Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

143
1 www.sebgroup.com Facts & Figures January – March 2009

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Transcript of Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

Page 1: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

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www.sebgroup.com

Facts & Figures January – March 2009

Page 2: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

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PageSEB Group 3 – 30Asset quality 31 – 48Bond portfolios 49 – 58Divisional level 59 – 65Merchant Banking 66 – 77Retail Banking 78 – 103Wealth Management 104 – 115Life 116 – 130Macro update 131 – 143

Contents

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SEB has…

an attractive platform

high customer satisfaction

resilient income generation

several leading positions

...a strong customer base

2,500 large companies and financial institutions customers

400,000 SME customers

5 million private customers

3

SEB – the key to North-European markets

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Organisation President & CEO

Annika Falkengren

Group Credits & Group Risk Control

Johan Andersson

Internal Audit

Agneta Brevenhag*

Compliance

Gent Jansson

Wealth ManagementFredrik Boheman

Life

Anders Mossberg

CFO

Jan Erik Back

Group IT

Ulf Thorstensson

Group Operations

Pia Warnerman

Group Staff

Bo Magnusson

Merchant Banking

Magnus Carlsson

Retail Banking

Mats Torstendahl

Group Strategy & Business Planning

Hans Larsson

HR & Org. Dev.

Ingrid Engström

Business Support &

Group Staff

Bo Magnusson,Deputy CEO

* Reports directly to the Board

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35%

8%

7%

8%

5%

11% 18%

8%

Share of operating profit before credit losses Jan – March 2009

62%25%

9%4%

Retail Banking

Wealth Management

LifeMerchant Banking

Geography – Adjusted for OtherDivisions – Adjusted for Other

Germany

Sweden

LithuaniaLatvia

Estonia

Norway

Finland

Denmark

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Ratings of Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB Rating target set by SEB's board of directors at AA

Moody’s S&P Fitch DBRS

Bank Senior Rating

Short Term P-1 A-1 F-1 R-1 (middle)

Long Term A1 A A+ AA (low)

Outlook Negative Negative Stable Stable

Last Action Rating action Outlook change Outlook change Unaffected rating

Date April-09 Mar-09 Feb-09 Feb-09

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Key figures SEB Group

ChangeQ1 Q4 Q1

SEK m 2009 2008 2008

Operating income 11,430 -10% 30%Operating expenses -7,244 4% 20%Profit before credit losses etc 4,186 -27% 51%Operating profit 1,802 -55% -25%Net profit 1,027 -71% -44%

Return on Equity, % 4.9 17.6 9.6Cost / income ratio 0.63 0.55 0.69Credit loss level, % 0.70 0.63 0.13

Basel II - fully implementedTier I capital ratio, % 11,99 10.08 9.68Risk-weighted assets, SEK bn 830 818 748

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Profit and loss account Q1 2009 vs. Q1 2008SEK m Q1 Q1 Change Excluding

2009 2008 % portfoliosNet interest income 5,904 4,223 40Net fee and commissions 3,215 3,801 -15Net financial income 1,133 -161Net life insurance income 862 713 21Net other income 316 222 42

Total operating income 11,430 8,798 30 23%Staff costs -4,391 - 3,899 13Other expenses -1,838 - 1,756 5Depreciation of assets -1,015 - 372 173

Total operating expenses -7,244 - 6,027 20Profit before credit losses etc 4,186 2,771 51 27%Gain/loss tangible/intangible assets 2 3 -33Net credit losses etc -2,386 - 364

Operating profit 1,802 2,410 -25 -31%Net profit 1,027 1,848 -44 -45%

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Profit and loss account Q1 2009 vs. Q4 2008SEK m Q1 Q4 Change Excluding

2009 2008 % portfoliosNet interest income 5,904 5,513 7Net fee and commissions 3,215 3,790 -15Net financial income 1,133 1,723 -34Net life insurance income 862 516 67Net other income 316 1,153 -73

Total operating income 11,430 12,695 -10 -8%Staff costs -4,391 - 4,597 -4Other expenses -1,838 - 1,968 -7Depreciation of assets -1,015 - 400 154

Total operating expenses -7,244 - 6,965 4Profit before credit losses etc 4,186 5,730 -27 -22%Gain/loss tangible/intangible assets 2 1 100Net credit losses etc -2,386 - 1,703 40

Operating profit 1,802 4,028 -55 -46%Net profit 1,027 3,507 -71 -63%

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SEB Group Income, Expenses and Operating profit, SEK m

02,0004,0006,0008,000

10,00012,00014,000

Q1-05

Q2-05

Q3-05

Q4-05

Q1-06

Q2-06

Q3-06

Q4-06

Q1-07

Q2-07

Q3-07

Q4-07

Q1-08

Q2-08

Q3-08

Q4-08

Q1-09

Excluding portfolios Income Expenses

Operating profit

01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,000

Q1-05

Q2-05

Q3-05

Q4-05

Q1-06

Q2-06

Q3-06

Q4-06

Q1-07

Q2-07

Q3-07

Q4-07

Q1-08

Q2-08

Q3-08

Q4-08

Q1-09

*

* One-off charges of SEK 890m in Q4 2005** Including sales of Baltic properties in Q4 2007 of SEK 785m

600 redundancies in Q4-08SEK 594m goodwill down-write in Q1_09SEK 780m VPC divest in Q4-08

**

*

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4,223

5,904

138

443

-118

108

1,110

Q1 2008 Lendingmargin

Lendingvolume

Depositmargin

Depositvolume

Funding &other

Q1 2009

Net interest income analysis SEB Group Q1 2009 vs. Q1 2008 SEK m

Short-term interest ratesQ1 2009 Q1 2008

USD 0.26% 3.43%EUR 1.28% 4.05%SEK 1.56% 4.34%

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5,5135,904

233 96

-369

51

380

Q4 2008 Lendingmargin

Lendingvolume

Depositmargin

Depositvolume

Funding &other

Q1 2009

Net interest income analysis SEB Group Q1 2009 vs. Q4 2008 SEK m

Short-term interest ratesQ1 2009 Q4 2008

USD 0.26% 1.02%EUR 1.28% 3.15%SEK 1.56% 3.87%

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Net interest and Net fee and commission income SEB Group, SEK m

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

Q1-05

Q2-05

Q3-05

Q4-05

Q1-06

Q2-06

Q3-06

Q4-06

Q1-07

Q2-07

Q3-07

Q4-07

Q1-08

Q2-08

Q3-08

Q4-08

Q1-09

Net interest income Net fee and commissions

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Fee and commission income Gross quarterly development Q1 2005 – Q1 2009 SEB Group, SEK m

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

New issues &advisory

Secondarymarket &

derivatives

Custody &mutual funds

Payment, cards,structuredlending,

deposits,guarantees

Other

Deal driven

Securitiestransaction

driven

Value driven –performance

driven Non-capital market driven

Capital market driven

*

* Q2 2006 adjusted for gross commission on security lending, SEK 200m

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-500

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

Net financial income Net life insurance income Net other income

Net financial, Life insurance and Other income Quarterly development Q1 2005 – Q1 2009 SEB Group, SEK m

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Cost development per quarter Quarterly development Q1 2005 – Q1 2009* SEB Group, SEK m

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

Staff costs Other expenses Restructuring costs* Include capitalisation of acquisition cost in Life from Q1 2005 – onwards** One-off charges of SEK 890m in Q4 2005 and 600m in Q4 2008

**

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7,450

6,027

7,244

244

617

643

-8169

-275

Jan-Mar2008

Inflation Organicgrowth +

Acq

Depreciation Variablesalaries

Cost beforeefficiency

gains

Efficiencygains

Redundancycost

Jan-Mar2009

*

• Investments for operational excellence of SEK 575m included• Organic growth of SEK 31m• Acquisitions of KAM, 11m

*

SEK 1,304m from the start

of 2007

Cost management Total expenses, Jan-Mar 2009 vs. Jan-Mar 2008

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Return on equity SEB Group, per cent

