Session 1 (Adema) - OECD Social Expenditure

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    Willem AdemaSenior Economist, Social Policy Division, OECD

    Social Spending in the OECD:

    Concepts, indicators and trends

    Workshop on Measuring Social Protection

    Statistics Indonesia - Badan Pusat Statistik,

    Jakarta, 14 - 16 May 2013

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    This presentation covers:

    1. Background to the OECD Social Expendituredatabase (SOCX)

    2.Trends in social expenditure

    3. Social spending after tax

    4. Re-distribution

    5. The ageing challenge

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    The OECD Social Expenditure database (SOCX)

    SOCX was developed in the 1990s to monitor trends in social

    spending and analyse changes in its composition in line with the

    SNA

    cross-nationally comparable statistics on public and private social spending at the detailed

    programme level to facilitate reclassification where required.

    Data on the effect of fiscal measures is often of a more aggregate nature.

    SOCX covers 34 OECD countries with data from 1980: shorter

    time-series for countries which have joined since the mid-1990s.

    Sources: national correspondents and ESTAT for EU countries andother OECD databases: OECD Health data; OECD Database on

    Labour Market Programmes; the OECD Education database; and

    a Questionnaire on fiscal measures via the OECD Centre for Tax

    Policy and Administration

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    What is social expenditure?

    The provision by public and private institutions of benefits to and

    contributions targeted at households and individuals during circumstances

    which adversely affect their welfare, provided that the provisions of the

    benefits and financial contributions constitutes neither a direct payment

    for a particular good or service nor an individual contract or transfer.

    Social spending involves redistribution and/or compulsion:

    Public : financial flows controlled by General Government (central + local

    governments + social security funds)

    Private

    mandatory: stipulated by legislation (i.e. employer provided sickness

    benefits)

    voluntary: stipulated by collective agreement (i.e. occupational

    pensions funds, private health)

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    Categorisation of benefits with a social purpose

    Public Private

    Mandatory Voluntary Mandatory Voluntary

    Redistribution

    across households

    Means-tested

    benefits, social

    insurance benefits

    Voluntary participation

    in public insurance

    programmes. Self-employed opting in

    to obtain insurance

    coverage.

    Employer-provided

    sickness benefits,

    benefits accruing frommandatory contributions,

    to, for example, pension

    or disability insurance.

    Tax-advantaged benefits,

    e.g.,individual retirement

    accounts, occupationalpensions, employer-

    provided health plans

    No redistribution

    across households

    Benefits from

    governmentmanaged

    individual saving

    schemes

    Non tax-advantaged

    actuarially fair pensionbenefits

    Exclusively private:

    Benefits accruing frominsurance plans bought at

    market prices given

    individual preferences.

    The shaded cells reflect benefits that are NOT classified as social.

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    OECD Social Expenditure database SOCX -

    structure

    1. Old Age

    2. Survivors

    3. Incapacity-related benefits

    4. Health 5. Family

    6. Active labour market programmes

    7. Unemployment

    8. Housing

    9. Other social policy areas

    5

    45

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    Trends in public social protection

    Pub lic s oc ial spend ing , in percen tage o f GDP, 1960-2009

    Source: OECD Social Expenditure database (SOCX, www.oecd.org/els/social/expenditure).

    http://www.oecd.org/els/social/expenditurehttp://www.oecd.org/els/social/expenditure
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    Social spending and the crisis

    Annu al growth in real publ ic soc ial spending and real GDP,

    Index 2007= 100 (left sc ale and pu blic soc ial spen din g as a % GDP (right scale), 2007-2012

    Source: OECD Social Expenditure database (SOCX, www.oecd.org/els/social/expenditure).

    Australia France

    Greece United States

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    70

    80

    90

    100

    110

    120

    130

    140

    150

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    %

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    70

    80

    90

    100

    110

    120

    130

    140

    150

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    %

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    70

    80

    90

    100

    110

    120

    130

    140

    150

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    %

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    70

    80

    90

    100

    110

    120

    130

    140

    150

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    %

    http://www.oecd.org/els/social/expenditurehttp://www.oecd.org/els/social/expenditurehttp://www.oecd.org/els/social/expenditure
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    Public spending on family benefits and labour

    market programmes went up during the crisis

    1.Due to reform in 2007/8, public spending on home-help services decreased in the Netherlands.

