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    Detection of Land Use and Land CoverChange in the Accra Metropolitan Area

    (Ghana) from 1990 to 2000

    Ebenezer Kwakye Bentum

    Masters of Science Thesis in Geoinformatics

    TRITA-GIT EX 07-013

    School of Architecture and the Built Environment

    Royal Institute of Technology (KTH)

    100 44 Stockholm, Sweden

    October 2009

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    TRITA-GIT EX 07-013

    ISSN 1653-5227

    ISRN KTH/GIT/EX--07/013-SE

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    ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

    Getting something done is an accomplishment but getting it done well is an achievement. I

    would like to take this opportunity to express my sincere and profound gratitude to the entire

    staff of the Department of Geodesy and Geoinformatics at Royal Institute of Technology for

    the training they have given me throughout the entire studies. Special thanks to Dr. Hans

    Hauska (Assoc. Prof.) and Dr. Yifang Ban (Prof.) for their able assistance, patience and

    constructive criticism without which the work wouldn't have been successful. I am indebted to

    the entire staff of Geomatic Engineering, KNUST, Kumasi, Ghana for giving me the basic

    training and knowledge which motivated me for further studies. I appreciate the help of

    Emmanuel Tetteh and Eric Kofi Forson, both at Centre for Remote Sensing and GIS,University of Ghana, Legon. I am also highly indebted to my mother for the financial, moral

    and spiritual support throughout my studies. I would like to express my appreciation to Alfred

    Awotwi, KTH for generating the regression equations (using PCI Geomatica) which were

    used in normalising the satellite images used in the analysis. Last but not least, I wish to

    express my sincere and profound gratitude to all my friends for their encouragement and

    support; especially Amos Atakorah Mensah, Alfred Awotwi, Daniel Dennis Konadu of

    University of Oxford and Joseph Sakyiama Afari of University of Westminster, UK. Finally,

    my deepest appreciation goes to the Almighty God for his continuous benevolence,

    sustenance of life, provision of wisdom, guidelines and knowledge throughout my studies.

    Stockholm, Sweden, October 2009

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    ABSTRACT

    There has been rapid change in the land use and land-cover types in Accra, Ghana in the past

    decade. The major change is the conversion of agriculture and forest lands into urban areas

    mostly in an un-planned manner making urban sprawl characterising the urban change

    dynamics. Land use change has been the reason for many social, economic and environmental

    problems in Accra, the capital city of Ghana over the past decade. This has engaged many

    researchers to find out possible measures to address and monitor this phenomenon. The

    ultimate objective of the research is to detect the land use/land-cover change of Accra from

    1990 to 2000. Satellite images of Accra at two different periods, 25/12/1990 and 04/02/2000

    were analysed. Two change detection techniques namely post classification comparison

    (indirect method) and image-to-image comparison change detection (direct method) were

    employed. The different change detection techniques were also evaluated. In the indirect

    method, both supervised and unsupervised classifications were performed. The supervised

    classification proves to be better than the unsupervised classification with accuracies of

    85.62% and 89.1% for 1990 and 2000 classified images are respectively. Post-classification

    comparison change detection was conducted to reveal the areas that have changed over the

    decade. In this method, the from-to-change informational classes were available. The results

    revealed drastic growth of urban areas and reduction of agriculture and forest lands over the

    decade. Overall accuracy for both change/no-change trajectories was found to be 74.63% with

    kappa index of 0.698. Although the classes were being detected correctly as change/no-

    change area, some of the change trajectories do not necessarily match the corresponding real

    cases. The change detection procedure, however, was able to identify the areas of significant

    change. In the direct change detection method (image-to-image comparison), three different

    techniques were used and evaluated. The three methods are: normalised difference vegetation

    index, principal component analysis and TassCap transformation. The accuracies for detecting

    the changes in the urban area for the indirect methods used are 79.51%, 82.32% and 70.13%

    respectively with kappa indexes are 0.715, 0.753 and 0.698. The seasonal variation of the two

    satellite images used in the analysis affected the spectral resolution which subsequently

    affected the change detection process. Because of the variation of the temporal resolution and

    other environmental factors, the same land cover class can have different radiance values

    between the images. It can be concluded from the resulting statistics that the image-to-image

    change detection was more accurate that the post-classification comparison. The land-

    cover/land-use classes classified are closed vegetation, open vegetation, dense herbaceous

    cover, grass, urban/bare areas and water bodies. The percentage change in the land coverclasses was found to be 56.4%, 64.07%, 28.7%, 25.61%, 59.34% and 3.8% respectively.

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    TABLE OF CONTENT

    ACKNOWLEDGEMENT .................................................................................................. iiiABSTRACT ......................................................................................................................... iiLIST OF TABLES................................................................................................................ vLIST OF FIGURES ............................................................................................................ vi1 INTRODUCTION............................................................................................................. 1

    1.1 Background .................................................................................................................. 11.2 Problem statement ........................................................................................................ 21.3 Objective ...................................................................................................................... 31.4 Outline of sections/organisation of the thesis ................................................................ 3

    2 OVERVIEW OF URBAN SPRAWL, LAND COVER/LAND ........................................ 4USE CHANGE AND CHANGE DETECTION .................................................................. 4

    2.1 Definition of urban sprawl ............................................................................................ 42.2 Characteristics of sprawl .............................................................................................. 5

    2.2.1. Single use zoning .................................................................................................. 52.2.2. Low - density land use .......................................................................................... 52.2.3 Car dependent communities ................................................................................... 52.2.4 Leap frog development .......................................................................................... 6

    2.3 View of Urban sprawl ................................................................................................... 62.4 Causes of urban sprawl ................................................................................................. 62.5 Effects of sprawl .......................................................................................................... 72.6 Difference between land use and land cover ................................................................. 72.7 Usefulness of remote sensing technology in land use change studies ............................ 7

    2.7.1 Definition of change detection ............................................................................... 82.7.2 Previous works on change detection worldwide ..................................................... 82.7.3 Overview of Change detection techniques ........................................................... 122.7.4 Previous work on change detection in Ghana ....................................................... 15

    3 STUDY AREA AND DATA DESCRIPTION ................................................................. 18

    3.1 Description of the study area ...................................................................................... 18

    3.1.1 Boundary and Administrative Area ...................................................................... 183.1.2 Land use and land cover types ............................................................................. 19

    3.2 Potential users and stakeholders ................................................................................. 203.3 Data Collected ............................................................................................................ 20

    4 METHODOLOGY FOR LAND USE/LAND COVER CHANGE................................ 23DETECTION ..................................................................................................................... 23

    4.1 Flow chart for the methods employed ......................................................................... 234.2 Pre-processing of the multiple date remotely sensed data: ........................................... 244.3 Image classification .................................................................................................... 244.3.1 Unsupervised classification.................................................................................. 26

    4.3.1.1 Clustering to detect the land use classes ........................................................ 274.3.1.2 Aggregation of clusters ................................................................................. 27

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    4.3.2 Supervised Classification ..................................................................................... 284.3.2.1 Training Sites Development .......................................................................... 284.3.2.2 Signature Development ................................................................................. 29

    4.3.2.3 Maximum Likelihood Classifier........................................................................ 294.3.2.4 Classification accuracy assessment ............................................................... 30

    4.3.3 Post classification comparison change detection .................................................. 314.3.3.1 Detecting from-to change using Cross Classification and Tabulation........... 324.3.3.2 Detecting and Visualization of change in urban areas by colour coding ......... 324.3.3.3 Change Map ................................................................................................. 324.3.3.4 Change detection accuracy ............................................................................ 33

    4.4 Image Differencing..................................................................................................... 334.4.1 Radiometric normalisation ................................................................................... 344.4.2 Image Enhancement ............................................................................................ 354.4.3 Image-to-image comparison (Differencing) ......................................................... 35

