The Aggregate Expenditures Model

22
Copyright 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies 9-1 Consumption a nd Investment Equilibrium G DP Equilibrium G DP and the Mu ltiplier International Trade Government Sp ending and GD P Lump-Sum Tax Increase and GDP Recessionary Expenditure G ap Inflationary Expenditure G ap Last Word Key Terms End Show 9 The Aggregate Expenditures Model O 9.1

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O 9.1. 9. The Aggregate Expenditures Model. Chapter Objectives. Economists Combine Consumption and Investment to Depict an Aggregate Expenditures Schedule for a Private Closed Economy Three Characteristics of the Equilibrium Level of Real GDP in a Private Closed Economy AE = Output - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of The Aggregate Expenditures Model

Copyright 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies9-1

Consumption and InvestmentEquilibrium GDPEquilibrium GDP and the MultiplierInternational TradeGovernment Spending and GDPLump-Sum Tax Increase and GDPRecessionary Expenditure GapInflationary Expenditure GapLast Word

Key Terms

End Show

9The Aggregate ExpendituresModel

O 9.1

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Consumption and InvestmentEquilibrium GDPEquilibrium GDP and the MultiplierInternational TradeGovernment Spending and GDPLump-Sum Tax Increase and GDPRecessionary Expenditure GapInflationary Expenditure GapLast Word

Key Terms

End Show

Chapter Objectives• Economists Combine Consumption and

Investment to Depict an Aggregate Expenditures Schedule for a Private Closed Economy

• Three Characteristics of the Equilibrium Level of Real GDP in a Private Closed Economy– AE = Output– Saving = Investment– No Unplanned Changes in Inventories

• How Changes in Equilibrium Real GDP Occur and Relate to Multiplier

• Integrate Government and Foreign Sectors into AE

• Recessionary and Expansionary Expenditure Gaps

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Consumption and InvestmentEquilibrium GDPEquilibrium GDP and the MultiplierInternational TradeGovernment Spending and GDPLump-Sum Tax Increase and GDPRecessionary Expenditure GapInflationary Expenditure GapLast Word

Key Terms

End Show

Consumption and Investment• Simplifications

–Private Closed Economy–Planned Investment–Investment Schedule

r a

nd

i (

pe

rce

nt)

Investment (billions of dollars)

ID

20

8

Real GDP (billions of dollars)

20

Inve

stm

ent

(bil

lio

ns

of

do

llar

s)

Ig

Investment Demand Curve Investment Schedule

2020

Investment Demand Curve

Investment Schedule

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Consumption and InvestmentEquilibrium GDPEquilibrium GDP and the MultiplierInternational TradeGovernment Spending and GDPLump-Sum Tax Increase and GDPRecessionary Expenditure GapInflationary Expenditure GapLast Word

Key Terms

End Show

Consumption and Investment• Equilibrium GDP:

C + Ig = GDP

• Real Domestic Output• Aggregate Expenditures

–Aggregate Expenditures Schedule

• Equilibrium GDP• Disequilibrium

W 9.1

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Consumption and InvestmentEquilibrium GDPEquilibrium GDP and the MultiplierInternational TradeGovernment Spending and GDPLump-Sum Tax Increase and GDPRecessionary Expenditure GapInflationary Expenditure GapLast Word

Key Terms

End Show

Consumption and Investment

(1) 40

(2) 45

(3) 50

(4) 55

(5) 60

(6) 65

(7) 70

(8) 75

(9) 80

(10) 85

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-5

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Increase

Increase

Increase

Increase

Increase

Equilibrium

Decrease

Decrease

Decrease

Decrease

$370

390

410

430

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510

530

550

(2)Real

DomesticOutput

(andIncome)

(GDP=DI)

(3)Con-

sump-tion(C)

(4)Saving (S)

(1-2)

(5)Investment

(Ig)

(6)Aggregate

Expenditures(C+Ig)

(7)UnplannedChanges inInventories

(+ or -)

(8)Tendency ofEmploymentOutput and

Income

(1)Employ-

ment

Graphically…

…in Billions of Dollars

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Consumption and InvestmentEquilibrium GDPEquilibrium GDP and the MultiplierInternational TradeGovernment Spending and GDPLump-Sum Tax Increase and GDPRecessionary Expenditure GapInflationary Expenditure GapLast Word

Key Terms

End Show

530

510

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470

450

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45°

370 390 410 430 450 470 490 510 530 550

Disposable Income (billions of dollars)

Co

nsu

mp

tio

n (

bill

ion

s o

f d

olla

rs)

Consumption and InvestmentEquilibrium GDP

C

Ig = $20 Billion

AggregateExpenditures

C = $450 Billion

C + Ig(C + Ig = GDP)

