Standardised monthly rainfall, Region: Central England (HadCEP … · 2015. 7. 7. · 1932 1935...
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-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 z score 1875 1880 1885 1890 1895 1900 1905 1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Standardised monthly rainfall, Region: Central England (HadCEP monthly qc) HadCEP monthly qc -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 z score 2013 2014 2015 2016 Recent -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 Probability plot normal (reference) CDF final data (adjusted) CDF difference (right hand axis) -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Annual -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 Normalising function input output Low Rank Date Z Actual High Rank Date Z Actual 1 1995.63 -2.96855 7.8 1 1912.63 3.62432 174.1 2 1947.63 -2.93527 8.3 2 1875.54 3.23998 159.7 3 1947.79 -2.84125 8.3 3 1880.54 3.16903 157.6 4 1969.79 -2.82143 8.6 4 2007.46 2.95393 141.4 5 1978.79 -2.79505 9 5 2004.63 2.70133 146.7 6 1940.63 -2.76334 10.9 6 1940.88 2.68085 143.4 7 2003.63 -2.63238 12.9 7 1882.79 2.6757 144.5 8 1911.54 -2.62866 9.8 8 2012.29 2.66001 125.4 9 1959.71 -2.52696 3.7 9 1914.96 2.60791 137.4 10 1983.63 -2.49614 15 10 1880.79 2.59402 142 11 1977.54 -2.42165 13 11 1903.79 2.55822 140.9 12 1965.79 -2.40489 15 12 1888.54 2.51727 137.9 13 1945.88 -2.38842 14 13 1947.21 2.51177 119.5 14 1880.04 -2.37485 6.1 14 1997.46 2.49079 127.3 15 1921.54 -2.34484 14.2 15 1982.46 2.48109 127 16 1885.54 -2.31297 14.7 16 1878.63 2.42169 138.1 17 1933.96 -2.30105 11.6 17 1883.71 2.38383 126.1 18 1935.54 -2.30025 14.9 18 1885.79 2.38046 135.4 19 1873.96 -2.26929 12.1 19 1977.13 2.37116 114.8 20 1925.46 -2.2569 5.8 20 1967.38 2.34104 122.1 Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Jul 07. Data: http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadukp/ Met Office HadUKP - UK regional precipitation series. Annual cycle removed, values, skew and kurtosis normalised. No reference period adjustment.
Transcript of Standardised monthly rainfall, Region: Central England (HadCEP … · 2015. 7. 7. · 1932 1935...
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1875 1880 1885 1890 1895 1900 1905 1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised monthly rainfall, Region: Central England (HadCEP monthly qc)
HadCEP monthly qc-4
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final data (adjusted) CDF
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Normalising function
input
output
Low Rank Date Z Actual High Rank Date Z Actual1 1995.63 -2.96855 7.8 1 1912.63 3.62432 174.12 1947.63 -2.93527 8.3 2 1875.54 3.23998 159.73 1947.79 -2.84125 8.3 3 1880.54 3.16903 157.64 1969.79 -2.82143 8.6 4 2007.46 2.95393 141.45 1978.79 -2.79505 9 5 2004.63 2.70133 146.76 1940.63 -2.76334 10.9 6 1940.88 2.68085 143.47 2003.63 -2.63238 12.9 7 1882.79 2.6757 144.58 1911.54 -2.62866 9.8 8 2012.29 2.66001 125.49 1959.71 -2.52696 3.7 9 1914.96 2.60791 137.410 1983.63 -2.49614 15 10 1880.79 2.59402 14211 1977.54 -2.42165 13 11 1903.79 2.55822 140.912 1965.79 -2.40489 15 12 1888.54 2.51727 137.913 1945.88 -2.38842 14 13 1947.21 2.51177 119.514 1880.04 -2.37485 6.1 14 1997.46 2.49079 127.315 1921.54 -2.34484 14.2 15 1982.46 2.48109 12716 1885.54 -2.31297 14.7 16 1878.63 2.42169 138.117 1933.96 -2.30105 11.6 17 1883.71 2.38383 126.118 1935.54 -2.30025 14.9 18 1885.79 2.38046 135.419 1873.96 -2.26929 12.1 19 1977.13 2.37116 114.820 1925.46 -2.2569 5.8 20 1967.38 2.34104 122.1
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Jul 07. Data: http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadukp/
Met Office HadUKP - UK regional precipitation series. Annual cycle removed, values, skew and kurtosis normalised. No reference period adjustment.
