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8/10/2019 Transmission Industry
1/25Transmission Line EPC ACMIIL 1
An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company
INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.
1
R E P OR TS E C T O R
We believe investments in Transmission and Distribution (T&D) infrastructure will drive growth for companies with a strong
presence in these segments. We initiate coverage on KEC International Limited (KEC) and Jyoti Structures Limited (JSL). We
recommend a BUY on KEC with a price target of `89 and BUY on JSL with a price target of `110.
Investment Thesis
Power Demand is estimated to grow at 7.8% between 2010 and 2015 on back of GDP growth of 8% to 8.5% over next ve
years. In line with the power requirement of the country, 95 GW of power capacity is expected to be added in the next ve years,
considering only 33 GW additions over the previous ve years.
As sequential transmission lines addition is required in line with the generation capacity additions, signicant transmission lines
and substations addition are expected over the next ve years. In addition, lower investments in T&D infrastructure over the years,has necessitated strengthening of the existing networks.
Thus to strengthen the existing system and evacuation of power from new power plants, target of 95,283 circuit kms (ckm) of
transmission lines is planned for the 11th plan and 155,000 ckm to 180,000 ckm during the 12th plan. Growth in transmission
systems will include not just the physical growth in the transmission network but also the introduction of higher transmission
voltages for bulk power transmission, with the aim of limiting transmission losses.
Over the next ve years (2010-15E), investments worth `3.4 trillion are expected to be made in T&D as compared to `1.64
trillion made during 2005-10. This presents signicant opportunity for players in transmission line EPC segment.
We initiate coverage on KEC International Limited (KEC) and Jyoti Structures Limited (JSL).
KEC: At CMP of`72, KEC is trading at a P/E of 8.6x its FY11E earnings, 7.8x its FY12E and 7.3 its FY13E earnings. Considering
GOI focus on T&D, KECs strong presence in domestic market, robust order backlog and acquisition of SAE towers which allowKEC to tap US market, we assign a P/E multiple of 9x to its FY13E earnings and recommend a BUY on the stock with a price
target of `89.
JSL:At CMP of `78, JSL is trading at a P/E of 7.9x its FY11E earnings, 6.9x its FY12E and 6.4 its FY13E earnings. Considering
GOI focus on T&D, JSLs presence in domestic market and strong order backlog, we assign a P/E multiple of 9x to its FY13E
earnings and recommend a BUYon the stock with a price target of `110.
Transmission Line EPC
AnalystChinmay S. Gandre
Tel: (022) 2858 3407
21 Mar, 2011
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8/10/2019 Transmission Industry
2/25Transmission Line EPC ACMIIL 2
An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company
INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.
1
R E P OR TS E C T O R
Transmission Industry
A T&D system comprises transmission lines, substations, switching stations,
transformers and distribution lines. The transmission segment plays a key role in
transmitting power to various distribution entities across the country. A T&D system is
organized in a grid, which interconnects various generating stations and load centers.
This ensures uninterrupted power supply to a load center, even if there is a failure at
the local generating station or a maintenance shutdown.
In India, the T&D system is a three-tier structure comprising distribution networks,
state grids and regional grids. Distribution networks and state grids are primarily
owned and operated by the respective SEBs. Most inter-state transmission links are
owned and operated by PGCIL, with some jointly owned by the SEBs concerned. In
addition, PGCIL owns and operates a number of inter-regional transmission lines to
facilitate the transfer of power from a surplus region to one with decit.
The transmission system in India operates at several voltage levels:
Extra high voltage (EHV): 765 Kv, 400 Kv and 220 Kv
High voltage: 132 Kv and 66 Kv
Medium voltage: 33 Kv, 11 Kv, 6.6 Kv and 3.3 Kv
Low voltage: 1.1 Kv, 220 volts and below
The total length of transmission lines in the country has increased to 7.28 million
ckm in 2007-08 vs 3.6 million ckm in 1998-99.
Transmission Lines (ckm)
Year HVDC 800 Kv 400 Kv 230/220Kv
132/110/90Kv
78/66 Kv 33/22/20Kv
15/11 Kv 6.6/3.3/2.2Kv
Distributionlines
Total
1998-99 1,672 - 36,122 85,141 105,744 41,044 263,165 1,634,840 4,494 3,568,189 5,710,411
1999-00 1,672 - 37,636 86,963 107,522 41,646 269,963 1,660,453 4,431 3,525,121 5,735,407
2000-01 3,176 - 38,004 92,470 110,110 43,169 274,103 1,711,619 4,562 3,570,347 5,847,560
2001-02 4,104 - 40,887 97,238 118,180 43,849 288,226 1,753,331 4,737 3,679,596 6,030,148
2002-03 5,876 - 51,785 99,779 120,958 43,202 302,981 1,936,689 4,558 3,985,909 6,551,737
2003-04 5,876 - 53,616 101,667 121,925 43,297 283,240 1,869,371 6,362 3,859,504 6,344,858
2004-05 6,841 563 57,185 104,758 124,344 45,884 299,639 1,971,722 6,431 3,953,456 6,570,823
2005-06 6,841 563 57,840 108,261 129,465 47,231 309,708 2,047,460 6,474 4,064,516 6,778,359
2006-07 6,841 563 58,018 111,572 132,124 49,462 314,538 2,085,897 6,431 4,149,923 6,939,529
2007-08 6,428 1,692 65,175 115,452 138,137 49,945 335,351 2,231,698 6,519 4,328,549 7,278,946
Source: CEA, CRISIL
GOI thrust on power sectorPower Demand is estimated to grow at 7.8% between 2010 and 2015 on back of GDP
growth of 8% to 8.5% over next ve years. In line with the power requirement of
the country 95 GW of power capacity is expected to be added in the next ve years,
considering only 33 GW additions over the previous ve years.
Capacity additions forecast
MW 2010-11 P 2011-12 P 2012-13 P 2013-14 P 2014-15 P Total
Central 3,690 5,736 5,262 3,021 3,705 21,414
State 3,112 2,800 3,510 3,103 2,648 15,173
Private 4,285 6,397 7,620 12,675 14,545 45,522
Total 11,087 14,933 16,392 18,799 20,898 82,109
Captive 2,362 2,722 2,351 2,673 2,865 12,973
Total (includingcaptive)
13,449 17,655 18,743 21,472 23,763 95,082
Source: CRISIL
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8/10/2019 Transmission Industry
3/25Transmission Line EPC ACMIIL 3
An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company
INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.
1
R E P OR TS E C T O R
Capacity addition is expected to translate to an investment of `9.3 trillion in power
sector. Sequential transmission lines addition is required in line with the generation
capacity additions to enable seamless ow of power. With Government focus on
reducing T&D losses, investments in T&D are expected to be signicantly higher
compared to the previous outlays. Investments worth `3.4 trillion are expected over
the next 5 years vs 1.64 trillion made during 2005-10.
