THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1%...
Transcript of THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1%...
March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL
A national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters
March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Do you feel things in the country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?
28%21% 21%
26% 26% 27% 30% 27% 28%34%
8% 9% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6%14%
9% 7%
64%70% 69%
65% 66% 66% 63%58%
64%59%
3/20/2014 8/28/2014 12/11/2014 5/7/2015 4/20/2016 9/1/2016 10/13/2016 12/1/2016 8/17/2017 3/8/2018
Right direction Unsure Wrong track
Q1
March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.
32%31% 31%29%
32%
39%
34%
24%26%27%
30%27%28%
34%
67%69%
65%66%66%63%
58%
64%
59%
26%
21%21%
28%37%37%
28%
38%
32%33%
28%
38%
36%
34%40% 41%40% 39%
70%
64%
73%
59%
54%
59%
64%63%62%
72% 75%
59%
59%
61%
57%56%57%55%
52%54%55% 56%
51%
62%
54%
67%
60%
6/1/04
8/1/04
10/1/04
3/1/05
10/1/05
2/1/06
9/1/06
7/1/09
12/1/09
4/8/10
8/1/10
9/21/10
10/21/10
5/12/11
9/1/11
11/11/11
2/12/12
5/1/12
8/12/12
9/20/12
9/27/12
10/18/12
11/5/12
12/6/12
10/31/13
1/16/14
3/14/14
8/28/14
12/11/14
5/7/15
4/20/16
9/1/16
10/13/16
12/1/16
8/17/17
3/8/18
Right Direction Wrong Track Unsure
Do you feel things in the country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?
Q1
March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Thinking now about the elections for Congress that will be held in November 2018…If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for…
the Republican candidate or the Democrat candidate, in your district?
38%
18%
44%40%
12%
49%
Republican Undecided Democrat
8/17/2017 3/8/2018
Q2
March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
How would you rate the job Donald Trump has been doing as President? Do you approve or disapprove of the job he is doing?
43%
4%
54%
42%
4%
55%
Approve Unsure Disapprove
8/17/2017 3/8/2018
Q3
March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Do you agree or disagree with the following statement –“Even though I approve of the job that Donald Trump is doing as President, I have some real
questions about his agenda or his style of leadership.”(If values 1-2 in Q3, Asked of N= 420 Respondents, or 41.5% of Sample)
37%
5%
59%
Agree Unsure Disagree
Q3-1
March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Do you agree or disagree with the following statement –“Even though I may not approve of the job that Donald Trump is doing as President, I do like
some of his policies and some of the actions he has taken.”(If values 3-5 in Q3, Asked of N= 591 Respondents, or 58.5% of Sample)
21%
3%
75%
Agree Unsure Disagree
Q3-2
March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
I am going to read you a list of issues. For each one, please tell me if you approve or disapprove of the job that Donald Trump has been doing on this issue.
The economy
50%
51%
6%
4%
44%
45%
8/17/2017
3/8/2018
Approve Unsure Disapprove
Q4
March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
I am going to read you a list of issues. For each one, please tell me if you approve or disapprove of the job that Donald Trump has been doing on this issue.
Foreign affairs
41%
38%
6%
5%
53%
56%
8/17/2017
3/8/2018
Approve Unsure Disapprove
Q5
March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
I am going to read you a list of issues. For each one, please tell me if you approve or disapprove of the job that Donald Trump has been doing on this issue.
Dealing with North Korea
44%
41%
5%
6%
51%
53%
8/17/2017
3/8/2018
Approve Unsure Disapprove
Q6
March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
I am going to read you a list of issues. For each one, please tell me if you approve or disapprove of the job that Donald Trump has been doing on this issue.
47%
52%
38%
5%
7%
6%
48%
41%
57%
Taxes
Jobs
Dealing with Congress
Approve Unsure Disapprove
Q7-9
March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
I am going to read you a list of issues. For each one, please tell me if you approve or disapprove of the job that Donald Trump has been doing on this issue.
42%
38%
48%
39%
2%
6%
5%
6%
56%
56%
48%
55%
Immigration
Health care
National security
Dealing with gun violence
Approve Unsure Disapprove
Q10-13
March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Would you say that you have a favorable or unfavorable impression about Congress as a whole?
