TURKCELL GROUP · TURKCELL GİZLİ 5 1 Guidance disclosed on March 14, 2018 at Capital Markets Day...
Transcript of TURKCELL GROUP · TURKCELL GİZLİ 5 1 Guidance disclosed on March 14, 2018 at Capital Markets Day...
TURKCELL GİZLİ
3
FX & Interest Rate Hedging21.3 Bn TL
20.8% yoy
RECORD REVENUE
<<
2.8 Bn TL Cash generated
BUSINESS MODEL HEDGING
FinturDeal
Expected P&L Contribution
EUR 350Mn
~TRY 650Mn
ASSET-LIGHT STRATEGY
5.8 Bn TLtransaction
LEADER IN TECH-FIN
2018: SUCCESSFUL EXECUTION OF STRATEGIES
169 Mn downloads
THE DIGITAL OPERATOR
8.8 Bn TL41.3% margin
RECORD EBITDA
EBITDA
TURKCELL GİZLİ
4
12.0 12.814.3
17.621.3
3.8 4.1 4.66.2
8.831.2%32.4% 32.3%
35.3%
41.3%
0.3
0.32
0.34
0.36
0.38
0.4
0.42
0.44
0
5
10
15
20
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Revenue (Bn TL) EBITDA (Bn TL) EBITDA Margin (%)
FINANCIAL OPERATIONAL
Revenue, EBITDA and EBITDA Margin
2018: AN OUTSTANDING YEAR
Mobile ARPU like-for-like growth of 18% in Q418 (2-yr %27)
8GB data usage (of 4.5G subs) in Dec 2018
347K post-paid mobile net additions in 2018
169 mn digital services downloads
3.3 mn Lifecell subs by Feb 2019
Record top line at 21.3Bn TL, 20.8% yoy, 49.0% 2-year growth
EBITDA at 8.8Bn TL, 41.1% yoy growth, 90.2% 2-year growth
Net income at 2.0Bn TL
1.9Bn TL distributed in dividends
Fintur deal close to completion
Turkcell Total Shareholder Return (TSR)
9.773.9Bn 3.0Bn 1.9Bn
14.92
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
Apr 2015 2015 2017 2018 Feb 2019
Total dividend: 8.8Bn TL (4TL/share)
TSR: 53%
TL/share
TL/share
Dividend yield: 13.2% 9.9% 7.2%
TURKCELL GİZLİ
51 Guidance disclosed on March 14, 2018 at Capital Markets Day2 Excluding license fees
INITIALGUIDANCE1
REVISEDGUIDANCE ACTUAL
14% - 16%REVENUE GROWTH 20% - 22% 20.8%
37% - 40%EBITDA MARGIN 39% - 41% 41.3%
OP.CAPEX / SALES2 18% - 19% 18.5%
GUIDANCE DELIVERED
TURKCELL GİZLİ
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ConsolidatedTRY Million1 Q4 2018 YoY % 2018 YoY %
Revenue 5,626 20.6% 21,292 20.8%
EBITDA 2,239 28.8% 8,788 41.1%
EBITDA Margin 39.8% +2.5pp 41.3% +6.0pp
Net Income 864 300.1% 2,021 2.1%
Op.Capex/Sales2 25.7% -10.0 pp 18.5% -2.5 pp
49.0%Two-year
revenue growthin 2018
90.2%Two-year
EBITDA growthin 2018
1 TRY figures are based on IFRS.2 Excluding license fees
• Net income strong at full year; stable quarterly run-rate
• Operational capex/Sales resulted at 18.5%, in line with the plans
TURKCELL GROUP FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
TURKCELL GİZLİ
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26.3
30.932.3
37.4
Q415 Q416 Q417 Q418
Mobile Blended (excl. M2M)
2.4%2.9%
Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418
Note: TV subscribers and the related net add figure include the total of and the change for 2.8 million of «OTT only» cumulative active users.
TURKEY SUBSCRIBERS (million)
15.8%YoY
MOBILE ARPU (TL)
MONTHLY AVERAGE MOBILE CHURN RATE
18.8
14.9
Postpaid Prepaid
YoY 347K↑ 676K↓ 181K↑ 1,257K↑
Net add
56%of total mobile
OPERATIONAL HIGHLIGHTS18.0%
Mobile ARPU like-for-like Growth YoY*
* The ARPU of customers who have stayed with Turkcell for at least 14 months.
