TAMPA DOWNTOWN DEVELOPMENT FORUM. 1.Tampa Bay MSA 2.Economic Factors 3.Office Market 4.Retail Market...

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TAMPA DOWNTOWN DEVELOPMENT FORUM

Transcript of TAMPA DOWNTOWN DEVELOPMENT FORUM. 1.Tampa Bay MSA 2.Economic Factors 3.Office Market 4.Retail Market...

Page 1: TAMPA DOWNTOWN DEVELOPMENT FORUM. 1.Tampa Bay MSA 2.Economic Factors 3.Office Market 4.Retail Market 5.Industrial Market 6.Investment Market 7.Looking.

TAMPA DOWNTOWNDEVELOPMENT FORUM

Page 2: TAMPA DOWNTOWN DEVELOPMENT FORUM. 1.Tampa Bay MSA 2.Economic Factors 3.Office Market 4.Retail Market 5.Industrial Market 6.Investment Market 7.Looking.

1. Tampa Bay MSA

2. Economic Factors

3. Office Market

4. Retail Market

5. Industrial Market

6. Investment Market

7. Looking Ahead

Table of Contents

Page 3: TAMPA DOWNTOWN DEVELOPMENT FORUM. 1.Tampa Bay MSA 2.Economic Factors 3.Office Market 4.Retail Market 5.Industrial Market 6.Investment Market 7.Looking.

Tampa Bay MSA (2010 YTD)

Population 2,722,761

Labor Force 1,307,984

Employment 1,138,512

Unemployment Rate 13.1%

Page 4: TAMPA DOWNTOWN DEVELOPMENT FORUM. 1.Tampa Bay MSA 2.Economic Factors 3.Office Market 4.Retail Market 5.Industrial Market 6.Investment Market 7.Looking.

Largest Public Companies Ranked by revenue

Tech DataWholesaler of computer and peripheral equipment

Jabil CircuitManufacturer of printed circuit boards and other electronic equipment

Well Care Health PlansManaged Health Care Plans

Teco EnergyUtilities

Page 5: TAMPA DOWNTOWN DEVELOPMENT FORUM. 1.Tampa Bay MSA 2.Economic Factors 3.Office Market 4.Retail Market 5.Industrial Market 6.Investment Market 7.Looking.

Largest Public Companies Ranked by local employees

Hillsborough County School DistrictPublic School System

Pinellas County School DistrictPublic School System

McDill Air Force BaseNational Defense

School Board of Polk CountyPublic School System

University of South FloridaPublic University

Page 6: TAMPA DOWNTOWN DEVELOPMENT FORUM. 1.Tampa Bay MSA 2.Economic Factors 3.Office Market 4.Retail Market 5.Industrial Market 6.Investment Market 7.Looking.

Unprecedented run up in demand 2005-2007

Bubble Burst in 2008 – is there a bottom?

Carry-over to mid- 2009

Some stabilization in 2010

Economic Factors

Page 7: TAMPA DOWNTOWN DEVELOPMENT FORUM. 1.Tampa Bay MSA 2.Economic Factors 3.Office Market 4.Retail Market 5.Industrial Market 6.Investment Market 7.Looking.

Values are still questionable

Selling a NOI vs. IRR

Lease rates have been challenged

Virtually no new construction

Economic Factors

Page 8: TAMPA DOWNTOWN DEVELOPMENT FORUM. 1.Tampa Bay MSA 2.Economic Factors 3.Office Market 4.Retail Market 5.Industrial Market 6.Investment Market 7.Looking.

Office - Tampa Bay MSA (2010 YTD)

Office

Rentable Square Feet 46,583,940

Vacancy 21.4%

Absorption -1,453,069

Average Leasing Rate $21.30

Page 9: TAMPA DOWNTOWN DEVELOPMENT FORUM. 1.Tampa Bay MSA 2.Economic Factors 3.Office Market 4.Retail Market 5.Industrial Market 6.Investment Market 7.Looking.

Home building and service sector hit hard

Increased sublease space

Ownership struggle, like tenant, for capital dollars

Tenants’ market.

Office

HOME DEPOT/VANGENT

Page 10: TAMPA DOWNTOWN DEVELOPMENT FORUM. 1.Tampa Bay MSA 2.Economic Factors 3.Office Market 4.Retail Market 5.Industrial Market 6.Investment Market 7.Looking.

Exiting base stabilized & diverse

Early renewals – large firm commitments

Growth, Consolidation, Spin-offs

Redevelopment opportunities

Increased profile of downtown

Office - Downtown

Page 11: TAMPA DOWNTOWN DEVELOPMENT FORUM. 1.Tampa Bay MSA 2.Economic Factors 3.Office Market 4.Retail Market 5.Industrial Market 6.Investment Market 7.Looking.

Retail - Tampa Bay MSA (2010 YTD)

Retail

Rentable Square Feet 70,781,666

Vacancy 7.2%

Absorption -520,716

Average Leasing Rate $15.57

Page 12: TAMPA DOWNTOWN DEVELOPMENT FORUM. 1.Tampa Bay MSA 2.Economic Factors 3.Office Market 4.Retail Market 5.Industrial Market 6.Investment Market 7.Looking.

Consumer confidence, consumption and patterns

have changed.

Big stores - redundant competition

Small stores - razor thin margins

Refocus in established trade area

Retail

REGIONS / CITI / BB&T

FDIC

Page 13: TAMPA DOWNTOWN DEVELOPMENT FORUM. 1.Tampa Bay MSA 2.Economic Factors 3.Office Market 4.Retail Market 5.Industrial Market 6.Investment Market 7.Looking.

Growing trade area - increased interest

Restaurants – ‘Fast/Casual’

Increased service sector interest

Higher visibility of CBD as community

Retail – Downtown

Page 14: TAMPA DOWNTOWN DEVELOPMENT FORUM. 1.Tampa Bay MSA 2.Economic Factors 3.Office Market 4.Retail Market 5.Industrial Market 6.Investment Market 7.Looking.

Industrial - Tampa Bay MSA (2010 YTD)

Industrial

Rentable Square Feet 141,259,893

Vacancy 9.8%

Absorption -2,435,922

Average Leasing Rate $5.69

Page 15: TAMPA DOWNTOWN DEVELOPMENT FORUM. 1.Tampa Bay MSA 2.Economic Factors 3.Office Market 4.Retail Market 5.Industrial Market 6.Investment Market 7.Looking.

Reduced consumer demand has effect

Efficiency of logistical platform increases

Ports and rail will be increasingly important

Trade patterns are changing

Industrial

CEVA LOGISTICSIDI

PREMIER BEVERAGEHIM TAMPA REALTY

Page 16: TAMPA DOWNTOWN DEVELOPMENT FORUM. 1.Tampa Bay MSA 2.Economic Factors 3.Office Market 4.Retail Market 5.Industrial Market 6.Investment Market 7.Looking.

Equity/cash readily available

Lack of properties available

Lack of metrics to underwrite debt

REO wildcard in effort to stabilize

Investments

THREE PALMS LLCELCO LANDMARK

500 N WESTSHORE PRICIPLEEOLA CAPITAL

Page 17: TAMPA DOWNTOWN DEVELOPMENT FORUM. 1.Tampa Bay MSA 2.Economic Factors 3.Office Market 4.Retail Market 5.Industrial Market 6.Investment Market 7.Looking.

Job creation key to a sustainable recovery

Increased demand will increase fundamentals

Fundamental will underwrite new value

When/How will Florida compete

Looking Ahead