EquilibriumPoint

G 9.1

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Consumption and InvestmentEquilibrium GDPEquilibrium GDP and the MultiplierInternational TradeGovernment Spending and GDPLump-Sum Tax Increase and GDPRecessionary Expenditure GapInflationary Expenditure GapLast Word

Key Terms

End Show

Equilibrium GDP

• Other Features…

–Saving Equals Planned Investment

•Leakage

• Injection

–No Unplanned Changes in Inventories

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Consumption and InvestmentEquilibrium GDPEquilibrium GDP and the MultiplierInternational TradeGovernment Spending and GDPLump-Sum Tax Increase and GDPRecessionary Expenditure GapInflationary Expenditure GapLast Word

Key Terms

End Show

510

490

470

450

430

45°

430 450 470 490 510

Real GDP (billions of dollars)

Ag

gre

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e E

xpen

dit

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s (b

illio

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of

do

llars

)

Changes in Equilibrium GDP…and the Multiplier

Increase inInvestment

(C + Ig)0

Decrease inInvestment

(C + Ig)2

(C + Ig)1

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Consumption and InvestmentEquilibrium GDPEquilibrium GDP and the MultiplierInternational TradeGovernment Spending and GDPLump-Sum Tax Increase and GDPRecessionary Expenditure GapInflationary Expenditure GapLast Word

Key Terms

End Show

International Trade• Net Exports and Aggregate

Expenditures• Net Exports Schedule• Net Exports and Equilibrium

GDP– Positive Net Exports– Negative Net Exports

• International Economic Linkages– Prosperity Abroad– Tariffs– Exchange Rates

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Consumption and InvestmentEquilibrium GDPEquilibrium GDP and the MultiplierInternational TradeGovernment Spending and GDPLump-Sum Tax Increase and GDPRecessionary Expenditure GapInflationary Expenditure GapLast Word

Key Terms

End ShowRealGDP

+5

0

-5

Net

Exp

ort

s X

n(b

illio

ns

of

Do

llars

)

Real GDP (billions of dollars)

Ag

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xpen

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s(b

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of

do

llars

)

510

490

470

450

43045°

430 450 470 490 510

International TradeNet Exports and Equilibrium GDP

AggregateExpenditureswith PositiveNet Exports

C + Ig

AggregateExpenditureswith NegativeNet Exports

C + Ig+Xn2

C + Ig+Xn1

Xn1

Xn2

Positive Net Exports

Negative Net Exports

450 470 490

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Consumption and InvestmentEquilibrium GDPEquilibrium GDP and the MultiplierInternational TradeGovernment Spending and GDPLump-Sum Tax Increase and GDPRecessionary Expenditure GapInflationary Expenditure GapLast Word

Key Terms

End Show -700 200 150 100 50 0 50 100 150 200 250

International Trade

Net Exports of Goods - Select Nations, 2004

Positive Net ExportsNegative Net Exports

Canada

France

Germany

Italy

Japan

United Kingdom

United States

+37

+195

+111

-17

-2

-117

-707

Source: World Trade Organization

GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE

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Consumption and InvestmentEquilibrium GDPEquilibrium GDP and the MultiplierInternational TradeGovernment Spending and GDPLump-Sum Tax Increase and GDPRecessionary Expenditure GapInflationary Expenditure GapLast Word

Key Terms

End Show

Adding the Public Sector

(1) $370

(2) 390

(3) 410

(4) 430

(5) 450

(6) 470

(7) 490

(8) 510

(9) 530

(10) 550

$375

390

405

420

435

450

465

480

495

510

$-5

0

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(1)Level ofOutput

andIncome

(GDP=DI)

(2)Consump-

tion(C)

(3)Saving (S)

(4)Investment

(Ig)

(5)Net Exports

(Xn) (6)Government

(G)

(7)Aggregate

Expenditures(C+Ig+Xn+G)

(2)+(4)+(5)+(6)

Exports(X)

Imports(M)

Government Purchases and GDP

…in Billions of Dollars

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Consumption and InvestmentEquilibrium GDPEquilibrium GDP and the MultiplierInternational TradeGovernment Spending and GDPLump-Sum Tax Increase and GDPRecessionary Expenditure GapInflationary Expenditure GapLast Word

Key Terms

End Show

45°

470 550

Real GDP (billions of dollars)

Ag

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do

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Adding the Public SectorGovernment Spending and GDP

C

GovernmentSpending of$20 Billion

C + Ig + Xn

C + Ig + Xn + G

$20 Billion Increasein GovernmentSpending Yields an$80 Billion IncreaseIn GDP

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Consumption and InvestmentEquilibrium GDPEquilibrium GDP and the MultiplierInternational TradeGovernment Spending and GDPLump-Sum Tax Increase and GDPRecessionary Expenditure GapInflationary Expenditure GapLast Word

Key Terms

End Show

45°

490 550

Real GDP (billions of dollars)

Ag

gre

gat

e E

xpen

dit

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s (b

illio

ns

of

do

llars

)