21,1

14,2

6,4

15,8

20,8

19,3

4,9

13,1

2005 2006 2007 2008 Q1 2009

Excluding portfolios Return on Equity

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Cost/income ratio SEB Group

0,650,58 0,57

0,62 0,63

0,550,60 0,61

2005 2006 2007 2008 Q1 2009

C/I ratio Excluding portfolio losses

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Basic earnings per share SEB Group, SEK

1.37

15.44

11.168.89

13.2314.12

1.03

10.40

2005 2006 2007 2008 Q1 2009

Excluding portfolios Earnings per share

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SEK m Q1-09/Q1-08 Q1-09/Q4-08Total income 682 346Total expenses -388 -187Net credit losses -233 -111Operating profit 61 49SEK bnLoans to the public 11Deposits to the public 7RWA - Basel I 3Balance sheet 27

SEK/EUR Period-End SEK/USD Period-End

5.506.006.507.007.508.008.509.009.50

Mar2008

May2008

Jul2008

Sep2008

Nov2008

Jan2009

Mar2009

8.008.509.009.50

10.0010.5011.0011.5012.00

Mar2008

May2008

Jul2008

Sep2008

Nov2008

Jan2009

Mar2009

Impact from exchange rate fluctuations SEB Group

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Operating profit, 12 months rolling SEB Group*, SEK m

* Excluding one-off charges

05,000

10,00015,00020,00025,00030,00035,00040,00045,00050,000

Q1-05

Q2-05

Q3-05

Q4-05

Q1-06

Q2-06

Q3-06

Q4-06

Q1-07

Q2-07

Q3-07

Q4-07

Q1-08

Q2-08

Q3-08

Q4-08

Q1-09

Income

Expenses

Operatingprofit

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Assets under management SEB Group, SEK bn

Assets under management year-end 2008 1,201 *Inflow 46 (-82%)Outflow -37 (-81%)Acquisition/disposal net -Change in value -23 (-144%)

Assets under management March 2009 1,187** Of which:Retail Banking 73Wealth Management 1,128Life 391

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SEB Group net inflow AuM Jan – March 2009, SEK bn

8.77.8

1.6

-1.9

0.50.6

Sweden Other Nordic Germany Baltic countries& Poland

Other & Elim Group

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Balance sheet Mar 2009 Dec 2008 Mar 2008

Cash and balances with central banks 18,929 44,852 17,728 Loans to credit institutions 284,096 266,363 308,822Loans to the public 1,317,189 1,296,777 1,098,597 Financial assets at fair value 639,483 635,454 694,111Available-for-sale financial assets 105,011 163,115 196,848Held-to-maturity investments 1,236 1,997 1,868Investment in associates 1,152 1,129 1,314Tangible and intangible assets 29,965 29,511 25,452Other assets 63,167 71,504 53,823

Total assets 2,460,228 2,510,702 2,398,563Deposits by credit institutions 401,471 429,425 455,707Deposits and borrowings from the public 835,603 841,034 764,567Liabilities to policyholders 210,939 211,070 213,046Debt securities 495,782 525,219 499,622Financial liabilities at fair value 276,325 295,533 256,961Other liabilities 89,051 71,565 87,273 Provisions 2,020 1,897 1,338Subordinated liabilities 50,081 51,230 42,990Total equity 98,956 83,729 77,059

Total liabilities and equity 2,460,228 2,510,702 2,398,563

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Relationship Deposits from and Lending to the public 2001 – 2009

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Q12009

Deposits to loans ratio*

*excl re-classified bonds

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Deposits - Financial Institutions 14% Mortgage Covered

Bonds Sweden 11%

CPs/CDs 8%

Deposits - Central Banks 8%

Public Covered Bonds Germany

6%Subordinated debt

3%

Deposits - General Public 43%

Senior debt 2%Schuldscheins and

Reg Bonds 2%

Mortgage Covered Bonds Germany

3%

Funding structure SEB Group, March 2009 SEK 1,746bn

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Net liquidity position across maturities 31 March, SEK bn

Note this is a cash flow based model where assets and liabilities are mapped to contractual maturities. SEB will manage approx 6-8 months without any new funding if the loans and liabilities mature without prolongation. Not ongoing business if funding is disturbed or lending increases.

-100

102030405060708090

1 week

2 weeks

4 weeks

2 months

3 months

4 months

5 months

6 months

7 months

8 months

9 months

10 months

11 months

12 months

3/31/2009 SEB is match- funded

6-8 months

SEK bn

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Capital adequacy SEB Group

7.9 8.0 7.8 7.5 8.29.9 10.1

12.0

10.5 10.2 10.3 10.8 11.512.6

14.312.8

Dec2002

Dec2003

Dec2004

Dec2005

Dec2006

Dec2007

Dec2008

Q12009

Total capital ratio, %

Tier I capital ratio, %

SEK bnCapital base 52.7 54.7 58.7 76.2 85.8 93.0 104.7 118.4Risk-w. Assets 503 535 570 704 741 737 818 830

Basel I 10,4%

Basel I 8,8%

Basel I 1,137

Basel II (without transition rules)

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Outstanding Subordinated CapitalIssuer: SEB

No Issue date Ratings Format CouponMaturity date

First call date Step-up Currency

Size (m)

Size (€ m)

Lower Tier II Issues3 6-Oct-04 A2/A-/A 10NC5 mth € + 25 bps 6-Oct-14 6-Oct-09 3-mth € + 175 bps EUR 750 7504 20-May-03 A2/A-/A 12NC7 4.1250% 28-May-15 28-May-10 3-mth € + 213 bps EUR 500 5005 15-Sep-05 A2/A-/A 12NC7 mth € + 25 bps 28-Sep-17 28-Sep-12 3-mth €+ 175bps EUR 500 500

Total LTier II 1,750

Upper Tier II Issues7 25-Oct-00 A2/BB+/A PerpNCIO 3-mth $L + 75 bps Perpetual 30-Oct-10 3-mth $L + 280 bps USD 100 658 1-Dec-05 A2/BB+/A PerpNCS 5.0000% Perpetual 9-Dec-10 3-mth £L+ 183bps GBP 500 6329 17-Nov-06 A2/BB+/A PerpNCS 5.5000% Perpetual 28-Nov-10 3-mth £L+ 184bps GBP 375 474

10 15-Nov-95 A2/BB+/A PerpNC7 3-mth ¥L + 260 bps Perpetual - - JPY 15,000 9311 26-Jun-95 A2/BB+/A Perpetual 4.4000% Perpetual - - JPY 10,000 62

Total U Tier II 1,326

Tier I Issues12 19-Mar-04 A3/BB+/A PerpNCIO 4.9580% Perpetual 25-Mar-14 3-mth $L+ 182bps USD 500 32313 23-Mar-05 A3/BB+/A PerpNCIO 5.4710% Perpetual 23-Mar-15 3-mth $L+ 154bps USD 600 38814 17-Dec-07 A3/BB+/A PerpNCIO 7.0922% Perpetual 21-Dec-17 3-mth € + 340 bps EUR 500 500

Total Tier I 1,211Total Subordinated Capital Issued by SEB

Amortization schedule 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2017 >2017

Lower Tier II 7,245 4,669 - 4,669 - - - - -Upper Tier I 906 6,509 4,429 - - - - - 1,442Tier I - - - - - 3,019 3,623 4,669 -

Amortization schedule 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2017 >2017 Lower Tier II 776 500 500 - - - - -Upper Tier I 97 697 474 - - - - 154Tier I - - - - - 323 388 500 -

SEK

EUR

Page 31: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

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Asset quality

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Credit Portfolio On and off balance, SEK 1,933bn

14%

40%

14%

6%

26%

Property Management

Public Administration

BanksCorporates

By sector

Households

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Credit Portfolio On and off balance, SEK bn

Mar 2009 (Dec 2008) Swedish Other German Baltic Total Nordic*

Corporates 381 (391) 191 (175) 121 (120) 88 (95) 781 (782)

Property Management 108 (105) 23 (22) 102 (104) 32 (32) 265 (262)

Households 283 (269) 49 (45) 105 (104) 67 (68) 503 (486)

Public Administration 23 (32) 3 (2) 78 (79) 6 (6) 110 (119)

Total non-banks 795 (797) 265 (244) 406 (407) 192 (200) 1,658 (1,649)

