The business case for a new process of creating high value products from nickel laterites

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The business case for a new process of creating high value products from nickel laterites James Vaughan The University of Queensland Tony Keating UniQuest Pty Ltd New Caledonia Nickel Conference 3 July 2013

Transcript of The business case for a new process of creating high value products from nickel laterites

Page 1: The business case for a new process of creating high value products from nickel laterites

The business case for a new process of creating high value products from nickel laterites James Vaughan – The University of Queensland Tony Keating – UniQuest Pty Ltd New Caledonia Nickel Conference 3 July 2013

Page 2: The business case for a new process of creating high value products from nickel laterites

Low grade nickel laterites are becoming more important

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Reserves

Sulfide

Laterite

Production

Laterite

Sulfide

Page 3: The business case for a new process of creating high value products from nickel laterites

Laterite resource owners have a number of options

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Cap

Ex /

Tec

hn

ical

Ris

k /

Co

mp

lexi

ty

High

Medium

Low

Low Medium High

Nickel and cobalt payable

HPAL + MHP (or MSP) Ravensthorpe, Ramu ($1.5B)

DSO

HPAL + SX or FeNi Murrin Murrin, Goro, Koniambo Coral Bay, Ambatovy ($5.5B)

Page 4: The business case for a new process of creating high value products from nickel laterites

Direct shipping of ore

• Relatively low value for the miner

• 15-20% of nickel value for 1.8% nickel ore

• Typically shipped to China for NPI (Indonesia, Philippines)

• NPI is a major source of primary nickel

• 30% of China’s primary nickel consumption (Hatch estimate)

• Moving towards being dependent on high grade laterite ore

• Producers prefer > 1.5% nickel grade

• Ore export is under threat in many countries

• Indonesia to potentially ban exports of raw minerals in 2014

• DRC copper concentrate export ban

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Page 5: The business case for a new process of creating high value products from nickel laterites

Producing MHP as an intermediate material

• Mixed (nickel and cobalt) hydroxide precipitate

• Upgrade of 1% nickel ore to 40% nickel MHP

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Ore

Pressure acid leach autoclaves

(HPAL)

CCD circuit for solid impurity removal

MHP precipitation

MHP

Acid, Steam

MgO

Page 6: The business case for a new process of creating high value products from nickel laterites

MHP is a low cost, marketable product

• Reduced capital requirements compared to final metal production

• Simple operation / Low technical risk

• Currently produced and sold by

• First Quantum’s Ravensthorpe (Australia) at 31,000-35,000 tpa of nickel as MHP1

• MCC’s Ramu (PNG) shipped 2,000t of nickel as MHP Q1 20132

• Under study for a number of projects

• Agata (Mindoro/TVI), SCONI (Metallica), Mambare (Regency), Dutwa (African Eagle), Kalgoorlie (Heron), Wingellina (Metals X), Gladstone (GPNL), Northmet (Polymet), Mesaba (Teck)

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1. First Quantum operational outlook for Ravensthorpe in 2013 (Q1 2013 Financial Statement) 2. Highlands Pacific March 2013 Quarterly Report

Page 7: The business case for a new process of creating high value products from nickel laterites

But, relatively low payable on metal content

• MHP valued by the market at 70-80% of contained nickel value1

• No or little value for contained cobalt

• Limited number of refiners

• QNi’s Palmer Nickel and Cobalt Refinery (Australia)

• Jinchuan, Sichuan, Huaze (China)

• One site in India, One site in Brazil

• Refiners have difficulty with some MHP

• Aging

• Impurities

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1. First Quantum is obtaining 77% payable for Ravensthorpe MHP (Q1 2013 Financial Statement)

Page 8: The business case for a new process of creating high value products from nickel laterites

MHP production results in low profitability

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$0

$2

$4

$6

$8

$10

$12

Contained metal value

Recovered value from sale of MHP

Cash costs of MHP production

Per lb of nickel recovered

1. Long term metal prices of $9/lb nickel, $15/lb cobalt, MHP sold at 75% of contained nickel value

2. C1 cash costs approximated from First Quantum’s Ravensthorpe operation

3. Assuming no change in cash costs

Mine life 20 years

Annual capacity 50,000 tpa of Ni 2,500 tpa of Co

Annual revenue1 $745M

Cash costs $6 / lb recovered Ni2

Annual operating costs $660M

Annual gross profit $82M

Capital cost $1,500M

Payback period 19 years

NPV (8%) -$690M

IRR 1%

Ni price for +’ve NPV3 $9.85

Page 9: The business case for a new process of creating high value products from nickel laterites

