U.S.Oil & Gas · U.S.Oil & Gas Research Note June 2014 Company Review Investment Summary: A bright...
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[1]
U.S.Oil & Gas
Research Note June 2014
Company Review
Investment Summary: A bright prospect beckons
U.S. Oil & Gas plc (USOG) is a GXG and OTC listed company with a number of
Federal hydrocarbon leases in the Hot Creek Valley of Nevada, USA. USOG, unlike
many foreign oil companies that enter the American crude oil and gas industry, has
taken a 100 % stake in the Federal leases. USOG has used its considerable technical
expertise to appraise and explore its acreage.
The Company holds a Net Revenue Interest (NRI) of 87.5 %, in its leases in
Nevada. USOG drilled its first well, Eblana #1, in 2012, which produced small
amounts of high quality API 28.5° - 33° crude oil. USOG is preparing to embark
on a three-well appraisal programme to translate its large prospective resources base
into the proven reserves category. If the drilling programme is successful, it is likely
that USOG could book P90 reserves of just under 9m barrels (bbls) and P50
reserves of just over 19m bbls. In a matter of months USOG could move away from
being a speculative exploration and appraisal play on the stock market to being a
crude oil and gas producer.
Financials
In 2013, the Company reported a net loss of US$1.6m. The Company is expected to
report a net loss of US$2.2m in 2014 largely due to costs incurred in preparation for
for its forthcoming drilling programme ahead of generating revenues.
If the planned drilling programme is successful, the Company can be expected to
report a net income of US$16.7m in 2015.
Funding
The Company intends raising further funding to strengthen its balance sheet and
finance its forthcoming drilling programme in Nevada.
Valuation
Part of the Company’s prospective oil resources in Nevada has been modelled and
risked. The net cash flow figures have been discounted by between 10 % - 25 %,
assuming constant and declining crude oil prices. From the model, the Company’s
assets, on a risked discounted cash flow basis, could be valued at between
US$60.0m to US$17.3m on an NPV10, an average of US$38.7m, compared to the
current market value of US$30.1m. The risked hypothetical resources implies a
market capitalisation 16.5x larger than current and the hypothetical risked reserves
per share implies a 24x to 33x larger company than the current one.
Price (£) 41p
Market Cap fully
diluted (£m):
18.0
Share price graph JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC FEB MAR APR MAY
Share details
Ticker USOP (GXG)
USOPY (OTC))
Listing GXG/OTC
Sector Oil & Gas Producers
Shares in issue 41.7m
Fully diluted shares 43.1m
Price (p)
52 week High Low
52 20
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity (%) 0.0
NAV (US$m) 38.7
(Net borrowings)/Cash
(US$000s)
929
Business
U.S. Oil & Gas is a GXG and OTC listed
company, with assets in Nevada, USA. It
holds a NRI of 87.5 % over leases covering
88.1 km², and could be in production within
the next six months, creating significant
upside value to shareholders.
Geography based on future revenues (%)
US Ireland UK Other
100 0 0 0
Sales
James Dewhurst +44 (0) 207 448 9820
Alexander David Securities Ltd
Analyst
Brian McBeth +44 (0) 7768 013026
The Oxford Consultancy Group
Management (CEO)
Brian McDonnell +353 (0) 1 631 9022
US Oil & Gas Plc
web: www.usoil.us
U.S. Oil & Gas Plc
Year
End 30
Sept
Revenue
(US$000s)
Net Income
(US$000s)
EPS
Fully
diluted
(US$)
DPS
(US$)
PE
(x)
Yield
(%)
2013a 0.00 (1,799.00) 0.00 0.00 n/a 0.00
2014e 0.00 (2,223.11) (0.05) 0.00 n/a 0.00
2015e 24,656.13 16,748.55 0.38 0.00 1.8 0.00
2016e 42,285.48 23,667.64 0.54 0.00 1.3 0.00
[2]
Investment Summary: A new American Star
USOG to start drilling in the last quarter of
2014.
USOG is a GXG and OTC listed Irish company with an
extremely exciting exploration play in the Hot Creek Valley
of Nye County, Nevada. USOG owns a number of leases,
with a very high prospective resources base. USOG, unlike
most foreign companies that enter the mature US oil and gas
industry, owns a 100 % Working Interest (WI) (a Net
Revenue Interest of 87.5%) over a number of leases that
cover 88.1 km². USOG applied its considerable technical
expertise in choosing the Federal leases it acquired and hence
can be considered as a pure exploration play. Its first well,
Eblana #1, drilled by its wholly owned subsidiary, Major Oil
as the operator, in 2012 confirmed the existence of high
quality crude oil (API 28.5° - 33°). USOG, after an intensive
and rigorous technical assessment, has identified five major
potential reservoir structures and it is preparing to drill a 3-
well appraisal programme updip from the Eblana #1 well in
the last quarter of 2014.
Valuation: significant exploration upside
The main driver in the oil industry is the crude oil price,
which is currently just above US$100/bbl for WTI crude. Oil
prices have remained at relatively high levels for the last 24
months, mainly because of demand, the decline in OPEC
production and political instability in the Middle East.
Forrest A Garb, an independent technical adviser, has
assigned to USOG proven and probable contingent resources
of 8.7m bbls – 19.3m bbls. There are also 87m bbls of
prospective resources for the Paleozoics, which were not
tested in the Eblana #1 well. In the model, it is assumed that
the next three wells are successful and hence are placed in
long term production as soon as drilling is completed. The
Eblana #1 well will probably be used as a water disposal
well. The hypothetical production profile gives an initial
production rate of 736 barrels of crude oil per day (bpod),
peaking at 1,158 bopd in 2016. It is clear from these figures
that the reserves produced during the life of the field of 2.6m
bbls of crude oil equivalent (boe) are far short from the
hypothetical contingent resources of 8.7m bbls. The main
reason for this is that in order to deplete these reserves, it is
estimated that an additional 11-12 wells will need to be
drilled. The model shows the financial impact on USOG with
only three wells if the forthcoming drilling programme is
successful.
The results have been risked by a further 25 % and
incorporate discount factors between 10 % - 25 %, as well as
constant crude oil prices of US$100/bbl and declining crude
oil prices to US$31/bbl.
The matrix gives a conservative risked NPV10 of
US$60.0m to US$17.3m, an average of US$38.7m,
compared to the equivalent current market value of
US$30.2m..