Banks 158 (175) 59 (41) 56 (68) 2 (2) 275 (286)

Total 953 (972) 324 (285) 461 (475) 194 (202) 1,933 (1,934)

* Incl. other

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Dec -05 Dec -06 Dec -07 Dec -08 Mar -09Corporates 494 484 571 782 781

Property Management 192 192 212 262 265

Households 319 374 434 486 503

Public Administration 125 97 88 119 110

Total non-banks 1,130 1,146 1,304 1,649 1,658Banks 198 169 248 286 275

Total 1,328 1,315 1,552 1,934 1,933

Credit Portfolio On and off balance, SEK bn

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Credit Portfolio – households SEK bn

269 330 371 383

105104 115 120

Dec 2006 Dec 2007 Dec 2008 Mar 2009

Mortgage Other

434374

503486

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187219 236 249

55 67 79 7928 44 55 55

65

7378

82

27 2025 26

1010

12 12

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Dec'06

Dec'07

Dec'08

Mar'09

Dec'06

Dec'07

Dec'08

Mar'09

Dec'06

Dec'07

Dec'08

Mar'09

Mortage Other

Nordic* German Baltic

Credit Portfolio - Households SEK bn

* Incl. other

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Corporate credit portfolio – by industry SEB Group, SEK bn

11%

11%

11%

19%3%

29%

16%

Finance and insurance Wholesale and retail

Transportation Business and household services

Construction Manufacturing

Other

484

571

782 781

Dec2006

Dec2007

Dec2008

Mar2009

Page 38: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

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41.6%

33.5%

3.3%

2.9%

6.2%

8.4%2.9% 1.2%

Sweden Germany EstoniaLatvia Lithuania Other NordicOther European Other

Property management credit portfolio – by geography* SEB Group, SEK bn

111 137169 168

8175

93 97

Dec 2006 Dec 2007 Dec 2008 Mar 2009

Commercial Multi-family

192212

262

* By obligor’s domicile

265

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* Impaired loans gross* *Excluding Banks

Impaired loan volumes* % of Credit Exposure**

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

Dec '06 Mar '07 Jun '07 Sep '07 Dec '07 Mar '08 Jun '08 Sep '08 Dec '08 Mar '09

SEB Group Germany Nordic Baltic

0.78%

1.39%

2.68

0.21

Page 40: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

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Level of net credit losses, %

0.000.400.801.201.602.002.402.803.203.604.00

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Q1*

Germany Baltics Nordics SEB Group

Q4 2008 Q1 2009Estonia 0.76 1.73Latvia 2.86 6.41Lithuania 3.33 3.59Baltics 2.59 3.70

* Annualized

Page 41: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

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17 22 23 22 18 21 25 2334 39 46 438 8 9 8

4 57 7

813

16 16

1419 23 22

1014

16 1613

22

29 28

91.095.2

76.4

49.855.1 56.3

48.241.433.6

56.650.0

40.7

Dec'06

Dec'07

Dec'08

Mar'09

Dec'06

Dec'07

Dec'08

Mar'09

Dec'06

Dec'07

Dec'08

Mar'09

Banks

PublicAdministrationHouseholds

PropertyManagementCorporate

SEB Estonia SEB Latvia SEB Lithuania

Growth rates in local currency+38% +17% +40% +18% +47% +30%

2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007

-3%

2009 YTD

-3% -5% 2009 YTD 2009 YTD

Baltic countries – credit portfolio On and off balance, SEK bn Yearly

2008

-2% +5%

2008

+8%

2008

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21 21 22 23 22 20 21 22 25 2340 42 45 46 437 8 8 9 8 5 5 6 7 7

13 13 15 16 16

19 20 20 23 2214 14 14

16 16

23 2426

29 28

Mar'08

Jun'08

Sep'08

Dec'08

Mar'09

Mar'08

Jun'08

Sep'08

Dec'08

Mar'09

Mar'08

Jun'08

Sep'08

Dec'08

Mar'09

Banks

PublicAdministration

Households

PropertyManagement

Corporates

51.042.3

82.9

49.541.1

78.6

52.344.0

89.3 95.2

49.856.6

SEB Estonia SEB Latvia SEB Lithuania

Baltic countries – credit portfolio On and off balance, SEK bn Quarterly

Growth rates in local currency

+2%

Q2

+3%

Q2 Q1Q1 Q1 Q2

+4%0% 0% +4%

Q3

-1% +1%

Q3 Q3

+4%

Q4

-3% +1%

Q4 Q4

-5%

55.1

Q1

-3% -3% Q1 Q1

-5%

91.0

48.2

Page 43: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

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Baltic countries - asset quality

0100200300400500600700800900

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Net credit losses Q1 2007 – Q1 2009, SEK m

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Estonia Latvia LithuaniaTotal

Q1 '09 Q4 '08

Net Write-offs & Actual Losses 0 0 -21 -21 1%

Net New Specific Provisions -75 -168 -285 -528 31%

Net New Collective Provisions -157 -516 -480 -1,154 68% of which: Homogeneous groups -78 -263 -46 -387 23% Individually appraised loans -79 -253 -435 -767 45%

Net Credit Losses -232 -684 -786 -1,702 100%

Baltic countries – Net Credit Losses SEK m

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Dec '07 Dec '08 Mar '09Individually assessed loans Impaired loans, gross 7,404 11,411 12,982

Specific reserves 3,787 5,022 5,608Collective reserves 1,900 2,793 3,685Off Balance sheet reserves 209 251 407Specific reserve ratio 51.1% 44.0% 43.2%Specific & Collective reserve ratio 76.8% 68.5% 71.6%

Portfolio assessed loansLoans past due > 60 days 987 2,500 3,841Collective reserves 702 1,404 1,847Reserve ratio 71.1% 56.2% 48.1%

Total reserves 6,598 9,470 11,547

Impaired Loans and Reserves SEB Group, SEK m

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SEB Estonia

SEB Latvia

SEB Lithuania

Total Baltic

Change Q1

Individually assessed loansImpaired loans, gross 936 1,013 2,974 4,923 1,320Specific reserves 456 353 1,043 1,852 507Collective reserves 337 450 773 1,560 755

Specific reserve ratio 49% 35% 35% 38% 0%Specific & Collective reserve rat 85% 79% 61% 69% 10%

Portfolio assessed loansLoans past due > 60 days, 880 1,203 855 2,938 1,042Collective reserves 367 655 321 1,343 387Reserve ratio % 42% 54% 38% 46% -5%

Total reserves 1,160 1,458 2,137 4,755 1,650

Impaired Loans and Reserves SEB Baltic Banks, March 2009, SEK m

Page 47: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

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Sum Average/ Jan – Mar Jan – Mar Change8 quarters quarter 2008 2009

2007 – 2009ProvisionsCollective provisions:

For portfolio assessed loans -1,241 -155 -45 -432 -386For individually assessed loans -1,672 -209 -67 -903 -835

Specific provisions -3,038 -380 -190 -912 -722Reversals of specificprovisions no longer required 856 107 44 190 146Net provisions for contingent liabilities -230 -29 1 -151 -152Net provisions (build-up of reserve) -5,325 -666 - 257 -2,207 -1,950Write-offsTotal write-offs -2,871 -359 - 332 -291 41Reversal of specific provisionsutilized for write-offs 1,365 171 201 79 -122Write-offs not previously provided for -1,506 -188 - 131 -212 -81Recovered from previous write-offs 430 54 24 33 9Net write-offs -1,076 -134 - 107 -179 -72

Net credit losses -6,401 -800 - 364 -2,386 -2,022

Credit losses and build up of reserves SEB Group, SEK m

Page 48: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

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Credit losses and build up of reserves quarterly development SEB Group, SEK mNet credit losses, quarterly Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

2007 2007 2007 2008 2008 2008 2008 2009

ProvisionsCollective provisions:

For portfolio assessed loans -75 -29 -113 -45 -82 -209 -256 -432For individually assessed loans -145 -42 128 -67 93 -109 -627 -903

