ValuEngine Weekly:Intel,Minerals Tech,Computers and Technology Stocks,VE View,and Suttmeier

10
July 11, 2014 If you no longer wish to receive this free newsletter, CLICK HERE to unsubscribe The ValuEngine Weekly is an Investor Education newsletter focused on the quantitative approach to investing and the tools available from In today's fast-moving and globalized financial markets, it is easy to get overloaded with information. The winners will adopt an objective, scientific, independent and unemotional approach to investing. If you are not yet a member of ValuEngine's stock analysis service, sign up now for a two-week free trial at www.valuengine.com ! VALUATION WARNING: Our models find that overvaluation is at levels typically seen when market pullbacks occur. Overvalued stocks now make up 71.73% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 30% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. ALL sectors are calculated to be overvalued--fourteen by double digits. MARKET OVERVIEW Index Started week Friday AM Change Change % ytd DJIA 17063.83 16878.3 -185.53 -1.09% 1.82% NASDAQ 4477.74 4398.38 -79.36 -1.77% 5.31% RUSSELL 2000 1204.64 1158.18 -46.46 -3.86% -0.47% S&P 500 1984.22 1961.48 -22.74 -1.15% 6.12% Summary of VE Stock Universe Stocks Undervalued 28.27% Stocks Overvalued 71.73% Stocks Undervalued by 20% 8.06% Stocks Overvalued by 20% 30.01%

description

This week, we provide top-five ranked VE data for our Computers and Technology Stocks. We get the latest on technical levels for Intel,Treasuries,Gold,Oil,the euro,and major indices from our Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier. We check out the latest stunning results from the VE View Newsletter. We also provide a link to download a free copy of our report on Minerals Tech. Our Valuation Warning continues.

Transcript of ValuEngine Weekly:Intel,Minerals Tech,Computers and Technology Stocks,VE View,and Suttmeier

Page 1: ValuEngine Weekly:Intel,Minerals Tech,Computers and Technology Stocks,VE View,and Suttmeier

July 11, 2014

If you no longer wish to receive this free newsletter, CLICK HERE to unsubscribe

The ValuEngine Weekly is an Investor Education newsletter focused on the quantitative approach toinvesting and the tools available from In today's fast-moving and globalized financial markets, it is easy to

get overloaded with information. The winners will adopt an objective, scientific, independent andunemotional approach to investing. If you are not yet a member of ValuEngine's stock analysis service,

sign up now for a two-week free trial at www.valuengine.com!

VALUATION WARNING: Our models find that overvaluation is at levels typically seen when market pullbacks occur. Overvalued stocks now makeup 71.73% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 30% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. ALL sectors are calculated to be overvalued--fourteen by double digits.

MARKET OVERVIEW

Index Started week Friday AM Change Change % ytd

DJIA 17063.83 16878.3 -185.53 -1.09% 1.82%

NASDAQ 4477.74 4398.38 -79.36 -1.77% 5.31%

RUSSELL 2000 1204.64 1158.18 -46.46 -3.86% -0.47%

S&P 500 1984.22 1961.48 -22.74 -1.15% 6.12%

Summary of VE Stock UniverseStocks Undervalued 28.27%

Stocks Overvalued 71.73%

Stocks Undervalued by 20% 8.06%

Stocks Overvalued by 20% 30.01%

Page 2: ValuEngine Weekly:Intel,Minerals Tech,Computers and Technology Stocks,VE View,and Suttmeier

SECTOR OVERVIEW

Sector Change MTD YTD Valuation Last 12-MReturn

P/ERatio

Aerospace -0.44% -2.15% 0.22% 12.07% overvalued 30.62% 19.47

Auto-Tires-Trucks -0.89% -1.26% 5.28% 18.10% overvalued 24.17% 16.97

Basic Materials -1.30% -0.36% 6.26% 8.90% overvalued 19.93% 29.11

Business Services -1.43% -1.95% -1.49% 9.97% overvalued 25.16% 26.85

Computer and Technology -0.65% -1.30% 4.64% 14.48% overvalued 21.10% 32.18

Construction -0.99% -1.45% 1.50% 4.64% overvalued 21.96% 24.68

Consumer Discretionary -0.77% -1.33% -2.25% 10.84% overvalued 19.46% 28.11

Consumer Staples -0.76% -0.37% 5.56% 18.44% overvalued 20.16% 26.37

Finance -0.44% -0.56% 3.20% 11.71% overvalued 12.98% 18.32

Industrial Products -0.79% -1.49% 1.55% 11.14% overvalued 19.73% 23.48

Medical -0.44% -1.86% 8.44% 13.63% overvalued 31.58% 29.31

Multi-Sector Conglomerates -0.65% -0.50% 4.23% 17.91% overvalued 17.74% 21.16

Oils-Energy -1.16% -2.21% 10.23% 16.14% overvalued 27.46% 28.05

Retail-Wholesale -1.27% -1.54% -3.86% 13.34% overvalued 8.39% 25.44

Transportation -1.05% -1.07% 5.18% 22.58% overvalued 31.41% 24.4

Utilities -0.47% -1.23% 7.86% 11.26% overvalued 19.28% 21.03

ValuEngine Newsletters Latest Results

VE Newsletter Current Month Total S&P 500 Last Month Total S&P 500 SinceInception