Sensitivities: four main challenges
The Company faces four main challenges:
1. To convert its prospective contingent
hydrocarbon resource base in Nye County,
Nevada into proven, probable and possible
reserves.
2. To find hydrocarbon reserves in the Eocene-age
Sheep Pass formation that USOG was unable to
test when it drilled the Eblana #1 well owing to
technical problems.
3. To manage efficiently its forthcoming drilling
programme.
4. To start crude oil production from its
forthcoming 3-well appraisal programme.
Financials
In 2013, USOG reported a net loss of US$1.6m. It is
likely that the Company will also report an estimated
net loss of US$2.2m in 2014 because by its year-end
of September 30 it will not be receiving any revenues
from its hydrocarbon base and will incur relatively
high expenditure preparing for its forthcoming
drilling programme. In the financial modelling it is
assumed that the next three wells drilled (see below)
are successful. It is clear that there is no guarantee
that this will occur but the Company has undertaken
an immense amount of technical work that includes
3-D modelling. Assuming, that the hypothetical
production profile given in this Note is achieved then
USOG is expected to report revenue from its
hydrocarbon production base of US$24.7m in 2015
rising to US$42.3m in 2016, with net income of
US$16.7m in 2015 rising to US$23.7m in 2016.
It also follows from these estimated earnings that the
Company’s balance sheet will strengthen as
hydrocarbon production increases, with closing net
cash rising to US$13.6m in the first 12 months of
production, increasing to US$40.4m in 2016.
[3]
The road to Nevada
On 15 June, 2009 USOG was incorporated in the Republic
of Ireland as a public limited company under the name of
U.S. Oil and Gas plc to focus on the exploration and
production of the hydrocarbon resources in the State of
Nevada, USA. USOG’s wholly-owned operating subsidiary
in the USA is Major Oil International LLC, which was
registered and incorporated on 17 July 2008 in Houston,
Texas.
USOG holds nine Federal leases that cover 88.1 km²,
equivalent to 21,760 acres. USOG’s short term objective is
to complete its appraisal programme in its Hot Creek Valley
acreage in Nevada. USOG expects that the appraisal
programme will confirm that its potentially large contingent
resources base will be converted very soon into the category
of proven crude oil reserves.
USA – Nevada
Nevada’s production of crude oil is small compared with the
major US oil states of Texas and California. Crude oil
production in Nevada peaked in 1990 at 4m bbls declining to
under 500,000 bbls in 2008.
An interesting aspect of Nevada’s petroleum production is that
some of the oil is associated with hot water, although at a lower
temperature but otherwise much like the geothermal fluids that
formed gold and silver deposits. Another curiosity is that some
of the oil is trapped in fractured volcanic rocks, although the
ultimate source of petroleum is from organic matter in
sedimentary rocks. In Eastern Nevada, the important source
rock is the Chainman formation, which was deposited in the
Mississippian era, approximately 325 million years ago. In the
Hot Creek Range, to the west of Hot Creek Valley, the Eleana
formation can be found, which is the Chainman’s stratigraphic
equivalent. Another potential source rock is the Eocene-age
Sheep Pass.
Thrust belts and associated foreland basins provide a quarter
of the world’s known oil reserves and are found where the
western North American Cordillera coincides with organic-
rich hydrocarbon source rocks, including the Mississippian
Antler foreland basin of western Utah and central Nevada.
As with most thrust belts worldwide, some crude oil is
trapped in giant thrust structures. Typically, oil seeps occur
above the giant structures, except in Nevada where a blanket
of Oligocene volcanic rocks and detritus buried and sealed
the oil seeps. Some of these concealed Nevada oil seeps,
including the most prolific North American onshore flowing
oil well found in ten years, are unconformity-related
commercial grade oil accumulations. Conventional 2-D and
3-D seismology has not been able to identify oil bearing
forms.
However, the Antler Foreland basin contains enough
organics to generate huge quantities of oil. Geologists
believe there are at least 30 geologic structures each
containing in excess of 1 billion barrels of oil.
Identifying the anticlines becomes a real possibility with
state-of-the-art seismology, three dimensional models, well
information and high quality surface geologic maps. The
use of 2-D and 3-D IPDS promise to revolutionise
exploration in this previously difficult area. This is what
USOG’s highly experienced technical team, led by Karim
Akrawi, Exploration Director, has been doing for the past
three years.
First Oil Well drilled in 1907
The first exploratory well drilled in Nevada was in 1907. The
well was drilled in Washoe County, near Reno, but did not
encounter hydrocarbons in commercial quantities. Several
more dry wells were drilled until 1954 when Shell Oil Co.
drilled the State’s first commercial crude oil well of Eagle
Springs #1-35, in the Railroad Valley in Nye County. The
Eagle Springs field included 14 wells with an average
production of almost 55 barrels of oil per day (bopd) per well
by 1968. The field was estimated in 1954 to contain 4 million
bbls of proven recoverable reserves, of which 3.8m bbls were
produced by 1986. It took a further 22 years and 145 dry wells
before Northwest Exploration Co. drilled in 1976 the second
crude oil discovery with its Trap Springs #1 well located only
5 miles west of the Eagle Springs field. Recoverable reserves
were estimated at the time of discovery at 10m bbls of which
6.8m bbls were produced by 1986. In 1985, there were 27
producing wells in the Trap Springs fields producing an
average of 51 bopd per well. Later discoveries in the Railroad
Valley include the Bacon, Flat and Grant Springs fields. The
latter field at the time of discovery had recoverable reserves of
13m bbls of which 5.3m bbls were recovered by 1986. For a
time, the Grant Canyon #3 well, producing crude oil from the
Tertiary Volcanics in the Railroad Valley, was the most
prolific onshore oil well in continental USA, flowing at up to
4,300 bopd.
Crude oil production outside the Railroad Valley was
established in 1982 when the Amoco Production Co.
discovered the Blackburn field in Pine Valley, Eureka County,
when it drilled the Amoco Blackburn #3 well, which flowed
initially at 345 bopd. Crude oil production averaged around
300 to 450 bopd. In 1986, Marathon Oil Co. drilled the Kate
Spring #1 well discovery in the Railroad Valley, less than one
mile away from the Eagle Springs field.
[4]
USOG’s Eblana #1 Well.