Capacity additions forecast
`billion 2009-10 E
2010-11 P
2011-12 P
2012-13 P
2013-14 P
2014-15 P
Total (2010-11to 2014-15)
Generation-Utilities 647.7 767.4 884.5 993.6 1,131.2 1,290.8 5,067.4
Generation-Captives 100.2 112.2 124.9 145.4 169.3 197.1 749.0
Total T&D 431.0 499.5 579.4 672.7 781.6 908.8 3,442.0
Total Investments 1,178.9 1,379.1 1,588.8 1,811.7 2,082.1 2,396.7 9,258.5
Source: CRISIL
Investments in
T&D `Bn
2000 to 05 2005 to 10 CAGR growth
2005 to10
2010 to 15P CAGR growth
2010 to15
814 1,638 15% 3,442 16%
Source: CRISIL
Signicant transmission lines addition & Up gradation of existing lines
Traditionally, the government has focus on investments in power generation to
alleviate the power shortage in the country. In the process, the T&D segment has
remained neglected and attracted signicantly less investments in the comparison to
generation. Investments ratio between generation and T&D in India has historically
been 2:1 against an ideal investment ratio of 1:1. To strengthen the existing system
and evacuation of power from new power plants expected during the 11th and the
12th plan, signicant transmission lines and substation additions is planned. Target
of 95,283 circuit kms (ckm) of transmission lines is planned for the 11th plan and
155,000 to 180,000 ckm during the 12th plan.
Transmissionlines (ckm)
Existing by10th plan
Target Additionsfor the 11thplan
Existing capacityas of Sept 2010
Total byMarch 2012
Target additionsin12thplan
765 kV 2,184 5,428 3,829 7,612 25,000 to30,000
HVDC 500 kV 5,872 1,606 NA 7,478 30,000
HVDC 800/600kV
0 3,600 NA 3,600 5,000
400 kV 75,722 49,278 100,910 125,000 50,000
220 kV 114,629 35,371 130,788 150,000 40,000
Total 198,407 95,283 NA 293,690 150,000to155,000
Source: CEA
Substation MVA/MW Existing by10thplan
Additions11thplan
Total by March2012
Estimated additionsin12th plan
HVDC terminal capacity 8,200 6,000 14,200 16,000 to 22,000
765 kV 0 53,000 53,000 1,10,000
400 kV 92,942 52,058 145,000 80,000
230/220 kV 156,497 73,503 230,000 95,000Total 257,639 184,561 442,200 301,000 to 307,000
Source: CEA
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8/10/2019 Transmission Industry
4/25Transmission Line EPC ACMIIL 4
An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company
INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.
1
R E P OR TS E C T O R
Growth in transmission systems will include not just the physical growth in the
transmission network but also the introduction of higher transmission voltages for bulk
power transmission, with the aim of limiting transmission losses. The up gradation
and replacement of existing transmission lines to higher voltage would increase the
demand for transmission towers.
Development of inter-regional transmission corridors
To facilitate transfer of power from surplus regions to decit regions and evacuation
of power from central sector generation projects and Ultra Mega Power projects
(UMPPs), both 11th and 12th plan are focused on strengthening and developing the
national and inter-regional transmission corridors. In line Power Grid Corporation
of India Limited (PGCIL) has invested `254.4 billion till FY10 and has planned
capital outlay of `295.6 billion for FY11 and FY12. On May 31st 2010 the Central
electricity regulatory commission (CERC) approved PGCIL to proceed with the
execution of 9 high capacity power transmission corridors (HCPTCs) that will help
transport electricity to the main load centers from 48 new IPP plants located in
coal belt, coastal areas or hydroelectricity-rich areas in the Northeast region. The
government has approved`580 billion for the same. Thus, inter-regional transmission
capacity is expected to increase from 13,450 MW to 38,050 MW by 2012 and to
75,150 MW by 2017
Inter-Regional
Capacity - MW
By 10th plan Additions 11th
plan
By 11th Plan Additions in
12th Plan
By 12th Plan
East South 3,130 500 3,630 4,200 7,830
East North 3,430 8,700 12,130 5,900 18,030
East West 1,790 4,700 6,490 10,500 16,990
East-North East 1,260 1,600 2,860 0 2,860North West 2,120 2,100 4,220 10,200 14,420
West-South 1,720 1,000 2,720 6,300 9,020
North East /East
North/West
0 6,000 6,000 0 6,000
TOTAL 13,450 24,600 38,050 37,100 75,150
Source: CEA
Key policies like Accelerated Power Development Reform Programme & Rajiv
Gandhi Grameen Vidyutikaran Yojana (RGGVY) to encourage investments in T&D.
GOI formulated the Accelerated Power Development Reform Programme (APDRP)
under which states are given loans, grants and incentives for upgrading andmodernizing their sub-transmission and distribution (below 33 Kv or 66 Kv networks).
The union government in April 2005 with the objective to provide electricity to all
villages and habitations initiated the Rajiv Gandhi Grameen Vidyutikaran Yojana
(RGGVY). On a countrywide basis, about 67 per cent of the total project cost of
RGGVY schemes amounting to `154 billion has been released till December 2009.
Both these initiatives are expected to encourage investments in the transmission sector.
Opportunities in Global markets
Signicant investments in T&D are expected to be made over 2010-15 across the
globe. Total Investments worth USD 158 billion are expected made in Middle East,
Africa and North America.
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5/25Transmission Line EPC ACMIIL 5
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INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.
1
R E P OR TS E C T O R
Peer Analysis
Capacities
Jyoti Structures Ltd, KEC International and Kalpataru Power are dominant playersin the industry. KEC is the largest player with an annual capacity of 1.51 million MT
followed by Jyoti Structures and Kalpataru. Apart from their own capacities, these
players also outsource towers from qualied vendors.
In 000 MT FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
JyotiCapacity 76 96 110 110
Production 61 74 85 119
KEC
Capacity 58 113 151 151
Production 51 93 107 109
Third party outsourced 36 34 32 32
Purchased 10 24 39 35
Kalpataru
Capacity 84 108 108 108
Production 78 80 80 102
Third party outsourced 0 NA 13 20
Note: For JSL production numbers includes production outsourced to various parties.Source: ACMIIL Research
Geographical presence
JSL is predominantly a domestic player, with ~78% of the revenues coming from
domestic market. On the other hand, KEC and Kalpataru are diversied with greater
presence in the international markets. Approximately 56% of KECs revenue comes
from international market like Africa, Middle East and Central Asia, while exports
constitute ~43% of Kalpatarus sales.
Particulars KEC Jyoti Kalpataru
Exports as a % of total sales (FY10) 55.8% 22.1% 43.2%
Source: ACMIIL Research, Company
Source: Source: ABS Energy research, Accenture research, Company
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8/10/2019 Transmission Industry
6/25Transmission Line EPC ACMIIL 6
An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company
INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.
1
R E P OR TS E C T O R
Financial analysis
`Mn Jyoti KEC Kalpataru
Net Sales - FY10 21,297.7 39,063.9 25,960.4
Sales CAGR FY07-10 29.9% 24.2% 19.4%
OPM - FY10 10.7 10.4 12.8
NPM - FY10 3.9 4.8 6.6
PAT CAGR FY07-10 14.9% 21.7% 2.2%
Capital Employed - FY10 8,778.6 16,199.5 16,064.6
D/E - FY10 0.8 1.0 0.6
RONW - FY10 17.0 24.0 17.3
ROCE - FY10 24.7 23.4 20.5
Source: ACMIIL Research, Company
Players have registered healthy sales growth on back of investments in
the T&D segment.
Players enjoys operating margins in the range of 10% to 12%
Being a working capital intensive business, players are leveraged with
D/E up to 1x.
In general, players enjoy healthy return ratios of 17% and above.
