Staying on Course - Allianz · 2019. 12. 26. · Staying on Course Analysts’ conference February...
Transcript of Staying on Course - Allianz · 2019. 12. 26. · Staying on Course Analysts’ conference February...
Staying on CourseAnalysts’ conferenceFebruary 2008
Please note: Booklet based on 2007 preliminary figures
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Agenda
Appendix Investor Relations contactsFinancial calendar 2008/2009Disclaimer
Staying on Course Michael Diekmann C
Group Financial Results 2007 Helmut Perlet A
FIT to Stay on Course Paul Achleitner B
Impact of the Credit Crisis on Dresdner Bank
Glossary
Helmut Perlet D
Group Financial Results2007Analysts’ conferenceFebruary 2008
Helmut Perlet, Member of the Board
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Operatingprofit1
Netincome
2007200620054Q 074Q 064Q 05
2007: strong earnings …(EUR mn)
A. Group Financial Results 2007
Quarterly results YTD results
7,021
200720062005
10,9158,003
4Q 074Q 064Q 05
2,1531,906
1,372
8724,380
CAGR+6.3%
CAGR+16.8%
CAGR+34.9%
CAGR-12.7%
2,255 10,386
665
7,966
1) Operating profit is a measure which we believe highlights the underlying profitability of our operations. For a description of how we measure operating profit and a reconciliation to profit before taxes and minorities, see section “Additional information” (page 55)
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Dresdner Bank: Cost-income ratio (in %)
AM: operating profit (EUR mn)
P/C: combined ratio (in %)
L/H: operating profit (EUR mn)
200720062005
1,3591,132
CAGR+9.6%
… based on sustainable underlying profitability …
200720062005
92.994.3
-0.7%-p
200720062005
2,9952,094
CAGR+19.6%
20062005 2007
93.6
2,565 1,290
77.2 74.074.9
91.4 89.079.7
Total Dresdner Bank PCC
… which helped to compensate for the impacts of the credit crisis
A. Group Financial Results 2007
-2.4%-p -3.2%-p
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Group operating profit (EUR bn)
2007 achievement
Operating profit CAGR 10%
Revenue growth 2%Combined ratio < 94%
Revenue growth 5%New business margin > 3%
Revenue growth 6%RoRAC > 15%
Revenue growth 10%3rd party AuM growth p.a. 10%
1.1%1
93.6%
6.3%1
3.0%
-18.3%1
2.4%
13.3%1
8.1%1
P/C
L/H
Bank
AM
Target review: operating profit target achieved
1) Adjusted for F/X effects and consolidation effects. Internal growth on segment level is based on segment consolidated data2) Adjusted for lower than normal Nat Cat level in 2006
2006adjusted2
10.010.9
+9.0%
2007actual
A. Group Financial Results 2007
Group
2007 targets
Operating profit CAGR 10%
Revenue growth 2%Combined ratio < 94%
Revenue growth 5%New business margin > 3%
Revenue growth 6%RoRAC > 15%
Revenue growth 10%3rd party AuM growth p.a. 10%
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Agenda
4Q Results
Group
P/C
L/H
Banking
Asset Management
Summary
Additional information
A. Group Financial Results 2007
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4Q: strong growth in Life and Asset Management(EUR bn)
Total revenues1
24.3
0.81.8
11.7
10.0
29.6
0.81.9
12.8
14.1
25.2
0.81.7
13.2
9.6
23.0
0.81.3
10.2
10.7
24.1
0.71.7
11.9
9.7
22.6
0.71.7
9.8
10.4
24.8
0.81.8
12.8
9.4
29.3
0.82.1
12.3
14.1
(in %)Total
growthInt.
growth2
AM +4.5 +13.0
Banking -71.6 -69.6
L/H +17.1 +19.7
4Q 07 +4.5 +6.1
4Q 06 -1.5 -0.1
P/C +1.0 +0.7
25.9
0.9
0.5
15.0
9.5
A. Group Financial Results 2007
1) Revenues comprise gross premiums written in P/C, statutory premiums in L/H and operating revenues in Banking and Asset Management. All segment figuresare based on segment consolidated numbers; figures for the Group as a whole are based on fully consolidated figures
2) Adjusted for F/X effects and consolidation effects. Internal growth on segment level is based on segment consolidated data. Total and internal growth fortotal revenues are based on fully consolidated figures
4Q 1Q 2Q
2005 2006
3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q
2007
3Q 4Q
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4Q: well diversified portfolio weathers the subprime storm (EUR mn)
1,2861,651
4Q 06 4Q 07
Operating profit business segments
4Q 05 4Q 06 4Q 074Q 05
4Q 06 4Q 074Q 05
392
4Q 06 4Q 074Q 05
549 614
349
CAGR+13.3%
CAGR+5.8%
CAGR+6.0%
Banking Asset Management
Property/Casualty Life/Health
1,651
-453
614
2,153
-59
+340
-84
-656
-3
+187
+114
-102
4Q 07 Δ 4Q 07/06
Banking
P/C
L/H
AM
Corporate
Consolid.
Group
392
8
1) CAGR 4Q 07/05CAGR1
+6.3%
CAGRn.m.
1,311 698
395
8
-453
203
A. Group Financial Results 2007
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4Q: non-operating items(EUR mn)
Realized gains/losses4Q 2007: EUR -46mn4Q 2006: EUR +285mn
Impairments4Q 2007: EUR -229mn4Q 2006: EUR -142mn
Equity gearing4Q 2007: 0.624Q 2006: 0.74
Breakdown of non-operating items
Realized gains/losses and impairments of investments (net)
Interest expensefrom external debt
Restructuring charges
Acquisition-related expenses
Other non-operating
Reclassification oftax benefits
Total non-op. items
4Q 074Q 06
383
-192
-15
-158
-130
0
-112
143
-190
-366
-128
31
-118
-628
Δ 4Q 07/064Q 05
-418
-90
+166
-49
-117
+103
-405
-275
-280
-200
-177
-86
-15
-1,033
A. Group Financial Results 2007
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Operating profit
Non-operating items
Income before income taxes, minority interests
Income taxes
Minority interests
Net income
4Q 07 Δ07/064Q 06
1,906
-112
1,794
-556
-366
872
-102
-405
-507
-414
+214
-707
4Q 05
2,255
-628
1,627
40
-295
1,372
2,153
-1,033
1,120
-374
-81
665
4Q: net income (EUR mn)
1) Impact on net income
Incl. EUR 0.5bn non-recurring tax benefits1
A. Group Financial Results 2007
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4Q - P/C: another very strong quarter(EUR mn)
Operating profit
Operating profit drivers
Operatingprofit4Q 06
Under-writing
OtherOp. inv.income1
Operatingprofit4Q 07
228064834Q 06
-1609158964Q 07
Δ 4Q 07/06
1,311
+413+109
1,651-182
+25.9%
Combined ratio 95.0%
Combined ratio 90.9%
1,894
1,286
1,727
1,386
1,845
1,4871,311 1,267
1,651
A. Group Financial Results 2007
2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q
2006 2007
3Q4Q 1Q
2005
4Q
1) Includes “interest and similar income”, “inc. fr. fin. ass./liab. designated at fair value through income”, “realized gains/losses and impairments of investments (net) on participating policies”, “investment expenses”, and “policyholder participation”
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4Q - L/H: strong contribution distorted byaccounting volatility (EUR mn)
Operating profit
617
-12.0%
549
723 758
527
873
698750
Operating profit driver1
Operatingprofit
4Q 2006
Investmentresult
Technical result
Expenseresult
Operatingprofit
4Q 2007
698 +61
-140614
1343951694Q 06
-64561644Q 07
-5
1) The objective of the Life/Health operating profit driver analysis is to explain movements in IFRS-results by analyzing underlying drivers on a Life Segment consolidated basis. Technical result: technical result comprises risk result (difference between total risk premiums and benefits in excess of reserves net of policyholder participation), lapse result (sum of "surrender charges" assessed and "commission claw-backs" minus deferred acquisition cost written off on lapsed policies net of policyholder participation), reinsur-ance result and other result. Investment result: investment result is defined as the difference between IFRS investment income net of expenses and interest credited to IFRS reserves plus policyholder dividends if any. Expense result: expense result is the difference between expense charges assessed to policyholders and actual expenses minus regular changes in deferred acquisition costs net of policyholder participation
2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q
2006 2007
3Q4Q 1Q
2005
4Q
614
A. Group Financial Results 2007
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4Q - Dresdner Bank: ABS markdowns cause operating loss(EUR mn)
Operating profit
427
-9
3911
529
2381
871961
6772Operating profit drivers
Operatingprofit4Q 06
Op.revenues
LLP3Op.expenses
Operatingprofit4Q 07
-104-1,3911,6911
208-1,0831,346
Δ 4Q 07/06
1961
-932
+308
+312-461
-461
-345
ABSmark-downs
0
-932
A. Group Financial Results 2007
4Q 07
4Q 06
4Q4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
2006 20072005
1) Prior year restated: 2006 figures exclude now results from trading activities in own shares of Allianz SE. These results were eliminated in 2006 (2Q: EUR -81mn,3Q: EUR +81mn, 4Q: EUR -6mn) on segment level
2) Including equity pickup from disposal at an associated company of EUR 171mn3) Net loan loss provisions
n.m.
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Operating profit
Operating profit drivers
8414Q 068794Q 07
-446-487
395
Operatingprofit4Q 06
+38392
Operat.revenues
-41
Operat.expenses
Operatingprofit4Q 07
Δ 4Q 07/06
-0.8%
4Q - Asset Management: record profit level again (EUR mn)
330349
294304 297325
395
312
392
F/X adjusted:+8.4%
CIR53.0%
CIR55.4%
A. Group Financial Results 2007
2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q
2006 2007
3Q4Q 1Q
2005
4Q
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Agenda
4Q Results
Group
P/C
L/H
Banking
Asset Management
Summary
Additional information
A. Group Financial Results 2007
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20072006
Total revenues1 Total growth Internal growth2(in %)
100.92.76.3
48.3
43.7
101.13.07.1
47.4
43.7
2005
CAGR: +0.8%
AM +7.1 +13.3
Banking -19.3 -18.3
L/H +4.1 +6.3
P/C +1.4 +1.1
2007 +1.5 +2.62006 +0.2 +0.5
1) Revenues comprise gross premiums written in P/C, statutory premiums in L/H and operating revenues in Banking and Asset Management. All segment figuresare based on segment consolidated numbers; figures for the Group as a whole are based on fully consolidated figures
2) Adjusted for F/X effects and consolidation effects. Internal growth on segment level is based on segment consolidated data. Total and internal growth fortotal revenues are based on fully consolidated figures
Life and Asset Management drive growth(EUR bn)
102.63.35.7
49.4
44.3
A. Group Financial Results 2007
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Operating profit at record level (EUR mn)
5,1426,299
2006 2007
Business segments
2005 2006 20072005
704 773
2006 20072005
1,359
2006 20072005
2,0942,995
1,132
CAGR+10.7%
CAGR+19.6%
CAGR+4.8%
CAGR+9.6%
6,299
773
2,995
10,915
-325
+30
+430
-649
+69
+506
+143
+529
2007 Δ 07/06
Banking
P/C
L/H
AM
Corporate
Consolidation
Group
1,359
-186
1) CAGR 2007/2005
6,2692,565
1,422 1,290
A. Group Financial Results 2007
Banking Asset Management
Property/Casualty Life/Health
CAGR1
+16.8%
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Non-operating items: net capital gains flat …(EUR mn)
Realized gains/losses and impairments of investments (net)
Interest expensefrom external debt
Restructuring charges
Acquisition-related expenses
Other non-operating
Reclassification oftax benefits
Total non-op. items
2007 Δ 07/062006
1,853
-787
-100
-687
-453
0
-174
2,682
-775
-824
-532
-185
-429
-63
2005
Breakdown of non-operating items
-144
-276
+608
+26
+133
+369
+716
2,538
-1,051
-216
-506
-52
-60
653
Equity gearing2007: 0.622006: 0.74
Remaining unrealized gains/losses on equities of EUR 11.0bn (net of tax and php)
A. Group Financial Results 2007
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… resulting again in high quality net income (EUR mn)
Operating profit
Non-operating items
Income before income taxes, minority interests
Income taxes
Minority interests
Net income
2007 Δ07/062006
8,003
-174
7,829
-2,063
-1,386
4,380
+529
+716
+1,245
-841
+541
+945
2005
1) Impact on net income
Income taxes2006: EUR 0.5bn non-recurring tax benefits1
2007: EUR 152mn positive effect of German tax reform
Base-line net income up 20% 2006: EUR 6.5bn2007: EUR 7.8bn
+13.5%
A. Group Financial Results 2007
10,386
-63
10,323
-2,013
-1,289
7,021
10,915
+653
11,568
-2,854
-748
7,966
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Shareholders’ equity of EUR 48bn(EUR mn)
31.12.2006 31.12.2007
Paid-incapital
Unrealizedgains/losses
Revenuereserves3
1) Excluding minority interest: 31.12.2005: EUR 8,386mn; 31.12.2006: EUR 7,180mn; 31.12.2007: EUR 3,628mn2) Including retrospective correction as of 01.01.2005: EUR -831mn 3) Including F/X adjustments
6,988
21,616
38,656
28,321
47,753
10,052 8,962
10,470
31.12.2005
-3.8%Shareholders’ equity1,2
CAGR: +11.1%
25,398
49,650
10,860
13,392
Major movements (EUR bn)
Transfer of unrealized gains/losses to realized on disposal -2.5Change in unrealized gains/losses -0.4Net income +8.0Treasury shares +0.3Dividend paid for 2006 -1.6F/X impact -1.4Goodwill deduction due tominority buy-out AGF and AZ Leben -7.0Capital increase due toAGF minority buy-out +2.8
Unrealized gains/losses (AfS) (balance, 31.12.2007)
- Equities +11.0- Debt securities -0.7
A. Group Financial Results 2007
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Reconciliation of shareholders’ equityand available funds
Strong capitalization(EUR bn)
Requirements Available funds Solvency ratio
31.12.05 31.12.06
159% 190%
31.12.07
26.1
157%1
AM
BA
L/H
P/CCorp.2
6.7
11.0
10.2
0.3
0.7
Conglomerate solvencyav. funds (31.12.07)
Off-balance sheet reserves for investments
Free RfB
Subordinated bonds & particip. certificates
Other
Goodwill/ other intangibles
Proposed dividendpayment 2008
Shareholders’equity (31.12.07)
-15.8
1) Preliminary calculation2) Comprises participations consolidated at equity
45.5
+2.4
+4.4
+10.3
-1.1
-2.5
47.8
49.5
38.4
24.2
45.5
28.9
A. Group Financial Results 2007
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P/C
L/H
Banking
AM
6,703
2,525
3,155
21,343
7,459
2.4%
40.8%
-37.7%
22.0%
23.6%
-9,020 -Group effects4
CorporateAvg. RAC3
Normalized profit
31,855 33,031 32,165
5,941 7,029 6,887
Group RoRAC2(in %)
21.4% RoRAC - strong value generation(after minority interests, EUR mn)
2005 2006 2007
18.621.3
2007
