Storage charge, discharge, and net production over three day-night cycles with intermittent wind and solar

Analysis of intermittency and storage: Aizuwakamatsu, Japan

Net productionDischarge Charge

Using many runs to parametrically explore uncertainty space

On shore Wind

Off

shor

e W

ind

No Grid Expansion

Grid Expansion

The example shows 100 runs exploring capacity build patterns under scenarios varying carbon price, technology availability and cost, and transmission grid expansion in a Japan multi-region TIMES model.

Level of process detail is analysis-drivenIn the US multi-region model FACETS, individual industrial boilers and electricity generating units (EGU) were represented,

each with their own technology retrofit options for NOx emissions reduction.

Combining policy-relevant scenario dimensionsThis online portal from the IMRT India TIMES model summarizes results from 288 runs combining variations on seven variables: air pollutant emissions limits, coal mining capacity, coal and gas prices, solar investment costs, and policies prescribing minimum investments in renewable and nuclear generation and maximum shares of electricity from imported fuels.

Modeling variations on complex policiesThe US model FACETS was used to analyze many variations of the upcoming US EPA regulation on carbon emissions from existing power plants (Section 111d of the Clean Air Act), permuting alternate policy designs along with gas and technology prices.

Carbon capture and storage on the Iberian peninsulaIn the Pan-European TIMES model, development of infrastructure to transport captured carbon to underground storage sites was analyzed.

Relative Roles of Efficiency vs. Cl vs. Demand ReductionRole of Energy Efficiency, Carbon Intensity and Demand Reduction in California under severe mitigation scenariosDemand reduction has the most significant contribution in the short-term and carbon intensity reduction is the dominant contributor in the long-term. Efficiency improvement is more important in the Residential sector compared to Commercial.

Detailed electricity capacity demand and supply for India in 2030

Power production investment cost(relative to CPI scenario, annualised, average 2050)

Increase in annual Power sector investment costs in Europe under different technology scenariosPower sector options are examined in 3 alternate technology scenarios for Europe: Optimistic Renewable Energy, Pessimistic Renewable Energy and Optimistic Nuclear

Results: Total energy system costs(relative to total energy system cost in 2020 of CPI scenario)

Increase in total energy system costs in Europe under different technology scenariosSystem costs are examined in 3 alternate technology scenarios for Europe: Optimistic Renewable Energy, Pessimistic Renewable Energy and Optimistic Nuclear.

Primary energy (2050) (GIC as reported by Eurostat – non energy use – fuel consumption by aviation – Maritime bunker)

Alternate scenarios for very low-carbon energy system in Belgium

Energy systems modelling for UK policyHistory and evolution of ETSAP tools usage in the UKETSAP tools are playing an important role in the policy process of several countries.

Energy flows in Portugal in 2050 – Low C Road Map (2012)

A low carbon road map for Portugal

Electricity production by source (PJ)

Electricity production in South American countries