    2. Available indicators underestimate the extent of public spending on childcare for Federal countries (e.g.

    the United States), as relevant spending by local governments is not fully reported to Federal authorities.

    United Kingdom

    France

    Sweden

    GermanyAustralia

    OECD

    Netherlands1

    Japan

    Greece

    United States2

    Korea

    3.6

    3.7

    3.4

    2.72.5

    2.3

    2.8

    1.3

    1.1

    1.2

    0.7

    0.6

    0.3

    0.4

    0.30.3

    0.3

    0.2

    0.3

    0.0

    0.3

    -0.3

    -1 0 1 2 3 4

    Public spen ding on family benefits in percentage of GDP, 2007

    Increase 2007-2009

    0.5

    2.3

    1.8

    2.10.7

    1.2

    2.2

    0.5

    0.6

    0.4

    0.4

    0.3

    0.2

    0.1

    0.60.2

    0.5

    0.4

    0.7

    0.3

    0.7

    0.6

    0 1 2 3 4

    Public spen ding on labour market programmes in p ercentage of GDP, 2007

    Increase 2007-2009

    Source: OECD Social Expenditure database (SOCX, www.oecd.org/els/social/expenditure).

    http://www.oecd.org/els/social/expenditurehttp://www.oecd.org/els/social/expenditure
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    Health and Pension spending are key social

    policy areas in the OECD

    Public soc ial expenditure by bro ad social pol icy area, % GDP, in 2009

    Source: OECD Social Expenditure database (SOCX, www.oecd.org/els/social/expenditure).

    http://www.oecd.org/els/social/expenditurehttp://www.oecd.org/els/social/expenditure
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    Private social protection

    Composit ion of p rivate social expenditure by c ategory, % GDP, 2009

    Source: OECD Social Expenditure database (SOCX, www.oecd.org/els/social/expenditure).

    http://www.oecd.org/els/social/expenditurehttp://www.oecd.org/els/social/expenditure
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    Tax systems and social spending

    Gross and net social expenditure

    Gross social expenditure

    Direct taxes and social contributions

    Indirect taxes on consumption (VAT)

    + Tax break for social purposes (TBSP)

    = Net social expenditure

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    Taxing benefits and associated consumption

    Direct and in direct taxes paid by recipients o f publ ic/private benefi ts, % GDP, in 2009

    A. Direct taxes paid by recipients of benefits

    B. Indirect taxes paid by recipients of benefits

    Source: OECD Social Expenditure database (SOCX, www.oecd.org/els/social/expenditure).

    http://www.oecd.org/els/social/expenditurehttp://www.oecd.org/els/social/expenditure
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    Tax breaks with a social purpose

    Revenue foregon e of Tax breaks with a social purpo se (excludin g TBSPs to p ensions), % GDP, 2009

    Source: OECD Social Expenditure database (SOCX, www.oecd.org/els/social/expenditure).

    http://www.oecd.org/els/social/expenditurehttp://www.oecd.org/els/social/expenditure
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    Similarity in spending totals

    In many OECD countries net total social spending is around 20-25% of GDP

    Gros s to n et soc ial expend iture, % GDP, 2009

    Source: OECD Social Expenditure database (SOCX, www.oecd.org/els/social/expenditure).

    http://www.oecd.org/els/social/expenditurehttp://www.oecd.org/els/social/expenditure
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    The redistributive nature of tax and (cash)

    transfer systems varies across the OECD

    Source: Calculations from OECD Income Distribution Database (www.oecd.org/social/income-

    distribution-database.htm).

