Document S1. Two Figures, Four Tables, Supplemental Discussion ...
Supplemental Figures for: in the Pacific basin · Supplemental Figures for: Future coral reef...
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Supplemental Figures for: Future coral reef habitat marginality: temporal and spatial effects of climate change in the Pacific basin J. M. Guinotte 1,2 , R.W. Buddemeier 2 , J. A. Kleypas 3 1. Corresponding author: Ph. 1-785-864-2143; Fax. -5317; [email protected] 2. Kansas Geological Survey University of Kansas 1930 Constant Avenue Lawrence, KS 66047 USA 3. Climate & Global Dynamics National Center for Atmospheric Research PO Box 3000 Boulder, CO 80307-3000 USA Note: Supplemental figures depict full decadal time series (2000-2069) for projected sea surface temperature (Figure 2), aragonite saturation state (Figure 3), and marginality risk (Figure 4)
Transcript of Supplemental Figures for: in the Pacific basin · Supplemental Figures for: Future coral reef...
Supplemental Figures for: Future coral reef habitat marginality: temporal and spatial effects of climate change in the Pacific basin J. M. Guinotte1,2, R.W. Buddemeier2, J. A. Kleypas3 1. Corresponding author: Ph. 1-785-864-2143; Fax. -5317; [email protected] 2. Kansas Geological Survey University of Kansas 1930 Constant Avenue Lawrence, KS 66047 USA 3. Climate & Global Dynamics National Center for Atmospheric Research PO Box 3000 Boulder, CO 80307-3000 USA Note: Supplemental figures depict full decadal time series (2000-2069) for projected sea surface temperature (Figure 2), aragonite saturation state (Figure 3), and marginality risk (Figure 4)
Figure Captions
Figure 1: IPCC CO2 emission scenarios (Nakicenovic and Swart 2000). Scenario B2
was used for the calculations reported in this paper.
Figure 2: Maximum monthly sea surface temperature values – (a) observed 1982-1991
temperatures (Reynolds et al. 2002). (b) observed 1992-2001 temperatures (Reynolds et
al. 2002). (c) projected values, 2000-2009; pCO2 = 375 ppm (see text for description of
methods). (d) projected values, 2010-2019; pCO2 = 387 ppm. (e) projected values, 2020-
2029; pCO2 = 415 ppm. (f) projected values, 2030-2039; pCO2 = 437 ppm. (g) projected
values, 2040-2049; pCO2 = 465 ppm. (h) projected values, 2050-2059; pCO2 = 492 ppm.
(i) projected values, 2060-2069; pCO2 = 517 ppm.
Figure 3: Aragonite saturation state – (a) Calculated preindustrial (1870) values; pCO2 =
280 ppm. (b) projected values, 2000-2009; pCO2 = 375 ppm (see text for description of
methods). (c) projected values, 2010-2019; pCO2 = 387 ppm. (d) projected values, 2020-
2029; pCO2 = 415 ppm. (e) projected values, 2030-2039; pCO2 = 437 ppm. (f) projected
values, 2040-2049; pCO2 = 465 ppm. (g) projected values, 2050-2059; pCO2 = 492 ppm.
(h) projected values, 2060-2069; pCO2 = 517 ppm.
Figure 4: Index map and composite marginality – (a) map of preindustrial SST and Ωarag
marginal ranges, showing locations of the US National Wildlife Refuges and Marine
Sanctuaries and the range of poleward shift of the 18o low temperature marginality
isotherm, present-2070. (b) projected values, 2000-2009; pCO2 = 375 ppm. (c) projected
values, 2010-2019; pCO2 = 387 ppm. (d) projected values, 2020-2029; pCO2 = 415 ppm.
(e) projected values, 2030-2039; pCO2 = 437 ppm. (f) projected values, 2040-2049; pCO2
= 465 ppm. . (g) projected values, 2050-2059; pCO2 = 492 ppm. (h) projected values,
2060-2069; pCO2 = 517 ppm.
Supplemental Figures
Figure 1. Emission Scenario Models (IPCC 2000) for the time course of atmospheric CO2. Scenario B2 was used for the calculations presented in this paper
Figure 2a. Reynolds maximum monthly SST 1982-1991
Figure 2b. Reynolds maximum monthly SST 1992-2001 Figure 2c. 2000-2009 projected maximum monthly SST (pCO2=375)
Figure 2d. 2010-2019 projected maximum monthly SST (pCO2=387) Figure 2e. 2020-2029 projected maximum monthly SST (pCO2=415)
Figure 2f. 2030-2039 projected maximum monthly SST (pCO2=437)
Figure 2g. 2040-2049 projected maximum monthly SST (pCO2=465)
Figure 2h. 2050-2059 projected maximum monthly SST (pCO2=492) Figure 2i. 2060-2069 projected maximum monthly SST (pCO2=517)
Figure 3a. Preindustrial aragonite saturation state (pCO2=280)
Figure 3b. 2000-2009 aragonite saturation state (pCO2=375)
Figure 3c. 2010-2019 aragonite saturation state (pCO2=387)
Figure 3d. 2020-2029 aragonite saturation state (pCO2=415)
Figure 3e. 2030-2039 aragonite saturation state (pCO2=437)
Figure 3f. 2040-2049 aragonite saturation state (pCO2=465)
Figure 3g. 2050-2059 aragonite saturation state (pCO2=492)
Figure 3h. 2060-2069 aragonite saturation state (pCO2=517)
Figure 4a. Preindustrial marginality risk and 2060-2069 projected expansion of 18.4 deg isotherm in green. Figure 4b. 2000-2009 projected marginality risk (pCO2=375)
Figure 4c. 2010-2019 projected marginality risk (pCO2=387)
Figure 4d. 2020-2029 projected marginality risk (pCO2=415)
Figure 4e. 2030-2039 projected marginality risk (pCO2=437) Figure 4f. 2040-2049 projected marginality risk (pCO2=465)
Figure 4g. 2050-2059 projected marginality risk (pCO2=492)
Figure 4h. 2060-2069 projected marginality risk (pCO2=517)