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1932 1935 1938 1941 1944 1947 1950 1953 1956 1959 1962 1965 1968 1971 1974 1977 1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016
Standardised monthly rainfall, Region: East Scotland (HadESP monthly qc)
HadESP monthly qc-4
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final data (adjusted) CDF
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Normalising function
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output
Low Rank Date Z Actual High Rank Date Z Actual1 1946.79 -3.03674 9.6 1 1995.71 3.92033 209.22 1947.63 -2.88548 5.1 2 1984.88 3.16291 1873 1972.79 -2.64968 18.1 3 1940.54 3.15229 183.14 1985.79 -2.42689 23 4 1951.88 2.78149 171.75 1995.63 -2.4078 15.6 5 1950.71 2.54469 153.86 1983.54 -2.3892 14.1 6 1932.79 2.5365 168.27 1997.79 -2.35422 24.6 7 1948.63 2.35006 1538 1962.79 -2.34514 24.8 8 1966.46 2.34799 135.79 1978.79 -2.3179 25.4 9 1963.63 2.34499 152.810 1951.79 -2.27252 26.4 10 2014.63 2.32977 152.211 1981.63 -2.22624 19.6 11 1934.29 2.29998 12512 1976.63 -2.19903 20.2 12 2000.29 2.2517 123.113 1945.88 -2.19283 21.9 13 2012.29 2.23135 122.314 1972.71 -2.16709 14 14 1940.88 2.18832 148.215 1942.88 -2.16563 22.5 15 2002.79 2.17156 153.816 2003.63 -2.15824 21.1 16 1960.63 2.11843 143.917 1983.63 -2.14917 21.3 17 2011.63 2.11076 143.617 1959.63 -2.14917 21.3 18 1990.13 2.09432 122.218 2007.79 -2.14556 29.2 19 1993.04 2.08811 141.719 1984.63 -2.12652 21.8 20 1955.96 2.05184 140.2
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Jul 07. Data: http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadukp/
Met Office HadUKP - UK regional precipitation series. Annual cycle removed, values, skew and kurtosis normalised. No reference period adjustment.
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1770 1780 1790 1800 1810 1820 1830 1840 1850 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Standardised monthly rainfall, Region: England and Wales (HadEWP monthly qc)
HadEWP monthly qc-4
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Low Rank Date Z Actual High Rank Date Z Actual1 1781.79 -3.28675 8.8 1 1903.79 3.32831 218.12 1809.79 -3.19155 10.9 2 1947.21 3.1805 177.53 1784.79 -2.97554 15.7 3 1912.63 2.99229 192.94 1788.96 -2.92639 8.9 4 1799.63 2.96994 192.15 1978.79 -2.9085 17.2 5 1852.88 2.96288 202.56 1969.79 -2.89512 17.5 6 1918.71 2.95068 189.57 1780.96 -2.8284 11.1 7 1770.88 2.91548 200.88 1766.04 -2.81411 4.4 8 1799.71 2.8755 186.89 1945.88 -2.80116 17 9 1876.96 2.87059 193.910 1947.79 -2.68674 22.2 10 1797.71 2.83662 185.411 1995.63 -2.67943 9.1 11 2014.04 2.80737 184.612 1959.71 -2.64377 8 12 1828.54 2.80309 182.613 1865.71 -2.57793 9.5 13 1940.88 2.79606 196.514 1825.54 -2.5652 8.2 14 1914.96 2.78461 190.815 1805.88 -2.53256 23.1 15 1929.88 2.77945 195.916 1800.54 -2.52584 9.1 16 1981.21 2.70375 160.417 1843.96 -2.51569 18.2 17 2009.88 2.67457 192.118 1799.96 -2.48081 19 18 1868.96 2.64119 185.619 1804.71 -2.47312 11.9 19 1915.96 2.62197 184.920 1947.63 -2.44746 14.4 20 1948.04 2.59239 176.8
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Jul 07. Data: http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadukp/
Met Office HadUKP - UK regional precipitation series. Annual cycle removed, values, skew and kurtosis normalised. No reference period adjustment.