Hot Creek Valley
Drilling in Hot Creek Valley
[5]
USOG’s Eblana #1 Well
USOG’s main asset is located in Nye County, Nevada where it holds nine exploration and development Federal leases
over 88.1 km² in the Hot Creek Valley. The acreage is adjacent to the hydrocarbon basin known as the Railroad Valley
area of Nevada, both of which are part of the Sevier Thrust of central Nevada and western Utah.
The most recent indication of crude oil in Nevada was USOG’s Eblana #1 well drilled in the Hot Creek Valley,
approximately 35 miles east of the nearest crude oil production in the Railroad Valley. The Eblana #1 well was drilled in
2012 to 8,550 ft and encountered the same Tertiary Volcanic formations present in the producing fields of the Railroad
Valley, with gas shows and non-commercial high quality crude oil of between API 28.5° - 33°. The Eblana #1 well had
oil shows in the welded volcanic tuffs and conglomerates present in the discoveries made in the Railroad Valley but the
well did not reach the Palaeozoic-age dolomites, which are also productive.
Table 1 shows that the major crude oil discoveries in Nevada have been made at roughly the target depth of the Eblana #1
well but the API gravity at 28.5° - 33° of the crude oil encountered at Eblana#1 was significantly lighter than in most
other fields in the Railroad Valley, which is a very positive sign. The quality of the crude oil discovered is so good
that it does not require any processing before transportation. Additionally, there were no indications in the crude oil
tested of sulphur or carbon monoxide and does not require the removal of wax or asphaltine elements prior to
transportation.
Table 1: Railroad Valley Reservoir Data.
Railroad Valley
Field Year Disc.
Depth
(feet)
Producing
Formation
Initial
Production
(bopd)
API
(degree)
Cumulative Production to
2012 (bbls).
Hydrocarbon Column
(feet)
Bacon Flat 1981 5,400
brecciated
Devonian
carbonate
(landslide
deposit)
200 28 1,039,759 450+
Eagle Springs 1954
5,800
to
6800
Tertiary
volcanic:
welded tuff;
Eocene Sheep
Pass;
Pennsylvanian
Ely limestone
340 26 - 29 5,549,929 1600+
Grant Canyon 1983 4,500
brecciated
Devonian
carbonate
(landslide
deposit)
1,816 26 21,322,978 900+
Kate Spring 1986 5,200
Brecciated
Paleozoic
(landslide
deposit)
345 10.5 2,467,595 200+
Trap Spring 1976
2,800
to
5,000
Tertiary
volcanic:
welded tuff
417 21 - 26 15,142,949 1,700 – 1,800
Source: Forrest A Garb & Associates, Inc. & http://www.nbmg.unr.edu/_docs/Presentations/NWMAupdate10.pdf
[6]
The Eblana #1 well did not find any evidence of the Eocene-age
Sheep Pass formation owing to drilling problems caused by the
formation encountered that prevented open hole logs being run
and cores collected. It is understood that USOG perforated
many intervals of the Tertiary Volcanics encountered by the
Eblana #1 well and flowed each one separately to determine the
productivity and content of the reservoir. The flow tests were
run on four separate formations, producing around 250 bbls of
liquids for three zones with an average crude oil cut of 2
percent. The fourth formation was tested for an extended period
producing 250 bbls of liquids with an average oil cut of 3
percent, but at times surging to 22 % and 60 %. Natural gas was
found in small quantities of 120 cubic feet of natural gas to one
barrel of crude oil. The interpretation of the large amounts of
water produced is that the well perforated an oil-water transition
zone. Although the Eblana #1 well is considered non-
commercial it did establish the presence of high quality crude
oil.
Estimated Crude Oil & Gas Resources
USOG’s independent technical consultants used the Petroleum
Resources Management System (SPE-PRMS), developed by the
Society of Petroleum Engineers/World Petroleum
Congresses/American Association of Petroleum Geologists/
Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers, to determine the
range of contingent resources present on the Company’s leases.
The SPE-PRMS definition of contingent resources is the volume
of hydrocarbon reserves that are potentially recoverable in
known accumulations by developing reservoirs but which
cannot be considered to be commercially recoverable because of
one or more contingencies. One of these contingencies is when
the accumulation after a discovery needs further appraisal to
justify commercial development. USOG is currently preparing
to undertake a three-well appraisal programme updip from the
Eblana #1 well to convert part of these contingent resources into
proven reserves and to start monetizing its potentially large
crude oil reserves. It is understood that a new well design will
be used featuring altered casing that will allow drilling into the
Palaeozoic zone.
The estimated original oil in place (OOIP) and recoverable
reserves are given in Table 2 below. It should be noted that
these estimated contingent resources only cover 50 % of Parcels
87414 and 87415 (original 21 km²) of USOG’s total leases in
the Hot Creek Valley. Additionally, the contingent resources
only refer to the Tertiary Volcanics formation because the
deeper potential reserves in the Eocene-age Sheep Pass formation
are not included in the estimates as they were not tested by the
Eblana #1
Risk
It should be noted that there is the possibility that the three-well
appraisal programme will not lead to a commercial discovery
and future development. In addition, there is also the possibility
that the target horizons are found to be primarily natural gas
bearing or are just a small column of crude oil with a gas cap.
Crude Oil and Gas Production Profile
In the hypothetical crude oil production profile an average
production of 199 bopd per well between 2014 – 2026 has
been assumed, with a peak production of 386 bopd in 2016.
It is unlikely that the small amount of natural gas production
(120 cubic feet per barrel of crude oil produced) would
justify building a pipeline to the nearest processing plant 90
miles away and will probably be re-injected into the
reservoir to maintain pressure. However, a hypothetical
production profile for the associated natural gas produced
with the crude oil has been provided because it is expected
that natural gas will be produced if the appraisal drilling
proves- up the large reserves referred to above because then
the number of wells needed to deplete the reservoir is
estimated at between 11- 12 and hence natural gas
production could possibly justify building a small gas
pipeline.
