S&P 500 Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEGS&P 500 Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEG (weekly) Yardeni Research, Inc....

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S&P 500 Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEG (weekly) Yardeni Research, Inc. February 3, 2021 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 [email protected] Joe Abbott 732-497-5306 [email protected] Please visit our sites at www.yardeni.com blog.yardeni.com thinking outside the box

Transcript of S&P 500 Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEGS&P 500 Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEG (weekly) Yardeni Research, Inc....

Page 1: S&P 500 Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEGS&P 500 Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEG (weekly) Yardeni Research, Inc. September 22, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@yardeni.com Joe Abbott

S&P 500 SectorsSTEG, LTEG, & PEG

(weekly)Yardeni Research, Inc.

February 3, 2021

Dr. Edward Yardeni516-972-7683

[email protected]

Joe Abbott732-497-5306

[email protected]

Please visit our sites atwww.yardeni.comblog.yardeni.com

thinking outside the box

Page 2: S&P 500 Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEGS&P 500 Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEG (weekly) Yardeni Research, Inc. September 22, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@yardeni.com Joe Abbott

Table Of Contents Table Of ContentsTable Of Contents

February 3, 2021 / S&P 500 Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEG www.yardeni.com

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S&P 500 Sectors LTEG 3S&P 500 Sectors STEG 4S&P 500 Sectors PEG Ratio 5S&P 500 6Consumer Discretionary 7Consumer Staples 8Energy 9Financials 10Health Care 11Industrials 12Information Technology 13Materials 14Telecom Services 15Utilities 16

Page 3: S&P 500 Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEGS&P 500 Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEG (weekly) Yardeni Research, Inc. September 22, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@yardeni.com Joe Abbott

Figure 1.

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1001/28CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY

(S&P 500 LTEG* by sector, percent)

(90.2)

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INDUSTRIALS

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CONSUMER STAPLES

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HEALTH CARE

(10.4)

* LTEG is five-year forward consensus expected earnings growth, Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

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UTILITIES

(4.1)

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S&P 500 Sectors LTEG

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Page 4: S&P 500 Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEGS&P 500 Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEG (weekly) Yardeni Research, Inc. September 22, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@yardeni.com Joe Abbott

Figure 2.

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CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY(S&P 500 STEG* by sector, percent)

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MATERIALS

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COMMUNICATION SERVICES

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HEALTH CARE

(11.8)

* Analysts’ consensus expected short-term earnings growth rate over the next 52 weeks. Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

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UTILITIES

(5.1)

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S&P 500 Sectors STEG

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Figure 3.

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CONSUMER STAPLES

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INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY

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MATERIALS(1.9)

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FINANCIALS

Includes Real Estatethrough September 2016

(2.3)

* Sector’s forward P/E divided by sector’s consensus projected 5-year earnings growth rate. Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

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COMMUNICATION SERVICES

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UTILITIES

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S&P 500 Sectors PEG Ratio

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S&P 500 STRG, STEG, & LTEG*(percent)

LTEG (23.4)STEG (22.8)STRG (8.4)

* STEG is year-ahead forward consensus expected short-term earnings growth. STRG is year-ahead forward consensus expected short-termrevenue growth. LTEG is five-year consensus expected long-term earnings growth.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

Figure 4.

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* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to S&P 500 forward P/E.

*** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to sector or industry consensus 5-year LTEG forecast.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

S&P 500 VALUATION

Forward P/E* (22.7)

PEG Ratio*** (1.0)

Figure 5.

S&P 500

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* STEG is year-ahead forward consensus expected short-term earnings growth. STRG is year-ahead forward consensus expected short-termrevenue growth. LTEG is five-year consensus expected long-term earnings growth.Monthly data through 2005, weekly thereafter.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

S&P 500 CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY STRG, STEG, & LTEG(percent)

LTEG* (50.0)

STEG* (50.0)

STRG* (13.2)

STEG and LTEG capped at 50%

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* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to S&P 500 forward P/E.

*** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to sector or industry consensus 5-year LTEG forecast.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

S&P 500 CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY VALUATION

Forward P/E* (35.7)

Relative P/E** (1.6)

PEG Ratio*** (0.4)

Figure 7.

Consumer Discretionary

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* STEG is year-ahead forward consensus expected short-term earnings growth. STRG is year-ahead forward consensus expected short-termrevenue growth. LTEG is five-year consensus expected long-term earnings growth.Monthly data through 2005, weekly thereafter.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

S&P 500 CONSUMER STAPLES STRG, STEG, & LTEG(percent)

LTEG* (7.2)

STEG* (6.5)

STRG* (2.9)

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* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to S&P 500 forward P/E.

*** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to sector or industry consensus 5-year LTEG forecast.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

S&P 500 CONSUMER STAPLES VALUATION

Forward P/E* (19.9)

Relative P/E** (0.9)

PEG Ratio*** (2.8)

Figure 9.

Consumer Staples

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* STEG is year-ahead forward consensus expected short-term earnings growth. STRG is year-ahead forward consensus expected short-termrevenue growth. LTEG is five-year consensus expected long-term earnings growth.Monthly data through 2005, weekly thereafter.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

S&P 500 ENERGY STRG, STEG, & LTEG(percent)

LTEG* (4.2)

STEG* (NA)

STRG* (19.3)

STEG capped at 80% and -100%

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* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to S&P 500 forward P/E.

*** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to sector or industry consensus 5-year LTEG forecast.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

S&P 500 ENERGY VALUATION

Forward P/E* (24.8)

Relative P/E** (1.1)

PEG Ratio*** (3.0)

P/E capped at 50.