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1875 1880 1885 1890 1895 1900 1905 1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised monthly rainfall, Region: North East England (HadNEEP monthly qc)
HadNEEP monthly qc-4
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Normalising function
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output
Low Rank Date Z Actual High Rank Date Z Actual1 1947.63 -3.18463 7.3 1 1876.96 3.43337 199.22 1995.63 -2.99587 10.7 2 1978.96 3.24599 192.33 1959.63 -2.89117 12.6 3 1956.63 3.05103 189.84 1969.79 -2.66885 15.8 4 1903.79 3.02879 188.15 1976.63 -2.60766 17.8 5 1948.04 2.97499 177.16 1904.79 -2.56605 17.7 6 2007.46 2.91668 163.97 1880.04 -2.54503 9.1 7 2012.29 2.76061 151.98 1945.88 -2.4728 20.2 8 1976.71 2.71043 161.49 1958.88 -2.44066 20.8 9 2012.46 2.62276 152.810 1947.79 -2.43177 20.2 10 1930.54 2.61846 163.811 1972.79 -2.42107 20.4 11 1997.46 2.58074 151.212 1991.63 -2.39813 21.7 12 1951.88 2.51336 169.413 1940.63 -2.3928 21.8 13 1954.63 2.50802 169.314 1955.63 -2.36615 22.3 14 1907.79 2.50464 168.315 1962.79 -2.35175 21.7 15 1960.79 2.48896 167.716 1899.63 -2.34486 22.7 16 2000.29 2.4715 140.917 1888.79 -2.32518 22.2 17 2000.88 2.42465 16618 1978.79 -2.30926 22.5 18 2000.71 2.41422 150.119 1909.88 -2.19652 25.4 19 1998.29 2.37258 137.120 1891.13 -2.19225 2.5 20 1877.63 2.37254 164.1
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Jul 07. Data: http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadukp/
Met Office HadUKP - UK regional precipitation series. Annual cycle removed, values, skew and kurtosis normalised. No reference period adjustment.
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1932 1935 1938 1941 1944 1947 1950 1953 1956 1959 1962 1965 1968 1971 1974 1977 1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016
Standardised monthly rainfall, Region: Northern Ireland (HadNIP monthly qc)
HadNIP monthly qc-4
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Normalising function
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Low Rank Date Z Actual High Rank Date Z Actual1 2014.71 -2.79069 8.1 1 1950.71 3.30243 205.52 1986.71 -2.74161 9.4 2 1990.79 2.87039 206.43 1997.04 -2.68239 23.1 3 1931.46 2.74546 168.74 1963.96 -2.6424 25.9 4 1990.13 2.708 167.25 1947.63 -2.55911 12.5 5 2008.63 2.66492 183.26 1972.71 -2.55765 14.3 6 1936.54 2.66287 176.57 1995.63 -2.50686 13.9 7 1999.96 2.58472 196.28 1976.63 -2.50314 14 8 1985.63 2.54583 179.39 1933.71 -2.48678 16.2 9 2012.46 2.49795 160.610 1971.96 -2.45564 30.9 10 2011.79 2.46317 193.111 1951.79 -2.34804 34.7 11 1938.79 2.43589 192.212 1945.88 -2.34334 30.6 12 1946.71 2.39533 176.113 1946.79 -2.3222 35.4 13 1956.63 2.35188 172.914 2003.63 -2.31776 19 14 1993.96 2.28493 186.315 2004.88 -2.25859 32.9 15 2009.88 2.23184 181.216 1942.88 -2.22554 33.8 16 1977.13 2.21382 150.917 1986.13 -2.22192 4.2 17 1948.04 2.16914 180.718 1932.13 -2.18163 5.3 18 1981.71 2.14311 167.719 1982.54 -2.11126 18 19 1978.96 2.14123 181.520 1983.88 -2.06856 38.1 20 1999.71 2.10438 166.4
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Jul 07. Data: http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadukp/
Met Office HadUKP - UK regional precipitation series. Annual cycle removed, values, skew and kurtosis normalised. No reference period adjustment.
