TURKCELL GROUP · TURKCELL GROUP HEDGING STRATEGY 51% of debt hedged against potential FX...
Transcript of TURKCELL GROUP · TURKCELL GROUP HEDGING STRATEGY 51% of debt hedged against potential FX...
-
1
THIRD QUARTER OF 2016November 2, 2016
TURKCELL GROUP
-
2
Business Overview
AGENDA
1
2 Financial Overview
3 Q&A
-
3
This presentation may contain statements that are forward looking. These statements arebased on current expectations and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties,which may cause actual results to differ materially due to factors discussed in thispresentation, in our press release, in the Risk Factors section of Turkcell’s most recent Form20-F, or in other reports and filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Weundertake no duty to update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a resultof new information, future events or otherwise.
Please note that non-financial data is unconsolidated unless otherwise specified.
NOTICE
-
4
BUSINESS OVERVIEW
Kaan TerzioğluTurkcell CEO
-
5
10,242 8.6%
3,248 5.4%
31.7% (1.0pp)
1,822 4.8%
1,141 (23.1%)
21.5% 3.3pp
ConsolidatedTRY Million1
Revenue 3,658 8.8%
EBITDA 1,218 4.9%EBITDA Margin 33.3% (1.2pp)Net Income- Proforma2 705 4.2%
Net Income- IFRS 163 (74.2%)
Op.Capex/Sales3 18.6% 1.5pp
9 MONTHS
9M 2016 Growth YoY %
1 TRY figures are based on IFRS TRY figures2 Net Income excluding FX gain / (loss) (including tax and minority impact), interest Income of Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri, interest expense on loans and borrowings, share of profit of equity accounted investees (Fintur), 4.5G license amortization and one-off items..3 Excluding licence fees
QUARTER
Growth YoY %Q3 2016
TURKCELL GROUP
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
• Excluding the impact of free emergency communication packages revenue growth would be 10.4% yoy and
EBITDA margin would be 34.4% in Q316
• 2016 guidance maintained
-
6
TRY Million1
Revenue 3,276 7.9%
EBITDA 1,095 3.2%
EBITDA Margin 33.4% (1.5pp)
Net Income- Proforma2 662 1.9%
Net Income- IFRS 145 (76.0%)
XXX
9,211 8.6%
2,934 4.7%
31.9% (1.2pp)
1,735 1.6%
1,094 (44.4%)
9 MONTHS
9M 2016 Growth YoY %
QUARTER
Growth YoY %Q3 2016
TURKCELL TURKEY
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
• Excluding the impact of free emergency communication packages provided revenue growth would be 9.7% yoy and EBITDA margin of 34.7% in Q316
1 TRY figures are based on IFRS TRY figures2 Net Income excluding FX gain / (loss) (including tax and minority impact), interest Income of Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri, interest expense on loans and borrowings, share of profit of equity accounted investees (Fintur), 4.5G license amortization and one-off items.
-
7
Excluding the impact of free emergency package
TURKCELLINTERNATIONAL
4%OTHER BUSINESSES
6%
TURKCELL TURKEY
90%
69.9%YoY
Q316 Revenue Growth
5.2%YoY
7.9%YoY
% in TurkcellGroup
Q316 Revenue Growth
TURKCELL GROUP
SOLID GROWTH
6,4%7,5%
8,3% 8,6%8,8%
10,4%
34,5%
31,7% 31,1% 30,7%
33,3%34,4%
Q315 Q415 Q116 Q216 Q316 Q316
YoY Revenue Growth EBITDA Margin
-
8
177248 273
Q315 Q216 Q316
727886
1,430
Q315 Q216 Q316
72%14%
14%
Mobile Broadband
Fixed Broadband
Services&solutions
Total
TRY 2 bn
76.5%
Mobile Broadband
Services & Solutions
Fixed Broadband
213 255269
Q315 Q216 Q316
27%YoY
54%YoY
97%YoY
TRY Million
TURKCELL TURKEY
GROWTH DRIVERS
YoY
-
9
47,4 48,751,6
22,5 24,5 27,9
2014 2015 Q316
Fixed Residential Mobile
28.4
6.9%
YoY
ARPU (TRY)
TURKCELL TURKEY
OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCEMOBILE
