TURKCELL GROUP · TURKCELL GROUP HEDGING STRATEGY 51% of debt hedged against potential FX...

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1 THIRD QUARTER OF 2016 November 2, 2016 TURKCELL GROUP

Transcript of TURKCELL GROUP · TURKCELL GROUP HEDGING STRATEGY 51% of debt hedged against potential FX...

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    THIRD QUARTER OF 2016November 2, 2016

    TURKCELL GROUP

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    Business Overview

    AGENDA

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    2 Financial Overview

    3 Q&A

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    This presentation may contain statements that are forward looking. These statements arebased on current expectations and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties,which may cause actual results to differ materially due to factors discussed in thispresentation, in our press release, in the Risk Factors section of Turkcell’s most recent Form20-F, or in other reports and filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Weundertake no duty to update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a resultof new information, future events or otherwise.

    Please note that non-financial data is unconsolidated unless otherwise specified.

    NOTICE

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    BUSINESS OVERVIEW

    Kaan TerzioğluTurkcell CEO

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    10,242 8.6%

    3,248 5.4%

    31.7% (1.0pp)

    1,822 4.8%

    1,141 (23.1%)

    21.5% 3.3pp

    ConsolidatedTRY Million1

    Revenue 3,658 8.8%

    EBITDA 1,218 4.9%EBITDA Margin 33.3% (1.2pp)Net Income- Proforma2 705 4.2%

    Net Income- IFRS 163 (74.2%)

    Op.Capex/Sales3 18.6% 1.5pp

    9 MONTHS

    9M 2016 Growth YoY %

    1 TRY figures are based on IFRS TRY figures2 Net Income excluding FX gain / (loss) (including tax and minority impact), interest Income of Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri, interest expense on loans and borrowings, share of profit of equity accounted investees (Fintur), 4.5G license amortization and one-off items..3 Excluding licence fees

    QUARTER

    Growth YoY %Q3 2016

    TURKCELL GROUP

    FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

    • Excluding the impact of free emergency communication packages revenue growth would be 10.4% yoy and

    EBITDA margin would be 34.4% in Q316

    • 2016 guidance maintained

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    TRY Million1

    Revenue 3,276 7.9%

    EBITDA 1,095 3.2%

    EBITDA Margin 33.4% (1.5pp)

    Net Income- Proforma2 662 1.9%

    Net Income- IFRS 145 (76.0%)

    XXX

    9,211 8.6%

    2,934 4.7%

    31.9% (1.2pp)

    1,735 1.6%

    1,094 (44.4%)

    9 MONTHS

    9M 2016 Growth YoY %

    QUARTER

    Growth YoY %Q3 2016

    TURKCELL TURKEY

    FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

    • Excluding the impact of free emergency communication packages provided revenue growth would be 9.7% yoy and EBITDA margin of 34.7% in Q316

    1 TRY figures are based on IFRS TRY figures2 Net Income excluding FX gain / (loss) (including tax and minority impact), interest Income of Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri, interest expense on loans and borrowings, share of profit of equity accounted investees (Fintur), 4.5G license amortization and one-off items.

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    Excluding the impact of free emergency package

    TURKCELLINTERNATIONAL

    4%OTHER BUSINESSES

    6%

    TURKCELL TURKEY

    90%

    69.9%YoY

    Q316 Revenue Growth

    5.2%YoY

    7.9%YoY

    % in TurkcellGroup

    Q316 Revenue Growth

    TURKCELL GROUP

    SOLID GROWTH

    6,4%7,5%

    8,3% 8,6%8,8%

    10,4%

    34,5%

    31,7% 31,1% 30,7%

    33,3%34,4%

    Q315 Q415 Q116 Q216 Q316 Q316

    YoY Revenue Growth EBITDA Margin

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    177248 273

    Q315 Q216 Q316

    727886

    1,430

    Q315 Q216 Q316

    72%14%

    14%

    Mobile Broadband

    Fixed Broadband

    Services&solutions

    Total

    TRY 2 bn

    76.5%

    Mobile Broadband

    Services & Solutions

    Fixed Broadband

    213 255269

    Q315 Q216 Q316

    27%YoY

    54%YoY

    97%YoY

    TRY Million

    TURKCELL TURKEY

    GROWTH DRIVERS

    YoY

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    47,4 48,751,6

    22,5 24,5 27,9

    2014 2015 Q316

    Fixed Residential Mobile

    28.4

    6.9%

    YoY

    ARPU (TRY)

    TURKCELL TURKEY

    OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCEMOBILE

    32.8mnTotal subscribers

    YoY Postpaid Net Add

    897K8.8%*

    5.1%YoY

    QoQ Net Add

    179K

    1.7mnTotal subscribers

    58%Share of fiber

    296KYoY Fixed Sub. Net Add

    FIXED

    *Excluding the impact of free emergency communication packages

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    TURKCELL TURKEY

    SMARTPHONE TRENDS

    15,2 16,1 16,617,5 18,5

    49% 52%55%

    60% 62%

    Q315 Q415 Q116 Q216 Q316

    Smartphone (million) Penetration

    1,6 1,7 1,82,3 2,6

    4,3 4,3

    Q315 Q415 Q116 Q216 Q316

    Total Users 4.5G Users

    DATA USAGE (GB/USER)

