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    Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India (TAPI) gas pipeline projects are

    moving ahead, though at a slow pace.

    Studies reveal that Pakistan has a huge potential for generating

    renewable energy from sources such as solar, wind and water. Biomass, coal

    and nuclear power generation are other untapped cheaper options. The central

    challenge facing the country at the moment is to find cheaper and sustainablemeans of generating electricity and to reconfigure the energy mix for continued

    supply of uninterrupted power, at an affordable price a task easier said than

    done.

    An analysis of the prevailing situation suggests that the energy crisis

    requires immediate attention of the government at the policy level. Considering

    the importance of this issue, Islamabad Policy Research Institute (IPRI)

    organized a two-day national conference in collaboration with Hanns Seidel

    Foundation (HSF), Islamabad, on the topic Solutions for Energy Crisis in

    Pakistan , on May 15-16, 2013, in the Islamabad Hotel, Islamabad.

    The objective of this conference was to formulate policy recommendations

    which provide short-term as well as long-term solutions to Pakistans energy

    crisis. Specifically, the aim was to formulate a National Energy Vision: 2030 ,

    covering aspects like policy making, alternative energy sources, attraction of

    investments and developmental strategies. The conference focused on

    generating energy through economically viable means and estimating the

    amount of electricity required in 2030 in order to sustain a growth rate of 6-8

    percent.

    Conference Proceedings

    May 15, 2013 (Wednesday Day I)

    Inaugural Session

    Welcome Address: Dr. Noor ul Haq , Acting President IPRI in his opening and

    welcome address, highlighted the importance of the topic of the conference. Hewelcomed the speakers, guests and audience to the two-day national

    conference. He said that Pakistan is suffering from persistent energy crisis

    causing hardships for the people, adversely affecting industry and economy. He

    said that the purpose of conference was to formulate policy recommendations

    which would be shared with the relevant ministries and departments.

    Opening Remarks: Mr. Kristof W. Duwearts, Resident Representative HSF,

    Islamabad, welcomed all participants of the conference on behalf of HSF. He

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    said that HSF has continuously been collaborating with think tanks, government

    departments and the civil society in Pakistan. He highlighted that regional

    approaches play very important role in a globalized world. In 2010, the German

    government developed its energy concept with concrete steps to be taken and

    the target was to transform the German energy system to low emission arena.

    Germany decided to speed up the process after the horrendous events inFukushima, and a new energy concept was passed by German parliament in

    2012. Furthermore, it was decided that by the year 2050, the amount of

    renewable energy production should be brought up to at least 80%. Germany

    has been trying to greening its economy and likewise Pakistan should also do the

    same. There is a need to correct the energy mix in Pakistan. There is a need of

    strengthening individual responsibly with every single citizen in Pakistan and

    everywhere in the world, as energy is a very precious good and it should not

    lavishly used.

    Inaugural Address by the Chief Guest: Dr. Masoom Yasinzai , Vice

    Chancellor, Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad, cautioned that we as a nation

    cannot survive with an economic growth rate of 3 to 4% with a population

    growing with over 2%. So, we must double the economic growth to counter that

    population outburst. Pakistan has been blessed by Allah with natural resources

    i.e., wind, solar, coal and bio energy. We must tap these. He claimed that country

    had both physical and scientific resources to solve the energy problem but the

    policy makers just didnt want to listen. He said that Dr. Samar Mubarakmand

    had been crying hoarse as far as coal is concerned. There are 175 billion tons of

    coal buried in Thar, Sindh. Russia, Australia, Europe and even Central Asian

    States have been doing it with coal. China is generating 81% of energy from

    coal, India 64% and US 56% while Pakistan is generating less than 1%. Pakistan

    is also blessed with more than 1000 kilometers of coastal belt, but its pity that wedont use wind mill or wind turbine to get wind energy from there. Pakistan has

    sufficient sun exposure, are we benefiting from it?

    He mentioned molasses from the sugar industry of which 80 percent was

    being exported at junk market rates instead of being used as a source for energy

    generation. He said making biogas and using biomass for energy generation was

    not rocket science that the country could not use as a sustainable and

    environment friendly source; but the academias research work was being

    neglected and all of its research was going waste. We need to involve academia

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    as Pakistan has been investing so much in academia. He quoted UNESCO

    which says countries that made no use of their natural resources were bound to

    become poor. Present economic growth rate needs to be doubled and allocation

    for education must be raised to 4 percent if the country has to be saved from

    economic doom. We cannot enter into knowledge economy era with just 7% of

    youth in higher education. We must increase that number on emergency basis toat least 15% so that energy research institutes could be opened.

    Session I Correcting the Energy Mix: Selecting Alternatives

    Mr. Mirza Hamid Hasan, former Secretary, Ministry of Water and Power, spoke

    on An Overview of Pakistans Energy Sector: Policy Perspective . He said

    that energy is the lifeline of all modern societies and access to reliable, affordable

    and uninterrupted supply of energy is the key to economic growth and welfare of

    any society. He talked about Pakistans current energy scenario; Pakistan has

    been facing severe energy shortage for the last few years, both of electric power

    and natural gas, which are two major sources of energy for our industry,

    domestic supply and transport sectors. The shortage of natural gas which is

    widely used in four sectors i.e., domestic supply, industry, power generation and

    transport, in descending order, has been caused by fast depleting gas reserves

    and rapidly increasing demand. However, the electricity shortage has not been

    caused by a lack of generation capacity which at the moment exceeds the peak

    demand by about 5000 MW.

    He pointed out number of factors such as excessive line losses caused by

    inefficient transmission and distribution systems coupled with high level of theft,

    low recovery of revenues by distributions companies (DISCOs) from public as

    well as private users, and inadequate and delayed payment of subsidy by the

    government owed on account of non-revision of tariff imposed by them for

    political considerations result in a chain of defaulting entities making it difficult forthe power generation companies (GENCOs) and IPPs to utilize their existing

    generation capacity due to financial crunch. This has also given rise to a huge

    circular debt which is currently at a level of Rs.400 billion.

    He further said that excessively high power prices have also driven

    electricity out of reach of a large number of people and made it unsustainable for

    industrial consumers, resulting in closure or relocation of many industrial units.

    The electric power supply thus suffers from the multiple problems of availability,

    affordability and reliability at the consumer end. He emphasized that the current

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    state of affairs lies with poor governance and management, lack of policy or bad

    policy choices have also played an equally big, if not bigger, role in bringing us to

    this pass.

