The Herald-Sun, 24 July
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Dr Paul Jelfs Assistant Statistician Social Analysis and Reporting Australian Social Trends 2008 seminar, Brisbane 25 August 2008. The Australian, 24 July. The Herald-Sun, 24 July. The Age, 24 July. The Herald-Sun, 24 July. The Australian Financial Review, 24 July. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Transcript of The Herald-Sun, 24 July
Dr Paul JelfsAssistant Statistician
Social Analysis and Reporting
Australian Social Trends2008 seminar, Brisbane
25 August 2008
The Herald-Sun, 24 July
The Age, 24 July
The Australian, 24 July
The Australian, 24 July
The Herald-Sun, 24 July
The Canberra Times, 24 July
The Courier Mail, 24 July
The Australian Financial Review, 24 July
Today's seminarPopulation
Family and community
Health
Education and training
Work
Economic resources
Housing
Other areas of concern
Population Population distribution
…by remoteness areas
…change 1996-2006
Towns of the mineral boom
…which towns?
…socio-demographic changes
Remoteness Areas and populationdistribution at 30 June 2006
Source: ABS preliminary Estimated Resident Population
Population change 1996–2006(a)
Major citiesInner Regional
Outer RegionalRemote
Very Remote-1
-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
%
(a) Average annual growth rate
Source: ABS preliminary Estimated Resident Population
Population change in States and Territories1996–2006(a)
QldNSW
VicSA
WATas
NTACT
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
%
(a) Average annual growth rate
Source: ABS Estimated Resident Population
Interstate Migration
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40Highest Average Interstate Migration
Year
'00
0
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40Lowest Average Interstate Migration
Year
'00
0
Source: Australian Demographic Statistics
NSW
WANTVic
ACTTasSA
Qld
Towns of the minerals boom
Rapid population growth High proportion employed in mining
Qld boom towns
WA boom towns
SA boom towns
Population of boom towns
Dysart (Qld)
Moranbah (Qld)
Blackwater (Qld)
Middlemount (Qld)
Tieri (Qld)
Emerald (Qld)
Moura (Qld)
Paraburdoo (WA)
Dampier (WA)
Newman (WA)
Karratha (WA)
Roxby Downs (SA)
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
20062001
'000
Source: 2001 and 2006 ABS Censuses of Population and Housing
Population growth in boom towns 2001-2006
Dysart (Qld)
Moranbah (Qld)
Blackwater (Qld)
Middlemount (Qld)
Tieri (Qld)
Emerald (Qld)
Moura (Qld)
Paraburdoo (WA)
Dampier (WA)
Newman (WA)
Karratha (WA)
Roxby Downs (SA)
Australia
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Estimated resident
Census-enumerated
%
Source: 2001 and 2006 ABS Censuses of Population and Housing; Australian Demographic Statistics
Male:female ratios in boom townsDysart (Qld)
Moranbah (Qld)
Blackwater (Qld)
Middlemount (Qld)
Tieri (Qld)
Emerald (Qld)
Moura (Qld)
Paraburdoo (WA)
Dampier (WA)
Newman (WA)
Karratha (WA)
Roxby Downs (SA)
Australia
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200
2006
2001
Males per 100 females
Source: 2001 and 2006 ABS Censuses of Population and Housing
Income of full-time workers in boom townsDysart (Qld)
Moranbah (Qld)
Blackwater (Qld)
Middlemount (Qld)
Tieri (Qld)
Emerald (Qld)
Moura (Qld)
Paraburdoo (WA)
Dampier (WA)
Newman (WA)
Karratha (WA)
Roxby Downs (SA)
Australia
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000
20062001
$ real median weekly income
Source: 2001 and 2006 ABS Censuses of Population and Housing; Consumer Price Index, Australia
Family and Community
Voluntary work
…increase in voluntary work
…who is volunteering regularly?
…what type of volunteering are they doing?