    10

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    29%30%

    32%

    42%38%

    34%

    30%

    33% 34%

    Q116 Q216 Q316

    Single Play Double Play Multiplay with TV

    36% 33%28%

    43% 43% 44%

    21% 24%28%

    Q116 Q216 Q316Single Play Double Play Triple Play

    Mobile Fiber ResidentialSubscriber Breakdown* Subscriber Breakdown

    *Breakdown among mobile voice users which excludes subscribers who do not use their line in the last 3 months. Mobile multiplay users revised to include «My account» users

    4ppQoQ

    1ppQoQ

    TURKCELL TURKEY

    MULTIPLAY

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    INSTANT MESSAGING

    10.3 M downloads

    MUSIC

    7.4 M downloads

    MOBILE TURKCELL TV+

    2.3 M downloads

    MY ACCOUNT

    9.3 M downloads

    SPORTS

    2.7 M downloads

    PERSONAL CLOUD

    3.4 M downloads

    DIGITAL PUBLISHING

    630K downloads

    TURKCELL ACADEMY

    1.1 M downloads

    TURKCELL GROUP

    GROWTH IN CORE SERVICES

    Data as of October 2016

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    Mobile and IP TV

    • Exclusive mobile broadcaster of EPL

    • Turkcell users mobile TV watching duration increased to 27 minutes from 7 minutes

    (Thousand)

    TURKCELL GROUP

    TV HIGHLIGHTS

    171

    303 323

    171

    480

    665

    Q315 Q216 Q316

    IP TV Mobile TV

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    TURKCELL GROUP

    GAMING PLATFORM

    • Launched on September 26th

    • Approx. 2000 games in platform

    • Installments via mobile payment

    • eSport tournaments

    • 30 million players

    • 18 million paid subscribers

    • 2 billion TL market size

    • Average user spending 110 TRY

    GAMECELL

    Turkey Market Dynamics*

    * Source: Newzoo, June 2016

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    TURKCELL GROUP

    SYRIAN CUSTOMERS

    • Turkcell serves

    • more than 1.2 million Syrian customers

    • 70% market share

    • Hello Hope, the mobile app, is a global pioneer.

    •Helps Syrians integrate with Turkish language

    • Turkish-Arabic instant speech translation

    •Arabic speaking call center

    • Critical and practical information such as health,

    nearest service points, etc. 100K active usersin one month

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    TRY MILLION1

    Revenue 222 (5.2%) 623 1.5%

    EBITDA 60 (13.1%) 167 (6.3%)

    EBITDA

    Margin27.2% (2.4pp) 26.8% (1.4pp)

    9M 2016Q3 2016YoY Growth YoY Growth

    TURKCELL GROUP

    TURKCELL INTERNATIONAL

    HIGLIGHTS

    lifecell

    Revenue Growth YoYin UAH

    EBITDA Margin

    BeST

    KKTCELL

    Revenue Growth YoYin BYR

    EBITDA Margin

    Revenue Growth YoYin TRY

    EBITDA Margin

    26.9%4.7%

    4.6%11.0%

    40.1%2.7%1 TRY figures are based on IFRS TRY figures

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    FINANCIAL OVERVIEWBülent AksuTurkcell CFO

    NOTICE:

    Please note that all financial data are consolidated whereas non-financial data are unconsolidated unless otherwise specified.

    All non-financial data are unconsolidated, prepared in accordance with IFRS and expressed in TRY.

    The figures used in this presentation are rounded while percentage changes are calculated based on the figures disclosed in the Q3 2016 result announcement press release.

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    3.364

    3,658241

    (12)62 4

    RevenueQ315

    Δ TurkcellTurkey

    Δ TurkcellInternational

    ΔTCF* Δ OtherSubsidiaries

    RevenueQ316

    TRY MillionREVENUE

    TURKCELL GROUP

    REVENUE & EBITDA DEVELOPMENT

    1.161 1.218

    295 (235) (9)6

    EBITDAQ315

    Δ Revenues Δ Directcost of

    revenues**

    Δ G&Aexp.

    Δ S&Mexp.

    EBITDAQ316

    TRY MillionEBITDA

    * Turkcell Consumer Finance Company ** Excluding depreciation & amortization

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    705

    163

    (193)

    (39)(138)

    (81)(48)

    (43)

    Q316 ProformaNet Income

    FX Impact(tax&minority

    incl.)

