T HERE ARE SOME OTHER ROUGH PATCHES AT THE BEGINNING FOR SOME STUD RUNNERS … T HERE ARE SOME OTHER...
-
Upload
lawrence-higgins -
Category
Documents
-
view
214 -
download
0
Transcript of T HERE ARE SOME OTHER ROUGH PATCHES AT THE BEGINNING FOR SOME STUD RUNNERS … T HERE ARE SOME OTHER...
SCHEDULE ANALYSIS & THE SUPER RANKINGS
HOW TO NOT LOSE YOUR FANTASY LEAGUE IN THE FIRST FIVE WEEKS
WHAT ARE THE SUPER RANKINGS AND WHY SHOULD I CARE?
• THIS IS THE FOURTH YEAR OF THE SUPER RANKINGS
• IN 2014 FANTASY PROS RANKED SUPER RANKINGS 35TH OUT OF 167 PROFESSIONAL RANKING SYSTEMS (QBS WERE RANKED 16TH)
• IN 2013 FF LIBRARIAN RANKED SUPER RANKINGS THE 3RD MOST ACCURATE OUT OF 59 PROFESSIONAL RANKING SYSTEMS
THANKS FOR NOT CLAPPING THAT WAS THE BEST JOKE I HAD
• THE SUPER RANKINGS TAKES INTO ACCOUNT
• PLAYER ADP, PROJECTIONS AND RECENT HISTORY
• INJURIES, SUSPENSIONS, DEPTH, AGE
• TOTAL CAREER TOUCHES, RUSHING ATTEMPTS
• THE RATINGS OF THE OFFENSIVE LINE
• THE OPPONENT’S DEFENSIVE FANTASY RANKING
FOR THOSE OF YOU HERE LAST YEAR…
• THE SUPER RANKINGS TOLD YOU MONTEE BALL (2014 ADP RB9) AND DOUG MARTIN (RB10) WERE STUPID, STUPID PICKS
• IT ALSO SAID YOU WERE OVERDRAFTING ADRIAN PETERSON
• BUT IT SAID THAT DEMARCO MURRAY (3RD IN SUPER RANKINGS) WAS ON THE VERGE
• …AND WHY AREN’T YOU DRAFTING MARSHAWN LYNCH IN THE TOP 10 AMONG RBS?
I’M NOT JUST HERE TO PIMP MY RANKINGS
• I’M MOSTLY HERE TO SEE WHAT BRIAN OAKE DOES IN THE MOCK DRAFT
• LET’S USE THE SUPER RANKINGS AS A SCHEDULE ANALYSIS TOOL
• I WANT TO FOCUS ON THE HOT STARTS AND COLD STARTS FOR PLAYERS
• WE’RE GOING TO LOOK MAINLY AT THE FIRST 5 WEEKS
• IF YOU’RE 1-4 OR 0-5 DUE TO A BAD START FROM 3 OR 4 GUYS, YOUR SEASON COULD BE RUINED!
QUARTERBACKS – GOOD STARTS• THERE ARE NO PLAYERS THAT OPEN WITH MORE
THAN 3 GAMES IN THE FIRST FIVE WEEKS AGAINST BOTTOM 10 QB DEFENSES.
• THERE’S A HANDFUL WITH 3 OF 5 GOOD STARTS
• MATT RYAN (PHI-1, NYG-2, WAS-5)
• JOE FLACCO (DEN-1, OAK-2, PIT-4)
• TONY ROMO (NYG-1, PHI-2, NO-4)
• SAM BRADFORD (NYJ-3, WAS-4, NO-5)
• NICK FOLES (WAS-2, PIT-3, ARI-4)
QUARTERBACKS – BAD STARTS• AGAIN, NO ONE HAS A MONTEE BALL-LIKE AWFUL
START TO THE SEASON, BUT THERE ARE A FEW THAT HAVE 3 OF 5 GAMES AGAINST TOP 10 DEFENSES VS. QB
• AARON RODGERS (SEA-2, KC-3, SF-4)
• PHILIP RIVERS (DET-1, CIN -2, CLE-4) THE CHARGERS PLAY THE VIKINGS IN WEEK 3, WHO BARELY FINISHED OUTSIDE THE TOP 10, SO HE HAS THE TOUGHEST SCHEDULE IN THE FIRST 5 WEEKS OF ALL QBS
RUNNING BACKS – GOOD STARTS
• ONE RUNNING BACK MAY HAVE THE EASIEST OPENING SCHEDULE THAT I’VE EVER SEEN…