1) RAC of segments = total of operating entities per segment where risk-adjusted capital is maximum of risk capital (internal stochastic model) and local solvency requirements2) Return on risk-adjusted capital = normalized profit after tax / average risk-adjusted capital, after minorities 3) RAC of Group = risk capital determined in an internal stochastic model after Group diversification4) Includes risk diversification on Group level
+0.1%-p
Avg. RAC1 RoRAC2
21.4
A. Group Financial Results 2007
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Corporate segment - breakdown(EUR mn)
Increase in interest income Lower investment expenses
Results b/taxes -987 -354
Corporate segm. 2006 2007
Operating -831 -325Non-OP -156 -29
Results b/taxes -1,279 -409
Holding function 2006 2007
Operating -824 -446Non-OP -455 37
Results b/taxes 292 55
Private equity 2006 2007
Operating -7 121Non-OP 299 -66
Higher contribution from consolidated private equity investments
EUR -341mn lower capital gains (e.g. Four Seasons,AZ Immo)
A. Group Financial Results 2007
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Agenda
4Q Results
Group
P/C
L/H
Banking
Asset Management
Summary
Additional information
A. Group Financial Results 2007
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Operating profit
Operating profit drivers
2005 2006 2007
P/C: sustainable profitability throughout the cycle(EUR mn)
Operatingprofit2006
Other Operatingprofit2007
833,7272,4592006-884,1262,2612007
Δ 2007/06
6,269+399 6,299
5,142
6,269-171
-198
CAGR+10.7%
Under-writing
Operat. inv. income1
1) Includes “interest and similar income” (2007: EUR 4,473mn, 2006: EUR 4,096mn), “inc. fr. fin. ass./liab. designated at fair value through income” (2007: EUR 144mn, 2006: EUR 106mn), “realized gains/losses and impairments of investments (net) on participating policies” (2007: EUR -21mn, 2006: EUR 21mn), “investment expenses” (2007:EUR -322mn, 2006: EUR -300mn), and “policyholder participation” (2007: EUR -148mn, 2006: EUR -196mn)
6,299
A. Group Financial Results 2007
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P/C: emerging markets contribute EUR 4bn (EUR mn)
1) Growth numbers refer to internal growth (adjusted for F/X and consolidation effects)2) Excluding Allianz Re and smaller German entities3) Excluding ART4) 2005 pro forma: 2005 and prior, “no claims bonuses” given to credit insurance customers were accounted for as change in reserve for insurance and investment contracts
(net). In 2006 and 2007 “no claims bonuses” are accounted for within gross premiums written (impact 2005: EUR -77mn) 5) Allianz Global Corporate & Specialty
Gross premiums written (EUR bn)
2005 2006 2007
43.7 44.3
+1.4%
Internal growth:+1.1%
Combined ratioGPW 2007Germany2
France
Italy
UK
Spain
Switzerland3
New Europe
Australia
Credit insurance4
AGCS5
Asia-Pacific
2006 Δ07/061
5,369
2,449
1,873
1,283
1,469
1,648
2,944
9,587
5,104
1,769
280
5,396
2,396
2,013
1,330
1,452
1,672
2,802
9,539
5,110
1,885
310
-3.1%
+9.2%
+6.1%
+2.8%
+4.1%
+5.4%
-0.3%
-1.2%
-0.5%
+6.5%
+10.6%
2005
43.7
5,229
2,236
2,136
1,267
1,543
1,762
2,811
9,425
5,086
2,723
349
South America 716 869 +12.4%918
A. Group Financial Results 2007
USA 4,395 4,510 +3.9%4,306
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P/C: excellent combined ratio (in %)
1) Excluding Allianz Re and smaller German entities2) Excluding ART3) Allianz Global Corporate & Specialty
Combined ratioComb. ratio 200720062005
2005 2006 2007
Combined ratio
Loss ratio
Expense ratio 27.927.1
67.2 65.0
94.3 92.9
Δ07/06
+0.7%-p
+1.1%-p
-0.4%-p27.5
66.1
93.6
Germany1
France
Italy
UK
Spain
Switzerland2
New Europe
USA
Australia
Credit insurance
AGCS3
Asia-Pacific
South America
93.6
96.2
91.4
94.6
96.0
95.2
67.0
122.4
89.7
102.0
91.0
94.5
91.8
95.7
90.3
92.2
88.6
96.2
77.6
92.2
92.0
99.2
92.0
93.8
94.8
99.6
91.4
93.6
91.1
95.7
76.5
96.0
92.6
97.3
94.3
98.6
100.8 101.2 99.0
A. Group Financial Results 2007
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P/C: effective cycle management andstrong reserves (in %)
Run-off ratio1
Loss ratio
1) Positive values indicate favorable run-off; run-off ratio is calculated as run-off result in percent of net premiums earned2) Nat Cat costs: EUR 1.1bn, EUR 0.2bn and EUR 0.8bn for 2005, 2006 and 2007, respectively
1Q 2Q 4Q3Q 1Q 2Q4Q 3Q 4Q
2006 20072005
YTD ratios
2006 2007
+2.0%-p70.4 69.6
2005
2006 2007
+0.9%-p
3.2 3.5
2005
1.2
4.5
2.5
6.3
1.9
4.5
2.7 2.2
4.9
67.6
2.6
Accident year loss ratio
+1.5%-p
-1.5%-p
Impact from Nat Cat3.7%-p
Excl. Nat Cat
67.5 67.667.0
2.9 2.00.6
Total Nat Cat element2
0.5 negativerun-off from
Katrina
A. Group Financial Results 2007
(2y Ø)68.8
69.470.470.4
68.1
65.4
67.4
69.6
69.0
69.8
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Acqu.expenses
Admin.expenses 4,321
6,269
2006
+0.2%
2007
4,124
6,492
10,59010,616
in % of NPE
11.4
16.5
10.7
16.8
P/C: EUR 200mn lower expenses (EUR mn)
F/Xeffect
2007Integration Italy
Lowerrun rate
+99-44 4,124
-216
4,321
2006
Administrative expense movements
Acquirednew &
change inbusiness
+56
A. Group Financial Results 2007
-92
Pro-formaadj.
NPE 37,950 38,553
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1) Includes real estate held for investment and funds held by others under reinsurance contracts assumed
94.4
16.5
71.0
Current yieldHarvesting yield
Current yield
6.9
3.7%7.9%
4.2%
AAAAAABBB
non-inv.grade
not rated
52%14%23%4%
0%
7%
93%investment
grade
CDOs/CLOsof EUR 0.2bn
of which EUR 8mnsubprime
A. Group Financial Results 2007
4.5%7.5%
4.7%
2006 2007
P/C: high quality assets with immaterial subprime exposure (EUR bn)
Equities
Debt securities
Other1
Government/Agency
CoveredBonds
Corporate
ABS
Other
47%
19%
25%
7%
2%
2007
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Agenda
4Q Results
Group
P/C
L/H
Banking
Asset Management
Summary
Additional information
A. Group Financial Results 2007
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Operating profit
L/H: with 20% CAGR, operating profit reachesEUR 3bn (EUR mn)
CAGR+19.6% Operating profit driver1
A. Group Financial Results 2007
2005 2006 2007
2,094
2,995
2,565
Operatingprofit2006
Investmentresult
Technical result
Expenseresult
Operatingprofit2007
2,565+113
+131 2,995+186
20063
20072
741
927
1,796
1,909
28
159
1) The objective of the Life/Health operating profit driver analysis is to explain movements in IFRS-results by analyzing underlying drivers on a Life Segment consolidated basis. Stated margins refer to a quarter-on-quarter comparison. Technical result: technical result comprises risk result (difference between total risk premiums and benefits in excess of reserves net of policyholder participation), lapse result (sum of "surrender charges" assessed and "commission claw-backs" minus deferred acquisition cost written off on lapsed policies net of policyholder participation), reinsurance result and other result. Investment result: investment result is defined as the difference between IFRS investment income net of expenses and interest credited to IFRS reserves plus policyholder dividends if any. Expense result: expense result is the difference between expense charges assessed to policyholders and actual expenses minus regular changes in deferred acquisition costs net of policyholder participation
2) Previously published quarterly figures do not add up to full year 2007 figures due to a retrospective correction affecting 1Q 20073) 2006 margin split restated according to a refined methodology in 2007
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L/H: 9.8% return on embedded value(after minority interests, EUR mn)
A. Group Financial Results 2007
1) Includes F/X of EUR -460mn, minorities of EUR 2,745mn and other adjustments of EUR 108mn2) Including changes in tax, movement of new business to year end and other variations3) Other 2007 includes legislation changes in Germany (VVG Reform: EUR -338mn) and France (profit sharing rules for Group protection business EUR -58mn)
15,849 895 1,480 982294 54
18,535
Start 2006 End 2006
-1,020 Net capitalmovement
20,928 +1,123 +196 +245
+1,077
-581
22,988
StartingEmbedded
Value2007
Un-winding
Market driven
changes
Value of NB at
point of sale
Operatingvariances & assumptionchanges2
Other3 Ending Embedded
Value 2007
Initialadjustments 2,3931
1,061
18,53521,927
Net capitalmovement
EV-profit+2,060
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L/H: statutory premiums ahead of expectations … (EUR mn)
1) Growth numbers refer to internal growth (adjusted for F/X and consolidation effects)
Statutory premiums (EUR bn)
Premiums from investment-oriented products
IFRS premiums
Internal growth:+6.3%
Stat. prem. 20072006 Δ07/0612005
47.4
+4.1%
2005 2007
21.1 21.6
2006
27.2 25.8
48.3
Germany Health
France
Italy
Switzerland
Belgium
Spain
Netherlands
New Europe
Asia Pacific
USA
Germany Life
8,555
1,005
597
629
3,091
5,792
+14.1%
+4.3%
+11.2%
+17.3%
424 -5.9%
+1.0%
+13.1%
827
3,733
+16.7%
+30.8%
9,765
992
664
738
3,123
6,550
399
1,039
4,638
8,758 -11.5%6,931
9,313
1,058
601
547
3,042
5,286
381
479
3,309
11,115
13,009 +3.9%13,51212,231
49.4
21.5
27.9
A. Group Financial Results 2007
emerging markets contribute EUR 5.7bn
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L/H: … while new business grew even stronger …(EUR bn)
PVNBP1
30.9 31.4
2005 20072006
36.3
2007 regional split
1) Present value of new business premiums
Recurring premium
Single premium
A. Group Financial Results 2007
15.513.6
20.817.8
12.4
18.5
Recurring premium
Single premium
Germany
France
Italy
New Europe
Other W. Europe
USA
Asia
17% 10%
10%
17%3%
3% 40%
22%
20%
9% 15%
2%
28%
4%
+15.6%
Internal growth:+8.7%
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L/H: … at attractive margins(in %, after minority interest1)
1) Minorities and F/X rates as of corresponding valuation dates (i.e. 31.12.2006, 31.12.2007)2) Including holding expenses and internal reinsurance
France
Italy
Other W. Europe
New Europe
USA
Asia
Total2
Germany
NB margins
4.3
6.1
2.5
3.9
3.5
3.5
-0.4%-p
+0.5%-p
-1.1%-p
-0.4%-p
3.1 -0.1%-p
-1%-p
-0.6%-p
3.9
6.6
1.4
3.5
2.5
2.9
3.0
4.1
8.4
2.5
3.9
3.3
3.2
2.9
3.0 +0.9%-p3.92.6
20072006 Δ07/062005
+9.7%
2007F/Ximpact
Impact from
changes in minorities
Businesseffect
9821,077
2006
VNB2 Group (EUR mn)
A. Group Financial Results 2007
3.1
-35
+114 +16
NB margin
3.0
Internal growth:-3.3%
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L/H: growing asset base …(EUR bn)
Operating asset base
2005 20072006
Financial assets/liab. carried at fair value1
Unit-linked investments
Investments and loans
329.3
54.7
264.3
10.3
354.2
66.1
275.8
12.3
1) Excluding market value liability option
345.4
61.9
273.6
9.9
OAB(as of 31.12.2006)
Net inflows
F/X effects
OAB(as of 31.12.2007)
Operating asset base
Market effects
Internal growth:+4.6%
345.4
+20.1
354.2
-7.2
-4.1
A. Group Financial Results 2007
CAGR+3.7%
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L/H: … with high quality and no subprime exposure(EUR bn)
354.212.3
66.1
41.2
228.8
Current yieldHarvesting yield
Current yield
5.84.3%6.9%
4.8%
AAAAAABBB
non-inv. grade
not rated
54%14%22%6%
0%
4%
96%investment
grade
CDOs/CLOsof EUR 0.3bn;no subprime
exposure
A. Group Financial Results 2007
4.0%7.3%
4.9%
2006 2007
Government/Agency
Covered Bonds
Corporate
ABS
Other
33%
36%
24%
6%
1%
Financial assets/liab. carried at fair value1
Unit-linked investments
Debt securities
Equities
Other2
1) Excluding market value liability option2) Includes real estate held for investment and funds held by others under reinsurance contracts assumed
2007
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Average operating asset base (USD bn)
Statutory premiums (USD bn)
Operating profit (USD mn)
L/H: Allianz Life US – good progress notwithstanding revenue shortfall
1Q20072006
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 12M07
2.73.3 2.8 2.1
9.5
2.2
1Q
58.154.5 56.4
60.5
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
62.4
20072006
11640
230
527
95
Quarter over quarter asset base growth provides continuous support to bottom line
2Q
2Q
64.2
122
2.4
1Q20072006
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 12M072Q
4Q operating profit impacted by volatility due to widening of credit spreads
Full year results broadly in line with expectations
145
66.1
3Q
3Q
226
2.3
3Q
Moderate growth in 4Q despite challenging economic and capital market conditions
However, overall growth still lagging behind expectations
2-yr CAGR+13.8%
84
4Q
4Q
2.6
67.2
4Q
A. Group Financial Results 2007
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Agenda
4Q Results
Group
P/C
L/H
Banking
Asset Management
Summary
Additional information
A. Group Financial Results 2007
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Operating profit
Operating profit drivers
Dresdner Bank: EUR 730mn operating profit (EUR mn)
1) Prior year restated: 2006 figures exclude now results from trading activities in own shares of Allianz SE. These results were eliminated in 2006 (2Q: EUR -81mn,3Q: EUR +81mn, 4Q: EUR -6mn) on segment level
2) Net loan loss provisions
630
1,3541
-105
+597+159 730
1,3541
2005 2006 2007
CAGR+7.6%
730
Operatingprofit2006
Operat.revenues
LLP2Operat.expenses
Operatingprofit2007
Δ 07/06
-1,275
-27-5,4236,80412006
132-4,8266,6992007
0
-1,275
A. Group Financial Results 2007
ABSmark-downs
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Net interest income Net dealing income1Net fee & commission income
Dresdner Bank: ABS markdowns hit net dealing income (EUR mn)
1) Comprises net trading income and result from financial assets and liabilities designated at fair value through profit and loss2) Prior year restated: 2006 figures exclude now results from trading activities in own shares of Allianz SE. These results were
eliminated in 2006 (2Q: EUR -81mn, 3Q: EUR +81mn, 4Q: EUR -6mn) on segment level
2007
2,987
2006
169-346
2005
66
2007
2,866
2006
2,841
--
2005
-
2007
-428
2006
1,2952
-223132
2005
1,117
IAS 39 effect
Operating revenues
-54-214 -47
20072006
6,039
2005
-113
n.m.
