ValuEngine Weekly:McDonalds,Tesla,Energy Stocks,Overvaluation,and Suttmeier

8/12/2019 ValuEngine Weekly:McDonalds,Tesla,Energy Stocks,Overvaluation,and Suttmeier

1/12


2/12

SECTOR OVERVIEW

4ector C-an)e 5T6 >T6 Valuation Last $,25Return

=?;Ratio

Aeros"ace -.")%/ -%"%*/ -)"(*/ &"+%/ overvalued +)"*%/ %,"+

Auto2Tires2Trucks -."&%/ -%")*/ ."(/ *".%/ overvalued %"+,/ %("

@asic 5aterials -."&&/ -.",/ &",/ "*/ overvalued %)")*/ +&"+%

@usiness 4ervices -."./ -.")/ -.",+/ &"%*/ overvalued %"&+/ +"*+

Co!"uter and Tec-nolo)0 -."&+/ -."(/ %",./ %.".&/ overvalued %.",/ )%"(*

Construction -."*,/ .")/ -."(./ %",/ overvalued %+"*/ +"*&

Consu!er 6iscretionar0 -."&,/ -.",+/ -+")+/ ,"*/ overvalued %)"%./ +*"(

Consu!er 4ta"les -.")/ .",/ )"(+/ %%"&)/ overvalued %+"&)/ +"(+

Finance -."+/ -."))/ %"*%/ *"%+/ overvalued ,"&,/ %*"*)

Industrial =roducts -."),/ -."&./ -%"&(/ ")./ overvalued %%"(%/ ++"*%

5edical -%"../ -%"+)/ "*(/ &"(+/ overvalued +%"&*/ +*"(

5ulti24ector Con)lo!erates -."+./ -."*(/ +"%%/ %.",,/ overvalued %%",./ +."+

Oils2;ner)0 -.")./ -."(/ %%"+./ &"(/ overvalued %"()/ +,"&

Retail2W-olesale -."(/ -."%+/ -"%/ "/ overvalued ."./ +"),

Trans"ortation -."./ -%")./ )"+%/ (",+/ overvalued +)")*/ +."(+

Utilities -."))/ -%"&/ "%&/ ")%/ overvalued %%"%./ +%"))

ValuEngine Newsletters atest Results

V; Nesletter Current 5ont- Total 4


3/12

Se!t"r Tal#$Oils%Energ&Below, we present the latest data on leading Oils/Energy Sector stocks from our

Institutional software package (VEI. These results were filtered by market price andvolumeno results below !"/share or less than #$$k shares/day volume.

To"2Five Oils?;ner)0 4ector 4tocks224-ort2Ter! Forecast Returns

Ticker Na!e 5kt =rice Valuation'B Last $,25Retn'B

T4L T0I12 34520 5T6 %%"* -+&"* **"+*

C4I9 72126I21 34520 +"*) -+."%& *(",

=9 8ET049:E3T E1;< "( -+)"(+ +*".

U=L :5T02 8ET04 78 +)". -&",, "%%

AA4 2=02>23 8ETE?1V "(& -++"*, (("+

To"2Five Oils?;ner)0 4ector 4tocks22Lon)2Ter! Forecast Returns


T4L T0I12 34520 5T6 %%"* -+&"* **"+*C4I9 72126I21 34520 +"*) -+."%& *(",

=9 8ET049:E3T E1;< "( -+)"(+ +*".

U=L :5T02 8ET04 78 +)". -&",, "%%

AA4 2=02>23 8ETE?1V "(& -++"*, (("+

To"2Five Oils?;ner)0 4ector 4tocks22Co!"osite 4core


C4I9 72126I21 34520 +"*) -+."%& *(",

T4L T0I12 34520 5T6 %%"* -+&"* **"+*

;CA E17212 7408 +%") -+&", ++",

45 3@ E1E0;< 74 *(".* -%%", %")

U=L :5T02 8ET04 78 +)". -&",, "%%
http://www.valuengine.com/pub/main?i=0http://www.valuengine.com/pub/main?i=0http://www.valuengine.com/pub/main?i=0http://www.valuengine.com/pub/main?i=0http://www.valuengine.com/pub/main?i=0http://www.valuengine.com/pub/main?i=0http://www.valuengine.com/pub/main?i=0http://www.valuengine.com/pub/main?i=0


4/12

To"2Five Oils?;ner)0 4ector 4tocks225ost Overvalued


=OWR 84WE03E7:0E I1T %.",) ).. -)+"%(

56R @76E0@4TT I1T5 *"+& +%"+& *",,

LNG 7AE1IE0E E1E0;< *."* %)+" %("

