UNCLASSIFIED 1 Operational Intelligence Preparation of the Environment (OIPE) Briefing Isla del Sol...

UNCLASSIFIED 1

Operational Intelligence Operational Intelligence Preparation of the Preparation of the

Environment (OIPE) BriefingEnvironment (OIPE) Briefing

Isla del SolIsla del Sol

2-10 April 20152-10 April 2015

29 December 2015 DRAFT

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1. What is OIPE?2. OIPE for the Isla del Sol:

A. Geography;B. Weather, Threats and Hazards;C. Political, Military, Economic, Social,

Information, Infrastructure, Physical and Time (PMESII-PT);

D. Actor and Stakeholder Analysis;E. Troop Contributing Country Military Resources;F. Humanitarian Situation.

Agenda

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•OIPE: A continuous activity that assists Commander’s Appreciation Process during all phases of planning and execution of multinational operations.

•OIPE provides foundation for Commander’s Situational Assessment

•A key CTF planning principle is: “Before any problem solutions can be identified the problem must first be clearly understood.

– Understanding the problem(s) preventing attainment of the assigned military end states is essential for the CCTF to accurately understand the situation.

•OIPE is a modification of the Joint Intelligence Preparation of the Operational Environment (JIPOE) which includes:

– Baseline analysis of the traditional intelligence concerns of enemy, weather, terrain;

– Added considerations that political, military, economic, social, infrastructure, and information dynamics have on the operational environment.

What is OIPE?

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•This briefing will provide an overview of the OIPE for this workshop.

•A complete OIPE study is located in digital form on each laptop in your planning groups.

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Isla del Sol

2° S

4° S

6° S

8° S 170° E168° E 172° E

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IDS within the Region

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IDS within the Region

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IDS Geography & Demographics

• Island nation running northwest to southeast.• Mountain spine runs entire

length of island;• Sea level to 1,500 m mountain

peaks;•Land area:• ~ 140,000 km2

(~ 54,054 sq mi)• Slightly smaller than Nepal

and Tajikistan. •Population: 320,000 (2011

census)• 54% urban & small towns

(over 5,000 persons);• Largest town: Ensenada at

63,192.• 46% small towns and rural. 8

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IDS Weather, Threats and Hazards

•Weather– Semi-arid to desert.– Mostly desert (≤ 30 cm of

rainfall).– Semi-arid in southeast

plain.•Temperatures

– Average 20° to 31° C (68°to 88° F).

– Cooler in higher elevations.

– Little seasonal variation.•Hazards

– Cyclones from January to April.

– Flash flooding and landslides.

– Tsunami exposure in low-lying areas. 9

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IDS PMESII-PT

Political: Parliamentary republic.• Capital: Santa Rosalia• 3 administrative districts• Executive Branch

Prime Minister Carlos Manuel de Céspedes del Castillo

12 Cabinet Ministers• Legislative Branch

Unicameral parliament – National Constituent Assembly

120 Assemblymen 4-year terms.

• Judiciary: Highest court: Tribunal Supremo

Provincial courts: Audiencia Provincial

Municipal courts: Tribunal Municipal

Isla del Sol gained independence from former colonial ruler Iberia 24 March 2014 through a UN-brokered referendum.

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Military•Military: None•Security Forces:

– Gendarmerie Guardia Civil

Island-wide jurisdictionDivided into 3 Legions1,500 Officers and enlisted personnel

Guardia MunicipalMetropolitan police for Ensenada and Santa Rosalia210 police officers

– Coast Guard Servicio Guardacostas

130 Officers and enlisted personnel6 Zhuk-class patrol boats2 Fokker F-27 maritime surveillance aircraft.

IDS PMESII-PT

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IDS PMESII-PT

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Economic:•Underdeveloped agriculture and fishing economy:

33% ranching / herding / subsistence agriculture;24% fishing;19% commerce;13% services.

•Potential for economic growth with foreign investment in oil exploration and palm oil farming.•Inequitable distribution of income and wealth.•Annual gross national product: US$ 400 million.•Annual per capita income: US$1,250.

