Show Me The Green - Aventri · Northwest Biosolids 2016 Carbon Mathematics Factor Emissions...
Transcript of Show Me The Green - Aventri · Northwest Biosolids 2016 Carbon Mathematics Factor Emissions...
Northwest Biosolids 2016
Show Me The Green
September 13, 2016 – BioFest 2016, Semiahmoo, Washington
John M. Lavery, RPBio, PAg
BioFest 2016:
Vegetation’s Value in the Biosolids
Investment Equation
Northwest Biosolids 2016
Today’s Trip to the Bank
Can green do more?
• What is biosolids value?
• Can the vegetation investment recover
cost?
• Core business vs. vertical integration
• What the Alberta willow demonstrations are
teaching
• What does the next step in cost recovery
look like?
Northwest Biosolids 2016
The Almighty Dollar
Estimating the material value of biosolids
• Urea $260/T; DAP $360/T
• N (2-6%); P (0.5-1%); K (0.1%); Micros
• Organic Matter
• Biosolids Value $35-$70/Tonne.
But true value is what the
market will pay.
Northwest Biosolids 2016
Potential…
Biosolids
• Nutrients and organic matter
• Improves soil tilth
• Reclaims productivity in marginal soils
• A true environmental superhero
• Everyone will see this
• Everyone will want some
• Demand will outstrip supply
• Biosolids will generate revenue.
Northwest Biosolids 2016
…Unfulfilled
Value recovery is rare
• Production, transport, application
• Markets, demand immature, competition
• Supply oustrips demand
• Managed at a cost.
Benefits universally realized…
…are we too diverse?
Northwest Biosolids 2016
(sub)Vert the Process
Find a new value proposition
• Vegetation that meets a need
• Value that must already be realized?
• Vertical integration
• Highest and best end use for generations
One that is:
• financially palatable
• financially profitable?
Northwest Biosolids 2016
Alberta Vegetative Value
What is its value?
To achieve
• Feedstock for compost
• Soil improvement
• Carbon sequestration
We will use
• Biosolids
• Marginal farmland (brown chernozems)
• Short Rotation Willow
Northwest Biosolids 2016
Green Investment - Willow
Northwest Biosolids 2016
Value – Environmental Services
Productive fallow for marginal soil
• Agricultural rest
• Biosolids and willow roots - OM
• Litter - OM
• Diversification – visual,
environmental
• Windbreak
• Improve marginal soils
• Improve long term arability
Northwest Biosolids 2016
Value - Carbon
Biosolids produces high-C feedstock
Northwest Biosolids 2016
Carbon Mathematics
FactorEmissionsCoefficients(t CO2 eq ha
-1 yr-1)
Dry prairie no-till baseline (0.13)
Additionality through land application of biosolids (from BEAM) –agronomic (single application averaged over three years) 1.28
Additionality through carbon sequestration in above-ground willowbiomass 11.09
Additionality through carbon sequestration in below-ground willowbiomass 1.72
Additionality through willow contribution to soil organic carbon 1.46
Additional soil and biomass sequestration (per ha) in each of first threeyears 15.42
Verification in process!!!
Northwest Biosolids 2016
Municipal Compost Feedstock
The willow has internal value
• Feedstock for new composter
• stable, consistent, reliable
• Biomass to compost biosolids
• Be financially profitable
• Achieve highest and best end
use
• Be relevant to as many people in
as many places as possible.
Northwest Biosolids 2016
Repeat
Northwest Biosolids 2016
Feedstock Value Challenge
Other highest best use?
• Livestock bedding for CAFO’s?
• Chips for biomass energy?
• Biocoal?
• Biochar? activated carbon?
Northwest Biosolids 2016
Anecdotal Value
Compost Feedstock
• Up to $30/tonne; Potential 10 year agreement
Bulk Livestock Bedding
• $60-$150 per tonne ($2/cuft); Light drying/storage required.
Biomass Energy and Biocoal Feedstock
• $30-$100/tonne; Drying required (torrefaction for Biocoal).
Biochar (reclamation and amendment)
• Up to $450/tonne; Pyrolysis required
Northwest Biosolids 2016
Achieve Max Value
…but without the wrinkles?
Northwest Biosolids 2016
A Need Identified
Excess lagooned biosolids targeted for use
Northwest Biosolids 2016
A Need Addresses a Need
Enhance Alberta’s prairie coal mine reclamation
with biosolids.
Northwest Biosolids 2016
The Green Investment
Northwest Biosolids 2016
Multiple End Uses
Harvest the Willow at 3-year intervals for:
• Planting stock
• Soil carbon amendment
• Energy feedstock (biocoal)
Northwest Biosolids 2016
REPEAT.
Northwest Biosolids 2016
Lifetime Project Carbon
FactorEmissionsCoefficients(t CO2 eq ha
-1 yr-1)
Afforestation baseline 0 or soil emissions
Parkland No-Till Baseline 0.25
Additionality through Land Application of Biosolids (from BEAM) –Reclamation rate (years 1 through 3) 4.26
Additionality through carbon sequestration in above-ground willowbiomass 11.09
Additionality through carbon sequestration in below-ground willowbiomass 1.72
Additionality through willow contribution to soil organic carbon 1.46Additional soil and biomass sequestration (per ha) in each of firstthree years 18.53
**Additional soil and biomass sequestration per year beyond year 3 15.55
Year 1 sequestration (additional to parkland no-till) 166 ha 3,075.98 t CO2 eq
Year 2 Sequestration 332 ha 6,151.96 t CO2 eq
Year 3 Sequestration 500 ha 9,227.94 t CO2 eq
Years 4-36 Sequestration (per year) 7,775.00 t CO2 eq
Estimated Sequestration 2015-2024 82,220 t CO2 eq
Estimated Sequestration 2015-2034 (20 years) 159,970 t CO2 eq
Total Estimated Sequestration to 2050 284,370 t CO2 eq
Northwest Biosolids 2016
Does Value Exist?
Line Item Debit Credit
Initial investment in willow and biosolids without return
(1000 ha)$9,875,000
Biosolids applications annually
(25dt, $250/dT, 300 ha) for 20 years$37,500,000
Willow harvest annually for 20 years (300 ha) $1,200,000
Willow conversion to biocoal annually for 20 years $3,600,000
Carbon Credit for Above Ground Harvested Biomass
(20 years, $30/CO2eq)$6,654,000
Carbon Credit for Below Ground Biomass and Soil
Organic Carbon$4,464,000
Value of biocoal produced
(70% biomass recovery, $40/Tonne Value, 20 years)$5,040,000
Debit and Credit Totals $16,158,000 $52,175,000
Net $36,017,000
Savings on biosolids management 18% $7,733,000
Northwest Biosolids 2016
By The Numbers
23 year reclamation project
• 1000 ha reclaimed without topsoil
relocation
• 790,000 wet tonnes of biosolids
• 126,000 tonnes of coal displaced
• 376,600 tonnes CO2 eq in
additionality
• 18% savings in biosolids costs
over project lifespanSoil relocation costs
• 1000 ha; 2000 Tonnes/ha;
$50 per tonne
• $100,000,000
Northwest Biosolids 2016
Meet the Need?
Biosolids and Vegetation
• Topsoil replacement
• Nutrients
• Organic Matter
• Reclamation
• Planting Stock
• Carbon
• Energy
Are the Willows the Thneed
that every mine needs?
Northwest Biosolids 2016
www.sylvis.com
1.800.778.1377
John M. Lavery RPBio, PAg
Northwest Biosolids 2016