The estimate of USOG’s crude oil and gas production of the
field is given below:
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00
160.00
0.00
200.00
400.00
600.00
800.00
1000.00
1200.00
1400.00
2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025
Natural
Gas Prod
(mcf/d)
bopd
Graph 1: USOG: Hypothetical Crude Oil
Production, 2014 - 2024 (bopd)
Crude Oil Production per day (bopd)
Natural Gas Production (mcf/d)
Source: The Oxford Consultancy Group
Table 2: Contingent Resources – Primary Zones in Eblana #1
Gross Contingent Resources
(W.I. 100 %)
(000s bbls)
Net Contingent Resources
(N.R.I. (87.5 %)
(000s bbls)
Target
Horizon Low Estimate
Best
Estimate High Estimate
Low
Estimate
Best
Estimate
High
Estimate
Tertiary
Volcanics
OOIP 51,773 2122,679 188,898 45,301 107,344 165,286
Recoverable 9,927 22,007 38,301 8,686 19,256 33,513
Source: Forrest A Garb & Associates, Inc.
[7]
Valuation
The main driver in the oil industry is the crude oil price, which is currently around US$100/bbl for WTI crude. Crude Oil
prices have remained at relatively high levels for the last 36 months, mainly because of demand driven by the pick-up in
economic growth, the decline in OPEC production and political instability in the Middle East. It is likely that crude oil prices
may strengthen during the second half of 2014 because of political problems associated with OPEC countries. According to
the International Energy Agency (IEA), OPEC needs to boost its current production by 800,000 bopd to a total of 30.7m
bopd during the second half of 2014 in order to cover the anticipated increase in world demand. However, such a large
increase in crude oil production could be difficult to achieve because members such as Libya, Nigeria, and Venezuela may
find it difficult to increase production. In the case of
Iran, the international sanctions against country will
impact on its ability to increase production in the short-
term, especially as its crude oil exports fell by 180,000
bopd in April this year to 1.11m bopd. Moreover, over
the past 24 months crude oil production in Iran
declined by 20 %, while Algeria’s production also fell
by 12 % during the same time frame. Moreover,
Mexico, which is not part of OPEC, also experienced a
25 % decline in its output since 2005.
The valuation is a hypothetical one that assumes three
producing wells with one water disposal well. The total
contingent resources produced in our hypothetical
valuation is 2.6m boe. In order to deplete the estimated
8.7m bbls of contingent resources we would need at
least 11 - 12 producing wells. The purpose of using a
three-well programme in the hypothetical valuation is
to indicate the robustness of the assets if the appraisal
wells confirm the presence of commercial reserves.
The hypothetical production profile for the Eblana #1 contingency resources as detailed above has been used together with
the assumptions given in Table 3.
In addition, the results for success have been risked in the following manner: for the best estimate (P90) 67.5 %, and for the
low estimate (P50) 37.5 %. The net cashflow figures have been discounted by 10 % to 25 %, and an initial constant crude
oil price of US$100/bbl and US$4.49 per thousand cubic feet (mcf) of natural gas. Thereafter crude oil prices are modelled
to decline to US$34.9/bbl and natural gas prices to US$1.6/mcf. Costs have been escalated by between 2 % – 5 % per annum.
From the Table 4 given below, it can be seen that the Company, on a discounted cash flow basis, could be valued at between
US$60.0m to US$17.3m, an average of US$38.7m, compared to the current market value of US$30.1m. It should be noted
that the discounted cash flows are positive with constant and declining hydrocarbon prices. In addition, the net return on
investment is between 29.2 % and 25.0 % depending on crude oil assumptions proven and probable reserves.
Table 4: Valuation of Nevada Hot Creek Contingent Resources risked by 25 %.
Constant Crude Oil Prices:
US$100/bbl
Declining Crude Oil Prices:
US$100/bbl to US$23.9/bbl
Contingent
Resources P90
risked by
25 %
Contingent
Resources P50
risked by
25 %
Contingent
Resources P90
risked
by 25 %
Contingent
Resources P50
risked
by 25 %
Unrisked Gross Reserve Potential (000s Bbls) 2,642.5 2,642.5 2,642.5 2,642.5
Assumed Success % 67.5 37.5 67.5 37.5
Potential Gross Reserves at assumed Success Rate (000s Bbls) 1,783.7 990.9 1,783.7 990.9
Gross Value of Potential Reserves (US$) 175,084,689.3 97,269,271.8 120,410,838.6 66,894,910.3
Gross Costs (US$) 123,929,863.3 93,873,912.0 89,968,884.1 70,349,999.0
USOG Net Return on Investment (US$) 51,154,826.0 3,395,359.8 30,441,954.4 -3,455,088.6
USOG Net Return on Investment ( %) 29.2 3.5 25.3 -5.2
USOG Risked NPV Value (10 % Discount) (US$) 59,991,912.2 33,328,840.1 42,423,029.9 23,568,350.0
USOG Risked NPV Value (15 % Discount) (US$) 51,822,366.2 28,790,203.4 37,789,717.5 20,994,287.5
USOG Risked NPV Value (20 % Discount) (US$) 45,588,441.7 25,326,912.1 34,115,491.2 18,953,050.6
USOG Risked NPV Value (25 % Discount) (US$) 40,711,119.6 22,617,288.7 31,140,161.9 17,300,090.0
Source: The Oxford Consultancy Group
Table 3: Assumptions used in compiling the
Hypothetical Net Present Value of the Contingent
Resources in Eblana #1 Area. Item Assumption
Working Interest (%) 100.00
Net Revenue Interest (%) 87.50
Crude Oil Price WTI (US$) 100.00
Natural Gas Price (Henry Hub) ($mcf) 4.49
Contingent Resources (000s boe) 2,436
Royalty (%) 12.50
Capex (US$/boe) 6.40
Opex (US$/boe) 0.80
Source: The Oxford Consultancy Group
[8]
Table 5 below suggests that the market is undervaluing the Company based on the hypothetical value of the Company’s
assets,. The hypothetical value, on a severe risked basis and with various crude oil price assumptions and discount
factors of between 10% and 25%, gives an NPV per share range of between US$0.76 per share to US$0.39 per share,
compared to the current share price of US$0.69 per share.