A number of technical options exist for the MHP refining

• Ammonia re-leach followed by solvent extraction

• QNi at Palmer Nickel and Cobalt refinery

• Cawse in Australia

• Acid re-leach followed by solvent extraction or ion exchange

• Specified in two recent patents

• Selective acid re-leach

• Developed by The University of Queensland

• Robust, single-step process to leach and separate nickel from cobalt

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Page 10: The business case for a new process of creating high value products from nickel laterites

Single step leach and cobalt-nickel separation

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MHP

Oxidant H2SO4

Selective Acid Leach

Cobalt concentrate

Concentrated Nickel solution

Page 11: The business case for a new process of creating high value products from nickel laterites

Demonstrated and moving toward integrated pilot

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2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Proof of concept on Ravensthorpe MHP

Provisional patent filed

Process optimisation in laboratory

Impurity deportment Demonstrated MHP to nickel cathode

Tests on CESL MHP

Tests on Ramu MHP

Base flow-sheet development Ausenco concept-level study

Page 12: The business case for a new process of creating high value products from nickel laterites

Completed flow sheet development

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MHP

SAL Zinc IX EW

Nickel cathode

MnCO3 Product

Bleed

To tailings Co conc.

RASCL High purity MSP

Page 13: The business case for a new process of creating high value products from nickel laterites

Concept-level study by Ausenco

• 50,000 tpa of nickel as MHP in feed

• ±50% confidence for cost estimates (AUD)

• Plant built on existing Australian site

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$284M Capital Cost

Electro- winning

Indirect costs

Contingency

$96M Annual Operating Cost

Reagents

Power

$63M

$20M

$104M

Labour $7.5M

$81M

Maintenance $4.7M

Page 14: The business case for a new process of creating high value products from nickel laterites

Significantly improved profitability over MHP

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MHP MHP + SAL SX

Mine life 20 years

Annual capacity 50,000 tpa Ni and 2,500 tpa Co

Annual revenue1 $745M $1,060M $1,075M

Cash costs $6 / lb of Ni2 $6.87 / lb of Ni3 $5 / lb of Ni4

Annual operating costs $660M $757M $550M

Annual gross profit $82M $301M $523M

Capital cost $1,500M $1,784M $3,500M

Payback period 19 years 6 years 7 years

NPV (8%) -$690M $1,107M $1,528M

IRR 1% 16% 14%

Ni price for +’ve NPV(8%)5 $9.85 $8.00 $7.70

1. Long term metal prices of $9/lb for nickel, and $15/lb for cobalt 2. C1 cash costs for MHP production approximated from First Quantum’s Ravensthorpe operation 3. C1 cash costs for MHP+SAL approximated from Ravensthorpe plus SAL cost estimate by Ausenco 4. C1 cash costs for SX approximated from multiple sources (Brooks Hunt, Minecost) 5. Assuming no change in cash costs

Page 15: The business case for a new process of creating high value products from nickel laterites

Opportunity to stage capital expenses

• Direct shipping of high grade ore

• Producing MHP as next product has advantages

• Lower initial capital expense

• Faster ramp-up

• Lower technical risk by decoupling front and back-end

• Potentially finance back-end from MHP revenue

• Build backend to upgrade MHP to high value products

• A number of options

• New low capital cost, low complexity selective acid leach option

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Page 16: The business case for a new process of creating high value products from nickel laterites

Opportunity for a MHP toll refinery

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MHP Refinery

Plant life 20 years

Annual capacity 50,000 tpa of Ni 2,500 tpa of Co

Annual revenue1 $1,060M

Cash costs $0.87 / lb of Ni2

Annual MHP purchase costs3 $744M

Total annual costs $840M

Annual gross profit $218M

Capital cost $284M

Payback period 2 years

NPV (8%) $1,812M

IRR 77%

1. Long term metal prices of $9/lb for nickel, and $15/lb for cobalt 2. Cash costs do not include cobalt credits 3. Assuming MHP purchase at 75% contained nickel value

• Even lower capital cost options utilising existing nickel refinery:

• Existing nickel matte refinery (e.g. Sherritt-Gordon process)

• Existing ferronickel smelter (creating an NHP feed)

Page 17: The business case for a new process of creating high value products from nickel laterites

Summary

• Nickel laterite resource owners have multiple options

• Direct shipping ore, low capital cost but low product value, especially for low grade ore

• MHP production, reasonable capital cost but low product value (70-75%)

• Metal production by SX or FeNi, very high capital cost but high product value (100%)

• MHP is a popular option, but low payable makes it uneconomic at low nickel prices

• High value products are key to being economic at low nickel prices

• But, need a low capital and operating cost to get shareholder return

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Page 18: The business case for a new process of creating high value products from nickel laterites

Thank you

• Metallica Minerals Ltd, BHP Billiton Nickel West, First Quantum Minerals Ltd, Highlands Pacific Ltd, Teck Resources Ltd, Queensland Nickel

• Boyd Willis, David White, Chad Czerny

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