Adding the Public SectorLump-Sum Tax Increase and GDP

$15 Billion DecreaseIn Consumption Froma $20 Billion (MPC=.75)Increase inTaxes

Cd + Ig + Xn + G

C + Ig + Xn + G

$20 Billion Increasein Taxes Yields a$60 Billion DecreaseIn GDP

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Consumption and InvestmentEquilibrium GDPEquilibrium GDP and the MultiplierInternational TradeGovernment Spending and GDPLump-Sum Tax Increase and GDPRecessionary Expenditure GapInflationary Expenditure GapLast Word

Key Terms

End Show

Adding the Public Sector

Cd + Ig + Xn + G = GDP

• Leakages

• Injections

• No Planned Inventory Changes

Sd + M + T = Ig + X + GG 9.2

W 9.2

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Consumption and InvestmentEquilibrium GDPEquilibrium GDP and the MultiplierInternational TradeGovernment Spending and GDPLump-Sum Tax Increase and GDPRecessionary Expenditure GapInflationary Expenditure GapLast Word

Key Terms

End Show

Equilibrium Versus Full-Employment GDP

Recessionary Expenditure Gap

Real GDP (billions of dollars)

Ag

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xpen

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s(b

illio

ns

of

do

llars

)550

530

510

490

47045°

490 510 530

AE0

AE1

FullEmployment

RecessionaryExpenditureGap = $5 Billion

$5 BillionGap Yields$20 Billion

GDPChange

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Consumption and InvestmentEquilibrium GDPEquilibrium GDP and the MultiplierInternational TradeGovernment Spending and GDPLump-Sum Tax Increase and GDPRecessionary Expenditure GapInflationary Expenditure GapLast Word

Key Terms

End Show

Equilibrium Versus Full-Employment GDP

Inflationary Expenditure Gap

Real GDP (billions of dollars)

Ag

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xpen

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s(b

illio

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do

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)550

530

510

490

47045°

490 510 530

AE0

AE2

FullEmployment

InflationaryExpenditureGap = $5 Billion $5 Billion

Gap Yields$20 Billion

GDPChange

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Consumption and InvestmentEquilibrium GDPEquilibrium GDP and the MultiplierInternational TradeGovernment Spending and GDPLump-Sum Tax Increase and GDPRecessionary Expenditure GapInflationary Expenditure GapLast Word

Key Terms

End Show

Equilibrium Versus Full-Employment GDP

• Application:–U.S. Recession of 2001

• Inflationary Expenditure Gap–U.S. Inflation in the Late

1980s–Full-Employment Output

with Large Negative Net Exports• Negative Net Exports

W 9.3

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Consumption and InvestmentEquilibrium GDPEquilibrium GDP and the MultiplierInternational TradeGovernment Spending and GDPLump-Sum Tax Increase and GDPRecessionary Expenditure GapInflationary Expenditure GapLast Word

Key Terms

End Show

Equilibrium Versus Full-Employment GDP

• Limitations of the Model– Does Not Show Price Level

Changes– Ignores Premature Demand-Pull

Inflation– Limits Real GDP to the Full-

Employment Level of Output– Does Not Deal with Cost-Push

Inflation– Does Not Allow for “Self-

Correction”

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Consumption and InvestmentEquilibrium GDPEquilibrium GDP and the MultiplierInternational TradeGovernment Spending and GDPLump-Sum Tax Increase and GDPRecessionary Expenditure GapInflationary Expenditure GapLast Word

Key Terms

End Show

Say’s Law - The Great Depression and Keynes

• Classical School – Automatic Self-Adjustment to Full Employment – Mill, Ricardo

• Views Based Upon “Say’s Law” - J.B. Say (1767-1832) – Supply Creates its Own Demand

• Great Depression Caused Questions• Keynes Answered in his General Theory

of Employment, Interest, and Money• Income and Saving Discrepancies• Volatility in Investment Spending• Cyclical Unemployment Can Occur• Government Should Be Active in the

Recovery Process

Last

Word

O 9.2

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Consumption and InvestmentEquilibrium GDPEquilibrium GDP and the MultiplierInternational TradeGovernment Spending and GDPLump-Sum Tax Increase and GDPRecessionary Expenditure GapInflationary Expenditure GapLast Word

Key Terms

End Show

Key Terms• planned investment• investment schedule• aggregate expenditures schedule• equilibrium GDP• leakage• injection• unplanned changes in inventories• net exports• lump-sum tax• recessionary-expenditure gap• inflationary-expenditure gap

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Consumption and InvestmentEquilibrium GDPEquilibrium GDP and the MultiplierInternational TradeGovernment Spending and GDPLump-Sum Tax Increase and GDPRecessionary Expenditure GapInflationary Expenditure GapLast Word

Key Terms

End Show

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Aggregate Demand andAggregate Supply