5,424
6,8042
2,2182,645 2,693
A. Group Financial Results 2007
+0.9%+12.9%-20.3%
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Dresdner Bank: core product lines in good shape (EUR mn)
A. Group Financial Results 2007
DKIB operating revenues
2006 2007
-1,275-1,336
318 88
-1,3854
726
460
Not impacted by credit crisis
Impacted by credit crisis
2,793 2,964
2006 2007 2006 2007
2006 2007Non-ABS
ABSmark-downs
DKIB operating profit
Credit Portfolio OptimizationF & SM3 SubprimeCredit Flow ProductsCredit Derivatives w/o WarehousesCredit Derivatives -Warehouses
In particular:Strategic AdvisoryPrincipal InvestmentsGL & TS1
Equity ProductsFICC2
F & SM3
Equity Derivatives
1) Global Loans & Transaction Services2) Fixed Income, Currencies & Commodities3) Financing & Securities Management4) Operating profit of not impacted product lines includes higher performance-based bonuses (pro-forma). Difference to P&L bonus shown as offsetting item in impacted
product lines
-379
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Dresdner Bank: significant expense reductions
5.44.8
2005 2007
30.06.
6.0
5.5
7.1
5.3
31.12.31.12.
5.5
200720062005
Operating revenues (EUR bn)
Operating expenses (EUR bn)
Cost-income ratio (in %)
Operating expenses (EUR bn) CIR 12-month rolling
5.44.8
Personnelexpenses
Non-personnelexpenses
3.3 3.42.9
2.2 2.0 1.9
31.12.
2006
89.0
74.679.7
91.4
6.8
5.4
A. Group Financial Results 2007
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Net loan loss provisionsNew provisions
Releases/recoveries
Dresdner Bank: high quality loan book (EUR mn)
Non-performing loans
Coverage ratio2
61.5% 54.4%
1) Release of loan loss provisions2) Coverage ratio = total loan loss allowances / total risk elements
2006 2007
507 513 27
-1321
2005
736
480645
849
-1131
2,637
1,7331,981
56.8%
31.12.05 31.12.06 31.12.07
2006 20072005 2006 20072005
A. Group Financial Results 2007
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Risk Weighted Assets (RWA, in EUR bn)Tier I Ratio (in %)
Dresdner Bank: strong capitalization
A. Group Financial Results 2007
Tier I ratio still strong at 9.1% (Basel I)- Reduction due to share buy-back of
EUR 1.15 bn in July 2007
Basel II (Advanced Approach) results in higher Tier I Ratio of 10.1% due to reduced RWA
Sound liquidity profile with improved ratios - Principle II Ratio of 1.11
111.5120.0 123.1
31.12.05 31.12.06 31.12.07
9.1
10.410.0 10.1
Risk Weighted Assets eop (Basel I) Tier I Ratio (Basel I)
Tier I Ratio (Basel II)
111.2
Risk Weighted Assets eop (Basel II)
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Agenda
4Q Results
Group
P/C
L/H
Banking
Asset Management
Summary
Additional information
A. Group Financial Results 2007
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AM: strong profitability based on growing AuM and tight expense control (EUR mn)
Operating profit
Operating profit drivers
3,04420063,2592007
-1,754-1,900
1,290
Operatingprofit2006
+2151,359
Operat.revenues
-146
Operat.expenses
Operatingprofit2007
Δ 2007/06
2005 2006
1,1321,290
CAGR+9.6%
1,359
CAGR+13.8%
58.4CIR
2007
58.357.6
F/X adjusted:+12.8%
A. Group Financial Results 2007
CIR57.6%
CIR58.3%
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AM: impressive performance track record
Fixed income 3rd party net inflows (EUR bn)Fixed income investm. performance1 (in %)
Outperforming AuM
Underperforming AuM
Flows in % of AuM bop
16.5% 5.3% 2.1%
2006 20072005 3Q2Q1Q 4Q
-7.1
10.47.4
1.7
2006 20072005
91 8796
9 134
A. Group Financial Results 2007
1) AGI account-based, asset-weighted 3-year investment performance of 3rd party assets vs. benchmark including all equity and fixed income accounts managed on a discretionary basis by equity and fixed income managers of AGI (including direct accounts, Spezialfonds and CPMs of Allianz with AGI Germany). For some retail fundsthe net of fee performance is compared to the median performance of an appropriate peer group (Micropal or Lipper; 1st and 2nd quartile mean out-performance). Forall other retail funds and for all institutional accounts performance is calculated gross of fees using closing prices (revaluated) where appropriate and compared to the benchmark of each individual fund or account. Other than under GIPS, the performance of closed funds/accounts is not included in the analysis. Also not included:WRAP accounts and accounts of Caywood Scholl, AGI Taiwan, AGI Korea, AGF AM and RAS AM
30.8
12.4
71.9
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AM: consistently improving equity performance
Equity 3rd party net inflows (EUR bn)Equity investment performance1 (in %)
1) AGI account-based, asset-weighted 3-year investment performance of 3rd party assets vs. benchmark including all equity and fixed income accounts managed on a discretionary basis by equity and fixed income managers of AGI (including direct accounts, Spezialfonds and CPMs of Allianz with AGI Germany). For some retail funds the net of fee performance is compared to the median performance of an appropriate peer group (Micropal or Lipper; 1st and 2nd quartile mean out-performance). For all other retail funds and for all institutional accounts performance is calculated gross of fees using closing prices (revaluated) where appropriate and compared to the benchmark of each individual fund or account. Other than under GIPS, the performance of closed funds/accounts is not included in the analysis. Also not included: WRAP accounts and accounts of Caywood Scholl, AGI Taiwan, AGI Korea, AGF AM and RAS AM
-3.6% 4.1% -0.2%
3Q2Q1Q 4Q2006 20072005
6.4
-0.4
-4.9
-1.3
1.90.0
-1.0
2006 20072005
70 7959
30 2141
A. Group Financial Results 2007
Outperforming AuM
Underperforming AuM
Flows in % of AuM bop
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AM: 9.9% CAGR(EUR bn)
705
1) Based on 4Q 2007 F/X rates
3rd party AuM – F/X adjusted1
633
Third-party AuM(as of 31.12.2006)
Net inflows
F/X effects
Third-party AuM(as of 31.12.2007)
3rd party AuM
-59
Deconsolidationeffects
Market effects
764
+10
765
+52
-2
Internal growth:+8.1%
765
CAGR+9.9%
31.12.0731.12.05 31.12.06
A. Group Financial Results 2007
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Operating profit 2007
Dez
01
Mrz
02
Jun
02S
ep 0
2D
ez 0
2M
rz 0
3Ju
n 03
Sep
03
Dez
03
Mrz
04
Jun
04S
ep 0
4D
ez 0
4M
rz 0
5Ju
n 05
Sep
05
Dez
05
Mrz
06
Jun
06S
ep 0
6D
ez 0
6M
rz 0
7Ju
n 07
Sep
07
Dez
07
AM: sustainable profit growth even in volatile markets… (EUR mn)
A. Group Financial Results 2007
10YEAR GOVT. BOND YIELD
MSCI WORLD –PRICE INDEX
716839
495
1,2901,132
1,359
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 20071) Operating result; from 2003 on: operating profit
Other segments
Asset Management
… enhances Group earnings with a stable contribution1
1,359 12%
9,55688%
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Agenda
4Q Results
Group
P/C
L/H
Banking
Asset Management
Summary
Additional information
A. Group Financial Results 2007
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Summary
Record earnings in challenging environment
More than 90% of the capital in the business earns more than its costs of capital (most of the remaining 10% made up of DKIB)
High quality asset base and strong level of capitalization
P/C: excellent combined ratio and cycle management, efficiency improvements showing through, reserves remain strong
L/H: strong profit contribution, KPIs for future profitable growth in place
BA: core activities in line with expectations, cost and efficiency measures on track, but markets continue to be very difficult
AM: strong performance continues
A. Group Financial Results 2007
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Agenda
4Q Results
Group
P/C
L/H
Banking
Asset Management
Summary
Additional information
A. Group Financial Results 2007
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Group: result by segments overview(EUR mn)
We evaluate the results of our Property/Casualty, Life/Health, Banking, Asset Management and Corporate segments using a financial performance measure we refer to herein as “operating profit”. We define our segment operating profit as income before income taxes and minority interests in earnings, excluding, as applicable for each respective segment, all or some of the following items: income from financial assets and liabilities held for trading (net), realized gains/losses (net), impairments of investments (net), amortization of intangible assets, acquisition-related expenses and restructuring charges. While these excluded items are significant components in understanding and assessing our consolidated financial performance, we believe that the presentation of operating results enhances the understanding and comparability of the performance of our segments by highlighting net income attributable to ongoing segment operations and the underlying profitability of our businesses. For example, we believe that trends in the underlying profitability of our segments can be more clearly identified without the fluctuating effects of the realized gains/losses or impairments of investments, as these are largely dependent on market cycles or issuer specific events over which we have little or no control, and can and do vary, sometimes materially, across periods. Further, the timing of sales that would result in such gains or losses is largely at our discretion. Operating profit is not a substitute for income before income taxes and minority interests in earnings or net income as determined in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (or “IFRS”). Our definition of operating profit may differ from similar measures used by other companies, and may change over time.
12M 06 12M 07 12M 06 12M 07 12M 06 12M 07 12M 06 12M 07 12M 06 12M 07 12M 06 12M 07 12M 06 12M 07
Total revenues (EUR bn) 43.7 44.3 47.4 49.4 7.1 5.7 3.0 3.3 0.0 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 101.1 102.6
Operating profit 6,269 6,299 2,565 2,995 1,422 773 1,290 1,359 -831 -325 -329 -186 10,386 10,915
Non-operating items 1,291 962 135 107 -147 -59 -555 -494 -156 -29 -631 166 -63 653
Income b/ tax, min. 7,560 7,261 2,700 3,102 1,275 714 735 865 -987 -354 -960 -20 10,323 11,568
Income taxes -2,075 -1,656 -641 -897 -263 -266 -278 -342 824 217 420 90 -2,013 -2,854
Minority interests -739 -431 -416 -214 -94 -71 -53 -25 -16 -21 29 14 -1,289 -748
Net income 4,746 5,174 1,643 1,991 918 377 404 498 -179 -158 -511 84 7,021 7,966
Consolidation TotalP/C L/H Banking AM Corporate
A. Group Financial Results 2007
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Group: key figures per quarter (EUR mn)
1) Incl. financial assets and liabilities carried at fair value through income, excluding loan portfolio Banking segment
2005 Delta 2005 2006 20074Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 4Q 07/06 12M 12M 12M
Total revenues(EUR bn) 25.2 29.6 24.1 22.6 24.8 29.3 24.3 23.0 25.9 1.1 100.9 101.1 102.6
Operating profit 1,906 2,677 2,794 2,660 2,255 2,870 3,288 2,604 2,153 -102 8,003 10,386 10,915
Non-operating items -112 354 198 13 -628 1,686 -90 90 -1,033 -405 -174 -63 653
Income b/ tax, min. 1,794 3,031 2,992 2,673 1,627 4,556 3,198 2,694 1,120 -507 7,829 10,323 11,568
Income taxes -556 -899 -357 -797 40 -967 -858 -655 -374 -414 -2,063 -2,013 -2,854
Minority interests -366 -353 -356 -285 -295 -349 -200 -118 -81 214 -1,386 -1,289 -748
Net income 872 1,779 2,279 1,591 1,372 3,240 2,140 1,921 665 -707 4,380 7,021 7,966
Group Assets1 (EUR bn) 467 464 455 469 471 470 463 457 451 -20 467 471 451
2006 2007
A. Group Financial Results 2007
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P/C: key figures and ratios per quarter (EUR mn)
1) Incl. financial assets and liabilities carried at fair value through income
2005 Delta 2005 2006 20074Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 4Q 07/06 12M 12M 12M
Gross premiums written (EUR bn) 9.6 14.1 9.7 10.4 9.4 14.1 10.0 10.7 9.5 0.1 43.7 43.7 44.3
Operating profit 1,286 1,386 1,845 1,727 1,311 1,267 1,894 1,487 1,651 340 5,142 6,269 6,299
Non-operating items 220 428 440 139 284 664 180 252 -134 -418 1,024 1,291 962
Income b/ tax, min. 1,506 1,814 2,285 1,866 1,595 1,931 2,074 1,739 1,517 -78 6,166 7,560 7,261
Income taxes -306 -524 -466 -600 -485 -537 -578 34 -575 -90 -1,804 -2,075 -1,656
Minority interest -270 -190 -237 -177 -135 -214 -116 -65 -36 99 -827 -739 -431
Net income 930 1,100 1,582 1,089 975 1,180 1,380 1,708 906 -69 3,535 4,746 5,174
Combined ratio (in %) 92.5 94.7 91.9 90.2 95.0 96.8 92.9 94.1 90.9 -4.1%-p 94.3 92.9 93.6
Segment assets1 (EUR bn) 98.1 100.0 96.2 99.9 99.8 101.4 99.4 101.9 97.6 -2.2 98.1 99.8 97.6
2006 2007
A. Group Financial Results 2007
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P/C: RoRAC of major OEs(b/min., EUR mn, in %)
1) Risk-adjusted capital is the maximum of internal risk capital (determined in a stochastic process) and local solvency For some smaller operating entities risk capital is based on S&P model
2) Excluding Allianz Re and other smaller German entities 3) Allianz Insurance plc only4) Excluding ART 5) Allianz Global Corporate & Specialty
2006 2007 %-p2006 2007 %
Germany2
FranceItaly
UK3
Spain
Switzerland4
USA
Australia
Credit insurance
AGCS5
New Europe
Asia-Pacific
4,548
2,1732,788
1,100
681
560
2,542
762
1,308
1,631
687
125
3,849
2,0832,616
1,022
654
496
2,361
807
1,656
1,693
832
174
-15.4
-4.1-6.2
-7.1
-4.0
-11.5
-7.2
+5.9
+26.6
+3.8
+21.2
+39.2
21.4
9.822.5
29.4
29.9
24.5
19.5
25.0
23.6
11.6
32.1
20.5
30.6
18.220.7
13.9
28.7
26.6
17.2
25.2
24.9
17.2
25.3
15.2
+9.2
+8.4-1.8
-15.5
-1.2
+2.1
-2.3
+0.2
+1.3
+5.6
-6.8
-5.3
Risk-adjusted capital1 RoRAC
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L/H: key figures and ratios per quarter(EUR mn)
1) Excluding market value liability option
2005 Delta 2005 2006 20074Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 4Q 07/06 12M 12M 12M
Statutory premiums (EUR bn)
13.2 12.8 11.9 9.8 12.8 12.3 11.7 10.2 15.0 2.2 48.3 47.4 49.4
Operating profit 549 723 527 617 698 750 758 873 614 -84 2,094 2,565 2,995
Non-operating items 24 158 -17 -8 2 103 15 9 -20 -22 177 135 107
Income b/ tax, min. 573 881 510 609 700 853 773 882 594 -106 2,271 2,700 3,102
Income taxes -214 -219 -90 -240 -92 -201 -234 -293 -169 -77 -488 -641 -897
Minority interest -67 -128 -92 -81 -115 -99 -60 -26 -29 86 -425 -416 -214
Net income 292 534 328 288 493 553 479 563 396 -97 1,358 1,643 1,991
Stat. expense ratio (in %) 9.3 8.2 9.5 11.3 9.7 7.2 9.6 11.0 10.0 +0.3%-p 8.4 9.6 9.4
Unit linked investments (EUR bn) 54.7 57.7 56.5 59.1 61.9 63.8 67.1 66.3 66.1 4.2 54.7 61.9 66.1
Operating asset base1 (EUR bn) 329.3 332.9 330.5 341.9 345.4 350.7 353.4 354.4 354.2 8.8 329.3 345.4 354.2
2006 2007
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Value of new business (VNB)
L/H: new business values and margins by region(a/min., EUR mn)
1) Including holding expenses and internal reinsurance2) New business value in % of present value of new business premiums
244362
109146
224208
7093
19593
9821,077
3.03.9
3.52.5