Note: Average monthly churn during the related quarter.16K↑
102 TLSuperbox
ARPU in Q418
TURKCELL DIGITAL SERVICES KPIs
87
169
2017 2018
DSS Downloads (mn)
66.9
85.8
2017 2018
Digital Subscribers (mn)
1.4 0.9
3.4
Fiber ADSL & Superbox TV
2.4%Excluding
involuntary deactived
churn
DSS downloads include 21 applications.
TURKCELL GİZLİ
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ENGAGING & PIONEER CAMPAIGNS
CUSTOMER APPRECIATION CONTINUES
6 mn participants
7 mn followers
50 mn gifts
21 mn customers
604 mn gifts
«All-out war against inflation» campaign
Surprise Points
Shake & Win
+9+12
+14 +13
+20+23 +24 +23
Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418
Points over next best Points over third best
• #1 in NPS reflecting superior overall customer satisfaction
*NPS score comparison is for consumer segment in mobile. (Source: Future Bright)
NET PROMOTER SCORE* OVER COMPETITION
TurkcellScore 25
TURKCELL GİZLİ
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22.9
29.830.8
11.315.7
18.0
Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317 Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418
4.5G subscribers 4.5G compatible smartphone
2.23.0 3.4
4.3
5.9
7.6
2.8
4.3
5.9
Q416 Q417 Q418
Non 4.5G Users 4.5G Users Total Users
MOBILE DATA USAGE (Av. GB/User)
4.5G SUBSCRIPTION (million)
CONTINUED RISE IN DATA WITH DIGITAL SERVICES
91% 4.5G
subscribers
18 million with
4.5G compatible SPs
74% smartphone
penetration
80% are 4.5G
compatible SPs
9.5
20.7
Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418
DATA CONSUMED ON DIGITAL SERVICES(TB)
2.2x
TURKCELL GİZLİ
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DELIVERING VALUE WITH DIGITAL SERVICES
31 MinCalling
9 MinInteracting
33 Min For VOIP users
18 MinReading
81 Min Watching
48 MinListening
2.7 MSearchesper day
41Documents
uploaded per person per
day
17 MinPlaying (BiP)
17 MinPlaying
(Playcell)
35 MinPer User in 2018
(Tavla Go)
30 MinContest Time
169 million app downloads
85.8 million digital subscribers
66.7% multiplay customers
Note: Times given are in a day unless otherwise indicated.
TURKCELL GİZLİ
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OUR TRACK RECORD OF DIGITAL SERVICES 2015 2016 2017 2018 15 Feb 2019
1M 5M
1M 7.6M5M
5M 10M 20M 38.8M30M
Launch
Digital
Operator
1Mreached
in day
240
367
9
Cumulative Downloads
5M 10MImage
Recognition10.1M 5231M
10M10.5M
1M 5M 10M 20M 34.6M30MMoney Transfer
2nd number89
5M 10M 20.9M20Min Europe
in Ukraine& Belarus
86
1M 5M 11.8M10M 600Launch
1M 2.6M 259Launch
TURKCELL GİZLİ
121: Refers to downloads as of Feb 15, 2019 2: 3-MAU includes users who utilised the zero rating benefit of Dergilik magazines and newspapers via browser. 3: My Account is renamed as Digital Operator 4: 3-Month active users also include IPTV users 5: Transactions include subsidiary revenues. Active users include DCB, app and Paycell card customers
Download1
3-Month Active User
Service KPIs
15.3Mn
8.2Mn
232Mn
logins to date
DIGITALPUBLISHING2
10.5Mn
12.5Mn
522K
copies readper day
MUSIC
20.9Mn
3.2Mn
7.0Mn
songs streamed per day
TV4
11.8Mn
3.1Mn
3.4Mn
TV sessions per day
PERSONAL CLOUD
(lifebox)
10.1Mn
2.6Mn
41
docs uploadedper person / day
INTERACT, READ, LISTEN, WATCH, STORE & SEARCH
7.6Mn
3.0Mn
2.7Mn
searchper day
DIGITAL OPERATOR3
38.8Mn
19.2Mn
27%
more ARPU
INSTANT MESSAGING
34.6Mn
11.5Mn
148Mnmessages per day
2.3Mndigitized call
experience per day
PAYCELL5
2.6Mn
5.2Mn
5.8Bn TL
Transactions in 2018
FAST LOGIN
registered user
TURKCELL GİZLİ
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401
879
1,526
2,533
Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418
LIFECELL: THE DIGITAL PIONEER
LIFECELL SUBSCRIBERS (thousand)
44.2 TL ARPU
(1.3x of Turkcell consumer)
1.5%churn rate
(50% lower vs. Turkcell consumer1)
8.6 GBav. data usage of a
Lifecell user
3.3Mnas of
Feb 15th
6x
1: Average monthly churn during the related quarter.