Specific provisions -77 -100 -231 -190 -409 -331 -788 -912Reversals of specific provisions no longer required 87 80 163 44 79 71 142 190Net provisions for contingent liabilities -7 8 -24 1 2 -23 -36 -151

Net provisions (build-up of reserve) -217 -83 -77 -257 -317 -601 -1,566 -2,207

Write-offsTotal write-offs -240 -350 -562 -332 -367 -265 -464 -291Reversal of specific provisionsutilized for write-offs 131 214 242 201 217 71 210 79Write-offs not previously provided for -109 -136 -320 -131 -150 -194 -254 -212Recovered from previous write-offs 43 30 85 24 19 79 117 33

Net write-offs -66 -106 -235 -107 -131 -115 -137 -179

Net credit losses -283 -189 -312 -364 -448 -716 -1,703 -2,386

Page 49: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

49

Bond portfolios

Page 50: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

50

Trading and Treasury etc

Held for trading (MTM over income) Available for sale (MTM over equity)

Investments (MB Credit & PortfolioManagement)

Fixed-income securities portfolio SEK 356bn

122

186

234 98

SEB Bond Portfolio* 31 March, 2009

Loans & Receivables (MTM not recorded)

* Net of short and fully matched positions; excluding holdings in the insurance business

Mark-to-market losses over– income of SEK 3,292m– equity of SEK 4,046m– Loans & Receivables (MTM not

recorded) of SEK 9,950mThe losses are expected to be

recovered over timeFurther volatility from the mark-to-

market is expected; however with limited impact on income since investment portfolio classification is:– 80 per cent Loans & Receivables,– 15 per cent Available-for-sale and– 5 per cent Held-for Trading

Page 51: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

51

SEB Bond Portfolio* 31 March, 2009, SEKbn

*Net of short and fully matched positions; excluding holdings in the insurance business

Structured credits18%

Financials22%

Covered bonds18%

Corp, Gov't etc

19%

Cover pool23%

Merchant Banking 180Group Treasury 169

Other divisions 6

Total 356

Page 52: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

52

Capital Markets and other

26%

49%

12%

13%

Corporate bonds Financial institutionsGov't Covered bonds

Credit & Portfolio Management

50%37%

13%Structured credits Financial institutionsCovered bonds

Volume SEK 58bn Volume SEK 122bn

Trading Investments

Merchant Banking Bond Portfolios 31 March, 2009

Page 53: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

53

Structured credits

Volume: SEK 62bn (68)

AAA-rating: 88.5% (93.0)

No level 3 assets

Still amortising, no impaired assets

Financial institutions

Volume: SEK 45bn (52)

No level 3 assets

No impaired assets

Bond investment portfolio – status 31 March, 2009 (31 December, 2008)

Covered bonds etc. SEK 16bn (13)

2007 2008 Q1 09 Acc Q3 08 Q4 08MTM (SEKm)

P/L -1,769 -1,069 -454 -3,292 56 -187Equity -698 -2,907 -441 -4,046 -635 -585

-2,467 -3,976 -895 -7,338 -579 -772

Page 54: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

54

Structured credits Financial institutions

+ Covered bonds etc accumulated -1,545

Bond investment portfolio – financial effects 31 March, 2009, SEKm

2007 2008 Q1 09 Acc Q3 08 Q4 08

P/L -1,056 -1,070 -503 -2,629 27 -262

Equity -626 -1,460 -27 -2,113 -187 -271

-1,682 -2,530 -530 -4,742 -160 -533

2007 2008 Q1 09 Acc Q3 08 Q4 08

P/L -563 -9 39 -533 84 11

Equity -72 -667 221 -518 -113 -64

-635 -676 260 -1,051 -29 -53

2007 2008 Q1 09 Acc Q3 08 Q4 08MTM (SEKm)

P/L -1,769 -1,069 -454 -3,292 56 -187Equity -698 -2,907 -441 -4,046 -635 -585

-2,467 -3,976 -895 -7,338 -579 -772

Page 55: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

55

Bond investment portfolio – strategy

1. Limit P/L volatility by increasing AFS portfolios and reducing HFT portfolios.

2. Use IAS 39 possibility to reclassify holdings to further limit volatility.

Q4 08

Held for trading (MTM over income)

Available for sale (MTM over equity)

SEKbn

7 413

45

0350

56

ABS Financialinstitutions

Coveredbonds etc.

Loans and Receivables(MTM not recorded)

Q1 09

50

13

44

113 2

54

ABS Financialinstitutions

Coveredbonds etc.

Page 56: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

56

Distribution of Investment portfolio 31 March, 2009

Financial institutionsSEK 45bn

Structured creditsSEK 62bn

FR 9%

ES 14%

UK 11%

US 30%

DE 2%SE 5% FI 1% Other

16%

NL 8%

IT 4%

Italy5%

NL7%

Spain7%

UK17%

US33%

Denmark6%

Pan Europe23%

Other2%

Page 57: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

57

A high quality investment portfolio initiated 1998 with fixed-income securities eligible as central bank collateral

615 positions, well diversified across products, asset classes and geographies

88.5% of the portfolio is rated Aaa/AAA, only 5.1% below investment grade– During Q1, 31 of 615 positions have

been downgraded from AAA

Mark-to-market prices applied to all positions - no level 3 assets

Current average remaining maturity ~3.8 years

Current annual amortisation rate is SEK ~9bn

Main characteristics of structured credits portfolio 31 March, 2009

CMBS 7%

CMO 10%

RMBS prime 35% RMBS

Non prime 5%

CLO 20%

CDO 7%

ABS 16%

Structured creditsSEK 62bn

Page 58: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

58

C&PM Portfolio Structured Credits – Rating Composition (S&P, Moody’s and Fitch) Outstanding volumes, 31 March, 2009

3.8% 3.0% 2.1%2.7%

88.5%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

AAA AA/A BBB BB/B CCC/CC

Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09

Page 59: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

59

Divisional level

Please note:A restatement of the divisional financial reporting has been carried out in conjunction with the Q1 2008 report as previously announced.Please consult www.sebgroup.com for more information.

Page 60: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

60

Operating profit before credit losses per division Jan – March 2009 vs. Jan – March 2008 SEK m

0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000

Life

WealthManagement

Retail Banking

MerchantBanking

Jan-Mar 2009

Jan-Mar 2008

Changevs. Jan-Mar 2008

+222% (+99%)

-15%

-60%

+27%

ROE Jan-Mar 2009

25.0% (28.6%)

-8.2%

10.8%

24.2%

Excl. portfolio losses

Income Op.profitSweden: +9% +20%Germany: -15% -342%Estonia +13% +5%Latvia: -6% -30%Lithuania: -22% -45%Card: +16% +25%

Page 61: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

61

Volumes Public lending SEK bn

Q1 Q2 Q3* Q4* Q1*2008 2008 2008 2008 2009

MB 526 531 606 645 662Retail Banking 518 545 561 586 581RB Sweden 286 303 307 309 313RB Estonia 42 43 44 48 47RB Latvia 35 36 37 41 39RB Lithuania 60 64 69 76 74RB Germany 81 82 87 95 91RB Cards 14 17 17 17 17Wealth Management 31 29 28 28 30Life - - - - -Other/Elim 24 27 31 38 44SEB Group 1,099 1,132 1,226 1,297 1,317

* Including re-classified bonds

Page 62: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

62

Volumes Public deposit SEK bn

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12008 2008 2008 2008 2009

MB 409 392 426 433 411Retail Banking 257 264 269 287 278RB Sweden 145 149 151 153 151RB Estonia 20 22 22 25 24RB Latvia 17 18 17 19 17RB Lithuania 28 28 30 32 30RB Germany 47 47 49 58 56RB Cards - - - - -Wealth Management 54 56 52 48 55Life - - - - -Other/Elim 45 46 47 73 92SEB Group 765 758 794 841 836

Page 63: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

63

FTEs, end of quarter

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12008 2008 2008 2008 2009

MB 2,742 2,760 2,719 2,698 2,697Retail Banking 8,627 8,952 8,709 8,580 8,431RB Sweden 2,723 2,865 2,728 2,710 2,621RB Estonia 971 1,007 968 959 936RB Latvia 998 1,011 983 904 897RB Lithuania 1,349 1,404 1,419 1,443 1,471RB Germany 1,802 1,830 1,794 1,746 1,702RB Cards 784 835 816 819 804Wealth Management 1,208 1,190 1,172 1,135 1,112Life 1,222 1,235 1,250 1,226 1,206Other/Elim 7,412 7,507 7,578 7,493 7,210SEB Group 21,210* 21,645 21,428 21,131 20,656

* Whereof 1,039 encompasses the consolidated acquisitions of Factorial bank in Ukraine and Key Asset Management.