    A. Average

    ratio of

    househlod

    disposable

    B. Share of

    public

    transfers paid

    to lowest

    C. Transfers

    to lowest

    quintile

    (A*B/100)

    D. Average

    ratio of

    househlod

    disposable

    E. Share of

    taxes paid by

    lowest quintile

    F. Taxes from

    lowest quintile

    (D*E/100)

    Gini

    coefficient at

    disposable

    income

    Around 2000s

    Australia 12.0 42.7 5.1 18.1 0.4 0.1 0.334 29% 33%

    France 30.1 17.1 5.1 15.1 2.3 0.4 0.303 40% 41%

    Germany 26.7 22.0 5.9 35.8 2.6 0.9 0.286 42% 44%Greece 32.2 11.2 3.6 31.0 5.6 1.7 0.337 35% ..

    Japan 23.6 13.9 3.3 22.4 5.1 1.1 0.336 31% 22%

    Korea 5.0 24.3 1.2 8.9 5.6 0.5 0.310 9% ..

    Netherlands 19.4 29.4 5.7 45.5 5.6 2.5 0.288 32% 31%

    Sweden 27.3 27.0 7.4 32.2 5.4 1.7 0.269 39% 46%

    United Kingdom 19.4 25.3 4.9 25.6 2.5 0.6 0.341 35% 31%

    United States 12.6 21.9 2.8 24.8 1.3 0.3 0.380 24% 25%

    OECD-31 23.6 21.7 4.7 26.8 4.3 1.2 0.306 35% ..OECD-18 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 35% 33%

    Gross public transfers

    paid to househlods

    Direct taxes and asocial security

    contributions

    Redistributive effect

    Percentage difference through

    transfers and taxes between

    Gini at market income and

    disposable income

    Around 2010s

    http://www.oecd.org/social/income-distribution-database.htm)http://www.oecd.org/social/income-distribution-database.htm)http://www.oecd.org/social/income-distribution-database.htm)http://www.oecd.org/social/income-distribution-database.htm)http://www.oecd.org/social/income-distribution-database.htm)http://www.oecd.org/social/income-distribution-database.htm)http://www.oecd.org/social/income-distribution-database.htm)http://www.oecd.org/social/income-distribution-database.htm)
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    Populations are ageing and the old-agesupport ratio will halve in the OECD

    Source: OECD (2011), Pensions at a Glance, OECD Publishing, Paris

    (www.oecd.org/els/social/pensions/PAG ); United Nations, World Population Prospects - 2008 Revision.

    http://www.oecd.org/els/social/pensions/PAGhttp://www.oecd.org/els/social/pensions/PAG
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    Thank you and further information

    The OECD SOCX database is accessible viawww.oecd.org/els/social/expenditure

    November 2012:Social spending during the crisis: Social

    expenditure (SOCX) data update 2012.

    OECD Social, Employment and Migration Working Papers, No. 124:

    Is the European Welfare State Really More Expensive? Indicators

    on Social Spending, 1980-2012; and a Manual to the OECD Social

    Expenditure Database (SOCX).

    http://www.oecd.org/els/listofsocialemploymentandmigrationwor

    kingpapers.htm

    To come the OECD SOCR Recipiency database

    http://www.oecd.org/els/social/expenditurehttp://www.oecd.org/els/soc/OECD2012SocialSpendingDuringTheCrisis8pages.pdfhttp://www.oecd.org/els/soc/OECD2012SocialSpendingDuringTheCrisis8pages.pdfhttp://www.oecd.org/els/listofsocialemploymentandmigrationworkingpapers.htmhttp://www.oecd.org/els/listofsocialemploymentandmigrationworkingpapers.htmhttp://www.oecd.org/els/listofsocialemploymentandmigrationworkingpapers.htmhttp://www.oecd.org/els/listofsocialemploymentandmigrationworkingpapers.htmhttp://www.oecd.org/els/soc/OECD2012SocialSpendingDuringTheCrisis8pages.pdfhttp://www.oecd.org/els/soc/OECD2012SocialSpendingDuringTheCrisis8pages.pdfhttp://www.oecd.org/els/social/expenditure