Volunteering rates
1995 2000 20060
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Males
Females
Year
%
Source: ABS 2006 Voluntary Work Survey
Volunteering rates: States and Territories Qld
NSW
Vic
SA
WA
Tas
NT
ACT
05
1015
2025
3035
4045
2006
1995
Source: ABS 2006 Voluntary Work Survey
% Persons
Regular volunteering by age and sex 2006
18-2425-34
35-4445-54
55-6465-74
75+
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Males
Females
Age group (years)
%
Source: ABS 2006 Voluntary Work Survey
Regular volunteering by age 2006
18-2425-34
35-4445-54
55-6465-74
75+(a)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Qld
Aust
Age group (years)
%
(a) Estimate for Qld has a relative standard error of 25% to 50% and should be used with caution
Source: ABS 2006 Voluntary Work Survey
Regular volunteers by type oforganisation 2006
Sport & physical recreation
Education & training
Community/welfare
Religious
Parenting, children & youth
Emergency services
Arts/heritage
Health
Environment/animal welfare
Other
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Females
Males
%
Source: ABS 2006 Voluntary Work Survey
Health
Risk taking by young people
…alcohol, drugs & dangerous driving
…hospitalisation & death
Complementary therapies
…have become more common
…who are they & who is seeing them?
18-24 25+0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
Males
Females
Age group (years)
%
Source: ABS 2004–05 National Health Survey
Risk taking by young people
Short term risky/high risk drinking at least once a week 2004–05
Short term risky/high risk drinking at least once a week 2004–05
Qld
NSW
Vic
SA
WA
Tas
NT(a)
ACT
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
25+
18-24
%(a) Data are not available for the Northern Territory.
Source: ABS 2004–05 National Health Survey
15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45+
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
No.
per
100
,000
peo
ple
Dangerous driving related offences 2006–07
Source: ABS Criminal Courts Collection
– Exceeding the legal alcohol limit
– Driving under the influence
– Dangerous or negligent driving
– Speeding
Alcohol and drug-relatedhospitalisation of young people 2005–06
15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70+
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Age group (years)
No
. p
er
10
0,0
00
po
pu
latio
n
Source: AIHW Hospital Morbidity Database
– Males, drug use
– Females, drug use
– Males, acute alcohol intoxication
– Females, acute alcohol intoxication
Transport accident deaths(15-24 years)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Qld - males
Qld - females
Qld - persons
Aus - males
Aus - females
Aus - persons
Year of registration
De
ath
s p
er
10
0,0
00
Source: ABS Causes of Death collection
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
NSW
Vic
Tas
NT
Qld
Year of registration
De
ath
s p
er
10
0,0
00
Source: ABS Causes of Death collection
Transport accident deaths(15-24 years)
Complementary therapies
Number of complementary therapists is small but growing quickly, from 4,787 in 1996 to 8,595 in 2006
Fastest growing occupation group is osteopaths
Leading occupation groups are naturopaths and chiropractors
Complementary therapists
Source: 1996 & 2006 Censuses of Population and Housing
Chiropractor Naturopath Acupuncturist Osteopath0
1,000
2,000
3,000
19962006
No
.
Characteristics of therapists 2006
ChiropractorOsteopath
AcupuncturistHomeopath
Naturopath
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Female
Employed part-time%
Source: ABS 2006 Census of Population and Housing
Visits to therapists (last two weeks)
Source: ABS 1995 and 2004–05 National Health Surveys
ChiropractorNaturopath
AcupuncturistOsteopath
Herbalist
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
1995
2004-05
'00
0
Referral patterns
Now covered by health funds Acceptance of effectiveness Higher disposable income
Age pattern of consultations with complementary therapists 2004–05
0-14 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Age group (years)
%
Source: ABS 2004–05 National Health Survey
Education
Education across Australia
…school retention rates
…non-school qualifications
Proportion of Australianswith a non-school qualification (Ages 25-64)
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 20060
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Year
%
Source: ABS 1990-2006 Survey of Education and Work
– Total with anon-school qualification
– Advanced diploma and diploma or below
– Bachelor degree or above
Non-school qualification by Area (Ages 25-64)
Major Cities
Inner Regional
Outer Regional
Remote
Very Remote
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
2006
1996
%
Source: ABS 1996 and 2006 Censuses of Population and Housing
%
People aged 25–64 years withnon-school qualifications: States and Territories
NSW Vic Qld SA WA Tas NT(a) ACT0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
%
(a) Refers to mainly urban areas only.