TURKCELL GİZLİ
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OUR GAMING PLATFORMS
4.8 MnUnique Visitors
in 2018
18.7 MnTotal Visitors in 2018
35 minPer player in 2018
30
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Total Games Played at BiP Gaming
67Mngames played
in 2018
(2018, Mn)
TURKCELL GİZLİ
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2.6MnPaycell app downloads
1.2MnPaycellCards
LEADERSHIP IN TECHFIN
5.2MnTotal Paycell
users
5.8Bn TLTotal Transaction
on Paycell
Money transfer
Utility payments
QR code payment
Mobile wallet
PaycellTop-ups
Carrier Billing
Device Loan
Insurance
Device Leasing
4.2Bn TLLoan
Portfolio
28MnCredit scored
customers
2.7MnRegistered credit cards
TURKCELL GİZLİ
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TRY MILLION
2017 2018 YoY %
Revenues 606 942 55.5%
Net Income1 139 254 82.8%
TCF KEY FINANCIALS
CONSUMER FINANCE BUSINESS
1 Net income includes 30 mn TL and 97 mn TL dividend from Paycell in 2017 and 2018, respectively.2 per IFRS
HANDSET FINANCING
0.5 0.4 0.4
4.2 4.8 4.2
Q417 Q318 Q418
Turkcell Contracted Receivables TCF Consumer Loans
4.7
TRY BILLION
5.24.5
116 TL average
monthly installment
88% penetration
of loan insurance
4.4 mn loans outstanding
1,685 TL average
ticket size
1.9% cost of risk2
TURKCELL GİZLİ
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TRY MILLION1 Q4 2018 YoY% 2018 YoY %
Revenue 422 46.3% 1,457 36.5%
EBITDA 247 285.3% 613 132.1%
EBITDA
Margin58.5% +36.3 pp 42.1% +17.4 pp
HIGHLIGHTS
1 Figures are based on IFRS
TURKCELL INTERNATIONAL: DIGITAL OPERATORS
TURKCELL INTERNATIONAL REVENUE BREAKDOWN (2018)
lifecell63%
BeST20%
KKTcell12%
Other2
5%
2 Other comprises lifecell Germany, other international operations and intra-company eliminations. Lifecell, BeST, KKTcell figures are based on stand-alone financials.
TURKCELL GİZLİ
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TURKCELL INTERNATIONAL: ASSET-LIGHT APPROACH
AdoptOur partner acquires our full portfolio of offerings. Daily support, business
consultancy, and full customer integration is
included
AcquireOur partner acquires a
selection of our offerings on an as-needed basis.
Daily support and business consultancy is
included.
Adapt
We white label all sourcecodes and our partner
develops their own environment. Business consultancy is included.
LIFECELL DIGITAL BUSINESS MODEL
TURKCELL GİZLİ
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BUILDING THE DIGITAL FUTURE
OURVISION
OUR STRATEGY
Capturing 1440 Minutes of Opportunity & Growth Every Day
To hear more, join us @MWC on Feb 25-28 in
Barcelona!
&
Visit the website www.digitaloperator1440.com
for highlights throughout MWC
TURKCELL GİZLİ
20*Excluding license fees
20.8%
41.3%
18.5%
2018ACTUAL
16% - 18%
37% - 40%
16% - 18%
2019GUIDANCE
REVENUE GROWTH
EBITDA MARGIN
OP.CAPEX / SALES*
2019 OUTLOOK
2018-2020TARGETS
14% - 16%
37% - 40%
16% - 18%
TURKCELL GİZLİ
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REVENUE
* Turkcell Consumer Finance Company, Financell
4,666
5,626
745
134 64 17
RevenueQ417
Δ TurkcellTurkey
Δ TurkcellInternational
ΔTCF* Δ OtherSubsidiaries
RevenueQ418
20.6%
QUARTER TRY MILLION
• 1.0 bn TL revenue add in Q418 YoY; 3.7 bn TL in 2018 YoY
• Turkcell Turkey is the main growth contributor on the back of strong ARPU
FULL YEARTRY MILLION
17,632
21,292
2,816390 336 118
RevenueFY17
Δ Turkcell Turkey
Δ Turkcell International
Δ TCF* Δ Other Subsidiaries
RevenueFY18
20.8%
TURKCELL GİZLİ
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EBITDA & EBITDA MARGIN
* Excluding depreciation and amortization
QUARTERTRY MILLION
FULL YEARTRY MILLION
1,739
2,239960
(292)
(212) 43
EBITDAQ417
Δ in Revenues
Δ in Direct cost of
revenues*
Δ in G&Aexp.
