Singularity University Executive Program - Day 1

55
SingularityU Executive Program Day 1 - Technology foundations

Transcript of Singularity University Executive Program - Day 1

Page 1: Singularity University Executive Program - Day 1

SingularityU Executive Program

Day 1 - Technology foundations

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Networks, Computing & sensor

Brad Templeton

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Exponential computing

What makes revolution?

early adopters: open hackable platforms with a culture of innovation

free (Internet): innovative apps do not need financial justification to be developed

the stupid network

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OSI model

Transports

Networks

Data link

Physical

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–Marc Andreessen

“Software is eating the world”

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Software & hardware

Software lets you visualise the physical; takes you above hardware & infrastructure

This flexibility allows you to delay decisions (!)

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Bandwidth abundance

Google Loon

Facebook Drones

Expect more connectivity

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Cool new things & devices

Contact lens that measure concentration of sugar

Google Glass (immediate computing)

Oculus (turned down $1.1B deal without having product)

Magic leap (600M seed round)

HoloLens

CastAR

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Ambient intelligence

Cheaper, low power, smaller

Sensors

Computing

Networks

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NetworkingProblems with multiple wireless low-power standards (Zigbee, BLE & etc)

Seems that BLE is winning the race

Nest —> Machine - Machine - Human network

Probably Google bought them for 3B not because of thermostat, but rather to have

gateway to talk to other smart home devices!

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Sensors applications

Supply chain management (huge!)

Pipes, factories, trucks & etc

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Wearables

Problem: people buy it, but dont wear it

When people are healthy, they dont care about wearable health devices

Intel Edison & Baby Jumper application

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Killer app

Wearables & sensors are waiting for killer app

Probably it is in the field of context: putting smaller devices into environment & sensing what is happening there

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Quantum Computing

Specific problems to solve:

factoring big numbers —> huge threat to cryptography (public key)

optimisation problems

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Bitcoin & blockchain

Global & outside of government control

No central bank to meddle with it or fix it

Senders & recipients are anonymous (or maybe not)

Transactions are irrevocable

Quicker/slower than other instruments

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Bitcoin & open hackable culture

Bitcoin lets anybody innovate in Money, Title, Transactions

Ethereum platform

Research: smart contracts

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Summary

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Artificial Intelligence

Neil Jacobstein

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AgendaWhat is AI?

What is already accomplished

What is under the hood

Applications

Implications

Action items & recommendations

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What is AI?

Pattern recognition

to

Solve practical problems

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DeepMind Tech

Input: raw pixels

Output: value function estimation of future rewards

Acquired by Google in 2014

Plays Atari with deep reinforcement learning

Video: learns from game & comes to intelligent strategy that developers have not envisioned

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3 mythsYou cant just sprinkle a little bit of AI

Garbage In - Garbage Out (you have to clean & shape data before using it)

Smart algorithms are not the same as human level intelligence or sentience

—> start with the problem, not AI algorithm. Framing the problem is THE important step

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AI comes with tradeoffs

One side: job disruption, human identity, risk amplification

Other side: faster, cheaper, better problem solving

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4 key areas

Verification - meets the spec

Validation - spec meets the problem/situation

Security

Control

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Nice movies about AI

Ex_Machina

Imitation game

Chappi

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AI

Symbols - computer are very good at

Perceptions - just become good at

Concepts - just starting —> why? —> cant make decisions without data, need to have mechanical models about reality

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Where we areVicarious —> next generation AI algorithm that passed Captcha test

Future states of cow —> AI imagination

Human brain had no upgrade fo 50K years

Siri & Google Now - long way to understand our intentions & wishes

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More on where we are

VIV - spin-off from Siri

Intelligence become a utility

IBM watson

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Development vectors

Deep learning algorithm - champion now

A_PIE - raging Pose illumnation Expression

Face 2 algorithm —> 99% identifying faces in different poses, emotions & etc. Better than human

But there are mistakes

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AI value added

Augment human skill

Expands range of possibilities

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Application oriented AI

Machine Intelligence Landscape

Gecko conference

Attensisty - sentiment analysis

TalentBin - talent search engine for entire web

Brigtherion

Narrative Science

BitSight

Gaggle - solving business challenges through predictive analytics

Experfy - hire data scientists (the problem: you expose your data)

Watson Ecosystem - 100M venture capital, SU may connect with them

Neil’s workshop at Stanford: using AI in decision making

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Books

Race against the machine

Kasparov - How life imitates chess

AI changes balance of power —> Radical abundance by Drexler

Abundance by Diamandis

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RecommendationsCrowdsource

Utilize

Use publicly available tools

AI platforms (Google, Watson, Amazon, Microsoft)

Rethinking business processes

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Notes from Q&A

What excites most? —> AI drives us to evidence based decision making

AI needs data!

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Summary

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ForecastingPaul Saffo

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Intro

Frequency of earthquakes —> same exponential behaviour

Inflection point vs critical point

Uncertainty is intrinsic

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Intro

Identify your biases.. and not all surprises are bad news

Lousy quality is not a bug, a feature (Kodak and digital cams)

Sacred cows make the best burgers

Forecasting isn't prediction

Actions in the present affect events in future

Quickly come to conclusions - the whole essence of forecasting

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Components

Strategic - easy

Critical indicator - hard

Receptive conviction - hardest (act decisively on incomplete information)

Case: Rochfort & Nimitz (Midway base)

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Driving forces

Constants - Moore’s Law, other exponential technologies & processes

Cycles - Kondratev’s cycles

Novelties - breakthroughs

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Summary

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Digital BiologyRay McCauley

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3 components

Reading - DNA sequencing

Writing - Genetical Engineering

Hack - Democratisation of tool

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Reading

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ReadingDNA Microrays

23 and me

Cost per genome (biology now falls under Moore’s Law):

2001: 3B

2007: 1M

2013: used car

2015: 1K

2016: pizza

2020: flush of a toilet

Actually DNA sequencing tech is even faster than computation: 5-10x vs 1,5-2x

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Software forclinical genetics

Personalise

Invite

Cancer genetics

Foundation medicine

StationX

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More companies

9PCR

MinION - hand sets for sequencing

Second Genome

Microbiome

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Writing

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ReadingApE - plasmid editor (software development)

DNA 2.0 -> print, build, test

CRISP/Cas9

Drag’n’Drop Engineering

Genome editing with CRISP —> toolkit for genes

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Companies

Bluebird Bio

Editas Medicine

Gunsight

Lysogen

Spark

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Biohacking

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BioCurious

hackerspace for biotech

Sunnyvale, California

membership & classes

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2nd popular FAQhow did they allow? —> 7 different levels of government

FBI/BioCurious join conference in 2012

Cow-free Milk & Cheese

Rise of Biotech Garage Inventor

diybiology.org

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Summary

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brought to you byBayram Annakov, App in the Air

http://medium.com/@bayramannakov