Order backlog
Players have strong order backlog giving revenue visibility for next 18 to 22 months
Order backlog
Order back log Q3 FY11( RHS) Order book to TTM sales (LHS)
KEC Jyoti Kalpataru0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
0
20
40
60
80
100
`
Bn
80
41 50
1.6
1.9 1.8
Source: ACMIIL Research, Company
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7/25Transmission Line EPC ACMIIL 7
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R E P OR TS E C T O R
KEC International Limited (KEC), incorporated in 1945 is one of the leading players
in the power transmission EPC business in India and international markets. KEC
undertakes designing, manufacturing and construction of turnkey high-voltage power
transmission line projects. It also engages in projects related to power distribution
network, railway electrication, sub-stations and optical ber cable installations. The
company has presence across geographies, with revenues from international market
constituting 55% of the total revenues in FY10. In the international markets, KEC is
primarily present in the Middle East, Africa and Central Asia.
KECs business can be broadly divided into transmission, distribution, cables and
railways.
Power Transmission segment
KEC has over 60 years of experience in executing turnkey transmission lines projects.
It offers complete solutions that include tower design, tower testing, manufacturing
and onsite construction up to capacity of 800 Kv transmissions lines. The company
has three manufacturing facilities located in India at Jaipur, Nagpur and Jabalpur
having a total capacity of 151,000 MT. It also has close association with ve value
added partners manufacturing facilities who provide exclusive capacity to KEC of
more than 60,000 MTs per annum.
In `000 MT FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Sales 103.3 160.0 182.6 186.9
Production 50.8 92.8 107.1 108.8
Purchases 9.8 23.6 39.0 35.3
Outsourced 35.6 34.1 31.8 32.3
Capacity 58 113 151 151
Source: Company
The company also has 4 tower testing stations, capable of testing towers of up to
1200 Kv transmission line.
B U Y
KEC International Limited
Source: Company
9M FY11 - Sales Break up
Cables10%
SAE Towers6%
Transmission71%
Distribution10%
Telecom andrailway
3%
Key Data (`)
CMP 72
Target Price 89
Key Data
Bloomberg Code KECI IN
Reuters Code KECL.BO
BSE Code 532714
NSE Code KEC
Face Value (`) 2
Market Cap. (`mn) 18120
52 Week High (`) 123
52 Week Low (`) 71
Avg. Daily Volume (6m) 154,870
Shareholding Pattern (%)
Promoters 41.7
FII 5.0
DII 38.1
Others 15.2
Total 100.0
(`mn) FY11E FY12E FY13E
Revenues 47,067.7 54,236.0 58,578.3
Operating Profits 4,824.4 5,553.2 5,922.3
OPM (%) 10.3 10.2 10.1
PAT 2,151.3 2,379.2 2,533.5
PAT Margin (%) 4.6 4.4 4.3
EPS (`) 8.4 9.3 9.9
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8/10/2019 Transmission Industry
8/25Transmission Line EPC ACMIIL 8
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INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.
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R E P OR TS E C T O R
Power Distribution segment
KEC has successfully executed substation, distribution and rural electrication
projects in India and overseas. For substations it has a strategic alliance with Power
Engineers Inc., USA. The company is pre qualied for all the types of substations upto 400 kV. The rural electrication business has electried 7,500 Villages.
Cables segment RPG Cables
RPG Cables merged with KEC from March 2010. The segment manufactures a range
of control & power cables that are critical to the distribution network of power utilities
and for industrial expansion. (Annexure: Product & service range)
Railways segment
The segment undertakes civil infrastructure including earthwork, bridges, tunnels
and station building along with track laying and signaling work. It has electried
5,000 track kms. The company is pre-qualied for all the railway construction related
activities
SAE Towers (Wholly owned subsidiary w.e.f Sept 2010)
KEC acquired 100% stake in SAE Towers for a total consideration of USD 95 million.
Headquartered in Texas, SAE Towers manufactures of steel lattice transmission
towers. SAE has a total annual production capacity of 100,000 MT located at
Monterrey, Mexico (35,000 MT) and Belo Horizonte, Brazil (65,000 MT). SAE
supplies towers to United States, Canada, Brazil, Mexico and the rest of Latin America.
Currently, SAE is operating at 65%to 70% utilizations levels. The company has an
annual turnover of USD 137 million (2010). Order backlog as of Q3 FY11 stands
at `7.2billion.
Order book
As of Q3 FY11 KECs standalone order backlog stands at `73 billion, which is1.8x
TTM sales. International orders constitute 49% of the total order book, while the rest
51% constitute of domestic orders. International orders primarily constitute of orders
from Middle East, Africa, Central Asia and America.
Particulars -`Mn Middle East
and Africa
Central
Asia
America Asia
Pacific
Domestic Total %
Transmission 11,910.0 7,740.0 7,620.0 240.0 23,280.0 50,790.0 69.9
Distribution 7,970.0 7,400.0 15,370.0 21.2
Cables 1,830.0 1,830.0 2.5
E-BOP 400.0 400.0 0.6
Telecom 380.0 380.0 0.5
Railways 3,900.0 3,900.0 5.4
Total 11,910.0 15,710.0 7,620.0 240.0 37,190.0 72,670.0 100.0
% 16.4 21.6 10.5 0.3 51.2 100.0
Source: Company
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9/25Transmission Line EPC ACMIIL 9
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R E P OR TS E C T O R
Key Positives
KECs Strong presence in Indian markets
Although KEC has presence in various regions across the globe the company is a
dominant player in the Indian markets also with a market share of ~18% to 19%.The company has a strong track record and has expertise in 765 Kv, 500 Kv and
400Kv transmission lines. KEC also has the capability to construct substations of
up to 400 kV, making it a total turnkey EPC contractor for power transmission lines.
Acquisition of SAE Towers to increase presence in the US markets and to
drive revenues and protability
SAE Towers is the market leader in the US, Mexico and Brazil with a market
share of over 40%. With acquisition of SAE, KEC can leverage on SAE to build
relationship with power utilities in these regions and also use its (SAEs) facilitiesas back up facilities to expand its presence in these markets. Post acquisition, KEC
(India) exposure to these markets has increased to ~11%, which earlier used be less
than 2%. Recently, KEC (India) won a major order `7.35 billion from Canada; for
this order majority of the supplies would be made from India. However, incase of
any logistical related issue, SAE Tower facility would serve as a back up.
SAE Towers also earns higher operating margins in range of 13% to 14%, which
is expected to drive protability.
Strong Order backlog
Current stand alone order backlog stands at `73 billion. In addition SAE Towers
has an order backlog of`7 billion, which takes the total consolidated order backlogto `80 billion. Order inows have been strong in recent quarters, the company
received order in excess of `40 billion during 9 M FY11. Both domestic as well
as international market has contributed to the growth in the companys order book.
Source: ACMIIL Research
Domestic Market Share
Kalpataru
16% to 17%
Jyoti Structures
17% to 18 %
Others
47% to 48%
KEC
18% to 19%
Source: Company
Consolidatd order book break up
0.00
80.00
70.00
60.00
50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
Q4 FY10 Q1 FY11 Q2 FY11 Q3 FY11
Transmission Line CablesRailway and Telecom SAE Tower
Order backlog sandalone
Q4 FY0945
50
55
60
65
70
75
Q1 FY10 Q2 FY10 Q3 FY10 Q4 FY10 Q1 FY11 Q2 FY11 Q3 FY11
`
Bn
51.63 51.55
55.43
60.51
57.07 56.5
64.63
73
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10/25Transmission Line EPC ACMIIL 10
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R E P OR TS E C T O R
Key Concerns
Working capital intensive business
The T&D business is working capital intensive in nature and the requirement is
primarily funded through short-term loans. Working capital loans required stoodat ~30% of sales. Thus, working capital management is crucial and increase in
working capital requirement has a direct impact on interest cost and thereby the
protability of the company.