32.8mnTotal subscribers
YoY Postpaid Net Add
897K8.8%*
5.1%YoY
QoQ Net Add
179K
1.7mnTotal subscribers
58%Share of fiber
296KYoY Fixed Sub. Net Add
FIXED
*Excluding the impact of free emergency communication packages
-
10
TURKCELL TURKEY
SMARTPHONE TRENDS
15,2 16,1 16,617,5 18,5
49% 52%55%
60% 62%
Q315 Q415 Q116 Q216 Q316
Smartphone (million) Penetration
1,6 1,7 1,82,3 2,6
4,3 4,3
Q315 Q415 Q116 Q216 Q316
Total Users 4.5G Users
DATA USAGE (GB/USER)
10
-
11
29%30%
32%
42%38%
34%
30%
33% 34%
Q116 Q216 Q316
Single Play Double Play Multiplay with TV
36% 33%28%
43% 43% 44%
21% 24%28%
Q116 Q216 Q316Single Play Double Play Triple Play
Mobile Fiber ResidentialSubscriber Breakdown* Subscriber Breakdown
*Breakdown among mobile voice users which excludes subscribers who do not use their line in the last 3 months. Mobile multiplay users revised to include «My account» users
4ppQoQ
1ppQoQ
TURKCELL TURKEY
MULTIPLAY
-
12
INSTANT MESSAGING
10.3 M downloads
MUSIC
7.4 M downloads
MOBILE TURKCELL TV+
2.3 M downloads
MY ACCOUNT
9.3 M downloads
SPORTS
2.7 M downloads
PERSONAL CLOUD
3.4 M downloads
DIGITAL PUBLISHING
630K downloads
TURKCELL ACADEMY
1.1 M downloads
TURKCELL GROUP
GROWTH IN CORE SERVICES
Data as of October 2016
-
13
Mobile and IP TV
• Exclusive mobile broadcaster of EPL
• Turkcell users mobile TV watching duration increased to 27 minutes from 7 minutes
(Thousand)
TURKCELL GROUP
TV HIGHLIGHTS
171
303 323
171
480
665
Q315 Q216 Q316
IP TV Mobile TV
-
14
TURKCELL GROUP
GAMING PLATFORM
• Launched on September 26th
• Approx. 2000 games in platform
• Installments via mobile payment
• eSport tournaments
• 30 million players
• 18 million paid subscribers
• 2 billion TL market size
• Average user spending 110 TRY
GAMECELL
Turkey Market Dynamics*
* Source: Newzoo, June 2016
-
15
TURKCELL GROUP
SYRIAN CUSTOMERS
• Turkcell serves
• more than 1.2 million Syrian customers
• 70% market share
• Hello Hope, the mobile app, is a global pioneer.
•Helps Syrians integrate with Turkish language
• Turkish-Arabic instant speech translation
•Arabic speaking call center
• Critical and practical information such as health,
nearest service points, etc. 100K active usersin one month
-
16
TRY MILLION1
Revenue 222 (5.2%) 623 1.5%
EBITDA 60 (13.1%) 167 (6.3%)
EBITDA
Margin27.2% (2.4pp) 26.8% (1.4pp)
9M 2016Q3 2016YoY Growth YoY Growth
TURKCELL GROUP
TURKCELL INTERNATIONAL
HIGLIGHTS
lifecell
Revenue Growth YoYin UAH
EBITDA Margin
BeST
KKTCELL
Revenue Growth YoYin BYR
EBITDA Margin
Revenue Growth YoYin TRY
EBITDA Margin
26.9%4.7%
4.6%11.0%
40.1%2.7%1 TRY figures are based on IFRS TRY figures
-
17
FINANCIAL OVERVIEWBülent AksuTurkcell CFO
NOTICE:
Please note that all financial data are consolidated whereas non-financial data are unconsolidated unless otherwise specified.
All non-financial data are unconsolidated, prepared in accordance with IFRS and expressed in TRY.
The figures used in this presentation are rounded while percentage changes are calculated based on the figures disclosed in the Q3 2016 result announcement press release.
-
18
3.364
3,658241
(12)62 4
RevenueQ315
Δ TurkcellTurkey
Δ TurkcellInternational
ΔTCF* Δ OtherSubsidiaries
RevenueQ316
TRY MillionREVENUE
TURKCELL GROUP
REVENUE & EBITDA DEVELOPMENT
1.161 1.218
295 (235) (9)6
EBITDAQ315
Δ Revenues Δ Directcost of
revenues**
Δ G&Aexp.
Δ S&Mexp.
EBITDAQ316
TRY MillionEBITDA
* Turkcell Consumer Finance Company ** Excluding depreciation & amortization
-
19
705
163
(193)
(39)(138)
(81)(48)
(43)
Q316 ProformaNet Income
FX Impact(tax&minority
incl.)