Source: ABS Survey of Education and Work
1997
- 2007
Year 7/8 to year 12 retention rates
1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 200730
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
Males
Females
Persons
Year
%
Source: National Schools Statistics Collection
Year 7/8 to year 12 retention rates
1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 200730
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
Aus
Qld
Year
%
Source: National Schools Statistics Collection
Year 7/8 to year 12 retention rates
1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 200730
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
Aus NSW Vic SA WA
Tas NT ACT Qld
Year
%
Source: National Schools Statistics Collection
Year 7/8 to year 12 retention rates:States and Territories 2007
Qld
NSW
Vic
SA
WA
Tas
NT
ACT
010
2030
4050
6070
8090
100
Females
Males
%Source: National Schools Statistics Collection
Education participation rate(Ages 15-24)
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 200735
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
Year
%
Source: ABS Survey of Education and Work
Education participation rate(Ages 15-24)
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 200735
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
Aus. Qld
Year
%
Source: ABS Survey of Education and Work
Education participation rate(Ages 15-24)
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 200735
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
Aus. NSW Vic SA WA
Tas NT ACT Qld
Year
%
Source: ABS Survey of Education and Work
Work
Labour force participation across Australia
…sex and age…part-time and full-time employment
Trade union members
…sex and age…industry type
19881989
19901991
19921993
19941995
19961997
19981999
20002001
20022003
20042005
20062007
200840
50
60
70
80
Males aged 15 years and overFemales aged 15 years and over
as at June
%
Labour force participation rate by sex
Source: ABS Labour Force Survey
15–19 20–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–59 60–6420
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Males
Females
Age group
%
Labour force participation rate byage and sex 2008
Source: ABS Labour Force Survey
Males Females0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1988
1998
2008
%
Labour force participation of people aged 55–64 years
Source: ABS Labour Force Survey
Qld
NSW
Vic
SA
WA
Tas
NT
ACT
40 50 60 70 80 90
20081998
%
as at June
Labour force participation rate:States and Territories, for people aged 15-64 years
Source: ABS Labour Force Survey
19881989
19901991
19921993
19941995
19961997
19981999
20002001
20022003
20042005
20062007
2008
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Employed full-time
Employed part-time
Year as at June
%
Employment trends for people aged 15–64 years
Source: ABS Labour Force Survey
..as a proportion of total employment
Trade union membership
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Males
Females
Year
%
Unionisation rates by sex
Source: Trade Union Members, Australia, August 1986, Employee Earnings, Benefits and Trade Union Membership, Australia, August 2007
Unionisation rates by age
15–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55 and over0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1986
2007
Age group
%
Source: 1986 Survey of Trade Union Members and 2007 Survey of Employee Earnings, Benefits and Trade Union Membership
Trade union membership
Unionisation rates: States and Territories
Qld
NSW
Vic
SA
WA
Tas
NT
ACT
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
2007
1986
%
Source: Trade Union Members, Australia, August 1986, Employee Earnings, Benefits and Trade Union Membership, Australia, August 2007
Electricity, gas and water supply
Communication services
Education
Manufacturing
Mining
Health and community services
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
2007
1997
%
Unionisation rates by selected industry1997 to 2007
Source: 1997 Survey of Weekly Earnings of Employees and 2007 Survey of Employee Earnings, Benefits and Trade Union Membership
The number of industrial disputes have also declined
...from 1,519 in 1987 to
135 in 2007
19871988
19891990
19911992
19931994
19951996
19971998
19992000
20012002
20032004
20052006
2007
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
Year
Source: Industrial Disputes, Australia,Dec 2007
Economic Resources
Government benefits, taxes and household income…on household type
Women's incomes…change over time
Real net national disposable incomeper person(a)
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 200728000
30000
32000
34000
36000
38000
40000
Financial year ending 30 June
$
(a) Chain volume measure, reference year 2005-06
Source: Australian System of National Accounts
Household income
1997 1998 2000 2001 2003 2004 2006200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
Low income
Middle income
High income
Year
$
Mean weekly equivalised household income by income groups
Source: ABS Survey of Income and Housing
Household income:States and Territories 2005–06
Qld
NSW
Vic
SA
WA
Tas
NT
ACT
200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900
$
Source: ABS Survey of Income and Housing
Mean weekly equivalised household income
Government taxes and benefits ...redistribute economic resources from people with higher
private incomes to those with lower private incomes
Final income = Private income + Govt cash benefits – income tax + social transfers in
kind – taxes on production
Private income: all forms of income except govt cash benefits.