F4LR BI03T 34520 I17 &,"%* ,%"() &,"

W5@ WI55I2@3 743 ")* &*", %"*

Find out what Wall Street Investment and Media Professionals already know,ValuEngine offers sophisticated stock valuation and forecast research as well as a

variety of portfolio screening and creation tools

If you are reading this youshould sign up for

ValuEngine!s award"winningstock valuation and forecast

service

#$ $%&I'()I$#, *+ (-F.EE ).I(&/

To 4i)n U" (or aFR;; TRIALD=lease Click

H;R;

'ree ("wnl"a) *"r Rea)ers(s a 0onus to our Free Weekly #ewsletter su0scri0ers, we are offering a F.EE

$W#&$( of one of our Stock .eports%c&onald's (orporation develops, operates, franchises and services a worldwidesystem of restaurants that prepare, assemble, package and sell a limited menu ofvaluepriced foods. The company operates primarily in the )uickservice hamburger

restaurant business. *ll restaurants are operated by the company or, under the termsof franchise arrangements, by franchisees who are independent third parties, or byaffiliates operating under +ointventure agreements between the company and local

business people.

aluEngine continues its -O& recommendation on %(&O*&S (O01 for 2$#3$4

$5. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel

that %(&O*&S (O01 has the probability to 0O67-8 %*T(- average marketperformance for the ne9t year. The company e9hibits *TT0*(T:E (ompany Si;e but

6*TT0*(T:E Book %arket 0atio.

(s a 0onus to our #ewsletter readers,we are offering a F.EE $W#&$( of one of our Stock .eports

.ead our 1omplete etailed Valuation .eport on Mconald!s H;R;.
http://www.valuengine.com/pub/VeSubscribeInfohttp://www.valuengine.com/pub/VeSubscribeInfohttp://www.valuengine.com/pub/VeSubscribeInfohttp://www.valuengine.com/pub/VeSubscribeInfohttp://www.valuengine.com/download/report/TMP_VE_MCD_20140808002220.pdfhttp://www.valuengine.com/pub/main?p=33http://www.valuengine.com/pub/VeSubscribeInfohttp://www.valuengine.com/pub/VeSubscribeInfohttp://www.valuengine.com/pub/VeSubscribeInfohttp://www.valuengine.com/download/report/TMP_VE_MCD_20140808002220.pdf


5/12

W+ats -"t

""$vervaluation rops )o &owest &evels Since May, 2+3*

aluEngine tracks more than 5$$$ 6S e)uities, *&0s, and foreign stock which

trade on 6S e9changes as well as ?@ for theoverall universe and/or 25@ for the overvalued by 2$@ or more categories, we issue a

valuation warning. =e issued our latest valuation warning on %ay 4th, 2$#!. *t thattime, the SA1 was at #>2?.

*s of yesterday's close, we now calculate that >#.?!@ of stocks are overvaluedand #.42@ of those stocks are overvalued by 2$@ or more. The recent market pullback combined with changes in earnings and stock prices have resulted in figures

that are now the lowest recorded since Our aluation =arning began.

=ith these sorts of numbers, we no longer have a Caluation =arning.C =e now

operate under a Caluation =atch.C :f the figures continue the decline, we willremove find ourselves back in CnormalC range from a valuation perspective. This doesnot mean we have a CbuyC signal yet, +ust that valuations have declined into a more

CnormalC range. =e remain bullish overall for e)uities and the 6S economy. Overallnews has been good, and we believe that the long 7reat 0ecession is finally behindus. =e have seen a remarkable rally for e)uities since the early days of the Obama*dministration. Think about that S1?$$ interday low of >>> on %arch , 2$$D The

market has tripledD

But, once again economic events are eclipsed by foreign issues as the

destabili;ation of the %iddle East fostered in large part by the disastrous 6S invasionof :ra) continues to provide new challenges with few easy or even apparentFsolutions. Events in the 6kraine also provide a problematic scenario for investors.


6/12

6nderneath this global unrest we still find strong fundamentals, but every good

rally comes to an end and investors remain skittish. =e remain convinced that the 6Seconomy will get stronger, not weaker, but along with that conviction comes theuncertainty of how markets will react to Ged tapering.

:n any case, we now have a aluation =atch.