Net InterestIncome/Expense
Provision for taxamnesty
4.5G LicenceAmortization
Expense
EmergencyCommunication
Packages
Other one-offImpacts*
Q316 IFRS NetIncome
TURKCELL GROUP
NET INCOMETRY Million
Proforma net income is the net Income excluding FX gain / (loss) (including tax and minority impact), interest Income of Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri, interest expense on loans and borrowings, share of profit of equity accounted investees (Fintur), 4.5G license amortization and one-off items.* Other one off impacts includes minority profit/loss, fixed asset impairments and other impacts
-
20
TRY Million Q3 2015 Q2 2016 Q3 2016
Total Cash 3,902 3,769 5,646
Total Assets 20,579 28,595 30,230
Total Debt 3,467 7,307 8,132
Net Debt (436) 3,538 2,485
Total Equity 13,798 15,350 15,445
SUMMARY BALANCE SHEET
3.769
5.6461.218 (743)
75 518809
Q216 EBITDA Capex* Netinterestincome
Netchangein debt
Other Q316
CASH DEVELOPMENT
* Including operational and non-operational CAPEX
TURKCELL GROUP
BALANCE SHEET Other cash flow items (TRY mn) Q316 Advances given for fixed asset 210Prepaid expense 168
Other working capital 431
-
21
79%
21%
FX Local Currency
82%
18%
NET DEBT/EBITDA
(5,334)
1,295 1.506
3.5382.485
(1.4x)
0,3x 0.4x
0,8x0,6x
2014 2015 Q116 Q216 Q316
Net Debt (TRY mn) Net Debt/EBITDA
Turkcell Turkey
~30%
~70%
TURKCELL GROUP
BALANCE SHEET
CASH DEBT CAPEXTurkcell GroupTurkcell Group
-
22
TURKCELL GROUP
HEDGING STRATEGY
51% of debt hedged against potential FX volatility
• 250 million USD participating cross currency
swap in Q3 2016
• Approx. EUR 500 million and USD 250 million
debt was hedged
• As of Q316, net FX short position reduced to
0.7 bn USD compared to 2.0 bn USD as of Q415
(1.979) (1.987)
(1.239)
(688)
Q415 Q116 Q216 Q316
NET FX POSITION (million USD)
-
23
For further information please e-mail
[email protected] call Turkcell Investor Relations at
(+90 212 313 1888)
Have you downloaded Turkcell IR app?
THANK YOU
For Android For iOS
-
24
APPENDIX
-
25
Summary Income Statement As Per CMB1 Financials
1 Capital Markets Board of Turkey2 Depreciation and amortization is included
Summary income statement Q3 2015 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 YoY (%) QoQ (%)
Revenue 3,364 3,358 3,658 9% 9%
Direct Cost of Revenues2 (1,987) (2,236) (2,356) 19% 5%
S&M (474) (483) (468) (1%) (3%)
G&A (168) (176) (177) 5% 1%
EBITDA 1,161 1,029 1,218 5% 18%
EBITDA Margin 34.5% 30.7% 33.3% (1.2pp) 2.6pp
Net Income 631 416 182 (71%) (56%)
(TRY MILLION)
-
26
Consolidated Balance Sheet
Consolidated Balance Sheet Q3 2015 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 YoY (%) QoQ (%)
Cash & Bank 3,902 3,769 5,646 45% 50%
CURRENT ASSETS 9,188 9,952 11,649 27% 17%
Fixed Assets, Net 9,401 15,652 15,815 68% 1%
Other Long Term Assets 1,990 2,991 2,766 39% (8%)
TOTAL NON-CURRENT ASSETS 11,391 18,643 18,581 63% (0%)
TOTAL ASSETS 20,579 28,595 30,230 47% 6%
S/T Debt 2,884 1,098 1,686 (42%) 54%
TOTAL CURRENT LIABILITIES 5,374 6,103 7,333 36% 20%
L/T Debt 582 6,209 6,445 1007% 4%
TOTAL NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES 1,407 7,142 7,452 430% 4%
MINORITY INTEREST 73 42 43 (41%) 2%
Share Capital 2,200 2,200 2,200 - -
TOTAL EQUITY 13,798 15,350 15,445 12% 1%
TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 20,579 28,595 30,230 47% 6%
(TRY MILLION)
-
27
2,54 2,903,02 3,31
2,94 2,823,18 3,36
2013 2014 2015 Q316
Average Period-End
Currency TrendsUSD / TRY EUR / TRY
USD / BYR USD / UAH
1,91 2,192,73 2,97
2,13 2,322,91 3,00
2013 2014 2015 Q316
0,89 1,03 1,591,97
0,95 1,191,86 1,93
2013 2014 2015 Q316
7,99 11,87
21,79 25,287,9915,77
24,00 25,91
2013 2014 2015 Q316