Relative P/E capped at 3.0PEG capped at 3.0

Figure 11.

Energy

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* STEG is year-ahead forward consensus expected short-term earnings growth. STRG is year-ahead forward consensus expected short-termrevenue growth. LTEG is five-year consensus expected long-term earnings growth.Monthly data through 2005, weekly thereafter.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

S&P 500 FINANCIALS STRG, STEG, & LTEG(percent)

LTEG* (5.8)

STEG* (21.4)

STRG* (2.8)

STEG capped at 35%

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* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to S&P 500 forward P/E.

*** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to sector or industry consensus 5-year LTEG forecast.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

S&P 500 FINANCIALS VALUATION

Forward P/E* (13.3)

Relative P/E** (0.6)

PEG Ratio*** (2.3)

Figure 13.

Financials

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* STEG is year-ahead forward consensus expected short-term earnings growth. STRG is year-ahead forward consensus expected short-termrevenue growth. LTEG is five-year consensus expected long-term earnings growth.Monthly data through 2005, weekly thereafter.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

S&P 500 HEALTH CARE STRG, STEG, & LTEG(percent)

LTEG* (10.4)

STEG* (11.8)

STRG* (7.2)

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* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to S&P 500 forward P/E.

*** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to sector or industry consensus 5-year LTEG forecast.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

S&P 500 HEALTH CARE VALUATION

Forward P/E* (16.1)

Relative P/E** (0.7)

PEG Ratio*** (1.5)

Figure 15.

Health Care

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* STEG is year-ahead forward consensus expected short-term earnings growth. STRG is year-ahead forward consensus expected short-termrevenue growth. LTEG is five-year consensus expected long-term earnings growth.Monthly data through 2005, weekly thereafter.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

S&P 500 INDUSTRIALS STRG, STEG, & LTEG(percent)

LTEG* (21.2)STEG* (70.5)STRG* (10.2)

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* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to S&P 500 forward P/E.

*** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to sector or industry consensus 5-year LTEG forecast.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

S&P 500 INDUSTRIALS VALUATION

Forward P/E* (23.6)

Relative P/E** (1.1)PEG Ratio*** (1.1)

Figure 17.

Industrials

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* STEG is year-ahead forward consensus expected short-term earnings growth. STRG is year-ahead forward consensus expected short-termrevenue growth. LTEG is five-year consensus expected long-term earnings growth.Monthly data through 2005, weekly thereafter.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

S&P 500 INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY STRG, STEG, & LTEG*(percent)

LTEG (14.6)STEG (15.6)STRG (9.5)

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* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to S&P 500 forward P/E.

*** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to sector or industry consensus 5-year LTEG forecast.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

S&P 500 INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY VALUATION

Forward P/E* (26.7)

Relative P/E** (1.2)PEG Ratio*** (1.8)

Figure 19.

Information Technology

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* STEG is year-ahead forward consensus expected short-term earnings growth. STRG is year-ahead forward consensus expected short-termrevenue growth. LTEG is five-year consensus expected long-term earnings growth.Monthly data through 2005, weekly thereafter.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

S&P 500 MATERIALS STRG, STEG, & LTEG(percent)

LTEG* (10.6)STEG* (27.6)STRG* (7.3)

STEG capped at 50%

Figure 20.

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* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to S&P 500 forward P/E.

*** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to sector or industry consensus 5-year LTEG forecast.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

S&P 500 MATERIALS VALUATION

Forward P/E* (20.1)

Relative P/E** (0.9)

PEG Ratio*** (1.9)

Figure 21.

Materials

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Page 15: S&P 500 Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEGS&P 500 Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEG (weekly) Yardeni Research, Inc. September 22, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@yardeni.com Joe Abbott

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* STEG is year-ahead forward consensus expected short-term earnings growth. STRG is year-ahead forward consensus expected short-termrevenue growth. LTEG is five-year consensus expected long-term earnings growth.Monthly data through 2005, weekly thereafter.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

S&P 500 COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES STRG, STEG, & LTEG(percent)

LTEG* (19.3)

STEG* (13.0)

STRG* (10.4)

Figure 22.

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* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to S&P 500 forward P/E.

*** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to sector or industry consensus 5-year LTEG forecast.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

S&P 500 COMMUNICATION SERVICES VALUATION

Forward P/E* (22.6)

Relative P/E** (1.0)

PEG Ratio*** (1.2)

Figure 23.

Telecom Services

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Page 16: S&P 500 Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEGS&P 500 Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEG (weekly) Yardeni Research, Inc. September 22, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@yardeni.com Joe Abbott

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* STEG is year-ahead forward consensus expected short-term earnings growth. STRG is year-ahead forward consensus expected short-termrevenue growth. LTEG is five-year consensus expected long-term earnings growth.Monthly data through 2005, weekly thereafter.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

S&P 500 UTILITIES STRG, STEG, & LTEG(percent)

LTEG* (4.1)

STEG* (5.1)

STRG* (4.3)

Figure 24.

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* Price divided by 12-month forward consensus expected operating earnings per share.** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to S&P 500 forward P/E.

*** Sector or industry forward P/E relative to sector or industry consensus 5-year LTEG forecast.Source: I/B/E/S data by Refinitiv.

S&P 500 UTILITIES VALUATION

Forward P/E* (18.4)

Relative P/E** (0.8)

PEG Ratio*** (4.0)

Figure 25.

Utilities

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Page 17: S&P 500 Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEGS&P 500 Sectors STEG, LTEG, & PEG (weekly) Yardeni Research, Inc. September 22, 2020 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@yardeni.com Joe Abbott

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