    4.4.3.1 Normalised Difference Vegetation Index ....................................................... 354.4.3.2 Principal Component Analysis ...................................................................... 364.4.3.3 Tasselled Cap transformations (TASSCAP) ................................................... 37

    5 RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS..................................................................................... 385.1 Unsupervised classification ........................................................................................ 38

    5.1.1 Clustering ............................................................................................................ 385.1.2 Aggregation of clusters ........................................................................................ 38

    5.2 Supervised classification ............................................................................................ 415.3 Classification accuracy assessment ............................................................................. 425.4 Post-classification comparison using supervised classification .................................... 48

    5.4.1 Detecting and Visualization of from-to changes by colour coding ...................... 515.4.2 Change/Non-Change map .................................................................................... 535.4.3 Change detection accuracy assessment ................................................................ 53

    5.5 Image Differencing.........................................................................................................56

    5.5.1 Radiometric Normalisation .................................................................................. 575.5.2 Normalised Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) ................................................ 59

    5.5.2.1 Performance and limitations of NDVI ........................................................... 605.5.3 Principal Component Analysis (PCA) .................................................................. 625.5.4 TASSCAP transformations................................................................................... 64

    5.6 Change areas accuracy assessment ............................................................................. 665.7 General discussions .................................................................................................... 67

    5.7.1 Closed vegetation cover ....................................................................................... 695.7.2 Open vegetation cover ......................................................................................... 69

    5.7.3 Dense Herbaceous cover ...................................................................................... 695.7.4 Grass/herb ........................................................................................................... 695.7.5 Built up/bare area ................................................................................................ 705.7.6 Water ................................................................................................................... 70

    6 CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS ............................................................ 716.1 Conclusion ................................................................................................................. 716.2 Recommendation........................................................................................................ 72

    REFERENCES .................................................................................................................. 73

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    LIST OF TABLES

    Table1: Number of pixel selected in each land-cover category for training ..........................29

    Table 2: Correlation between the bands and principal components........................................37Table 3: Error matrix for 1990 land use map of of Accra (Unsupervised)..43

    Table 4: Error matrix for 2000 land use map of Accra (Unsupervised)......44

    Table 5: Error matrix for 1990 land use map of Accra (Supervised). ....45

    Table 6: Error matrix for 2000 land use map of Accra (Supervised)......46

    Table 7: Producers and users accuracy in percentage for unsupervised

    Classification..........................................................................................................................47

    Table 8: Producers and users accuracy in percentage for supervised classification................47

    Table 9: Cross tabulation results for classified images, 1990 and 2000.................................49

    Table 10: Percentage Change of the land-cover types from 1990 to 2000..51

    Table11: Error matrix analysis of from-to-change................................................................55

    Table 12: Producers and Users accuracies of the from-to change.........................................56

    Table13: Change detection accuracies image-to-image comparison methods........................67

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    LIST OF FIGURES

    Fig. 1: Map of Accra metropolis showing the surrounding districts ..................................19

    Fig. 2: Satellite image of Accra, 1990.................................................................................21

    Fig. 3: Satellite image of Accra, 2000.................................................................22

    Fig. 4: Flow chart for the methodology..............................................................................23

    Fig. 5: clustering of 1990 image .......................................................................................38

    Fig. 6: clustering of 2000 image..........................................................................................38

    Fig.7: Land use map of Accra, 1990 from unsupervised classification...............................39

    Fig.8. Land use map of Accra, 2000 from unsupervised classification...............................40

    Fig.9: Land use map of Accra, 1990 from supervised classification...................................41

    Fig.10: Land use map of Accra, 2000 from supervised classification.................................42

    Fig.11. Cross classification image for transition from 1990 to 2000..................................48

    Fig.12. Transformation of open vegetation-cover into urban areas ....................................50

    Fig.13. Change in urban areas from 1990 to 2000..............................................................52

    Fig 14: Change/Non-Change map.......................................................................................53

    Fig15: Scatter plot for 1990 band2(y) and 2000 band2(x)..................................................57

    Fig16: Scatter plot for 1990 band3(y) and 2000 band3(x)..................................................58

    Fig17: Scatter plot for 1990 band4(y) and 2000 band4(x)..................................................58

    Fig18: Normalised difference vegetation difference for 1990 image..................................59

    Fig19: Normalised difference vegetation Index for 2000 image.........................................60

    Fig.20: Change in vegetation/Non-change area...................................................................62

    Fig. 21: Principal component transformation for 1990 image.............................................63

    Fig. 22: Principal component transformation for 2000 image.............................................63

    Fig. 23: Difference in the second Principal components.....................................................64

    Fig. 24: Differencing in the brightness value between the two images...............................64

    Fig.25: Difference in greenness value between the two images..........................................65

    Fig.26: Differencing moistens (Change/non-change map from differencing moistens

    layers....................................................................................................................................66

    Fig.27. General Comparison of Area occupy by Land cover categories in Accra...............68

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    1 INTRODUCTION

    1.1 Background

    In recent times, many decision makers, government bodies and agencies, urban planners,

    environmentalist etc., have expressed much concern about changes in land use/ land cover

    change dynamics. Expansion of urban areas is currently a ubiquitous phenomenon in

    developing countries of Africa. The region has the highest rate of urbanization in the

    world, though unaccompanied by economic growth (World Bank, 1995). Dramatic

    acceleration in urban growth and the associated ecological footprint (Rees, 1992) have

    serious implications for land-cover change on the one hand, and sustainability of urban and

    peri-urban livelihoods on the other. This phenomenon has engaged many researchers to

    investigate into the possible causes, its effect and pragmatic measures to alleviate its

    occurrence. There are many driving forces contributing to this phenomenon which could

    be social, economic or geographic in nature. In most cases, agriculture lands are being

    converted to residential, industrial and commercial lands. The major land cover change as

    described by many researchers is the expansion of the urban areas at the expense of

    vegetated areas. The expansion of the urban areas is described as a quality residential

    sprawl. Urban sprawl is sometimes used by some people to describe almost any growth but

    this is misleading cited by Ademola et.al (2003).This phenomenon is usually associated

    with the idea of unsuitable development. It depends on numerous simultaneous processes

    which make it difficult to deal with. Its modelling appears then an interesting means to

    understand and to run simulations according to different scenarios of urban development

    for making planning decisions. These changes and their repercussions require careful

    consideration by local and regional land managers and policy makers in order to make

    informed decisions that effectively balance the positive aspects of development and itsnegative impacts in order to preserve environmental resources and increase socioeconomic

    welfare. In order to understand the expansion of the urban fringe, its causes, effects and

    measures to alleviate this pandemic, an interdisciplinary approach is needed. There is the

    need to understand the possible causes, its effect on the environment, the economic and

    social impacts as well. In order to simulate the land cover change dynamics, the following

    should be considered:

    (i) Classification of the land-cover categories

    (ii) Quantification of the dynamics of the land-cover classes

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    (iii) Detection of the change

    These are associated to a spatio-temporal database using a grid to store the needed

    information within the GIS environment and the available technology.

    Land cover change is a dynamical temporal process which can be simulated and modelled.

    Some models established with remote sensing technologies have been achieved by combining

    time series and spatial analysis. With the advancement in technology, remote sensing and

    Geographic Information System (GIS) prove to be important tools in addressing land cover

    change dynamics phenomenon. The use of digital change detection is becoming increasingly

    popular as means of studying changes in the landscape.

    1.2 Problem statement

    Accra, population 1,970,000 (2005) is the capital of Ghana and the country's largest city as

    well. It is the administrative and economic centre. The primary economic activities are

    financial and other services, agriculture, fishing and manufacturing such as lumber and

    plywood, textiles, clothing and chemicals (Wikipedia, 2007). Previous researches on the

    nexus of global and local forces suggest that African cities such as Accra and Dar-esSalaam

    are experiencing new forms of settlement. For Accra, the new form has been described as a

    quality residential sprawl with centric tendencies. Demographic and housing data confirm the

    emergence of this form (Ghana Statistical Service, 2000). This development is significant to

    city planners and managers, not just in Accra but in other African cities as well.

