The Local Employment Dynamics ProgramInformation for Workforce and Economic Development

Julia LaneSenior Research Fellow

And the LED Staff

Overview

What is the LED program

Local Data: The Quarterly Workforce Indicators

Workforce Development

Economic Development

Next Steps

What the LED Program Is

What is LED?

Local – County, Sub County, WIA

Employment and Earnings – demographics (age and sex)

Dynamics – New measures of labor market dynamics

• Job Gain and Loss• Hires, Recalls, Separations• Earnings

Uses: Local Labor Market Information

Strategic Planning

LED Fills Key Data Gaps

Universal 98% of employment in partner statesLongitudinal in businesses and workersWorker Information Date of birth, place of birth,

sex, earningsFirm Information Four digit industry, turnover,

growth, salesCurrent Sent quarterly (six months after

transaction date) – start date 1990(+)Comparable Same definitions across statesDetailed Geography: place of residence and

place of work to latitude/longitude

The Local Employment Dynamics Program

Integration RecordPerson-ID Employer-IDData

Business Register Employer-IDCensus Entity-IDData

Economic Censuses and SurveysCensus Entity-ID Data

Demographic Surveys

Household RecordHousehold-IDData

Person Record Household-IDPerson-IDData

Confidentiality Protections

Anonymized data

Approved Projects only

Statistical Purposes only

Title 13 ($250,000 fine/5 years in jail if confidentiality breached)

Disclosure review

Firewall within firewall within firewall protection

Quarterly Workforce Indicators

“The outcome for Local Workforce Investment Boards..is a portfolio of never before available labor market measures at a level of geography never before available” Deputy Governor of Illinois

Businesses

Economic development agencies

Chambers of commerce

Federal, state and local agencies

Workforce Investment Boards

Chambers of commerce

School career counselors

Job search professionals

Businesses

Federal, state, and local agencies

Businesses

Transportation planners

Federal, state and local agencies

Current New

JobsTotal payroll

Jobs Total payroll

Gross job gainGross job loss

Net jobsNew hiresRecalls

Layoffs/quits Individual earnings

Current New

National

State

County

National

State

County

Sub-county

Workforce investment

area

CurrentNew

Workplace

Workplace

Residence

Where are the workers?

How much are they paid?

Where are the workers?

How much are they paid?

Where are the jobs?

How much do they pay?

Who needs training?

Where are the jobs?

How much do they pay?

Who needs training?

How can workers get to their jobs?

Where should a business locate?

How can workers get to their jobs?

Where should a business locate?

Male Female

Age categories 14-18 19-21 22-24 25-34 35-44

45-54 55-64 65+

Immigrant

Native born

None

Current

New

Indicators

Demography Location

Geography

Clients

Questions

What can QWI’s do?

Core Advances• Detailed Demographics• Detailed Geography• New Measures (hires, separations, earnings)• Historic • Relatively Current

Local Labor Market Context for Performance Evaluation

Identification of Trends for Strategic Planning

1. What are the industries that hire?

2. What are the stable industries?

3. What are the key industries for given demographic groups?

Improving performanceEconomic Development => Workforce Development

“Top Ten” list for All Workers in Denver MSA2003:1

Top Ten Employer Number of Employees

Top Ten Hirers Number of Hires

Professional, Scientific and Technical Services

83,065 Administrative and Support Services 28,940

Educational Services 82,909 Food Services and Drinking Places 23,614

Food Services and Drinking Places 75,544 Food and Beverage Stores 12,467

Administrative and Support Services 71,390 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services

11,861

Specialty Trade Contractors 49,498 Specialty Trade Contractors 10,244

Ambulatory Health Care Services 43,517 Educational Services 6,685

Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods 41,617 Ambulatory Health Care Services 6,029