Uncovered risk related to raw material prices
Domestic transmission line EPC contracts include a price variation clause for
adjusting changes in raw material prices. However international contracts are
based on xed price. Steel, aluminum and zinc are the main raw materials for
construction of a transmission line. Steel and aluminum, constitute about 15 %
of the operational costs each, and zinc constitutes around 2-3%. To neutralize the
effect of uctuations in raw material prices KEC generally enters into hedgingof aluminum through forward contracts. For supply of steel, KEC enters into
advance contracts with vendors for 5-6 months, for reducing risks involved with
its price changes. However, steel is not fully covered, keeping the risk open for
the company to that extent. Currently ~ 35% of the total order backlog (primarily
export orders) is not subject to price variation clause.
Foreign currency risk:
KEC has presence in more than 40 countries. Revenues from international markets
constitute approximately 55% of total revenues. The company tries to match
receipts with payments. However, foreign exchange risk is not fully covered.
CompetitionApart from the established dominant player approximately 45 others EPC
contractors participated in PGCIL tenders in 2010. Participation by such players
has signicantly increased competition and has resulted in increased pricing
pressure in the industry.
Operating margins of all the three major players have dropped in range of 100 to 200
bps as compared to FY08.
Operating profit margins
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
8.810.4
12.5
11.411.6
14.8
11.812.8
12.6
FY08 FY09 FY10
KEC Jyoti Kalpataru
Source: ACMIIL Research, Company
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R E P OR TS E C T O R
BOOT
The company is participating in the bids for BOOT projects. These projects
requiring high investments would be developed in 70:30 debt/equity ratio. In
case the company emerges as a successful bidder for the project, it will convert
the company from current pure product & solutions provider (EPC contractor) to
services-cum-solutions provider (Owner cum EPC contractor). The clear picture
related to nancial requirements, protability in view of SEBs being the client
and augmented man power requirements can emerge only after winning of a
particular project.
Foray into new verticals
KEC is foraying into new verticals like railway infrastructure. Indian Railways
(IR) is a monopsony market, which limit bargaining power of KEC. In addition,
as company is trying to create its space in this vertical, margins are also expected
to be subdued, which will have an impact on consolidated margins.
SWOT Analysis
Strength Weakness
KECs strong track record and execution
capabilities.
Strong presence in domestic market with market
share of 18% to 19%
Strong order backlog of`80 billion, gives revenue
visibility for next 18 to 22 months.
Working capital intensive business
Foreign currency Risk
Uncovered risk related to raw material prices
Opportunity Threats
Capacity addition planned for the 11th and
12th plan would lead to significant addition of
transmission lines.
Up gradation of existing T&D network
Policies like RGGVY and APDRP to encourage
investment in T&D.
Acquisition of SAE towers provides opportunities
to tap US markets
Competition from domestic EPC contractors has
led to increased pricing pressure in the industry.
Unrest in middle East
Financials
KECs net sales have increased at a CAGR of 24% from `20,406.3 million in FY07
to `39,072.3 million in FY10 on back of investments in T&D. We expect net salesto grow at CAGR of 15% to `58,578.3 million in FY13E.
Operating margins dropped from 12% in FY07 to 10.4% in FY10 on account of
increased pricing pressure in the industry. We expect marginal fall in operating prots
margins as we expect SAE towers which earns operating margins in range of 13%
to 14% to partly arrest fall in margins on account of increased pricing pressure in
domestic industry. We expect the company to register OPM of 10.3%, 10.2% and
10.1% in FY11E, FY12E and FY13E respectively.
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8/10/2019 Transmission Industry
12/25Transmission Line EPC ACMIIL 12
An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company
INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.
1
R E P OR TS E C T O R
Valuation and Recommendation
At CMP of `72, KEC is trading at a P/E of 8.6x its FY11E earnings, 7.8x its FY12E
and 7.3 its FY13E earnings. Considering GOI focus on T&D, KECs strong presence
in domestic market, robust order backlog and acquisition of SAE towers which allowKEC to tap US market, we assign a P/E multiple of 9x to its FY13E earnings and
recommend a BUY on the stock with a price target of `89.
Peer Valuation One year forward PE Chart
4/3/2006
7/3/2006
10/3/2006
4/3/2007
7/3/2007
10/3/2007
1/3/2007
4/3/2008
7/3/2008
10/3/2008
1/3/2008
4/3/2009
7/3/2009
10/3/2009
1/3/2009
4/3/2010
7/3/2010
10/3/2010
1/3/2009
10/3/2011
Jyoti Strcutures KEC International Kalapatau Power
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.030.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
Source: ACMIIL Research
`
One year forward P/E Chart
4/3/2006
7/3/2006
10/3/2006
4/3/2007
7/3/2007
10/3/2007
1/3/2007
4/3/2008
7/3/2008
10/3/2008
1/3/2008
4/3/2009
7/3/2009
10/3/2009
1/3/2009
4/3/2010
7/3/2010
10/3/2010
1/3/2009
10/3/2011
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Close Price 15 PE 12 PE 10 PE 8 PE
Source: ACMIIL Research
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8/10/2019 Transmission Industry
13/25Transmission Line EPC ACMIIL 13
An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company
INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.
