Success through strategy (roger hicks sept 2006)
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Transcript of Success through strategy (roger hicks sept 2006)
Success Through Strategy
By: Roger Hicks
Prepared for: OGI/OHSU Capstone Class
September 2006 [email protected]
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 2
“Do not repeat the tactics which have
gained you one victory, but let your
methods be regulated by the infinite
variety of circumstances”
Sun Tzu c. 490 BC, (Chinese military strategist)
Take a Strategic Viewpoint
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 3
Agenda
Purpose of strategy
Development of strategy
Results of strategy
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups
The Reason For Business Strategies
Businesses develop strategies
in order to quickly realize their
vision of the future.
4
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 5
What is Strategy ?
A strategy is a deliberate choice of WHAT
should be done to deal with an opportunity
or threat in order to move in a direction that
will increase the chances of success in
accomplishing a desired outcome.
Tactics are HOW a strategy gets implemented.
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 6
Why Worry About Strategy ?
All these subjects need to be
addressed and defined at some point
in the development of a successful
enterprise.
All the pieces should fit together in a
coherent plan to guide actions.
Without clear communication of strategies the tactics
will have nothing to draw them in the right direction.
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 7
The Impact of Strategic Choices
Pro
bab
ilit
y
Hig
h %
Opportunity Threat
Ideal Disaster
Low
%
Reduce Risks ? - market size and growth
- technology fit
- management
- financial
- planning
- supply
- etc.
Increase Success ! - brand equity
- market share
- profitability growth
- etc.
The purpose of strategy in a business is to: • Reduce the risk of failure
• Increase the chances of capturing profitable opportunities
• Realize wealth and success faster
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 8
The Strategy Imperative
Companies without an integrated
set of strategies to address
market forces, technology shifts
and key business functions are
doomed to fail.
New ventures rarely have well defined strategies but as the business
evolves the choices made by management to attain success results in a
definite set of strategies that can be clearly stated and followed.
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 9
Overview
Purpose of strategy
Development of strategy
Results of strategy
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 10
Strategy Development
Situation
Assessment
Identification
of Strategic
Alternatives
Selection of
Strategic
Factors
Implementation
and
Measurement
Problems and Opportunities
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 11
Deliberate Decisions Are Necessary
Strategies are a result of serious decisions
Choose between attractive alternatives
Results in a definitive course of action
Cannot go back without massive penalties
Decisions determine what will not be done vs. what
will be done
Decisions without effective
implementation are worse than
no decision at all.
choices
Strategy is ‘real’ when …“You make a consequential
choice … or fail to make a consequential choice.”
Burgleman
(Stanford)
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 12
Define the Opportunity Space
A market space definition is essential to the
development of successful strategies.
WHO
WHAT
HOW
Who
Select the type or category of customer to serve
What
Select the kind of customer activities and needs to address
How
Select a product and service solution to deliver value
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 13
Strategies To Change the Opportunity Space
Expand Established Uses Enable New Uses
Increased Capability
Better Value
Connect (users see more possibilities when things work together)
Assist (users need incentives to switch user paradigms)
Replace (users invest to save on cost of ownership)
Upgrade (users spend more for
performance and luxury)
Firms can impact the rate of market growth and
overall size with growth strategies
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 14
Prediction vs Control
Ability to Control
What Happens
Abili
ty t
o P
redic
t
What H
appens
low
low
high
high
Comprehensive
Planning
Rapid
Adaptation
Visionary
Leadership
Transformation
Influence
Source: Rob Wiltbank, Willamette University
New Venture
Businesses are more
successful when they
focus on control
functions where they
can influence the
market and deal with
unexpected
opportunities and
problems.
Strategies for Approaching
Future Opportunities
?
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 15
The Customer Value Curve
Factor 1 Factor 4 Factor 5 … Factor n Factor 2 Factor 3
Low
High
Valu
e
Competitor A
Competitor B
Competitor C
Each competitor has a distinctive customer value curve based on its’
choice of the key strategic factors to focus on to achieve success
Note: based on principles from “Blue Ocean Strategy”
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 16
How Strategies Effect the Customer Value Curve
Costs Capabilities
Op
tim
ize
A
dd
/Dele
te
Po
sit
ion
ing
Acti
on
s
Value Factors
Raise critical
factors well
above the
industry
standard.
Eliminate factors
the industry takes
for granted and
does not pay to
support.
Create desirable
new features and
functions the
industry has not
offered before.
Reduce un-
appreciated
factors to a level
below the
industry standard.
Note: based on principles from “Blue Ocean Strategy”
Goals of Actions
Transform the logic
of the industry and
challenge the
conventional
business models
Elements of an
Effective Strategy
1. Focused Effort
2. Divergent Position
3. Compelling Story
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 17
Established Businesses vs. Start-ups?