Δ in S&Mexp.
EBITDAQ418
6,228
8,7883,660
(1,105)(375) 379
EBITDAFY17
Δ in Revenues
Δ in Direct cost of
revenues*
Δ in G&Aexp.
Δ in S&Mexp.
EBITDAFY18
• EBITDA increase via top-line growth & OPEX management
41.1%28.8%Margin35.3%
Margin41.3%
Margin37.3%
Margin39.8%
TURKCELL GİZLİ
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SOLID BALANCE SHEET
NET DEBT/ EBITDA
* Lease obligation includes IFRS impact and financial lease figures. Q2 and Q3 2018 figures are adjusted accordingly.** Turkcell Consumer Finance Company’s (TCF) loan portfolio is excluded.
TCF loan porfolio
Net Debt*
TRY Mn Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018
Total Cash 7,081 8,749 7,419
Total Assets 41,026 45,404 42,765
Total Debt 18,449 23,055 20,156
Lease
Obligations*1,269 1,259 1,414
Total Equity 14,952 14,891 16,054
Net Debt 11,368 14,306 12,736
Net Debt** 6,677 9,516 8,565
SUMMARY
8,565
4,1711.5x
1.8x
1.4x
0.8x
1.2x
1.0x
Q218 Q318 Q418
Net Debt/EBITDA Net Debt/EBITDA*
Note: Q218 and Q318 multiples exclude the IFRS impacts.
TURKCELL GİZLİ
25
(125)(91)
(203)
(330)
(144)(204)
(301)(255)
(224)
Q416 Q117 Q217 Q317 Q417 Q118 Q218 Q318 Q418
FX EXPOSURE
7.4Bn TLNominal
31%
11%50%
8%48%
36%
8%8%
CASH1 DEBT
Before Hedging
2 Including advance payments, hedging and assuming the 4.5G license payables in TRY for the periods before April 2017 and excluding FX swap transactions for TL borrowing.
After Hedging
NET FX POSITION2
20.2Bn TL
USD MILLION
Share
1 Excluding FX swap transactions for TL borrowing.
USD EUR TRY Other
74%
26%
Effectively in longposition considering soon expected Finturtransaction proceeds
176
TURKCELL GİZLİ
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FINTUR DIVESTMENT
Fintur Deal Value (estimated)
Fintur divestment is a milestone towards further cementing our focus on our digital services strategy and strengthening our balance sheet
Contribution to Profitability(estimated)
Post Deal Turkcell Net FX position
EUR 350 million
~TRY 650 million
LONG
Azercell
Geocell
KCell
Moldcell
TURKEY
GEORGIA
AZERBAIJAN
KAZAKHSTAN
• Binding agreement to divest our 41.45% stake in Fintur to Telia Company on December 12, 2018
• Completion following the Moldovan Competition Authority approval – in Q1 2019
MOLDOVA
TURKCELL GİZLİ
27
NOTICE
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21Eof the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the Safe Harbor provisions of the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Thisincludes, in particular, our targets for revenue, EBITDA and capex in 2019 or for the medium term 2018 to 2020. More generally, allstatements other than statements of historical facts included in this presentation, including, without limitation, certain statementsregarding the launch of new businesses, our operations, financial position and business strategy may constitute forward-lookingstatements. In addition, forward-looking statements generally can be identified by the written or oral use of forward-lookingterminology such as, among others, "will," "expect," "intend," "estimate," "believe", "continue" and “guidance”.
Although Turkcell believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable at this time, it can give noassurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements attributable to usare expressly qualified in their entirety by reference to these cautionary statements. For a discussion of certain factors that may affectthe outcome of such forward looking statements, see our Annual Report on Form 20-F for 2017 filed with the U.S. Securities andExchange Commission, and in particular the risk factor section therein. We undertake no duty to update or revise any forward lookingstatements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
The Company makes no representation as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this presentation, whichremains subject to verification, completion and change. No responsibility or liability is or will be accepted by the Company or any of itssubsidiaries, board members, officers, employees or agents as to or in relation to the accuracy or completeness of the informationcontained in this presentation or any other written or oral information made available to any interested party or its advisers.
Please note that all financial data are consolidated whereas non-financial data are unconsolidated unless otherwise specified. In thecharts or tables used in this presentation totals may not foot due to rounding differences. The figures used in this presentation arerounded while percentage changes are calculated based on the figures disclosed in the press release.
TURKCELL GİZLİ
For further information please e-mail
[email protected] call Turkcell Investor Relations at
(+90 212 313 1888)
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