1
R E P OR TS E C T O R
Financials
Profit & Loss Account `Mn
Particulars FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E FY13E
Net Sales 20,406.3 28,144.7 34,273.9 39,063.9 47,067.7 54,236.0 58,578.3Total Expenditure 17,887.8 24,601.5 31,278.1 35,013.7 42,243.2 48,682.8 52,656.0
Operating Profit 2,518.5 3,543.2 3,010.3 4,058.6 4,824.4 5,553.2 5,922.3
Other Income 6.9 2.5 5.9 9.9 10.0 10.0 10.0
EBIDTA 2,525.4 3,545.7 3,016.2 4,068.5 4,834.4 5,563.2 5,932.3
Depreciation 334.4 250.7 230.0 270.2 403.6 483.1 508.3
EBIT 2,191.1 3,295.1 2,786.2 3,798.3 4,430.8 5,080.1 5,424.0
Interest 592.5 676.5 999.7 864.7 1,121.2 1,419.8 1,526.3
PBT 1,598.6 2,618.5 1,786.5 2,933.6 3,309.6 3,660.3 3,897.7
Taxes 552.2 896.9 618.4 1,037.0 1,158.4 1,281.1 1,364.2
PAT 1,046.4 1,721.6 1,168.1 1,896.6 2,151.3 2,379.2 2,533.5
Growth in sales (%) 37.9 21.8 14.0 20.5 15.2 8.0
Growth in Operating profits (%) 40.7 -15.0 34.8 18.9 15.1 6.6
Growth in PAT (%) 64.5 -32.2 61.6 14.0 10.6 6.5
OPM (%) 12.3 12.6 8.8 10.4 10.3 10.2 10.1
Net Profit Margin (%) 5.1 6.1 3.4 4.8 4.6 4.4 4.3
Source: ACMIIL Research, Company
Balance Sheet `Mn
Particulars FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E FY13E
Sources of Funds
Share Capital 376.9 493.4 493.4 514.2 514.2 514.2 514.2
Reserves and Surplus 2,343.1 4,458.3 5,087.4 7,356.8 8,911.6 10,694.3 12,631.4
Total Shareholders Funds 2,719.9 4,951.7 5,580.9 7,870.9 9,425.7 11,208.5 13,145.5
Total Loan Funds 3,864.2 5,917.7 6,218.2 7,867.4 14,185.5 15,020.2 15,963.7
Net Deferred Tax Liability 334.8 446.8 298.2 461.1 461.1 461.1 461.1
Total Capital Employed 6,918.9 11,316.2 12,097.3 16,199.5 24,072.3 26,689.7 29,570.3
Application of Funds
Gross Block 4,676.3 5,213.0 6,319.6 8,357.4 11,370.3 13,420.3 14,120.3
Less: Accumulated Depreciation 600.0 898.5 1,247.8 1,570.1 1,973.7 2,456.8 2,965.2
Net Block 4,076.2 4,314.4 5,071.8 6,787.4 9,396.5 10,963.4 11,155.1
Capital Work in Progress 22.9 189.0 543.3 412.8 450.0 100.0 100.0
Goodwill on consolidation 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2,756.6 2,756.6 2,756.6
Investments 205.9 4.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net Current Assets 2,569.4 6,561.8 6,482.2 8,999.3 11,469.2 12,869.7 15,558.6
Deferred Tax Assets 44.5 246.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total Assets 6,918.9 11,316.2 12,097.3 16,199.5 24,072.3 26,689.7 29,570.3
Source: ACMIIL Research, Company
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8/10/2019 Transmission Industry
14/25Transmission Line EPC ACMIIL 14
An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company
INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.
1
R E P OR TS E C T O R
Cash flow Statement `Mn
Particulars FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E FY13E
PBT 1,598.6 2,618.5 1,786.5 2,933.6 3,309.6 3,660.3 3,897.7
Add
Depreciation 334.4 250.7 230.0 270.2 403.6 483.1 508.3
Interest 603.2 680.6 1,016.7 944.7 1,121.2 1,419.8 1,526.3
Profit before working capital changes 2,389.4 3,618.1 3,396.7 3,644.2 4,834.4 5,563.2 5,932.3
Working capital changes -2,213.4 -2,669.4 1,010.0 -2,519.4 -2,442.4 -1,626.6 -2,071.9
Less Taxes -394.6 -905.4 -624.5 -778.2 -1,158.4 -1,281.1 -1,364.2
Net Cash flow from operating activities -218.5 43.4 3,767.2 346.6 1,233.7 2,655.5 2,496.2
Net Cash flow in investment activities -98.2 -317.8 -1,380.6 -508.5 -5,806.6 -1,700.0 -700.0
Net Cash flow from financing activities -99.2 556.4 -1,687.4 -678.3 4,600.4 -1,181.6 -1,179.2
Net increase /(decrease) in cash -416.0 282.0 699.1 -840.2 27.5 -226.1 617.0
Op. balance of cash and cash equivalents 629.9 213.9 689.9 1,409.9 699.3 726.8 500.7
Add: cash balance of jointly controlled operation 0.0 0.0 20.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Add: cash balance acquired under the scheme 0.0 184.5 0.0 129.6 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cl. balance of cash and cash equivalents 213.9 680.4 1,409.9 699.3 726.8 500.7 1,117.7
Source: ACMIIL Research, Company
Ratios
Particulars FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E FY13E
Profitability Ratios
OPM (%) 12.3 12.6 8.8 10.4 10.3 10.2 10.1
PAT Margin (%) 5.1 6.1 3.4 4.8 4.6 4.4 4.3
RONW (%) 38.5 34.8 20.9 24.0 22.8 21.2 19.3
ROCE (%) 31.7 29.1 23.0 23.4 18.4 19.0 18.3
Per Share Ratios
EPS (Rs.) 5.6 7.0 4.7 7.3 8.4 9.3 9.9
CEPS (Rs.) 5.4 7.7 5.4 8.4 9.9 11.1 11.8
Adj BV Per Share (`) 14.4 20.1 22.6 30.6 25.9 32.9 40.4
Valuation Ratios
P/E (x) - - - 9.8 8.6 7.8 7.3
P/CEPS (x) - - - 8.5 7.2 6.5 6.1
P/BV (x) - - - 2.4 2.8 2.2 1.8
Capital Structure Ratios
Debt/Equity 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.5 1.3 1.2
Current Ratio 1.3 1.5 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6
Turnover Ratios
Debtors turnover ratio 2.3 2.0 1.8 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9
Inventory turnover ratio 13.6 13.7 15.2 15.6 15.2 15.2 15.2
Fixed Asset Turnover 5.0 6.5 6.8 5.8 5.0 4.9 5.3
Source: ACMIIL Research,
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8/10/2019 Transmission Industry
15/25Transmission Line EPC ACMIIL 15
An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company
INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.
1
R E P OR TS E C T O R
Jyoti Structures Limited (JSL), incorporated in 1974, is a turnkey solutions provider
in transmission & distribution segment. Over the past 3 decades it has successfully
executed over 600 projects. The company is primarily focused on domestic market,
with revenues from domestic market constituting 78% of total revenues.
JSLs business can be broadly divided into transmission lines, substation and rural
electrication projects.
Transmission lines
JSL has over 30 years of experience in executing turnkey projects in the eld of extra
high voltage (EHV) transmission lines. It offers complete solutions that include tower
design, tower testing, manufacturing and onsite construction up to capacity of 800
Kv HVAC or 500 Kv HVDC. The company also has its own testing facilities that
can test towers up to 1,200 Kv. It has its manufacturing facilities located in Nasik
(Annual Capacity: 68,000 MT) and Raipur (Annual Capacity: 42,000 MT). In FY10,
transmission lines contributed 70% to its total revenues.
Substations
JSL has undertaken projects ranging from the augmentation of existing substations
to development of new substations. It has capabilities to construct substations up to
400 Kv and has successfully completed 559 bays. Substations contributed 15% to
total revenues in FY10.
Distributions/ Rural electrication
JSL has electried over 2,361 villages and provides connections to over 450,000
households. Currently electrication of 4,447 villages is in progress. This segment
contributed 15% to total revenues in FY10.
B U Y
Key Data (`)
CMP 78
Target Price 110
Key Data
Bloomberg Code JYS IN
Reuters Code JYTS.BO
BSE Code 513250
NSE Code JYOTISTRUC
Face Value (`) 2
Market Cap. (`mn) 6390
52 Week High (`) 178
52 Week Low (`) 77
Avg. Daily Volume (6m) 377,835
Shareholding Pattern (%)
Promoters 27.61
FII 11.01
DII 29.88
Others 31.5
Total 100.0
(`mn) FY11E FY12E FY13E
Revenues 24,211.9 26,456.0 29,117.1
Operating Profits 2,552.1 2,683.7 2,976.4
OPM (%) 10.5 10.1 10.2
PAT 992.4 1,141.8 1,229.7
PAT Margin (%) 4.1 4.3 4.2
EPS (`) 9.9 11.3 12.2
Jyoti Structures Limited
JSL: EPC Contractor for TransmissionDistribution Lines and Substation
High Voltage Transmission Line Distribution Line
Transfer of Power from Generating Station to Cinsumer
Substation Consumer
PowerGeneationStation
Source: Company
Transmission Towers
Capacity Production Utilisation
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
000MT
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8/10/2019 Transmission Industry
16/25Transmission Line EPC ACMIIL 16
An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company
INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.