4u/scri/ers Get FULL ACC;44to our 5arket and 4ector Overvies

The chart below tracks the valuation metrics from Hanuary 2$#3.
http://www.valuengine.com/pub/VeSubscribeInfohttp://www.valuengine.com/ve/MarketViewhttp://www.valuengine.com/ve/ResearchSectorhttp://www.valuengine.com/images/newsletter/weekly/140807shorttermval.pnghttp://www.valuengine.com/pub/VeSubscribeInfohttp://www.valuengine.com/ve/MarketViewhttp://www.valuengine.com/ve/ResearchSector


7/12

This chart shows overall universe over valuation in e9cess of >$@ vs the SA1 ?$$ fromHanuary 2$#!

This chart shows overall universe under and over valuation in e9cess of ?$@ vs the SA1?$$ from %arch 2$$5I

IOTEJ Time Scale (ompressed 1rior to 2$##.
http://www.valuengine.com/images/newsletter/weekly/140807lngtermval.pnghttp://www.valuengine.com/images/newsletter/weekly/140807medtermval.png


8/12

:n addition to the overall valuation metrics, we see that on a sector basis thedeclines in overvaluation have also relived some pressure. =hile * sectors remainovervalued according to our aluation %odel, only three of thembarely remain

calculated to be overvalued by double digits.

""1anadian Stock 1overage (dded

*t aluEngine, we constantly evaluate the state of the market and provide oursubscribers with ob+ective, reliable, and actionable information. *nd now, we arevery pleased to announce that we have +ust increased our stock coverage for

website subscribers by including our entire (**&:* STO(K 6:E0SE as part of ourawardwinning stock valuation and forecast service. That's right, E now providescoverage of


9/12

Sutt.eier Sa&s

""1ommentary and (nalysis from 1hief Market Strategist.ichard Suttmeier

If you have any co!!ents or "uestions, sen# the! to

Rsutt!eier$%!ail&co!

'reasury iel#s

#$8ear2.32>F &aily, weekly, monthly, )uarterly value levels are 2.34$, 2.34$, 2.?3?and !.$34 with annual and semiannual risky levels at 2.2>!, #. and #.55.

!$8ear Bond L !.2!?F &aily and )uarterly value levels are !.245 and !.5# withannual and weekly pivots at !.24! and !.2?>, and monthly, annual and semiannual

risky levels at !.#54, !.#$5 and !.$42.

Co!!o#ities an# )ore*

(ome9 7old L"#!#!.>F &aily and )uarterly value levels are "#22.5 and "#2!3.> with

a monthly pivot at "#!$3.! and weekly, semiannual and annual risky levels at "#!>3.$,"#>#!.$, "#5!4.5, "#535.3 and "#4#4.4.

yme9 (rude Oil L "5.?3F * daily value level is "3.42 with weekly, semiannual,

annual, monthly and )uarterly risky levels at "#$2.?2,"#$>.34, "#$5.?2 and "#$5.5$.

The Euro L #.!!>#F %y semiannual value level is #.22$! with daily and annual pivots at

#.!!35 and #.!!42 and weekly, monthly and )uarterly risky levels at #.!322, #.!5$! and#.3$5.

+aor In#ices

&aily &ow #>!>4F Semiannual, daily and annual value levels are #>!#$,#>#!?, #34!? and #!3>5 with weekly and monthly risky levels at #>352, #>552and #>45#, the Huly #5 alltime intraday high at #5#?#.?>, and )uarterly and

semiannual risky levels at #55?! and #4??2.
http://www.valuengine.com/nl/mainnl?nl=C


10/12

SA1 ?$$ L #$.>F &aily, semiannual and annual value levels are #44>.?,

#54.!, #?!.# and #332.# with weekly and monthly risky levels at #>>.# and#5$.2, the Huly 23 alltime intraday high at ##.!, and )uarterly andsemiannual risky levels at 2$?2.! and 2$4$.!.

*S&*M L 3!!?F &aily, semiannual and annual value levels are 3!$4, !52,!35# and !$>! with weekly and monthly risky levels at 335# and 33?$, the

Huly ! multiyear intraday high at 334?.! and )uarterly and semiannual riskylevels at 3?> and 3>32.

*S&*M #$$ &NF L !4?4F &aily, semiannual and annual value levels are

!42, !?#?, !$54 and 2>> with a )uarterly pivot at !43, weekly andmonthly risky levels at !>3 and !2?, the Huly 23 multiyear intraday high at

!5.?$, and semiannual risky level at 3#$?.