Page 64: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

64

Summary per division Jan – Mar 2009

Merchant Banking

RetailBanking

WealthManagement Life Other Group

Operating profit, SEK m 3,047 -635 207 468 -1,285 1,802

Business equity, SEK bn 35.1 27.6 ** 5.5 6.8 84.5 *

Return on equity, % 25.0 -8.2 10.8 24.2 4.9

Cost / income ratio 0.38 0.68 0.76 0.55 0.63

RWA, SEK bn, Basel II*** 471 271 42 46 830

RWA, SEK bn, Basel I 620 441 25 51 1,137

Tax Rate 28% 10,5% 28% 12%

* Average shareholders' equity

** Where of Sweden 7.9bn Estonia 3.7bn, Latvia 3.3bn, Lithuania 4.8bn, Germany 5bn and Cards 2.9bn.

*** Basel II without transitional floors

Page 65: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

65

RoE and cost/income ratio per division

Cost/income ratio per division

Return on Equity per division, per cent

* Based on operating profit

-20-10

01020304050

MerchantBanking

Retail Banking WealthManagement

Life* Group

Jan - Mar 2008 Jan - Mar 2009

0,000,200,400,600,801,00

MerchantBanking

Retail Banking WealthManagement

Life Group

Jan - Mar 2008 Jan - Mar 2009

Page 66: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

66

Magnus CarlssonHead of Merchant Banking

Merchant BankingHighlights

Second best ever quarterly income and profits

Record income in TCM

Income growth focused on core products and customer segments

Continued growth of net interest income

Strong cost control

Low credit losses

SEK m Jan – Mar 2009

2008

Total income 5,392 84%Interest, net 2,919 91%Commission, net 1,172 -6%Financial, net 1,186Total expenses -2,066 9%

Profit bef. credit losses 3,326Credit losses, net -279Operating profit 3,047RoE, % 25.0 10.8C/I 0.38 0.65

Page 67: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

67

Merchant Banking SEK m

0500

1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,000

Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08 Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09

Operating profit Excluding portfolios

01,000

2,0003,0004,0005,000

6,0007,000

Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08 Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09

Excluding portfolios Income Expenses

Page 68: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

68

60%25%

15%

Share of income and result by area Jan – Mar 2009, per cent of total

Income Operating profit

73%

19%

8%

Trading and Capital Markets

Trading and Capital Markets

Global Transaction Services

CorporateBanking

Global Transaction Services

CorporateBanking

Page 69: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

69

Trading and Capital Markets SEK m

0500

1,0001,5002,0002,5003,000

Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08 Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09

Operating profit Excluding portfolios

0500

1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,000

Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08 Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09

Excluding portfolios Income Expenses

Page 70: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

70

Trading and Capital Markets – focus on client driven activities

46%

44%36%26% 28% 33% 38% 41%

63%

21%

46%50%44% 46% 59%

44%45%

19%

30%

12%8%22% 15% 11%3%

6%

21%

3%

6%11%8% 7%

5%8%

Q1 -07

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 -08

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 -09

Trading and Capital Markets income by main product cluster, excl. investment portfolios

FX

Structured Derivatives and other TCM

Equities

Capital Markets

Focus on customer flows ensures continued strong revenues

Continued strong results in FX

Lower volumes but increased market shares in Equities

Rebound in fixed income units

-2%

-3%

Page 71: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

71

Operating profit

0200400600800

1,000

Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08 Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09

0200400600800

1,0001,2001,4001,6001,8002,000

Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08 Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09

Income Expenses

Corporate Banking SEK m

Page 72: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

72

Operating profit

0

100

200

300

400

Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08 Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09

0100200300400500600700800900

Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08 Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09

Income Expenses

Global Transaction Services SEK m

Page 73: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

73

Custody volume development

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Jan0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000Assets under custody, SEK bn No of transactions/day

Page 74: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

74

Nordic ECM transactions, by Bookrunner*Jan – Mar 2009 (EUR m)

*Rank based on IPOs or follow-ons, Nordic stock exchanges. Source: Dealogic**Rank based on completed deals. All Nordic involvement. Source: Thomson Financial

Nordic M&A**

Jan – Mar 2009 (EUR m)

Merchant Banking Investment banking rankings

1,065

1,085

1,124

1,139

1,861

UBS

Nordea

DeutscheBank

MorganStanley

SEB

2 Deals

3 Deals

2 Deals

2 Deals

3 Deals52

1,382

1,382

1,382

1,480

Öhman JrFondkommission

Goldman Sachs

Morgan Stanley

UBS

SEB

Page 75: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

75

Source: Dealogic Analytics

Swedish syndicated loans league (and bookrunner %) Jan 2009 – Mar 2009

6.4%

5.0%

3.0%

3.0%

2.9%

0 1

Nordea

SEB

SHB

Calyon

DnB

EURbn

Nordic syndicated loans league (and bookrunner %) Jan 2009 – Mar 2009

Merchant Banking Syndicated loans

16.6%

16.6%

16.6%

11.2%

11.2%

0 1

SEB

RBS

Nordea

SHB

DnB

EURbn

Page 76: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

76

*Source: The Nordic Stock exchanges

4.2%

4.3%

4.5%

5.7%

9.5%

CreditSuisse

DeutscheBank

MorganStanley

SHB

SEBEnskilda

Merchant Banking Market shares Nordic & Baltic Stock Exchanges Q1 2009*

Page 77: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

77

Merchant Banking – Recent rankingsMarch 2009 Best Research House in Sweden

February 2009 Best Arranger Nordic Loans 2008

January 2009Best Trade Finance bank, Nordic Region, Sweden, Latvia and LithuaniaBest Overall Bank for Cash Management, Nordic Region Best Bank for Liquidity Management, Nordic Region Best Bank for Risk Management, Nordic Region

January 2009 Top rated in Central and Eastern Europe

January 2009 Best Equity House in the Nordic region

January 2009 Best Cash Management Bank, Nordic RegionBest Financial Supply Chain Bank, Nordic Region and Eastern Europe

Thomson Rueters Extel October 2008 No. 1 Globally for Overall Customer Satisfaction regarding Cash Management

Best for Real Estate Commercial Banking in the Nordic and Baltic region

September 2008 Best Trade Bank in Northern Europe & Scandinavia

July 2008 Best M&A House in the Nordic & Baltic region

July 2008 Best derivatives dealer in Sweden

June 2008 Best research house in the Nordic countries

April 2008World’s Best Developed Market Banks 2008, no. 1 in SwedenWorld’s Best Emerging Market Banks 2008 Central and Eastern Europe, no. 1 in Latvia and Lithuania

February 2008 Best Arranger Structured Products, Sweden

Page 78: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

78

Retail BankingHighlightsMats Torstendahl

Head of Retail Banking

SEK m Jan – Mar 2009

2008

Total income 4,087 0%Interest, net 2,651 4%Commission, net 1,292 -9%Total expenses -2,761 9%

Profit bef. credit losses 1,326 -15%Credit losses, net -1,963 538%Operating profit -635

RoE, % -8.2 15.2C/I 0.68 0.62

Operating profit of Retail Sweden and Card showing resilience

Targeted customer segments of Retail Sweden developed positively– Record number of new mass

affluent customers– 2,000 net new corporate payment

customers

Operations in the Baltic countries characterized by strong recessionary forces

Impact of lower market interest rates feeding through into lower Net interest income

Page 79: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

79

Retail Banking SEK m

Operating profit

-1,000-500

0500

1,0001,5002,000

Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08 Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09

0500

1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,5005,000

Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08 Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09