3.52.9
4.33.9
2.51.4
3.13.0
Margin (%)2 Comments
129159
3.93.5
Germany
France
Italy
Other W. Europe
USA
Total1
Asia-Pacific
2006
2007
New Europe 4258
6.16.6
VNB increased by 48%Strong volume growth in recurrent annuitiesHigher margins due to tax reform and more detailed modeling of annuitiesAGF minority buy-out led to higher VNBMargin dropped due to legal changes, more competitive products to support volume growth and higher expenses allocated to the life segment12% growth in volume despite continued slowdown in Italian insurance marketMargin under pressure due to change in business mix and more competitive productsVolume growth and AGF minority buy-out increased VNB by 33%Margin remains on high level despite stronger growth in areas with lower margins
VNB affected by adverse FX movements and more competitive pricingVolume shortfall further deteriorated the VNB
VNB increased by 10%Positive impact of minority buy-outsGrowth in Germany, mid-size European companies and growth marketsMargins under pressure in US, Italy and France
VNB increases by 38%: Strong premium growth continues from successful regional initiativesPositive impact of MCEV introduction as risk margins in top-down methodology too conservative
23% increase in VNB mainly driven by higher premium volumes in Taiwan, China, IndonesiaStrong sales in growing businesses in China and Indonesia led to lower overall NB margin
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L/H: overview new business – key profitability indicators (a/min., EUR mn)
1) Shareholder acquired expenses + initial capital binding2) Total including holding expenses and internal reinsurance
-766-1,08617,80320,8132,2262,04031,40536,3033.1%3.0%9821,077Total2
-126-2076211,9148714013,3494,5293.9%3.5%129159Asia
-149-2997,5845,88547597,9436,4112.5%1.4%19593USA
-19-2427335679916878806.1%6.6%4258New Europe
-66-836269021281611,6502,3784.3%3.9%7093Other W. Europe
-158-1403,8364,4894686106,4017,1303.5%2.9%224208Italy
-145-2312,1454,2391061403,0885,7873.5%2.5%109146France
-57-662,7193,0284365788,0539,1883.0%3.9%244362Germany
200620072006200720062007200620072006200720062007
Strain1Single premiumRecurringpremiumPVNBPMarginVNB
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L/H: embedded value and EV profit – continued strong performance in Germany and growth markets absorbed shortfall in the US (a/min., EUR mn)
AZ Life US
New Europe3%
Western Europe
17,002 19,077
3,108New Europe
483575
Asia-Pacific
347
623
2007:21,9272
U.S.13%
Germany 29%
Italy 16%
Other W.-Europe
15%
France 21%
1) 2006r: revised starting value i.e. including initial adjustment2) Total includes holding adjustments (cost and internal reinsurance)
17,874
1,2034
637
567
-144
Asia-Pacific3%
84EV profit-10%3
2006r1 2007
2006r1 2007
2006r1 2007
EV profit+19%3
EV profit+12%3
EV profit+80%3
2006r1 2007
2,782
2,884-1024
A. Group Financial Results 2007
3) Embedded value profit (change in EV after initial adjustments and before capital movement)4) Net capital movement
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1) Excluding goodwill
Adjust for:
IFRS DAC / VOBA
Difference in life- and unallocated profit sharing reserves
Shareholder value of unrealized capital gains included in PVFP
Net amount of asset valuation differences
Differences in tax treatment and other adjustments
Additional value not accounted for in IFRS equity1
Value of inforce in EV 12,557
9,580
L/H: shareholder value not accounted for in IFRS equity (a/min., EUR mn)
-12, 956
9,260
-1,355
218
1,856
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L/H: consistent economic assumptions are appliedfor EV across Allianz Group
Specification 2007 (2006)
Economic assumptions are based on observable market data as of 31.12.2007
CHF 2.9% (2.4%)
KRW 6.1% (5.0%)
CHF 3.4% (2.8%)
KRW 5.6% (5.1%)
CHF 13.0% (16.9%)
KRW 10.6% (10.7%)
CHF 23.7% (17.4%) SMI
Key parameters
Risk free rates (1 year zero coupon rate based on swap rate)
Risk free rate (10 year zero-coupon rate based on swap rate)
Swaption implied volatility(option on 20 year swap with term 10 years at the money)
Equity option implied volatility(10 year equity option at the money)
EUR 28.0% (21.4%) CAC
EUR 4.4% (4.1%)
USD 4.3% (5.4%)
EUR 4.8% (4.3%)
USD 4.8% (5.3%)
EUR 10.5% (11.8%)
USD 13.3% (11.3%)
EUR 27.3% (22.5 %) EuroStoxx
EUR 27.8% (22.5%) DAX
USD 25.9% (20.0%) S&P KRW 36.4% (36.4 %) KOSPI
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L/H: review of embedded value methodology
“The Tillinghast Insurance Consulting practice of Towers Perrin has reviewed the methodology and assumptions used to determine the 2007 embedded value results for the Allianz Group. Our review covered the embedded value as at 31 December 2007, the value of 2007 new business, the analysis of movement in embedded value over 2007 and the sensitivities on the embedded value and new business value. Tillinghast has concluded that the methodology and assumptions used comply with the EEV Principles. In particular
The methodology makes allowance for the aggregate risks in the covered business through the bottom-up methodology as described in Appendix A of the "Allianz European Embedded Value Report 2007";The operating assumptions have been set with appropriate regard to past, current and expected future experience;The economic assumptions used are internally consistent and consistent with observable market data; andFor participating business, the assumed bonus rates, and the allocation of profit between policyholders and shareholders, are consistent with the projection assumptions, established company practice and local market practice.
The methodology and assumptions also comply with the EEV Guidance (noting the disclosed exception concerning look-through profits arising from internal asset management and service agreements, as described in the "Allianz European Embedded Value Report 2007").Tillinghast has also performed limited high-level checks on the results of the calculations and has confirmed that any issues discovered do not have a material impact on the disclosed embedded values and new business values. Tillinghast has not, however, performed detailed checks on the models and processes involved.In arriving at these conclusions, Tillinghast has relied on data and information provided by Allianz SE and its subsidiaries. This opinion is made solely to Allianz SE in accordance with the terms of Tillinghast's engagement letter. To the fullest extent permitted by applicable law, Tillinghast does not accept or assume any responsibility, duty of care or liability to anyone other than Allianz SE for or in connection with its review work, the opinions it has formed, or for any statement set forth in this opinion."
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L/H: RoRAC of major OEs(b/min., EUR mn, in %)
1) Risk adjusted capital is maximum of internal risk capital (determined in a stochastic process) and local solvency.For some smaller operating entities risk capital is based on S&P model
2) Allianz Life USA only
2006 2007 %-p2006 2007 %
Risk adjusted capital1 RoRAC
France
Italy
Switzerland
Belgium
Spain
Netherlands
New Europe
Asia-Pacific
South Korea
German Health
2,348
1,110
542
513
225
170
185
441
686
2,359
1,101
343
471
315
203
247
575
659
+0.5
-0.9
-36.7
-8.2
+39.5
+19.4
+33.2
+30.5
-3.9
22.3
19.6
10.1
10.8
25.7
22.0
22.1
0.9
16.8
14.0
24.8
13.8
10.8
25.1
15.9
19.8
2.6
42.4
-8.3
+5.2
+3.7
0
-0.6
-6.1
-2.3
+1.7
+25.7
German Life 859 507 -41.0 37.4 66.0 +28.6
168 170 +1.1 55.4 48.5 -6.9
USA2 1,692 1,221 -27.8 16.0 18.4 +2.4
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Performance of Growth Markets includingjoint ventures (EUR mn) Non-consolidated entities
Fully consolidated entities
1) Rosno for the first time fully consolidated in 2007
P/C1
Gross premiums written Statutory premiums New business value
Operating profit Operating profit
L/H
3,646 4,614
938456
12M 06 12M 07
428567
5330
12M 06 12M 07
4,560 5,677
1,1201,809
12M 06 12M 07
129
361
-2
26
12M 06 12M 07
71.0 105.076.0
218.0
12M 06 12M 07
4,584 5,070
10.6%
-51.4%
26.5%
481597
24.1%
-43.4%
32.5%
127
387
204.7%
n.a
179.8%
5,6807,486
31.8%
61.5%
24.5%
147323
119.7%
186.8%
47.9%
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Dresdner Bank:key figures and ratios per quarter (EUR mn)
1) Risk weighted assets are end of period values
2005 Delta 2005 2006 20074Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 4Q 07/06 12M 12M 12M
Operating revenues 1,576 1,884 1,628 1,601 1,691 2,023 1,770 1,217 414 -1,277 6,039 6,804 5,424
Operating profit -9 529 238 391 196 677 427 87 -461 -657 630 1,354 730
Non-operating items 186 392 12 -8 -541 115 30 48 -263 278 825 -145 -70
Income b/ taxes, min. 177 921 250 383 -345 792 457 135 -724 -379 1,455 1,209 660
Income taxes -85 -238 -80 -88 170 -158 -44 -173 143 -27 -373 -236 -232
Minority interests -22 -25 -21 -17 -19 -22 -18 -14 -8 11 -82 -82 -62
Net income 70 658 149 278 -194 612 395 -52 -589 -395 1,000 891 366
RWA1 (EUR bn) 111.5 115.9 117.3 119.4 120.0 118.0 118.8 119.2 123.1 3.1 111.5 120.0 123.1
Cost-income ratio (in %) 102.4 73.7 85.1 78.6 82.3 66.9 72.4 91.1 261.6 179.3%-p 91.4 79.7 89.0
2006 2007
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Dresdner Bank PCC and IB:key figures and ratios per quarter (EUR mn)
PCC Delta 2006 2007
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 4Q 07/06 12M 12M
Operating revenues 993 874 864 893 996 882 845 902 9 3,624 3,625
Operating expenses -677 -661 -663 -715 -676 -677 -695 -634 81 -2,716 -2,682
Cost-income ratio (%) 68.2% 75.6% 76.7% 80.1% 67.9% 76.8% 82.2% 70.3% -9.8%-p 74.9% 74.0%
Net loan loss provisions -12 -24 -32 -57 -1 -28 -3 -27 30 -125 -59
Operating profit 304 190 167 122 319 178 146 241 119 783 884
Risk capital (EUR bn, eop) 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 0.0 1.8 1.8
2006 2007
IB Delta 2006 2007
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 4Q 07/06 12M 12M
Operating revenues 865 869 628 749 890 762 348 -372 -1,121 3,111 1,628
Operating expenses -678 -689 -557 -655 -681 -566 -467 -516 139 -2,579 -2,230
Cost-income ratio (%) 78.4% 79.3% 88.7% 87.4% 76.5% 74.3% 134.2% n/a n/a 82.9% 137.0%
Net loan loss provisions 34 0 18 -36 9 -36 -26 -4 32 16 -57
Operating profit 221 181 88 58 219 159 -145 -892 -950 548 -659
Risk capital (EUR bn, eop) 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.1 2.8 2.8 2.8 3.1 0.0 3.1 3.1
2006 2007
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Asset Management:key figures and ratios per quarter (EUR mn)
2005 Delta 2005 2006 20074Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 4Q 07/06 12M 12M 12M
Operating revenues 804 751 726 726 841 780 797 803 879 38 2,722 3,044 3,259
Operating profit 349 304 297 294 395 312 325 330 392 -3 1,132 1,290 1,359
Non-operating items -158 -136 -134 -133 -152 -122 -82 -97 -193 -41 -707 -555 -494
Income b/taxes, min. 191 168 163 161 243 190 243 233 199 -44 425 735 865
Income taxes -80 -65 -62 -67 -84 -80 -101 -87 -74 10 -129 -278 -342
Minority interests -16 -13 -11 -10 -19 -11 -8 -4 -2 17 -52 -53 -25
Net income 95 90 90 84 140 99 134 142 123 -17 244 404 498
Cost-income ratio (in %) 56.6 59.5 59.1 59.5 53.0 60.0 59.2 58.9 55.4 2.4%-p 58.4 57.6 58.3
Third-party AuM (EUR bn) 743 753 721 755 764 781 789 775 765 1 743 764 765
2006 2007
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Other3
Asset Management:AuM mix (EUR bn)
1) Comprises 3rd party AuM managed by AGI, Dresdner Bank and other Allianz Group companies 2) Based on the origination of the assets (AGI only)3) Consists of 3rd party assets managed by Dresdner Bank and other Allianz Group companies, no regional breakdown4) 3rd party AuM in US-Dollar: 523bn, 574bn and 633bn as of 31.12.05, 31.12.06 and 31.12.07, respectively
AuM asset mix
764
8
155
580
7439
169
586 586
AuM client mix
31.12.0731.12.05 31.12.06
Asia-Pacificand rest
United States4
Germany
Europeex Germany
3rd party AuM1 - regional breakdown2
63
91
110
443
4162
112
113
436
4064
116
115
430
7657
172
294
449
303
461 485
280
Equities
Debt securities
OtherInstitutionalRetail
36
764743 765 764743 765
31.12.0731.12.05 31.12.06 31.12.0731.12.05 31.12.06
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Corporate segment:key figures per quarter (EUR mn)
2005 Delta 2005 2006 20074Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 4Q 07/06 12M 12M 12M
Operating profit -201 -180 -74 -331 -246 -101 -10 -155 -59 187 -881 -831 -325
Non-operating items -384 -211 184 27 -156 511 -74 -166 -300 -144 -1,118 -156 -29
Income b/taxes, min. -585 -391 110 -304 -402 410 -84 -321 -359 43 -1,999 -987 -354
Income taxes 133 154 80 180 410 -25 80 -126 288 -122 741 824 217
Minority interests -1 -2 -7 0 -7 -4 -4 -8 -5 2 -10 -16 -21
Net income -453 -239 183 -124 1 381 -8 -455 -76 -77 -1,268 -179 -158
2006 2007
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Group: breakdown of profit consolidations(EUR mn)
Net income 2007
-202L/H
Banking
84288
-2
Intra-groupdividends
Intra-groupgains
Other Total consolidations
Total consolidations
478
-188
-168 Corporate
P/C-38
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Group asset allocation: breakdown per segment(EUR bn)
4Q 06 4Q 07 4Q 06 4Q 07 4Q 06 4Q 07 4Q 06 4Q 07 4Q 06 4Q 07 4Q 06 4Q 07 4Q 06 4Q 07
Equities1 19.1 16.5 42.2 41.2 3.7 3.5 0.1 0.2 9.5 7.2 0.0 0.0 74.6 68.6
Debt sec. 52.3 50.3 138.8 137.6 13.1 12.5 0.7 0.7 8.0 8.4 0.0 0.0 212.9 209.5
Other2 7.9 6.9 6.8 5.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 -5.0 -4.0 10.6 8.9
Sum 79.3 73.7 187.8 184.6 17.6 16.1 0.8 0.9 17.6 15.7 -5.0 -4.0 298.1 287.0
Loans and advances Debt sec. 16.8 20.7 85.8 91.2 329.2 295.5 0.4 0.5 3.0 4.7 -11.4 -15.9 423.8 396.7
Investments & loans 96.1 94.4 273.6 275.8 346.8 311.6 1.2 1.4 20.6 20.4 -16.4 -19.9 721.9 683.7
Fin. assets and liab. designated at fair value3 2.0 1.3 9.9 11.6 5.0 6.3 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.1 -0.1 -0.3 17.9 19.9
Fin. assets and liab. held for trading3 1.7 1.9 -4.1 -3.5 62.3 41.7 0.1 0.0 -0.7 -0.6 0.0 0.0 59.3 39.5
Group assets 99.8 97.6 279.4 283.9 414.1 359.6 2.2 2.3 20.1 19.9 -16.5 -20.2 799.1 743.1
17.9 15.4 39.6 38.0 3.1 2.9 0.1 0.2 9.1 6.6 0.0 0.0 69.8 63.1
1.2 1.1 2.6 3.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.0 4.8 5.5
19.1 16.5 42.2 41.2 3.7 3.5 0.1 0.2 9.5 7.2 0.0 0.0 74.6 68.6
9.5 10.0 2.8 2.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 79.0 87.2 -91.5 -100.1 0.0 0.0
105.6 104.4 276.4 278.5 347.0 311.8 1.2 1.4 99.6 107.6 -107.9 -120.0 721.9 683.7
2.6 2.5 6.1 5.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.6 7.85.3 4.4 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -5.0 -4.0 1.0 1.17.9 6.9 6.8 5.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 -5.0 -4.0 10.6 8.9
1) Equities incl. associated enterprises/ joint ventures, excl. aff iliated enterprises2) Other incl. real estate held for investment and funds held by others under reinsurance contracts assumed3) Net of liabilities
GroupP/C L/H Banking Asset Mgmt. Corporate Consolid.
