UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Sixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002 Panels Timber Committee forecasts by...

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UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Sixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002 Panels Timber Committee forecasts by Mr. Jorge Najera Expert presentation by Mr. Olli Koskiranta, Vice- President, Business Development, Finnforest Corporation

Transcript of UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Sixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002 Panels Timber Committee forecasts by...

Page 1: UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Sixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002 Panels Timber Committee forecasts by Mr. Jorge Najera Expert presentation by Mr. Olli Koskiranta,

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEESixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002

Panels

Timber Committee forecasts byMr. Jorge Najera

Expert presentation byMr. Olli Koskiranta, Vice-President, Business Development,Finnforest Corporation

Page 2: UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Sixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002 Panels Timber Committee forecasts by Mr. Jorge Najera Expert presentation by Mr. Olli Koskiranta,

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEESixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002

Highlights of Forest Products Annual Market Review 2001-

2002

• Panels industries restructuring to increase profitability.

• North American consumption of panels was steady.

• European consumption of wood-based panels dropped by 4%.

• Russian Federation consumption of wood-based panels climbed 15%.

Page 3: UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Sixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002 Panels Timber Committee forecasts by Mr. Jorge Najera Expert presentation by Mr. Olli Koskiranta,

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEESixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002

EUROPEEUROPETotal Wood-based PanelsTotal Wood-based Panels

% change 2002 2003 Apparent

consumption

- 1.4 + 0.1

Production + 1.2 + 1.0 Imports - 2.7 - 0.7 Exports + 3.4 + 1.5

Page 4: UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Sixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002 Panels Timber Committee forecasts by Mr. Jorge Najera Expert presentation by Mr. Olli Koskiranta,

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEESixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002

NORTH AMERICANORTH AMERICATotal Wood-based PanelsTotal Wood-based Panels

% change 2002 2003 Apparent

consumption

- 1.7 - 0.7

Production - 0.8 - 0.4 Imports - 6.3 - 1.5 Exports - 3.6 - 0.2

Page 5: UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Sixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002 Panels Timber Committee forecasts by Mr. Jorge Najera Expert presentation by Mr. Olli Koskiranta,

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEESixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002

RUSSIAN FEDERATIONRUSSIAN FEDERATIONTotal Wood-based PanelsTotal Wood-based Panels

% change 2002 2003 Apparent

consumption

+ 5.0 + 5.4

Production + 6.0 + 8.7 Imports + 2.8 - 9.4 Exports + 7.5 + 8.6

Page 6: UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Sixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002 Panels Timber Committee forecasts by Mr. Jorge Najera Expert presentation by Mr. Olli Koskiranta,

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEESixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002

Europe: Particle board (including OSB)

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

35 000

40 000

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

10

00

m3

Production Imports Exports

Page 7: UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Sixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002 Panels Timber Committee forecasts by Mr. Jorge Najera Expert presentation by Mr. Olli Koskiranta,

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEESixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002

Highlights of Forest Products Annual Market Review

• European particle board industry restructured in 2001.

• EU/EFTA particle board production dropped by 6%.

• “Other Europe” particle board production dropped 2.8%.

Page 8: UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Sixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002 Panels Timber Committee forecasts by Mr. Jorge Najera Expert presentation by Mr. Olli Koskiranta,

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEESixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002

Europe: OSB

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

10

00

m3

Production Imports Exports

Page 9: UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Sixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002 Panels Timber Committee forecasts by Mr. Jorge Najera Expert presentation by Mr. Olli Koskiranta,

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEESixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002

Highlights of Forest Products Annual Market Review

• In Europe production of OSB set a new record level of 1.6 million m3.

Page 10: UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Sixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002 Panels Timber Committee forecasts by Mr. Jorge Najera Expert presentation by Mr. Olli Koskiranta,

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEESixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002

Europe: Fibreboard

0

3 000

6 000

9 000

12 000

15 000

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

10

00

m3

Production Imports Exports

Page 11: UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Sixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002 Panels Timber Committee forecasts by Mr. Jorge Najera Expert presentation by Mr. Olli Koskiranta,

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEESixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002

Europe: MDF

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

10 000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

10

00

m3

Production Imports Exports

Page 12: UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Sixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002 Panels Timber Committee forecasts by Mr. Jorge Najera Expert presentation by Mr. Olli Koskiranta,

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEESixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002

Highlights of Forest Products Annual Market Review

•MDF production in the EU/EFTA continued its rapid expansion.

