[email protected] Efficient Cities: Easy on the CO 2 and H 2 O Less CO 2 less sea level...

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[email protected] Efficient Cities: Easy on the CO 2 and H 2 O • Less CO 2 less sea level rise, more wetlands • Less driving less breakpad dust, oil runoff • Less asphalt more pervious better H2O quality.

Transcript of [email protected] Efficient Cities: Easy on the CO 2 and H 2 O Less CO 2 less sea level...

Page 1: Steve_raney@cities21.org Efficient Cities: Easy on the CO 2 and H 2 O Less CO 2 less sea level rise, more wetlands Less driving less breakpad dust,

[email protected]

Efficient Cities: Easy on the CO2 and H2O

• Less CO2 less sea level rise, more wetlands• Less driving less breakpad dust, oil runoff• Less asphalt more pervious better H2O

quality.

Page 2: Steve_raney@cities21.org Efficient Cities: Easy on the CO 2 and H 2 O Less CO 2 less sea level rise, more wetlands Less driving less breakpad dust,

[email protected]

3 Stage Path to Sustainability• Can’t go straight there• 1) Populist: (convenient) Consciousness raising, light

bulbs, Prius, green building– Low flow toilets, gray water recycling

• 2) Fundamental: 2020. (inconvenient) Efficient cities. Sustainable-savvy voters, government restructuring. – Fewer lawns – Less human land expansion less watershed trashing

• 3) Profound: 2050. 80% reduction, less people, accurate pricing, renewable NRG, vegetarian, local food, anti-materialism, lower GNP, social cooperation/enlightenment, etc– Less livestock waste runoff, less fertilizer (fewer ocean

dead zones/phytoplantkton).

Page 3: Steve_raney@cities21.org Efficient Cities: Easy on the CO 2 and H 2 O Less CO 2 less sea level rise, more wetlands Less driving less breakpad dust,

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Bay Area: 2MM more lousy humans

• Well, jobs are coming. Homes may sprawl. – Ag residential, habitat ag

• 2,000 square feet asphalt for each car

• Oakland downtown is booming, but Sunday Chron & Merc new homes section? disaster.

Page 4: Steve_raney@cities21.org Efficient Cities: Easy on the CO 2 and H 2 O Less CO 2 less sea level rise, more wetlands Less driving less breakpad dust,

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115

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Million BTU per Year

SuburbanAvg (240

MBTU)

SuburbanGreen (164 MBTU)

Urban Avg (143 MBTU)

Urban Green (89 MBTU)

UrbanMultifamilyGreen (62

MBTU)

Single Family Household Type

Transportation UseHousehold Use

© Jonathan Rose Companies, LLC

Family Energy Consumption – driving matters mostOakland vs. Palo Alto vs. Tracy (work in Palo Alto)

Page 5: Steve_raney@cities21.org Efficient Cities: Easy on the CO 2 and H 2 O Less CO 2 less sea level rise, more wetlands Less driving less breakpad dust,

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Efficient Human Settlement Patterns• Reducing driving is BIG, BIG, BIG

– Prius is good, but not sufficient

• For each person, minimize the distances in the triangle below (units: miles feet)

• Benefits: more happiness, less carbon, lower cost of living, better health, etc

• Solution: fix Palo Alto at a profit, spread like virus– Must innovate, need better tools.

Home Job

Activities

Page 6: Steve_raney@cities21.org Efficient Cities: Easy on the CO 2 and H 2 O Less CO 2 less sea level rise, more wetlands Less driving less breakpad dust,

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Culture: Low Miles Community

• Exploit behavior research

• Non auto-centric culture

• Good Deeds (make it easy)

• EBay’s online community phenomenon– Make friends, achieve social status– Self polices bad behavior

• “Communities of Practice” – expertise around a problem domain (green commutes).

