The Connected Consumer Survey 2015: OTT communication …The Connected Consumer Survey 2015: OTT...
Transcript of The Connected Consumer Survey 2015: OTT communication …The Connected Consumer Survey 2015: OTT...
© Analysys Mason Limited 2015
The Connected Consumer Survey 2015: OTT communication services
Research Report
The Connected Consumer Survey 2015:
OTT communication services
April 2015
Patrick Rusby and Stephen Sale
© Analysys Mason Limited 2015
The Connected Consumer Survey 2015: OTT communication services
About this report
This report focuses on aspects of Analysys Mason’s annual
Connected Consumer Survey that relate to the behaviour and
plans of over-the-top (OTT) communication service users in
France, Germany, Indonesia, Malaysia, Morocco, Poland,
Qatar, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain,
Turkey, UAE, the UK and the USA. The survey was
conducted in association with Survey Sampling International
(SSI) and On Device Research.
The research was conducted in July and August 2014. The
survey groups in Europe and the USA were chosen to be
demographically representative of the broader online consumer
population, and those in Asia–Pacific and the Middle East and
Africa (MEA) were chosen to be representative of the mobile-
Internet-using population. We set quotas on age, gender and
employment status to that effect. There were a minimum of
1000 respondents per country, and 22 174 respondents.
This report focuses on several issues that are critical to the
strategy of mobile operators in 2015, including:
penetration of OTT communications apps, including OTT
messaging, VoIP and video calling apps
the market demographics for OTT messaging adoption, and
the impact of these services on operators’ SMS services
use cases for, and barriers to adoption of, VoIP and video
calling services.
2
Figure 1: Geographical coverage of our Connected Consumer Survey 2015
[Source: Analysys Mason, 2015]
USA
UK
Spain
France
Germany
Poland
Turkey
Morocco
Saudi
Arabia
UAE
South
Africa
South
Korea
Malaysia
Indonesia
Qatar
Online survey
(Survey Sampling International)
Browser-based mobile survey
(On Device Research)
© Analysys Mason Limited 2015
The Connected Consumer Survey 2015: OTT communication services
Contents
6. Executive summary
7. Messaging was the most widely used OTT communication service on
handsets, and video calling apps were used more than VoIP
8. OTT messaging penetration and SMS usage are highest among
younger age groups in Europe and the USA
9. Overseas workers in the Middle East continue to use Skype to call
home, but newer apps are challenging its position as the market leader
10. Recommendations
11. Recommendations
12. Penetration of communication apps
13. Messaging was the most widely used OTT communication service on
handsets, and video calling apps were used more than VoIP
14. Asia–Pacific: The market is fragmented so no service dominates, and
competition is intense in Indonesia and Malaysia
15. Europe and the USA: Turkey has joined Germany and Spain as good
markets for WhatsApp Messenger, and Skype remains strong
elsewhere
16. Middle East and Africa: VoIP and video calling were more prevalent than
in other regions, largely because of expatriate communities in Qatar and
UAE
17. OTT messaging and SMS substitution
18. The 25–34 age group typically had the highest penetration of OTT
messaging apps – particularly in Germany and Spain
3
19. The ‘messaging giants’ in Europe and the USA appeal across age
groups and platforms, but a long tail of services is catering to niche
segments
20. OTT messaging penetration and SMS usage are highest among
younger age groups in Europe and the USA
21. A lack of universal reach limits the ability of OTT apps to fully replace
SMS, but substitution is advanced in several countries nevertheless
22. Unlimited SMS message allowances may have restricted OTT
messaging penetration in some countries, but SMS volumes are
decreasing overall
23. Many operators in Asia–Pacific have chosen to partner with OTT
players instead of competing directly in the messaging market
24. VoIP and video calling services
25. VoIP is strongest in the Middle East where the service is most widely
used by older respondents
26. Overseas workers in the Middle East continue to use Skype to call
home, but newer apps are challenging its position as the market leader
27. In countries that do not have large communities of immigrants, VoIP is
not providing a compelling reason to convert usage from voice minutes
28. Video calling was more widely used than VoIP in most markets,
suggesting that users are looking for more than just price advantage
29. Methodology and panel information
30. Methodology
31. Panel information: France and Germany
Slide no. Slide no.
© Analysys Mason Limited 2015
The Connected Consumer Survey 2015: OTT communication services 4
Contents
32. Panel information: Indonesia and Malaysia
33. Panel information: Morocco and Poland
34. Panel information: Qatar and Saudi Arabia
35. Panel information: South Africa and South Korea
36. Panel information: Spain and Turkey
37. Panel information: UAE and UK
38. Panel information: USA
39. About the authors and Analysys Mason
40. About the authors
41. About Analysys Mason
42. Research from Analysys Mason
43. Consulting from Analysys Mason
Slide no.