S&P500

Forecast MNS 4.23 1.81 -3.98 2.80 86.33 112.12

Dividend Stock -0.48 0.52 5.18 3.71 21.75 26.43

Small Cap Stock -1.85 0.68 4.23 3.78 31.83 41.29

View 2.27 1.59 9.23 3.69 119.65 71.48

Page 3: ValuEngine Weekly:Intel,Minerals Tech,Computers and Technology Stocks,VE View,and Suttmeier

Sector Talk—Computers and TechnologyBelow, we present the latest data on leading Computers and Technology

Sector stocks from our Institutional software package (VEI). These results were filtered by market price and volume--no results below 3$/share or less than 100k shares/day volume.

Top-Five Computers and Technology Sector Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker Name Mkt Price Valuation(%) Last 12-MRetn(%)

CBI CHICAGO BRIDGE 69.2 -11.42 15.03

ICA EMPRESAS ICA 7.85 -3.43 5.23

RYL RYLAND GRP INC 39.51 -9.01 -3.07

MTH MERITAGE HOMES 42.68 -8.71 -3.09

MLM MARTIN MRT-MATL 127.06 -18.65 29.68

Top-Five Computers and Technology Sector Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker Name Mkt Price Valuation(%) Last 12-MRetn(%)

CBI CHICAGO BRIDGE 69.2 -11.42 15.03

ICA EMPRESAS ICA 7.85 -3.43 5.23

RYL RYLAND GRP INC 39.51 -9.01 -3.07

MTH MERITAGE HOMES 42.68 -8.71 -3.09

MLM MARTIN MRT-MATL 127.06 -18.65 29.68

Top-Five Computers and Technology Sector Stocks--Composite Score

Ticker Name Mkt Price Valuation(%) Last 12-MRetn(%)

CBI CHICAGO BRIDGE 69.2 -11.42 15.03

DHI D R HORTON INC 24.67 2.67 18.26

FLR FLUOR CORP-NEW 77.91 3.94 33.64

LEN LENNAR CORP -A 41.93 0.69 19.83

MLM MARTIN MRT-MATL 127.06 -18.65 29.68

Page 4: ValuEngine Weekly:Intel,Minerals Tech,Computers and Technology Stocks,VE View,and Suttmeier

Top-Five Computers and Technology Sector Stocks--Most Overvalued

Ticker Name Mkt Price Valuation(%) Last 12-MRetn(%)

TPC TUTOR PERINI CP 31.63 45.24 73.51

BZH BEAZER HOMES 20.63 41.66 16.88

FWLT FOSTER WHELR AG 34.55 38.99 62.21

OESX ORION ENERGY SY 4.35 37.83 78.28

URI UTD RENTALS INC 107.5 30.91 115.04

Find out what Wall Street Investment and Media Professionals already know,ValuEngine offers sophisticated stock valuation and forecast research as well as a

variety of portfolio screening and creation tools.

If you are reading this youshould sign up for

ValuEngine's award-winningstock valuation and forecast

service

NO OBLIGATION, 30 DAYFREE TRIAL!

To Sign Up for aFREE TRIAL,Please Click

HERE

Free Download for ReadersAs a bonus to our Free Weekly Newsletter subscribers, we are offering a FREE

DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports.

Minerals Technologies Inc. is a resource and technology-based company that develops, produces and markets on a worldwide basis a broad range of specialty mineral, mineral-based and synthetic mineral products. The Company has two operating segments: Specialty Minerals and Refractories.

ValuEngine updated its recommendation from BUY to STRONG BUY for MINERAL TECH on 2014-07-10. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that MINERAL TECH has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Sharpe Ratio and Momentum.

As a bonus to our Newsletter readers, we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports

Read our Complete Detailed Valuation Report on Mineral Tech HERE.

Page 5: ValuEngine Weekly:Intel,Minerals Tech,Computers and Technology Stocks,VE View,and Suttmeier

What's Hot--ValuEngine View Posts Huge Gain, Almost Triples SP 500 for Month

The jury is still out on the “Sell in May and Go Away” maxim this Summer, but thewarmer weather certainly hasn't cooled off the ValuEngine View's performance. For May/June, the ValuEngine View returned to its winning ways with a great month, We saw winners almost across the board with a hit ratio of 80%. Strong market gains were met with even stronger results from our picks. Our portfolio posted a big gain in excessof 9% and more than doubled the S&P 500. The trailing 12 month gain of the VE View is 33.44% versus the S&P 500 return of 17.57%. We are almost doubling the S&P over the past year. The return since inception of the View is 119.65% versus the S&P's gain of 71.48%. It remains our best performing newsletter under current market conditions.