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1932 1935 1938 1941 1944 1947 1950 1953 1956 1959 1962 1965 1968 1971 1974 1977 1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016
Standardised monthly rainfall, Region: North Scotland (HadNSP monthly qc)
HadNSP monthly qc-4
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final data (adjusted) CDF
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Normalising function
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output
Low Rank Date Z Actual High Rank Date Z Actual1 1946.79 -3.14795 17.7 1 1990.13 3.34459 359.82 1963.04 -2.9561 22 2 1990.21 3.10882 339.63 1941.04 -2.88762 25.9 3 1986.96 2.70049 364.14 1995.96 -2.75567 41.6 4 1938.88 2.5087 331.65 1940.04 -2.57694 43.4 5 1994.21 2.48502 288.66 1945.88 -2.57396 34.7 6 1967.21 2.43828 284.97 1939.79 -2.42401 58.6 7 1993.04 2.40423 332.28 1960.79 -2.39504 60.2 8 1989.13 2.35537 278.69 1947.63 -2.30464 3.7 9 1983.79 2.33397 333.410 1981.96 -2.29724 67.1 10 1938.04 2.23358 318.911 2010.96 -2.27533 68.3 11 1986.88 2.22406 309.312 1932.13 -2.24619 11.9 12 1985.63 2.22147 263.213 1947.13 -2.23338 12.6 13 1997.13 2.17462 264.614 1937.88 -2.20219 55.2 14 1981.88 2.14848 303.515 1963.13 -2.20037 14.4 15 1992.63 2.14062 25716 1986.13 -2.17648 15.7 16 1938.21 2.12118 260.317 1972.71 -2.11422 41.8 17 1989.63 2.117 255.218 1978.96 -2.11186 77.2 18 1967.79 2.0963 315.119 1963.96 -2.11002 77.3 19 1974.96 2.07094 314.720 1933.96 -2.08228 78.8 20 1947.29 2.05718 220.2
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Jul 07. Data: http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadukp/
Met Office HadUKP - UK regional precipitation series. Annual cycle removed, values, skew and kurtosis normalised. No reference period adjustment.
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1875 1880 1885 1890 1895 1900 1905 1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised monthly rainfall, Region: North West England & Wales (HadNWEP monthly qc)
HadNWEP monthly qc-4
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Normalising function
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output
Low Rank Date Z Actual High Rank Date Z Actual1 1947.63 -2.97973 6.8 1 1918.71 3.70279 245.42 1945.88 -2.94614 9.5 2 1956.63 3.31907 238.43 1947.79 -2.81096 20 3 1928.04 3.10748 227.64 1997.04 -2.80973 9.8 4 2009.88 3.07702 229.85 1946.79 -2.80023 20.3 5 1967.79 3.01113 233.76 1976.63 -2.78975 12.1 6 1903.79 3.00415 233.47 1890.96 -2.75885 18.2 7 1938.79 2.85996 227.28 1995.63 -2.68266 15.1 8 2000.79 2.63503 217.59 1922.79 -2.66459 24.1 9 1981.21 2.6323 178.310 1933.96 -2.63761 21.6 10 2012.46 2.5558 174.411 2003.63 -2.58656 17.8 11 2000.88 2.48079 204.112 1963.04 -2.57088 16.5 12 1948.04 2.444 19913 1951.79 -2.49759 28.8 13 1951.88 2.44386 202.514 1971.96 -2.47075 26.3 14 1954.79 2.36479 205.815 1959.63 -2.43058 22.2 15 1986.96 2.34538 201.716 1972.79 -2.42679 30.8 16 1891.63 2.28862 19417 1880.04 -2.41144 21 17 2007.46 2.2859 162.717 1881.04 -2.41144 21 18 2005.79 2.28187 202.218 1910.71 -2.41099 13.4 19 2008.04 2.28036 191.919 2014.71 -2.38273 14.2 20 1907.46 2.22608 160.1
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Jul 07. Data: http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadukp/
Met Office HadUKP - UK regional precipitation series. Annual cycle removed, values, skew and kurtosis normalised. No reference period adjustment.
