The Least Developed Countries (LDCs)

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    The Least Developed Countries(LDCs)

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    Note: Cape Verde was removed from the list in 2007 so is no longer a LDC (therefore there are 49)

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    LDCs Since 1968 the world's poorest countries have

    been classed as least developed countries. UN calls them 'the poorest and most

    economically week of the developing countries

    with formidable economic, institutional andhuman resource problems, which are ofterncompounded by geographical handicaps andnatural and man-made disasters'.

    This list contains 49 countries: 33 in Africa (all sub-saharan)

    Others in southeast Asia and a number of smallisland states in the Pacific.

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    Features of LDCs:

    Low incomes, measured as less than $800GDP per capita per year averaged over a 3-year period.

    Human resource weaknesses: based uponindicators of nutrition, health, education levelsand literacy.

    Economic vulnerability: share of manufacturingin the GDP, per capita energy consumption,and population displaced by natural disasters.

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    Other Problems in LDCs:

    Ongoing and widespread conflict e.g. Darfurin Sudan.

    Extensive political corruption.

    Lack of political and social stability. A form of government that is authoritarian in

    nature, such as a dictatorship.

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    Quality of Life

    People live in poverty in all LDCs. A large majority of the population has an

    income too small to meet their basic needs.

    In 2005 it was estimated that 277 million peoplewere living on less than $1 per day.

    In some cases incidence of poverty has beenfalling but the actual number has been

    increasing over the long term. Still dependent on external finance.

    In 2006 net aid payments reached $28 billion.

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    Debt From the 1970s countries developing countries

    found themselves in a dbet crises.

    The problem can be attributed to: Increasing oil prices.

    Higher interest rates.

    Falling export prices.

    Problems of domestic economic management.

    No hopes of the debts being repaid and heavy

    interest accumulating. By October 2007 17 LDCs were recing debt

    relief under the HIPC initaitive (Heavily IndebtedPoor Countries).

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    A possible path for development???

    Rostow's Model

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    The Rostow Model

    One of the first and most simple models toaccount for economic growth.

    Put forward by W.W. Rostow in 1960.

    Based on a study of 15 countries, mainly inEurope.

    He suggested all countries had the potential tobreak the cycle of poverty and develop throughthe five linear steps.

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    Time

    Level

    ofDe

    velopment

    1. TheTraditional

    Society

    2. Preconditionsfor take-off

    3. Take-Off

    4. The drive toThe maturity

    5. High massconsumption

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    Stage 1: Traditional Society

    Subsitence economy based mainly on farming.

    Very limited technology or capital to processraw material.

    No development of industries and services.

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    Stage 2: Preconditons for take-off

    Often needs external injection of cash to moveinto this stage.

    Extractive industries develop.

    Agriculture is more commecialised andbecomes mechanised.

    There are some technological improvements

    and a growth of infrastructure. Development of a transport system encourages

    trade.

    A single industry begins to dominate.

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    Stage 3: Take-Off

    Manufacturing industries gwo rapidly.

    Airports, roads and railways are built.

    Political and social adjustments are necessaryto adapt to the new ways of life.

    Growth is limited to one or two parts of thecountry (growth poles) and to one or two

    industries (magnets). Numbers in agricultures decline.

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    Slide 4: The Drive to Maturity

    Growth is self-sustaining.

    Economic growth spreads to all parts of thecountry and leads to an increas in the number

    and types of industry (multiplier effect). More complex transport systems develop and

    manufacturing expands as technologyimproves.

    Some early industries decline.

    There is rapid urbanisation.

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    Stage 5: The age of high mass-consumption

    Rapid expansion of tertiary industries andwelfare facilities.

    Employment in service industries grows but

    declines in manufacturing. Industry shits to the production of durable

    consumer goods.

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    Approximate date of reaching a newstage of development:

    Stage 2 3 4 5

    UK 1750 1820 1850 1940

    USA 1800 1850 1920 1930

    Japan 1880 1900 1930 1950

    Venezuela 1920 1950 1970 -

    India 1950 1980? - -

    Ethiopia - - - -

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    Criticisms of Rostow's Model

    Rostow suggested that capital was needed tomake countries development despite largeinjections of aid countries remailn at traditonalstage.

    Countries that move towards take-off stagehave occurred huge national debts.

    Historical evidence indicates this sequence isnot universal.

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    ACTIVITY

    Complete Rostow model 'Living Graph Activity'

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    Homework

    Read page 197 201

    Answer questions page 201 (all parts in detail e.g. more than a page)