• WE THINK WE KNOW WHO IT WILL BE…
• JOSEPH RANDLE AND/OR DARREN MCFADDEN START THE SEASON WITH FOUR STRAIGHT BOTTOM 10 RUSH DEFENSES (NYG, PHI, ATL, NO)
• THERE’S A FEW OTHER BACKS WITH VERY FAVORABLE STARTS
• JONATHAN STEWART (JAC-1, NO-3, TB-4)
• DOUG MARTIN (TEN-1, NO-2, JAC-5)
• ALFRED MORRIS (NYG-3, PHI-4, ATL-5)
RUNNING BACKS – BAD STARTS• TOUGH STARTS SEEM TO BE THE THEME FOR GREEN BAY PLAYERS
THIS YEAR
• EDDIE LACY HAS THE TOUGHEST START IN THE LEAGUE, AFTER A CAKEWALK THROUGH THE CHICAGO BEARS IN WEEK 1, HE FACES FOUR STRAIGHT TOP 10 RUN DEFENSES (SEA-2, KC-3, SF-4, STL-5)
• THERE ARE SOME OTHER ROUGH PATCHES AT THE BEGINNING FOR SOME STUD RUNNERS…
• C.J. ANDERSON FACES 3 STRAIGHT TOUGH OPPONENTS (BAL-1, KC-2, DET-3) TO START THE SEASON, THEN GETS 2 BOTTOM 10 OPPONENTS (MIN-4, OAK-5) BUY LOW AFTER WEEK 3
• JEREMY HILL (BAL-3, KC-4, SEA-5) COULD BE THE GUY YOU MOVE FOR C.J.
• ANDRE ELLINGTON OR CHRIS “TAP DANCING NANCY” JOHNSON (SF-3, STL-4, DET-5)
• LAMAR MILLER (WAS-1, BUF-3, NYJ-4)
• TRE MASON (SEA-1, WAS-2, ARI-4) THIS COULD MEAN TODD GURLEY GETS HEALTHY IN WEEK 5
BUT THE WORST RUNNING BACK SCHEDULE OF ALL GOES TO….
• LEVEON BELL
• MISSES THE FIRST TWO WEEKS DUE TO SUSPENSION, YOU’RE STUCK WITH SOME STIFF THERE
• COMES OFF OF SUSPENSION TO FACE 4 OF THE TOP 10 RUSH DEFENSES IN HIS NEXT 5 WEEKS
• STL-3, BAL-4, ARI-6, KC-7
• A BYE IN WEEK 11, SEA – 12
• THEN BAL AGAIN IN WEEK 16
• IN 9 OF 16 FANTASY WEEKS, HE’S OUT OR HAS A TOUGH MATCHUP
WIDE RECEIVERS – GOOD STARTS
• OTHER WIDEOUTS WITH GREAT STARTS…
• JULIO JONES/RODDY WHITE (PHI-1, HOU-4, WAS-5)
• DEZ BRYANT/TERRANCE WILLIAMS (PHI-2, ATL-3, NO-4)
• JORDAN MATTHEWS/NELSON AGHOLOR (ATL-1, WAS-4, NO-5)
• LARRY FITZGERALD/JOHN BROWN (NO-1, CHI-2, STL-4)
• DESEAN JACKSON/PIERRE GARCON (STL-2, PHI-4, ATL-5)
• SO WHO HAS THE BEST START TO THE SEASON?
• KELVIN BENJAMIN (OH CRAP!)
• DEVIN FUNCHESS HAS ONLY 4 GAMES IN THE FIRST 5 WEEKS, BUT 3 OF THOSE ARE AGAINST BOTTOM 10 DEFENSES VS. WR (HOU-2, NO-3, TB-4)
WIDE RECEIVERS – BAD STARTS
• I HATE THIS ON A PERSONAL LEVEL
• MIKE WALLACE/CHARLES “I LIKE” JOHNSON HAVE THE TOUGHEST START OF THE SEASON
• SAN FRAN (1), SAN DIEGO (3) AND DENVER (4) FINISHED IN THE TOP 10 AGAINST WRS, THE VIKINGS HAVE A WEEK 5 BYE.
• OTHERS WITH A TOUGH START
• STEVE SMITH SR./BRESHAD PERRIMAN (DEN-1, OAK-2, CIN-3)
• SAMMY WATKNS/PERCY HARVIN (IND-1, NE-2, NYG-4)
• A.J. GREEN/MARVIN JONES (OAK-1, SD-2, SEA-5)
• CALVIN JOHNSON/GOLDEN TATE (SD-1, DEN-3, SEA-4)
• ANTONIO BROWN/MARTAVIS BRYANT (NE-1, SF-2, SD-5)