Govt cash benefits: mainly pensions & allowances, family payments, baby bonus, rent assistance etc.
Social transfers in kind: include the value of goods & services provided or subsidised by govt. e.g. schooling, Medicare services, child care.
Taxes on production: intermediate taxes that producers pay in process of production and are passed on to consumers + GST and excise
From private to final income 2003–04(a)
Lowest Second Third Fourth Highest0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
Private income
Gross income
Disposable income
Final income
Equivalised private income quantiles
$
(a) Average weekly value
Source: Government Benefits, Taxes and Household Income, Australia, 2003–04
Net effect of taxes and benefits on the household income of selected life course groups 2003–04(a)
Lone person <35
Couples only, ref person <35
Couple with dep children (eldest 0-4)
Couple with dep children (eldest 5-14)
Couple with dep children (eldest 15-24)
Couple with dependent & non-dep children
Couple with non-dep children
Couple only, ref person 55-64
Couple only, ref person 65+
Lone person 65+
All households
-500 -400 -300 -200 -100 0 100 200 300 400 500
$
(a) Average weekly value
Source: Government Benefits, Taxes and Household Income, Australia, 2003-04
Proportion of men and women in gross personal income quintiles 1982
Lowest Second Third Fourth Highest0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Women
Men
Income quintile
%
Source: Surveys of Income and Housing
Lowest Second Third Fourth Highest0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Women
Men
Income quintile
%
Source: Surveys of Income and Housing
Proportion of men and women in gross personal income quintiles 1995–96
Lowest Second Third Fourth Highest0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Women
Men
Income quintile
%
Source: Surveys of Income and Housing
Proportion of men and women in gross personal income quintiles 2005–06
Housing
Renter Households…renting versus home ownership
First home buyers…rising cost of home loans
Proportion of households renting1995-96 to 2005-06
1995-96 1996-97 1997-98 1998-99 1999-00 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-08 2005-060
5
10
15
20
25
30
Total renters(a)
Private renters
State/territory housing authority
Year
%
(a) Includes households renting from other landlords
Source: ABS Surveys of Income and Housing
Proportion of households renting1995–96 and 2005–06
1995–96 2005–060
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Private landlord
State/territory housing authority
Other landlord%
Source: ABS Surveys of Income and Housing
Queensland
Proportion of households renting 2005–06
Source: ABS Surveys of Income and Housing
Capital City and Balance of State, Queensland
Capital City Balance of State0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Private landlord
State/territory housing authority
Other landlord%
Mean weekly housing costs anddisposable household income after housing costs
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 20060
200
400
600
800
1000
1200 PRIVATE RENTER
Weekly housing costs
Weekly disposable income after housing costs
Financial year ended
$
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 20060
200
400
600
800
1000
1200 OWNER WITH A MORTGAGE
Weekly housing costs
Weekly disposable income after housing costs
Financial year ended
$
Source: ABS Surveys of Income and Housing
First home buyers
During the year to March 2008 there were 135,000 housing finance commitments to first home buyers...