Table 5: NPV per share - Premium/Discount to Market Capitalisation (fully
discounted) at various assumptions
Fully diluted Share Capital (m) 43.9
Share price £(21.5.2014) 0.41
Share price US$(21.5.2014) 0.69
Market Capitalisation (£m) 18.0
US$ per
share
Market value
£m
Premium/
Discount to
Mkt Cap (%)
Constant Crude Oil Price
Risked NPV (10 % disc.) 0.76 19.8 10.3
Risked NPV (15 % disc.) 0.66 17.1 -4.7
Risked NPV (20 % disc.) 0.58 15.1 -16.2
Risked NPV (25 % disc.) 0.52 13.5 -25.1
Declining Crude Oil Price
Risked NPV (10 % disc.) 0.54 14.0 -22.0
Risked NPV (15 % disc.) 0.48 12.5 -30.5
Risked NPV (20 % disc.) 0.43 11.3 -37.3
Risked NPV (25 % disc.) 0.39 10.3 -42.7
Source: The Oxford Consultancy Group
Comparison with peer group
Table 6 below compares USOG with a number of crude oil companies listed on the London Stock Exchange’s
Alternative Investment Market (AIM). The table shows the calculated proven and probable resources per US$100
fully diluted market capitalisation, as well as the number of reserves per share for each of the companies. It can be
seen from Table 6 that the risked contingent resources base for USOG is around 60 % of Xxcite Energy, a company
with a market capitalisation 10.9x larger than the Company under review. In addition, USOG holds a larger number of
hypothetical reserves per share than Amerisur Resources and Ithaca Energy, companies that are 33.4x and 24x
respectively larger than the Company under review. The conclusion from this comparison is that once the contingent
resources are re-categorised as crude oil reserves, the market will adjust for this resulting in probably a valuation much
larger than the NPV suggested by the resource valuations.
Table 6: Comparison of USOG's Hypothetical Contingent Resources with certain
AIM Listed Companies
Company
Market
Capitalisation
(US$m)
Fully
Diluted
shares (m)
Reserve base
(m boe)
Production
(boepd)
Reserves
per $100
market cap
(boe)
Reserves
per share
Amerisur Resources 1,007.3 1,062.1 32.8 7,000.0 3.26 0.03
Xcite Energy 329.2 309.1 261.9 0.0 79.56 0.85
Global Energy Development 44.0 36.1 87.7 64.4 199.32 2.43
Ithaca Energy 735.1 328.1 58.0 10,392.0 7.89 0.18
Sterling Energy 105.5 233.8 200.0 63,000.0 189.66 0.86
USOG* 30.1 43.9 14.0 381.0 46.35 0.32
* Hypothetical figures.
Source: The Oxford Consultancy Group
[9]
Financials
Table 7 shows, a hypothetical breakdown of the
profitability of crude oil production from the Eblana #1
well, with estimated pre-tax income at US$70.34/boe, and
net income of US$40.74/boe.
In the financial model, it is assumed that the 3-well
appraisal programme is successful and that crude oil and
natural gas production will start at the end of October this
year. On this assumption, USOG will have crude oil and
natural gas production for its 2015 fiscal year of 335 days.
It is expected that USOG will generate earnings before
interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) in
2015 of US$20m rising to US$38m in 2016, as can be seen
from Graph 2.
USOG is expected to report net losses of just over US$2m
in 2014. By its year-end of September 30, it will not have
started producing crude oil. However, with the start of
production later this year, it is expected that the Company
will report net profits of US$16.8m in 2015, rising to
US$23.7m in 2016, as can be seen from Graph 3.
The Company’s balance sheet will also strengthen
considerably, reaching net cash balances of US$40.4m in
2016, as illustrated in Graph 4 below.
-20,000,000.0
0.0
20,000,000.0
40,000,000.0
201
3(a
)
201
4(e
)
201
5(e
)
201
6(e
)
201
7(e
)
201
8(e
)
Year
Graph 2: USOG - EBITDA, 2013 -2018 (US$)
Source: The Oxford Consultancy Group
-5,000,000.0
0.0
5,000,000.0
10,000,000.0
15,000,000.0
20,000,000.0
25,000,000.0
Graph 3: USOG - Hypothetical Net Income
Forecast, 2013 - 2018 (US$)
Source: The Oxford Consultancy Group
0.0
5,000,000.0
10,000,000.0
15,000,000.0
20,000,000.0
25,000,000.0
30,000,000.0
35,000,000.0
40,000,000.0
45,000,000.0
US$
Graph 4: USOG - Hypothetical Net Cash
Balances, 2013 - 2018 (US$)
Net CashBalances(US$)
Source: The Oxford Consultancy Group
Table 7: Hypothetical Profitability of the Eblana #1
Area US$/bbl
Contingent Resources
of 2.436 boe
Crude Oil Price 98.2
Royalty 11.70
Operating Expenses 0.80
Transport costs 1.30
DDA 6.40
Interest & Capital
repayment
0.50
G&A 6.56
Pre-Tax 70.34
Tax 29.6
Net Income 40.74
Source: The Oxford Consultancy Group
[10]
The hypothetical detailed estimates of USOG’s Profit & Loss, Balance Sheet and Cash flow for 2013 – 2018 are given below in
Tables 8-10.