    Accra is rapidly expanding within the last few decades and this expansion is characterised by

    sprawl which poses many environmental, economic and other related social issues. The urban

    sprawl is creating many problems in almost all spheres of human endeavour. In order to

    understand the causes, effects and possible measures to alleviate its occurrence,

    interdisciplinary approaches should be combined. Ghanas Population census 2000 indicates

    43.8% urban dwellers, as against 9% in 1931. The growth rate is 2.6% per annum, and the

    urban population of Accra is expected to double in 17 years (Ghana Statistical Service, 2000).

    The metropolitan area alone represents 25% of all urban dwellers in Ghana with an increasing

    rate of 4.2% per annum, (Ghana Statistical Service, 2000). In order to simulate the past,

    present and the future states of the sprawl, there is the need to integrate many technologies

    like Geographic Information System (GIS) and Remote Sensing Technology which will

    provide an optimal trade-off between reliability, accuracy, time and cost of modelling.

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    1.3 Objective

    The objective of this research is the detection of the land use/cover change in Accra. Some of

    the sub objectives are:

    Classification of the land cover categories

    Quantification of the dynamics of the land cover classes

    Detection of the change/no-change areas

    Evaluation of the different change detection methods and techniques

    1.4 Outline of sections/organisation of the thesis

    Chapter one of this report deals with the general introduction, which includes the background

    to the project, problem statement and objective of the study.

    Chapter two is the overview of urban sprawl, land use/cover change and previous work done

    on change detection.

    Chapter three deal with study area and data description.

    Chapter four extensively deals with the methodology employed in image classification and

    digital change detection.

    Chapter five focuses on the results and analysis.

    Chapter six provides conclusion and recommendations.

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    2 OVERVIEW OF URBAN SPRAWL, LAND COVER/LAND

    USE CHANGE AND CHANGE DETECTION

    'Urban sprawl' has recently become a subject of popular debate and policy initiatives from

    governmental bodies and nonprofit organizations. With the advancement in technology, the

    phenomenon could be simulated and modelled so that policy formulation and implementation

    regarding urban planning could be made. This chapter will highlight on the above things discussed.

    2.1 Definition of urban sprawl

    Many organizations have attempted to provide a definition, but it turns out that the definition

    depends on that organizations perspective, usually polarized between a pro-growth and an anti-

    sprawl viewpoint. Below are definitions from various organizations as stated by centre for land use

    education (2003)

    The Heritage Foundation: Sprawl simply refers to the low-density, residential development

    beyond a citys limits.

    Reason Public Policy Institute: Many people think sprawl is synonymous with

    suburbanizationAnother way of characterizing this process is thinking of sprawl as the

    transitional period between rural and urban land use.

    National Trust for Historic Preservation, Rural Heritage Program: Sprawl is dispersed, low-

    density development that is generally located at the fringe of an existing settlement and over

    large areas of previously rural landscape. It is characterized by segregated land uses and U.S.

    Environmental Protection Agency: [Sprawl is a] pattern of growth [that] has largely

    occurred in an unplanned, ad hoc fashion.

    The Sierra Club: Sprawlscattered development that increases traffic, saps local resources

    and destroys open space.

    Natural Resources Defence Council: Sprawling development eats up farms, meadows and

    forest, turning them into strip malls and subdivisions that serve cars better than people.

    Combining all these definitions, urban sprawl could be defined as rapid and expansive growth of

    a greater metropolitan area and traditionally suburbs over a large area. The term has been used by

    some critics to describe almost any urban growth but in reality that is not the case. The usage thus

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    sometimes tends to be misleading. Urban sprawl could occur as a result of urban growth but the

    converse may not be necessarily true.

    2.2 Characteristics of sprawl

    There are different types of urban sprawl. The type of sprawl determines the characteristics. The

    various definitions for urban sprawl suggest that there are different characteristics of sprawl. The

    most common ones as cited in Wikipedia (2007) are;

    single use zoning

    low density land use

    car dependent communities

    Leap frog development

    2.2.1. Single use zoning

    This is the type of sprawl whereby industrial, commercial and residential are separated from one

    another, Wikipedia (2007). Large tracts of land are devoted to the same type of development. The

    various zones are separated from each other by either roads, green spaces or any other type of

    physical barrier. As a result, the places where people live, work, shop and recreate are necessarily far

    apart from one another. In Accra, the single use zoning tends to be inferior.

    2.2.2. Low - density land use

    In this case, sprawl consumes much more land than traditional urban development because new

    developments are of low density. Single family houses are mixed up with apartments. Buildings

    usually have fewer stories and are spaced further apart separated by lawns, landscaping roads,

    parking lots or pavement etc., Wikipedia (2007). In these areas, urbanised land is increasing at faster

    rate than the population. Sometimes the term leap-frog development may be used. Suchdevelopments are typically separated by large tracts of undeveloped land, resulting in a very low

    average density. This is because of the current policies involved in developing parcels of land whereby

    users may be asked to set aside some portion of the developed land for some public use. But its not

    common in Accra.

    2.2.3 Car dependent communities

    Areas of urban sprawl are sometimes characterised as being dependent on auto-mobiles, motorbikes

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    and bicycles for transportation. Most activities such as shopping, commuting to work, concerts etc.

    require the use of a car because of isolation of residential and commercial zones. In Accra the areas

    that are quite away from the city centres like Pokuase exhibit this type of sprawl character.

    2.2.4 Leap frog development

    This type of sprawl means jumping from a built up area over an open space to another built up area.

    That is a new development that does not follow a planned, orderly development pattern and that

    jumps to areas outside of where services are readily available. This type of development is not

    common in Accra.

    2.3 View of Urban sprawlSeparation of land used for different purposes is a typical characteristic of urban sprawl.

    Sprawl has physical separation of space used for different purposes such as housing subdivisions,

    shopping centres, office parks, civic institutions and road-networks etc. Urban sprawl is perceived as

    economically inefficient, environmentally irresponsible and aesthetically ugly. Bruegmann (2004)

    calls it a logical consequence of economic growth and the democratization of society, with benefits

    that urban planners have failed to recognise. People have different perception about the sprawl. Some

    think sprawl has enabled man to satisfy his social, economic and environmental needs while othersthink it is generating unnecessary tension on land use. This has raised a lot of debates about urban

    sprawl phenomena.

    2.4 Causes of urban sprawl

    Sprawl is occurring as a result of response to social, economic forces and to the physical geography

    of an area. Some of these factors as described by Wassmer and Edward (2005) are:

    population growth

    strong economy in cities (while weak in countryside)

    increasing household income in the inner city

    fragmented municipal governments

    increased infrastructure cost

    decrease in social capital

    patterns of infrastructure investments

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    topographic barriers and other physical constraints upon development

    2.5 Effects of sprawl

    Sprawl has both favourable and unfavourable impacts. Considering the social impacts, sprawl

    contributes in providing housing opportunities and affordability to minorities. But it has some social

    disadvantages as described by Wassmer and Edward (2005) which include lost of community spirit,

    values, higher taxes etc. Its impact on ecosystems and environmental resources is considerable.

    Sprawl tends to degrade environmental resources such as air quality, landscape aesthetics and

    destroys wildlife habitats as well.

    2.6 Difference between land use and land cover

    There has been confusion on the use of the terms land use and land cover. The distinction between

    'land use' and 'land management practice' is also poorly understood. Land tenure and commodities

    are other aspects of land occupation that can relate to land use and contribute to land use mapping.

    These categories can be distinguished from each other by the following definitions as stated by the

    Australian Government, Bureau of Rural Sciences (October, 2006).