•MDF production in “Other Europe” expanded 1.5 million m3.

Page 13: UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Sixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002 Panels Timber Committee forecasts by Mr. Jorge Najera Expert presentation by Mr. Olli Koskiranta,

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEESixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002

Europe: Plywood

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

10

00

m3

Production Imports Exports

Page 14: UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Sixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002 Panels Timber Committee forecasts by Mr. Jorge Najera Expert presentation by Mr. Olli Koskiranta,

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEESixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002

• Softwood plywood production in EU/EFTA countries was down.

•Softwood plywood production increased by more than 6% in “Other

Europe”.

•Softwood plywood production increased by almost 13% in the

Russian Federation.

Highlights of Forest Products Annual Market Review

Page 15: UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Sixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002 Panels Timber Committee forecasts by Mr. Jorge Najera Expert presentation by Mr. Olli Koskiranta,

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEESixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002

North America: Plywood

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

10

00

m3

Production Imports Exports

Page 16: UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Sixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002 Panels Timber Committee forecasts by Mr. Jorge Najera Expert presentation by Mr. Olli Koskiranta,

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEESixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002

North America: Structural panel production

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

10

00

m3

OSB Plywood

Page 17: UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Sixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002 Panels Timber Committee forecasts by Mr. Jorge Najera Expert presentation by Mr. Olli Koskiranta,

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEESixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002

Highlights of Forest Products Annual Market Review 2001-

2002

• Continued substitution of plywood by OSB in the United States.

• OSB production in North America continued upwards reached 20 million m3.

Page 18: UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Sixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002 Panels Timber Committee forecasts by Mr. Jorge Najera Expert presentation by Mr. Olli Koskiranta,

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEESixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002

STRUCTURAL PANEL COMPOSITE STRUCTURAL PANEL COMPOSITE PRICEPRICE

(RANDOM LENGTHS(RANDOM LENGTHS))

200

225

250

275

300

325

350

375

400

425

450

475$ /

1000 b

oard

feet

Page 19: UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Sixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002 Panels Timber Committee forecasts by Mr. Jorge Najera Expert presentation by Mr. Olli Koskiranta,

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEESixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002

PRICES OF OSB AND FRAMING PRICES OF OSB AND FRAMING LUMBER IN THE UNITED STATESLUMBER IN THE UNITED STATES

1995-20021995-2002

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

$

OSBFraming sawnwood composite price

Page 20: UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Sixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002 Panels Timber Committee forecasts by Mr. Jorge Najera Expert presentation by Mr. Olli Koskiranta,

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEESixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002

North America: Particle board (excluding OSB)

0

3 000

6 000

9 000

12 000

15 000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

10

00

m3

Production Imports Exports

Page 21: UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Sixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002 Panels Timber Committee forecasts by Mr. Jorge Najera Expert presentation by Mr. Olli Koskiranta,

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEESixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002

North America: Particle board (excluding OSB)

110

130

150

170

190

210

230

250

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

$ / 1

,000 s

quare

feet

Page 22: UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Sixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002 Panels Timber Committee forecasts by Mr. Jorge Najera Expert presentation by Mr. Olli Koskiranta,

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEESixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002

North America: Fibreboard

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

10 000

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

10

00

m3

Production Imports Exports

Page 23: UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Sixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002 Panels Timber Committee forecasts by Mr. Jorge Najera Expert presentation by Mr. Olli Koskiranta,

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEESixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002

North America: MDF

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

10

00

m3

Production Imports Exports

Page 24: UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Sixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002 Panels Timber Committee forecasts by Mr. Jorge Najera Expert presentation by Mr. Olli Koskiranta,

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEESixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002

Highlights of Forest Products Annual Market Review

• MDF production in North America remained close to 2000 levels.

Page 25: UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Sixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002 Panels Timber Committee forecasts by Mr. Jorge Najera Expert presentation by Mr. Olli Koskiranta,

UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEESixtieth session, 24-27 September 2002

Next presentation

Mr. Olli Koskiranta, Vice-President,

Business Development, Finnforest Corporation,Metsä, Finland