Table 8: USOG - Profit & Loss Forecast, 2013-2018
2013(a) 2014(e) 2015(e) 2016(e) 2017(e) 2018(e)
PROFIT & LOSS ACCOUNT US$ US$ US$ US$ US$ US$
Turnover 0.0 0.0 24,656,132.8 42,285,477.8 35,942,656.2 30,551,257.7
Selling, Opex & Transp Costs 0.0 0.0 770,155.9 1,290,580.0 1,132,123.5 995,760.6
Administrative expenses 1,600,536.0 2,000,670.0 1,850,000.0 2,775,000.0 4,162,500.0 4,786,875.0
Production royalty 0.0 0.0 3,082,016.6 5,285,684.7 4,492,832.0 3,818,907.2
Operating Income -1,600,536.0 -2,000,670.0 22,035,977.0 38,219,897.8 30,648,032.7 24,768,622.2
Interest receivable 1,422.0 9,350.0 680,995.1 2,022,005.4 1,614,952.6 1,306,745.0
Interest payable 0.0 -2,500.0 954,000.0 727,200.0 536,400.0 545,419.0
DDA 0.0 0.0 1,608,351.3 2,758,336.2 2,344,585.8 1,992,897.9
Profit/(loss) Loss on Ordinary Activities -1,599,114.0 -1,993,820.0 20,154,620.7 36,756,367.0 29,381,999.5 23,537,050.2
Taxation -199,889.0 -229,289.3 3,406,072.3 13,088,722.9 11,087,996.2 7,943,481.7
Net Income/(Net Loss) -1,799,003.0 -2,223,109.3 16,748,548.5 23,667,644.1 18,294,003.3 15,593,568.6
Opening Accumulated surplus (deficit) brought
forward -2,344,208.0 -3,943,322.0 -6,166,431.3 10,582,117.2 13,085,526.9 5,208,476.3
Closing Accumulated surplus (deficit) brought
forward -3,943,322.0 -6,166,431.3 10,582,117.2 13,085,526.9 5,208,476.3 10,385,092.2
EPS 41,398,337 shares (US$) -0.043 -0.054 0.405 0.572 0.442 0.377
EPS p fully diluted 43,853,337 shares (US$) -0.041 -0.051 0.382 0.540 0.417 0.356
Source: The Oxford Consultancy Group
[11]
Table 9: USOG - Balance Sheet Forecast, 2013-2018
BALANCE SHEET 2013(a) 2014(e) 2015(e) 2016(e) 2017(e) 2018(e)
US$ US$ US$ US$ US$ US$
Fixed Assets 5,089,878.0 5,344,371.9 13,861,590.5 17,142,170.0 13,686,778.5 11,996,117.4
Tangible assets 0 0 8,250,000.0 11,250,000.0 7,500,000.0 5,500,000.0
Intangible assets 5,089,878.0 5,344,371.9 5,611,590.5 5,892,170.0 6,186,778.5 6,496,117.4
Current Assets
Stock 0.0 0.0 250,000.0 500,000.0 500,000.0 500,000.0
Debtors 187,416.0 234,270.0 292,837.5 366,046.9 457,558.6 571,948.2
Cash at bank 985,985.0 12,685,000.0 13,619,902.2 40,440,108.9 32,299,051.4 26,134,900.2
Total 1,173,401.0 12,919,270.0 14,162,739.7 41,306,155.8 33,256,610.0 27,206,848.4
Total Current Assets
Net Current Assets 6,263,279.0 18,263,641.9 28,024,330.2 58,448,325.8 46,943,388.5 39,202,965.9
Creditors: Amounts falling due within one year 290,073.0 350,000.0 8,080,000.0 2,120,000.0 2,120,000.0 2,120,000.0
Long term debt 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Current Liabilities 290,073.0 350,000.0 8,080,000.0 2,120,000.0 2,120,000.0 2,120,000.0
Total Liabilities 290,073.0 350,000.0 8,080,000.0 2,120,000.0 2,120,000.0 2,120,000.0
Net Current Assets 6,263,279.0 18,263,641.9 28,024,330.2 58,448,325.8 46,943,388.5 39,202,965.9
Total assets less current liabilities 5,973,206.0 17,913,641.9 19,944,330.2 56,328,325.8 44,823,388.5 37,082,965.9
Capital & Reserves
Called up share capital 5,670.0 12,758.0 12,758.0 12,758.0 12,758.0 12,758.0
Share premium
` 9,742,553.0 12,067,315.2 9,349,455.0 19,559,200.8 15,428,631.0 13,533,157.6
Issue of loan stock 0.0 12,000,000.0 0.000 0.0 0.0 0.0
Share based payment reserve 168,305.0 0.0 0.000 0.0 0.0 0.0
Profit & Loss Account -3,943,322.0 -6,166,431.3 10,582,117.2 36,756,367.0 29,381,999.5 23,537,050.2
Shareholders' equity funds 5,973,206.0 17,913,641.9 19,944,330.2 56,328,325.8 44,823,388.5 37,082,965.8
Source: The Oxford Consultancy Group
[12]
Table 10: USOG - Cash Flow Forecast, 2014 - 2018
CASH FLOW ACCOUNT 2013(a) 2014(e) 2015(e) 2016(e) 2017(e) 2018(e)
US$ US$ US$ US$ US$ US$
Net Cash (outflow)/inflow from operating
activities -1,600,536.0 -2,000,670.0 22,035,977.0 38,219,897.8 30,648,032.7 24,768,622.2
Movement in Working Capital
Share based payments 168,305.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Movement in trade and other receivables 106,936.0 139,016.8 500,000.0 750,000.0 1,125,000.0 1,687,500.0
Movement in trade and other payables -65,193.0 -20,000.0 -25,000.0 -37,500.0 -56,250.0 -84,375.0
Cash used in operations 210,048.0 119,016.8 475,000.0 712,500.0 1,068,750.0 1,603,125.0
Returns on investments & servicing of finance
Interest received 1,422.0 9,350.0 1,229,925.2 1,893,011.1 1,514,618.7 1,220,859.0
Interest paid 0.0 -2,500.0 954,000.0 727,200.0 536,400.0 545,419.0
Net Cash Flow for returns on investments &
servicing of finance 1,422.0 6,850.0 2,183,925.2 2,620,211.1 2,051,018.7 1,766,278.0
Capital Expenditure & Financial Investment
Capital Expenditure & Financial Investment -1,142,679.0 -1,599,750.6 -10,600,000.0 -400,000.0 -400,000.0 -400,000.0
Cash outflow before use of liquid resources and
financing
FINANCING
Proceeds of share issue 168,305.0 12,000,000.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Redemption of Loan 0.0 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Advance of debenture loans 0.0 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Advance of other loans 0.0 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Net cash inflow for financing 168,305.0 12,000,000.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Increase/(decrease) in cash 985,985.0 8,406,429.4 13,619,902.2 40,440,108.9 32,299,051.4 26,134,900.2
Reconciliation of net cash flow to movement in net
debt
(Decrease)/increase in cash in year 985,985.0 8,406,429.4 13,619,902.2 40,440,108.9 32,299,051.4 26,134,900.2
Net cash (inflow) from debentures 0.0 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Net cash (inflow) from other loans 0.0 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Movement in (debt) in year resulting from cash flows 985,985.0 8,406,429.4 13,619,902.2 40,440,108.9 32,299,051.4 26,134,900.2
Movement in funds/ (debt) in year 4,503,715.0 9,392,414.4 22,026,331.6 54,060,011.1 72,739,160.3 58,433,951.6
Opening net funds/(debt) 3,517,730.0 985,985.0 8,406,429.4 13,619,902.2 40,440,108.9 32,299,051.4
Closing net funds/(debt) 985,985.0 8,406,429.4 13,619,902.2 40,440,108.9 32,299,051.4 26,134,900.2
Cash per share fully diluted 0.022 0.192 0.311 0.922 0.737 0.596
Reconciliation of Movement in Shareholders'
Funds
Profit (Loss) for the year -1,799,003.0 -2,223,109.3 16,748,548.5 23,667,644.1 18,294,003.3 15,593,568.6
New shares issued 0.0 12,000,000.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.0
Premium on new share capital subscribed 9,742,553.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Opening shareholders' funds 0.0 7,943,550.0 17,720,440.7 34,468,989.2 58,136,633.3 76,430,641.5
Closing shareholders' funds 7,943,550.0 17,720,440.7 34,468,989.2 58,136,633.3 76,430,641.5 92,024,210.1
Source: The Oxford Consultancy Group
[13]
Funding
The Company expects to raise additional working capital
mainly to finance the drilling of three appraisal wells
updip from the Eblana #1 well in Nye County, Nevada.
