Steve HemingerExecutive Director, MTC

American Public Transportation Association

Washington DC

March 12, 2007

System MaintenanceSystem Maintenance

89% 91% 91% 91%

39%48% 50% 52%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1997 2000 2002 2004

AcceptableGood

Pavement Ride QualityPavement Ride QualityNational Highway System for 2004

Source: U.S. DOT

Transit System ConditionsTransit System Conditions

0

1

2

3

4

5

1995 1997 2000 2002 2004

Bus VehiclesRail Vehicles

RA

TIN

G (

1 =

Poo

r, 5

= E

xcel

lent

)

Source: U.S. DOT

3.48 3.38 3.47 3.50

2.88 2.94 3.05 3.07 3.08

3.42

Traffic CongestionTraffic Congestion

In Congestion for At Least 40 Hours Annually

In Congestion for At Least 40 Hours Annually

Source: Texas Transportation Institute

Nearly half of the growth in total Transit Passenger Miles from 1995 to 2004 has come from the Heavy Rail mode.

MotorbusHeavy

RailCommuter

RailLightRail

DemandResponse

Vanpool Ferryboat

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Source: U.S. DOT

Growth in Transit RidershipGrowth in Transit Ridership23% Growth in Total Ridership from 1995 to

2004

SafetySafety

U.S. and G.B. Traffic Fatalities

Per 100 Million VMT

U.S. and G.B. Traffic Fatalities

Per 100 Million VMT

Source: Leonard Evans, Traffic Safety, 2004

FreightFreight

1,4371,437

6,1656,165

(TEUs in thousands)

20202020

20042004

HoustonHouston

13,10113,101

LA/LBLA/LB1,0101,0102,15

22,152

MiamiMiami

2,0432,0433,3823,382

OaklandOakland

4,4784,478

15,83515,835

NY/NJNY/NJ

1,8091,809

5,5665,566

VirginiaVirginia

1,8601,860

6,6396,639

CharlestonCharleston

1,6621,662

9,4209,420

SavannahSavannah

1,7981,7984,3964,396

TacomaTacoma

1,7761,776 2,5572,557

SeattleSeattle

59,42059,420

Forecast figures based on 10-year linear regression

Dramatic Increase in U.S. Maritime Trade

Dramatic Increase in U.S. Maritime Trade

Volume of trade: 2004 and 2020

Source: U.S. DOTv

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

1830 1850 1870 1890 1910 1930 1950 1970 1990 2010

Class I Railroads Track-Miles Owned

Sources: L. Thompson/World Bank and American Association of Railroads

Rail Network TodayRail Network TodayToday’s rail network has been rationalized and downsized to a

core network that is descended directly from the 19th Century design

Fuel Efficiency(“Energy Independence”)

Fuel Efficiency(“Energy Independence”)

Sources: Environmental Protection Agency; Energy Information Administration

Ho

rsep

ow

er

1975

1976

1977

1978

1979

1980

1997 19961995

1994 19931992 1991

1990 19891988

19871986

19851984

19831982

1981

1998

2004

20032002

20012000

1999

230

210

190

170

150

130

110

00 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Miles per Gallon

59 percent more energy performance

52 percentmore output

U.S. Fuel Economy for New Light-Duty Vehicles

U.S. Fuel Economy for New Light-Duty Vehicles

1975–2004 Model Years Sales-Weighted Horsepower and MPG

International Fuel Economy Comparison

International Fuel Economy Comparison

Comparison of fleet average fuel economy and GHG emission standards for new-sale light-duty vehicles

Sou

rce:

UC

Berk

ele

y

What’s Broken?What’s Broken?

Environmental Impact StatementEnvironmental Impact StatementProcessing Time (FY 1998–2006)

Source: FHWA

Length of Time to Complete the New Starts Process

Length of Time to Complete the New Starts Process

Source: Holland & Knight

FinanceFinance

Estimated Highway and Transit Program Levels and HTF Account

Balances*

Estimated Highway and Transit Program Levels and HTF Account

Balances*

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Do

lla

rs (

in B

illi

on

s)

Highway Program

Highway Balance

Transit Program

Transit Balance

* Based on President’s 2006 Budget and 2006 Budget Mid Session Review revenue estimates

Assuming Level Funding After 2009

Year

600

Gap to Maintain = $50 Billion per year

Gap to Maintain = $50 Billion per year (through 2015)

(through 2015)

Gap to Maintain = $50 Billion per year

Gap to Maintain = $50 Billion per year (through 2015)

(through 2015)

100

200

300

400

500

2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021 2024 2027 2030

Year-

of-

Expendit

ure

Dolla

rs (

in B

illio

ns)

Gap to Improve = $107 Billion per year

Gap to Improve = $107 Billion per year (through 2015)

(through 2015)

Gap to Improve = $107 Billion per year

Gap to Improve = $107 Billion per year (through 2015)

(through 2015) Revenue

Cost toMaintain

Cost toImprove

National Funding GapNational Funding Gap

Source: U.S. Chamber of Commerce

Contact the commission at:

info@surfacecommission.gov

Contact the commission at:

info@surfacecommission.gov