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Standardised monthly rainfall, Region: South East England (HadSEEP monthly qc)
HadSEEP monthly qc-4
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final data (adjusted) CDF
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Normalising function
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output
Low Rank Date Z Actual High Rank Date Z Actual1 1969.79 -3.17354 4.8 1 1940.88 3.28905 2032 1978.79 -3.1513 5.2 2 1987.79 3.15878 198.73 1945.88 -3.00961 7.3 3 1914.96 3.07925 190.24 1947.79 -2.75089 12.5 4 2014.04 2.99585 181.95 1950.79 -2.70227 13.4 5 1949.79 2.90462 189.36 1926.96 -2.52683 11.1 6 1896.71 2.89802 1707 1931.79 -2.51485 16.9 7 1903.79 2.88051 188.48 1901.88 -2.47444 17.2 8 1970.88 2.83937 186.49 1965.79 -2.4565 18 9 2000.79 2.81372 185.910 1940.63 -2.44052 1.7 10 1974.71 2.75662 164.711 1956.88 -2.41627 18.3 11 1934.96 2.70682 176.312 1879.88 -2.40573 18.5 12 1947.21 2.65499 150.713 1995.63 -2.351 3.4 13 2009.88 2.59841 177.314 1933.96 -2.34719 14.5 14 1929.88 2.55385 175.615 1897.79 -2.31967 20.6 15 2002.88 2.54862 175.416 1873.96 -2.28443 15.7 16 2000.29 2.51996 144.617 1978.88 -2.25907 21.3 17 1891.79 2.42207 17118 1959.71 -2.24387 3 18 1918.71 2.40016 151.119 1880.04 -2.24189 11.3 19 1915.96 2.38261 163.920 1970.79 -2.18961 23.1 20 1880.79 2.36262 168.7
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Jul 07. Data: http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadukp/
Met Office HadUKP - UK regional precipitation series. Annual cycle removed, values, skew and kurtosis normalised. No reference period adjustment.
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1932 1935 1938 1941 1944 1947 1950 1953 1956 1959 1962 1965 1968 1971 1974 1977 1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016
Standardised monthly rainfall, Region: Scotland (HadSP monthly qc)
HadSP monthly qc-4
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Probability plot
normal (reference) CDF
final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Annual
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Normalising function
input
output
Low Rank Date Z Actual High Rank Date Z Actual1 1946.79 -3.33482 17.2 1 1990.13 3.45392 259.82 1945.88 -2.76161 29 2 1950.71 2.9992 261.43 1947.63 -2.71299 4.4 3 1993.04 2.84567 2734 1963.04 -2.70394 34.3 4 1985.63 2.7996 241.35 1951.79 -2.4934 50.7 5 1986.96 2.7033 269.66 1972.71 -2.43516 26.2 6 1997.13 2.5974 219.67 1937.88 -2.41501 42.8 7 1994.21 2.47244 2138 1933.96 -2.33154 52.4 8 2009.88 2.3372 246.28 1963.96 -2.33154 52.4 9 2008.04 2.32426 248.69 1972.79 -2.31008 58 10 1992.63 2.28013 21710 1942.88 -2.29447 47.6 11 1935.79 2.27676 254.411 1932.13 -2.2853 9.2 12 2002.13 2.21217 201.612 1983.88 -2.2769 48.3 13 1999.96 2.20271 246.213 1997.04 -2.26194 51.9 14 1981.71 2.19786 223.914 1941.04 -2.24687 52.5 15 1989.13 2.13066 197.815 1995.96 -2.24366 55.9 16 1938.88 2.12711 236.416 1976.63 -2.23332 23.5 17 1975.04 2.1077 238.517 1958.88 -2.16392 52.8 18 1947.29 2.06938 173.318 1959.71 -2.13386 38.2 19 1985.71 2.04976 21719 2010.96 -2.1307 60.4 20 1998.79 2.04506 243.6
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Jul 07. Data: http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadukp/
Met Office HadUKP - UK regional precipitation series. Annual cycle removed, values, skew and kurtosis normalised. No reference period adjustment.