Return Comparison vs. S&P 500

Last 12 Months

VE View 33.44%

S&P 500 17.57%

We had twelve winners this month—with five one of them posting double-digit gains. Lannett posted a big gain of almost 29% and was followed by Canadian Solar, Micron Tech, Synnex, and Brocade. Losses were minor from Amtrust, Gielad, and Gentex—none of which topped 4%.

With the ValuEngine View Newsletter you Receive 20 Carefully Selected Stock Pickswhich Represent the Most Up-to-Date Calculations of our Award-Winning Stock

Valuation and Forecast Models

Here are the latest results from May/June 2014:

Symbol Company NameEntryPrice

5/21/14Exit Price Change %Change

AFSIAMTRUST FINANCIAL

SERVICES44.23 42.49 -1.74 -3.93

BMA BANCO MACRO-ADR 30.01 31.79 1.78 5.93

BRCDBROCADE COMMUNICATION

SYSTEMS8.47 9.4 0.93 10.98

CSIQ CANADIAN SOLAR 22.41 27.98 5.57 24.85

GILD GILEAD SCIENCES 81.14 79.79 -1.35 -1.66

GNTX GENTEX CORP 28.89 28.65 -0.24 -0.83

HII HUNTINGTON INGALLS 95.03 98.81 3.78 3.98

Page 6: ValuEngine Weekly:Intel,Minerals Tech,Computers and Technology Stocks,VE View,and Suttmeier

Symbol Company Name EntryPrice

5/21/14

Exit Price Change %Change

KS KAPSTONE PAPER 28.09 30.73 2.64 9.40

LCI LANNETT INC 36.71 47.2 10.49 28.58

LYB LYONDELL BASEL-A 97 98.78 1.78 1.84

MEOH METHANEX CORP 57.35 60.95 3.6 6.28

MU MICRON TECH 26.55 32.25 5.7 21.47

SNX SYNNEX CORP 61.43 71.41 9.98 16.25

SPR SPIRIT AEROSYSTEMS 31.59 33.61 2.02 6.39

UPL ULTRA PETROLEUM CP 26.81 29.19 2.38 8.88

VE VIEW PORTFOLIO 9.23GSPC S&P500 1872.83 1936.16 63.33 3.38

Click HERE for a FREE SAMPLE ISSUE

The ValuEngine View Newsletter is derived from the ValuEngine Aggressive and Diversified Growth Benchmark Portfolio Strategies. These strategies are the product of ValuEngine's academicresearch team and combinecutting-edge financialanalysis and portfolioconstruction techniques withreal-world Wall St. know how.

CLICK HERE to Subscribe tothe ValuEngine View

The ValuEngine View Newsletter portfolio has 15 primary stock picks and five alternates and is re-balanced once each month. The ValuEngine View Newsletter is published near the middle of each calendar month. An equal amount of capital is allocated to each stock. The monthly returns are calculated from the closing prices on date of publication. The performance calculation does not include any transaction costs.

Page 7: ValuEngine Weekly:Intel,Minerals Tech,Computers and Technology Stocks,VE View,and Suttmeier

Suttmeier Says--Commentary and Analysis from Chief Market StrategistRichard Suttmeier

If you have any comments or questions, send them [email protected]

Treasury Yields

10-Year--(2.541) Daily, monthly and quarterly value levels are 2.621, 2.787 and 3.048 with weekly, annual and semiannual risky levels at 2.528, 2.263, 1.999 and 1.779.

30-Year Bond – (3.374) Daily, monthly and quarterly value levels are 3.447, 3.486 and 3.971 with weekly, annual and semiannual risky levels at 3.355, 3.283, 3.107 and 3.082.

Commodities and Forex

Comex Gold –($1336.6) Weekly, quarterly and monthly value levels are $1298.0, $1234.6 and $1233.8 with a daily pivot at $1337.1, and semiannual and annual risky levels at $1613.0, $1738.7, $1747.4 and $1818.8.

Nymex Crude Oil – ($102.87) Daily and monthly pivots are $101.72 and $105.23 with semiannual, annual, weekly and quarterly risky levels at $106.48, $107.52, $108.56 and $113.12.

The Euro – (1.3608) Weekly, annual and semiannual value levels are 1.3486, 1.3382 and 1.2203 with a daily pivot at 1.3619 and monthly, quarterly, semiannual and annual risky levels at 1.3819, 1.4079, 1.4617 and 1.5512.

