UNIDO - Technology Foresight Latin America1 THE FUTURE OF THE FISHERY INDUSTRY South American...

UNIDO - Technology Foresight Latin America 1

THE FUTURE OF THE FISHERY INDUSTRY

South American Pacific Coast

http://www.unido.org/doc/5216

UNIDO - Technology Foresight Latin America

Regional Foresight ExercisesRegional Foresight Exercises

Regional foresight exercise can contribute to raise awareness and create consensus among the stakeholders interested on the sustainable reorganization of the corresponded production chain.

Regional foresight exercise can contribute to raise awareness and create consensus among the stakeholders interested on the sustainable reorganization of the corresponded production chain.


UNIDO - Technology Foresight Latin America

Perspectives of Regional Foresight Exercise for Production Chains

ProductsProducts Production processesProduction processes

MarketsMarkets

Identification of:

Opportunities for the regional production chains and industries

Needed technology enhancement

Identification of:

Opportunities for the regional production chains and industries

Needed technology enhancement



The future of the Fishery IndustrySouth American Pacific Coast

Changes within the fishery industry, such as natural and living resources, industrial input, forms of extraction, processing, lifestyle and with it, human consumption, are being increasingly influenced by new knowledge and applied technology…

New technology is changing the fishery world




The possibility a country has to keep itself abreast in the fishery industrial sector, depends on its capacity to change and update. This will be possible through the use of programmes which promote the development of science and technology, applicable to different sectors within the fishery industry. These programmes would allow a more extensive and sustainable development of fragile fishing natural resources.

Technology ForeSight Programmes to promote the Innovation Process




UNIDO, in cooperation with the Government of Spain, implemented within the Regional Technology Foresight Initiative for Latin America and the Caribbean, a technology foresight study of the productive chain of the fishery industry in the region of the South American Pacific coast.

A Regional Initiative for Latin America




Colombia

Peru

Ecuador

Chile

The countries covered in this study are...




The project concentrates on the fishery industry as conceived as an integrated production chain:

Scope




Marine

Fresh water

Aquaculture

RESOURCES

Intermediate and final agricultural

goods

Industrial intermediate goods

Production services

INDUSTRIAL INPUTS

Capital goods

Infrastructure

Factory ships

Seine

Small scale

EXTRACTION

Aquaculture

Canned

Frozen

Cured

PROCESSING

Concentrated

Hydrolysed

Meals and crude oils

HUMAN CONSUMPTION

NON - HUMAN CONSUMPTION

Semi-refined oils

Balanced food

Refined oils

Animal feed

Productive Chain




The project highlights are the following sectors:




Natural Resources




Extraction




Processing




Quality Assurance




Commercialisation




The methodology used for the study aims at combining the national and regional levels of the project.

Methodology




Methodology

National Diagnostics

Regional Situation

Regional Conference

National productive chains: fleets, industry, markets

Analysis of the basic productive chain

Strengh and weakness of the environment

Regional Panel Methods Workshop




National Foresight Studies

National Panel 2 National Panel 3National Panel 1 National Panel 4

Consultations

Regional Panel and Report

Critical Technologies

Markets Tools of Action

Decision Making Processes



Host Counterparts

National Coordinators

Foresight Expert InstitutionOPTI

International Experts

Agents




Background

• Project as part of the UNIDO Regional Initiative for Technology Foresight in Latin America

• Interest of the countries in the region on technology foresight

• Experience of OPTI on complex foresight exercises• Experiences, specially in Brazil, on working with production

chains analysis• Critical character of the fishery activities in the region• Financing by the Spanish government




The foresight exercise was expected to:

• Promote a colective vision about the future of the subject production chain

• Not to propose immediate solutions but the basic elements to design them

• Not to tell what “will happen” but instead what “could happen”

• Should be addapted to the concret conditions of the countries involved or the region

• Should be a social mobilization process around technological and industrial issues




Special characteristics of the exercise:

Participation of different countries

Plurinational

Complex production chain

Multisectorial




Phases of the exercise

1. Diagnostics

2. Foresight study




Diagnostics

• Objetive:– Describe the present situation of the

productive chain, identifying its limitations and opportunities. This description is the basis for the long-term foresight exercise.




