Urban and Regional Carbon Management (URCM)(URCM)

Penelope CananPenelope CananGlobal Carbon ProjectGlobal Carbon Project

Tsukuba International Project OfficeTsukuba International Project Office

Linking the Global, Regional, LocalLinking the Global, Regional, Local

Urban and Regional Carbon Management (URCM)(URCM)

research on place-based carbon budgets

using a comparative and historical approach to

urban, regional, and global carbon footprints,

their determinants, trajectories, & management opportunities.

Cities-in-Regions

Historical

Windows ofOpportunityfor Now &for the Futurefor De-CarbonizedDevelopment

Population

Culture

Institutions

Technology

Eco-Environment

Organization

The “Human Dimensions”(Underlying

Causes)

Infrastructure ExtensionWood ExtractionAgricultural Expansion

BuildingsTransportationIndustry Urban Design

Residential

Proximate Drivers

Regional Carbon Budget

LAND USESENERGY

Place-Based Variations in the Place-Based Variations in the Carbon-Climate-Human CycleCarbon-Climate-Human Cycle

Population

Culture

Institutions

Technology

Eco-Environment

Organization

Specifying the Variables that are Key to Specifying the Variables that are Key to Understanding Place-Based Variations in the Understanding Place-Based Variations in the

Carbon-Climate-Human CycleCarbon-Climate-Human Cycle

• Population

• Organization

• Eco-Environment

• Technology

• Institutions

• Culture

• Composition, Distribution

• Groups, Organizations (Structure & Stratification)

• Ecosystem/Climate/Land Cover/Land Use

• Energy, Transportation

• Economy, Polity, Health, Education, Religion

• Beliefs, Values, Customs, Ethics

BUSINESSINDUSTRY

LAW

ETHICS

DEVELOPMENT

HISTORY

ECONOMICS

ANTHOPOLOGY

SocialMovmtsScience,

KnowlTechn

OrgztnlSociology

Cultural Studies

Justice

Stratification, Power, & Politics

Demography

Economic Sociology

Environmental Technology

PEWS

Community Studies

GEOGRAPHYUrban Soc.

URCMURCM

IntegratingPerspectivesFor SustainabilityScience andURCM

A Portfolio of A Portfolio of Research ApproachesResearch Approaches

• Case studies• Cross-sectional statistical approaches• Narratives, surveys, interviews• Secondary data analysis• Remote sensing• Qualitative Comparative Analysis• Social Network Analysis• Models Scenarios, GIS, Simulations• Quantitative Indicators of Trends• Meta-Analyses

PIK

USCCSP

IIASA

NIES/COEArizona

State University

Autonomous University

of Mexico

NCAR

University of

Chiang Mai

University of

Flensburg

Penn State University

Climate-Carbon-Human- Cycle

Studies

Building Network of CarbonCycleResearch & Training

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Regions

Cities

Culture

Climate

Carbon

Change

Consequences

Places

Research ToolsTrainingCollaborationDissemination

Population

Organization

Environment

Technology

Institutions

Culture

Integrating Information on Carbon Footprints and Social Changeat Multiple Scales in Space and Time

URCM Framework Human Dimensions

Land Use & Emissions DataDevelopment Pathways

Quality of Life IndicatorsEcosystem Services Data

Ethno-Eco-Environmental Typologies

Carbon-Climate-Human

Collaborative Action Research & Management Networks

SpatialComparative

Biogeophysical

Historical TrendsCurrent Conditions

Policy Options

ImpactsScenarios

Databases

Socio-cultural

Carbon Budgets Climate, Weather

Literature Reviews, Bibliography Qualitative Comparative Analysis

Global & Regional Models Comparison

Interpretive Synthesis H

ub

Population

Culture

Institutions

Technology

Environment

Organization

Literature Review

Indicators & Measures

Models Comparison

File # POETIC DATE MODEL

A-212 PEIE 1991 World 3

A-212 PEIE 1995MESSAGE Model for Energy Supply Strategy Alternatives and their General