1
R E P OR TS E C T O R
Order book
As of Q3FY11 JSLs order backlog stands at `41 billion (~200,000 MT), which is
2x TTM sales. Domestic orders constitute 82% of the total order book, while exports
constitute the remaining 18%. Clients wise, SEBs together constitute 58% of the totalorder book followed by PGCIL (26%) and private players constituting the remaining
16%. Segment wise transmission line constitutes 80% of the total order backlog
followed by rural electrication (15%) and substations (5%).
Foreign Operations
To expand its presence in the Gulf, JSL has a formed joint venture company named
Gulf Jyoti International LLC (GJIL) with Gulf Investment Corporation. JSL stake
in the JV is 30%. GJIL has its facilities located in Dubai with an annual capacity of
50,000 MT. As of Q3 FY11, GJILs order book stands at ~`10 billion. JSL has also
formed a subsidiary, Jyoti Structures Africa (Pty) Ltd. in South Africa, in 2007 to
participate in local transmission markets.
Apart from Gulf and African region the company also plans to foray in the US
market. It is planning to set up a facility in USA that will manufacture steel towers.
The company plans to invest USD 12 million for the same.
Source: Company
SubstationRuralTransmission
5%15%
80%
Order Book Break Up
ExportDomestic
Order Book Break Up
82%
18%
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8/10/2019 Transmission Industry
17/25Transmission Line EPC ACMIIL 17
An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company
INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.
1
R E P OR TS E C T O R
Key Positives
JSLs strong presence in domestic T&D segment
JSL is one of the dominant player in the industry with a domestic market share of
~17 to 18%. The company has a strong track record having successfully completed24,568 ckm transmission line and designed/tested towers up to a capacity of 800
kV HVAC or 500 kV HVDC for various utilities. JSL also has the capability to
construct substations of up to 400 kV, making it a total turnkey EPC contractor for
power transmission lines.
Strong Order backlog
JSL order backlog has increased from `36.06 billion in FY09 to `41 billion in Q3
FY11. Current order backlog is 1.9x TTM sales and gives revenue visibility till FY13.Order inows have improved in last four quarters, with company registering order
inows worth `7,000 million in Q3 FY11.
Margins immune from uctuations in raw material prices
Most of the domestic projects have a variable price clause, which provides cushion
against uctuations in the prices of major raw materials such as steel and zinc. With
the domestic business accounting ~ 81% of the companys order book, margins are
largely immune to uctuations in raw material prices.
Domestic Market Share
Kalpataru16% to 17%
Others
47% to 48%KEC
18% to 19%
Jyoti Structures
17% to 18 %
Source: ACMIIL Research
Order Back Log
25
27
29
31
33
35
37
39
41
43
45
Q1FY09
Q2FY09
Q3FY09
Q4FY09
Q1FY10
Q2FY10
Q3FY10
Q4FY10
Q1FY11
Q2FY11
Bn
Q3FY11
35.6 36.16 35.1 36.06
39.5938.69
40.341.5
41.06
42.541.5
Order Inflow
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
Q1FY09
Q2FY09
Q3FY09
Q4FY09
Q1FY10
Q2FY10
Q3FY10
Q4FY10
Q1FY11
Q2FY11
Mn
Q3FY11
Source: Company
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8/10/2019 Transmission Industry
18/25Transmission Line EPC ACMIIL 18
An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company
INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.
1
R E P OR TS E C T O R
Key Concerns
Working capital intensive business
The T&D business is working capital intensive in nature and the requirement is
primarily funded through short-term loans. In FY10, working capital loans requiredstood at 28% to 30% of sales. Thus, working capital management is crucial and
increase in working capital requirement has a direct impact on interest cost and
thereby the protability of the company.
Competition
Apart from the established dominant player approximately 45 others EPC contractors
participated in PGCIL tenders. Participation by such players has signicantly increased
competition and has resulted in increased pricing pressure in the industry.
Operating margins of all the three major players have dropped in range of 100 to 200
bps as compared to FY08.
BOOT
The company is participating in the bids for BOOT projects. These projects requiring
high investments would be developed in 70:30 debt/equity ratio. In case the company
emerges as a successful bidder for the project, it will convert the company from current
pure solutions provider (EPC contractor) to services-cum-solutions provider (Owner
cum EPC contractor). The clear picture related to nancial requirements, protability
in view of SEBs being the client and augmented man power requirements can emerge
only after winning of a particular project.
SWOT Analysis
Strength Weakness
JSLs strong track record and execution capabilities.
Strong presence in domestic market with market share of
17% to 18%
Strong order backlog of `41 billion, gives revenue visibility
for next 18 to 22months.
Working capital intensive business
Opportunity Threats
Capacity addition planned for the 11th and 12th plan would
lead to significant addition of transmission lines.
Up gradation of existing T&D network
Policies like RGGVY and APDRP to encourage investment
in T&D.
Competition from domestic EPC
contractors has led to increased
pricing pressure in the industry.
Source: ACMIIL Research, Company
Operating profit margins
KEC Jyoti Kalpataru
FY08 FY09 FY100.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.016.0
8.8
10.4
12.5
11.6
14.8
11.8 12.8
12.611.4
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8/10/2019 Transmission Industry
19/25Transmission Line EPC ACMIIL 19
An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company
INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.
1
R E P OR TS E C T O R
Financials
JSLs net sales have increased at a CAGR of ~30% from `9,724 million in FY07 to
`21,297.7 million in FY10 on back of investments in T&D. We expect net sales to
grow at CAGR of 11% to`
29,117.1 million in FY13E.Operating margins dropped from 13% in FY07 to 10.7% in FY10 on account of
increased pricing pressure in the industry. We expect OPM to further drop to 10.2%
in FY13E.
Rights Issue
The company issued Non Convertible Debentures (NCDs) with Detachable Warrants
on rights basis.
Details of the issue
Issue: 10,261,243, 7% NCD of face value `120 each with 20,522,486 detachable
warrants
Size of the issue `1231.4 million (excluding conversion of warrants)
Total Issue Size `3,694.05 million (assuming full conversion of warrants)
Issue Price/ Face value per
NCD
`120
Warrant Exercise Price `120
Rights Ent it lement 1 NCD with 2 detachable warrants for every 8 equity shares held
Redemption period for NCDs NCD shall be redeem after 15 months
Warrant Exercise Period Warrants can be exercised within 18 months from the Date of Allotment during
the periods set out below:
August 15, 2011 to September 15, 2011 (both days inclusive),
February 15, 2012 to March 15, 2012 (both days inclusive),
June 15, 2012 to end of 18th month from the Date ofAllotment.
Additional Subscription by the
Promoter
Promoter and Promoter Group have right to subscribe to their entitlement
in this Issue, including by subscribing for renunciation, if any, made by
any other Shareholder. The Promoter and the Promoter Group may apply
for additional NCDs with detachable Warrants in the Issue, to the extent of
any unsubscribe portion of the Issue, such that the total subscription by our
Promoter and Promoter Group (including their Rights Entitlement) shall not
exceed 90% of the Issue size.