© Analysys Mason Limited 2015
The Connected Consumer Survey 2015: OTT communication services
List of figures
Figure 1: Geographical coverage of our Connected Consumer Survey 2015
Figure 2: OTT communication app usage on smartphones, by category,
country and region
Figure 3: SMS usage and OTT messaging app penetration by age group,
Europe and the USA
Figure 4: Penetration of Skype among handset owners by nationality and
country, Middle East and Africa
Figure 5: Penetration of VoIP apps, Middle East and Africa
Figure 6: OTT communication app usage on smartphones, by category,
country and region
Figure 7: Penetration of OTT communication apps on handsets, Asia–
Pacific
Figure 8: Penetration of VoIP and OTT messaging apps by country,
Asia–Pacific
Figure 9: Penetration of OTT communication apps among smartphone
users, Europe and the USA
Figure 10: Penetration of VoIP and OTT messaging apps by country, Europe
and the USA
Figure 11: Penetration of OTT communication apps on handsets, Middle
East and Africa
Figure 12: Penetration of VoIP and OTT messaging apps by country, Middle-
East and Africa
Figure 13: Penetration of OTT messaging apps among smartphone users,
by age group and country, Europe and the USA
Figure 14: Penetration of OTT messaging apps among OTT messaging
users, Europe and the USA
5
Figure 15: Penetration of OTT messaging apps among OTT messaging
users, by age group and country
Figure 16: SMS usage and OTT messaging app penetration by age group,
Europe and the USA
Figure 17: Use of OTT messaging and SMS by smartphone owners, by
country and region
Figure 18: SMS message allowance per month, by country, Europe and the
USA
Figure 19: SMS volume sent per subscriber, by country, Europe, 3Q 2012–
3Q 2014
Figure 20: Operator partnerships with OTT players by region, November
2014
Figure 21: Penetration of VoIP apps among handset users, by country and
age group, Europe and the USA
Figure 22: Penetration of VoIP apps among mobile Internet users by country
and age group, Asia–Pacific and Middle East and Africa
Figure 23: Penetration of Skype among handset owners by nationality and
country, Middle East and Africa
Figure 24: Penetration of VoIP apps among handset owners, Middle East
and Africa
Figure 25: Reasons stated by tablet and PC VoIP service users for not using
VoIP services on handsets, 2012 and 2014, Europe and the USA
Figure 26: Penetration of VoIP and video-calling services by country and
region
© Analysys Mason Limited 2015
The Connected Consumer Survey 2015: OTT communication services
Asia–Pacific Europe
and the USA
Middle East
and Africa
Messaging was the most widely used OTT communication service on
handsets, and video calling apps were used more than VoIP
Penetration of OTT messaging (IP or social messaging),
voice and video calling services varies significantly by
country.1 OTT messaging was the most commonly adopted
category of OTT service, because it offers an improved user
experience compared with SMS, at zero or minimal cost.2
Penetration of VoIP on mobile handsets remains relatively
low in Europe and the USA. In contrast to messaging, VoIP
apps have not been able to offer a significantly differentiated
user experience or price advantage for domestic calling.
The Gulf Cooperation Countries (GCC) in the survey had the
highest VoIP and video communication app penetration in the
panel because the large population of workers from overseas
use these services to communicate with friends and family in
their home countries.
In Malaysia and Indonesia, fragmentation between services
was significant. Five services have more than 20% penetration
of respondents in Malaysia, and six in Indonesia. In South
Korea, only KakaoTalk fits this description.2
7
Figure 2: OTT communication app usage on smartphones, by category,
country and region [Source: Analysys Mason, 2015]
1 The respondent panels in Asia–Pacific and MEA are representative of mobile Internet users,
who are more likely to be smartphone owners and to use these services than the general
population. In these regions, smartphone owners tend to be early adopters, and therefore
penetration of services may appear higher than in more mature markets worldwide.
2 Social messaging apps are those that fall between social networks (such as Facebook) and
pure messaging apps (such as WhatsApp Messenger). Examples include Instagram and LINE. Question: “Which of the following services do you use on your handset?”; n = 15 072.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Ind
one
sia
Ma
laysia
Sou
th K
ore
a
Fra
nce
Germ
any
Pola
nd
Spa
in
Tu
rke
y
UK
US
A
Mo
rocco
Qata
r
Sau
di A
rab
ia
South
Afr
ica
UA
E
Pe
rce
nta
ge
of
resp
on
de
nts
OTT messaging VoIP Video
© Analysys Mason Limited 2015
The Connected Consumer Survey 2015: OTT communication services
OTT messaging penetration and SMS usage are highest among younger
age groups in Europe and the USA
OTT messaging penetration is highest among younger age
groups and these respondents are typically heavy users of
SMS. OTT messaging services often encourage users to
send more messages because the apps facilitate chat-style
conversations, and are free.
