TAMPA BAY PARTNERSHIP Resident Sentiment Study...Tampa Bay residents still do not believe that the...

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Resident Sentiment Study TAMPA BAY PARTNERSHIP Wave II: April 14 – 15 Prepared By: Downs & St. Germain Research

Transcript of TAMPA BAY PARTNERSHIP Resident Sentiment Study...Tampa Bay residents still do not believe that the...

Page 1: TAMPA BAY PARTNERSHIP Resident Sentiment Study...Tampa Bay residents still do not believe that the COVID-19 situation in their community is close to over, although more residents believe

Resident Sentiment Study

TAMPA BAY PARTNERSHIP

Wave II: April 14 – 15

Prepared By:

Downs & St. Germain Research

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REPORT CONTENTS

IntroductionMain TakeawaysDetailed Findings

Resident Demographics

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Resident Sentiment Study

Purpose

Research Methods

Analyze residents’ concerns, perceptions, and employment ramifications with regard to the COVID-19 situation.

Data were collected via two waves of online surveys with residents of Hillsborough, Pinellas, Pasco, and Hernando counties. Results are weighted by gender, age, and race to be representative of the population.

Dates of each survey wave:• Wave 1: April 1-2, 2020• Wave 2: April 15-16, 2020

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REPORT CONTENTS

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IntroductionMain TakeawaysDetailed Findings

Resident Demographics

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Main Takeaways

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Half of Tampa Bay residents rate Tampa Mayor Jane Castor’s response to the COVID-19 crisis as “excellent” or “very good,” the highest among local, state and federal elected officials.

Tampa Bay area residents are less concerned than they were in two weeks ago about the impact of COVID-19, particularly about getting sick.

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Main Takeaways

Tampa Bay area residents that have been furloughed or laid off are significantly more optimistic than they were two weeks ago about their ability to support their household and finding a different job at similar pay.

Tampa Bay area residents are more optimistic than they were two weeks ago about the stage of the COVID-19 situation and that things will be getting better in the next 30-60 days.

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Main Takeaways

Tampa Bay area residents support virus mitigation policies, particularly enforcing social distancing in businesses. However, residents are split about whether or not to re-open public beaches and parks.

When government removes stay-at-home restrictions, residents are most likely to be comfortable returning to work, while less likely to engage in travel behaviors.

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Main Takeaways

The COVID-19 situation is of greater concern among African American residents, who are:

- More likely to be very concerned about COVID-19 (76%)

- More likely to be concerned about getting sick with COVID-19 (83%)

- More likely to have been laid off (34%)

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REPORT CONTENTS

IntroductionMain Takeaways Detailed Findings

Resident Demographics

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Positive Ratings of Response to COVID-19 Situation

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48%

34%

34%

41%

39%

29%

26%

50%

38%

37%

34%

32%

28%

23%

Tampa Mayor Jane Castor

Local county commissions

President Donald Trump

St. Petersburg Mayor Rick Kriseman

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis

Florida State Legislature

U.S. Congress

How would you rate the following government entities/officials in how they are handling the COVID-19 situation?*

*Excellent + Very good.

Wave I Wave II

Tampa Bay residents continued to give high ratings to Tampa Mayor Jane Castor, while Governor DeSantis and Mayor Kriseman received significantly lower ratings for their response to COVID-19

Hispanic/Latino residents generally gave higher ratings (averaging 9 percentage points more excellent + very good ratings) to the government response

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How would you rate the following government entities/officials in how they are handling the COVID-19 situation?

Wave II

24%

14%

15%

21%

11%

11%

8%

26%

20%

17%

16%

27%

17%

15%

26%

35%

20%

11%

30%

29%

29%

15%

20%

17%

11%

21%

21%

24%

9%

11%

31%

41%

11%

22%

24%

Tampa Mayor Jane Castor

St. Petersburg Mayor Rick Kriseman

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis

President Donald Trump

Local County Commissions

Florida State Legislature

U.S. Congress

Excellent Very good Good Fair Poor

Rating of Response to COVID-19 Outbreak (Wave II)

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Level of Concern over COVID-19

58%

38%

3%

1%

51%

40%

8%

1%

Very concerned

Somewhat concerned

Not concerned

Don't know

How concerned are you about the impact of the COVID-19 situation on you and/or the members of your household?