Equities AFS
Equities assoc. ent. / joint ven.
Investments & loans incl. aff. ent.
Balance sheet itemsInvestments
Equities
OtherFunds under reins. contr. assumedReal estate
Affiliated ent.
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Average AuM P/C and L/H:basis for yield calculation (EUR bn)
31.12.2006 31.12.2007 Avg. 31.12.2006 31.12.2007 Avg.
Equities1 19.1 16.5 17.8 42.2 41.2 41.7Debt sec. 52.3 50.3 51.3 138.8 137.6 138.2
Other2 7.9 6.9 7.4 6.8 5.8 6.3Sum 79.3 73.7 76.5 187.8 184.6 186.2
Loans and advances Debt sec. 16.8 20.7 18.8 85.8 91.2 88.596.1 94.4 95.3 273.6 275.8 274.7
17.9 15.4 16.7 39.6 38.0 38.81.2 1.1 1.2 2.6 3.2 2.9
19.1 16.5 17.8 42.2 41.2 41.79.5 10.0 9.8 2.8 2.7 2.8
105.6 104.4 105.0 276.4 278.5 277.5
2.6 2.5 2.6 6.1 5.1 5.65.3 4.4 4.9 0.7 0.7 0.77.9 6.9 7.4 6.8 5.8 6.3
1) Equities incl. associated enterprises/ joint ventures, excl. aff iliated enterprises2) Other incl. real estate held for investment and funds held by others under reinsurance contracts assumed
Balance sheet items
Other
Equities
Investments & loans
P/C L/H
Funds under reins. contr. assumedReal estate
Affiliated ent.
Equities AFSEquities assoc. ent. / joint ven.
Investments & loans incl. aff. ent.
Investments
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AAA
AA
A
BBB
Non-investment grade
Not rated1
Insurance fixed-income portfolio
Credit rating (in %)
94%Investment
grade
1
1) Investments for which no individual rating information is available. The majority of the overall not rated securities consists of corporate loans/ bonds (e.g. to German public banks)
2) Includes only duration for “available for sale” investments; definition: duration is a measure of the average (cash-weighted) term-to-maturity of bonds
1
Duration2 (years)
TotalInsurance
P/C
L/H
4.5
6.5
Shareholders‘ share of100bp shift: EUR 1.2bn
Shareholders‘ share of100bp shift: EUR 2.0bn
6.2
4.1
5.6
2006200748
53
1714
2222
2007
2006
2007
2006
2007
2006
75
55
6.0
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Investment result: breakdown per segment(EUR mn)
12M 06 12M 07 12M 06 12M 07 12M 06 12M 07 12M 06 12M 07 12M 06 12M 07 12M 06 12M 07 12M 06 12M 07
Operating investment result
Interest and similar income1 4,096 4,473 12,972 13,417 7,312 8,370 112 135 509 855 -1,045 -1,203 23,956 26,047
Inc. fr. fin. assets and liab. carried at FV2 106 144 -361 -945 1,335 -431 38 31 -60 -26 16 15 1,074 -1,212
Realized gains/losses (net) 46 46 3,087 3,579 0 0 0 0 0 0 -24 4 3,109 3,629
Impairments (net) -25 -67 -390 -824 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -415 -891
Investment expenses -300 -322 -750 -833 -47 -14 0 1 -215 -115 204 226 -1,108 -1,057
Subtotal 3,923 4,274 14,558 14,394 8,600 7,925 150 167 234 714 -849 -958 26,616 26,516
Non-operating investment result
Inc. fr. fin. assets and liab. carried at FV 83 -59 0 5 0 0 0 0 -274 77 57 -58 -134 -35
Realized gains/losses (net) 1,746 1,433 195 137 492 83 7 2 861 980 -259 284 3,042 2,919
Impairments (net) -175 -276 0 -3 -215 -90 -2 -1 32 -11 0 0 -360 -381
Subtotal 1,654 1,098 195 139 277 -7 5 1 619 1,046 -202 226 2,548 2,503
Net investment income 5,577 5,372 14,753 14,533 8,877 7,918 155 168 853 1,760 -1,051 -732 29,164 29,019
1) Contains Interest from Loans to Banks and Customers from Banking segment as of EUR 7,310mn (12M 06: EUR 6,509mn)2) Contains income from financial assets and liabilities carried at fair value (EUR 596mn) and operating trading result (EUR -1,808mn)
Corporate Consolidation GroupP/C L/H Banking AM
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P/C: investment income
Average asset base (EUR bn)
Current yield2 (in %)
Equities
Debt securities
Other1
2006 2007
2006 2007
18.3
69.4
17.8
70.1
8.4 7.4
96.1 95.3-0.8%
4.2 3.74.54.7
1) Real estate held for investments and funds held by others under reinsurance contracts assumed 2) Definition: current yield = interest and similar income / average investments and loans at book value (excl. inc. fr. fin. ass./liab. carried at fair value)3) Including policyholder participation
3,727
+377+38
-22
+6 4,126
Fair valueoption /trading
Investmentexpenses
Real.gains/losses &
impairm. ofinvestm. (net)3
+10.7%
Operating investment income (EUR mn)
Interest &
similarincome
2006 2007
10.8 11.6Interest and similar income as % of NPE
A. Group Financial Results 2007
A 78
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L/H: investment income(EUR bn)
Current yield1 (in %)
Harvesting rate2 (in %)
4.8
06 07 06 07
4.9 4.3 4.0
Debt securities Equities
0.0
06 07 06 07
-0.1
6.9 7.3
Debtsecurities
Equities
Interest and similar income
Real. gains/losses/impairm. (net)
10.7
06 07 06 07
11.2
1.6 1.7
Debt securities Equities
06 07
Total4
13.0 13.4
0.1
06 07 06 07
-0.3
2.6 3.0
Debtsecurities
Equities
06 07
Total4
Average investments & loans
2006 2007
+2.1%
1) Definition: current yield = interest and similar income / average investments and loans at book value (excl. inc. fr. fin. ass./liab. carried at fair value)2) Definition: harvesting rate = (realized gains and losses (net) + impairments on investments (net)) / average investments and loans at book value
(excl. income from financial assets/liabilities carried at fair value)3) Includes real estate held for investments and funds held by others under reinsurance contracts assumed4) Includes income from real estate held for investments and funds held by others under reinsurance contracts assumed
268.96.7
37.6
224.6
6.3
41.7
226.7
-5.6%
+10.9%
+0.9%
Other3
Equities
Debtsecurities
274.7
2.9 2.9
A. Group Financial Results 2007
A 79
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Goodwill per segment
Goodwill (EUR bn)
Goodwill31.12.2006
Goodwill31.12.2007
12.1 -0.4-0.5
Currency translation
Additions
L/H
P/C
Asset Management
Banking
Total
2.2
1.6
6.5
1.7
12.1
2.2
2.2
6.2
1.7
12.4
20062007
12.4
Corporate
20062007
20062007
20062007
20062007
20062007
0.10.1
Reclass.into heldfor sale1
+1.2
1) The reclassification relates to the goodwill of Selecta AG
A. Group Financial Results 2007
A 80
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Development of total equity(EUR mn)
Paid-in capital Revenue reserves
Foreign currency translation
adjustments
Unrealized gains and
losses (net)
Shareholders' equity
Minority interests
Total equity
Balance as of 31.12.2006 25,398 13,070 -2,210 13,392 49,650 7,180 56,830
Foreign currency translation adjustments -1,378 -2 -1,380 -214 -1,594
Available for sale investments
Unrealized gains and losses (net) arising during the year -1,123 -1,123 -41 -1,164
Transferred to net income on disposal -2,484 -2,484 -101 -2,585
Cash flow hedges 35 35 35
Miscellaneous -77 -77 116 39
Total income and expense recognized directly in shareholders' equity -77 -1,378 -3,574 -5,029 -240 -5,269
Net income 7,966 7,966 748 8,714
Total recognized income and expense for the year 7,889 -1,378 -3,574 2,937 508 3,445
Paid-in capital 158 158 158
Treasury shares 269 269 269
Transactions between equity holders 2,765 -6,968 -68 652 -3,619 -3,707 -7,326
Dividends paid -1,642 -1,642 -353 -1,995
Balance as of 31.12.2007 28,321 12,618 -3,656 10,470 47,753 3,628 51,381
A. Group Financial Results 2007
A 81
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Shareholders’ share in net off balance sheet reserves (EUR bn)
- Shareholders' share -0.9 -1.5 0.6
- Deferred taxes -0.4 -0.9 0.5 - Minorities - - -
0.1 - Policyholders' share -0.1 -0.2Breakdown of pension deficit
5.60.04
0.60.2
0.85.6 - Total
6.20.2
Off B/S revaluation reserves for investments - Real estate (third party use, own use) - Associated enterprises/joint venture
Δ 06/072007 2006
Breakdown of revaluation reserves
6.4
- Policyholders' share 2.7 2.0 0.7 - Minorities 0.1 0.3 -0.2 - Deferred taxes 1.2 1.2 0.0
- Shareholders' share 2.4 2.1 0.3
Pension deficit -1.4 -2.6 1.2
Net off B/S revaluation reserves shareholders' share 1.5 0.6 0.9
A. Group Financial Results 2007
A 82
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Shareholders’ equity reduced by EUR 0.8bnImpact on equityas of 01.01.2005(EUR m)
Solvency ratioImpact onSolvency ratio
29,995
7,696
29,164
8,467
+771
-272-559
Total equityas of 01.01.05as published
Total equityas of 01.01.05
adjusted
Minorityinterest
Unrealizedgains/losses
Revenuereserves
2005
162%
159%
2006
194%
190%
2007
157%
–
published
adjusted
Minority interestShareholders’ equity
Balance sheet substantiation impact
A. Group Financial Results 2007
A 83
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Risk capital by risk categories
Risk capital breakdown(b/min., group diversified, EUR bn)
Risk capital by segments
2007
33.4
13.9
5.7
2006
Δ
-6.8%
6.5
7.2 +7.7%
-20.3%
-1.1%
+11.6%
Δ
-6.8%
-25.7%
-5.7%
-1.9%
-5.4%
2007
33.4
16.9
5.4
2006
5.6
2.92.6Business
risk
Actuarialrisk
Credit risk
Market risk
+0.7%AM
BA
LH
PC
Corp.