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IDS PMESII-PT

Social:•Population: 320,00 (2011 census)•Age structure:• 0-14 yrs. 35.3%• 15-24 yrs. 21%• 25-64 yrs. 40.1%• 65+ yrs. 3.6%

•Ethnic identity:• Mestizo 29%• Mohanjerani 25%• Lahui Kanaka 24%• Mixed 21%• Other < 1%

•Religious affiliation: • Christianity

(Roman Catholic)43%

• Islam 41%• Lahui Kanaka 15%• Other < 1%

•Language (primary):• Spanish* 37%• Western Arabic 32%• Lahui Kanaka 31%

* Spanish is the official language and lingua franca of commerce. Most Isla del Sol citizens speak conversational Spanish.

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Information•Literacy rate: ~ 50%;• 65% of population with < 5 years of formal education.

•Television:• 1 state-owned station with national coverage;• Multi-channel pay TV available.

•Radio:• 2 state-owned radio stations;• 2 privately owned radio stations;• Multiple international broadcasters available.

•Telephones:• Main lines in use: 25,400• Mobile phones in use: 164,200

•Internet: 36,000 internet users.•Newspapers: 2 large-circulation newspapers

IDS PMESII-PT

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IDS PMESII-PT

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IDS PMESII-PTPhysical•Generally poor infrastructure,

especially in rural areas.•Distances from Santa Rosalia to (in

km):Australia, Sydney 3,699.9

Fiji, Suva 1,462.7Japan, Tokyo 5,778.6Malaysia, KL 7865.1New Caledonia, Noumea 2,896.1New Zealand, Auckland 3,369.5Solomon Islands, Honiara 1,369.4Thailand, Bangkok 8,193.3Tuvalu, Funafuti 828.9USA, Honolulu, HI 4,527.5

Time• +11 hrs. from UTC

(Same as New Caledonia)

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Major Actors in IDS

•Government of Isla del Sol:–Guardia Civil;–Guardia Municipal;–Servicio de Guardacostas.

•Armed Terrorist / Insurgent Groups:–Sons of Isla del Sol (SIS);

–Kamali’I ka Me’e Lahui Kanaka (“Children of Lahui Kanaka Heros” – KMLK);

–International Peoples’ Movement (IPM).

•Organized Crime Families:–Mohajerani Criminal Gangs (MCG);

–Lahui Kanaka Criminal Gangs (LKCG).

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Major Actors in IDSGendarmerie and Servicio de Guardacostas

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Guardia Municipal

Guardia Civil(by Legion)

Servicio de Guardacostas

Legion 3

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Major Actors in IDSSIS Area of Influence and Piracy

Operations

SantaRosaliaSanta

Rosalia

EnsenadaEnsenada

San FelipeSan Felipe

SIS Area of Influence

SIS Piracy Operations

Servicio de Guardacostas bases

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Major Actors in IDS (cont.)

•IDS displaced persons:• All IDPs 100,000+• IDPs in San Felipe camps

~90,000

•United Nations Support Mission in Isla del Sol (UNSMI)

•Humanitarian and Development communities: • UN humanitarian agencies,

funds & programmes; • International

organizations; • Red Cross societies; • Non-Governmental

Organizations: “IDS CAA”.

•Foreign Workers:– Major employers:

Petroliam Nasional Berhad (PETRONAS)

Shell Oil Company (USA)

Sime Darby Berhad– Largest number of foreign

workers Malaysia 9,500 USA 1,250

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Major Actors in IDSUNSMI and IDP Camp Locations

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FO EnsenadaFO Ensenada

FO San FelipeFO San Felipe

FO Santa Catarina

FO Santa Catarina

FO LoretoFO Loreto

FO Guerro NegroFO Guerro Negro

HQ Santa Rosalia

HQ Santa Rosalia

San Felipe IDP campsSan Felipe IDP camps

HQ Santa Rosalia

Field Offices:

•Ensenada

•Guerro Negro

•Loreto

•San Felipe

•Santa Catarina

•San Felipe IDP camps X 3

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Major Actors in IDSLocations of Foreign Economic Interests

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Bahia TortugasBahia Tortugas

SantaRosaliaSanta

Rosalia

SanIgnacio

SanIgnacio


EnsenadaEnsenada PETRONAS / Shell Oil Sites

Sime Darby palm oil plantations

Airports

Seaports

Highway 1

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Major Actors in IDSLocations of Foreign Economic Interests &

SIS Areas of Influence and Piracy Operations

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SantaRosaliaSanta

Rosalia

SanIgnacio

SanIgnacio

Airports

Seaports

Highway 1

PETRONAS / Shell Oil Sites





EnsenadaEnsenada

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Isla del SolNon-Combatant Evacuation

Operation•Mission: Evacuation of 1,916 foreign civilians from Isla del Sol.