In Europe and the USA, Facebook Messenger, Skype and
WhatsApp Messenger, the three dominant apps, were each
used by over 30% of OTT messaging users in these regions.
The market is characterised by a long tail of niche apps that
appeal to specific groups, often based on age, and often
within a specific country – for example, Kik in the USA and
Snapchat in the UK.
Respondents in most countries in Asia–Pacific and MEA
used a combination of OTT messaging and traditional SMS
for messaging on their handset. In Europe and the USA, 63%
of respondents with smartphones did not use OTT
messaging services.
The example of Turkey shows that high usage levels of SMS
do not protect against OTT substitution. Operators need to
use pricing levers to more-effectively manage the decline of
SMS. They should also consider improving the user
experience of their communication services to remain
competitive.
8
38%41%
36%
23%
15%
8%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
18–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–64 65+
Pe
rce
nta
ge
of
resp
on
de
nts
Age group
Figure 3: SMS usage and OTT messaging app penetration by age group,
Europe and the USA [Source: Analysys Mason, 2015]
Questions: “How many text messages (SMS and MMS in total) do you send per month?”; n =
7052; and “Which of the following services do you use on your handset?”; n = 7052.
<100 100–249 250–499 500–999 >1000
Number of SMS/MMS messages per month:
Penetration of OTT messaging apps
© Analysys Mason Limited 2015
The Connected Consumer Survey 2015: OTT communication services 39
Executive summary
Recommendations
Penetration of communication apps
OTT messaging and SMS substitution
VoIP and video calling services
Methodology and panel information
About the authors and Analysys Mason
© Analysys Mason Limited 2015
The Connected Consumer Survey 2015: OTT communication services
About the authors
Patrick Rusby (Analyst) is the lead analyst for Analysys Mason’s SME Strategies research programme, and
contributes to the Mobile Services programme within the Consumer research practice. Patrick’s areas of
specialisation for SME strategies are SME technology trends and adoption, enterprise mobility, SaaS and IaaS
services for SMEs and unified communications. Within Mobile Services, Patrick is focused on the MVNO market
and churn-reduction strategies for operators. Patrick was previously a Research Manager for Knowledge Peers, a
peer learning platform helping SME CxOs share best practice in finance, technology and telecoms. He holds a
Master’s degree in Contemporary British Politics from Goldsmiths College, University of London.
Stephen Sale (Principal Analyst) is the lead analyst for Analysys Mason’s Mobile Services and Next-Generation
Services research programmes. His primary areas of specialisation include next-generation communication
services, over-the-top (OTT) player strategies and mobile pricing. He also has extensive experience in analysing
mobile operator strategies and forecasting mobile service markets. Before joining Analysys Mason in 2004, Stephen
worked in the industry on areas that include VoIP, next-generation service architecture and broadband access. He
has a degree in economics and an interdisciplinary MRes from the University of London.
40
© Analysys Mason Limited 2015
The Connected Consumer Survey 2015: OTT communication services
About Analysys Mason
Knowing what’s going on is one thing. Understanding how to take advantage of events is quite another. Our ability to understand the
complex workings of telecoms, media and technology (TMT) industries and draw practical conclusions, based on the specialist
knowledge of our people, is what sets Analysys Mason apart. We deliver our key services via two channels: consulting and research.
41
Consulting
Our focus is exclusively on TMT.
We support multi-billion dollar investments, advise clients on
regulatory matters, provide spectrum valuation and auction support,
and advise on operational performance, business planning and strategy.
We have developed rigorous methodologies that deliver tangible
results for clients around the world.
For more information, please visit www.analysysmason.com/consulting.
Research
We analyse, track and forecast the different services accessed by
consumers and enterprises, as well as the software, infrastructure
and technology delivering those services.
Research clients benefit from regular and timely intelligence in
addition to direct access to our team of expert analysts.
Our dedicated Custom Research team undertakes specialised and
bespoke projects for clients.
For more information, please visit www.analysysmason.com/research.