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More than half of Tampa Bay residents are still ”very concerned” about the impact of COVID-19 on themselves or their household

African American residents aremore likely to be very concerned (76%)

Wave I Wave II

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Topics of Resident Concern

76%

54%

48%

42%

33%

33%

27%

20%

6%

1%

68%

51%

44%

41%

33%

31%

26%

20%

6%

7%

Getting sick with COVID-19

Finding essential food/supplies

Paying my bills

Separation from family/friends

Losing my savings

Accessing healthcare

Losing my job

School closures

Lack of childcare

Other

What are you most concerned about right now?*

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*Question posed to residents that are “somewhat” or “very” concerned over the COVID-19 outbreak.

Multiple responses permitted.

Residents are generally less concerned about COVID-19 in Wave II of the survey.

The top concern among Tampa Bay residents continues to be getting sick with COVID-19 and not being able to find food/supplies

African American residents are more likely to be concerned about getting sick from COVID-19 (83%)

Wave I Wave II

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Changes to Resident Employment

Because of the COVID-19 situation, have you:*

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*Question posed to residents who were employed before the COVID-19 situation began.Multiple responses permitted.

38%

29%

12%

18%

11%

15%

4%

46%

23%

18%

15%

14%

5%

12%

Been working from home

Had hours reduced

Had wages/pay reduced

Been laid off/let go

Been temporarily furloughed

None

Other

1 in 4 working residents has been laid off/furloughed, while 1 in 3 working residents has had their hours/pay reduced

More working residents are now working from home than two weeks ago

African American residents are more likely to have been laid off (34%) Wave I Wave II

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Ability to Support Household

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*If you lost your job, how long do you think you could support yourself or your household?**Given your current income coming in, how long can you support yourself or your household?

***Without your income coming in, how long can you support yourself or your household?

49

28

19

50

34

35

Working from home/other disruption

Reduction in wages/hours

Furloughed/laid off

Median Days of Ability to Support Household

days**

days**

days*

days*

days***

days***

Tampa Bay residents who have had their employment disrupted by COVID-19 are now feel they are able to support their households for longer than they were at the beginning of April

Wave I Wave II

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Job Market Optimism

Do you think you can find different work/job at similar pay if your job doesn’t come back?*

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*Question posed to workers who have been furloughed/laid off due to the COVID-19 outbreak.

31%

31%

38%

44%

22%

34%

Yes

No

Don't know

Tampa Bay residents who have been temporarily furloughed or laid off/let go due to the COVID-19 situation are becoming more optimistic about their ability to find a different job at similar pay after COVID-19 has passed

Wave I Wave II

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What stage of the COVID-19 situation do you think your community is currently in?

Outbreak Stages

27%

53%

16%

3%

0%

1%

14%

38%

35%

11%

1%

1%

Beginning

Not quite halfway

The peak

Near the end

It's over

Other

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In Wave 1, 80% of residents believed their community was in the beginning or not quite halfway through the COVID-19 situation vs. 52% in two weeks later in Wave 2

Tampa Bay residents still do not believe that the COVID-19 situation in their community is close to over, although more residents believe that the situation is at the peak or near the end

Wave I Wave II

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As you look ahead, will things be better, worse or the same as they are today, in…

Outbreak Stages

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23% 22%

55%

35% 37%28%

Better The same Worse

30 days

53%

19%28%

61%

22%17%

Better The same Worse

60 days

Residents believe that the COVID-19 situation in their community will get better in the next 30 or 60 days compared to two weeks ago

Wave I Wave II

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Resident Support for Virus Mitigation Policies

To what extent do you support the following policies to address the COVID-19 situation?*

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90%

77%

63%

49%

33%

32%

Enforcing social distancing in businesses

Requiring residents to wear face coverings in public

Implementing a mandatory nighttime curfew

Re-opening beaches and parks with social distancing

Re-opening schools before the end of the school year

Exempting places of worship from stay-at-home orders

*Strongly support + somewhat support.

Residents are widely supportive of social distancing measures or instituting further restrictions, while support for providing exceptions or reducing these measures is lower

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Support & Opposition for Mitigation Policies

59%45%

31%31% 32% 32%

6%13% 19%

4% 10%18%

Enforcing social distancing requirements inbusinesses

Requiring residents to wear face coveringsin public

Implementing a mandatory nighttimecurfew

21%13% 17%

28%20% 15%19% 24% 22%

32%43% 46%

Re-opening public beaches and parks withsocial distancing

Re-opening schools before the end of theschool year

Exempting places of worship from stay-at-home orders

Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose

To what extent do you support or oppose the following policies to address the COVID-19 situation?

