Scottish Borders Food & Drink Directory SCOTTISH BORDERS ...
The CEDSS Model and the Scottish case study Gary Polhill and Nick Gotts 1.
-
Upload
ambrose-sharp -
Category
Documents
-
view
215 -
download
0
Transcript of The CEDSS Model and the Scottish case study Gary Polhill and Nick Gotts 1.
![Page 1: The CEDSS Model and the Scottish case study Gary Polhill and Nick Gotts 1.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022062517/56649eb35503460f94bbb232/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
1
The CEDSS Model and the Scottish case study
Gary Polhill and Nick Gotts
![Page 2: The CEDSS Model and the Scottish case study Gary Polhill and Nick Gotts 1.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022062517/56649eb35503460f94bbb232/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
2
Outline
The CEDSS model
Stakeholder Advisory Group input
Demonstration of the CEDSS model
Data sources, refining the model
Future scenarios for CEDSS
![Page 3: The CEDSS Model and the Scottish case study Gary Polhill and Nick Gotts 1.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022062517/56649eb35503460f94bbb232/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
3
The CEDSS ModelCommunity Energy Demand Social Simulator
Households located in a street-network, making decisions about buying energy-using and energy-saving appliances and equipment.
Households’ energy use, and expenditure on energy and energy-related equipment, is tracked over time.
Data for runs of the model covering the period 2000-2010 is drawn from a range of publicly-available sources, and from the first (2010) GILDED survey.
Runs covering the period 2010-2050 are in preparation.
![Page 4: The CEDSS Model and the Scottish case study Gary Polhill and Nick Gotts 1.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022062517/56649eb35503460f94bbb232/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
4
Stakeholder Advisory Group InputDemo of prototype model followed by Knowledge Elicitation Exercise:
Post-it session
Discussion of post-its
Opportunity to add new post-its
Index card sorting exercise 1: Categories that made
sense to participants
Index card sorting exercise 2: Ontological categories
predefined by us Entities Processes Relationships Attributes
“Using the picture as a guide, identify anything associated with household energy
use or household energy activities”
April 2010 SAG meeting
![Page 5: The CEDSS Model and the Scottish case study Gary Polhill and Nick Gotts 1.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022062517/56649eb35503460f94bbb232/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
5
Index Card Sorting 1
![Page 6: The CEDSS Model and the Scottish case study Gary Polhill and Nick Gotts 1.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022062517/56649eb35503460f94bbb232/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
6
Index Card Sorting 2
![Page 7: The CEDSS Model and the Scottish case study Gary Polhill and Nick Gotts 1.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022062517/56649eb35503460f94bbb232/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
7
Ontology from the index cards
![Page 8: The CEDSS Model and the Scottish case study Gary Polhill and Nick Gotts 1.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022062517/56649eb35503460f94bbb232/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
8
Ontology from another meeting in Budapest
![Page 9: The CEDSS Model and the Scottish case study Gary Polhill and Nick Gotts 1.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022062517/56649eb35503460f94bbb232/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
9
Demonstration of the CEDSS model
![Page 10: The CEDSS Model and the Scottish case study Gary Polhill and Nick Gotts 1.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022062517/56649eb35503460f94bbb232/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
10
Refining the CEDSS Model
Input dataGILDEDsurvey
ONSstatistics
DECCstatistics
SG statistics
Argoscatalogues
Etc.
Calibrationdata
Validationdata
CEDSS
Freeparameters
Results
Comparison
Comparison
![Page 11: The CEDSS Model and the Scottish case study Gary Polhill and Nick Gotts 1.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022062517/56649eb35503460f94bbb232/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
CEDSS Future Scenarios
Input data
Peer-reviewedpapers (appliancePrices, efficiency)
CEDSS
Freeparameters
Results
PolicyImplications
OECD/IEAProjections(energy savings)
EC scenarios (fuel prices)
GILDED survey(starting point)