Markets P
rod
ucts
Old
Old
New
New
Start-ups
(disruption oriented)
Start-ups require a new way of thinking and can be created by
established firms wishing to diversify or from entreprenurial activity
Established
Firms
(evolutionary traits)
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 18
Use an Approach to Fit the Situation
Markets
Pro
du
cts
Old
Old
New
New
Many firms try to balance strategies that preserve the core business
but also stimulate new growth in order to survive market transitions.
Fight established competition
Win the share game
Exploit existing demand forces
Trade value for cost
Focus on low cost OR differentiation
Generate uncontested market space
Make old competitors irrelevant
Stimulate & capture new demand forces
Change the price/performance rules
Align for lower cost AND differentiation
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 19
Organizational Strategies
STRATEGIC IMPORTANCE (how significant is the action to future success)
OP
ER
AT
ION
AL
RE
LA
TE
DN
ES
S
(degre
e o
f le
vera
ge f
rom
exis
ting c
om
pete
ncie
s)
Special Business
Units
Independent Business
Units
Complete
Spin-Off
New Product
Business Department New Venture Division Contracting
Direct
Integration
Micro New Ventures
Department
Nurturing and
Contracting
Very Important Uncertain Not Very Important
Unrelated
Partly
Related
Strongly
Related
*Source: Designs for Corporate Entrepreneurship in Established Firms by Robert Burgelman
An Organizational Design Framework*
The strategic importance of an opportunity or activity has
a direct relationship to organization implementation.
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 20
The Strategy Framework
Processes
Market Forces
Technology
Shifts
Business
Functions
Integrated
Strategy
Framework
Strategies must always be evaluated
and rebalanced as changes occur.
Products
Positions
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 21
Market Forces Impact Growth and Uncertainty
The attractive growth segment may change as competitors
take actions and capabilities diffuse into a market over time.
Emerging Expanding Established
Low
High
Young Old
Market
Uncertainty
Total Opportunity
Growth Rate &
Market Penetration
Mar
ket
Pen
etra
tio
n a
nd
Un
cert
ain
ty
Market Maturity
Segment 3
Segment 4
Segment 5
Segment 2
Segment 1
Computing
Television
Instrumentation
Presentations
Telecom
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 22
Market Oriented Positioning Alternatives
Choosing a Market Position Strategy Win the race
• Waves of investment needed to meet performance and production demands
• PC Displays – LCD monitors by Samsung vs AUO vs LG Philips
Straddle two existing segments • Customers on the fringes of established markets who are underserved by incumbents
• Family Vehicles – Minivans & SUV’s by Chrysler, Ford, Toyota
Defend a niche • Easily identified market with unique set of requirements that are hard to address
• EE Test & Measurement – scopes and LA’s by Tektronix vs Agilent (HP)
Leadership with the standard platform • Everyone benefits from a common approach that can be adapted to mass markets
• PC User Interfaces – Operating Systems by Microsoft and Apple and now Google
Be No.1 when only the best will do • Markets with limited alternatives or high emotional drivers support big margins
• Professional sports, movies, singers, fine art, precious jewelry, designer cloths etc.
Competitive forces and customer values drive
the choice of an attractive market position
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 23
Market Strategy Question?
Is it better to enter a large market
with a tenable position or a small
market where leadership and
predictability is possible?
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 24
The Strategy Framework
Processes
Market Forces
Technology
Shifts
Business
Functions
Integrated
Strategy
Framework
Strategies must always be evaluated
and rebalanced as changes occur.
Products
Positions
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 25
The Role of Technology Shifts
The investments by government and industry in technology turns into inventions and innovations that are
adopted over time and serve to enable and expand market opportunities for businesses to pursue.
Products are the marriage of technology capabilities and customer
needs into an application solution that defines a segment of a market.
CRT
OLED
Plasma
PLCD
AMLCD
DMD
EL
Age
Mark
et
ad
op
tio
n s
tag
e
making
deploying
serving
New Old
Technology Adoption Lifecycle
LED
CNT
Information Displays
Ind
ustr
y P
rofi
tab
ilit
y
0 $
- $
+ $
++ $
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 26
Technology Strategy Alternatives
Choosing a Product Technology Strategy Exclusivity
• Protect a critical technology with inferior alternatives for specific applications
• Atomic Layer Deposition process for EL thin-film displays
Standardization • Proliferate a fundamental capability that enables profitable adaptations
• Common pixel formats for digital displays (VGA, XGA, SXGA, UXGA…)
Enhancement • Incorporate the necessary technology ingredients into a more valuable proposition
• Graphics processing and grey-scale LCD monitors for radiological imaging
Prototyping • Create new functionality with no obvious demand and evolve using market feedback
• Stereoscopic 3D displays
Leapfrog • Anticipate the next level of performance/price demands and obsolete the incumbent
• Digital instruments replacing analog instruments
Technology transitions are extremely
unpredictable and hard to take advantage of
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 27
Technology Strategy Question
As a new entrant into an existing
market (with differentiating
product capability) is it better to
have exclusive technology rights
or to proliferate the new
technology into the industry?