    Talking about Pakistan energy scenario, he said that during 2011-12

    Pakistans total energy availability was 66.015 Million Tons of Oil Equivalent

    (mtoe), of which 45.251 mtoe (i.e., 68.54%) was indigenous production while20.764 mtoe (31.46%) was imported. He said that our energy supply has not

    been able to keep pace with the demand and the supply-demand gap is

    constantly increasing. According to some estimates, energy shortages have cost

    the country up to 4% of GDP over the past few years. They have also forced the

    closure of hundreds of factories paralyzing production and exacerbating

    unemployment.

    Then he talked about the key players in the power sector. WAPDA and

    KESC were vertical utilities and sole players in the power sector until a few years

    ago in all aspects from generation to transmission and distribution. But as a

    result of restructuring of the power sector and induction of private producers into

    power generation the institutions have greatly proliferated. WAPDA has been

    split up into a number of entities. A new entity, Pakistan Electric Power Company

    (PEPCO) was created as the controlling company of the various public sector

    generation (GENCOs), transmission (NTDC) and regional distribution companies

    (DISCOs) for thermal power in the country. PEPCO has since been wound up

    and replaced by Central Power Purchase Agency (CPPA). The power companies

    have all been made independent commercial entities. WAPDA is only concerned

    with hydel power generation now. KESC continues to be a vertically integrated

    utility but has since been privatized. National Electric Power Regulatory Authority

    (NEPRA) is another important player. Alternate Energy Development Board

    (AEDB) is a smaller player for alternate energy. As the energy crunch continues,

    there is more and more emphasis on developing alternate sources of energysuch as solar, wind and micro-hydel etc.

    He said that there are different issues which power sector is facing and

    they are the policy, Governance and management issues, technical issues and

    cost issues. The energy sector has long suffered with fragmented and ad-hoc

    policies and decisions. The absence of a single energy institution and lack of

    coordination and synergy between various institutions dealing with different sub-

    sectors of energy is an important issue that was never addressed. Hydel power is

    the cheapest way and we have abundant of it but we did not pay any attention to

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    utilize it. He said that quality of governance has a direct bearing on the access,

    reliability and pricing of power. Poor management, coupled with corruption and

    other factors related to governance, results in poor delivery of electric power and

    puts it beyond the reach of low income groups due to excessive cost. Another

    factor is the inadequate maintenance and repair of public sector power

    generation plants, either due to financial constraint or sheer neglect, which haseither drastically reduced the operating efficiency of the plants thereby increasing

    cost of generation to unsustainable levels or made them unserviceable. He

    mentioned that circular debt is one of the most important problems. He pointed

    out that greater reliance on thermal power, use of expensive furnace oil as fuel,

    non-availability of natural gas, poor governance and management resulting in

    large scale power theft and non-recovery of revenues, expensive power from

    IPPs and low efficiency of public sector power plants are the driving factors which

    have contributed to making the price of electricity unaffordable for average

    domestic user and unsustainable for industrial users. He emphasized that there

    should be some short term; medium term and long term measures as well as

    some hard policy decisions in order to overcome this deficiency.

    Prof. Dr. Khanji Harijan, Professor Mehran University, Jamshoro, presented his

    paper on Renewable Energy: Potential and Prospects . Dr. Khanji said that

    the renewable energy is generated from natural resources such as sunlight,

    wind, water, tides, and biomass which are renewable (naturally replenished).

    Solar Energy, Wind Energy, Hydel Energy, Biomass Energy, Biogas, Bio Fuels

    (Ethanol & Biodiesel), Bio Power (Cogeneration from Biogases), Tidal, OCTE

    and Wave Energy, and Geothermal Energy are types of the renewable energy

    sources (RES).

    Talking about the use of renewable energy source he said that at present,

    RES contribute about 16.7% of the global energy consumption. Main renewableenergy contributions are traditional, mainly non-commercial biomass such as fuel

    wood, crop residues and dung (8.5%), and hydropower (3.3%). All other modern

    renewables provided approximately 4.9% of the energy consumption in 2010 and

    have been experiencing rapid growth in many developed and developing

    countries alike.

    He further described that these renewable energy sources if utilized

    properly will be more advantageous for us as they are indigenous, abundant, free

    of cost (resource material), environment friendly, and decentralized. Sustainable

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    renewable energy resources are being replaced/generated at the same rate that

    they are being utilized. Hence they will last indefinitely.

    About the consumption of biomass energy, he elaborated that 65% of the

    population of Pakistan lives in rural areas. Majority of these rural people have no

    access to commercial energy such as gas, electricity etc. Traditional fuels like

    firewood, dung and crop residues currently contribute a major share in meetingthe energy requirements of rural and low income urban households especially for

    cooking and heating purposes. The rural people meet more than 95% of their

    domestic energy needs by burning bio fuels. About 89% of the total final biomass

    energy is consumed in the domestic sector and the remaining 11% is consumed

    in the industrial sector as industrial process heat.

    He gave reasons that why the development of these renewable is required

    as the nation is facing energy crises widening demand and supply gap (7-8

    GW power supply shortage), dwindling recourses of fossil fuel, increasing

    environmental concerns, increasing energy price, increasing energy supply

    security concerns, high cost and safety and security concerns regarding nuclear

    power, indigenous, abundant, environment friendly, and decentralized nature of

    renewable energy sources.

    Talking about the potentials, he categorized it in four different types;

    theoretical potential, available potential, technical potential, and economical

    potential. The theoretical potential refers to the total amount of energy available

    for extraction in a defined region without consideration of availability or

    technological restrictions. For several energy forms such as solar, wind, and

    wave the theoretical potential is therefore very huge. The available potential is

    defined as the part of the theoretical potential that can be harvested easily

    without causing impacts on the environment. The technical potential refers to the

    amount of energy that can be harvested using existing technologies and thus

    depends on the time point assessment. The economical potential refers to theamount of potential that is economically viable by using currently available

    technologies.

    He explained the opportunities for renewable energy utilization in Pakistan

    are that these energy sources can be used instead of fossil fuels for many

    applications. Power generation sector (28.2%) is the major consumer of fossil

    fuels. Wind energy, solar energy, hydropower and biomass energy can be

    exploited for electricity generation instead of fossil fuel in the country. Electricity

    requirements of the un-electrified rural households can be met through

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    decentralized renewable energy systems. All these technologies except solar PV

    are mature and economically viable in the country. Solar PV is expected to be

    competitive to other power generation options by the year 2015. These

    renewable energy sources have the potential to meet all the current and future

    electricity requirements of Pakistan.

    Finally he came up with the conclusion that Ethanol fuel could meet about1% of the energy needs of the transport sector. Overall, renewable energy

    sources could meet about 17% to 30% of the net energy needs of Pakistan by

    2030. The exploitation of these technologies would reduce many of the current

    environmental and economic problems as well as mitigate national energy

    insecurity associated with the production cost and use of fossil fuels. The

    planners and policy makers should formulate proper polices and guidelines to

    promote RETs? for a more sustainable and secure energy system.