NCD Allotted 9,346, 310 ( `1121.56 million)
War rants Allotted 18,692,620 ( 2 warrants for every 1 NCD issued)
Source: Company
We have considered conversion of allotted warrants into equity shares in our nancials.
Hence, we have increased share capital to `201.4 million.
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8/10/2019 Transmission Industry
20/25Transmission Line EPC ACMIIL 20
An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company
INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.
1
R E P OR TS E C T O R
Valuation and Recommendation
At CMP of `78, JSL is trading at a P/E of 7.9x its FY11E earnings, 6.9x its FY12E
and 6.4 its FY13E earnings. Considering GOI focus on T&D, JSLs presence in
domestic market and strong order backlog, we assign a P/E multiple of 9x to itsFY13E earnings and recommend a BUYon the stock with a price target of `110.
Source: ACMIIL Research
One year forward P/E Chart
4/1
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8/1
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12/1
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4/1
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12/1
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4/1
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8/1
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4/1
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0
8/1
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0
12/1
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00
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
`
Close Price 8 PE 15 PE 12 PE 10 PE
Peer Valuation One year forward PE Chart
4/3/2006
7/3/2006
10/3/2006
4/3/2007
7/3/2007
10/3/2007
1/3/2007
4/3/2008
7/3/2008
10/3/2008
1/3/2008
4/3/2009
7/3/2009
10/3/2009
1/3/2009
4/3/2010
7/3/2010
10/3/2010
1/3/2009
10/3/2011
Jyoti Strcutures KEC International Kalapatau Power
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.025.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
Source: ACMIIL Research, Company
-
8/10/2019 Transmission Industry
21/25Transmission Line EPC ACMIIL 21
An ISO 9001:2008 Certified Company
INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD.
1
R E P OR TS E C T O R
Financials
Profit & Loss Account `Mn
Particulars FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E FY13E
Net Sales 9,723.8 13,738.3 18,393.6 21,297.7 24,211.9 26,456.0 29,117.1Total Expenditure 8,460.8 11,980.3 16,318.4 19,011.1 21,659.8 23,772.3 26,140.8
Operating Profit 1,263.0 1,758.0 2,075.2 2,286.6 2,552.1 2,683.7 2,976.4
Other Income 8.2 15.2 56.4 63.5 60.0 60.0 60.0
EBIDTA 1,271.2 1,773.2 2,131.6 2,350.0 2,612.1 2,743.7 3,036.4
Depreciation 59.4 72.0 99.4 178.4 201.4 220.2 269.0
EBIT 1,211.8 1,701.2 2,032.3 2,171.7 2,410.7 2,523.5 2,767.4
Interest 329.3 467.3 687.8 795.7 835.5 711.2 815.6
PBT 882.5 1,233.9 1,344.5 1,376.0 1,575.3 1,812.3 1,951.9
Taxes 327.9 488.7 493.4 533.0 582.8 670.6 722.2
PAT 554.7 745.2 851.1 843.0 992.4 1,141.8 1,229.7
Less: Excess / (Short) Provision of Taxes for earlier years 4.7 45.6 0.2 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
PAT 549.9 699.6 851.0 833.9 992.4 1,141.8 1,229.7
Growth in sales (%) 41.3 33.9 15.8 13.7 9.3 10.1
Growth in Operating profits (%) 39.2 18.0 10.2 11.6 5.2 10.9
Growth in PAT (%) 27.2 21.6 -2.0 19.0 15.1 7.7
OPM (%) 13.0 12.8 11.3 10.7 10.5 10.1 10.2
NPM (%) 5.7 5.1 4.6 3.9 4.1 4.3 4.2
Source: ACMIIL Research, Company
Balance Sheet `Mn
Particulars FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E FY13E
Sources of Funds
Share Capital 161.4 162.4 163.3 164.0 201.4 201.4 201.4
Reserves and Surplus 2,543.7 3,217.5 4,024.8 4,747.3 5,506.1 8,620.0 9,616.0
Total Shareholders Funds 2,705.1 3,379.8 4,188.1 4,911.3 5,707.5 8,821.4 9,817.4
Total Loan Funds 1,607.5 2,249.0 3,125.1 3,689.7 3,947.0 1,659.3 2,026.1
Net Deferred Tax Liability 55.1 67.9 91.0 177.5 177.5 177.5 177.5
Miority interest 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total Capital Employed 4,367.8 5,696.7 7,404.7 8,778.6 9,832.1 10,658.2 12,021.1
Application of Funds
Gross Block 979.8 1,140.6 1,901.1 2,438.1 2,685.4 2,935.4 3,735.4
Less: Accumulated Depreciation 385.6 456.2 550.5 687.8 889.2 1,109.3 1,378.3
Net Block 594.1 684.4 1,350.6 1,750.4 1,796.3 1,826.1 2,357.2
Capital Work in Progress 11.2 15.0 51.8 27.3 30.0 380.0 30.0
Investments 121.0 95.6 166.6 166.6 166.6 166.6 166.6
Net Current Assets 3,617.6 4,884.1 5,823.6 6,834.3 7,839.2 8,285.5 9,467.3
Misc Exp 23.9 17.5 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total Assets 4,367.8 5,696.7 7,404.7 8,778.6 9,832.1 10,658.2 12,021.1
Source: ACMIIL Research, Company
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Cash flow Statement `Mn
Particulars FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E FY13E
PBT 882.5 1,233.9 1,344.5 1,376.0 1,575.3 1,812.3 1,951.9
Add
Depreciation 59.4 72.0 99.6 178.6 201.4 220.2 269.0
Interest 329.3 467.3 687.7 795.7 835.5 711.2 815.6
Profit before working capital changes 1,354.3 1,824.5 2,167.6 2,299.8 2,612.1 2,743.7 3,036.4
Working capital changes -1,399.0 -1,198.1 -1,005.8 -81.5 -1,068.8 -651.5 -825.0
Less Taxes -334.8 -487.0 -653.3 -489.7 -582.8 -670.6 -722.2
Net Cash flow from operating activities -384.2 93.9 508.5 1,728.6 960.4 1,421.6 1,489.2
Net Cash flow in investment activities -173.0 -164.3 -378.8 -1,265.9 -250.0 -600.0 -450.0
Net Cash flow from financing activities 611.1 117.2 121.2 -311.4 -811.8 -989.4 -682.4
Net increase /(decrease) in cash 53.9 46.8 250.9 151.3 -101.3 -167.8 356.9
Op. balance of cash and cash equivalents 39.3 93.2 140.0 390.9 542.2 440.9 273.1
Cl. balance of cash and cash equivalents 93.2 140.0 390.9 542.2 440.9 273.1 629.9
Source: ACMIIL Research, Company
Ratios
Particulars FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E FY13E
Profitability Ratios
OPM (%) 13.0 12.8 11.3 10.7 10.5 10.1 10.2
PAT Margin (%) 5.7 5.1 4.6 3.9 4.1 4.3 4.2
RONW (%) 20.3 20.7 20.3 17.0 17.4 12.9 12.5
ROCE (%) 27.7 29.9 27.4 24.7 24.5 23.7 23.0
Per Share Ratios
EPS (`.) 6.7 8.5 10.4 10.2 9.9 11.3 12.2
CEPS (`.) 7.5 10.0 11.6 12.5 11.9 13.5 14.9
BV Per Share (`) 33.5 41.6 51.3 59.9 56.7 87.6 97.5
Valuation Ratios
P/E (x) - - - 7.7 7.9 6.9 6.4
P/CEPS (x) - - - 6.3 6.6 5.8 5.2
P/BV (x) - - - 1.3 1.4 0.9 0.8
Capital Structure Ratios
Debt/Equity 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.2
Current Ratio 2.3 2.5 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0
Turnover Ratios
Debtors turnover ratio 2.1 2.2 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5
Inventory turnover ratio 11.9 17.3 12.0 8.6 8.5 8.5 8.5
Fixed Asset Turnover 16.4 20.1 13.6 12.2 13.5 14.5 12.4
Source: ACMIIL Research
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Annexure KECs product range power cables
Annexure KECs Order details
Products
LV : up to 1.1 kV
MV : 3.3 kV to 33 kV.