17%
5%
78%
Favorable Unsure Unfavorable
Q14
March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Do you approve or disapprove of the job that your Member of Congress is doing?
42%
13%
46%50%
13%
37%
Approve Unsure Disapprove8/17/2017 3/8/2018
Q15
March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Do you think your Member of Congress has been too supportive of President Donald Trump or not supportive enough of President Trump, or just about right?
20%
33% 31%
16%20%
26%
41%
14%
Too supportive Not supportive enough Just about right Unsure
8/17/2017 3/8/2018Q16
March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Now, I am going to mention several stories that have been in the news over the past few months. For each one, please tell me if you have been following this story closely,
somewhat, a little, or not at all.
47%
56%
37%
72%
31%
32%
38%
22%
10%
7%
10%
4%
13%
5%
15%
2%
1%
1%
The ongoing discussions about discrimination andharassment of women in the workplace.
Efforts by Congress to reform our immigration system, including how to deal with “dreamers”, illegal immigrants
who were brought to America as minors.
The opioid epidemic
The school shooting at a high school in Parkland, Florida.
Closely Somewhat A little Not at all Unsure
Q17-20
March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Now, I am going to mention several stories that have been in the news over the past few months. For each one, please tell me if you have been following this story closely,
somewhat, a little, or not at all.
53%
50%
51%
35%
29%
31%
7%
10%
9%
5%
11%
8% 1%
The conflict with North Korea over their attempts todevelop nuclear weapons.
The ongoing investigation by the FBI and a special counselinto Russian attempts to influence the outcome of the 2016
Presidential election.
The tax reform law passed in December 2017.
Closely Somewhat A little Not at all Unsure
Q21-23
March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Thinking a bit more about the tax reform law passed in December 2017…Would you say that you favor or oppose this law?
45%
12%
44%
Favor Unsure Oppose
Q24
March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
As you may know, there is currently a special counsel investigating allegations that Russia attempted to influence the 2016 Presidential election and allegations that members of the Trump campaign were involved in this effort. Based on what you know about these allegations, which of
these statements best describes your view:
31%
21%
37%
39%
16%
34%
Members of the Trump campaign committed crimes and actively
assisted Russia’s efforts
Members of the Trump campaignbehaved unethically but did not
commit any crimes
Members of the Trump campaignbehaved just as any campaign
staffer would
8/17/2017 3/8/2018Q25
March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
How important would you say the findings from this investigation of Russian influence in the 2016 Presidential election will be to your vote decisions in 2018? Would you say that this issue
is extremely, very, somewhat, or not at all important to your 2018 vote decisions?
27%
13%
17%
41%
Extremely important
Very important
Somewhat important
Not at all important
Q26
March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Now, I would like to read you a list of statements that some people made about the US economy. Please listen carefully as I read each statement and tell me if you would agree or disagree with
that particular statement.
66%
37%
68%
72%
2%
7%
2%
4%
32%
56%
30%
24%
In America, anyone can get ahead if they work hardenough.
I think the next generation will be better offeconomically than I am now.
Our economy makes it too tough for the middle classto make ends meet.
I am optimistic about where I will be financially fiveyears from now.
Agree Unsure Disagree
Q27-30
March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Now, I would like to read you a list of statements that some people made about the US economy. Please listen carefully as I read each statement and tell me if you would agree or disagree with that
particular statement.
39%
72%
37%
50%
3%
5%
5%
6%
58%
23%
59%
44%
I think Congress and the President are working toimprove my financial situation.
Most of the time, elected officials get in the way ofeconomic growth
Federal policies are helping to improve my financialsituation.
The next generation will have more opportunities inlife that I had.
Agree Unsure Disagree
Q31-34
March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Journalists sometimes talk about red states and blue states. When they do this, do you think they mean:
6%
73%
19%
Red states elect Democrats Red states elect Republicans Unsure
Q35
March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.
Over the past few months, many public figures have said or done very offensive things. Do you think that:
Our society has changed and this is just how things are now, OR This is a temporary change and our society will again no longer tolerate these behaviors.
36%
49%
6% 9%
Society has changed/howthings are now
Temporary change Both/neither Unsure
Q36