TEEKAY TANKERS Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION...Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION August 4, 2016 Forward...

13
TEEKAY TANKERS Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION August 4, 2016

Transcript of TEEKAY TANKERS Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION...Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION August 4, 2016 Forward...

Page 1: TEEKAY TANKERS Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION...Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION August 4, 2016 Forward Looking Statements This release contains forward-looking statements (as defined

TEEKAY TANKERSQ2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATIONAugust 4, 2016

Page 2: TEEKAY TANKERS Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION...Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION August 4, 2016 Forward Looking Statements This release contains forward-looking statements (as defined

Forward Looking Statements

This release contains forward-looking statements (as defined in Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as

amended) which reflect management’s current views with respect to certain future events and performance, including

statements regarding: crude oil and refined product tanker market fundamentals, including the balance of supply and

demand in the tanker market, the amount of new orders for tankers, the estimated growth in the world tanker fleet, the

amount of tanker scrapping, estimated growth in global oil demand and supply, crude oil tanker demand, and the potential

return of oil production in the Atlantic basin; tanker fleet utilization and spot tanker rates, particularly in the third quarter of

2016 and the upcoming winter months; the effect of changes in oil prices and refinery throughput; the Company’s future

fixed-rate cover, including the impact on the Company’s cash flow break-even level; the expected timeframe for

commencement of a time charter-out contract; and the sale of the Teesta Spirit product tanker, including the impact on the

Company’s financial leverage. The following factors are among those that could cause actual results to differ materially

from the forward-looking statements, which involve risks and uncertainties, and that should be considered in evaluating any

such statement: a delay in, or failure to complete, the sale of the Teesta Spirit; changes in the production of, or demand for,

oil or refined products; changes in trading patterns significantly affecting overall vessel tonnage requirements; greater or

less than anticipated levels of tanker newbuilding orders and deliveries and greater or less than anticipated rates of tanker

scrapping; changes in global oil prices; changes in applicable industry laws and regulations and the timing of

implementation of new laws and regulations; the number of off-hire days relating to the Company’s fleet; increased costs;

and other factors discussed in Teekay Tankers’ filings from time to time with the United States Securities and Exchange

Commission, including its Report on Form 20-F for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2015. The Company expressly

disclaims any obligation or undertaking to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements

contained herein to reflect any change in the Company’s expectations with respect thereto or any change in events,

conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based.

2

Page 3: TEEKAY TANKERS Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION...Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION August 4, 2016 Forward Looking Statements This release contains forward-looking statements (as defined

33

Recent Highlights

• Q2-16 Financial Results

○ Generated adjusted net income(1) of

$31.6 million, or $0.20 per share, and

free cash flow(1) of $59.6 million

• Dividend of $0.06 per share for Q2-16,

representing 30% of adjusted net

income

• Completed sale of non-core MR product

tanker for proceeds of approximately

$14 million with expected delivery in

mid-August

• Increased fixed-rate charter coverage to

approximately 30% for 12 months

ending June 30, 2017

(1) These are non-GAAP financial measures. Please refer to “Definitions and Non-

GAAP Financial Measures” and the Appendices of the earnings release for

definitions of these terms and reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial

measures as used in the earnings release to the most directly comparable

financial measures under United States generally accepted accounting

principals (or GAAP).

Page 4: TEEKAY TANKERS Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION...Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION August 4, 2016 Forward Looking Statements This release contains forward-looking statements (as defined

44

• Rates currently being impacted by Atlantic supply outages and lower refinery throughput

o ~20 fewer WAF Suezmax cargos and ~20 fewer Caribs / US Gulf Aframax cargos during July

o Stronger rates expected in Q4 due to seasonal demand and weather delays

• Fixed-rate charter coverage for next 12 months increased to 30%

o Concluded four fixed-rate contracts in Q2-16 at attractive rates

o Increased fixed-rate lightering coverage

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

2016 Aframax Rates

5-year range 5-year avg. 2016

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

2016 Suezmax Rates

5-year range 5-year avg 2016

TNK is taking action to reduce the impact of softer spot rate environment

Counteracting a Lower Rate Environment

Page 5: TEEKAY TANKERS Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION...Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION August 4, 2016 Forward Looking Statements This release contains forward-looking statements (as defined