•French-led Non-combatant Evacuation Operation in IDS, mixed nations, mixed services.

•NEO Forces for planning: MPAT Nations, mixed services

•NEO Forces Staging Area: Nouméa, New Caledonia–French government offers Nouméa as staging and destination point.

•IDS government consents to operation; anticipate SIS attempts to disrupt operation and / or target evacuees.

•Evacuees: Foreign non-essential diplomatic personnel and families, foreign aid workers and foreign workers.

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Operation (cont.)

•Concentrations of evacuees:–Northern District: Ensenada, San Felipe, Northern GOPLATs

–Central District: Santa Catarina, Guerro Negro, El Barril

–Southern District: Bahia Tortugas, San Ignacio, Santa Rosalia, Southern GOPLATs, Loreto.

•Destinations: Directly to home country or to Nouméa, New Caledonia, for commercial transport home.

•Violence in Northern District, instability in Central and Southern Districts, piracy offshore.

•Execute mission NLT 1 May 2015

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Operation


SantaRosaliaSanta

Rosalia

SanIgnacio

SanIgnacio

Airports

Seaports

Highway 1



UN & Humanitarian Operations

Diplomatic missions

SIS Area of Influence & Piracy


EnsenadaEnsenada

SantaRosali

a

SantaRosali

a

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Assets Available for PlanningNon-combatant Evacuation

Operation

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•Assets Available for Planning• TBD • TBD • TBD

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Isla del SolStability Operation

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•Mission: In support of Govt. of IDS, assist in providing security, countering terrorism and protection of civilians.

– At request of Govt. of IDS and in accordance with UNSCR 2275 and 2282 (2015).

– Area to be secured: Isla del Sol.•French-led stability operation in IDS, mixed nations, mixed

services.•Stability Operations Forces for planning: MPAT Nations, mixed

services.•Stability Operations Forces staging area: Nouméa, New

Caledonia.– French government offers Nouméa as planning and staging

area.– Participating nations to transport troops to staging area.

•Anticipate SIS and MCG opposition.•Execute mission NLT 11 May 2015

– Handover to IDS Security Forces by 11 July 2015, full transition of operations by 21 August 2015.

•Requests for Forces allowed once approved by MPAT Secretariat.

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Locations of Security Incidents

As of 31 March 2015

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SantaRosaliaSanta

Rosalia

SanIgnacio

SanIgnacio



Airports

Seaports

Highway 1




EnsenadaEnsenada

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Assets Available for PlanningStability Operation

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Isla del SolMaritime Security Operation

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•Mission: In support of Govt. of IDS, assist in countering acts of piracy, providing security and protection of civilians in waters off IDS.

– At request of Govt. of IDS and in accordance with UNSCR 2275 and 2282 (2015).

– Area to be secured: Waters surrounding Isla del Sol.•French-led Maritime Security operation, mixed nations, mixed

services.•Maritime Security Forces for planning: MPAT Nations, mixed

services.•Maritime Security Forces staging area: Nouméa, New Caledonia.

– French government offers Nouméa as planning and staging area.

– Participating nations to transport assets to staging area.•Anticipate SIS and MCG opposition.•Execute mission NLT 16 May 2015

– Handover to IDS Servicio de Guardacostas by 16 July 2015, full transition of operations by 21 August 2015.

•Requests for Forces allowed once approved by MPAT Secretariat.

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Locations of Security Incidents –

As of 31 March 2015

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SantaRosaliaSanta

Rosalia

SanIgnacio

SanIgnacio



Airports

Seaports

Servicio de Guardcostas bases



EnsenadaEnsenada

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Assets Available for PlanningMaritime Security Operation

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IDS OIPE Brief – Questions?

UNCLASSIFIED 1 Operational Intelligence Preparation of the Environment (OIPE) Briefing Isla del Sol...

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