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
zsc
ore
1932 1935 1938 1941 1944 1947 1950 1953 1956 1959 1962 1965 1968 1971 1974 1977 1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016
Standardised monthly rainfall, Region: South Scotland (HadSSP monthly qc)
HadSSP monthly qc-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
zsc
ore
2013 2014 2015 2016
Recent
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Probability plot
normal (reference) CDF
final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Annual
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Normalising function
input
output
Low Rank Date Z Actual High Rank Date Z Actual1 1946.79 -2.97195 19.4 1 1997.13 3.13215 281.42 1963.04 -2.81158 22.5 2 1990.13 2.76018 258.63 1945.88 -2.72401 21.2 3 2009.63 2.74132 263.94 1941.04 -2.63649 30.3 4 1950.71 2.68212 278.95 1997.04 -2.6073 31.6 5 2009.88 2.63578 2936 1951.79 -2.55005 38.2 6 1985.63 2.62487 256.87 1942.88 -2.41849 34.8 7 1985.71 2.57702 272.58 1937.88 -2.39151 36 8 1994.21 2.48226 241.79 1972.71 -2.37299 19.9 9 2002.13 2.46281 240.510 1947.63 -2.36148 1.8 10 1999.96 2.45369 29011 2014.71 -2.34601 21.1 11 1993.04 2.43329 285.912 1983.88 -2.33979 38.3 12 2008.04 2.40357 284.113 1995.96 -2.31878 47.3 13 1998.79 2.3333 283.914 1933.96 -2.30303 48 14 1986.96 2.26851 278.815 1932.13 -2.20061 2.5 15 1995.79 2.24881 278.816 1963.96 -2.19505 52.8 16 1981.71 2.22354 251.117 1933.71 -2.16829 29 17 1935.79 2.19402 275.518 1972.79 -2.14752 56.1 18 1975.04 2.16994 27019 1981.96 -2.11628 56.3 19 1986.38 2.13788 195.520 2003.79 -2.10701 57.9 20 1993.96 2.12896 270.4
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Jul 07. Data: http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadukp/
Met Office HadUKP - UK regional precipitation series. Annual cycle removed, values, skew and kurtosis normalised. No reference period adjustment.
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
zsc
ore
1875 1880 1885 1890 1895 1900 1905 1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Standardised monthly rainfall, Region: South West England & Wales (HadSWEP monthly qc)
HadSWEP monthly qc-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
zsc
ore
2013 2014 2015 2016
Recent
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Probability plot
normal (reference) CDF
final data (adjusted) CDF
difference (right hand axis)
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Annual
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Normalising function
input
output
Low Rank Date Z Actual High Rank Date Z Actual1 1926.96 -2.92998 21.6 1 1929.88 3.45438 273.32 1978.79 -2.84838 15.8 2 1947.21 3.33383 229.23 1997.04 -2.79645 15.6 3 1923.13 3.05354 2234 1879.88 -2.65808 23.8 4 1934.96 2.86346 251.65 1945.88 -2.65109 24 5 1912.63 2.84439 216.66 1873.96 -2.55068 32.4 6 1918.71 2.83095 212.57 1969.79 -2.54345 24.5 7 1903.79 2.82711 241.88 1963.04 -2.52004 23.5 8 2014.04 2.72583 235.49 1917.96 -2.50201 33.8 9 1981.21 2.53254 19210 1953.96 -2.49506 34 10 2002.88 2.51368 229.711 1942.88 -2.47347 29.1 11 1965.96 2.50896 23512 1964.04 -2.46451 25.1 12 1940.88 2.49459 228.813 1880.04 -2.45758 25.3 13 1988.04 2.48735 224.214 2010.96 -2.45346 35.2 14 1929.96 2.46021 232.715 1931.79 -2.41512 28.2 15 2014.13 2.42878 193.816 1987.04 -2.36427 28 16 1917.63 2.39915 195.717 1933.88 -2.36284 32.3 17 1911.96 2.35245 227.618 1932.13 -2.34244 1 17 1993.96 2.35245 227.619 1953.04 -2.3092 29.6 18 1915.96 2.31241 225.720 1891.13 -2.30804 2 19 1876.96 2.31031 225.6
Analysis: Tim Channon. Web: http://daedalearth.wordpress.com/. Plot: 2015 Jul 07. Data: http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadukp/
Met Office HadUKP - UK regional precipitation series. Annual cycle removed, values, skew and kurtosis normalised. No reference period adjustment.
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