A-212 PEIE 1997TARGETS (Tool to Assess Regional and Global Environmental and Health Targets for Sustainability)

  PEI 1998-2002 GAIM PLAN

A-212 PETIE 1995MARIA Multiregional Approach for Resource and Industry Allocation

A-212 PETIE 1999 IF International Futures

A-212 PETIE 2000 AIM Asia Pacific Integrated Model

A-12 pOEtIE 2000 IMAGE 2.2

File # Category POETIC Focus Title Source Author

A-12 Model pOEtIE

Land Use, Emissions The IMAGE 2.2 Model web  

A-145 Climate POETICLand Use, Emissions

Global Change in Local Places: How Scale Matters

Climate Change

Wilbanks, Thomas J. and Robert W.

Kates

A-154 Climate POETIC Land Use

The Role of Carbon Cycle Observations and Knowledge in Carbon Management

Annu. Rev.

Environ. Resour. Dilling, Lisa et al.

A-161 Climate POIE Land Use

West Greenland's Cod-to-Shrimp Transition: Local Dimensions of Climatic Change Arctic

Hamilton, Lawrence C., Benjamin C. Brown, and Rasmus Ole Rasmussen

A-202Environment

Typology POE Land use

Land Use Change and Carbon cycle in Arid and Semi-arid Lands of East and Central Asia

Science in China

Chuluun, Togtohyn and Dennis Ojima

Carbon Budget, Climate Change

Population

City Country 1990 2000

Climate Group

Boulder U.S.A. 85,127 94,673

Yamagata Japan 249,487 255,369

IAI

Buenos Aires Argentina 2,965,403 2,768,772

Mexico City Mexico 8,235,744 8,605,239

APN

Manilla Philippines 1,598,918 1,581,082

Jambi Indonesia 339,786 417,507

 CO2 Emissions

(per capita)Total Forest(hectares)

% Precipitation

Change

Temperature Change

Country 1990 1998 1990 2000 1990 1998 1990 2000

U.S.A. 18.9 19.9 222,113 225,993        

Japan 8.7 9.0 24,047 24,081        

Thailand 1.7 3.2 15886 14762        

Argentina 3.4 3.8 37,499 34,648        

Mexico 3.7 3.9 61,511 55,205        

Philippines 0.7 1.0 6,676 5,789        

India 0.8 1.1 63,732 64,113        

Indonesia 0.9 1.1 118,110 104,986        

Canada 15.4 15.3 244,571 244,571        

World 4.2 4.1 3,963,429 3,869,455 -.02 .04 +.2 +.5

Retrieving InformationFrom URCM Database

Asian Carbon Cycle Research Conference in March 2006, Beijing

Two Opportunities…

Selected LiteratureSelected LiteratureAbler, R. 2003. Global Change and Local Places: Estimating,

Understanding, and Reducing Greenhouse Gases. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Dhakal, Shobakar. 2004. Urban Energy Use and Greenhouse Gas Emission in Asian Mega-Cities: Policies for a Sustainable Future. Kanagawa: Institute for Global Environmental Strategies.

Lankao, P. R. et al. (eds.) 2005. Can Cities Reduce Global Warming?: Urban Development and the Carbon Cycle in Latin America. Mexico: IAI, UAM-X, GCP.

Lebel, L and D. Totrakool (eds.). 2005. Integrating Carbon Management into Development Strategies of Cities – Establishing a Network of Case Studies of Urbanisation in the Asia-Pacific (final report for APN project 2004-07-CMY-Lasco). Kobe: Asia-Pacific Network for Global Change Research.

Rayner, Steve and Elizabeth Malone (eds.). 1998. Human Choice & Climate Change (4 Volumes). Columbus: Battelle Press.

Svirejeva-Hopkins, A. 2004. Urbanised Territories as a Specific Components of the Global Carbon Cycle, Dissertation, University of Potsdam.

www.globalcarbonproject.org