Prior to drilling the wells, technical work will be carried
out, including limited-area surveys local to the poposed
targets in order to choose the best drilling locations. The
first of the wells is due to spud in Q4 2014, with
completion of the drilling programme slated to finish
several months later.
Dividend Policy
The Company will consider its dividend policy once a
positive and stable cashflow position has been attained.
Directors’ Shareholding and Major Shareholders
The Directors hold 10.4 % of the Company’s equity with a
further 41.4 % of the equity held by nominees. The
holdings held by the Directors and major shareholders of
the Company are given below:
Table 11: Directors’ Shareholding –
Direct and indirect & Significant Shareholders
Director's Issued Shares
% of
Issued
Shares
Brian McDonnell 3,913,234 8.92
Peter Whelan 564,118 1.29
Karim Akrawi 100,000 0.23
Total 4,577,352 10.44
Significant
Shareholders
JIM Nominees Ltd 5,680,850 12.95
Daveycrest Nominees
Ltd 4,995,971 11.39
Aurum Nominees Ltd 2,350,626 5.36
SVS (Nominees) Ltd 1,765,137 4.03
Pershing Nominees Ltd 1,699,317 3.88
Goodbody Stockbrokers
Nominees 1,677,412 3.83
Total 18,169,313 41.43
Source: The Oxford Consultancy Group
Directors
Brian McDonnell, Chief Executive Officer and
Chairman, graduated from Dublin City University with a
business studies degree setting up and successfully
running his own training company after working in
manufacturing for a number of years. Brian has extensive
experience of bringing large and complex projects to
fruition, and has been CEO of USOG since it was founded in 2009.
Paul O'Callaghan, Chief Financial Officer, is a chartered
accountant who was Company Secretary of James Crean,
and more recently Financial Director and CEO of FBD Holdings plc.
Peter Whelan, Audit/Remuneration/Contracts, has held
various roles in the enforcement of criminal, public health,
environmental and sea fisheries law. Mr. Whelan has had
responsibility for developing, managing, reviewing and
renegotiation of service contracts across the public service.
Karim Akrawi, Exploration Director, is currently General
Director for Geodynamics Worldwide, the company
responsible for developing and implementing the
Infrasonic Passive Differential Spectroscopy (IPDS or
Passive Seismic) survey technology. Karim has presented
and published numerous papers and reports on the
application of IPDS and has made a significant
contribution to the development of the technology as used
today in oil exploration around the world. Karim has vast
experience of the oil and gas industry worldwide,
including the United States. He was Senior Exploration
Geologist with Abu Dhabi Company (ADCO) for Onshore
Oil Operations from 1980 to 2008, an enterprise currently
producing 1.8 million barrels of oil per day. He has also
been involved in major discoveries and field development
in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and elsewhere in the
Gulf exploration area. His expertise includes formulating
well proposals, planning and supervising drilling
operations, carrying out geological and feasibility studies,
preparing conceptual field development plans, evaluating
the economics of well development, estimating probable
oil and gas reserves, and risk analysis.
[14]
SWOT Analysis
Strengths Weaknesses
Experienced technical management team, with
extensive knowledge of the oil industry.
Holds 100 % W.I. leases over 88.1 km² in Nevada
with prospective contingent reserves of 8.7m bbls
– 19.9m bbls
First well had oil shows of high quality crude oil
with an API 28.5° - 33°, higher that most other
fields in the State, with no H2S & no wax
contents.
Potentially large hydrocarbon reserves.
Strong oil market.
No crude oil reserves found in the forthcoming 3-well
appraisal drilling programme.
Hence prospective contingent resources not converted
to proven reserves.
Listed on GXG & OTC, neither of which are
established markets for institutional investors.
However, the Company has a large private investor
base which can provide high levels of liquidity
Opportunities Threats
High oil prices expected to remain for some time
leading to continued interest in the Oils sector.
Large contingent resources of hydrocarbon
resources converted to proven reserves.
Further hydrocarbon opportunities in the
Company’s Nevada leases.
Decline in oil prices.
First appraisal well is unsuccessful in finding
commercial reserves of hydrocarbons.
Finding natural gas reserves rather than crude oil.
Growth metrics %
Profitability
metrics % Balance sheet metrics Company details
EPS CAGR 2015-18e -3.28 ROCE 2015e 115.4 Gearing 2015e 0 % Address:
EBITDA CAGR 2015-
18e 7.31 Avg ROCE 05-09e 80.2
Interest cover
2015e 23.1
USOG Oil & Gas plc
Alexandria House,
The Sweepstakes
Ballsbridge,Dublin 4
Ireland
Sales CAGR 2015-18e 7.4 ROE 2015e 145.5 Debtor days
2008e 0
Gross margin
2015e 76.9
Creditor days
2008e 0 Phone +353 ( 0) 1 631 9022
Operating margin
2015e 84.38
Gross mgm/Op
margin 9.7 website www.usoil.us
Forthcoming announcements/catalysts Date Management team
Annual Report 20/03/14 Chief Executive Officer & Chairman: Brian McDonnell
Interim results 23/05/14 Chief Financial Officer: Paul O’Callagham
AGM 30/0614 Exploration Director: Karim Akrawi
Full Results
Source: The Oxford Consultancy Group
Audit, Remuneration & Contracts Director: Peter Whelan
[15]
DISCLAIMER
Apart from the responsibilities and liabilities, if any, which may be imposed on Alexander David Securities Limited (“ADS”) by the Financial
Services and Markets Act 2000, ADS accept no responsibility whatsoever for the contents of this Document, including its accuracy, completeness or verification or for any other statement made or purported to be made by it, or on behalf, in connection with the Company.
