Tenaris Investor Presentation May 2014 Arial y Verdana
Transcript of Tenaris Investor Presentation May 2014 Arial y Verdana
Investor Presentation
Tenaris 2June 2014Investor presentation
Disclaimer
This presentation contains “forward-looking statements.” Forward-looking statements are based on management’s current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by those statements. These statements include information regarding management strategy, investment plans, development and growth of the steel pipe and oil and gas industries, trends and other prospective data, including trends regarding the development of raw material costs and the levels of investment in oil and gas drilling worldwide and general economic conditions in the countries where Tenaris operates and sells its products and services. We do not undertake to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this document or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.
Except where otherwise stated, the data presented herein is based on Tenaris analysis and estimates.
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Market environment
Source: Bloomberg / World Gas Intelligence
Oil prices Gas prices
Crude Oil approx Heat Content per Barrel: 5.8 MMbtu
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Mar
-08
Sep
-08
Mar
-09
Sep
-09
Mar
-10
Sep
-10
Mar
-11
Sep
-11
Mar
-12
Sep
-12
Mar
-13
Sep
-13
Mar
-14
Brent
WTI
WCS
[$/bbl]
0
5
10
15
20
25
Mar
-08
Sep
-08
Mar
-09
Sep
-09
Mar
-10
Sep
-10
Mar
-11
Sep
-11
Mar
-12
Sep
-12
Mar
-13
Sep
-13
Mar
-14
Spot LNG NE Asia
NBP ICE UK
HH
[$/MMbtu]
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Market environment
Rig count US drilling efficiencies
Note: Baker Hughes’ rig count evolution does not cover China Onshore, FSU, Iran, Syria and Caspian Sea. Iraq is only included in the quarterly average, once it has been published by BHI since 3Q12.
1.19
1.09
1.01
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1Q-12 2Q-12 3Q-12 4Q-12 1Q-13 2Q-13 3Q-13 4Q-13 1Q-14
[Wells/rig, Index Q1'12]
Avg. ShaleAvg. US LandAvg. Non-Shale
9741,069 1,139 1,165 1,212 1,267 1,306 1,285 1,320 1,337
1,090
1,5461,879 1,919 1,761 1,758 1,761 1,770 1,757 1,779222
348
419 364353
531152 350 379
525
2,286
2,963
3,436 3,4473,326
3,556
3,2193,405 3,456
3,641
357 383 424 423 419 426 425 407 416 402
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1Q-13 2Q-13 3Q-13 4Q-13 1Q-14
International USA Canada Latin America Iraq
Yearly average Quarterly average
66 80 93 92 89
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OCTG demand
Premium OCTG consumption by application (2013)
OCTG demand evolution
* HPHT applications represent 12% of total premium consumption.
Deep
water16%
Shallow
water22%
Shales oil
12%
Shales
gas6%
Others Gas18%
Others
Oil26%
11,012,4 13,2 13,1 12,7
0,10,3 0,7 0,9
2,4
2,73,1 3,3 3,4
13,4
15,2
16,6 17,1 17,0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F
PRM
Semi-PRM
API
[Mill Tn]
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OCTG demand
11,8 12,4 12,5 12,8 12,3
1,62,8
4,1 4,3 4,713,4
15,216,6
17,1 17,0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F
Shales
Others
[Mill Tn][Mill Tn]
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Shipments by product type
100%
180%
100%104%
83%
2010 2011 2012 2013
PRM API & Semi-PRM SLP INDUSTRIAL
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Key markets in transition
2013 Mid-term
USA & Canada • Infrastructure constraints• Unfairly traded imports
• Shale gas• Thermal
Mexico • Chicontepec• Pemex financial and operating
constraints
• Energy & fiscal reform• Deepwater• Shale gas
Brazil • Petrobras financial and operating constraints
• Deepwater
Argentina • Investment climate• Energy imports
• Shales (oil & gas)
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USA OCTG trade case
USA OCTG imports
• On February 18, 2014, the DOC imposed preliminary anti-dumping duties on a majority of the subject countries but not Korea.
• The DOC has stated that, in its final determination (July 7, 2014), it willconsider additional elements, that in ourview, strongly support the case againstKorean imports.
1,3 1,4 1,5 1,7 1,3
0,4
0,3 0,5
0,8
0,7
0,1
0,1
0,5
0,6
0,8
0,9
0,3
1,5
2,2
2,6
3,3
2,9
0,8
-
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,5
3,0
3,5
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 IQ 2014
Others Others trade case South Korea
[Mill Tn][Mill Tn][Mill Tn][Mill Tn][Mill Tn][Mill Tn][Mill Tn][Mill Tn]
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Bay City
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Bay City: strategic location
Bay City
HoustonConroe / McCarty
Freeport
350 mile radius
500 mile radius
Westwego
Hickman
Permian
Barnett
Eagle Ford
Haynesville
TuscaloosaMarine
WoodfordFayetteville
Tamsa
Mexico
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Key markets showing strong growth
Middle East OCTG consumption Deepwater OCTG consumption
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
1.400
2011 2012 2013
Gas
Oil
43% PJ
50%
[Th Tn]
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2011 2012 2013
[Th Tn]
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Premium connections portfolio New products for more complex drilling requirements
Dopeless® Technology
Large Diameter Conductor and Surface Casing
HP/HT
Deepwater
TSH Wedge 623™ (GOM)
TSH Blue® Riser (GOM)
Blue® Max (North Sea)
Blue® Heavy Wall (Angola)
Blue® Quick Seal (North Sea)
BlueDock™ connector (Brazil)
Standard on new products
TSH Blue® Max TSH Blue® Quick Seal
TSH Wedge 623™ TSH Blue® Riser
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Global industrial system and supply chain
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Financial performance
Free cash flow and EBITDA margin
LTM= last twelve monthsFree cash flow = Operating cash flow – Capital expendituresEBITDA= Operating income + Depreciation & Amortization +/- Non recurring resultsThe size of the circles is proportionate to invoicing
-2.000
-1.000
-
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
6.000
7.000
8.000
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
LTM EBITDA %
LTM FCF US$ million
TS
SLB
HAL
BHI
WFT
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Financial performance
Free cash flow and EBITDA margin
LTM= last twelve monthsFree cash flow = Operating cash flow – Capital expendituresEBITDA= Operating income + Depreciation & Amortization +/- Non recurring resultsThe size of the circles is proportionate to invoicing
-1.000
-500
-
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
3.000
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%LTM EBITDA %
LTM FCF US$ million
LTM EBITDA %
LTM FCF US$ million
TS
TMK
VK
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Operating and financial results
M illions of US$ (except ratios and per ADS amounts) 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 IQ 2014
Net Sales 8.149 7.712 9.972 10.834 10.594 2.580
Operating income 1.734 1.519 1.844 2.357 2.185 566
EBITDA 2.239 1.959 2.399 2.875 2.795 718
EBITDA margin 27% 25% 24% 27% 26% 28%
Net income of owners of the parent 1.162 1.127 1.331 1.699 1.551 423
Earnings per ADS 1,97 1,91 2,26 2,88 2,63 0,72
Cash flow from operations 3.064 871 1.283 1.860 2.355 612
Net debt / (cash) (676) (276) (324) 271 (911) (1.279)
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Strategic agenda
• Expansion in North America: new industrial and logistics center in USA
• Strengthen our leading position in Latin America: Mexico, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina
• Leverage technical leadership and global capabilities in complex projects worldwide
• Differentiation through product development, industrial excellence and customer solutions
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