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 28
The Strategy Framework
Processes
Market Forces
Technology
Shifts
Business
Functions
Integrated
Strategy
Framework
Strategies must always be evaluated
and rebalanced as changes occur.
Products
Positions
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 29
The Role of Business Elements
How will Each Process and Capability in the Value Chain be Handled ?
Brand promotion
Culture
Sourcing
Customer Relations
Product R&D
Financing
Channels
Service
HR Services
Partnerships
Politics
Performance Measures
Project Management
Succession
Market Communication
Improve / Create Sustain
Outsource
Discard
Outsource Now Later Internal Internal
X X
X
X
Business process innovations can create differentiated
competitive advantages that allow companies to succeed
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 30
Business Process Strategy Alternatives
Choose an Operational Oriented Strategy That Ads Value
Leveraged • Partners and relationships are encouraged in both directions on value chain
• Focus on critical competencies that add defensible value for end users
Vertical • Own the majority of the value chain and run efficient processes
• Invest for economies of scale and effective flow of goods and services
Protected • Put in place regulations and standards that create high entry barriers
• Defend customers and market positions against disruptive innovations
Horizontal • Become excellent in one stage of the value chain
• Broaden the solution to address an ever widening array of customer segments
Captive • Give direction and exert influence over critical stages of the value chain
• Sustain high value position by gaining respect and support of partners
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 31
Business Process Question?
What is better, OK strategies and
great implementation or great
strategies and OK implementation?
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 32
Overview
Purpose of strategy
Development of strategy
Results of strategy
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 33
Strategy Results In….
Direction
Focus on a distinctive and intentional trajectory
Boundaries
Choices made on positions, products and processes
Priorities
Clear articulation of critical capabilities and actions
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 34
What Indicators Do Provider of Capital Look For?
Market Size – how large can it become?
Technology – uniqueness and protection
People – perceptive, desire, trustworthy
Risks – stages, ability to manage
Source: Dan Eilers, Vanguard Ventures
Capital and resources are allocated to business
opportunities that have the best chance of creating
profitable returns in the least amount of time.
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 35
Effect of Strategy on Value
Value of Assets
less Liabilities
Present Value of
Profits from
Operations
Present Value
of Options on
Future Growth
Market Value
Economic Value
Book Value
Strategic actions
optimize assets
and liabilities
Decrease of
technology and
implementation
risk
Decrease of
market risk
What is the value of a good set of strategies?
Potential Value
Numerous methods are available to find the value of a new venture such as Net
Present Value, Venture Capital Method, Options Theory etc. These methods make
use of a discount variable to adjust the expected returns which is largely dependent
on risk levels associated with the chosen strategies for process, product and position.
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 36
Putting it All Together
Growth Driver Market Position Technology Approach Business Processes
Assist
(channel pref.)
Hybrid
(best of both)
Standardization
(set the rules)
Leveraged
(partners required)
Upgrade
(better perf.)
Leadership
(win the race)
Exclusivity
(protected IP)
Vertical
(private value chain)
Connect
(work together)
Specialization
(own a niche)
Enhancements
(accessories for all)
Protected
(regulated market)
Replace
(lower owner cost)
Defacto #1
(be the standard)
Prototyping
(test the new uses)
Horizontal
(do one thing well)
Phenomenon
(mass appeal)
Luxury
(no compromises)
Leapfrog
(obsolete the old)
Captive
(direct value chain)
A complete strategy will include key choices that have been made relative to these primary business elements
(one possible set of choices is shown as an example)
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 37
Seven Habits for Successful Strategies
Alignment of strategic priorities across the executive team.
Checking validity of assumptions.
Translation of strategy elements into functional operations.
Installing appropriate capabilities in the organization.
Visibility of key performance metrics.
Making adequate resources available when needed.
Rapid adaptation of strategies to changing situations.
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 38
The Elevator Pitch
Application description What type of user activity is being addressed
Needs to fulfill What problem do customers want to solve
Solution to the problem How does the product and process bring value to the customer
Who cares Who is interested in the benefits of the solution
Expertise required What resources and abilities come together to produce the solution
Results expected How will success be measured in terms of marketplace position,
business capability, technology strengths and financial trajectories.
An easy way to remember how to explain a strategy is to just give the ANSWER
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 39
Recap
Strategy decides what not how.
Strategy reduces risk and increases opportunity.
Strategies are interdependent.
Strategies evolve to address changing conditions.
Strategies determine positions, products and processes.
Actions depend on strategies which depend on choices
between realistic alternatives.
Poor strategy is fatal (eventually) but it’s possible to
recover from poor implementation.
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 40
“However beautiful the strategy,
you should occasionally look
at the results”
Winston Churchill
Roger Hicks Consulting, 2006 Strategies for Start-ups 41
Thank You !