TOMORROW’S CAPITALISM · 2018-11-27 · TOMORROW’S CAPITALISM Social, Lean, Integrated,...
Transcript of TOMORROW’S CAPITALISM · 2018-11-27 · TOMORROW’S CAPITALISM Social, Lean, Integrated,...
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TOMORROW’S CAPITALISMSocial, Lean, Integrated, Circular—And Exponential
(Sozial, Ressourceneffizient, Integriert, Zirkulär und Exponentiell)
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• Chairman & Chief Pollinator, Volans
• Co-founded 4 companies since 1978
• Authored or co-authored 19 books
• Member of 70+ Boards and Advisory Boards
Introductions
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The Age of Consequences
Source: New Yorker
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Sources: House of Marbles
Disclaimer/1
Nordic Investment Forum, Copenhagen 18 June 2018
Source: Climate Central
Shanghai: Building China’s Atlantis?
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‘Politicians Discussing Global Warming’, Berlin. Source: Isaac Cordal/PRI
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Climate’s off the scaleInternational-Geosphere-Biosphere Programme (IGBP)
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For example, by 2030:
• No Poverty (#1)
• Zero Hunger (#2)
SDGs: ‘Purchase Order From The Future’
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Source: Business & Sustainable Development Commission; Volans
• Global Goals open up 60 “hot spots”
• In just 4 areas: Cities, Energy & Materials, Food & Agriculture; Health & Wellbeing
• $12 trillion a year by 2030 in savings & revenues + >380m jobs
• Economic prize could be 2-3 times larger
Anyone Want 380 Million Jobs?
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Sources: House of Marbles
• Social• Lean• Integrated• Circular• Exponential
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Sources: House of Marbles
SOCIAL
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Sources: House of Marbles; Novo Nordisk; Harvard Business Review
SOCIAL: Serving People
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Source: Social Stock Exchange; Unilever
Valuing Impact
Company’s most sustainable brands growing 46% faster—and
contributing 70% of profits.
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Source: The Economist; CNBC
March of the Populists
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Source: Wikipedia; ProjectBreakthrough.io;
Midgley Syndrome: Unintended Consequences
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Sources: House of Marbles
LEAN
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Sources: Kaer; Ellen MacArthur Foundation
LEAN: Everything-As-A Service
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Paul Hawken: Project Drawdown
Image source: Project DrawdownSources: Penguin Books; Project Drawdown
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Image sources: XXXImage source: Carbon Productivity Consortium; Covestro
Carbon Productivity/1
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Image sources: XXXImage source: Carbon Productivity Consortium
Carbon Productivity/2
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Image sources: XXXImage source: Carbon Productivity Consortium; Volans
Carbon Productivity/3
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Sources: Volans; Innovate UK
Nordic Investment Forum, Copenhagen 18 June 2018
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Source: Generation Foundation
The New Growth Engine
‘The Sustainability Revolution
appears to have the scale of the
Industrial Revolution and the
Agricultural Revolution — and the
speed of the Information
Revolution.
- The Generation Foundation, 2017
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Sources: House of Marbles
INTEGRATED
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Source: Ingram Pinn/SustainAbility/Volans, 1991-92
Bringing Tomorrow On Board
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Sources: John Wiley/Capstone Publishing; HBR
Recalling The Triple Bottom Line
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… companies must describe their
strategy for long-term growth.
… must also understand societal impact
of your business as well as the ways that
broad, structural trends — from slow
wage growth to rising automation to
climate change — affect your potential
for growth ...
Larry Fink’s Letter To Shareholders, 2018
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Sources: IIRC; Ashlee Vance
INTEGRATED: Bringing It All Together
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Sources: VW
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Source: Ingram Pinn/SustainAbility/Volans, 1991-92; World Economic Forum
SD, Meet AI
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Sources: House of Marbles
CIRCULAR
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Sources: Plastics Technology
CIRCULAR: Closing Loops
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Sources: XPRIZE Foundation; Circle Economy – The Circularity Gap Report
Closing The Carbon Cycle
Breakthrough business models will deliver cradle-to-cradle value.
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Sources: House of Marbles
EXPONENTIAL
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Image sources: ABS-CBN News
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Image source: RethinkX
• Passenger miles will
increase by 50%, from 4
trillion passenger miles in
2015 to 6 trillion passenger
miles in 2030.
• However, revenues
generated will shrink
sharply, from around $1.5
trillion in 2015 to $393 billion
in 2030—a decrease of over
70%
Exponential Disruption: Transportation & Oil
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Image sources: Salim Ismail/Evolution Partners
Exponential Thinking Is Tough
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Sources: _DJ_; OrangeTree Global
Is Our Brain Fit For Purpose?
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Sources: Volans/UNGC/Atlas of the Future/Project Breakthrough
Project Breakthrough: 10X, Not 10%
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Source: SolarImpulse.com
Make-Or-Break Decade
• Email: [email protected]• Twitter: @volansjohn
Tomorrow’s Capitalism will be Socially Engaged, Leaner, Integrated horizontally, vertically and longitudinally, increasingly Circular—and, above all, Exponential.
Which calls for a new form of Politics.
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