    2.7 Usefulness of remote sensing technology in land use change studies

    Patterns of land use change and analysis of temporal changes can easily be identified with remote

    sensing technology in a way that provides an optimal trade-off between cost, accuracy and reliability.

    The multi-temporal analysis of changes in the land cover provides sufficient information about the

    dynamics of this typical land use as cited by Maldonado et al. (2002). Remote sensing technology

    over the decades has been an indispensable tool in environmental modelling. Timely and accurate

    change detection of Earth's surface features is extremely important for understanding relationships

    and interactions between human and natural phenomena in order to promote better decision making

    as cited by Lu et al. (2004). This is accomplished by analysing temporal satellite images/ remotely-

    sensed image data to reveal the trend of the land-cover dynamics. Remote sensing technology has

    been successfully used to study the changes and modelling of expansion of urban areas. Some of the

    studies in land-cover changes using remote sensing in many fields are highlighted in the subsequent

    sub chapters, (2.7.2). Some of the examples are forestry, agriculture and sea-ice monitoring and have

    achieved satisfactory results. Image arithmetic such as differencing is one of the easiest image

    analysis techniques used to recognise change in the pattern of the landscape. Other techniques like

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    post classification change detection has been popular in detecting changes of urban fringe as it

    provides from- to information. Remote sensing application contributes a lot in studying urban

    sprawl phenomenon.

    2.7.1 Definition of change detection

    Change detection is the process of identifying differences in the state of an object or phenomenon by

    observing it at different times cited by Singh (1989). Timely and accurate change detection of Earths

    surface features provides the framework for better understanding, relationships and interactions

    between human and natural phenomena to better manage and use resources. Change detection

    normally entails the application of multi-temporal datasets to quantitatively analyse the temporal

    effects of the phenomenon. Because of the advantages of repetitive data acquisition, its synoptic

    view, and digital format suitable for computer processing, remotely sensed data such as Thematic

    Mapper, Probatoired Observation de la Terre (SPOT), radar and Advanced Very High Resolution

    Radiometer (AVHRR), have become the major data sources for different change detection

    applications during the past decades cited by Lu et al. ( 2004).

    2.7.2 Previous works on change detection worldwide

    There are different applications of change detection. Mausel et al. (2004) elaborated on the change

    detection applications. There are nine of these applications namely:

    1 Urban change:

    Ramadan et al. (2005) assessed urban growth in theShaoxing city using satellite remotely sensed

    data at three epoch time. The methodology used was based on post classification comparison. Results

    showed that the built-up area surrounding Shaoxing City has expanded at an annual average of 7

    square kilometres. Analysis of the classified map showed that the physical growth of the urban area

    is upsetting the other land cover classes. Gupta et al. (2005) conducted a research to reveal

    urban/agriculture changes using multi-scale analysis in Dehradoon city in India. The authors of this

    paper have compared the results of five different techniques of band combination, subtraction, band

    division, principal component analysis and classification to find the changes in Dehradoon city,

    India. The research concluded that in the case of multi-resolution data, direct comparison of two

    multi-level image dates is restricted because various spectral and texture phenomena exist at

    different scales and resolutions.

    A method is required to allocate the unique value to each smoothed area (representing one class)

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    images from seven contrasting areas. The images were analysed using scale variance analysis to

    determine the spatial frequencies present. Specifically images of the Normalized Difference

    Vegetation Index (NDVI) were analysed, which is sensitive to vegetation activity. Image arithmetic

    Analyses were performed on images for each of the two dates and change images derived by

    subtracting the NDVI values of the first images from those of the second date. The change images

    were characterized by higher spatial frequencies than the images of individual dates, but this was

    only marked for four of the seven areas. Contrary to initial expectations, knowledge of the spatial

    frequency content of the images from the two dates could not be used to infer the spatial frequencies

    present in the change images and hence the spatial resolutions needed for detecting change in the

    NDVI.

    3. Forest mortality, defoliation and damage assessment:

    Royle and Lathrop (1997) demonstrated the viability of using change detection technique to monitor

    hemlock forest health in New Jersey using Landsat TM data.

    A prolonged drought in the western US has resulted in alarming levels of mortality in conifer forests

    within 1988 and 1991. Satellite remote sensing holds the potential for mapping and monitoring the

    effects of such environmental changes over large geographic areas in a timely manner cited by

    Macomber and Woodcock (1994). Results from the application of a forest canopy reflectance model

    using multi-temporal Landsat TM imagery and field measurements, indicated that conifer mortality

    can be effectively mapped and inventoried. The test area for this project was Lake Tahoe Basin

    Management Unit in the Sierra Nevada of California. The Landsat TM images are from the summers

    of 1988 and 1991. The Li-Strahler canopy model estimates several forest stand parameters, including

    tree size and canopy cover for each conifer stand, from reflectance values in satellite imagery. The

    difference in cover estimates between the dates forms the basis for stratifying stands into mortality

    classes, which are used as both themes in a map and the basis of the field sampling design. The

    results of this project are immediately useful for fire hazard management, by providing both

    estimates of the degree of overall mortality and maps showing its location. They also indicated that

    current remote sensing technology may be useful for monitoring the changes in vegetation that are

    expected to result from climate change.

    Forest canopy and volume change can be simulated by remote sensing technology.

    Collins and Woodcock 1994, mapped forest vegetation of Tahoe and Stanislaus National Forests

    using landsat TM imagery and a canopy reflectance model. Results of timber inventories in the

    forests indicate the vegetation maps form a useful basis for stratification.

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    4. Deforestation, regeneration and selective logging:

    Change detection can be used in deforestation, regeneration and selective logging. Wilson andSader

    (2002)conducted a research on Detecting of forest harvest type using multiple dates of Landsat TM

    imagery in northern Maine. The RGB-NDMI change detection classification applied to Landsat TM

    imagery collected every 2-3 years appears to be a promising technique for monitoring forest

    harvesting and other disturbances that do not remove the entire over storey canopy.

    Guatemala's Maya Biosphere Reserve (MBR) has recently experienced high rates of deforestation

    corresponding to human migration and expansion of the agricultural frontier. Given the importance

    of land-cover and land-use change data in conservation planning, accurate and efficient techniques to

    detect forest change from multi-temporal satellite imagery were desired for implementation by local

    conservation organizations cited by Hayes and Sader (2001). Normalized difference vegetation index

    (NDVI) image differencing, principal component analysis, and RGB-NDVI change detection

    techniques were employed in the analysis of three satellite images of the biosphere reserve. The

    changes were visualised. This is a typical application of remote sensing technology in deforestation

    5. Wetland change:

    Wetlands could be monitored using remote sensing technology. Previous study by Munyati (2000) is

    an example. Remote sensing change detection approach was used to asses change on a section of the

    Kafue Flats floodplain wetland system in southern Zambia, which is under the pressures of reduced

    regional rainfall and damming and water abstraction by man. Four temporal satellite images were

    classified and analyzed. The results indicated spatial reduction in area of dense green vegetation in

    upstream sections of the wetland.

    6. Forest fire:

    Data from the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) have been used for the

    detection of fires in various ecosystems throughout the world. In this study, the most commonly used

    methods have been applied to a time-series of 63 AVHRR day time images for the whole of West

    Africa for the 1991-1992 dry seasons by Kennedy et al., 1994. The West African region includes

    ecosystems ranging from dry Sahara grasslands to moist tropical forests. Furthermore, these

    ecosystems show considerable seasonal variability. Existing methods were found to be inadequate

    for fire detection for the whole region because of the spatial and temporal heterogeneity of the

    region's environments. A number of changes were made to the established methods and the new fire

    detection procedure was applied to the time-series. Geographical Information System and remote

    sensing technology illustrates how such data can improve our knowledge of fire activity at national

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    and sub-continental scales.