35.8
17.5
5.8
5.8
6.7
35.8
18.0
5.5
5.9
3.82.6
A. Group Financial Results 2007
A 84
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Increase in EPS (EUR)
Basic EPS
2005 2006 2007
18.0017.09
11.24
Diluted EPS
2005 2006 2007
17.7116.78
11.14
A. Group Financial Results 2007
A 85
FIT to Stay on CourseAnalysts’ conferenceFebruary 2008
Paul Achleitner, Member of the Board
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nvestments
inancing
ransactions
I
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B. FIT to Stay on Course
B 2
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Financing highlights 2007
20082007Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Feb
EUR 812mn1 early redemption of 64.35% of BITES with Munich Re shares announced, reducing Allianz‘ stake in Munich Re from 9.4% to below 5%
USD 150mn cat bond transactionfor AGCS (UK flood, North American earthquake (ex California))
EUR 200mn cat bond transaction for Allianz Re
(European windstorm risk)
EUR 1.1bn senior bond issued in 1997
EUR 1.1bn senior bond issued in 2002
EUR 450mn1 redemption of remaining 35.65% of BITES with Munich Re shares announced, reducing Allianz’ stake in Munich Re from below 5% to below 3%
17mn new shares delivered to AGF minority shareholders
B. FIT to Stay on Course
Issuance
Redemption
1) Nominal value at issue
B 3
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Strong capital structure with prudent useof leverageDebt / Equity ratio1
S&P AA-(positive)
A+(stable)
Aa3(stable)
AA(stable)
A+(stable)
Aa3(stable)
End of 2006
End of 2007
AM Best
Moody’s
Financial strength ratings
2004 20072005 2006
22.9% 17.9% 13.9%20.6%
10.5 9.7 9.0 12.2
40.4
47.156.9 51.4
5.3
7.2
7.97.9
Debt / Equity ratio
B. FIT to Stay on Course
Equity Hybrid bonds Senior debt
1) Group excluding bank subsidiaries; nominal value
B 4
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Outstanding bonds1
Balanced maturity structure of issued bonds
Maturity structure1
450
274900
450
1,632 1,500
4,442
1,000
2,000
2008 2009 2012 2016 2020 2022 2025 Perpetual
4.36.2
1.30.5
7.9
7.9
2006 2007
15.4
12.6
EUR bn EUR mn
Exchangeables
Senior bonds
B. FIT to Stay on Course
Subordinated bonds
1) Group excluding bank subsidiaries; nominal value
B 5
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Improved capital efficiency
Target: Free up and upstream EUR 10.4bn local Excess Capital to Allianz SE by 2009 (EUR bn)
2007completed
1.5
2.6
6.3
2008in progress
2009planned
Germany
Banking
Europe w/o Germany
3.1
1.210.4
2.0
B. FIT to Stay on Course
Virtuous circle:
100% ownershipof subsidiaries
allows full upstreamof earnings
Upstreamedexcess capital
helps fundminority buyouts
B 6
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Strong capital position enables optimizeddividend policy (EUR mn)
2005 2006 2007
AGF7,121
EUR 2.00
1.6%
EUR 3.80
2.5%
62%1
EUR 5.50
3.7%
120%1
Dividend per share
Dividend yield
Payout ratio incl. cash used in buyouts
4,3807,021
8111,642 2,473
7,966RAS2,707
Payout ratio 19%
23%
31%Net income
Dividend payout
Cash used in buyouts
B. FIT to Stay on Course
1) Adjusted for cash used in AGF and RAS buyouts
B 7
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inancing
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B. FIT to Stay on Course
B 8
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Allianz Investment Management (AIM): Improved governance and more effective decision processes
Concentration of dispersed national investment activities in one global organization
OEs outsource the investment management function to AIM
AIM manages the Group's insurance assets
AIM
Basic principles1
ALM/SAA optimization
DAA TAA/segm. picking
AM selection
Asset management
Liabilities RBC allocation
CFO (OE) CIO (OE)/AGIRegional AIM Center AGI/External
Benefits Enhances capability to invest proactively on a global scale
Enhances risk management and steering capabilities
Ensures Group-wide application of investment best practice
B. FIT to Stay on Course
1) RBC = Risk based capital, ALM = Asset liability management, SAA = Strategic asset allocation, DAA = Dynamic asset allocation,TAA = Tactical asset allocation, AM = Asset manager
B 9
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AIM portfolio – Overview
Group investments and loans1
(EUR bn)
374390
2005 20072006
390
Debt instruments
Equities2
OthersReal estate3
79%
1%2%
18%
B. FIT to Stay on Course
1) Investments & loans excluding debt portfolios Banking and Asset Management2) Economic equity quota at 15%, i.e. after hedge3) Real estate 3rd party use at IFRS book value of EUR 7.8bn (fair value EUR 12.0bn). Not included: Real estate
own use EUR 3.7bn (fair value EUR 5.1bn) and real estate held for sale EUR 1.9bn (fair value EUR 2.5bn) B 10
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By industry5
AIM portfolio - EquitiesFurther improvement
Net unrealized gains/losses (EUR bn)
B. FIT to Stay on Course
2005 2006 2007
19.0
26.622.5
8.613.2 11.0
Gross Net of policyholder, taxes and minorities
Financials 28%
Utilities 13%
Materials 13%
Industrials 12%
Consumer Staples 8%
Other 19%
Energy 7%
thereof:
Munich Re6
Zagrebacka
Banco Pop.
Unicredito
ICBC
561
624
1,331
1,819
3,138
Low equity cluster risks (EUR bn)1 Regional diversification4 (%)
Germany 29%
Euroland ex Germany 37%
Europe ex Euroland 17%
Nafta 5%
Rest of World 12%Heidelberger Druckm.
SGS
GEA
Beiersdorf
Linde3
Top 5 (EUR mn)68.6 bn2
5%
243
336
458
883
900
1) Non-strategic and non real-estate holdings with market value ≥ EUR 50mn and stake ≥ 5% as of 31/12/20072) Equity investments held available for sale, affiliates, associates and JVs3) Economic exposure as of 31/12/2007
4) Equity investments held available for sale5) Publicly listed equities held available for sale6) After redemption BITES 27/02/2008 B 11
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Group equity gearing reduced to target level(EUR bn)
Reconciliation of net equity exposure Equity gearingat 31/12/2007
16.7
-6.4
Grossequity
exposure
Policy-holders
Def.taxes/min.
Hedge Net equity
exposure
44.6
-37.9-5.3
9.34.73.4
72.91
23.3
11.94.63.7
29.5
2006
7.2 0.9
5.3
0.6
8.70.6
1.1 0.8 0.7 0.6
37.7
Netequity
exposure
NAV2Marketmovem.
Net divest-mentsNet equity
exposure
21.9-6.0
2004 2005 2006
23.6
29.5
-0.223.3
2007
B. FIT to Stay on Course
Banking L/H P/CCorporate AM
1) Equity investments held available for sale and designated at fair value; associated enterprises, non consolidated affiliated enterprises and JVs2) Shareholder’s equity + shareholders’ share of off-balance sheet reserves excluding goodwill
3.5
B 12
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Good timing of equity harvesting(EUR bn)
+21% +15% +7%DJ EURO STOXX 50
Harvesting rate2
Net in-/divestments1
2007
8.5%
-9.920062005
7.6%7.2%
1.6-0.8
Major divestments in 2007 around market peaks
Comfortable reserves on equity of EUR 22.5bn
2008
Unrealized gains/losses 22.526.619.0
B. FIT to Stay on Course
1) Net investments on available for sale equity portfolio including forward/futures sales. Before policyholder participation, taxes and minorities2) Harvesting rate = (Realized gains/losses and net impairments and write-ups on equities) / (Average equity investments held available for sale, affiliates, associates and JVs)
B 13
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Virtually no subprime exposure in insurance portfolio: EUR 0.1bn
AIM portfolio – Debt instrumentsHigh quality
By duration3 (years)
By type of issuer
By region
By ratingTotalEUR 313bn1
Other 1%
Government & Agency 37%
Pfandbrief (Covered bond) 31%
Corporate 25%
ABS/MBS 6%
Germany 48%
Euroland ex Germany 32%
NAFTA 11%
Europe ex Euroland 5%
Other 4%
5.66.0
2006 2007
6.26.5
2006 2007Total insurance Property / Casualty Life / Health
Below / not rated2 6%
AAA 53%
AA 14%
A 22%
BBB 5%
B. FIT to Stay on Course
4.5 4.1
2006 2007
1) Debt portfolio from P/C, L/H and Corporate2) Investments for which no individual rating information is available. The majority consists of corporate loans/ bonds (e.g. to German public banks)3) Duration for available for sale debt investments B 14
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1) The exposure of the insurance portfolios to wrapped securities as of 31.12.2007 amounts to EUR 390mn and mainly relates to municipal bonds2) Notional of credit default protection sold
Mezzanine & Equity CDO72mn
Senior CDO445mn
AIM portfolio – Sensitive assets Debt portfolio from P/C, L/H and Corporate (EUR)
Low exposure to CDOs and Monoliners
Impairments -19mnRealized losses -16mn
Change in fair value adjustment in shareholders’ equity +54mn
Strong rating
Sector allocation
Negligible impact 2007
Almost no subprimeSecurities with subprime exposure 0.1bn
Details ABS portfolio
Financial implications
Gov. Agency 39%CMBS/RMBS 34%Other MBS 8%Credit Card 7%Other 12%
AAA 95%AA 1%A 1%BBB 1%Below or unrated 2%
2
3
4
ABSDebtportfolio
thereof
Wrapped ABS securities protected
by Monoliners1
CDS2
30mn18mn
CDOs
517mn
19.8bn
0.006%of total
0.01%of total
6%of total
0.2%of total
B. FIT to Stay on Course
1
313bn
B 15
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AIM portfolio – Real estate Improved allocation By regions: less skewed towards Germany
By sector 2007 Unrealized gains (off-balance sheet)
24%
10%
14%
6%
46%
Total EUR 17bn1Total EUR 20bn
2006 2007
2006 2007
EUR 5.6bn EUR 5.6bn1
31%
12%
18%
6%
33%
FranceGermany
SwitzerlandRest of EuropeRest of World
19%
5%6%
70%Office
Residential
Retail
Other / Mixed
Germany (2007)Sale of two portfolios
EUR 1.3bn to IVG Immobilien AGEUR 1.7bn to Whitehall (Goldman Sachs)
B. FIT to Stay on Course
Rebalancing
1) Excluding sold but not yet transferred properties held for sale (EUR 2.5bn)
B 16
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inancing
ransactions
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B. FIT to Stay on Course
B 17
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Simplified structure today
“Streamlining” transactions successfully continued –Complexity reduced
Allianz SE1
Allianz Italy
Allianz Elementar
99.8%
100%
Mondial
Euler Hermes
100%
70.6%
ADAG(AZ Leben2, AZ Vers, PKV, ABV)3
100%
100%
Allianz Seguros100%
AGF
Netherlands100%
Belgium100%
In 2007
AGF minority buyout and squeeze out (investment EUR 9.7bn)
Creation of Allianz S.p.A in Italy (Integration of RAS, Lloyd Adriatico, Allianz Subalpina)
AZ Leben minority buyout now possible as squeeze-out threshold achieved
Allianz Suisse100%
B. FIT to Stay on Course
1) Directly or indirectly held2) Squeeze out planned at Annual General Meeting 7/5/20083) AZ Versicherungs-AG, Allianz Private Krankenversicherung, Allianz Beratungs- und Vertriebs-AG B 18
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Other transactions carefully selected –Strong position in “Growth Markets” secured
Market positionCountry Company Deal status
Russia
Kazakhstan
Malaysia
Taiwan
Total investments in Growth Markets approx. EUR 1.0bn
Selected divestitures
Allianz Hana Life (Korea), Adriatica de Seguros (Venezuela), Tindall Riley (UK),Fondsdepotbank (Germany), RAS Fin (Italy), DEGI (Germany)
ROSNO
Progress - Garant
ATF Polis
Commerce Assurance Berhad
Allianz Taiwan Life
Top 3 in Russiaand CIS Region
Top 4
Top 2 in Non-life
Top 4 in Life
B. FIT to Stay on Course
B 19
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Takeaways
Strong capital position
Well financed
Efficient capital management
Solid and well-diversified investment portfolio
Conservative risk-return profile
Focused and disciplined acquisition strategy
1
2
3
4
5
6
B. FIT to Stay on Course
B 20
Staying on CourseAnalysts’ conferenceFebruary 2008
Michael Diekmann, CEO
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What you can expect from us
A. Trimming the ship
Strong core business Extremely strong franchise
Concentrate capital in ourmost profitable segments
Focus on operational discipline Improve the strong
Turnaround the weak
Well managed capital base Strong capital relative to peers
Reduced gearing
... and my personal commitment to “trim the ship”
Strong core business Extremely strong franchise
Concentrate capital in ourmost profitable segments
Focus on operational discipline Improve the strong
Turnaround the weak
Well managed capital base Strong capital relative to peers
Reduced gearing
... and my personal commitment to “trim the ship”
A 14A 14
First 5 years on the job – time to take stock
Extract fromanalysts’ presentation
March 2003
C. Staying on Course
C 2
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1) Hurdle rates for revenue growth: P/C 2%, L/H 7%, Banking 6%, Asset Management 10%2) CoC: Insurance and Asset Management 7.6%, Banking 8.4%, Growth Markets higher depending on country3) Thereof Dresdner Bank 2002 28%-p, 2007 16%-p
96110
Revenuegrowth
Strategic growers OutperformersValue growers
CoC2 15%
Underperformers Optimizers
2119
413
163913
44
11
RoRACNHurdlerates1
2002 2007 2002 2007 2002 2007
2002 2007 2002 2007 2002 2007
-9%-p +3%-p +2%-p
-25%-p -4%-p +33%-p
Taking stock: capital allocation significantly improvedSplit of Risk-Adjusted Capital (%)
C. Staying on Course
C 3
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Taking stock: operational discipline maintained
Net income (EUR bn)
Dividend (EUR)
Operating profit (EUR bn)
Return on Risk-Adjusted Capital (%)
2002 2003 2007
4.0
10.9CAGR 29%
n.a.
2.7
8.0
CAGR 31%
-3.2
2002 2003 2007
12.9
21.4
+18.3%-p
3.1
2002 2003 2007
1.5
5.5
1.5
2003 20072002
CAGR 30%
C. Staying on Course
C 4
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Taking stock: capital base strengthened
Shareholders’ equity (EUR bn) Risk capital coverage ratio1 (%)
1) Available funds in percent of Risk Capital2) Net equity exposure attributable to shareholders divided by net asset value excluding goodwill3) Financial conglomerate solvency ratio 2003 pro forma only
2002 2003 2007
140
62
-198%-p260
Equity gearing2 (%) Solvency ratio3 (%)
2002 2003 2007
28.0
47.8
21.0
2002 2003 2007
103
157
+54%-p
n.a.
2002 2003 2007
133
195+62%-p
n.a.
CAGR 18%
C. Staying on Course
C 5
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2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Taking stock: long-term trend for Dresdner Bank – 2007 operating profit despite credit crisisOperating profit Dresdner Bank1
(EUR mn)
454630 730
-1,074
1,354
-2,230
CAGR 17%
C. Staying on Course
1) 2002: operating result, 2003 - 2007: operating profit
C 6
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Taking stock: complexity reduced
1) Fully diluted including stock options and treasury shares
Starting position Today
Allianz SE
Allianz Suisse
Mondial
AGF
50%
100%
Allianz Portugal
ADAG
Allianz Seguros51.7%
Netherlands
Belgium
Euler Hermes
Allianz Italy S.p.A.
