Treb Housing Market Charts September 2009
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Transcript of Treb Housing Market Charts September 2009
Housing Market Charts - September 2009
Explanation: This chart plots monthly MLS® sales for the current year and the previous three years. The recurring seasonal trend can be examined along with comparisons to previous years for each month.
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Source: Toronto Real Estate Board
TREB MLS® SalesMonthly with Three Previous Years for Comparison
2006 2007 2008 2009
Explanation: This chart plots monthly MLS® new listings for the current year and the previous three years. The recurring seasonal trend can be examined along with comparisons to previous years for each month.
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
Source: Toronto Real Estate Board
TREB MLS® New ListingsMonthly with Three Previous Years for Comparison
2006 2007 2008 2009
Explanation: This chart plots the monthly MLS® sales-to-new listings ratio (SNLR) for the current year and the previous three years. The recurring seasonal trend can be examined along with comparisons to previous years for each month. When the SNLR moves higher, annual average price growth generally increases – often at a rate well above inflation. When the SNLR moves lower, annual average price growth generally declines and can become negative.
$300,000
$320,000
$340,000
$360,000
$380,000
$400,000
$420,000
Source: Toronto Real Estate Board
TREB MLS® Average Resale Home PriceMonthly with Three Previous Years for Comparison
2006 2007 2008 2009
Explanation: This chart plots the monthly MLS® average home price for the current year and the previous three years. The recurring seasonal trend can be examined along with comparisons to previous years for each month.
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
Source: Toronto Real Estate Board
TREB MLS® Sales-to-New Listings RatioMonthly with Three Previous Years for Comparison
2006 2007 2008 2009
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Source: Toronto Real Estate Board
TREB MLS® SalesMonthly Time Series with Trend Line
Actual MLS® Sales
Trend (12-Month Moving Average)
Explanation: This chart plots monthly MLS® sales since January 1995. The blue line shows actual sales. The brown line is the trend computed using a 12-month moving average, which exhibits no seasonal variations or other irregular fluctuations. A substantial change in actual sales must occur to change the direction of the trend.
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
Source: Toronto Real Estate Board
TREB MLS® New ListingsMonthly Time Series with Trend Line
Actual MLS® New Listings
Trend (12-Month Moving Average)
Explanation: This chart plots monthly MLS® new listings since January 1995. The blue line shows actual new listings. The brown line is the trend computed using a 12-month moving average, which exhibits no seasonal variations or other irregular fluctuations. A substantial change in actual new listings must occur to change the direction of the trend.
175,000
225,000
275,000
325,000
375,000
425,000
Source: Toronto Real Estate Board
TREB MLS® Average PriceMonthly Time Series with Trend Line
Actual MLS® Average Price
Trend (12-Month Moving Average)
Explanation: This chart plots monthly MLS® average price since January 1995. The blue line shows the actual average price. The brown line is the trend computed using a 12-month moving average, which exhibits no seasonal variations or other irregular fluctuations. A substantial change in actual average price must occur to change the direction of the trend.
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
0.000.100.200.300.400.500.600.700.800.901.00
Average P
rice An
nu
al Per C
ent C
han
ge(B
row
n Lin
e)Sa
les-
to-N
ew L
isti
ngs
Rat
io(B
lue
Lin
e)
Source: Toronto Real Estate Board
TREB MLS® Sales-to-New Listings Ratio Compared to Average Annual Per Cent Change in Home Price
Sales-to-New Listings Ratio
Average Price Annual Per Cent Change
Explanation: This chart plots the monthly sales-to-new listings ratio (blue line) with year-over-year average annual per cent price change (brown line). When the sales-to-new listings ratio moves higher, average annual per cent change in home prices generally trends higher. When the sales-to-new listings ratio moves lower, average annual per cent change in home prices generally trends lower.