ValuEngine Weekly:CGI GRoup,Dollar General,Cons Staples Stocks,and Suttmeier

8/12/2019 ValuEngine Weekly:CGI GRoup,Dollar General,Cons Staples Stocks,and Suttmeier

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May 30, 2014

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VALUATION WARNING: Our models find that overvaluation is at levelstypically seen hen mar!et pull"ac!s occur# Overvalued stoc!s no ma!eup $%#&'( of our stoc!s assi)ned a valuation and %*#$$( of those e+uitiesare calculated to "e overvalued "y ,*( or more# ALL sectors arecalculated to "e overvalued--fourteen "y dou"le di)its#

MARKET OVERVIEW

Inde. /tarted ee! 0nded ee! % day chan)e % day chan)e ( ytd

12IA %&&(")* %&&+,"() 34#%, *#&&( *#5%(

NA/1A6 )*&")) )*)("+ '4#&4 *#33( 4#&7(

RU//0LL ,*** %%.*"). %%)"( $#5' *#5$( -,#4'(

/89 &** %+*"% %+*". 47#*, *#3&( %#77(

/ummary of V0 /toc! Universe

/toc!s Undervalued ,5#'5(

/toc!s Overvalued $%#&'(

/toc!s Undervalued "y ,*( 7#*$(

/toc!s Overvalued "y ,*( %*#$$(
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SECTOR OVERVIEW

/ector han)e ;T1 asic ;aterials ")/ -*",/ %".%/ *"../ overvalued -%")/ *&",+

>usiness /ervices -".)/ -%"&%/ -%",*/ %"%/ overvalued **"&(/ *"

omputer and Technolo)y "*+/ %"&+/ %"+/ %.".&/ overvalued *"),/ ."&&

onstruction "%%/ "%,/ "/ "&%/ overvalued %(")/ *."(

onsumer 1iscretionary "%%/ -"&/ -.")%/ %%"&/ overvalued %+"+/ *,"&+

onsumer /taples ",/ *".*/ ."%)/ %+"/ overvalued %(")+/ *.".*

?inance "%%/ %"./ %"((/ %"+/ overvalued ,")%/ %("+*

Industrial 9roducts ")%/ -"+/ -"&*/ %%".)/ overvalued *%"+(/ *."%%

;edical "&/ *",&/ &"../ %.".&/ overvalued .%"+/ *+")

;ulti-/ector on)lomerates "%*/ %"*%/ *"./ %"*+/ overvalued %"&&/ %+"*&

Oils-0ner)y "&/ -"*/ ("&*/ %"*/ overvalued *"*./ *+"&

Retail-Wholesale "%(/ -"*./ -)"*+/ %."./ overvalued %%".%/ *)"&

Transportation ".%/ *"%/ )"+/ *",,/ overvalued *&"*&/ *)".)

Utilities "%+/ *"*/ )"%,/ %"&/ overvalued %)"*./ *"&%

ValuEngine Newslettes !atest Results

V0 Nesletter urrent;onth Total

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?orecast ;N/ *#'& 4#%4 -%#37 ,#,7 3*#'' 4*5#%&

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Se"t# Tal$%C#nsu&e Sta'les

Below, we present the latest data on leading Consumer Staples Sector stocksfrom our Institutional software package (VEI. These results were filtered by marketprice and volume--no results below 3!share or less than "##k shares!day volume.

Top-?ive onsumer /taples /ector /toc!s--/hort-Term ?orecast Returns

Tic!er Name ;!t 9rice Valuation@( Last 4,-;Retn@(

NU/ 01 23I0 E0TE45 ()"%+ -%*", *&"&+

2RN 6714089 :7;;-8 ,"*+ -*"%) *%"*

AG :7082 .*"%( ". -&").

TU9 T155E4W84E ?40> ,)"* )".& ."),

/W; 2:@WEITAE4-;81> )*"% )"&+ -%%").

Top-?ive onsumer /taples /ector /toc!s--Lon)-Term ?orecast Returns


NU/ 01 23I0 E0TE45 ()"%+ -%*", *&"&+

2RN 6714089 :7;;-8 ,"*+ -*"%) *%"*

AG :7082 .*"%( ". -&").

TU9 T155E4W84E ?40> ,)"* )".& ."),

/W; 2:@WEITAE4-;81> )*"% )"&+ -%%").

Top-?ive onsumer /taples /ector /toc!s--omposite /core


NU/ 01 23I0 E0TE45 ()"%+ -%*", *&"&+

2RN 6714089 :7;;-8 ,"*+ -*"%) *%"*

19/ >4 5E55E4 20859 (", %"*+ *%",+

AG :7082 .*"%( ". -&").

0 :7:8-:798 E0T45 )"+( %%")) *%"((
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Top-?ive onsumer /taples /ector /toc!s--;ost Overvalued


;NI ;::98T:@B :7-8 ". +)".& +("*

/TBL 21075T8 I0: %."% ,. ,"%.

R10N E9IA8?ET@ 84>E0 *&"*+ (,"*, -))"%+

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5/9

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6/9

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Sutt&eie Says""1ommentary and (nalysis from 1hief Market Strategist.ichard Suttmeier

If you have any co11ents or ;uestions, sen0 the1 to

Rsutt1eier


7/9

3#-ear Bond H &3.32' 1 monthly value level is 3.4AG with daily, weekly and ;uarterlypivots at 3.35", 3.3 and 3.3#4, and annual and semiannual risky levels at 3."", 3."#@and 2.G2.

