TAMPA DOWNTOWN DEVELOPMENT FORUM. 1.Tampa Bay MSA 2.Economic Factors 3.Office Market 4.Retail Market...
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Transcript of TAMPA DOWNTOWN DEVELOPMENT FORUM. 1.Tampa Bay MSA 2.Economic Factors 3.Office Market 4.Retail Market...
TAMPA DOWNTOWNDEVELOPMENT FORUM
1. Tampa Bay MSA
2. Economic Factors
3. Office Market
4. Retail Market
5. Industrial Market
6. Investment Market
7. Looking Ahead
Table of Contents
Tampa Bay MSA (2010 YTD)
Population 2,722,761
Labor Force 1,307,984
Employment 1,138,512
Unemployment Rate 13.1%
Largest Public Companies Ranked by revenue
Tech DataWholesaler of computer and peripheral equipment
Jabil CircuitManufacturer of printed circuit boards and other electronic equipment
Well Care Health PlansManaged Health Care Plans
Teco EnergyUtilities
Largest Public Companies Ranked by local employees
Hillsborough County School DistrictPublic School System
Pinellas County School DistrictPublic School System
McDill Air Force BaseNational Defense
School Board of Polk CountyPublic School System
University of South FloridaPublic University
Unprecedented run up in demand 2005-2007
Bubble Burst in 2008 – is there a bottom?
Carry-over to mid- 2009
Some stabilization in 2010
Economic Factors
Values are still questionable
Selling a NOI vs. IRR
Lease rates have been challenged
Virtually no new construction
Economic Factors
Office - Tampa Bay MSA (2010 YTD)
Office
Rentable Square Feet 46,583,940
Vacancy 21.4%
Absorption -1,453,069
Average Leasing Rate $21.30
Home building and service sector hit hard
Increased sublease space
Ownership struggle, like tenant, for capital dollars
Tenants’ market.
Office
HOME DEPOT/VANGENT
Exiting base stabilized & diverse
Early renewals – large firm commitments
Growth, Consolidation, Spin-offs
Redevelopment opportunities
Increased profile of downtown
Office - Downtown
Retail - Tampa Bay MSA (2010 YTD)
Retail
Rentable Square Feet 70,781,666
Vacancy 7.2%
Absorption -520,716
Average Leasing Rate $15.57
Consumer confidence, consumption and patterns
have changed.
Big stores - redundant competition
Small stores - razor thin margins
Refocus in established trade area
Retail
REGIONS / CITI / BB&T
FDIC
Growing trade area - increased interest
Restaurants – ‘Fast/Casual’
Increased service sector interest
Higher visibility of CBD as community
Retail – Downtown
Industrial - Tampa Bay MSA (2010 YTD)
Industrial
Rentable Square Feet 141,259,893
Vacancy 9.8%
Absorption -2,435,922
Average Leasing Rate $5.69
Reduced consumer demand has effect
Efficiency of logistical platform increases
Ports and rail will be increasingly important
Trade patterns are changing
Industrial
CEVA LOGISTICSIDI
PREMIER BEVERAGEHIM TAMPA REALTY
Equity/cash readily available
Lack of properties available
Lack of metrics to underwrite debt
REO wildcard in effort to stabilize
Investments
THREE PALMS LLCELCO LANDMARK
500 N WESTSHORE PRICIPLEEOLA CAPITAL
Job creation key to a sustainable recovery
Increased demand will increase fundamentals
Fundamental will underwrite new value
When/How will Florida compete
Looking Ahead