THE DOMESTIC MARKET. US POPULATION FACTORS THAT INFLUENCE DOMESTIC DEMAND A LOOK AT LIVESTOCK...

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THE DOMESTIC MARKET

Transcript of THE DOMESTIC MARKET. US POPULATION FACTORS THAT INFLUENCE DOMESTIC DEMAND A LOOK AT LIVESTOCK...

Page 1: THE DOMESTIC MARKET. US POPULATION FACTORS THAT INFLUENCE DOMESTIC DEMAND A LOOK AT LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS.

THE DOMESTIC MARKET

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US POPULATION

United States Population

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

300.0

350.0

Year

Mil

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FACTORS THAT INFLUENCE DOMESTIC DEMAND

A LOOK AT LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS

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Shifts in ConsumptionShifts in Consumptionfor Meatfor Meat

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WHAT HAS IMPACTED U.S. MEAT CONSUMPTION

CONSUMER TASTES AND PREFERENCES

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WHAT HAS IMPACTED U.S. MEAT CONSUMPTION

CONSUMER TASTES AND PREFERENCES

–HEALTH (LOW FAT POULTRY)

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WHAT HAS IMPACTED U.S. MEAT CONSUMPTION

CONSUMER TASTES AND PREFERENCES

–HEALTH (LOW FAT POULTRY)DEMOGRAPHICS

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WHAT HAS IMPACTED U.S. MEAT CONSUMPTION

CONSUMER TASTES AND PREFERENCES

–HEALTH (LOW FAT POULTRY)DEMOGRAPHICS

–AGE

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WHAT HAS IMPACTED U.S. MEAT CONSUMPTION

CONSUMER TASTES AND PREFERENCES

–HEALTH (LOW FAT POULTRY)DEMOGRAPHICS

–AGE–RACE AND ETHNIC BACKGROUND

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“However, dietary choices of people of various ethnic groups living in the United States continue to be influenced by the traditional food practices and/or religious customs. For example, many Asian Americans still eat a diet similar to traditional Asian diets, which include large amounts of rice accompanied by vegetables, soy products, fish and meat. Many Hispanic Americans continue to eat a diet based primarily on beans, rice, and corn tortillas, seasoned with chili peppers and accompanied by beef, pork and chicken and small amounts of dairy products.”

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WHAT HAS IMPACTED U.S. MEAT CONSUMPTION

CONSUMER TASTES AND PREFERENCES

–HEALTH (LOW FAT POULTRY)DEMOGRAPHICS

–AGE–RACE AND ETHNIC BACKGROUND–CHANGE IN HOUSEHOLD STRUCTURE

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WHAT HAS IMPACTED U.S. MEAT CONSUMPTION

CONSUMER TASTES AND PREFERENCES

–HEALTH (LOW FAT POULTRY)DEMOGRAPHICS

–AGE–RACE AND ETHNIC BACKGROUND–CHANGE IN HOUSEHOLD STRUCTURE–INCOME SHIFTS

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WHAT HAS IMPACTED U.S. MEAT CONSUMPTION

CONSUMER TASTES AND PREFERENCES

–HEALTH (LOW FAT POULTRY)DEMOGRAPHICS

–AGE–RACE AND ETHNIC BACKGROUND–CHANGE IN HOUSEHOLD STRUCTURE–INCOME SHIFTS–NEED FOR CONVENIENCE

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The Demand for a Product

the Law of Demand

as prices go up -- quantity demanded goes down (all other things remaining unchanged)

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Demand Schedule

Price Quantity$1.00 1000$2.00 900$3.00 800$4.00 700

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Demand Curve

price

quantity

a

b

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Why downward sloping?

Physical SatiationSubstitution effectIncome effect

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ELASTICITY OF DEMAND

THE RESPONSIVENESS CONSUMERS ARE TO A

CHANGE IN PRICE

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ELASTICITY OF DEMAND

% CHANGE IN QUANTITY DEMANDED

/% CHANGE IN PRICE

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• ELASTICITY OF DEMAND

IN THE CASE OF THE PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND THIS IS A NEGATIVE NUMBER

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ELASTICITY OF DEMAND

ELASTIC VS INELASTIC

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ELASTICITY OF DEMANDPRICE

QUANTITY

DEMAND

VERY INELASTIC

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ELASTICITY OF DEMANDPRICE

QUANTITY

DEMAND

ELASTIC

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ELASTICITY OF DEMAND

NECESSITY VS NON-NECESSITY

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NECESSITY VS NON-NECESSITY

% OF INCOME SPENT ON A GOOD

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ELASTICITY OF DEMAND

HOW NARROWLY THE PRODUCT IS DEFINED

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Equilibrium

price

quantity

demand

supply

p

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DEMAND SHIFTERS

PRICE

QUANTITY

S

D1D2

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DEMAND SHIFTERS

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DEMAND SHIFTERS

SHIFTS IN POPULATION

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DEMAND SHIFTERS

SHIFTS IN POPULATION SHIFTS IN INCOME

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INCOME AND CHANGES IN CONSUMPTION --- CAN BE POSITIVE (A NORMAL GOOD) OR NEGATIVE (INFERIOR GOOD)