Diagnostics

• Key aspects for consideration:

– Productive efficiency– Quality of the products– Environmental sustainability




Regional Diagnostics

• Based on the national diagnostics and other available information

• Not to be a composition or repetition of the content of the national diagnostics

• Envisages identifying the wider questions, threats and drivers to form the framework for the foresight studies




Foresight studies

The methodology is supported by two elements:

– Creation of a Expert Panel

– Consultation through a questionaire to be answered by a representive number of knowledgible persons, covering different view points




Experts Panel

• 10-15 persons• Balance of professional

fields• Balance of age, gender

and geografic origen• Care of dominant

personalities• Care of cross interest




Funtions of the Panel

Before the consultation:– Write down the hypothesis for the questionaire– Selecte the variables to valorize these hypothesis– Propose the persons to be consulted

After the consultation:– Analize the results– Identify future trends – Elaborate the conclusions and recommendations




Consultation

• Persons, not institutions• Qualifications:

– Experts in the field – Vision of the future– Imagination

• Motivation to participate• Follow up capacity




Results of the consultation

• Identification of relevant events• Probable term of implementation• Distribution of opinions (levels of uncertainty)• Conditions of implementation• Diverse opinions• Creation of a network of experts to be

consulted in the future and to support the post-foresight activities




NATIONAL LEVEL

REGIONAL LEVELDIAGNOSTICS

FORESIGHT STUDY

NATIONAL REPORTS

REGIONAL SYNTESIS

REGIONAL CONFERENCE

REGIONAL PANEL

FINAL REPORT




Regional Panel : Mission

The institutional mechanism to guarantee the regional dimension of the exercise. Its role is to achieve that the conclusions and recommendations are not a simple summing of the results of the national studies, but that they incorporate the added value of a collective and plurinational vision of the future.




Problems and lessons learned

• Long preparation time

• Difficulties in communication

• Level of replies at the consultation

• Adaptation of the methodology to the real local conditions

• Critical level of resources




Main resultsMain results

• 1) Agreements on 1) Agreements on regional cooperationregional cooperation for for improving productivity and competitiveness of improving productivity and competitiveness of selected sectors of the fishery industry.selected sectors of the fishery industry.

• 2) Definition of 2) Definition of regional R&D programmesregional R&D programmes..

• 3) Application of 3) Application of up-graded technologiesup-graded technologies in in selected products and sectors of the fishery selected products and sectors of the fishery industryindustry




Recommendations for follow up programmesRecommendations for follow up programmes

- Definition of a Definition of a regional policyregional policy

- Technology up-grading and investment promotion Technology up-grading and investment promotion for for re-conversion and modernizationre-conversion and modernization

- Creation of new Creation of new regional centerregional center for capability for capability building and technology watch/road mappingbuilding and technology watch/road mapping

- - Establishing a Establishing a quality mark of originquality mark of origin for the fish for the fish products of the regionproducts of the region




UNIDO UNIDO TECHNOLOGY FORESIGHT TECHNOLOGY FORESIGHT

PROGRAMMEPROGRAMME

UNIDO UNIDO TECHNOLOGY FORESIGHT TECHNOLOGY FORESIGHT

PROGRAMMEPROGRAMME

www.unido.org/foresightwww.unido.org/foresight

Ricardo Seidl da FonsecaRicardo Seidl da Fonseca

INDUSTRY PROMOTION AND TECHNOLOGY INDUSTRY PROMOTION AND TECHNOLOGY BRANCHBRANCH


UNIDO - Technology Foresight Latin America1 THE FUTURE OF THE FISHERY INDUSTRY South American...

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