Income Expenses

Page 80: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

80

Share of income and result by area Jan – Mar 2009, per cent of total

42%

17%8%

7%

10%

16%

Germany

Latvia

Estonia

SwedenLithuania

Cards

Income

697

-157

180

125

179

301

Sweden

Germany

Estonia

Latvia

Lithuania

Cards

Operating profit before credit losses

SEK m

Page 81: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

81

Business volume development by area SEK bn Q1 2009 change vs. Q1 2008 (local currency)

55

27

30

21

67

19

12

17

70

245

Lithuania

Latvia

Estonia

Germany

Sweden 8%

-1%

1%

3%

22%

3%

-11%

-7%

-1%

6%

Mortgages Other lending

31

17

24

56

151

Deposits

4%

2%

0%

-10%*

-3%*

Note: Figures for Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania include SEB:s large corporate business volumes* Restated for Private Banking re-organization

Page 82: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

82

41%13%25%21%

Transaction account privateTransaction account corporate & publicSavings account privateSavings account corporate & public

Deposit breakdown Percent of total deposits, Mar 2009

45%

24%

22%

9%

Retail Total Sweden Germany

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

52%

9%

23%

16%

44%

2%

4%

50%

23%

18%

37%

22%

25%

19%

36%

20%

36%

11%

32%

21%

Page 83: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

83

Development of lending market shares – Baltics Per cent, Jan 2006 – Mar 2009

SEBSwedbankDnB NordParex BankaSampo/Danske bankNordea

* Sampo as per Q1 2008Swedbank as per Q2 2008

Estonia*

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 Q109

Latvia

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 9-Feb

Lithuania

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 9-Feb

Page 84: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

84

Retail SwedenHighlightsSEK m Jan – Mar 2009

2008

Total income 1,681 9%Interest, net 1,235 14%Commission, net 369 -6%Total expenses -984 2%

Profit bef. credit losses 697 20%Credit losses, net -95 893%Operating profit 602 5%

RoE, % 22.6 22.3C/I 0.59 0.62

Total lending 312.400 7%Total deposits 150.700 4%

Swedish Retail Banking held up well during Q1, Income +9% vs Q1 2008

Decreased deposit margins were partly balanced by slightly higher margins on mortgages and other lending

Profit resilience attributable both to continued success in the SME segment and to SEB’s ability to attract mass affluent private clients

Q1 best quarter ever in terms of number of new mass affluent clients

Page 85: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

85

Business volume development Retail Sweden, SEK bn

Mortgages

0

50

100

150

200

250

Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 Q109

CorporatePrivate

Other lending*

0

50

100

150

200

250

Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 Q109

Deposits

0

50

100

150

200

250

Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 Q109

* Excluding leasing

Page 86: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

86

Market share development Sweden, per cent Corporate

Private

Note: Other lending and deposits=SEB Parent Bank Sweden, i.e. not only Retail Sweden

Mortgages*

0

5

10

15

20

Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 Q109

Other lending

0

5

10

15

20

Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 9-Feb

Deposits

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 9-Feb

* New measurement method from Q4 2007. Lowers the volume market share with approximately 0.2 percentage points

Page 87: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

87

Mortgages private market Retail Sweden, market share, per cent

02468

101214161820

Q106

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q107

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q108

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q109

Sales Volume

* New measurement method from Q4 2007. Lowers the volume market share with approximately 0.2 percentage points

*

Page 88: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

88

Mortgages private market Total Sweden, volumes and margins

0

50

100

150

200

250

Q12006

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12007

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12008

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12009

0.00%

0.25%

0.50%

0.75%

1.00%

1.25%Outstanding volume, SEK bn Average margin

Page 89: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

89

Mortgages private market Sweden, customers’ choice of fixed / floating interest rates

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Q12006

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12007

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12008

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12009

FixedFloating

Page 90: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

90

Retail GermanyHighlights

Profitability deteriorated further from an already unsatisfactory level

Lending and deposit volumes were stable, expressed in local currency

Sales of insurance and consumer lending improved compared with the first quarter of 2008

The substantial effect of lower market rates on deposit margins could not be compensated for

SEK m Jan – Mar 2009

2008

Total income 696 -15%Interest, net 426 -11%Commission, net 268 -21%Total expenses -853 12%

Profit bef. credit losses -157Credit losses, net -55 104%Operating profit -212 -661%RoE, % -11.5 2.7C/I 1.23 0.92

Total lending 91,400 13%Total deposits 55,600 19%

Page 91: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

91

Business volume development Retail Germany, EUR bn

Mortgages*

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 Q109

Other lending

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 Q109

Deposits

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 Q109

Figures above present Mortgage, lending and deposits from private individuals and SME

* Effected by amortizations on large historical sales volumes, partly sold through external sales organizations

Page 92: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

92

Sales development Retail Germany

New mortgage*

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 Q109

Customer appointments*

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 Q109

Insurance

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 Q109

* by Call centre

EUR m EUR m

* incl. prolongation

Page 93: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

93

Retail Estonia

Highlights

Volume growth has halted, but deposit and mortgage margins improved

Profit before losses slightly higher than Q1 2008, but larger provisions for credit losses

Continued success of SEB Packages – awarded “Most Innovative Marketing Deed of 2008”

In addition to large corporations, SEB also started offering Cash Management consultations to SMEs in Q1

SEK m Jan – Mar 2009

2008

Total income 341 13%Interest, net 250 20%Commission, net 76 -8%Total expenses -162 22%

Profit bef. credit losses 180 +5%Credit losses, net -232 40%Operating profit -53

RoE, % -5.7 0.5C/I 0.47 0.44

Total lending 47,200 12%Total deposits 23,750 17%

Page 94: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

94

Business volume development Retail Estonia, EUR bn Corporate

Private

Mortgages

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 Q109

Other lending

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 Q109

Deposits

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 Q109

Mortgages defined as home loans to private individualsNote: Figures include SEB:s large corporate business volumes

Page 95: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

95

Market share development Retail Estonia, per cent Corporate

PrivateMortgages

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 Q109

Deposits

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 Q109

Mortgage market share for home loans to private individuals

Page 96: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

96

Retail Latvia

HighlightsHighlights

Mortgage volumes remained flat, while deposits continued to decline

Cost income ratio still below 0.6 for the first quarter, but substantial provisions for credit losses led to a considerable operating loss in Q1

SEB keeps the leading position in Pillar III pension market, 58% market share by assets under management

SEB’s market share in local investment funds reached 54% in Q1 (+5% points since year-end)

SEK m Jan – Mar 2009

2008

Total income 304 -6%Interest, net 239 -12%Commission, net 55 28%Total expenses -179 21%

Profit bef. credit losses 125 -30%Credit losses, net -684Operating profit -559RoE, % -57.6 15.2C/I 0.59 0.46

Total lending 39,000 11%Total deposits 16,800 -4%

Page 97: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

97

CorporatePrivate

Business volume development Retail Latvia, EUR bn

Mortgages

0

1

2

3

Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 Q109

Other lending

0

1

2

3

Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 Q109

Deposits

0

1

2

3

Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 Q109

Mortgages defined as home loans to private individuals

Note: Figures include SEB:s large corporate business volumes

Page 98: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

98

Market share development Retail Latvia, per cent

Mortgage market share for home loans to private individuals

CorporatePrivate

Mortgages

0

5

10

15

20

Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 9-Feb

Deposits

0

5

10

15

20

Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 9-Feb

Page 99: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

99

Retail LithuaniaHighlights

Corporate lending margins improved, but could not compensate for much lower deposit margins

Commission income stabilized, with March being the best month of Q1

Substantial provisions for credit losses led to a considerable operating loss in Q1

The new Vilnius Operations Centre was officially opened in January

SEK m Jan – Mar 2009

2008

Total income 408 -22%Interest, net 280 -32%Commission, net 104 16%Total expenses -229 16%Profit bef. credit losses 179 -45%Credit losses, net -786Operating profit -605

RoE, % -40.3 23.7C/I 0.56 0.38

Total lending 73,900 23%Total deposits 30,600 9%

Page 100: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

100

Business volume development Retail Lithuania, EUR bn Corporate

Private

Mortgages

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 Q109

Other lending

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 Q109

Deposits

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 Q109

Mortgages defined as home loans to private individualsNote: Figures include SEB:s large corporate business volumes