55

Positive Long-Term Supply Outlook

• Lack of access to capital is limiting new tanker orders for 2018 / 19 delivery

o 5.5 mdwt ordered in 2016 YTD (on track for lowest ordering since mid-1990s)

• Lack of scrapping in recent years leading to a build-up of potential scrap candidates

o High cost of 3rd and 4th special survey exacerbated by additional ballast water CAPEX

Tanker market facing near-term headwinds, but long-term fundamentals are positive

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Nu

mb

er

of

Vessels

Suezmax Orderbook

Aframax Orderbook

Suezmax Fleet

Aframax Fleet

246

64

26

44

52

39

26

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Nu

mb

er

of

Ve

ss

els 15 Years

16 Years

17 Years

18 Years

19 Years

20+ Years

Orderbook Existing Fleet

15+ years

Orderbook vs 15+ Year FleetFleet Profile and Orderbook

Page 6: TEEKAY TANKERS Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION...Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION August 4, 2016 Forward Looking Statements This release contains forward-looking statements (as defined

Focus on Total Shareholder Return

• Continued balance sheet delevering through reduction of net debt in Q2-16

• Rewarding shareholders through variable cash dividend

o Q2-16 dividend of $0.06 per share, representing 30% of adjusted net income

6

FCF and Dividend Yield1,2,3

(1) Based on estimated results for 12 months ending June 30, 2017 assuming share price of $3.00 per share

(2) Assumed sale of Hugli Spirit in Q4-16

(3) Based on an assumed dividend payout of 30% of adjusted net income

(4) Aframax equivalent TCE: Suezmax = 1.30x, LR2 = 1.00x, MR = 0.70x

(5) Pro-forma to include Q1-15 vessel acquisitions that were committed for in Q4-14

(6) Pro-forma to include sale of Teesta Spirit which is expected to deliver in August 2016

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000

% Y

ield

Aframax Equivalent TCE4

FCF Yield

Dividend Yield

60%5

51%6

45%

72%

42%

39%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Q4-2013 Q4-2014 Q2-2016 Q2-2017

Financial Leverage2,3

Aframax Equivalent TCE4

$20,000

$25,000

$30,000

Page 7: TEEKAY TANKERS Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION...Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION August 4, 2016 Forward Looking Statements This release contains forward-looking statements (as defined

Q3-16 Spot Earnings Update

7

Suezmax Aframax LR2

Q3-16 spot ship

days available1,767 857 687

Q3-16 % booked

to-date45% 39% 40%

$31,000

$23,800

$21,000

$23,600

$17,900 $18,100

$-

$10,000

$20,000

$30,000

$40,000

Suezmax Aframax RSA LR2

Q2-16 Actual Q3-16 to-date

Page 8: TEEKAY TANKERS Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION...Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION August 4, 2016 Forward Looking Statements This release contains forward-looking statements (as defined

APPENDIX

8

Page 9: TEEKAY TANKERS Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION...Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION August 4, 2016 Forward Looking Statements This release contains forward-looking statements (as defined

Fleet Employment Profile

9

(1) 50/50 profit share if earnings are above $13,000/day

(2) 50/50 profit share if earnings are between $16,000 and $24,000 /day plus 75/25 profit share in TNK’s favor if earnings are above

$24,001/day

(3) The Company’s ownership interest in this vessel is 50%. 50/50 profit share if earnings are above $40,500/day

In-Charter PortfolioAframax

Aframax

Aframax

Aframax

Aframax

LR2 $16,000(2)

LR2

Out-Charter PorfolioAframax

Aframax

Aframax

Aframax

Aframax

Aframax

Aframax

Aframax

LR2

Suezmax

Suezmax

Suezmax

Suezmax

VLCC

$22,000

2Q19

$25,000

Fixed-rate coverage for 12 months ended:

June 30, 2015: 22%

June 30, 2016: 21%

June 30, 2017: 30%

$22,750

$13,000(1)

$32,906

$32,906

$37,500(3)

$29,000

$25,000

$24,900

$26,000

$18,066

$22,000

$18,900

$20,500

$22,000

$19,500

3Q16 4Q16 1Q17

$23,000

3Q18 4Q18 1Q192Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18

$26,200

Optional Period

Optional Period

Optional Period

Optional Period

$27,800

Page 10: TEEKAY TANKERS Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION...Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION August 4, 2016 Forward Looking Statements This release contains forward-looking statements (as defined

10

Q3-16 OutlookIncome Statement Item Q3-16 Outlook

(expected changes from Q2-16)

Revenues (1)

Decrease of approximately 380 net spot revenue days in TNK, mainly due to redeliveries of three net in-

chartered vessels in Q3-16.

Approximately 42% of Q3-16 spot revenue days for Aframaxes and Suezmaxes fixed at $17,900/day and

$23,600/day, respectively, compared to $23,800/day and $31,000/day, respectively, in Q2-16.

Vessel operating expenses Expected to be consistent with Q2-16.

Time charter hire expense Approximately $5 million decrease from the redelivery of various in-chartered vessels.

Depreciation and amortization Expected to be consistent with Q2-16.

General and administrative expenses Expected to be consistent with Q2-16.

Net interest expense and realized loss on derivative instruments (1) Expected to be consistent with Q2-16.

Equity income (1)

Approximately $4 million decrease due to the profit-sharing component that was recognized in Q2-16 from

TNK’s investment in the High-Q JV and the impact of lower forecasted average spot TCE rates on the income

from TNK’s conventional tanker franchise and from TIL.

(1) Changes described are after adjusting Q2-16 for items included in Appendix A of Teekay Tankers Q2-16 Earnings Release and realized gains and losses on derivatives (see slide 11

to this presentation for the Consolidated Adjusted Line Items for Q2-16).

Page 11: TEEKAY TANKERS Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION...Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION August 4, 2016 Forward Looking Statements This release contains forward-looking statements (as defined

11

Consolidated Adjusted Line ItemsQ2-16

(in thousands of U.S. dollars)

(1) Please refer to Appendix A in Teekay Tankers Q2-16 Earnings Release for a description of Appendix A items.

Income Statement Item As Reported Appendix A

Items (1)

Reclass for

Realized

Gain/

Loss on

Derivatives

As Adjusted

Revenues 129,863 - 126 129,989

Asset impairment (6,420) 6,420 - -

Interest expense (7,341) - (1,276) (8,617)

Realized and unrealized loss on derivative instruments (3,750) 2,600 1,150 -

Equity income 4,740 17 - 4,757

Other - net (1,940) 77 - (1,863)

Page 12: TEEKAY TANKERS Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION...Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION August 4, 2016 Forward Looking Statements This release contains forward-looking statements (as defined

Drydock & Offhire Schedule

12

Teekay Tankers

Segment

Vessels

Total

Off-hire

Days

Vessels

Total

Off-hire

Days

Vessels

Total

Off-hire

Days

Vessels

Total

Off-hire

Days

Vessels

Total

Off-hire

Days

Spot Tanker - 50 1 34 - - 1 28 2 112

Fixed-Rate Tanker 1 95 - 95 - - - - 1 190

1 145 1 129 - - 1 28 3 302

Note:

(1) In the case that a vessel drydock & offhire straddles between quarters, the drydock & offhire has been allocated to the quarter in which majority of drydock days occur.

(2) Only owned vessels were accounted for in this schedule.

March 31, 2016 (A) June 30, 2016 (A) September 30, 2016 (E) December 31, 2016 (E) Total 2016

Page 13: TEEKAY TANKERS Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION...Q2-2016 EARNINGS PRESENTATION August 4, 2016 Forward Looking Statements This release contains forward-looking statements (as defined

13