    Dr. Vaqar Ahmed , Deputy Executive Director, SDPI, talked on Economics of

    Energy Mix . He said that Pakistan is in a desperate need to implement an

    integrated energy plan. He highlighted the key areas on which we need to focus

    in order to overcome the growing energy crisis. He said that we need to

    consolidate various ministries and departments dealing with energy sector in

    Pakistan under one ministry or authority. Fragmented government is also one of

    the major issues. He emphasized that provincial governments must be given

    some role in order to reduce this crisis factor; similarly the capacity of regulators

    in this area will need to be strengthened.

    There must be some private investment in power, gas, hydro and coal

    sectors in order to overcome this situation. He said that urgent reforms must be

    done to deregulate pricing, generation and distribution. Private investment must

    be there in order to reduce these factors. He said that prices should be regulated

    with quality that is going in thermal power sector. There should be policyregarding the renovation of thermal plants; by this we can get more energy. A

    policy must be there to convert our oil into coal water slurry fuel and this can

    reduce current 18 oil units to 8 units. He said that trade in energy sector needs to

    be evaluated. Talking about the inefficiencies of existing plants and reduction in

    transmission, distribution and administrative losses, he said that they can provide

    a short term breather, however, in the longer run a deliberate effort will be

    required for changing the energy mix away from expensive imported oil. Finally

    he opined that: quick fix solution for circular debt may be for the government to

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    take the existing burden on its books, after which energy sector entities may be

    made available for private sector participation.

    Dr. Gulfraz Ahmad , Former Secretary, Ministry of Petroleum and Natural

    Resources, spoke on Least Cost Power Generation . He started his speech by

    pointing out some of the strengths and challenges in the energy sector. One ofthe main challenges, according to him, was low per capita energy consumption

    besides that the cost for power generation was so high; there was a huge

    shortfall in power and gas supply, power and gas theft and heavy losses caused

    huge damage to the energy sector. Then he talked about different strengths i.e.,

    Pakistan have gas based energy economy, we have country wide power and gas

    infrastructure and the most important one is that strategically Pakistan is located

    close to regional energy export sources in West and Central Asia.

    He also talked about the issues in gas sector. He said that policy failure is

    the main issue as energy sector has heavy reliance on gas and this is because of

    the policy distortion. One of the factors is natural decline in the production of

    energy fields. Projects like IP, TAPI, LNG and LPG, since early 1990, were

    initiated but still these are in the process. He said that vision is already there but

    implementation is the most important factor in order to overcome the energy

    crisis. Our markets are not feasible; there are unattractive economic and financial

    returns for the exploration companies. He further said that cost of generating

    electricity can be minimized by optimal choice of technology of power plant and

    its thermal energy, by the type of fuel that plant uses, by the size of plant to

    exploit economies of scale, and by locating plants in relations to the center of

    consumptions. He said that we should buy maximum capacity (90%-95%) from

    efficient power plants to reduce per unit tariff to save power cost. He emphasized

    that gas should be diverted from inefficient captive power plants to more efficient

    IPPs which will add 40% more electricity from the same amount of gas. This willalso cut the cost of power. He further elaborated that efforts were being made to

    acquire technology for economy of scales 1000 MW nuclear power plants that

    would give a boost to power sector. In the end he concluded that conservation of

    energy is a huge source of adding to energy supply; it could add over 20% to our

    energy consumption within the present energy supply.

    Session II Energy at Affordable Price: Evaluating Options

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    Dr. Ehsan Ali, Head of Department, Centre for Energy System, NUST,

    deliberated on Prospects of Biofuel . He opined that to meet the

    consequences of fossil fuel depletion and maintain the continuous supply of

    energy, Pakistan needs to set trends towards cheaper biofuel from locally

    available feedstock and resources. Cost effective production of biofuel depends

    upon the availability of cheap and sustainable raw material. Focusing on localresources may lead us to establish new trends in the history of biofuel

    contributing towards prosperity of the people of Pakistan. Pakistan has the

    potential to utilize biomass/residual crops for energy purposes if it could be

    managed at national level. Pakistan is exporting about 80% of available

    molasses at very cheaper rates which can be used to produce fuel grade ethanol

    by upgrading the possible facilities. In addition, the presence of 6.3 million

    hectares of saline land in Pakistan is a big challenge and may be encountered to

    contribute for the management of fuel and mitigating environment and economic

    crisis by using algae cultivation at the expense of residual salts and saline water

    for biofuel/biomass production. Pakistan has been suffering from a serious but

    temporary energy crisis, he opined that it could be reversed in coming few years.

    Even after recovery of the damaged energy systems and tracking to resolve the

    energy related issues, there is a need of bioenergy/biofuel in Pakistan to

    maintain the existing industrial and locomotive system. Pakistan needs biofuel for

    self-sufficiency, prosperity and better climatic conditions. There are number of

    issues regarding feedstock for biofuel which is always in conflict with the edible

    oil crops and land utilization for fuel purposes. He further said that Pakistan has

    the potential to produce Biofuel without creating any conflict with the edible crops

    and fertile land utilization. In Pakistan, approximately 6.3 million hectares of

    agricultural land is salt-affected. Almost all salt-affected area is underlain with

    brackish ground water. In addition several more million acres in coastal areas

    and in non-saline areas are also underlain with brackish water and unfit forconventional agriculture.

    Salt concentration in the soil does not allow any cash crop to grow

    properly but algae have a natural potential to withstand high salt concentration as

    in the saline lands. Through this strategy, salts in saline lands are likely to reduce

    with cultivation of algae because utilization of salts by addition of organic matter

    and other algal metabolites would trigger leaching of salts, possibly leading to

    cultivation of cash crops after a few years. In addition to biofuel, biomass (animal

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    feed) and Carbon dioxide so sequestered may be subjected to earn sufficient

    carbon credits from the International Market.

    Syed Shaukat Hasan , Director, Pakistan Atomic Energy Commission, talked on

    Nuclear Power Generation: Challenges and Prospects . He said that energy

    is the driving force for economy. Without a reliable and affordable supply ofenergy, sustainable economic growth cannot be achieved, however, the

    distribution of energy resources is not uniform globally which brings in the

    concept of energy security. Energy security comprises 4 As i.e., availability,

    accessibility, acceptability and affordability. The uneven distribution of energy

    supplies among countries has led to significant vulnerabilities. To achieve energy

    security, a country should try to exploit its indigenous energy sources, renewable

    energy sources and diversify its energy mix so that there is no major dependence

    on any one of the source. He further explained that most of the global primary

    energy supplies are consumed for generation of electricity, the demand for which

    is expected to keep on rising. The world electricity demand is projected to be

    around 34, 000 TWh in 2035 almost double the 2010 figures while for

    Pakistan it is projected to around 600 TWh almost six times the 2010 figures.