    Net InterestIncome/Expense

    Provision for taxamnesty

    4.5G LicenceAmortization

    Expense

    EmergencyCommunication

    Packages

    Other one-offImpacts*

    Q316 IFRS NetIncome

    TURKCELL GROUP

    NET INCOMETRY Million

    Proforma net income is the net Income excluding FX gain / (loss) (including tax and minority impact), interest Income of Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri, interest expense on loans and borrowings, share of profit of equity accounted investees (Fintur), 4.5G license amortization and one-off items.* Other one off impacts includes minority profit/loss, fixed asset impairments and other impacts

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    TRY Million Q3 2015 Q2 2016 Q3 2016

    Total Cash 3,902 3,769 5,646

    Total Assets 20,579 28,595 30,230

    Total Debt 3,467 7,307 8,132

    Net Debt (436) 3,538 2,485

    Total Equity 13,798 15,350 15,445

    SUMMARY BALANCE SHEET

    3.769

    5.6461.218 (743)

    75 518809

    Q216 EBITDA Capex* Netinterestincome

    Netchangein debt

    Other Q316

    CASH DEVELOPMENT

    * Including operational and non-operational CAPEX

    TURKCELL GROUP

    BALANCE SHEET Other cash flow items (TRY mn) Q316 Advances given for fixed asset 210Prepaid expense 168

    Other working capital 431

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    79%

    21%

    FX Local Currency

    82%

    18%

    NET DEBT/EBITDA

    (5,334)

    1,295 1.506

    3.5382.485

    (1.4x)

    0,3x 0.4x

    0,8x0,6x

    2014 2015 Q116 Q216 Q316

    Net Debt (TRY mn) Net Debt/EBITDA

    Turkcell Turkey

    ~30%

    ~70%

    TURKCELL GROUP

    BALANCE SHEET

    CASH DEBT CAPEXTurkcell GroupTurkcell Group

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    TURKCELL GROUP

    HEDGING STRATEGY

    51% of debt hedged against potential FX volatility

    • 250 million USD participating cross currency

    swap in Q3 2016

    • Approx. EUR 500 million and USD 250 million

    debt was hedged

    • As of Q316, net FX short position reduced to

    0.7 bn USD compared to 2.0 bn USD as of Q415

    (1.979) (1.987)

    (1.239)

    (688)

    Q415 Q116 Q216 Q316

    NET FX POSITION (million USD)

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    For further information please e-mail

    [email protected] call Turkcell Investor Relations at

    (+90 212 313 1888)

    Have you downloaded Turkcell IR app?

    THANK YOU

    For Android For iOS

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    APPENDIX

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    Summary Income Statement As Per CMB1 Financials

    1 Capital Markets Board of Turkey2 Depreciation and amortization is included

    Summary income statement Q3 2015 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 YoY (%) QoQ (%)

    Revenue 3,364 3,358 3,658 9% 9%

    Direct Cost of Revenues2 (1,987) (2,236) (2,356) 19% 5%

    S&M (474) (483) (468) (1%) (3%)

    G&A (168) (176) (177) 5% 1%

    EBITDA 1,161 1,029 1,218 5% 18%

    EBITDA Margin 34.5% 30.7% 33.3% (1.2pp) 2.6pp

    Net Income 631 416 182 (71%) (56%)

    (TRY MILLION)

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    Consolidated Balance Sheet

    Consolidated Balance Sheet Q3 2015 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 YoY (%) QoQ (%)

    Cash & Bank 3,902 3,769 5,646 45% 50%

    CURRENT ASSETS 9,188 9,952 11,649 27% 17%

    Fixed Assets, Net 9,401 15,652 15,815 68% 1%

    Other Long Term Assets 1,990 2,991 2,766 39% (8%)

    TOTAL NON-CURRENT ASSETS 11,391 18,643 18,581 63% (0%)

    TOTAL ASSETS 20,579 28,595 30,230 47% 6%

    S/T Debt 2,884 1,098 1,686 (42%) 54%

    TOTAL CURRENT LIABILITIES 5,374 6,103 7,333 36% 20%

    L/T Debt 582 6,209 6,445 1007% 4%

    TOTAL NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES 1,407 7,142 7,452 430% 4%

    MINORITY INTEREST 73 42 43 (41%) 2%

    Share Capital 2,200 2,200 2,200 - -

    TOTAL EQUITY 13,798 15,350 15,445 12% 1%

    TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 20,579 28,595 30,230 47% 6%

    (TRY MILLION)

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    2,54 2,903,02 3,31

    2,94 2,823,18 3,36

    2013 2014 2015 Q316

    Average Period-End

    Currency TrendsUSD / TRY EUR / TRY

    USD / BYR USD / UAH

    1,91 2,192,73 2,97

    2,13 2,322,91 3,00

    2013 2014 2015 Q316

    0,89 1,03 1,591,97

    0,95 1,191,86 1,93

    2013 2014 2015 Q316

    7,99 11,87

    21,79 25,287,9915,77

    24,00 25,91

    2013 2014 2015 Q316