods sold

Gross profit

Financial income

Financial expenses

Interest expenses

Selling expenses

General and administrative expenses

Net profit from business activities

Gross accounting profit before tax

Current corporate income tax expense

Deferred corporate income tax expenses

Profit after tax

STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

I. Cash flow from business activities

Depreciation of fixed assets

Unrealized foreign exchange gain/loss

Net cash flows from operating activities

II. Cash flow from investment activities

Spending on procurement, construction of fixed assets and other

non-current assets

Net cash flows from investing activities

III. Cash flow from financial activities

Net cash flows from financing activities

Effect of exchange rate difference in foreign currency

Net cash flows during the year

Quoc Cuong Gia Lai Joint Stock Company

Appendix

Financial statements

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139

BALANCE SHEET

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

A. CURRENT ASSETS

I. Cash and cash equivalents

II. Short-term financial investments

III. Short-term receivables

1. Customer receivables

IV. Inventory

B. NON-CURRENT ASSETS

TOTAL ASSETS

A. LIABILITIES

I. Short-term debt

1. Short-term debt and loan

2. Taxes and amounts payable to the state

II. Long-term debt

1. Long-term debt and loan

2. Long-term provisions

B. EQUITY

TOTAL SOURCES

REPORT ON BUSINESS RESULTS

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

Net revenue

Cost of goods sold

Gross profit

Financial income

Financial expenses

Interest expenses

Selling expenses

General and administrative expenses

Net profit from business activities

Gross accounting profit before tax

Current corporate income tax expense

Deferred corporate income tax expenses

Profit after tax

STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

I. Cash flow from business activities

Depreciation of fixed assets

Unrealized foreign exchange gain/loss

Net cash flows from operating activities

II. Cash flow from investment activities

Spending on procurement, construction of fixed assets and other

non-current assets

Net cash flows from investing activities

III. Cash flow from financial activities

Net cash flows from financing activities

Effect of exchange rate difference in foreign currency

Net cash flows during the year

Phat Dat Real Estate Development JSC

Appendix

Financial statements

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140

BALANCE SHEET

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

A. CURRENT ASSETS

I. Cash and cash equivalents

II. Short-term financial investments

III. Short-term receivables

1. Customer receivables

IV. Inventory

B. NON-CURRENT ASSETS

TOTAL ASSETS

A. LIABILITIES

I. Short-term debt

1. Short-term debt and loan

2. Taxes and amounts payable to the state

II. Long-term debt

1. Long-term debt and loan

2. Long-term provisions

B. EQUITY

TOTAL SOURCES

REPORT ON BUSINESS RESULTS

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

Net revenue

Cost of goods sold

Gross profit

Financial income

Financial expenses

Interest expenses

Selling expenses

General and administrative expenses

Net profit from business activities

Gross accounting profit before tax

Current corporate income tax expense

Deferred corporate income tax expenses

Profit after tax

STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

Unit: VND million 2015 2016

I. Cash flow from business activities

Depreciation of fixed assets

Unrealized foreign exchange gain/loss

Net cash flows from operating activities

II. Cash flow from investment activities

Spending on procurement, construction of fixed assets and other

non-current assets

Net cash flows from investing activities

III. Cash flow from financial activities

Net cash flows from financing activities

Effect of exchange rate difference in foreign currency

Net cash flows during the year

Binh Duong Construction and Development JSC

Appendix

Financial statements

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REPORT DISCLAIMER

REPORT DISCLAIMER

This document has been prepared in good faith on the basis of information available at the date of publication without any

independent verification. VIRAC has produced this report for private circulation to professional clients only. All information and

statistical data herein have been obtained from sources we believe to be reliable and made to ensure the accuracy of the contents of

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representation or warranty, whether express or implied, of any kind with respect to the document and its contents, information and

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