    Talking about the energy scenario, he said that currently Pakistan is facing

    severe energy crisis resulting in frequent electricity and gas load shedding.

    Pakistan has scarce fossil fuel resources and is forced to import almost one-third

    of its oil and gas to meet its energy needs. He said that renewables including

    hydro, solar, and wind were also among the options for electricity generation.

    During the year 2011-12, hydropower provided 29.0% of electricity in Pakistan.

    Although, Pakistan has relatively high endowment of hydropower potential, only

    6, 716 MW (12%) of the identified resources have been exploited so far. The

    World Bank estimates that the worldwide electricity production comprised of 40%

    coal, 19% gas, 16% nuclear, 16% hydro and 7% oil, while for Pakistan it was35.8% oil, 33% hydro, 27% gas, 3.6% nuclear and 0.1% coal and 0.28%

    electricity was imported in 2011.

    He emphasized that in the current energy scenario; nuclear power can

    play a vital role. Nuclear power is a safe, clean and reliable source of electricity.

    Nuclear power has a key significance in providing base-load electricity and

    minimizing imports of oil, gas and coal. It is essential to continue the

    development of nuclear power, even at a modest pace, in order to develop local

    capabilities and to meet Pakistans future electricity needs.

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    He further explained that nuclear power generation contributed 4.9% to

    the total electricity generation of Pakistan in year 2011-12. Pakistan has three

    operating nuclear power plants (NPPs): KANNUPP (137 MW) at Karachi which

    started commercial operation in 1972, C-1 & C-2 (325 MW each) located at

    Chashma started commercial operation in 2000 and 2011, respectively. Two

    nuclear power plants C-3 & C-4 (340 MW each) are under construction atChashma site. Talking about the Energy Security Plan of Pakistan, he said that

    this plan as approved by the Government of Pakistan envisaged construction of

    8, 800 MW nuclear power generation capacities by 2030. The target has now

    been raised to more than 30,000 MW of nuclear power by 2050 to meet the

    electricity needs of the country.

    He said that Pakistan is currently facing a number of challenges to

    increase the generation of nuclear electricity. These challenges are of two types:

    internal and external. The internal challenges are due to current financial crisis

    and yet to be fully developed indigenous industrial infrastructure. Nonetheless,

    notwithstanding the financial crunch, the Government of Pakistan is fully

    committed to provide the necessary finances for running the nuclear power

    programme. The external challenges are the embargoes, sanctions and denials

    regarding supply of nuclear equipment and components in some cases even

    those which are related to the safe operation of nuclear power plants. The

    Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG) of which Pakistan is not a member does not

    allow any civil nuclear trade with non-NPT member countries.

    Talking about the opportunities for nuclear power generation in Pakistan,

    he said that they are extensive and increasing. Nuclear power is one of the most

    suitable options for base-load electricity production. Pakistan has invested

    substantially in the nuclear sector during the past several decades. Rather than

    sowing the seeds, now is the time to harvest the crop.

    In the end, he concluded that the energy requirements of a progressiveand thriving Pakistan demand an aggressive investment of resources, financial

    as well as technological, for nuclear power development. Pakistan has a solid

    base of engineering and technology and time-tested human resource which can

    handle the challenges and benefit from the opportunities which are available in

    the nuclear arena. Notwithstanding the challenges associated with nuclear power

    generation, there had never been such an opportunity in Pakistan, albeit due to

    many reasons, for exploiting the benefits of nuclear power for sustainable growth

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    of the country. Energy brings economic prosperity and nuclear power is one of

    the major options to bring energy to Pakistan.

    Dr. Shaheen Akhtar , Associate Professor, NDU, gave her presentation on

    Hydel Power: Confronting Dwindling Resources . According to her, Pakistan

    is currently facing a critical energy crisis which is resulting in frequent and longpower breakdowns, shutting down of industrial units, affecting economic growth

    and creating social chaos and political instability. In 2011, World Bank report

    estimated production loss to the economy is two percent of the GDP per annum,

    and may be more. A recent report by the State Bank of Pakistan says, the peak

    shortfall for the system of the Pakistan Electric Power Company (PEPCO) rose

    from 2, 645 MW in 2007 to 8, 398 MW in 2012 which indicates a deepening of

    the energy crisis in the country. It is estimated that the national demand of

    electricity would keep on growing rapidly, at about 10% annually, owing to

    growing population and economic activities. The energy crisis is generated by

    variety of reasons, in particular, widening demand-supply gap, increased shift to

    oil-based expensive energy mix, and lack of integrated energy strategy and

    energy governance. Pakistan needs to diversify its energy options; rebalance its

    energy mix with preference to cheaper energy sources; and improve energy

    governance by fixing the management issues, increasing energy production

    efficiency and conservation.

    Hydropower is the cheapest and cleanest renewable source of energy.

    Pakistan is endowed with rich hydro power potential of 60,000 MW which can be

    tapped to meet its current and future energy requirements. She looked at the

    potential of hydropower resources and hydropower development in the country

    by examining various technical, financial, infrastructural and management

    challenges that are impeding the optimum utilization of the hydro resources of

    the country. She was of the opinion that the country needs to reverse the energymix in favour of hydropower, prioritize run of the river power projects and try to

    remove all the hurdles in way of hydro development.

    While there are many benefits, development of hydropower projects pose

    numerous technical and economic challenges to the investor and developer.

    Infrastructural constraints: projects are site-specific; sites are located in far-flung,

    isolated and high-altitude areas lacking basic infrastructural facilities and

    connectivity to transmission network. Detailed studies of topography, hydrology,

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    site geology and engineering geological conditions are required. Hydropower

    project thus involves high capital cost and long gestation period.

    Mr. Ejaz Ahmad Khan , Secretary, Coal and Energy Development Department,

    Sindh, spoke on Power Generation from Coal . He said that energy plays an

    important role in industrial and economic growth of nations. He explained thatpower production through furnace oil is costly and coal being cheap, abundant

    and safe seems to be the prime candidate as it caters to over 40% of the worlds

    power generation and is increasing day by day specifically in developing

    countries. He said that according to the survey of World Energy Outlook (WEO),

    future energy demand in emerging Asian countries will increase by 60% in 2020

    as compared to 26% in 1980 .