Executive, Legislative, and Other Government Support

36,469 Credit Intermediation and Related Activities 4,343

Hospitals 35,439 Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods 4,223

Credit Intermediaries 33,519 Management of Companies and Enterprises 4,016

Employment and Hires, 2003:1; Source: CO DLI and US Census Bureau

“Top Ten” Lists for 35-44 year old women in Denver MSA 2003:1

Top Ten Employers Number of Employees

Top Ten Hirers Number of Hires

Educational Services 13,569 Administrative and Support Service 2,891

Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services

10,311 Food and Beverage Stores 1,691

Ambulatory Health Care Services 8,653 Food Services and Drinking Places 1,492

Administrative and Support Services 8,073 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services

1,344

Hospitals 7,242 Ambulatory Health Care Services 1,142

Food Services and Drinking Places 6,003 Educational Services 975

Credit Intermediation and Related Activities 5,598 Nursing and Residential Care Facilities 579

Insurance Carriers and Related Activitie 4,558 Credit Intermediation and Related Activities 541

Executive, Legislative, and Other Government Support

4,420 Management of Companies and Enterprises 508

Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods 3,529 Specialty Trade Contractors 464

Employment and Hires, 2003:1; Source: CO DLI and US Census Bureau

“Top Ten” Lists for 35-44 year old women in Denver MSA

Top Ten Employers Earnings Incumbent Workers

Top Ten Hirers Earnings Incumbent Workers

Educational Services $2,580 Administrative and Support Service $2,433

Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services

$4,244 Food and Beverage Stores $2,274

Ambulatory Health Care Services $3,230 Food Services and Drinking Places $1,454

Administrative and Support Services $2,433 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services

$4,244

Hospitals $3,585 Ambulatory Health Care Services $3,230

Food Services and Drinking Places $1,454 Educational Services $2,580

Credit Intermediation and Related Activities

$4,378 Nursing and Residential Care Facilities

$2,350

Insurance Carriers and Related Activitie

$4,142 Credit Intermediation and Related Activities

$4,378

Executive, Legislative, and Other Government Support

$3,222 Management of Companies and Enterprises

$3,879

Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods

$4,280 Specialty Trade Contractors $2,576

Average Monthly Earnings, 2003:1; Source: CO DLI and US Census Bureau

1. What’s the workforce composition for key industries?

2. What’s the turnover rate in key industries?

3. What are the earnings for workers in different areas?

Workforce Development => Economic Development

Workforce Composition in Nursing and Residential Care FacilitiesDenver MSA

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

14-18 19-21 22-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-99

Female Male

Employment, 2003:1; Source: CO DLI and US Census Bureau

Turnover Rates in Nursing and Residential Care Facilities

Denver MSA

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

14-18 19-21 22-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-99

Female Male

Turnover Rates, 2003:1; Source: CO DLI and US Census Bureau

Monthly Earnings in Nursing and Residential Care Facilities

Denver MSA

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

14-18 19-21 22-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-99

Female Male

Average Monthly Earnings, 2003:1; Source: CO DLI and US Census Bureau

Average Monthly Earnings in Nursing and Residential Care Facilities:

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

08 Colorado

Boulder--Longmont,CO PMSA

ColoradoSprings,CO MSA

Denver, COPMSA

FortCollins--

Loveland,CO MSA

GrandJunction,CO MSA

Greeley,CO PMSA

Nonmetro Pueblo, COMSA

All Workers 35-44 year old women

Average Monthly Earnings, 2003:1; Source: CO DLI and US Census Bureau

Economic and Workforce Development

Long term trends

1. Where are the workers located?

2. What are the looming demographic trends?

What are the Looming Trends?The Aging Population in Motor Vehicles in PA

(Proportion of Workforce over 55)

Employment by Age Category as Proportion of Total Employment for all industries: Source: US Census Bureau and CO Dept of Labor and Employment

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 20005%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

3711 MOTOR VEHICLES 3714 MOTOR VEHICLE PARTS

Next Steps

Products New indicators: multi job holding; cross state flows Tools for report writing and analysis Mapping Welfare Recipient Indicators TransportationProgram Expansion Training