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Going to work

Going to a public park

Going to a public beach

Going out to dinner

Sending your children to school

Going to the mall

Going to the gym

Using public transportation

Going to professional sporting events

Staying in a hotel

Attending special events

Flying on an airplane

Taking a cruise

19 days

35 days

47 days

52 days

60 days

70 days

78 days

90 days

107 days

108 days

123 days

124 days

332 days

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Timeline for Returning to Normal ActivitiesLooking ahead to the date at which the government removes stay-at-home restrictions, how quickly would you

feel comfortable returning to the following activities?

Median Days before Comfortable Return

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33%

23%

19%

16%

15%

12%

11%

11%

10%

9%

8%

8%

5%

27%

25%

23%

26%

22%

20%

23%

10%

13%

14%

11%

10%

7%

19%

23%

22%

28%

26%

27%

20%

25%

20%

27%

26%

24%

10%

10%

12%

16%

14%

20%

18%

17%

21%

19%

20%

20%

21%

17%

6%

10%

11%

10%

8%

12%

12%

10%

17%

14%

17%

17%

13%

3%

7%

8%

6%

8%

9%

12%

11%

15%

14%

16%

16%

24%

2%

0%

1%

0%

1%

2%

5%

12%

6%

2%

2%

4%

24%

Going to work

Going to a public park

Going to a public beach

Going out to dinner

Sending your children to school

Going to the mall

Going to the gym

Using public transportation

Attending professional sporting events

Staying in a hotel

Attending special events

Flying on an airplane

Taking a cruise

Immediately 1 - 30 days 2 - 3 months 4 - 6 months 7 - 12 months More than a year Never

Comfort in Returning to Normal Activities

Looking ahead to the date at which the government removes stay-at-home restrictions, how quickly would you feel comfortable returning to the following activities?

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Indicators for Safety in Normal Activities

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When will you feel safe returning to all normal activities?*

50%

48%

45%

40%

35%

31%

4%

2%

4%

When public health officials say the pandemic is over

When there is a vaccine

When stay-at-home and social distancing restrictions are lifted

When the infection rate drops

When there are no more attributed deaths

When government officials say the pandemic is over

Never

Other

Don't know

*Multiple responses permitted.

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REPORT CONTENTS

IntroductionMain Takeaways Detailed Findings

Resident Demographics

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Resident Age

25

12%

16%

17%

16%

16%

23%

11%

18%

16%

18%

15%

22%

18 - 24

25 - 34

35 - 44

45 - 54

55 - 64

65+

Wave I Median: 48 Wave II Median: 48

Wave I Wave II

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Resident Race/Ethnicity

63%

19%

12%

3%

3%

60%

20%

13%

4%

3%

White/Caucasian

Hispanic/Latino

African American/Black

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

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Wave I Wave II

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Resident Household Income

21%

30%

35%

12%

2%

20%

23%

33%

22%

2%

Under $25,000

$25,000 - $49,999

$50,000 - $99,999

$100,000 - $249,999

$250,000 or more

Wave I Median: $49,200 Wave II Median: $60,600

Wave I Wave II

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Resident Educational Attainment

23%

6%

31%

29%

11%

17%

6%

32%

29%

16%

Some high school/high school graduate

Technical/Vocational degree

Some college/Associate degree

College graduate

Post graduate work/degree

Wave I Wave II

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Resident Political Affiliation

14%

17%

9%

22%

10%

13%

15%

14%

18%

11%

20%

9%

15%

13%

Strong Democrat

Democrat

Lean Democrat

Independent/Other

Lean Republican

Republican

Strong Republican

Wave I Wave II

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Resident Gender

53%

46%

1%

49%

50%

1%

Female

Male

Transgender/nonconforming

Wave I Wave II

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Resident Sentiment Study

TAMPA BAY PARTNERSHIP

Wave II: April 14 – 15

Downs & St. Germain ResearchJoseph St. Germain, Ph.D., PresidentPhillip Downs, Ph.D., Senior PartnerRachael Anglin, Director of ResearchErin Dinkel, Senior Project DirectorGlencora Haskins, Project DirectorIsiah Lewis, Project Director850 – 906 – 3111 | dsg-research.com

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