    He emphasized that Pakistan faces a number of critical challenges in

    energy sector and realizing these challenges, the Governments of Sindh &

    Pakistan are focusing on the huge potential of developing indigenous coal

    resources on fast-track basis and put coal-based power as a major portion in

    overall energy mix. Coal resources in Sindh, particularly Thar Coal, form an

    integral part of this planning. The current energy supply matrix is a composite of

    various technologies. Oil and gas form the bulk of primary commercial energy

    supply mix of Pakistan, contributing in the following ratio. Oil: 37%, Gas: 30%,

    Coal: 0.1%, Hydroelectricity: 30% and Nuclear electricity: 1.8%. He said that oil is

    an extremely expensive mode of developing energy and is depleted at a very

    rapid speed. Moreover, its import is a heavy burden on the exchequer.

    He said that coal-based power generation can provide considerable

    contribution to local economic development including monetary benefits to the

    province, the development will generate direct and indirect employment, the mine

    and power development will require infrastructure, such as roads, rail, water,

    power, and communications networks, all of which will be shared underagreements with the local non-mine and non-power related users. This project

    will play an important role in the reduction of circular debt through cheap

    electricity; and by this, we can save US$ 250 Million per annum. In the end, he

    said that this project can transform the Pakistan economy and bring in economic

    sustainability but there must be some real and effective energy policy.

    May 16, 2013 (Thursday Day II)

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    Session III Governance and Legislation

    Barrister Aemen Maluka , Advocate High Court, gave her presentation on

    Legislation for Energy Conservation . Ms. Aemen Maluka started her

    presentation by linking economy and law. She said that one cannot

    make/regulate laws or economic principles in isolation. Regulation is basically

    dictated through economics. She stated that energy efficiency has risen to thetop of the law and policy agenda during the past one decade, in many countries,

    including Pakistan. However, in the case of third world countries where there is

    rampant corruption in the energy sector, including the problem of electricity theft

    and abuse, the assessments of its potential benefits vary widely. Through the

    example of Pakistani law and policy, she looked at what the current energy

    consumption trends show. Based on these, she sought to explain, what have

    been the public sectors priorities in addressing the energy shortage. Ms. Maluka

    opined that Pakistans energy conservation policy-makers and legislators,

    particularly those who were reviewing and constructing the regime for

    environmental taxation based on the very much-overrated Pigouvian taxation

    theory, needed to take another look at the current legal framework that aimed at

    promoting energy conservation. Also, it needs to be seen that Pigouvian taxes

    may not be the best solution for Pakistans political and legal environment even

    though they may have, in the past, produced the desired results in many Western

    jurisdictions.

    Taking the case of Pakistan, she said that the continuity in environmental

    policy and stability in the tax policy had suffered because the overall plan for

    energy independence had followed the civil paths. With the example of

    ENERCON, in the case of Pakistan, the competing rather conflicting and

    contradictory politicized agenda have counter-added the intended effectiveness

    of tax credits and incentives programs for energy efficiency. In the oil and gas

    sector in Pakistan, the tax credits and incentives have come and gone due topolicy disruptions, nominal actions and competing policies. To elaborate it

    further, she said, it is important to discuss the general principles behind

    Pakistans environmental policies and the regulatory principles. Ms. Maluka with

    reference to tax policy of Pakistan stated that it has potential impact on the socio-

    economic and consumer demand. She said that there is also need to discuss the

    fuel economy within Pakistan and the tax and environmental agendas.

    A special tax that is often levied on companies that pollute the environment or create excess social costs, callednegative externalities, through business practices. In a true market economy, a Pigouvian tax is the most efficient andeffective way to correct negative externalities.

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    Unfortunately, we have done little about it i.e., to promote the technical aspects

    of it through regulation.

    Ms. Maluka then emphasized on the current proposed energy

    programmes and legal energy policies of Pakistan that are blatant in regard to

    fundamental environmental norms. The law states that energy conservation is

    more effective than energy generation. She gave historical background ofENERCON that it was established in 1980s with the US technical and financial

    assistance and principally the organization has aimed to legislate through this

    law of conservation but it has not been able to do well in Pakistan due to political

    and economic pressure which have emerged in the last few decades. At the

    same time, there is a growing public and private apathy towards the subject of

    energy conservation. The ENERCON Bill of 2013 has some interesting upcoming

    provisions that a council must be established that can have a suitable structure

    or mechanism for the implementation of this act. The Bill aims for the

    enforcement of effective energy standards, incentives, fines and other related

    requirements under this act. The council has also been given power for collection

    of taxes but it has become a constitutional issue with the regulatory authorities

    like PEMRA etc. The private sector and third parties are also challenging this fine

    and taxation system. Ms. Maluka also discussed about the purpose of Pakistan

    Energy Conservation Council (PECC) that aims to promote effective use of

    energy and conservation of Energy in Pakistan. The council is making effort to

    remove ambiguities related to power and energy allocation and about the

    collection of energy taxes and fines.

    While concluding her presentation, Ms. Maluka opined that Pakistans

    energy sector will not work or progress unless the improved infrastructure is in

    line with the regulations.

    Advocate Ameena Sohail , Senior Associate IPS, talked on Impact of 18th

    Amendment on Energy Generation . Speaking about the Spirit of 18 th

    Constitutional Amendment, she said that energy sector was broadly divided into

    power and hydrocarbons. Both had different legislative structures prior to 18 th

    amendment. Elaborating the text provisions of the 18 th amendment related to

    energy generation Ms. Ameena explained the Article 157 related to electricity

    which stated that the Federal Government may in any province construct or

    cause to be constructed hydroelectric or thermal power installations or grid

    stations for the generation of electricity and lay or cause to be laid inter Provincial

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    transmission lines shall consult the Provincial Government concerned and in

    case of any dispute between the Federal Government and a Provincial

    Government in respect of any matter under this Article, any of the said

    Governments may move the Council of Common Interest (CCI) for resolution of

    the dispute. She said that the electricity is now shifted to part II of the Federal

    legislative list. Advocate Ameena also discussed the impact on exploration and

    production of Hydrocarbons (Oil& Gas). She threw light on the Article 172 on the

    ownerless property which has given joint ownership rights to federal and

    provincial government under 18 th amendment. About the Article 161 related to

    Natural gas and Hydro-electric power, she said that before the 18 th amendment,

    natural resources especially mineral oil and natural gas being part of the Federal

    Legislative List were exclusively owned and regulated by the Federal

    Government. She criticized the Article 161 by stating that Article 161 is silent as

    to the treatment of royalty on crude oil, which would hence be dealt with in

    keeping with the provisions of the revised Article 172(3) and be shared equally

    between the Federal Government and the Provinces. The case of natural gas

    should also be treated in the same manner and Article 161 should be

    appropriately amended. The legislative, regulatory, institutional and policy control

    should remain with the Federal Government as per the existing institutional

    framework and all institutions; public sector entities and regulatory authorities

    should continue to operate as before. She said that missing links should be

    plugged and regulatory functions should be overhauled and developed for the

    promotion of an integrated energy sector.