...equivalent to 6.4 commitments per 1,000 people
Between 1991 and 2008 average home loan commitments to first home buyers increased...
... from $96,100 to $215,000
Annual housing finance commitments to first home buyers
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 20084
5
6
7
8
rate
pe
r 1
,00
0 p
op
ula
tion
Year ending March
(a) From significant lenders for owner occupation, excluding alterations and additions.
Source: Housing Finance Australia, Australia, April 2008, Australian Demographic Statistics, December Quarter 2007
Period in which FHBs were eligible for the additional grant on top of
FHOG (March 01 to June 02)
Introduction of the FHOG(July 2000)
Average real housing loancommitment to first home buyers
$100
$120
$140
$160
$180
$200
$220
$240
Sep-95 Sep-97 Sep-99 Sep-01 Sep-03 Sep-05 Sep-07
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
average hous ing loancom m itm ent (LHS)
s tandard variable interes t rate(RHS)
Source: ABS Housing finance, Australia, RBA Bulletin Statistical Tables
000s
Real change in the size of anaverage housing loan(a) to a first home buyer
Qld
NSW
Vic
SA
WA
Tas
NT
ACT
0 50 100 150 200 250
March 2008
July 1991
$'000
(a) From significant lenders for owner occupation, excluding alterations and additions
Source: Housing Finance, Australia, April 2008; Consumer Price Index, Australia, March Quarter 2008
Other Areas of Social Concern
Internet access at home…increase in Internet connections
Public transport use…over time
… in Australian cities
Proportion of Australianhouseholds with access to the Internet
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 20070
10
20
30
40
50
60
70 Qld
Aus
Year
%
Source: Household Use of Information Technology, Australia
Proportion of Australianhouseholds with access to the Internet
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 20070
10
20
30
40
50
60
70 Qld
NSW
Vic
SA
Tas
Year
%
Source: Household Use of Information Technology, Australia
Proportion of households with dial-up or Broadband Internet connection
2004-05 2005-06 2006-070
10
20
30
40
50
Broadband connection
Dial-up connection
Year
%
Source: Household Use of Information Technology, Australia, 2006-07
Internet access:States and Territories 2006
Qld. Vic NSW SA WA Tas NT ACT0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80Broadband
Other Internet
%
Source: ABS 2006 Census of Population and Housing
Internet use by education and income 2006
Source: 2006 Census of Population and Housing
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q50
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1 No qual
2 Certificate
3 Diploma
4 Bachelor +
%
Household income quintile
Proportion of passenger-kms travelled bymotorised vehicle type: capital cities – 1945 to 2007
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Public transport
Other motor vehicles
Year
%
Source: Bureau of Transport and Regional Economics (BTRE), 2007, Estimating urban traffic and congestion cost trends for Australian cities
Proportion of adults usingpublic transport for their usual trip to work or study
...percentage change between 1996 & 2006
Brisbane Melbourne Sydney Adelaide Perth Hobart Canberra Australia-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
%
Source: ABS 1996 Environment Survey and ABS 2006 Household Survey of Waste Management and Transport Use
People using public transport as main formof transport for usual trip to work or study(a) in capital cities(b)
18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55+0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40MALES
1996
2006
Age Group (Years)
%
18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55+0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40FEMALES
Age Group (Years)
%
(a) As a proportion of the total number of persons in each age group.(b) Excludes Darwin.
Source: ABS 2006 Household Survey of Waste Management and Transport Use and ABS 1996 Environment Survey
Coming soon... AST review
…frequency of release
…format
AST 2009
…unpaid housework
…superannuation
…homelessness
What have we missed?
Further information www.abs.gov.au Australian Social Trends ABS catalogue number 4102.0
Dr Paul Jelfs [email protected] Phone: (02) 6252 6690
Linda Fardell [email protected] Phone: (02) 6252 7187