Page 101: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

101

Market share development Retail Lithuania, per cent Corporate

Private

Mortgage market share for home loans to private individuals

Mortgages

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Q3 Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 9-Feb

Deposits

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Q3 Q106

Q3 Q107

Q3 Q108

Q3 9-Feb

Page 102: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

102

CardsSEK m Jan – Mar 2009

2008

Total income 656 16%Interest, net 221 145%Commission, net 415 -12%Total expenses -355 9%

Profit bef. credit losses 301 25%Credit losses, net -110 116%Operating profit 191 1%

RoE, % 19.5 21.0C/I 0.54 0.58

Highlights

* Credit loss comparison significantly affected by accounting changes (DEL now included in Retail)

Income developed well, with some help from FX effects. In fact, income in March was an all time high

Efforts to prevent fraud continued, including SEB Kort Norway’s launch of mandatory Secure Code on purchases over the internet

Credit losses was lower than in the previous quarter, but still significantly higher than in Q1 2008

Operating profit remained at the level reached in the first quarter of 2008

Page 103: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

103

Cards

Turnover cards

203040506070

Q12003

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12004

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12005

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12006

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12007

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12008

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12009

SEK bn

Number of cards

2.62.83.03.23.4

Q12005

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12006

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12007

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12008

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q12009

Millions

Page 104: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

104

Fredrik BohemanHead of Wealth Management

Wealth ManagementHighlights

Declining asset values, lower net interest and limited performance/transaction fees reduced revenues compared to Q1 2008. Costs fell compared to Q1 2008.

SEB has a strong market position as the second largest fund manager in Sweden 2008 and continued to dominate the net sales in the alternative fund market.

Strong net new assets of 8.3bn, compared to the same period last year and especially compared to Q4 2008.

Assets under management, decreased some 10 per cent compared to Q1 2008. Since year end the decline was 1.2 per cent (SEK 1,128bn).

Several product launches. IC: credit funds, index funds, strategic funds. PB: modern investment programmes.

SEK m Q1 2009

2008

Total income 881 - 29%Interest, net 198 - 20%Commission, net 662 - 31%Total expenses - 667 - 5%

Profit bef. credit losses 215 -32%

Operating profit 207 - 60%

RoBE, % 10.8 22.3C/I 0.76 0.57

Page 105: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

105

Share of income and result by area Q1 2009; percent of total

60%

40%

Private Banking

Institutional Clients

Income

52% 48%

Operating result

Private Banking

Institutional Clients

2008: 67% vs 33% 2008: 81% vs 19%

Page 106: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

106

Operating profit

0

200

400

600

800

Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08 Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09

0200400600800

1,0001,2001,400

Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08 Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09

Income Expenses

Wealth Management SEK m

Page 107: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

107

Institutional Clients SEK m

Operating profit

0

200

400

600

800

Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08 Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09

0100200300400500600700800900

1,0001,100

Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08 Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09

Income Expenses

Page 108: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

108108

Private Banking SEK m

Operating profit

050

100150200250

Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08 Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09

0

100

200

300

400

500

Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08 Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09

Income Expenses

Page 109: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

109109

39% 38% 38% 39% 39% 39% 40% 40% 40% 41%40%

AuM per product type Wealth Management, SEK bn

Q1-06 Q2-06 Q3-06 Q4-06 Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08 Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09

Mutual Funds Institutional Clients ex MF Private Clients ex MF

48% 48% 47%47%

46% 46% 45% 45% 46% 48%45% 44%

48%

39% 38% 40%39%39%38% 40% 40% 40% 40%41% 39% 39%

13% 14%14%15% 15%

15%15%

15%15% 15%15%

13%13%1,107 1,079

1,147 1,1921,266 1,320 1,300 1,285 1,256 1,217 1,181 1,142 1,128

Page 110: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

110

1,256

1,128-250

9334

Mar 2008 Value Fx Net sales Mar 2009

Assets under management SEK bn

Page 111: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

111

Total net sales per quarter SEK bn

7.6

15.5

6.32.0

8.2 9.0

-2.0

4.2

4.1

2.92.6

3.5

5.8

4.95.3

3.0

4.716.4

-5

0

5

10

15

20

Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08 Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09

IC PB

The figures are not eliminated. Restated for transfer of Foundations & Companies from PB to IC.

Page 112: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

112

Mutual funds per product type Wealth Management, March 2009 (March 2008)

Total amount SEK 435 bn (SEK 497 bn)

28%

30%

13%

29%

Equity funds 28% (36%)

Fixed income funds 29% (25%)

Balanced funds 13% (12%)

Alternative funds 30% (28%)

Page 113: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

113

Swedish Mutual Funds Market Net sales, Total market & SEB, SEK bn

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Q12009

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

Total Net Sales SEB Net Sales SEB share, %

Source: Svensk Fondstatistik

SEB Q1 20090.1 SEK bn

Page 114: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

114

Activity level – Wealth

Source: Svensk Fondstatistik

-30,000

-20,000

-10,000

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

Jan-05

Maj Sep Jan-06

May Sep Jan-07

May Sep Jan-08

May Sep Jan09

SEBSHBRoburNordea

Mutual Funds Net Sales SwedenCumulative Jan 2005 – Mar 2009, including PPMSEK m

Distribution per type of fund Jan – Mars 2009

-60%-40%-20%

0%20%40%60%80%

100%

SEB TotalEquity funds Mixed fundsShort bond funds Long bond fundsAlternative funds

Page 115: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

115

6149

34

62

79

54

3340

0

20

40

60

80

100

2006 2007 2008 Q1 20090

20

40

60

80

100

AuMexceeding benchmark

No. of portfoliosexceeding benchmark

Performance vs. benchmark 2009

Page 116: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

116

LifeAnders MossbergHead of Life

* Based on business result

SEK m Jan – Mar 2009

2008

Total income 1,033 10%Total expenses -565 -1%

Operating profit 468 27%Change in surplusvalues, net 111 -55%

Business result 579 -6%

ROE, %* 30.0 29.0C/I ratio 0.55 0.61

Highlights

Higher operating profit from recovery of past provisions related to traditional portfolios

7 per cent increase in total premium income but a slowdown in sales

Stable costs

Page 117: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

117

Life SEK m

Operating profit

0100200300400500

Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08 Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08 Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09

Income Expenses

Page 118: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

118

Share of income and profit by area Life, Jan – Mar 2009, per cent of total

8%

34% 58%

Income Operating profit

Sweden

Denmark

International

56%

39%

5%

Sweden

Denmark

International

Sweden including central functions etc

Page 119: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

119

Results – Life SEK m

Jan – Mar Jan – Mar Change2009 2008 %

Income unit-linked 437 484 -10Income other insurance 440 295 49Other income 156 159 -2Total income 1,033 938 10

Operating expenses -627 -608 3Other expenses -1 -2 -67Change in deferred acquisition costs 63 40 55Total expenses -565 -570 -1

Operating profit 468 368 27Change in surplus values, net 111 250 -55Business result 579 618 -6 Financial effects due to market fluctuations -282 -1,819 -84Change in assumptions -32 -25 27Total result 265 -1,226 -

Page 120: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

120

468

1,063

-263 -177 -121 -47

1817316

570

968

1,520

1,802

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Jan-Mar

2009

Operating profit development Life, SEK m

Page 121: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

121

Strong market position in all markets Market shares, gross premium income, unit-linked insurance (%, 2008)

1

2

2

3

2

Skandia (14)

Hansa (37)

Sampo (31)

Hansa (28)

SEBRank

Main competitor

Danica (40)

* Sweden based on new sales

27

18

35

9

24

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Lithuania

Latvia

Estonia

Denmark

Sweden*

SEB Market share Competitors

Page 122: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

122

Market shares Sweden, % Unit-linked new business, full year 2008 (2007)

SPP 4,9 (3,9)

Nordea 8,6 (4,1) SEB Trygg Liv 24,4 (22,5)

Skandia14,1 (14,4)

LF 10,8 (11,0)Swedbank 9,8 (10,4)

SHB 4,3 (4,5)

Danica 3,0 (4,0)

Folksam 8,0 (7,9)

AMF 2,7 (3,4)

Moderna9,2 (13,7)

Other 0,2 (0,2)

Page 123: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

123

Note: SPE = Single premiums plus regular premiums times ten

Sales (SPE) Life, SEK m

Jan – Mar 2009 Jan – Mar 2008 Change

Unit linked 10,249 10,296 -0.5%

Traditional andSickness/health 2,663 3,018 -12%

12,912 13,314 -3%

Page 124: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

124

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Q12009

Traditional andsickness/health

Unit Linked

Note: SPE = Single premiums plus regular premiums times ten

Sales SPE – traditional vs. unit-linked Life including SEB Pension from 2005 and the Baltics from 2006

Page 125: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

125

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Q12009

Individual

Corporate

Note: SPE = Single premiums plus regular premiums times ten

Sales SPE – individual vs. corporate Life including SEB Pension from 2005 and the Baltics from 2006

Page 126: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

126

27.1

34.931.6

26.7

8.6

30.4

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Jan-Mar2009

Market ShareSweden, % 34.6 32.4 29.1 22.5 24.4 24.4**

*Including Swedish customers of the Irish subsidiary.