    Dr. Nazir Hussain , Associate Professor, QAU, presented his paper on

    Diplomacy and International Dimension of Energy Management . Dr. Nazir

    Hussain started his presentation by focusing on the serious energy crisis which islikely to aggravate in the coming years. He said that the under-production,

    inefficiency, mismanagement and lack of a coherent national energy policy have

    severely undermined Pakistans ability to cope with the challenging situation.

    However, there are few internal and external options which can be utilized to

    address its short-term energy needs and formulate long-term energy

    requirements. He proposed four trans-regional pipeline options: overland Iran-

    Pakistan (IP) Gas-Pipeline, overland Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India

    (TAPI) Gas-Pipeline, underwater Qatar-Pakistan Gas-Pipeline, and imported

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    Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) through the sea. But each option is studded with

    multiple challenges such as the US opposition to IP, Afghan security issue with

    TAPI, expensive cost of Qatar-Pakistan pipeline, and heavy cost of LNG import.

    Dr Nazir while speaking on the Pakistans energy scenario stated that

    Pakistans electricity demands are mainly met through hydel production as the

    country was blessed with abundant water resources and the two major damsbuilt in early 1960s; Terbela and Mangla. However, the unplanned growth of

    industry and massive use of gas for commercial and transport purposes led to

    the over-reliance on gas. Subsequently, the electricity generation was also

    converted to thermal, which increased the production cost of electricity being met

    through government subsidies. In the absence of a national energy policy, the

    demand and supply gap continued to increase with no substantial alternatives.

    Political controversies over building of new dams, massive reliance of industry on

    gas, un-planned growth of CNG for transport, and substantial theft/line-losses led

    to the massive demand-supply gap. This has resulted in massive electricity and

    gas load-shedding which has not just hampered the everyday life of Pakistani

    citizens but has also severely affected economic growth and political stability.

    While discussing the available energy options for Pakistan, the speaker

    said that Iran, crippled by the sanctions in place and fearing further sanctions, is

    desperate for the IP pipeline to be completed. Other than the economic benefits

    that Pakistan can acquire from IP, the most significant benefits however can be

    achieved if the IP becomes IPC; the Iran-Pakistan-China pipeline. India backed

    out, presumably under the US pressure and also its own distrust of Pakistan.

    TAPI project is expected to generate 2000 MW of electricity for energy-starved

    Pakistan, besides earning transit fee from India. This project would not only

    substantially reduce Pakistans energy demands but could also become an

    important economic dynamic for bridging Indo-Pakistan rivalry. Despite TAPIs

    economic potential and commercial viability, the project faces a number ofchallenges. Although the US is pushing for the project and India is a willing

    partner, it is the Russian Federation that is opposed to the project mainly

    because it would like to transport the Turkmenistan gas to Europe through its

    own territory thus keeping a check on the Central Asian energy resources,

    besides benefiting economically. Another important bottleneck is the instability

    and insecurity in Afghanistan, which is likely to aggravate after 2014, in the post-

    withdrawal period. Moreover, the project is still being considered as a

    pipedream as the project has not yet been kick-started. Similarly Gulf-South

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    Asia/Pak-Qatar Gas Pipeline is blessed with the US approval as its company is

    technically involved, besides the Qatari company ready to finance the project, the

    proposed project is costly due to its under-water route. It is estimated that an off-

    shore pipeline has, at least, twice the cost of an overland pipeline. Therefore, the

    project is still on the paper, and no substantial progress is being witnessed. Yet

    another option being considered is to import liquefied natural gas (LNG) fromQatar to Pakistan with potential to include China and India at later stage.

    However, natural gas transported through overland or undersea pipeline in its

    natural state or as LNG in oil tankers is a costly affair.

    Concluding the presentation, Dr. Nazir stated that out of the four external

    options available to Pakistan, only one, the IP gas pipeline project, is without the

    regional/international cooperation. In the remaining three options, the financial

    support, investment opportunities and international cooperation are available.

    Therefore, Pakistan has bright chances to fast-track the available options by

    involving other regional/international stack-holders but that requires a proactive

    diplomacy. He argued that a land-based pipeline would be four times cheaper

    than any other option. Therefore, the first and foremost priority should be to work

    on the overland pipelines like IP and TAPI, and later to also include GSUSA and

    LNG. And lastly in order to meet the massive demand of energy, a coherent

    national energy policy is required that should cover effective management, short

    to long term planning, tapping of additional local energy sources, building of new

    dams and fast-track working on regional pipelines.

    Mr. Muhammad Mustansar Billah Hussain , ARO, IPRI, spoke on Role of

    Universities and Think Tanks in Energy Conservation . Mr. Mustansar Billah

    started his presentation by introducing the basic concept of energy conservation.

    He said that energy conservation is a way of reducing energy consumption

    through economy, elimination of waste and rational use. It also refers to effortsand steps taken to reduce the use of energy. It can be done through judicious

    use of energy, efficiency enhancement, and curtailing the consumption by

    minimizing the need of energy. He highlighted the importance of energy

    conservation for Pakistan as energy has a credible role in national building and

    development. Globally, the appeal for energy conservation is gaining popularity

    and there is an urge for energy conservation for energy security. In the context of

    Pakistan, energy conservation is important because we have fossil fuel

    dominated energy supply, which is a costly business. Moreover, there is low

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    reserve/ production ratio of indigenous fossil fuels (oil and gas). With the rising

    demand for energy in the country, unfortunately there is a very low capital

    investment in energy generation projects particularly alternative energy

    resources and slow progress in alternative energy spectrum.

    Moving further on the subject, the speaker emphasized the role of

    Pakistani universities and think tanks for the energy conservation. He discussedfour major types of universities in Pakistan: Sciences, Engineering &

    Technological Universities, Agricultural Universities, IT & Administrative Sciences

    Universities and Social Sciences Universities. He explained the role of

    Engineering Universities that: by designing energy efficient buildings, curtailing

    consumption on lighting through building designs, insulation material, and

    peculiar specifications for different climate regions in the country, these

    universities can facilitate conservation of energy. Speaking about the Agricultural

    Universities, he said that energy can be conserved by promoting irrigation

    technologies that use less water; hence there would be less energy consumption

    for pumping underground water. The IT and Administrative Universities may

    contribute by designing software which could contribute in energy conservation

    using occupancy sensors and daylight sensors. These universities can also

    make software for weekly and monthly energy audits.