Co11o0ities an0 -ore$

Come8 $old H&"24.A' Iuarterly and monthly value levels are "2"4.@ and ""@#.

with a daily pivot at "2G2.5 and weekly, semiannual and annual risky levels at"3#3.A, "@"#.G, "@@., "A"A.A and "A4@.".

/yme8 Crude il H &"#3.4' 7onthly and ;uarterly value levels are 5#.35 and A5.#with a weekly pivot at "#2.54 and daily, semiannual and annual risky levels at"#.@3, "#.5@ and "#@.42.

The *uro H &".3G#' 1nnual, ;uarterly and semiannual value levels are ".33A2, ".3"A4and ".2G2 with a daily pivot at ".345A, and weekly, monthly and annual risky levels at

".3@4A, "."@" and ".44"2.

>a?or In0ices

?aily ?owJ &"GG55' >eekly, ;uarterly, semiannual and annual value levels are "G4GA,"GG2, "G24, "A34 and "3G@ with a daily pivot at "GGA", the 7ay "3 all-timeintraday high at "[email protected]" and semiannual and monthly risky levels at "GAG# and

"@#@.

SK0 4## H &"52#.#' >eekly, ;uarterly, semiannual and annual value levels are "AAG.3,"A43.4, "@[email protected], "@G., "435." and "2." with the 7ay 25 all-time intraday high at

"52#.#3 and daily and monthly risky levels at "522.3 and 2##G.@.

/1S?1I H &2A' >eekly, ;uarterly, semiannual and annual value levels are #4@,

#35, 353#, 352#, 3@" and 3#G3 with a daily pivot at 2@@, the 7arch G multiyearintraday high at 3@".@" and monthly risky level at 4A".

/1S?1I "## &/?L' H &3@3G' >eekly, semiannual, ;uarterly and annual value levelsare 34@", 34G, 32, 3#@A and 2GG5 with the 7arch G multiyear intraday high [email protected], and daily and monthly risky levels at 3@G4 and 35G#.

?ow Transports H &A""#' Iuarterly, semiannual, and annual value levels are @#@,@3@G, @24, G25 and 4534 with a weekly pivot at @5G5, the 7ay 25 all-time intraday

high at A""#.G and daily and monthly risky levels at A"25 and A3G".


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ussell 2### H &""#.#@' >eekly and annual value levels are "#5G.3, 5GG.@2 and [email protected] semiannual and daily pivots at ""33.25, ""3#.25 and "".AA, a ;uarterly risky

level at ""G5.22, the 7arch all-time intraday high at "2"2.A2 and monthly risky levelat "2G".3A.

The SL H &45A.5G' >eekly, semiannual, ;uarterly and annual value levels are 4@@.42,

4A.3G, 4#@."5, 5#.42, 3@".4A and 33@.@ with the 1pril 3 multiyear intraday high atG#".# and daily and monthly risky levels at G#3.A" and G24.G".

?ow +tilitiesJ &4#.A' ?aily, ;uarterly, semiannual and annual value levels are 433.4,42A."#, 42.3@, 4#.@ and [email protected], with annual, monthly and weekly risky levels at4A.@#, 45.@3 and 44#.AA and the 1pril 3# all-time intraday high at 44A.25.

5tock of the @ay

?ollar $eneral &?$' H &43.4#' ?ollar $eneral Corporation is a discount retailer in the+nited States. The Company separates its merchandise into four categories, whichincludes highly consumable, seasonal, home products and basic clothing. Mighly

consumable consists of packaged food, candy, snacks and refrigerated products,health and beauty aids, home cleaning supplies and pet suppliesN seasonal consistsof seasonal and holiday-related items, toys, stationery and hardwareN home products

consists of house wares and domestics, and basic clothing consists of casualeveryday apparel. ?ollar $eneral is among the largest retailers of top-;uality

products made by 1merica(s most trusted manufacturers such as 0rocter K $amble,Oimberly-Clark, +nilever, Oellogg(s, $eneral 7ills, /abisco, 6ruit of the :oom, 0epsiCoand Coca-Cola.


9/9

1nalysis H ?ollar $eneral has a Buy rating according to )alu*ngine and is .4Pundervalued with fair value at 4@." and a one-year price target is 45.". The daily

chart shows declining stochastics with the stock below its 2"-day, 4#-day and 2##-day

simple moving averages at 44.55, 44.5G and [email protected]". 1n annual value level is 4.G@with semiannual and ;uarterly risky levels at 45."@ and G#."5.

ichard Suttmeier has been a professional in the +S Capital 7arkets since "5@2transferring his engineering skills to the trading and investment world. Me earned a

Bachelor of %ndustrial *ngineering degree from $eorgia %nstitute of Technology in"5GG, and a 7aster of Science, perations esearch, Systems 1nalysis degree from

Brooklyn 0olytechnic +niversity in "5@#. ver the years ichard appeared many timesin the financial media, on networks such as C/BC, C//, C//fn, /ew ork ",Bloomberg T) and radio, 6o8 Business, Business /ews /etwork in Canada, >all Street>eek with 6ortune, ahoo 6inance Breakout, and the Bill 7a9er adio Show. ichard

has been fre;uently ;uoted in +S1 Today, The / Times, >all Street

ValuEngine Weekly:CGI GRoup,Dollar General,Cons Staples Stocks,and Suttmeier

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