The Next Wave of Disruptive Technologies
15
The Next Wave of Disruptive Technologies The Impact of Technology on Business Jonathan L. Yarmis Principal Analyst Yarmis Group @jyarmis [email protected] http://DoctorDisruptive.com
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Transcript of The Next Wave of Disruptive Technologies
The Next Wave of
Disruptive
Technologies
The Impact of Technology on Business
Jonathan L. YarmisPrincipal AnalystYarmis Group
@[email protected]://DoctorDisruptive.com
We Are in a Period of
Unprecedented Technical Change
No kidding
But magnitude unappreciated
Unprecedented rapidity
On the cusp of a new wave
As the existing wave evolves
Doctor DisruptiveJune 26, 2013
Doctor DisruptiveJune 26, 2013
S-Curves Drive the Technology
Industry
New
Category
Introduction
Midlife
Revolution
The
Next
Wave
Doctor DisruptiveJune 26, 2013
The Now: Talking SMAC
Social
Mobile
Analytics
Please don’t call it “Big Data”
Cloud
And they’re all coming together
We Are at a Pivotal Time
Doctor DisruptiveJune 26, 2013
New
Category
Introduction
Midlife
Revolution
The
Next
Wave
Doctor DisruptiveJune 26, 2013
Note: We Futurists Tend to
Overstate Impact in the Short-Term
Doctor DisruptiveJune 26, 2013
But Underestimate it in the
Medium-Term!
Doctor DisruptiveJune 26, 2013
The Next Chapter of SMAC
We first automate what we previously did
manually or inefficiently
Mid-life, we ask “what can we do that we
couldn’t do before?”
We’re at that point now
So don’t give me another social network
While the Next Wave is on the
Horizon
Internet of Things
Augmented Reality
Big Knowledge
Cognitive
Probabilistic
Doctor DisruptiveJune 26, 2013
New
Category
Introduction
Midlife
Revolution
The
Next
Wave
Internet of Things
When everything is
connected to the
Internet
Not just “computing”
devices
Sensors in everything
Even smart dust
Doctor DisruptiveJune 26, 2013
Source: Intel
Augmented Reality
Do NOT judge it by
Google Glass
Blending the physical
with the virtual
When reality is a
read/write medium
Doctor DisruptiveJune 26, 2013
Source: Nickelodeon
Cognitive and Probabilistic
Computing
Systems aware of
their environment
Able to make “smart”
decisions
And learn from
outcomes
Computing today is
largely deterministic
Moving towards
probabilistic systems
Doctor DisruptiveJune 26, 2013
Source: IBM
Big Knowledge
Moving up the value
hierarchy from data to
information to
knowledge to wisdom
Actionable
information
Decision-making
Doctor DisruptiveJune 26, 2013
The Looming Battle
The smart marketer
The empowered user
New software
categories
Vendor Relationship
Management
Whither privacy?
The Yarmis GroupOctober 19, 2010
Doctor DisruptiveJune 26, 2013
So, What Do You Do Now?