** full year 2008.

Unit-linked insurance sales Sweden* sales volumes weighted, SEK bn

Page 127: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

127

New business profit Life (2005-2006 only Swedish market), SEK m

Apr 2008 Full year Full year Full year Full year- Mar 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005

New sales (single/10+regular) 3,844 3,858 3,689 3,345 3,678

Net present value 1,556 1,598 1,775 1,788 1,924Acquisition cost -893 -879 -901 -970 -1,116

New business profit 663 719 874 818 808

Margin, % 17.2 18.6 23.7 24.5 22.0Swedish market 19.8 20.8 22.9

Page 128: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

128

Mar Dec Dec Dec Dec2009 2008 2007 2006 2005

Equity * 9,523 8,827 8,836 8,450 7,696

Surplus value ** 11,266 11,549 14,496 12,872 10,765

* Dividend paid; 2008 SEK -1,275 2007: SEK -1,150 2006: SEK -400m.

** Value of in-force business; Net of DAC, including SEB Link (Denmark) from 2005

Embedded value Life Holding group, SEK m

Page 129: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

129

Life, assets under management (net assets) SEK bn

215

311

368395 408

354 347

0

100

200

300

400

500

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Q1

Traditional and Risk Unit-linked

Page 130: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

130

Life, premium income gross SEK bn

13

17

31 31

2629

8

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Q1

Traditional and Risk Unit-linked

Page 131: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

131

Macro Update

Page 132: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

132

Overall assessment

Deep, synchronized recession

Sizeable deflation risks, especially in the US

Unprecedented stimulus policies

Government budget deficits growing rapidly

Long-term yields will remain low

Page 133: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

133

Sweden: Recovery will take some time

GDP will fall by 4% this year

Export decline will spread to capital spending

Rising unemployment will squeeze pay

Repo rate close to zero

Budget deficit will reach 6% of GDP

Sources: Statistics Sweden, SEB

Index

Year-on-year percentage change

GDP and Economic tendency indicator

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 090

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

GDP (LHS) Economic tendency indicator (RHS)

Page 134: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

134

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

Q1 -99

Q3 Q1 -00

Q3 Q1 -01

Q3 Q1 -02

Q3 Q1 -03

Q3 Q1 -04

Q3 Q1 -05

Q3 Q1 -06

Q3 Q1 -07

Q3 Q1 -08

Q3 Q1 -09

SEK bn Fixed income Equities Housing

Household's assets

Source: SEB Savings Barometer

Page 135: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

135

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

Q1-99

Q3 Q1-00

Q3 Q1-01

Q3 Q1-02

Q3 Q1-03

Q3 Q1-04

Q3 Q1-05

Q3 Q1-06

Q3 Q1-07

Q3 Q1-08

Q3 Q1-09

SEK bn Assets Liabilities

Household's ”balance sheet”

Source: SEB Savings Barometer

Page 136: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

136

0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000

Assets '97

Liabilities '97

Assets '00

Liabilities '00

Assets '03

Liabilities '03

Assets '06

Liabilities '06

Assets '08

Liabilities '08

Housing/mortgages Equitites/lendings Fixed income/Consumer finance

Figures apply to first quarter of stated year

Household's assets and liabilities 2008-12-31

Source: SEB Savings Barometer

Page 137: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

137

The economy will slide, but not slump, as unprecedented stimulus cushion the blow

Unemployment will double, through to peak

Norges Bank to cut sight deposit rate to 1.5% in May

Year-on-year percentage change

Source: Statistics Norway

Norway: Weakest in 20 years

Mainland GDP and employment

-3-2-1012345678

91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09

Employment GDP

Page 138: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

138

Finland: The crisis hits with full force

Continued slide in leading indicators – export sector especially hard hit

Rapid fall in industrial production, especially in the forest product industry

GDP will fall by 4.9% this year

Budget deficit next year

Index

Source: Reuters EcoWin

Leading indicators

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09Manufacturing sector Service sectorConstruction industry

Page 139: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

139

Broad decline in confidence indicators

Domestic demand will remain depressed

Credit crisis and higher unemployment will push home prices down further

Euro referendum next year?

Sources: DG ECFIN, Statistics Denmark

Year-on-year percentage change Index

GDP and Economic sentiment indicator

-5-4-3-2-1012345

95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 090

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

GDP (LHS) Economic sentiment indicator (RHS)

Denmark: Continued steep downhill ride

Page 140: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

140

Sources: Eurostat, SEB

Index

Euro zone GDP will fall by at least 3.6% in 2009

No private consumption upturn in sight

Rising unemployment, no inflation threat

Public finances deteriorating on broad front

ECB will slash refi rate to 0.50% in July 2009

GDP and Economic sentiment indicator

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 090

30

60

90

120

150

GDP (LHS) Economic sentiment indicator (RHS)

Euro zone: Deep recession

Page 141: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

141

Synchronized slowdown in the world – Eastern Europe hardest hit

Unemployment will climb substantially

Budgets will weaken in spite of fiscal austerity measures

Imbalances are subsiding:

1. Import collapse improves current account balances

2. Large wage cuts and much lower inflation – deflation in Latvia in 2010

Currency pegs will survive

Year-on-year percentage change

Source: Reuters EcoWin

Baltic Retail sales

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Baltics: Deep and lengthy recession

Page 142: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

142

Regional GDP forecasts

2007 2008 2009 2010

United States 2.0 1.1 -3.4 0.7

Euro zone 2.7 0.7 -3.6 0.0

United Kingdom 3.0 0.7 -3.5 0.3

Nordic countries 2.8 0.4 -3.5 0.6

OECD 2.7 1.0 -3.8 0.3

World 5.2 3.2 -1.5 1.4

Page 143: Seb Facts And Figures January March 2009

143

SEB Forecasts GDP (%) Inflation (%)2007 2008 2009 2010 2007 2008 2009 2010

Denmark* 1.6 -1.0 -3.5 0.0 1.7 3.6 1.3 1.8Finland* 4.2 0.9 -4.9 0.3 1.6 3.9 1.2 1.4Norway 3.1 2.0 -0.7 1.7 0.7 3.8 2.0 2.0Sweden 2.5 -0.2 -4.0 0.6 2.2 3.4 -0.5 0.5Germany* 2.5 1.3 -4.2 0.1 2.3 2.8 0.4 1.1Euro zone* 2.7 0.7 -3.6 0.0 2.1 3.3 0.7 1.2Estonia* 6.3 -3.6 -12.0 -2.3 6.6 10.4 0.7 1.5Latvia* 10.0 -4.6 -12.0 -3.0 10.1 15.3 3.0 -2.5Lithuania* 8.9 3.1 -9.0 -3.5 5.8 11.1 5.0 2.0Russia 8.1 5.6 -5.0 1.0 9.0 14.1 11.5 8.5Ukraine 7.3 2.1 -12.0 -1.0 12.8 25.2 18.0 10.0

Macro forecasts per country

Sources: National statistical agencies, SEB Economic Research* Harmonised consumer price index