    7. Landscape change:

    Landscape morphology can be simulated and monitored over a period of time. Peralta and Mather

    (2000) conducted a research on analysis of deforestation patterns in the extractive reserves of Acre,

    Amazonia from satellite imagery. Three indices of landscape structure were applied to classified

    satellite imagery to characterize the impact of social and economic processes on the development of

    the forest landscape. Lacunarity Index was used to measure landscape homogeneity, the Korcak

    Patchiness Index to measure the distribution of patches according to their size and the Area-

    Perimeter Fractal Exponent to measure change in the shape of cleared forest patches. The work

    reveal that the changing shape, size and spatial frequency of patches in the forest landscape showed

    that major changes in the forest landscape occurred between 1975 and 1989.

    Cushman and Wallin (2000) used Landsat satellite images to quantify the changes in the rates and

    patterns of the landscape in a forested area of central Sikhote-alin Mountains of the Russian Far East.

    Wild fire and timber harvesting were identified to be the major causative factor for the changing in

    rates and patterns of the landscape.

    8. Environmental change, drought monitoring, flood monitoring, land slide detection

    9. Other applications such as crop monitoring, shifting cultivation monitoring road segments and

    change in glacier mass balance

    2.7.3 Overview of Change detection techniques

    The selection of an appropriate change detection algorithm is very important (Jensen et al.,1993a). It

    will have direct impact on the type of image classification to be performed if any and also will

    dictate whether important from- to information can be extracted from the imagery. Most change

    detection works require that the change information be readily available in the forms of maps and

    tables. The most commonly change detection algorithm used as described by Jensen, 1993b are as

    follows:

    (i) Change detection using write function memory insertion: Individual bands of remotely sensed

    data are inserted into specific write function memory banks in the digital image processing system to

    visually identify change in the imagery as cited by Price et al. (1992) and Jensen et al. (1993b). This

    method is an excellence analogue method for qualitatively assessing amount of change in a region

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    but it does not give quantitative information.

    (ii) Multi-date composite image change detection: This change detection technique is when multiple

    dates of rectified remotely sensed data are placed in a single dataset for change analysis to extract

    change information. Thus, selected bands of two thematic mapper scene of the same region are

    placed in a single dataset. A traditional classification using the associated bands is performed.

    Unsupervised classification technique will result in the creation of change and no change clusters.

    These classes are then aggregated into informational classes by the analyst after carefully studies.

    The advantage of this change detection technique is that only a single classification is required.

    However, it is sometimes difficult in labelling the change classes and from-to change class

    information may not be available.

    (iii) Image algebra change detection (band differencing or band rationing):The same band in two

    different images can be used in change detection either by rationing or differencing them if the

    images have previously been rectified to a common base map (Green et al., 1994). The subtraction

    results in positive and negative values in areas of radiance change. Zero values are areas that did not

    change within the periods. But normally these values are transformed into positive values by adding

    a constant. The merit of this change detection technique is that it is an efficient method of identifying

    pixels that have changed in brightness value between periods but it does not provide from-to change

    classes. It also requires careful selection of the change and no-change threshold which sometimes

    make it difficult for its usage.

    (iv) Post-Classification comparison change detection: This method of change detection provides

    quantitative information. It is the most commonly used quantitative method of change detection

    (Jensen et al., 1993a). It involves rectification and classification of each temporal remotely sensed

    image. These two classified maps are then compared on a pixel by pixel basis using a change

    detection matrix. It provides from-to change information and there is no need for further

    classification. However, the accuracy of the change detection is dependent on the classification

    accuracy of the two classified images.

    (v) Multi- date change detection using a binary mask applied to date 2: In this method, the base

    image which is referred to as date 1 at a time n. The date 2 image can either be an earlier image (n-1)

    or later image (n+1). Traditional classification of date 1 is performed. One of the bands from both

    dates of imagery is placed in a new dataset. The two- band dataset is then analysed using image

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    algebra like band ratio, image differencing and principal components to produce a new image file.

    The analyst normally selects a threshold value to identify areas of change and no change in the new

    image. The change image is then recoded into a binary mask to depict areas that have change over

    the periods. This method minimised change error of omission and commission and provides from-to

    change information as well. The procedure however is more complicated and time consuming.

    (vi) Multi-date change detection using ancillary data source as date 1: In this method, an existing

    land cover data source is used to replace traditional remotely sensed imagery. This data is used as

    date 1 but it is recoded to be compatible with the classification scheme being used. The date 2 data is

    also classified and the two classified data are compared on a pixel-by-pixel basis as in post

    classification comparison change detection.

    Its advantage is the use of well-known trusted data source and possibility of minimising the error of

    omission and commission. Detailed information on from-to cover classes can be obtained and single

    classification is required. The disadvantage of this method is that it is dependent on the quality of the

    ancillary data.

    (vii)Manual, on screen digitization of change: In this method, photographic dataset are scanned at

    high resolutions into digital image files. These datasets are then registered to a common base map

    and compared to identify change. When digitised high resolution aerial photography is displayed on

    a screen, it can easily be analysed using standard photo interpretation techniques such as size, shape,

    shadow and texture. The analyst then has to visually interpret both data using heads-up on screen

    digitising and compare the images to detect changes. The method however is not so accurate.

    (viii) Spectral change vector analysis: In this method, two spectral variables are measured and

    plotted for the area both before and after change occurs. The vector describes the direction and

    magnitude of the change within the two periods. The total change magnitude per pixel is computed

    by determining the Euclidean distance between end points in an n- dimensional change space.

    Change vector analysis outputs two geometrically registered files, one containing the sector code and

    the other containing the scaled vector magnitudes. The change information is superimposed onto an

    image of the area with change pixels been colour coded based on their sector code . The change is

    detected if the threshold is exceeded.

    (ix) Knowledgebased vision systems for detecting change is also becoming popular of late:Novel

    algorithm can be used to achieve automatic detection and positioning of changes for monitoring

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    systems in complex environments. The aim is to efficiently detect changes of unknown dimensions,

    shapes and velocity and to position them in a sequence of images. The practicality of the algorithm is

    simplified by the use of different decision rules in a multistage test for different purposes. These

    decision rules identify the changes and number of parts, as well as the position and its optimal pick-

    up points for each individual part cited by Cheng et al. (2004). A lighting compensation method is

    embedded to maintain a constant lighting environment and therefore the error rate can be reduced.

    Experimental results on a variety of image sequences show that the proposed algorithm is effective

    and efficient, regardless of the irregularity and number of changes.

    2.7.4 Previous work on change detection in Ghana

    Some works have been done in studying Land use dynamics using different approaches and

    procedures in different parts of the world. In Ghana, much research has been done with the key

    interest on the forested land being degraded into desert. Ta (1960) and Mooney (1961) attempted to

    classify the forest vegetation of Ghana and their classification was based on inventories of tree forest

    reserves. Ademola and Vlek (2004) generated a short-term projection of land cover distribution in

    northern Ghana by analysing Thematic Mapper images acquiredin 1984, 1992 and 1999. The work

    reveals that the built-up area will increase at the expense of crop-land and natural vegetation,

    covering about 39% of the landscape by 2006. The dominant land cover change process was the

    built-up area as result of an increase in demand for housing by the increasing population.