Consumer services
Enterprise and M2M
Regional markets
Network technologies
Telecoms software
Strategy and planning
Transaction support
Performance improvement
Regulation and policy
© Analysys Mason Limited 2015
The Connected Consumer Survey 2015: OTT communication services
Research from Analysys Mason
We provide dedicated coverage of developments in the telecoms, media and technology (TMT) sectors,
through a range of research programmes that focus on different services and regions of the world.
42
Alongside our standardised suite of research programmes, our Custom Research team undertakes specialised, bespoke research
projects for clients. The dedicated team offers tailored investigations and answers complex questions on markets, competitors and
services with customised industry intelligence and insights.
To find out more, please visit www.analysysmason.com/research.
NETWORK
TECHNOLOGIES
Spectrum Fixed Networks Wireless Networks
PRACTICES PROGRAMMES
CONSUMER
SERVICES
ENTERPRISE
AND M2M IoT and M2M Solutions SME Strategies
TELECOMS
SOFTWARE
STRATEGIES
DATA PROGRAMMES APPLICATION PROGRAMMES
Telecoms Software Forecasts
Service Assurance Telecoms Software Market Shares
Revenue Management
Infrastructure Solutions Service Fulfilment Service Delivery Platforms
Customer Care
MEA APAC REGIONAL
MARKETS
EUROPE
European Core Forecasts
Telecoms Market Matrix
European Country Reports
The Middle East and Africa
Asia–Pacific Global Telecoms Forecasts
TELECOMS
SOFTWARE
MARKETS
Customer Experience Management Software Strategies
Digital Economy Software Strategies
Analytics Software Strategies
Software-Controlled Networking
CSP IT Strategies
Mobile Services Mobile Devices Fixed Broadband and Multi-Play
Next-Generation Services
Digital Economy
© Analysys Mason Limited 2015
The Connected Consumer Survey 2015: OTT communication services
Consulting from Analysys Mason
For 30 years, our consultants have been
bringing the benefits of applied intelligence
to enable clients around the world to make
the most of their opportunities.
43
Our clients in the telecoms, media and technology (TMT)
sectors operate in dynamic markets where change is
constant. We help shape their understanding of the future
so they can thrive in these demanding conditions. To do
that, we have developed rigorous methodologies that
deliver real results for clients around the world.
Our focus is exclusively on TMT. We advise clients on
regulatory matters, help shape spectrum policy and develop
spectrum strategy, support multi-billion dollar investments,
advise on operational performance and develop new
business strategies. Such projects result in a depth of
knowledge and a range of expertise that sets us apart.
We help clients solve their most pressing problems,
enabling them to go farther, faster and achieve their
commercial objectives.
To find out more, please visit
www.analysysmason.com/consulting.
EXPERTISE AREA
T R A N SA C T I O N SUP P O R T
R EG UL A T I O N
SP EC T R U M P O L I C Y A N D A UC T I O N SUP P O R T
P ER FO R MA N C E I MP R O VEME N T
ST R A T EG Y A N D P L A N N I N G
Technical due
diligence
Commercial due
diligence
Regulatory due
diligence
Net cost of universal service
Margin squeeze tests
Regulatory economic costing
Policy development
and response
Expert legal support Postal sector costing,
pricing and regulation Media regulation
Analysing regulatory
accounts
Radio spectrum auction support Radio spectrum management
Performance analysis Technology optimisation
Commercial excellence Transformation services
Market analysis Market research
Market sizing
and forecasting
National and regional broadband strategy and implementation
Benchmarking
and best practice
Business strategy
and planning
© Analysys Mason Limited 2015
The Connected Consumer Survey 2015: OTT communication services
Published by Analysys Mason Limited • Bush House • North West Wing • Aldwych • London • WC2B 4PJ • UK
Tel: +44 (0)20 7395 9000 • Fax: +44 (0)20 7395 9001 • Email: [email protected] • www.analysysmason.com/research • Registered in England No. 5177472
© Analysys Mason Limited 2015. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means – electronic, mechanical,
photocopying, recording or otherwise – without the prior written permission of the publisher.
Figures and projections contained in this report are based on publicly available information only and are produced by the Research Division of Analysys Mason Limited independently of any client-
specific work within Analysys Mason Limited. The opinions expressed are those of the stated authors only.
Analysys Mason Limited recognises that many terms appearing in this report are proprietary; all such trademarks are acknowledged and every effort has been made to indicate them by the normal UK
publishing practice of capitalisation. However, the presence of a term, in whatever form, does not affect its legal status as a trademark.
Analysys Mason Limited maintains that all reasonable care and skill have been used in the compilation of this publication. However, Analysys Mason Limited shall not be under any liability for loss or
damage (including consequential loss) whatsoever or howsoever arising as a result of the use of this publication by the customer, his servants, agents or any third party.