Page 7: Steve_raney@cities21.org Efficient Cities: Easy on the CO 2 and H 2 O Less CO 2 less sea level rise, more wetlands Less driving less breakpad dust,

[email protected]

Low Miles Community (2)• Big new residential complex• Everyone signs low mileage pledge

– Entry condition to obtain housing– People are “self-consistent”

• Manufacture a tipping point– Currently, it’s often dumb to be green– Positive peer pressure

• Problem-solving think tank. Online & in person– Carpool to grocery store– Ex: Biking learning curve: route, gear, defensive

• People love to share such self-discovered expertise

– Delivery services, etc.

Page 8: Steve_raney@cities21.org Efficient Cities: Easy on the CO 2 and H 2 O Less CO 2 less sea level rise, more wetlands Less driving less breakpad dust,

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New PRT: last mile solution

Page 9: Steve_raney@cities21.org Efficient Cities: Easy on the CO 2 and H 2 O Less CO 2 less sea level rise, more wetlands Less driving less breakpad dust,

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Comprehensive, Integrated MobilityDoor to Door

Centralized Cars:share, rent, ride home

Delivery services, Personal activities, Business services

first mile Train

first mile Bus

Walk

Bike, scooter, Segway

Flexpool

•Web/wireless coordination•Supportive policy context•Scale!

Short carpool pick up

first mileLong carpool

•Improved match-making•Shared parking, nuride

PRT shuttle system LAST MILE mid-day trips

Page 10: Steve_raney@cities21.org Efficient Cities: Easy on the CO 2 and H 2 O Less CO 2 less sea level rise, more wetlands Less driving less breakpad dust,

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Move closer to your job:Traffic Reducing Housing

• Priority access to new housing for green commuters– Waiting list

• The most cost-effective traffic reduction policy (ever). SF San Jose (swap)– Or, “Proximate Commute” for Starbucks workers.

Page 11: Steve_raney@cities21.org Efficient Cities: Easy on the CO 2 and H 2 O Less CO 2 less sea level rise, more wetlands Less driving less breakpad dust,

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Traffic Reducing Hsng Examples• Santa Barbara: 42 affordable apts

– 40 block walkable, mixed-use downtown – Priorities: no cars, work downtown– Result: TWENTY cars

• Stanford West Apts: 515 apts– Shuttle bus, biking, hostile to cars– 396 Stanford, 96 hospital, 14 Palo Alto, 9 long commutes– 10% short-commute rent discount – 2.6 MM less VMT/CO2 lbs./yr

• Redwood City: 800 mkt rate condos– 1 mi from dwntn, bike path– Cities21 victory– 4 months: green commutes

• 1MM units: 3MM tons/yr.

Page 12: Steve_raney@cities21.org Efficient Cities: Easy on the CO 2 and H 2 O Less CO 2 less sea level rise, more wetlands Less driving less breakpad dust,

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Efficient Cities: Easy on the CO2 and H2O

• 2MM new Bay Area residents


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Efficient Edge Cities of the Future Steve Raney. Cities21 work EPA Transforming Office Parks Study Works backwards from 2020 & 2035 CO2 –ATS ULTra PRT.

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Saying Less and Meaning Less - University Of Marylandterpconnect.umd.edu/~israel/Israel-Meaning-less.pdf · Saying Less and Meaning Less* Michael Israel, University of Maryland 1.

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Steve_raney@cities21.org 2008 Suburban Silver Bullet: PRT Shuttle + Digital Mobility for SRP Steve Raney, Cities21 –Palo Alto native –Research & advocacy.

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How to do even better with less and less?

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Transforming Office Parks into Transit Villages: Vision Office Parks • Less auto-dominated suburbs • • Less than 50% of trips by solo driving • • • steve_raney@cities21.org,

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Notes - Cities21 - Cities21 · Web viewFor nearby cities with more SRP commuters, a coordinator per zip code is necessary. The coordinators should have the following attributes: highly

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Let’s ROC · 23.2% 220% 6.0% Less than Less than Less than 1% Less than 1% Less than 1% 2.6% 82.9% 6.9% Less than 1% Less than Less than 1% 4.0% Last week 6- 12 1% out of 92,812

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