    Pabi (2007) researched into the process and amount of land-use/cover changes that have prevailed in

    specific localities across Kintampo and the neighbouring districts the within a 10-year period. The

    outcome of the study indicated that, in space and time, there have been significant land-use/cover

    changes. Variability in change was a constant, rather than occasional feature across these human

    dominated landscapes. The conversion and transformation processes indicated that the traditional

    land-use strategies are self-sustaining. Multi-temporal Landsat Thematic Mapper (TM) images for

    1984, 1992, and 1999 were used to map and detect land-cover changes in a 5400-km2 area within the

    Volta Lake basin of Ghana by Ademola and Paul (2004). Their work revealed that the most dominant

    land-cover change was the conversion of natural vegetation to cropland, which occurred at an annual

    rate of 5%. While the data suggest an increase in human pressure, reversible change in woodland and

    grassland occurred in 4% and 2% of the landscape, respectively. A higher proportion of reversible

    land-cover changes relating to fallow agriculture occurred in about 14% of the landscape, whereas a

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    higher overall increase in woody biomass (10%), compared to an overall decrease of 9%, indicates a

    certain level of rainfall-induced resilience in the ecosystem. They recommends for further research

    into quantitatively evaluating the mechanisms enhancing vegetation recovery in dry land areas.

    The extent of the urbanized areas of Accra was assessed from Landsat-TM satellite images for the

    year 2002 and compared to similar information for the years 1985and 1991 by Yankson, Kofie and

    Jensen (2004). A texture-based classification method was applied. The results show that the

    urbanization of the fringe areas of Accra is occurring at a pace that has increased from 10 km square

    per year for the period 1985-1991 to 25 km per year for the period 1991-2002. This development is

    subsequently discussed with focus on the unplanned and haphazard nature of the growth and the

    corresponding absence of inadequate infrastructure and service provision. Kizito (2007) examine the

    relationship between urbanization and flooding in Accra. As a result of the government of Ghanas

    implementation of the Structural Adjustment Program (SAP), massive expansion in the built-up area

    of Accra occurred. Beside the impact of the increased impervious surface due to urban growth, poor

    land tenure and land delivery system, poor garbage collection and disposal, as well as poor

    implementation of economic development programs, have been identified as contributors to flooding

    in Accra

    Richard Brand of the University of Rhode Island conducted a study of the spatial organization of

    residential areas in Accra in 1972. He argues that the city of Accra has expanded in a north-eastern

    direction due to the movement of the elites low-density housing developments. Brand sites this trend

    as beginning in the 1890s with Victoriaborg, and then extending north-eastward with the creation of

    the Ridge, then Cantonments, and then the Airport Residential Area. All of these neighbourhoods

    except for the Airport Residential Area were developed by the British colonial government as elite

    enclaves, with the Ridge and Cantonments being built to house the increased number of European

    residents who moved to Accra after World War II (and before Ghanaian independence). Growth in

    the north-eastern direction has been aided in recent years due to the main artery that runs through the

    area, Independence Avenue.

    Recent studies in Accra (Yankson 1997; Konadu-Agyemang 1998; Tipple et al. 1998 and Tipple

    2000) focused on urban growth, infrastructure and housing. Konadu -Agyemang (1998) concluded

    that the rapid growth of Accras urban population has created a situation in which a wide gap exists

    between the needs for and the provision of housing and related infrastructure. Yankson (2000)

    assessed land cover change in Accra and tested the viability of Landsat Thematic mapper images for

    urban change detection. This study does not investigate and address the complexity of urban growth.

    Otto et al. (2006) quantifies the urban growth in the Accra metropolitan area and explores the

    causative mechanisms. All the previous researches contribute to understanding of the urban growth.

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    In this research, different types and techniques for land use and land-cover change detection of Accra

    were evaluated. In the direct change detection method, three different image-to-image change

    detection techniques were evaluated. The indirect change detection was conducted using both

    supervised and unsupervised classified maps.

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    Fig.1. Map of Ghana showing location of Accra

    3.1.2 Land use and land cover types

    The various land use and land cover categories in Ghana are listed below:

    Agricultural land which consist of shrub land, grass/herb, dense/grass fallow

    Forest consisting of closed forest, open forest and reverie vegetation

    Savannah

    Urban areas

    Bare land

    Water bodies

    Unclassified lands

    This classification scheme is generalized for the country. However, for a specific area of interest,

    local classification scheme could be employed based on the predominant land cover types available.

    In this research, the land cover categories established are:

    Closed vegetation cover

    Open vegetation cover

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    Dense herbaceous cover

    Grass

    Urban/ bare areas

    Water bodies

    3.2 Potential users and stakeholders

    Urban sprawl and growth information are relevant to variety of people, agencies etc. for decision

    making. Among these users are both government and non-governmental agencies.

    Some of these potential users are town and country planners, urban planners, statisticians,

    environmental agencies, land owners etc.

    3.3 Data Collected

    The Landsat data were acquired from the global land-cover website at the University of Maryland,

    USA.

    URL; http://glcfapp.umiacs.umd.edu:8080/esdi/index.jsp

    The images are Enhance Thematic Mapper plus image acquired on 4th February 2000 and thematic

    mapper image acquired on 25th

    December 1990 shown in figure 2 and 3 respectively. The satellite

    data have 30m spatial resolutions.

    The TM and ETM Plus images have spectral range of 0.45-2.35 micro meter with bands 1,2,3,4 and

    5.

    Band 1 = Blue (0.45-0.52)

    Band 2 = Green (0.52-0.60)

    Band 3 = Red (0.63-0.69)

    Band 4 = NIR (0.76-0.90)

    Band 5 = SWIR (1.55-1.75)

    Aerial photography for 1990 and 2000, which was used as the ground truth data for the accuracy

    assessment

    Topographic map at a scale of 1:10000

    These data were acquired from the Survey Department, Accra, Ghana.

    Existing classified Land use maps from Centre for Remote Sensing&GIS, Dept. of Geography,

    Legon,Ghana.

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    Fig.2. Satellite image of Accra acquired on 25th

    December, 1990

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    Fig.3. Satellite image of Accra acquired on 4th

    Feb. 2000

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    4 METHODOLOGY FOR LAND USE/LAND COVER CHANGE

    DETECTION

    4.1 Flow chart for the methods employed

    Fig.4. Flow chart for methodology employed in digital change detection

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    In order to detect areas that have changed as a result of the expansion of the urban fringe, the

    procedures as shown in the flow chart were followed. The first thing to consider is the

    processing of the remotely sensed data to extract change information. Basically, the main

    processes involve are pre-processing (geometric registration and radiometric correction),

    followed by image classification, change detection and finally assessing the statistical

    accuracies of the classification in change detection process.

    4.2 Pre-processing of the multiple date remotely sensed data:

    Pre-processing of satellite images prior to image classification and change detection is

    essential. Due to spatial, spectral and temporal radiometric resolution constraints, the

    complexity of physical environment cannot be accurately recorded by normal remote sensing

    sensors. As a result, it is necessary to pre-process the remotely sensed data before the

    analysis.

    Pre-processing commonly comprises a series of sequential operations, including atmospheric

    correction or normalization of image, masking etc. The normalization of satellite imagery

    takes into account the combined, measurable reflectance of the atmosphere, aerosol scattering

    and absorption, and the earths surface. Because satellite data are acquired at different dates

    and time, there is the need for the images two be normalised as if they were taken at the sametime. Geometric correction will remove the problem of different coordinates system of the

    respective images. Band screening was conducted to detect bias. Three bands namely 4, 3, 2

    were selected from each image as they were found to have good correlation.In the image to

    image registration, the 1990 TM image was made the reference image and the 2000 ETM

    image was registered to the ETM image. This was done by locating identifiable points on both

    images and saving their coordinates in a text editor which was used as a correspondence file.

    Nearest neighbour re-sampling technique was employed because the output values are the

    original input values and it is easy to compute. The root mean square error was 0.399, which

    represents 12 metres on ground.

    4.3 Image classification

    In order to make use of the multitude of digital data available from satellite imagery, it must

    be processed. This processing involves categorizing the land into its various use functions.