    Social sciences universities could cultivate a sense of responsible use of

    energy by promoting a replica of Setsuden Spirit electricity conservation

    national movement in Japan. Mr. Billah also gave examples of Boston University

    which has reduced 9% of its energy consumption since 2005 and example of

    MITEI (MIT Energy Initiative) which has saved energy worth over US$4.5 million

    per annum during 2007-2012. He also mentioned about the Think tanks

    specializing on energy security that can also play vital role in the energy

    conservation through conferences, research and publications and by organizing

    workshops and symposiums in order to train people from industry, media andgeneral public.

    Session IV Energy Conservation through Infrastructure Efficiency

    Mr. N.A. Zuberi , MD Private Power and Infrastructure Board, deliberated on

    Private Power Generation and Infrastructure . Mr. Zuberi started his

    presentation by highlighting Pakistans economy which has historically been

    marred by power shortages and has remained one of the chronic problems

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    hampering socio-economic growth of the country. He said that the phenomenon

    of load-shedding was first experienced by the nation in the early nineteen

    eighties and since then the country has been facing acute power outages from

    time to time. Back in the eighties, the electricity demand for Pakistan was

    progressively increasing at an estimated rate of 7-8 percent per annum but the

    required capacity additions in the national grid could not be matched with thesame pace. This situation called for immediate intervention by the Government of

    Pakistan (GoP) through adoption of policy measures aimed at massive resource

    mobilization for investment in the power/energy sector. In 1985, Government of

    Pakistan developed a long-term strategy for attracting multinational investment

    for construction and operation of electric power generation facilities. The

    objective of the energy strategy was to implement a plan that cultivates an

    atmosphere conductive to high-level electricity generation growth without

    straining the governmental resources. The key features of that policy were

    establishment of the Private Sector Energy Fund (PSEDF) for financing the

    private sector power projects.

    The speaker then discussed about the creation and objective of Private

    Power and Infrastructure Board (PPIB) that was created in August 1994 as a

    one-window facilitator on behalf of GoP and its Ministries/Departments to

    promote private investments in power sector. It received statutory status on 6 th

    March 2012 through an Act of the Parliament. It monitors progress of

    development/operation of IPPs. It also provides support to Ministry of Water &

    Power, Provinces/AJ&K in technical, financial and legal matters and

    coordinates/liaises with local and international multilateral development/Financial

    Institutions. The speaker also mentioned about several power and infrastructure

    policies processed such as Power Generation Policy 1994 (besides 1292 MW

    HUBCO project which was processed prior to 1994 Power Policy); Hydel Policy

    1995; Transmission Policy 1995; Policy of Private Freight Train Operations;Power Generation Policy 2002 and Policy for Power Co-Generation by Sugar

    Industry January 2008.

    Mr. Zuberi also stated that PPIBs proactive approach towards enhancing

    power generation capacity through private sector on urgent basis is not being

    matched/reciprocated by other stakeholders. The slow tariff determination by

    NEPRA has negative impact on IPPs. Similarly, lack of sufficient infrastructure

    for hydro and coal projects and other issues related to land acquisition issues,

    Inter Provincial issues for hydropower projects and Law & Order situation in

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    northern region are also adversely affecting the power sector. He also talked

    about the dire need for the establishment of two mega imported coal based and

    local coal based power projects in order to fulfill the future demand and supply

    requirements of the country.

    Mr. Salman Qaisrani , Director, CWS Technologies, talked on Grids andInfrastructure: CWS Combustion Technologies . Mr. Salman Qaisrani

    highlighting the significance of coal and stated that despite mounting concerns

    over regulatory supply and quality risks, Pakistani coal sector remains under

    limelight as an attractive option. Pakistan remains one of the worlds largest coal

    reserve countries with indicated coal reserves of 185, 000 Million Metric Tons.

    About 80% of Pakistani coal reserves fall under low/medium rank coal, such as

    lignite and sub-bituminous coal. However, coal has one or two disadvantages;

    among those are its mineral content, especially the sulfur bearing component,

    and the problems in handling and storing of coal, such as dust and the need for

    expensive mechanical handling and reclamation systems. However, coal is

    abundant, widespread, and fairly cheap to produce; while oil reserves are much

    smaller and are concentrated in politically unstable areas, and the commodity

    can become very expensive. Therefore, utilization of coal as primary feedstock

    for power generators will still remain a high priority option in the future. Mr.

    Qaisrani also highlighted the environmental hazards of dry coal burning such as

    dangerous emissions of gases like NOX, SOX, CO2, acid rain, greenhouse effect

    etc.

    He focused on the basic concept, history and usage of Coal Water Slurry

    (CWS). He explained that CWS is an environment friendly coal based liquid-Fuel

    that can be used to replace petroleum. It is prepared through a technical process

    by blending 65% to 70% coal with 29% to 34% water, and minor (1%) quantities

    of chemical additives. CWS is slurry of powdered coal and water, whichmaintains a stable state over a long period when a small amount of additive is

    provided properly. It was initially developed in Russia about 80 years ago and

    developed in 1950s in Europe. Low oil prices and huge oil reserves discovered

    led to a complete stagnation in CWS development. In 2000, the program was

    started in China to meet the Beijing Olympics environmental challenges. Mr

    Qaisrani emphasized on the advantages of CWS such as: CWS is a viable

    source of energy both at generation & grids; less infrastructure cost; CWS can be

    made by using low quality coal and is most suitable for local indigenous coal;

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    capital investment costs is very low relative to coal gasification and liquefaction

    processes, which can be more than US$6.5 billion for a

    100, 000 BPSD complex, as compared to US$150 million for CWS of the same

    size; and CWS has high combustion efficiency and is low in pollution discharge.

    He said that successful introduction of CWS technology into the industries,

    in China, to replace heavy fuel oil has made a very significant impact in theutilization of low rank coal, for new 100 Thermal Power Plant. Simultaneous and

    parallel development of advanced coal cleaning technologies as in the case of

    CWS could allow Pakistan to make a fast transition, economically, away from our

    limited resource of oil and natural gas to our most abundant resource of coal.

    Moving further the speaker discussed how coal based CWS will be the

    fuel of this century and beyond. The comparison of Pakistani coal specification

    with the limits of coal as allowed for usage in CWS combustion technology shows

    that local Pakistani Coal is ideal for usage in CWS Combustion Technology. The

    combustion efficiency of CWS is 96%-99%, combustion temperature of CWS is

    approximately 1200 to 1300 degree C.

    Concluding Session National Energy Vision 2030

    Presenting Energy Vision 2030 on the concluding day of the conference Dr.