Rosno
100%
100%
70.6%
50%
48.3%
Allianz Health 100%
100%
Allianz Leben91%
BVB90%
Frankfurter100%
99.7%
30.2%
49.9%
48.3%
3.3%
55.4%
58.6%1
RAS
Lloyd Adriatico
Allianz Suisse 69.8%
50.1%
48.3%Allianz Seguros
50%
Netherlands
Belgium
100%
100%
70.6%
50%
Mondial
Allianz P/C
47.4%
Allianz AG
Rosno
Allianz Portugal
Allianz Taiwan50%Allianz Taiwan
Euler Hermes
100%
Allianz Elementar100%
64.9%
100%
99.8%
96.5%
100%
Allianz Elementar
64.9%
AGF
68% PIMCO
98%PIMCO
C. Staying on Course
C 7
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Taking stock: strong base for future growth
2002 2007
60
Customers (mn)
80
33%
67%
33%
Maturemarkets
Growthmarkets
20 mn new customersin five years
One third of customer base in fast growing markets
C. Staying on Course
C 8
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What you can expect from us
A. Trimming the ship
Strong core business Extremely strong franchise
Concentrate capital in ourmost profitable segments
Focus on operational discipline Improve the strong
Turnaround the weak
Well managed capital base Strong capital relative to peers
Reduced gearing
... and my personal commitment to “trim the ship”
Strong core business Extremely strong franchise
Concentrate capital in ourmost profitable segments
Focus on operational discipline Improve the strong
Turnaround the weak
Well managed capital base Strong capital relative to peers
Reduced gearing
... and my personal commitment to “trim the ship”
A 14A 14
Taking stock after first 5 years: ship well trimmed
C. Staying on Course
C 9
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Operating loss ininvestment bankingBad
Revenues US life businessExpense ratio P/C
More than 90% of business in line with expectationsStrong earnings in challenging environmentStrong capitalizationValue enhancing transactionsWell positioned for 2008
2007 at a glance – the CEO’s assessment
Good
Mediocre
Focus2008
C. Staying on Course
C 10
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Good diversification of Allianz Group supports earnings …Operating profit(EUR bn)
Strong … … and well diversified
1) Adjusted for exceptionally low level of natural catastrophes (minus EUR 400mn)2) Share of segments P/C, L/H, Banking, AM / regions in total operating profit
2006 2007
10.910.01
+9%
Segments2 Regions2
P/C55%L/H
26%
AM12%7%
Banking
Germany37%
Rest ofEurope29%
NAFTA19%
Asia/Specialties
15%
C. Staying on Course
C 11
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… and growth even in challenging environment …
Internal growth1
(%)
Emergingmarkets2
Maturemarkets
Segment Emergingmarkets2
Maturemarkets
Segment
-0.9
+10.0
+1.1
+26.1
+4.1
+6.3
Property/Casualty Life/Health
C. Staying on Course
1) Adjusted for F/X effects and (de) consolidation effects. Internal growth on segment level is based on segment consolidated data. L/H is based on statutory premiums2) “Emerging Markets“ comprise New Europe, Asia-Pacific (excl. Australia but including South Korea), Middle East & Africa, South America and Mexico
C 12
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… and a strong dividend increase
Dividend per share (EUR)
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Proposed dividend up 45% versus 2006 despite high cash outflow for AGF and AZ Leben minorities
Payout ratio to increase from23% to 31%
1.50
5.501
CAGR 30%
1.75 2.00
3.80
1) Subject to approval of AGM
1.50
C. Staying on Course
C 13
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Reduced complexity
Improved market position
Optimized asset structure
Progress Garant (Russia)ATF Polis (Kazakhstan)Commerce Assurance Berhad(Malaysia)
AGF minorities (France)Allianz Leben minorities (Germany)1)
Rosno minorities (Russia)Allianz President Life minorities (Taiwan)KOC Allianz minorities (Turkey)2)
Steady optimization of Group structure continues
M&A transactions 2007/2008 Acquisitions Sales
Hana Bank JVAZ VenezuelaDEGI (Germany)
Two real estate portfolios (Germany)
1) In progress2) Still in negotiation
C. Staying on Course
C 14
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Management responsibilities adapted to new environment
Management board Allianz SE
Functional responsibilities Global respons. Regional responsibilities
Diekmann Perlet Achleitner Bäte Faber Walter Cucchiani Thierry Rupprecht Booth
CEO ControllingReporting
Risk
Finance COO AssetMgmt.
Banking InsuranceEurope 1
InsuranceEurope 2
InsuranceGermanspeakingcountries
InsuranceAnglo-BM
GloballinesRe-
insurance
OTP Sustain-ability P/C
Sustain-ability L/H
IT Sustain-ability P/Cmid-size
corp.
New function:Top-level responsibility
for global harmonization and optimization ofproduction process
Zedelius
InsuranceGrowthMarkets
CFIi2s
C. Staying on Course
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The Operational Transformation Program (OTP)Steps
Target Operating Model
Best in class
Local reorganizationsSustainabilityCustomer Focus Initiative
Implement best-practice operating model to improve competitive position
Vastly improve efficiency and quality standards of delivery
Combine with other Group initiatives
OTPintegrates all
existing initiatives related to operational
improvement
C. Staying on Course
C 16
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Acquisitionexpenses
Admin.expenses 4,321
6,269
2006
+0.2%
2007
4,124
6,492
10,59010,616
% of NPE
11.4
16.5
10.7
16.8
P/C: first sign of impacts from group initiatives (EUR mn)
F/Xeffect
2007Integration Italy
Lowerrun rate
+99-44 4,124
-216
4,321
2006
Administrative expense movements
Acquirednew &
change inbusiness
+56
-92
Pro-formaadj.
C. Staying on Course
-216
C 17
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Growth potential through customer focus
1) Split of all lines of business covered by top-down Net Promoter Score (NPS) measurement (in total about 80% of Allianz GWP)2) Mature markets only (excl. New Europe, Asia, BRIC)3) 2007 NPS development in % of measured GPW: 61% up, 19% unchanged, 20% down
23
14
6
35
Loyalty leader
NPS above local market average
NPS at local market average
NPS below local market average
GPW growth 20072
%
Loyalty leader in all local
markets3
Aspiration 2010
-0.6
1.6
3.1
6.6
EUR bn GPW 20071
C. Staying on Course
C 18
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Outlook 2007 – 2009 still achievable
10% operating profit CAGR from adjusted 2006 basis1
Ø combined ratio< 94%
P/C L/H
Ø new business margin > 3%
Banking
Ø RoRAC >15%
AM
10% 3rd party AuM CAGR2
C. Staying on Course
1) Adjusted operating profit 2006: EUR 10bn 2) Before F/X impact
Subject to stabilization of financial markets in 2009Further mark-downs for fiscal 2008 cannot be ruled outNat Cat not predictable
C 19
Impact of the Credit Crisison Dresdner BankAnalysts’ conferenceFebruary 2008
Helmut Perlet, Member of the Board
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Key indicators of credit crisis
Overnight LIBOR in %
5%
3%
4%
Oct. Nov. Jan.Dec.
USD
EUR
Stock MarketsDJ Euro STOXX / DJ Euro STOXX Banks110%
100%
70%
-15%
-19%
90%
80%
Oct. Nov. Jan.Dec.
STOXX Banks
Euro STOXX
D. Impact of the Credit Crisis on Dresdner Bank
ABX Index (ABX.HE 06-02 AAA)
100
80
75
90
Jan. 07 Jan. 08
AAA Rating
85
95
May 07 Sep. 07Mar. 07 Jul. 07 Nov. 07
D 2
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Cracks in the US housing market spread across financial assets – risk to real economy growing
Financial EconomyReal Economy
Weakness in theUS housing market
1 Subprime losses impact banking system, but unclear who is affected
2
Impact to GDP growth via business investment and falling consumption
4 Confidence falls and liquidity drops: CP market freezes, risk premiums widen
3
D. Impact of the Credit Crisis on Dresdner Bank
D 3
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Unwinding of shadow banking system is impacting real economy
Shadow banking systemBanks created off-balance sheetsolutions funded with short-termnotes (regulatory arbitrage) Hedge funds and unregulated entities became lenders through structured products and other leveraged vehicles
“Old World”Banks issued direct loans, which remained on their balance sheetsCentral banks had strong control of money supply via discount rates
ImpactUnwinding of shadow banking system is reducing availability of credit for borrowersTighter credit conditions are impairing economic growth
D. Impact of the Credit Crisis on Dresdner Bank
D 4
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Overview: key areas of focus
Negative P&L impact(EUR mn)
Exposure(EUR bn)
FY 074Q 0731.12.0730.09.07
4.9 4.5 0 30
Exposure definition
1. LBO commitments
2. Conduits business
Gross exposure
Drawn and funded amounts 1.7 4.0 0 0
2.1 1.5 553 759
3. ABS trading
a. CDOs
b. US-RMBS
Net exposure1
Net exposure1 1.6 1.4 240 327
4. Credit enhancements 47 49
0.85. Monolines
6. K2
Net counterparty risk2
Capital note / liquidity line 0.2 0.2 0 13
Area of focus
0.7 323 533
1) After write-downs2) Gross counterparty risk (mark-to-market plus add-on) after protection bought on monoliners3) Before gain on secondary protection
D. Impact of the Credit Crisis on Dresdner Bank
Gap risk / second loss 13.3 2.9
D 5
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Development of exposure(EUR bn)
Breakdown by region(%)
LBO business: strict underwriting discipline
Exposure reduced from EUR 4.9bn to EUR 4.5bn
Drawn amounts in syndication increased
US exposure negligible
No new provisions in 4Q
30.09.07 31.12.07
2.1
4.5
1.1
3.0
Final hold
Drawn amounts
55%
10%
31%
4%
Germany
Scandinavia
UnitedKingdom
USAGermany
Scandinavia
United Kingdom
USA
1.6
1.2
4.90.4
Undrawn
In syndication
D. Impact of the Credit Crisis on Dresdner Bank
D 6
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Breakdown of underlying asset pool by rating(%)
Liquidity back-up lines (EUR bn)
Conduit business: purely client driven
Dresdner Bank runs 2 multi-seller conduits
Client business only, no arbitrage conduits
Underlying pool of assets of good quality, no subprime, no CDOs
Conduits are fully consolidated under IFRS
No negative P&L impact
1) Including unrated
AAA
AA
A
BBB
< BBB1
18%
33%
23%
22%
4%
AAA
AAA
BBB
< BBB
UndrawnABCP2.7Drawn1.330.09.07 31.12.07
14.512.4
8.4
D. Impact of the Credit Crisis on Dresdner Bank
D 7
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Breakdown of exposure by rating1
Exposure 31.12.07 (EUR bn)
ABS trading: US-RMBS and CDOs in focus
Net ABS exposure after write-downs EUR 9.2bn
High portfolio quality with 89% of net exposure before write-downs rated A or better
Remaining subprime exposure(after write-down) of approximatelyEUR 1bn
AAA
AA
A
BBB
BB and below
74%
11%
4%
4%
7%
AAA
AA
ABBB
BB and below
ABStrading
Write-downs
US-RMBS
CDOsOtherABS
10.59.2 6.3
1.3
1.51.4
Critical ABS
YTD write-downs
Exp. before write-downs
of which subprime
1.3
10.5
0.2 0.3 0.8
1.7 2.3
0.6 1.0
6.5
01.6
1) Ratings as of 31.12.07, before write-downs
D. Impact of the Credit Crisis on Dresdner Bank
D 8
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US-RMBS and CDO: valuation based on observable marks (EUR mn)
Valuation based on observable marks (“Level 2”), in particular on available 3rd party quotes and / or ABX indexes
More than 70% vintages 2006 or before
No CDO-squared
Remaining US-RMBS subprime and CDO mezzanine book value EUR 544mn
80%534667Mezzanine
CDO
14%2251,615High grade
0%00CDO-squared1
20%3271,666Total US-RMBS
US-RMBS
33%7592,282Total CDO
33%206617Subprime
15%50336Midprime
10%71713Prime
In % of exposure
Write-downs2007
Exposure31.12.07
Exposure type
1) CDO-squared: CDO that is predominantly composed of other CDOs
D. Impact of the Credit Crisis on Dresdner Bank
D 9
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US-RMBS and CDO: breakdown by vintage and rating
US-RMBS
Breakdown by rating1
AAA
AA
A
28%
51%
13%
4%
4%BB and below
BBB
AAA
AA
ABBB
BB
2007
2006
2005
23%
62%
15%
0%2004and before
2007
2006
2005
Breakdown by vintage
AAA
AA
A
67%
20%
4%
3%
6%BB and below
BBBAAA
AA
ABBB
Breakdown by rating1
CDO
2007
2006
2005
27%
42%
31%
0%2004and before
2007
2006
2005
Breakdown by vintage
BB and below
D. Impact of the Credit Crisis on Dresdner Bank
1) Ratings as of 31.12.2007, before write-downs
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Credit enhancements: exposure significantly reduced
Under CAFE structures (Credit Asset FinancingEntity) Dresdner Bank provides gap risk protection
Off-balance sheet
No significant exposure left
P&L hit in 4Q EUR 37mn
Under CIRC structures (Credit Investment RelatedConduits) – Dresdner Bank provides second lossprotection
On balance sheetSubprime component EUR 0.4bn for first and second lossOn average ~10% distance to loss triggers
Exposure(EUR bn)
30.09.07
9.7
0.1
Breakdown of CIRC exposure by product
CDO
RMBS
OtherABS
CMBS
14% 14%
38% 34%
31.12.07 30.09.07
3.6 2.8
31.12.07
CAFE CIRC
0 -37 -2 -12P&L YTD(EUR mn)
D. Impact of the Credit Crisis on Dresdner Bank
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Monoliners: 2nd line of defense
Third partyABS exposure
Dresdner Bankcash / synthetic
exposure
Monolineinsurer
CDS1 protection sold
CDS protection bought
Other Bank
CDS protection on monoliner bought
Under-lyingABS
perfor-mance
Monoliner performance
DefaultNo default
No lossNo default No loss
LossNo lossDefault
Loss equals guaranteed amount minus underlying ABS value
Gap between CDS notional and fair value of underlying ABS (mark-to-market movement)
Creditworthiness of monoliners
Duration of coverage
Credit protection on monoliners
P&L impact:
1) Credit Default Swap
Basic structure Ultimate loss
D. Impact of the Credit Crisis on Dresdner Bank
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ABS (notionals) insured by monoliners(EUR bn)
Net counterparty risk exposure(EUR bn)
Monoliners: underlyings of good quality,net counterparty risk below EUR 1bn
Of total ABS insured by monolinersEUR 1.1bn are regarded as critical
Gross counterparty risk againstmonoliners amounts to EUR 1.2bn
Gross counterparty risk againstmonoliners is partially insured through protection bought from third parties
Net counterparty risk EUR 0.8bn
ABS insuredby monoliner
15.9
OtherABS
OtherUS-RMBS
Criticalassets
11.3
3.51.1
Grosscounterparty
risk
Protectionbought onmonoliners
Netcounterparty
risk
1.2 0.4
0.8Add-on
MtM
D. Impact of the Credit Crisis on Dresdner Bank
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K2 – restructuring plan offered
K2 is a Structured Investment Vehicle (SIV)
K2 is refinanced by CPs / MTNs, Repos and Capital Notes
More than 95% of K2’s cash assets are rated Aaa / Aa1 (no subprime / no CDOs)
Volume of K2 has been significantly reduced since September 2007 via asset sales and vertical slicing
Support from Dresdner Bank to avoid potential downgrade by rating agencies
Restructuring plan was offered to K2 to ensure repayment of all senior debt
AAA
AA
A
59.5%
36.1%
3.7%
0.7%
0%BB and below
BBB
AAAAA
A
BBB
Asset quality (%)
Volume K2(EUR bn)
31.12.0730.09.07
23.3
16.420.4
2.9
13.5
2.9
Financialinstitutions54.9
ABS / Structuredfinance
40.7
Sovereigns4.4
1) According to Moody’s
Cash assets
CDS
D. Impact of the Credit Crisis on Dresdner Bank
D 14
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Key takeaways
Financial crisis has hit Dresdner Bank in few selected DKIB trading businesses, i.e. credit business
Critical ABS positions (US-RMBS / CDOs) have been written-down in line with market practice; remaining book value of subprime US-RMBS and mezzanine CDOs of EUR 544mn
Monoline exposure manageable and partially hedged (net counterparty risk EUR 0.8bn)
CAFE / CIRC exposure (gap risk / second loss) significantly reduced
No further write-downs on LBO exposure in 4Q required
Conduits with low-risk client business only
Support facility for K2 offered
D. Impact of the Credit Crisis on Dresdner Bank
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GlossaryAnalysts’ conferenceFebruary 2008
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Glossary
Beginning of periodbop
Asset-backed Securities are structured bonds or notes collateralized by a pool of assets such as loans, bonds or mortgages. Given, that characteristics of the collaterals vary considerably (with regard to asset class, quality, maturity etc.), asset-backed securities do so as well
Asset-backed securities (ABS)
An asset-backed commercial paper is an interest bearing short-term note that is based on pools of assets, or collateralized by the cash flows from a specified pool of underlying assets
Asset-backed commercial paper (ABCP)
Ratios calculated by banks conducting international business, in accordance with theBasel Capital Accord drawn up under the guidance of the Bank for International Settlements- Tier I ratio: Relation of core capital to risk-weighted assets. Core capital (Tier I capital) mainly consists of
shareholders’ equity and minority interest, hybrid capital plus other adjustments- Total capital ratio: Relation of Tier I plus Tier II capital to risk-weighted assets. Tier II capital (supplementary
capital) comprises profit participation certificates, subordinated liabilities and revaluation reserves on securities and other adjustments
Capital ratios (BIS)
Basket index tracking equity-linked securitiesBITES
Allianz Global InvestorsAGI
Allianz Global Corporate & SpecialtyAGCS
Annual General MeetingAGM
The total of all investments, valued at current market value, which the Group has under management with responsibility for maintaining and improving their performance. In addition to the Group´s own investments, they include investments held under management for third parties.