&ow Transports L 52F &aily, semiannual and annual value levels are 544$,

532!, >23 and ?!? with weekly, monthly, )uarterly and semiannual riskylevels at 423#, 422, 42?> and 4335 and the Huly 2! alltime intraday high at4?#?.$3.

0ussell 2$$$ L ###.5?F &aily and annual value levels are ###2.>!, >>.52and 45.! with a semiannual pivot at ##!.4#, weekly and monthly risky

levels at ##?!.>2 and ##?>.$#, the Huly # alltime intraday high at #2#!.??,and semiannual and )uarterly risky levels at #24?.!5 and #2!.##.

The SON L ?.!4F Semiannual and annual value levels are >$$.4, ?#2.3,!5#.?4 and !!5.53 with daily, semiannual and )uarterly pivots at >$$.4,>$4.$2 and >2>.>, a weekly risky level at >3#.#, the Huly #> multiyear

intraday high >?2.24 and monthly risky level at >?3.?$.

&ow 6tilitiesJ ?!$.54F Semiannual, daily and annual value levels are

?2!.52,?#!.2$ and 35.?!, with )uarterly and annual pivots at ?!>.33 and

?34.5$, weekly and monthly risky levels at ??.#5 and ?5.5!, the Hune !$ alltime intraday high at ?5>.4 and semiannual risky level at >#2.3.


11/12

-tock of the .ay

One of the more popular features of 0ichard Suttmeier's %orning Briefing forinvestors is his stock of the day. :n every issue, Suttmeier highlights one stock and

provides E data as well as his own proprietary technical data.

-ere is today's stock of the day from 0ichard Suttmeier's %orning Briefing ewsletterJ

Tesla %otors TS*F L "2?2.!F Tesla %otors, :nc. designs, manufactures, and sells

electric vehicles and electric vehicle powertrain components. The (ompany ishead)uartered in 1alo *lto, (alifornia.

*nalysis L Tesla has a Sell rating according to aluEngine and is 2?.!@overvalued with fair value at "#4.>3 and oneyear price target at "225.42. The

daily chart shows oversold stochastics with the stock above its 2#day, ?$dayand 2$$day simple moving averages at "22>.>?, "22!.$5 and "#!.!?. =eeklyand )uarterly value levels are "232.>$ and "225.>? with a monthly risky level at"24!.5>.

Courtes0 5eta4tock?enit-


12/12

0ichard Suttmeier has been a professional in the 6S (apital %arkets since #52transferring his engineering skills to the trading and investment world. -e earned a

Bachelor of :ndustrial Engineering degree from 7eorgia :nstitute of Technology in#>>, and a %aster of Science, Operations 0esearch, Systems *nalysis degree fromBrooklyn 1olytechnic 6niversity in #5$. Over the years 0ichard appeared many timesin the financial media, on networks such as (B(, (, (fn, ew 8ork #,

Bloomberg T and radio, Go9 Business, Business ews etwork in (anada, =all Street=eek with Gortune, 8ahoo Ginance Breakout, and the Bill %a;er 0adio Show. 0ichardhas been fre)uently )uoted in 6S* Today, The 8 Times, =all Street Hournal, 0euters,

and The &ow Hones ewswires.

Wit- Ric-ard 4utt!eierEs5ornin) @rie(in)D 0ou )et

dail0 anal0sis o( U4Treasur0 >ieldsD GoldDCrude OilD and Currenc0;3c-an)e Rates226ollarD

>enD =oundD and ;uro22asell as ke0 tec-nical

indicators (or t-e !aoreuit0 avera)es.

Click H;R; to 4i)nU" (or C-ie( 5arket4trate)ist Ric-ard

4utt!eierEs5ornin) @rie(in)
http://www.valuengine.com/nl/mainnl?nl=Dhttp://www.valuengine.com/nl/mainnl?nl=Dhttp://www.valuengine.com/nl/mainnl?nl=Dhttp://www.valuengine.com/nl/mainnl?nl=Dhttp://www.valuengine.com/nl/mainnl?nl=Dhttp://www.valuengine.com/download/newsletter/120601MorningBriefing_1920123105960.pdfhttp://www.valuengine.com/nl/mainnl?nl=Dhttp://www.valuengine.com/nl/mainnl?nl=Dhttp://www.valuengine.com/nl/mainnl?nl=D

ValuEngine Weekly:McDonalds,Tesla,Energy Stocks,Overvaluation,and Suttmeier

Documents

Transcript of ValuEngine Weekly:McDonalds,Tesla,Energy Stocks,Overvaluation,and Suttmeier