    Shaukat Hameed Khan , Vice Chancellor, Sir Syed-CASE Institute of

    Technology, Islamabad, said that modern economies are based on cheap

    carbon-based energy and we are no exception. Energy and consumption go

    together. Energy policy evolution is shared both by the governments and

    consumers. We have deliberately ignored the energy factor in our economic

    growth. We need energy to fuel our economic growth. As far as coal is

    concerned there is huge issue of massive mining as mining in Pakistan is in its

    terrible state. We do not do large scale mining at all and nobody knows how to

    mine it properly. Turkey last year mined 50 million tons of coal. This is calledlarge scale mining. Though he favoured coal based energy but since mining of

    Thar coal could take long Pakistan should import coal for immediate use in place

    of diesel and furnace oil. He said that Pakistan is probably the only country in the

    world where household tariffs are lower than commercial and industrial rates.

    Rates should not vary that much. This is something that we have to change in

    Pakistan as it would promote efficient use of energy in homes and resultantly we

    would see energy conservation.

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    Dr. Khan warned that there were no easy and quick solutions to the power

    shortage problem being faced by the country as there was grave dichotomy at

    the policy base, the planning commission had been overshadowed by the finance

    ministry, and absence of continuity had deprived the concerned authority of

    institutional memory. On top of that fuel needed for energy generation as well as

    funds to pay the enormous circular debt were in short supply. The energy systemwas not attuned to technology which determined the demand supply equation.

    On regional energy grid, he said that the IP and TAPI pipelines seem vulnerable

    due to the involvement of more than two countries. There were home grown

    solutions available and coal above every other resource offered a natural option

    but planners had been neglecting these for over three decades now. Again we

    have been unable to formulate energy pricing for many years. Unless the new

    government harmonized the fragmented governance in this respect, it would be

    hard to end power outages anywhere in the near future. He estimated the

    country would need US$210 billion in the next 20 to 25 years to meet the growing

    energy needs.

    Renewable energy is beneficial and can be a solution but only for long

    term; and it (solar, wind, tidal) does not offer base load as we need electricity

    24/7 whereas renewable energy does not offer this. The problem is we dont

    take/collect data; we need to start wind and solar profiling in Pakistan on every

    single minute basis the whole year.

    He gave a comprehensive comparative cost benefit analysis of nuclear

    power generation and concluded that nuclear power generation is one of the

    viable options for Pakistan. He said that though western countries are moving

    away from nuclear power generation, Asian counties are projecting a

    phenomenal growth rate over the coming decades. China and South Korea are

    producing nuclear power at one third to one fifth the cost as compared with

    western countries. Cheap labour and different industrial approach arecontributing factors toward lowering of cost. Unless indigenous supply of cheap

    gas is assured, nuclear power generation presents the next cheap and long term

    solution, beside hydel power. Nuclear fuel is cheap and does not throw up

    volatile fluctuations like oil. Moreover, cost of nuclear fuel is a small fraction of

    the overall cost. Though setting up of nuclear plants need initial heavy capital

    investment and it takes about 48 months to come on line, these plants have long

    operational life of 80-100 years. Once the initial cost is properly sunk in, which is

    a long process, nuclear power plants virtually become cash machines.

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    He recommended that Pakistan should gradually reconfigure its energy

    mix to reduce dependence on costly thermal fuels like furnace oil, and move

    toward greater reliance on water, coal and nuclear fuel.

    Conference Recommendations

    Deliberations during the conference brought forth a number of recommendationswhich are summarized below:

    The energy crisis is a serious challenge that requires serious and sustained effort

    on part of the Government. There can be no quick fixes. It would require short

    term, medium term and long term measures as well as some hard policy

    decisions. It is imperative to improve governance in order to formulate power policies based

    on merit rather than vested interests, check power theft, ensure full revenuerecovery, and curb corruption.

    A well deliberated, clearly articulated and sustainable policy based on least-cost

    options is the foremost requirement. Circular debt is by far the most serious problem that needs to be addressed on

    urgent basis. One possible solution to deal with circular debt is through creation

    of a circular debt retirement fund under an organization. The fund could be

    financed by a consortium of banks and financial institutions under guarantee of

    the government. Cost of generating electricity can be minimized by: optimal choice of technology

    of power plant and its thermal efficiency; type of fuel that the plant uses; size of

    the plant to exploit economy of scales; and location of plant in relation to the

    centres of consumption. Across the board subsidies are never a good policy option. Such subsidies not

    only result in wasteful use of valuable resources but also put unnecessary

    burden on other consumers and the public exchequer. Pigouvian taxes may not be the best solution for Pakistans political and legal

    environment even though they may have, in the past, produced the desired

    results in many Western jurisdictions. In this context a policy review is warranted. 18 Amendments touched upon electricity in a cursory manner, leaving behind a

    number of lacunas. However, the CCI, could manage the affairs through a pro-

    active approach.

    Provincial governments should generate energy and start building power plantson their own.

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    would be minimal. An Ultra Mega Power Park of at least 3600 MW may be built

    there. Coal Water Slurry (CWS) is a new type of liquid fuel that can, to some extent,

    replace petroleum as fuel in the energy conversion and process industries. It also

    has less infrastructure cost and high combustion efficiency. In order to meet the massive demand of energy, Pakistan has four external

    options: the Iran-Pakistan (IP) gas pipeline, Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-

    India (TAPI) gas pipeline, Pak-Qatar gas pipeline project and import of Liquefied

    natural gas (LNG). Out of these options, only the IP gas pipeline project is

    without the regional or international cooperation. For the remaining three options,

    the financial support, investment opportunities and international cooperation are

    available. Therefore, Pakistan can fast-track the available options by involving

    other regional, international stake-holders through a proactive diplomacy. Direct electricity purchase agreements may be concluded with neighbouring

    countries on the pattern of Central Asia South Asia Electricity Trade and

    Transmission Project (CASA 1000), while keeping the primary focus of

    purchasing the commodity at affordable price. Conservation of energy is a huge source of adding to the energy supply. It aims

    at bringing the existing energy into efficient use by eliminating wasteful internal

    use, minimizing losses and theft and reducing the energy intensity. By a broad

    estimate we could add over 20% to our energy availability through conservation. Steps should be taken to educate the public in power conservation by launching

    media campaigns against electricity wastage. Universities, think tanks and media

    can play an important role in energy conservation through innovative concepts

    and public awareness. Energy efficiency in buildings can be improved by incorporating design related

    best practices appropriate to our environment, coupled with traditional materials,

    technologies and craftsmanship. An energy efficient building could reduce annualenergy bills up to 40%.

    Rebalancing in energy mix with increased focus on hydroelectricity and nuclear

    power generation offers a way out of energy crisis. Public-private partnership in hydropower sector should be reinvigorated. This will

    help in raising financial resources for these projects. Political consensus on the big hydro projects should be developed.

    The formation of a single ministry in charge of the entire energy sector, theformulation of a long-term integrated policy and complete autonomy to regulators

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