Page 8: ValuEngine Weekly:Intel,Minerals Tech,Computers and Technology Stocks,VE View,and Suttmeier

Major Indices

Daily Dow: (16915) Semiannual and annual value levels are 16301, 14835 and 13467 with daily and weekly pivots at 17054 and 17072, the July 3 all-time intraday high at 17074.65 and monthly, quarterly and semiannual risky levels at 17364, 17753 and 18552.

S&P 500 – (1964.7) Semiannual and annual value levels are 1789.3, 1539.1 and 1442.1 with the July 3 all-time intraday high at 1985.29 and daily, monthly, weekly, quarterly and semiannual risky levels at 1980.6, 1994.2, 2006.5, 2052.3 and 2080.3.

NASDAQ – (4396) Semiannual and annual value levels are 3972, 3471 and 3063 with the July 3 multiyear intraday high at 4485.93 and daily, monthly, quarterly, weekly and semiannual risky levels at 4461, 4529, 4569, 4570 and 4642.

NASDAQ 100 (NDX) – (3880) Semiannual and annual value levels are 3515, 3078 and 2669 with a quarterly pivot 3894, the July 3 multiyear intraday high at 3923.15, and daily, monthly, weekly and semiannual risky levels at 3932, 3936, 4014 and 4105.

Dow Transports – (8226) Semiannual and annual value levels are 7423, 6249 and 5935 with a quarterly pivot at 8256, the July 3 all-time intraday high at 8298.17 and daily, monthly, semiannual and weekly risky levels at 8291, 8365, 8447 and 8538.

Russell 2000 – (1161.86) Semiannual and annual value levels are 1139.81, 966.72 and 879.39 with the July 1 all-time intraday high at 1213.55, and daily monthly, weekly, semiannual and quarterly risky levels at 1180.06, 1215.89, 1222.94, 1285.37 and 1293.11.

The SOX – (643.47) Quarterly, semiannual and annual value levels are 626.96, 608.02, 512.94, 371.58 and 337.74 with a monthly pivot at 642.34, the July 3 multiyear intraday high 651.42 and daily and weekly risky levels at 659.44 and 663.15.

Dow Utilities: (562.42) Daily, annual, quarterly, semiannual and annual value levels are 552.95, 548.70, 536.44, 523.72 and 497.53, with weekly and monthly pivots at 561.34 and 563.54, the June 30 all-time intraday high at 576.98 and semiannual risky level at 612.49.

Page 9: ValuEngine Weekly:Intel,Minerals Tech,Computers and Technology Stocks,VE View,and Suttmeier

Stock of the Day

Intel Corp (INTC) – ($31.26) Intel Corporation is one of the world's largest semiconductor chip maker. The Company develops advanced integrated digital technology products, primarily integrated circuits, for industries such as computing and communications. It also develops platforms, which it defines as integrated suites of digital computing technologies that are designed and configured to work together to provide an optimized user computing solution compared to components that are used separately. Intel designs and manufactures computing and communications components, such as microprocessors, chipsets, motherboards, and wireless and wired connectivity products, as well as platforms that incorporate these components. The Company sells its products primarily to original equipment manufacturers, original design manufacturers, PC and network communications products users, and other manufacturers of industrial and communications equipment. Intel Corporation is based in Santa Clara, California.

Analysis – Intel has a Hold rating according to ValuEngine and is 30.29% overvalued with fair value at $23.71 and its one-year price target is $30.60. The daily chart shows declining stochastics with the stock above its 21-day, 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages at $30.34, 28.24 and $25.65. Semiannual and monthly value levels are $29.79 and $28.06 and weekly risky level at $31.31.

Page 10: ValuEngine Weekly:Intel,Minerals Tech,Computers and Technology Stocks,VE View,and Suttmeier

Richard Suttmeier has been a professional in the US Capital Markets since 1972 transferring his engineering skills to the trading and investment world. He earned a Bachelor of Industrial Engineering degree from Georgia Institute of Technology in 1966, and a Master of Science, Operations Research, Systems Analysis degree from Brooklyn Polytechnic University in 1970. Over the years Richard appeared many times in the financial media, on networks such as CNBC, CNN, CNNfn, New York 1, Bloomberg TV and radio, Fox Business, Business News Network in Canada, Wall Street Week with Fortune, Yahoo Finance Breakout, and the Bill Mazer Radio Show. Richard has been frequently quoted in USA Today, The NY Times, Wall Street Journal, Reuters, and The Dow Jones Newswires.

With Richard Suttmeier'sMorning Briefing, you get

daily analysis of USTreasury Yields, Gold,

Crude Oil, and CurrencyExchange Rates--Dollar,

Yen, Pound, and Euro--aswell as key technical

indicators for the majorequity averages.

Click HERE to SignUp for Chief MarketStrategist Richard

Suttmeier'sMorning Briefing!