Assets under management (AuM)
Allianz Risk Transfer ART
Allianz Investment ManagementAIM
Securities available for saleAFS
Allianz Deutschland AGADAG
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Glossary
A credit default swap is a bilateral contract under which two counterparties agree to isolate and separately trade the credit risk of at least one third-party reference entity. Under a credit default swap agreement, a protection buyer pays a periodic fee to a protection seller in exchange for a contingent payment by the seller upon a credit event such as a default or failure to pay
Credit Default Swap (CDS)
A structured debt instrument that securitizes securities such as bonds, loans, asset-backed securities or credit default swaps
Credit Default Obligation (CDO)
The contracts to which the EEV methodology has been applied, in line with the EEV principlesCovered business
Represents ratio of total loan loss provisions to total risk elements according to SEC guide 3 (non-performing loans and potential problem loans) or available risk bearing funds divided by risk capital
Coverage ratio
Represents operating expenses divided by operating revenuesCost-income ratio (CIR)
Interest and similar income / average investments and loans at book value (excl. inc. fr. fin. ass./liab. carried at fair value)
Current yield
“CAGR” is the year-over-year growth rate over a multiple-year periodCompound annual growth rate
Debt instruments that are backed by portfolios of mortgages on commercial rather than residential real estate
Commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS)
Sum of loss ratio and expense ratioCombined ratio
Debt security issued against a portfolio of commercial loans with different degrees of credit qualityCollateralized loan obligation (CLO)
A structured debt instrument that securitizes securities such as bonds, loans, asset-backed securities or credit default swaps. CDOs break up into various tranches, with senior tranches offering the least return and the bottom tranches offering high return for taking the most risk
Collateralized debt obligation (CDO)
Commonwealth of Independent StatesCIS
Customer focus initiativeCFI
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Glossary
Net asset value (NAV) – risk-adjusted capital (RAC)Excess capital
Equity exposure (attributable to shareholders) divided by NAV excluding goodwillEquity gearing
The equity exposure is the part of investments and loans invested in equity securitiesEquity exposure
Ratio calculated by dividing the consolidated profit or loss for the year by the average number of shares issued. For calculating diluted earnings per share the number of shares and the profit or loss for the year are adjusted by the dilutive effects of any rights to subscribe for shares which have been or can still be exercised. Subscription rights arise in connection with issues of convertible bonds or share options
EPS: Earnings per share (basic/diluted)
End of periodeop
Change in EV after initial adjustments and before capital movementEmbedded value profit
Embedded value (or “EV”) estimates shareholders’ economic value of the in-force life and pension business of an insurance company. The embedded value is defined as
Net asset value (NAV)+ Present value of future profits (PVFP)– Time value of options & guarantees (O&G)– Cost of non-financial risk (CNFR)– Cost of required capital (CReC)
Embedded value
Duration is a measure of the average (cash-weighted) term-to-maturity of bondsDuration
The dividend yield on a company stock is the company's annual dividend payments divided by its market cap, or the dividend per share divided by the price per share
Dividend yield
Represents the fraction of net income that is paid to its stockholders in dividendsDividend payout ratio
Expenses of an insurance company which are incurred in connection with the acquisition of new insurance policies or the renewal of existing policies. These include commissions paid and the costs of processing proposals
Deferred acquisition costs (DAC)
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Glossary
International Financial Reporting StandardsIFRS
Industrial and Commercial Bank of ChinaICBC
(Realized gains and losses (net) + impairments on investments (net)) / average investments and loans at book value (excl. inc.fr.fin. ass./liab. carried at fair value)
Harvesting rate
In insurance terminology the terms gross and net mean before and after deduction of reinsurance, respectively. In the investment terminology the term “net” is used where the relevant expenses (e.g. depreciations and losses on the disposal of assets) have already been deducted
Gross/Net
Total premiums for insurance contracts (including investment products) written duringa specific period, without deducting premiums ceded
GPW (gross premiums written)
Difference between a subsidiary’s purchase price and the relevant proportion of its net assets valued at the current value of all assets and liabilities at the time of acquisition
Goodwill
The amount for which an asset could be exchanged between knowledgeable, willing parties in an arm’s length transaction
Fair value
Financial assets carried at fair value through income include debt and equity securities as well as other financial instruments (essentially derivatives, loans and precious metal holdings) which have been acquired solely for sale. They are shown in the balance sheet at fair value
Financial assets carried at fair value through income
Financial liabilities carried at fair value through income include primarily negative market values from derivatives and short selling of securities. Short sales are made to generate income from short-term price changes. Shorts sales of securities are recorded at market value on the balance sheet date. Derivatives shown as financial liabilities carried at fair value through income are valued the same way as financial assets carried at fair value through income
Financial liabilities carried at fair value through income
It is the difference between expense charges assessed to policyholders and actual expenses minus regular changes in deferred acquisition costs (DAC) net of policyholder participation
Expense result
Acquisition and administrative expenses (net) as % of net premiums earnedExpense ratio
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Glossary
Operating asset base consists of inflows from premiums and performance of capital markets
Operating asset base
Income before income taxes and minority interests in earnings, excluding, as applicable for each respective business segment, all or some of the following items: income from financial assets and liabilities held for trading (net), realized gains/losses (net), impairments of investments (net), amortization of intangible assets, acquisition-related expenses and restructuring charges
Operating profit
Net premiums earnedNPE
Operating entityOE
Value of new business divided by present value of new business premiumsNew business margin
Capital not backing local statutory liabilities, valued at market valueNet asset value (NAV)
Represent the proportion of equity of affiliated enterprises which is not owned by companies in the GroupMinority interests
Market consistent embedded valueMCEV
Enhances the understanding of our total revenue performance by excluding the effects of foreign currency translation as well as acquisitions and disposals
Internal growth
Enhances the understanding of our total revenue performance by excluding the effects of foreign currency translation as well as acquisitions and disposals
Investment result
Key performance indicatorKPI
The acquisition of a company using a significant amount of debt (such as bank loans and bonds) to make the purchase
Leveraged Buyout (LBO)
Mortgage backed securities: Securities backed by mortgage loansMBS
Claims and claims adjustment expenses as % of net premiums earnedLoss ratio
Life and health insuranceL/H
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Glossary
That part of the operating surplus which will be distributed to policyholders in the future. This refund of premiums is made on the basis of statutory, contractual, or company by-law obligations, or voluntary undertaking
Reserve for premium refunds(RfB)
Debt instruments that are backed by portfolios of mortgages on residential rather than commercial real estate
Residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS)
Risk Adjusted Capital is the maximum of Local Solvency and Risk Capital based on internal modelRisk adjusted capital (RAC)
Minimum capital required to ensure solvency over the course of one year with a certain probability which is linked to our rating ambition
Risk capital
Normalized return on RAC including holding (expenses, debt service, reinsurance)RoRACN (Group)
Normalized return on RAC excluding holding (expenses, debt service, reinsurance) and diversification effects
RoRACN (Operating units)
Present value of projected new regular premiums, discounted with risk free rates, plus the total amount of single premiums received
Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP)
Where an insurer transfers part of the risk which he has assumed to another insurerReinsurance
Future (statutory) shareholder profits after tax projected to emerge from operations and assets backing liabilities, includes value of unrealized gains on assets backing policy reserves
Present value of future profits (PVFP)
Premiums written represent all premium revenues in the year under review. Premiums earned represent that part of the premiums written used to provide insurance coverage in that year. In the case of life insurance products where the policyholder carries the investment risk (e.g. variable annuities), only that part of the premiums used to cover the risk insured and costs involved is treated as premium income
Premiums written/earned
P/E ratio represents share price divided by earnings per shareP/E
Property and casualty insuranceP/C
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Glossary
Present value of future profits (PVFP) after acquisition expenses minus the cost of options and guarantees (O&G) granted to policyholders, minus the cost of non-financial risk (CNFR), minus the cost of holding required capital (CReC), all determined at the issue date
Value of new business (VNB)
Represents the sum of shareholders’ equity and minority interestsTotal equity
Represent gross premiums written from sales of life insurance policies, as well as gross receipts from sales of unit-linked and other investment-oriented products, in accordance with the statutory accounting practices applicable in the insurer’s home jurisdiction
Statutory premiums
Represent the sum of P/C segment’s gross premiums written, L/H segment’s statutory premiums as well as Banking segment’s and Asset Management segment’s operating revenues
Total revenues
Societas Europaea (European company)SE
Structured Investment VehicleSIV
It comprises risk result (difference between total risk premiums and benefits in excess of reserves net of policyholder participation), lapse result (sum of "surrender charges" assessed and "commission claw-backs" minus deferred acquisition cost written off on lapsed policies net of policyholder participation), reinsurance result and other result
Technical result
All assets of the bank multiplied by the respective risk-weight according to the risk rate of each type of asset
RWA (Risk-weighted assets)
Run-off ratio is calculated as run-off result in percent of net premiums earnedRun-off ratio
Include primarily unrealized gains and losses from available-for-sale investmentsUnrealized gains and losses (net), as part of shareholders‘ equity
AppendixAnalysts’ conferenceFebruary 2008
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Investor Relations contacts
Oliver Schmidt Tel. +49 (0) 89 3800-3963
Head ofInvestor Relations
E-mail: [email protected]
Susanne Arheit Tel. +49 (0) 89 3800-3324
E-mail: [email protected]
Peter Hardy Tel. +49 (0) 89 3800-18180
E-mail:[email protected]
Andrea Förterer Tel. +49 (0) 89 3800-6677
E-mail:[email protected]
E-mail: [email protected]: +49 (0) 89 3800-3899
Holger Klotz Tel. +49 (0) 89 3800-18124
E-mail: [email protected]
ChristianLamprecht
Tel. +49 (0) 89 3800-3892
E-mail: [email protected]
Stephanie Aldag Tel. +49 (0) 89 3800-17975
E-mail:[email protected]
ReinhardLahusen
Tel. +49 (0) 89 3800-17224
E-mail:[email protected]
Internet (English): www.allianz.com/investor-relationsInternet (German): www.allianz.com/ir
IR Events
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Financial calendar 2008/2009
March 20, 2008 Annual report 2007
May 9, 2008 1st quarter results 2008
May 21, 2008 Annual General Meeting 2008
August 7, 2008 2nd quarter results 2008
November 10, 2008 3rd quarter results 2008
February 26, 2009 Financial press conference for the 2008 fiscal year
February 27, 2009 Analysts’ conference for the 2008 fiscal year
March 13, 2009 Annual report 2008
April 29, 2009 Annual General Meeting 2009
The German Securities Trading Act obliges issuers to announce immediately any information which has a substantial potential price impact, irrespective of the communicated schedules. It is therefore possible that we will announce key figures of quarterly and fiscal year results ahead of the dates mentioned above.
As we can never rule out changes of dates, we recommend checking them on the Internet at www.allianz.com/financialcalendar.
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Disclaimer
These assessments are, as always, subject to the disclaimer provided below.
Cautionary note regarding forward-looking statementsThe statements contained herein may include statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are based on management's current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. In addition to statements which are forward-looking by reason of context, the words "may", "will", "should", "expects", "plans", "intends", "anticipates", "believes", "estimates", "predicts", "potential", or "continue" and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. Actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those in such statements due to, without limitation, (i) general economic conditions, including in particular economic conditions in the Allianz Group's core business and core markets, (ii) performance of financial markets, including emerging markets, (iii) the frequency and severity of insured loss events, (iv) mortality and morbidity levels and trends, (v) persistency levels, (vi) the extent of credit defaults, (vii) interest rate levels, (viii) currency exchange rates including the euro / US dollar exchange rate, (ix) changing levels of competition, (x) changes in laws and regulations, including monetary convergence and the European Monetary Union, (xi) changes in the policies of central banks and/or foreign governments, (xii) the impact of acquisitions, including related integration issues, (xiii) reorganization measures, and (xiv) general competitive factors, in each case on a local, regional, national and/or global basis. Many of these factors may be more likely to occur, or more pronounced, as a result of terrorist activities and their consequences. The matters discussed herein may also be affected by risks and uncertainties described from time to time in Allianz SE’s filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. The company assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement.
No duty to updateThe company assumes no obligation to update any information contained herein.