    Classification techniques are widely used for Land use/Land-cover mapping and can be usedas source of information for many different applications. The multi-spectral classification can

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    be performed by application of varieties of methods which includes:

    (i) Algorithm based on parametric and non-parametric statistics that uses ratio and

    interval- scaled data and non-metric methods that can also incorporate nominal

    scale data (Duda et al. 2001),

    (ii)The use of supervised and unsupervised classification logic,

    (iii)The use of hard or soft set classification logic to create hard or fuzzy thematic output

    products,

    (iv)The use of object oriented logic and

    (v)Hybrid classification approaches which combines two or three methods

    In the parametric method approach of classification, such as unsupervised clustering and

    maximum likelihood, there is assumption that the remotely sensed data is normally distributed

    and knowledge about the forms of the underlying class density functions are known( Duda et

    al.,2001). Non parametric methods such as fuzzy classifier, neural networks and nearest-

    neighbour classifiers are used for remotely sensed data that are not uniformly distributed and

    without the assumption that the underlying forms are known (Jensen ,2004; Liu et al., 2002).

    Non- metric methods such as ruled-based decisions tree classifiers can be used on both real

    value data such as reflectance values ranging from 0 to 100% and nominal scaled data

    (Jensen, 2004).

    Supervised classification requires the manual identification of known land cover/land use

    types within the imagery and then using statistical functions to determine the spectral

    signature of the identified feature. The spectral fingerprints of the identified features are

    then used to classify the rest of the image. In unsupervised classification, the user has to make

    decisions on which categories can be grouped together into a single land use category. Both

    supervised and unsupervised classifications were performed. The unsupervised classification

    has the following advantages:

    There is no need to have previous knowledge of the image in order to get a classified

    image. Hence, the classification procedure is faster as it does not utilize the training

    data as the basis for classification.

    The identification of classes of interest against reference data is often more easily

    carried out when the spatial distribution of spectrally similar pixels has been

    established in the image data.

    No extensive prior knowledge of the region required.

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    The opportunity for human error is minimised in this classification unlike supervised

    classification whereby mistakes in digitizing the training areas can affect the process.

    Image signatures are derived based on image statistics (Lillesand, 2004).

    By comparing to supervised classification, the decision functions for unsupervised

    classification is not biased by previous knowledge or estimates of class membership

    Unsupervised classification requires very few inputs into the classification processes.

    Unique classes are recognised as distinct units.

    In contrast to the a priori use of analyst-provided information in supervised classification;

    unsupervised classification is a segmentation of the data space in the absence of any

    information provided by any analyst. Analyst information is used only to attach information

    class (or ground cover type, or map) labels to the segments established by clustering. Clearly

    this is an advantage of the approach.

    In this classification process, natural groups of pixels based on their spectral properties are

    selected by the software. However, this process still requires user interaction once the

    classification has been performed. The advantages of the supervised classification are:

    It is more accurate than unsupervised because the analyst has the possibility to

    train the classes

    It provides informative classes unlike clustering

    Bias decision function can be created by the analyst

    Image signatures are derived based on the training areas which are true

    representative of the classes

    4.3.1 Unsupervised classification

    Unsupervised classification was used to cluster pixels in a data set without any user-defined

    training classes. Although the method requires no user input to create the classified image, the

    output tends to require a great deal of post classification operations to make the results more

    meaningful. The Iterative Self-Organizing Data Analysis Technique (ISODATA) clustering

    algorithm was used. It uses the minimum spectral distance formula to form clusters. It begins

    with either arbitrary cluster means or means of an existing signature set, and each time the

    clustering repeats, the means of these clusters are shifted. The new cluster means are used for

    the next iteration. The ISODATA utility repeats the clustering of the image until either a

    maximum number of iterations have been performed, or a maximum percentage of unchanged

    pixels have been reached between two iterations. The ISODATA clustering algorithm (Tou &

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    Gonzalez., 1974; ERDAS, 1997) compares the radiometric value of each pixel with

    predefined number of cluster attractors, aggregates pixels in clusters and shifts the

    cluster mean values in a way that the majority of the former aggregated pixels belongs to a

    cluster.

    The ISODATA algorithm has some further refinements by splitting and merging of clusters

    (Jensen, 1996). Clusters are merged if either the number of members (pixel) in a cluster is less

    than a certain threshold or if the centres of two clusters are closer than a certain threshold.

    Clusters are split into two different clusters if the cluster standard deviation exceeds a

    predefined value and the number of members (pixels) is twice the threshold for the minimum

    number of members. The ISODATA algorithm is similar to the k-means algorithm with the

    distinct difference that the ISODATA algorithm allows for different number of clusters whilethe k-means assumes that the number of clusters is known a priori. Performing an

    unsupervised classification is simpler than a supervised classification, because the signatures

    are automatically generated by the ISODATA algorithm.

    4.3.1.1 Clustering to detect the land use classes

    In clustering, the pixels were grouped into classes based on similar spectral characteristics.

    This was achieved using isoclust, the implementation of the ISODATA algorithm in IDRISI,

    to detect clusters of pixels that have similar spectral characteristics. The ISODATA method

    does not need any ground truth. It analyses the images and organizes the pixels into clusters

    with similar characteristics without consideration of what these pixels represent in reality.

    Here it is assumed that pixels with similar characteristics represent the same land-use. It is

    very likely that the same land-use type can be represented with several clusters.

    4.3.1.2 Aggregation of clusters

    The clustering procedure is just grouping of pixels of similar spectral characteristics. In order

    to get informational classes, the clusters were grouped. Vector files with ground-truth data

    were used to detect which land-use classes the different clusters that have been created by

    Isoclustbelong to. The images were reclassified to create a land-use map for 1990 and 2000

    respectively.

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    4.3.2 Supervised Classification

    This is a procedure for identifying spectrally similar areas on an image by identifying

    training sites of known targets and then extrapolating those spectral signatures to other areas

    of unknown target.

    In supervised classification, the identity and location of some of the land-cover types are

    known a priori through a combination of fieldwork, interpretation of aerial photography, map

    analysis and personal experience (Hodgson et al., 2003).

    Training areas, usually small and discrete compared to the full image, are used to train the

    classification algorithm to recognize land cover classes based on their spectral signatures, as

    found in the image. The training areas for any one land cover class need to fully represent the

    variability of that class within the image. There are numerous factors that can affect the

    training signatures of the land cover classes. Environmental factors such as differences in soil

    type, varying soil moisture, and health of vegetation, can affect the signature and affect the

    accuracy of the final thematic map. It is really important to choose a desirable classification

    scheme and algorithm. The Maximum likelihood classifier algorithm was chosen for this

    study as it proved to give better results as compare to the other supervised techniques tried.

    4.3.2.1 Training Sites Development

    A training area is a small sample of homogeneous areas selected by the image analyst prior to

    classification. These areas were determined from maps and ortho-photos, topographical maps

    and other ancillary information (e.g. land use database). Training sites were free of anomalies

    and large enough to provide good statistical representation. Also, there were sufficient

    numbers of sites selected for each class to account for small local variations within the class.

    Edge pixels containing the combined backscatter of multiple targets (mixed pixels) were

    avoided. The objective of training data is to obtain a set of statistics that describe the spectral

    pattern for each land-use/land-cover category to be classified. These sets of statistics are used

    to determine decision rules for the classification of each pixel in an image. The training site

    were representative of their respective classes, including the variation within the class itself

    and the training data should closely fit the distribution assumptions, on which the decision

    rules are based (Campbell, 2002). Sample pixels representing each of the land cover

    categories were selected through digitizing. Polygons (training sites) belonging to the sameland cover category were given the same ID. In total, there were adequate sample of pixels for

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    each cover type for statistical characterization. The number of pixels selected for each land-

    cover or land-use category in the training is shown in table 1 below.