ADS accordingly disclaim all any liability (whether arising in tort, delict, under contract or otherwise) (save as referred to above), which it
might otherwise have in respect of this document or such statement.
RELIANCE ON COMPANY INFORMATION
The information in this document which does not purport to be comprehensive, has been provided by US Oil & Gas PLC (“USOG” or “the Company”).This is being delivered for information purposes only to assist the recipient in assessing whether or not they wish to invest in or
provide financing for the Company. None of the information in this document has been independently verified. Neither the Company nor ADS
and their directors, officers or employees accept any liability or responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of, or make any representations or warranty, express or implied, with respect to the information contained in this document or on which this document is based or any other
information or representations (whether written or oral) supplied or made in connection with any negotiations for the investment in or the
provision of financing to the Company or as to the reasonableness of any projection which this documents contains, and any such liability or responsibility is expressly disclaimed.
This document does not purport to be impartial investment research as defined by the Conduct of Business Rules of the Financial Conduct
Authority and as such constitutes marketing communication. This document has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements
designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of
investment research.
The information enclosed herein should be considered “non-independent research” and is categorised as such because it has been prepared by persons who may be exposed to such conflicts of interest and is considered non-objective or non-impartial.
FORWARD –LOOKING STATEMENTS
Certain statements contained herein constitute forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements including, without limitation, statements typically containing words such as “intends”, “anticipates”, “targets”, “estimates”, “believes”, “should”, “plans”, “will”, “expects”
and similar expressions or statements that are not historical facts are intended to identify those expressions or statements as forward-looking
statements. The statements are based on the current expectations of the Company and are naturally subject to uncertainty and changes in circumstances. By their nature,, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty and the factors described in the context of such
forward-looking statements in this document could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed in or
implied by such forward-looking statements. These factors include, but are not limited to, local and global political and economic conditions, interest rate fluctuations (including those from any potential credit rating decline) and legal or regulatory developments and changes. Given
these risks and uncertainties, investors should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements.
This Document does not constitute an offer t0o sell or an invitation to subscribe for, or solicitation of an offer to subscribe for or but, Ordinary Shares to any person in any jurisdiction to whom it is unlawful to make such offer, invitation or solicitation. In particular, this document must
not be taken , transmitted, distributed or sent, directly or indirectly, in, or into, the United States of America, Canada, Australia, Japan or the
Republic of South Africa or transmitted, distributed or sent to, or by, any national, resident or citizen of such countries. Accordingly, the Ordinary Shares may not, subject to certain exemptions, be offered or sold, directly or indirectly, in, or into, the United States of America,
Canada, Australia, Japan or the Republic of South Africa or in any other country, territory or possession where to do so may contravene local
securities laws or regulations. The Ordinary Shares have not been, and will not be, registered under the United States of America Securities Act of 1933 (as amended) or under the securities legislation of any state of the United States of America, any province or territory of Canada,
Australia, Japan or the Republic of South Africa and they may not be offered or sold, directly or indirectly, within the United States of
America, Canada, Australia, Japan or the Republic of South Africa or to or for the account or benefit of any national, citizen or resident of the United States of America, Canada, Australia, Japan or the Republic of South Africa or to any US person (within the definition of Regulation S
made under the United States Securities Act 1933 (as amended)).
The distribution of this Document outside the UK may be restricted by law. No action has been taken by the Company or ADS that would permit a public offer of the shares in the Company or possession of this document where action for that purpose is required. Persons outside the
UK who come into possession of this Document should inform themselves about the distribution of this document in their particular
jurisdiction. Failure to comply with those restricytions may constitute a violation of the securities laws of such jurisdictions.
MATERIAL INTEREST
We endeavour at all times to ensure that our financial promotions are clear, fair and not misleading, however, we do not hold it out as being
impartial and it should not be viewed as wholly objective since Alexander David Securities Limited (“ADS”), is broker to, or is retained by, this company and any such financial promotion is therefore unlikely to be perceived as objective.
ADS, the directors and employees thereof and/or any connected persons may have or previously held a material interest in the company which
is the subject matter of this communication and may from time-to-time add to or dispose of such interest.
This report has been prepared for information purposes only and is not a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security. It does not purport to
be a complete description of the securities, markets or developments referred to in the report. It is based on publicly available information and
sources that we believe to be reliable but we have not independently verified such information and we do not guarantee that it is accurate and complete.
Neither the Company nor ADS nor any of their respective associates or directors , officers or advisers, provides any representation, assurance or
guarantee that the occurrence of the events expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements contained herein will actually occur. Other than in accordance with their legal or regulatory obligations ( including under the [GXG] Rules, the Disclosure and Transparency Rules of the
Financial Conduct Authority and the City Code on Takeovers and Mergers), neither the Company nor ADS is under any obligation, and each of
them expressly disclaims any intention or obligation, to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
CIRCULATION
[16]
RISK WARNING NOTICE
All investments are speculative and prices may change quickly and go down as well as up. Past performance will not necessarily be repeated
and is no guarantee of future success. There is an extra risk of losing money when shares are bought in some smaller companies including
“penny shares”. There can be a big difference between the buying price and the selling price of these shares and if they have to be sold immediately, you may get back much less than you paid for them or in some circumstances, it may be difficult to sell at any price. It may also
be difficult for you to obtain reliable information about the value of this investment or the extent of the risks to which it is exposed. Where a
company has chosen to borrow money (gearing) as part of its business strategy its share price may become more volatile and subject to sudden and large falls. This investment may not be suitable for all investors, and clients should carefully consider their own personal financial
circumstances before dealing in the stock market, particularly those on fixed incomes or approaching retirement age. If you have any doubts
you should seek advice from your investment adviser or your broker at this firm.
The success of the Company is highly dependent on the development of the Hot Creek acreage and in raising suffient funds for this
development. At the date of this document the Company has no producing well. Oil exploration and drilling is a high risk venture.
GXG
GXG Main Quote MTF is an SME dedicated exchange run by GXG Markets A/S providing full public market quote and trading facility. It is a
market designed primarily for emerging or smaller companies. The rules of this market are less demanding than those of the official List of the
London Stock Exchange and therefore companies quoted on GXG Main Quote carry a greater risk than a company with a full listing.
For further information on ADS’s policies and procedures, including our conflicts of interest policy, please visit our website at www.ad-securities.com.