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A NORMAL GOOD:

INCOME GOES UP --- CONSUMPTION INCREASES

INCOME GOES DOWN -- CONSUMPTION GOES DOWN

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INFERIOR GOOD :

INCOME GOES UP -- CONSUMPTION DECLINES

INCOME GOES DOWN -- CONSUMPTION INCREASES

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Income Elasticity

% Change in Expenditure/

% Change in Income

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Income Elasticity

Can be negative (inferior) or positive (normal)

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DEMAND SHIFTERS

SHIFTS IN POPULATION SHIFTS IN INCOME SHIFTS IN THE PRICE OF COMPETING PRODUCTS

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GOODS MAY BE SUBSTITUTES OR COMPLEMENTARY OR INDEPENDENT

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SUBSTITUTE GOODS WOULD BE LIKE COFFEE AND TEA

IF THE PRICE OF COFFEE INCREASES THE DEMAND FOR TEA WOULD SHIFT OUT.

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COMPLEMENTARY GOODS ARE GOODS THAT ARE CONSUMED TOGETHER -- LIKE BACON AND EGGS.

IF THE PRICE OF BACON INCREASES THE DEMAND FOR EGGS MAY SHIFT INWARDS.

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INDEPENDENT GOODS HAVE NO APPARENT RELATIONSHIP. A PRICE CHANGE IN ONE HAS NO IMPACT ON THE DEMAND FOR THE OTHER.

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Cross Price Elasticity

% Change in Consumption of Good B

/% Change in Price of Good A

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Cross Price Elasticity

Can be positive or negative.

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Cross Price Elasticity

A positive elasticity would indicate a substitute relationship.

Price of Beef

Quantity of Pork

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Cross Price Elasticity

A negative elasticity would indicate a complementary

relationship.

Price of Bacon

Quantity of Eggs

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DEMAND SHIFTERS

SHIFTS IN POPULATION SHIFTS IN INCOME SHIFTS IN THE PRICE OF COMPETING PRODUCTS

SHIFTS IN CONSUMER TASTES AND PREFERENCES

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A FROST IN FLORIDA AND THE PRICE OF ORANGE JUICE GOES UP -- DEMAND FOR ORANGE JUICE?

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price

quantity

S

D1

p1

p2

PRICE OF ORANGE JUICE GOES UP -- DEMAND FOR ORANGE JUICE?

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MAD COW DISEASE OUT BREAK IN THE UNITED STATES -- DEMAND FOR BEEF?

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price

quantity

S

D1

D2

p1

p2

MAD COW DISEASE OUT BREAK IN THE UNITED STATES -- DEMAND FOR BEEF?

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MAD COW DISEASE OUT BREAK IN THE UNITED STATES -- DEMAND FOR CHICKEN?

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price

quantity

S

D1

D2

p1

p2

MAD COW DISEASE OUT BREAK IN THE UNITED STATES -- DEMAND FOR CHICKEN?

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price

quantity

S

D1

D2

p1

p2

MAD COW DISEASE OUT BREAK IN THE UNITED STATES -- DEMAND FOR CHICKEN?

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HIGHER UNEMPLOYMENT ... POSSIBLE RECESSION -- DEMAND FOR BEEF?

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price

quantity

S

D1

D2

p1

p2

HIGHER UNEMPLOYMENT ... POSSIBLE RECESSION -- DEMAND FOR BEEF?

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RED WINE FOUND TO REDUCE CANCER RISK -- DEMAND FOR WINE?

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price

quantity

S

D1

D2

p1

p2

RED WINE FOUND TO REDUCE CANCER RISK -- DEMAND FOR WINE?

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PRICE OF CHICKEN DECREASES -- DEMAND FOR PORK?

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price

quantity

S

D1

D2

p1

p2

PRICE OF CHICKEN DECREASES -- DEMAND FOR PORK?

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Where we eat our food.Total Expenditures

on Food

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 1997

Year

Bil

lio

n $

At Home

Away from Home

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