EHV: 45 kV to 132 kV
LT & HT Aerial Bunched Cables
TELECOM CABLES -PIJF Copper Cables
Optic Fiber Cables
SPECIALITY CABLES - Fire Survival Cables
Instrumentation Cables
Signaling Cables
House WiresTurnkey contracts
Total Cabling Solutions
Turnkey Installation Services
Jointing, Testing and Commissioning
Technical Services for Cable Selection
Date INR Mn Order type Country
20/01/2011 3,390 765 Kv line -PGCIL India20/01/2011 400 BOP - NMDC India
3/1/2011 9,420 Substations order Kazakhstan
3/1/2011 380 PGCIL - Substation order India
27/12/2010 3,130 765 Kv line -RRVPN India
27/12/2011 2460 Transmission Tower order (received by SAE Towers) -
27/12/2011 1,300 765 Kv Line - PGCIL India
27/12/2011 970 765 Kv Line SA
27/12/2011 970 Railway India
27/12/2011 1,350 Telecom cables order India
3/10/2010 7,350 High voltage transmission line towers Canada
3/10/2010 1,580 Transmission Line Nigeria
3/10/2010 1,350 Transmission Line - PGCIL India
3/10/2010 950 Transmission Line India
3/10/2010 1,120 Railway India
3/10/2010 1,760 LT, HT, EHV Cables order India
5/8/2010 920 400 Kv - Substation - PGCIL India
5/8/2010 620 220 kV substation Bhutan
5/8/2010 510 400 kV transmission line - Bina Power supply India
5/8/2010 450 Transmission line UAE
30/07/2010 570 Railways - civil construction, signaling, track laying and electrification India
30/07/2010 300 Railways - electrification Malaysia
8/7/2010 3,260 Transmission Line - 400 /500 Kv Georgia
8/7/2010 660 Transmission Line Zambia
8/7/2010 420 Transmission Line Philippines
8/7/2010 1,230 LT, HT, EHV Cables order India
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Annexure Jyotis : projects under execution
Transmission Lines
Name of the Projects Expected Datesof Completion
North EastNorth/Western Interconnector-I 800kV HVDC Tangla-Kokrajhar-Barabisa section of Biswanath Chariyali-
Agra transmission line for Power Grid Corporation of India Limited, India. Total length of the line is 211 Kms.
Feb-13
Mundra-Mohindergarh Transmission Line 500kV HVDC Mundra-Mohindergarh transmission line for Adani Power
Limited, India. Total length of all the lines is 1,000 Kms.
Feb-11
Western Region Strengthening Scheme-II 400kV transmission lines project in Maharashtra and Gujarat for Reliance
Energy Limited, India. Total length of all the lines is 1,500 Kms.
Jul-11
400kV Alamathy-Sunguvarchatram Transmission Line 400 kV multi circuit transmission line from Alamathy
substation to Sunguvarchatram substation for Tamil Nadu Electricity Board, India. Total length of all the line is 49 Kms.
Apr-11
`North East-Northern/Western InterconnectorI 400kV double circuit lower Subhansiri-Biswanath Chariyali
transmission line for Power Grid Corporation of India Limited, India. Total length of the line is 170 Kms.
Oct-11
U P Power Transmission Corporation Ltd. 765kV single circuit Anpara D-Jhusi, 765kV single circuit Anpara C-Anpara
D Interconnector and shifting of 765kV single circuit Anpara B-Unnao to Anpara C for U P Power Transmission
Corporation Limited, India. Total length of the line is 202 Kms.
Feb-12
Bhutan Power Corporation Ltd. 400kV double circuit Punatsangchhu I to Sunkosh transmission line under (Package-A
& B) for Bhutan Power Corporation Limited, Bhutan. Total length of the line is 210 Kms.
Jul-14
Substations
Name of the Projects Expected Datesof Completion
Amargarh & Alusteng Substations at Jammu 220/132kV substations at Amargarh & Alusteng for Jammu Kashmir
Power Development Department, India.
Mar-11
Switchyard Package for Bongaigaon Thermal Power Project 400kV Switchyard Package for Bongaigaon Thermal
Power Project in Assam for National Thermal Power Corporation Limited, India.
Dec-11
Substation Package S1 for Wanpoh Substation under NRSS-XVI 400/220kV Wanpoh (New) Substation and
Extension of 400kV Kishenpur Substation under Northern Region System Strengthening Scheme-XVI for Power
Grid Corporation of India Limited, India.
Dec-12
Rural Electrification
Name of the Projects Expected Datesof Completion
Nashik & Pune District Rural electrification works under Infrastructure Plan (Phase-II) in Nashik and Pune Zones
for Maharashtra State Electricity Transmission Company Limited, India.
May-11
Pali, Barmer, Malkangiri, Balasore and Sarguja Districts Rural electrification works in Pali, Barmer and Sarguja
districts (Chhattisgarh) for Power Grid Corporation of India Limited, India.
Apr-11
Gumla, Simdega and Chatra Districts Rural electrification works in Jharkhand for Damodar Valley Corporation, India. 20-Mar
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Disclaimer:
This report is based on information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon such. ACMIIL or
any of its afliates or employees shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information
contained in the report. ACMIIL and/or Promoters of ACMIIL and/or the relatives of promoters and/or employees of ACMIIL may have interest/position, nancial or
otherwise in the securities mentioned in this report. To enhance transparency we have incorporated a Disclosure of Interest Statement in this document. This should
however not be treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the report
Disclosure of Interest KEC International Limited Jyoti Structures Limited
1. Analyst ownership of the stock NO NO
2. Broking Relationship with the company covered NO NO
3. Investment Banking relationship with the company covered NO NO
4. Discretionary Portfolio Management Services NO NO
This document has been prepared by the Research Desk of Asit C Mehta Investment Interrmediates Ltd. and is meant for use of the recipient only and is not for
circulation. This document is not to be reported or copied or made available to others. It should not be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security.
The information contained herein is from sources believed reliable. We do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. We
may from time to time have positions in and buy and sell securities referred to herein.
Notes:
Institutional Sales:Ravindra Nath, Tel: +91 22 2858 3400
Kirti Bagri, Tel: +91 22 2858 3731
K.Subramanyam, Tel: +91 22 2858 3739
Email: [email protected]
Institutional Dealing:
Email:[email protected]