    Table1: Number of pixel selected in each land-cover category for training

    Land Cover

    Category

    TM1990 image ETM 2000 image

    Closed veg. cover 1209 1179

    Open veg. cover 2831 3457

    Dense herb cover 4479 4231

    Grass/herb 475 357

    Urban/bare land 6432 7899

    Water bodies 4673 4923

    4.3.2.2 Signature Development

    Signature files which contain statistical information about the reflectance values of the pixels

    within the training sites for each class were created. The statistical analysis for the reflectance

    values of the trained areas selected was examined to avoid significant loss of recognition

    accuracy. The classes signatures examine were maximum, minimum, and mean values as well

    as a class covariance matrix. Histogram plots for the class signatures were also examined.

    Finally a scatter plot for the entire data set was also generated. These signatures were used to

    assess the performance of the trained areas before classification.

    The training site polygons were defined as a vector file of polygons. The vector file was

    converted to a raster image during the development. This vector file was created using the on-

    screen digitizing feature of the display system. With either raster or vector, training site

    classes are indicated by integer codes. Scatter plot and signature comparison chart were

    generated to visually analyse the quality of the training sites.

    4.3.2.3 Maximum Likelihood Classifier

    This is a statistical decision rule that examines the probability function of a pixel for each ofthe classes, and assigns the pixel to the class with the highest probability.

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    The classifier assumes that the training statistics for each class have a normal or 'Gaussian'

    distribution. However many are not, radar statistics in particular. The classifier then uses the

    training statistics to compute a probability value of whether it belongs to a particular land

    cover category class. This allows for within-class spectral variance. Equal probabilities were

    assigned to each of the land-cover classes to weight the probability function. This

    classification technique usually provides the highest classification accuracies. Accordingly, it

    has a high computational requirement because of the large number of calculations needed to

    classify each pixel.

    4.3.2.4 Classification accuracy assessment

    This defines the extent to which a manual or automatic processing system correctly identifies

    selected classes.This process evaluates the accurateness of a derived thematic map.

    There are two main methods normally used to validate the accuracy (or assess the error) of a

    remote sensing-derived thematic map namely:

    Qualitative confidence-building assessment

    Statistical measurements.

    In confidence-building assessment accuracy assessment, visual examination of the map

    associated with the overall area frame is done by knowledgeable individuals to identify any

    gross errors. However, this method is not good for quantitative purposes.

    Statistical measurements however can quantify the errors using reference data. They are two

    sub categories:

    Model-based inference, and

    Design-based inference.

    Model-based inference is concerned with estimating the error of remote sensing classification

    process (or model) that generated the map rather than estimating the accuracy. The design-

    based inference is based on statistical principles that infer the statistical characteristics of a

    finite population based on the sampling frame. Some common statistical measurements

    include producers error, consumers error, overall accuracy, and kappa coefficient of

    agreement (Jensen, 2004).

    In this research, the design based inference was used as a sample of the total population was

    used in determining the accuracy of the classification processes.

    Using the ortho-photos a reference data, sample pixels representing each of the land-cover

    categories were digitised and compare to the created thematic maps. The overall accuracy

    expresses the total accuracy of the whole classification process. It is defined as a fraction of

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    the total of the diagonal matrix and the total no of cells. However, it is express as a

    percentage. Pixels of known class which are incorrectly classified as other classes are known

    as error of omission. Pixels which are incorrectly classified as a given class when they should

    be some other known class are known as error of commission. When the correctly classified

    pixel in each class is divided by column totals, producers accuracy is obtained.

    4.3.3 Post classification comparison change detection

    To minimise phonological effects of remotely-sensed data, the post-classification comparison

    method was employed for image processing, as this method is less sensitive to radiometric

    variations between the scenes (Mas 1999). The supervised classified maps were used because

    of its higher accuracy as compare to the unsupervised maps.

    Digital change detection techniques aim to detect changes in images over a period of time.

    Change detection techniques rely upon differences in radiance values between two or more

    dates. Unfortunately, few quantitative comparative studies of change detection techniques are

    available. There is no universally 'optimal' change detection technique. The choice is

    dependent upon the application. The selection of an appropriate change detection algorithm is

    very important. Most change-detection projects require that the from-to information be

    readily available in the form of maps and tabular summaries. Post-classification changedetection was chosen because:

    It produces a transition matrix. This matrix describes each pixel if it has changed and

    if it has, from which class to what. This change information is valuable for analyses

    and for planning purposes.

    There is no need for radiometric normalization of the images use in the analysis

    Sensitive to the spectral variations

    It provides from-to change information.

    One major drawback of this method of change detection is that the accuracy is dependent on

    the accuracy of individual classification results and it is also quite time consuming. The Land

    cover change detection scheme used in current study was chosen by considering local

    condition, classes of interest and availability of reference ground truth data material available

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    4.3.3.1 Detecting from-to change using Cross Classification and Tabulation

    In order to have insight into which land cover category is converted into the other both cross

    classification and tabulation operations were performed. The cross classification gives visual

    information about the transformation of each land cover category by clicking on the legend.

    With the cross-classification operation, it is possible to visualize the change of one cover

    category to the other within the two periods. There are 36 from to different categories for the

    6 different classes. This matrix describes each pixel if it has changed and if it has, from which

    class to what. This change information is significant for analyses and for planning purposes.

    Some of the land cover classes have higher tendency of transforming to the other and vice

    versa. Vegetations have higher tendency to transform into urban areas but the probability for

    urban areas and water to change to other classes were considered to have less probability.

    4.3.3.2 Detecting and Visualization of change in urban areas by colour coding

    In order to depict the areas that have changed as a result of expansion of the urban areas, the

    various land-cover categories in 1990 that transformed into urban areas in 2000 from the cross

    classification were colour coded red (red). The areas that did not change into any other land

    cover categories were colour coded to their respective cover classes with the same colours as

    the classified map.

    4.3.3.3 Change Map

    Cross tabulation analysis was performed using the two classified maps.

    The resulting 36 from-to classes were re-classified into change and no change map. Land

    cover classes that have no change were separated from those which have change by

    comparing the two thematic layers. The non-change areas are the diagonal elements in the

    cross-tabulation. The procedure yields 7 different classes, namely

    Non-Change area

    Change in closed vegetation cover

    Change in open vegetation cover

    Change in dense herbaceous cover

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    Change in grassland

    Change in Urban/ bare areas

    Change in water bodies

    The non-change areas are predominantly urban and water bodies respectively while the

    vegetations were transformed to urban areas.

    4.3.3.4 Change detection accuracy

    The accuracy of remotely sensed map is traditionally assessed by comparing a sample of the

    map data with actual ground conditions typically by generating an error matrix. This approach

    is useful for both visualizing image classification results and more importantly for statistically

    measuring the results. One of the most common means of expressing classification accuracy

    is the preparation of a classification error matrix also called confusion matrix. The accuracy of

    change detection analysis outputs depend on the following conditions:

    Low RMS error of geometric registration of two-date images

    High quality of ground truth data and field investigation information

    The selection of change detection methods or algorithms

    Proper knowledge of the study area

    Proper multi-date image classification scheme

    Analyst effort and experience.

    The accuracy of the change detection process depends on the accuracy of the two-date image

    classifications when using post-classification change detection. The change detection statistics

    shows the change of each land- cover category. The main disadvantage of this method is that

    the accuracy is dependent on the individual image classification. The change detection

    accuracy is discussed in the results and discussions. However the overall accuracy of the

    individual classified images was good so the expected error in the change detection was

    minimal.

    4.4 Image Differencing

    Image differencing is probably the most widely applied change detection algorithm (Singh, 1989).

    It involves subtracting one date of imagery from a second date that has been precisely registered

    to the first. According to recent research, image differencing appears to perform generally better

    than other methods of change detection (Coppin & Bauer, 1996). It is possible to identify theamount of change between two rectified images by image differencing (Green et al., 1994; Maas,

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    the results and discussions chapter.

    4.4.2 Image Enhancement

    Image enhancement methods provide important information that could be otherwise