Seattle Mobility Index Project Final Presentation...

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Mobility

Transcript of Seattle Mobility Index Project Final Presentation...

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Mobility

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Akoly Vongdala Ryan MaasSteve Barham

Student Fellows

Data ScientistsCity of Seattle

Rebeca de Buen Kalman Darius Irani Hyeon Jeong (HJ) Kim Amandalynne Paullada Woosub Shin

Alex Hagenah Joseph Hellerstein

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What is mobility?

The ability to reach everyday destinations with your choice of mode, affordably and reliably.

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Google Distance

Matrix API

PSRCHousehold Travel

SurveyCity of Seattle

Open Data

From mobility to mobility

CensusEmployment

Data

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Raw Mobility Data: Google Maps APIDistance & duration for multiple destinations and transport modes

Duration and DistanceEstimate travel time and distance based on a

recommended route.

Modes of TransportSpecify the mode of transport to use when calculating distance and travel

time.

TrafficUse current and historical traffic to

predict travel times.

23 Min.4.7 Miles

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Calibration and Training Data: PSRC Survey3,000 households30,000 trips

Trip AttributesTime

DistancePurpose

ModeBlock Group

Household AttributesIncome

HomeownershipRace

GenderDistance

Puget Sound Regional CouncilHousehold Travel Survey

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Measure and identify disparity in mobility to drive policy

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Measure and identify disparity in mobility

§ Understand mobility at a granular level

§ Provide baseline mobility measures

§ Quantify impact of changes in transportation systems

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Where do people go?

DestinationsOrigins

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Unit of Analysis: Census Block Group

§ Granular geographic division

§ Typically 600-3000 people

§ Seattle: 481 block groups

Origins

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school supermarket destination park

post office cafepharmacy

libraryhospitalurban village

LOCAL LOCATIONS CITYWIDE LOCATIONS

employment center

public college

point ofinterest

Destinations

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§ Best-scoring combination of destinations informed by PSRC Household Travel Survey and Census employment data

§ Final basket: 12 local and 13 citywide destinations

Market Basket of Destinations

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AffordabilityIndex

Mode ChoiceIndex

ReliabilityIndex

Availability of Options Transportation Costs Statistical Variation

Mobility Indices

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Availability of modes to reach each destination in the market basket

30 minutes 60 minutes 45 minutes 45 minutes

Travel TimeThreshold

Mode Choice Index

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Mode Choice Index

0 100

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Relative cost to reach destinations in the market basket

$0.56 / mile+

Parking Cost

$2.75 / trip $0.15 / mile $0 / mile

Affordability Index

$14.10 / hr

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Affordability Index

• $$$$ • $0 100

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0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

Consistency in travel duration at a given time

Reliability Index

Percent under85th percentile

85th Percentile

Travel Time

Minutes

Total trips in one month

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0 100

Reliability Index

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Seattle Mobility Scores

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Average

72Average48

Average

24

0 100

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Average

72Average48

Average

24

0 100

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Average

72Average48

Average

24

0 100

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Case study: University District

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Average

78City Average

72

0 100

Average

57City Average

48Average

47City Average

24

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Average

78City Average

72

0 100

Average

57City Average

48Average

47City Average

24

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Average

78City Average

72

0 100

Average

57City Average

48Average

47City Average

24

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Using indices to make predictions

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PSRC Travel Survey

Can we predict drive-alone behavior?

Mode choice & affordability 77% Accuracy

80% Accuracy

Predictors

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PSRC Travel Survey

Can we predict drive-alone behavior?

Mode choice & affordability 77% Accuracy

80% Accuracy

Predictors

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Different people, different needs

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5 Travel PersonasUnderstand people with different mobility patterns

K-Means clustering

PSRC household travel survey data

Identified 5 different personas

GOAL

METHOD

DATA

A B

C

D E

RESULT

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70%

8% 6%16%10%

33%

11%

46%

Driving Transit Biking Walking

Going to workHousehold Income Over $75,000

28%

67%38%

24%

Persona A

Persona B

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70%

8% 6%16%10%

33%

11%

46%

Driving Transit Biking Walking

Going to workHousehold Income Over $75,000

28%

67%38%

24%

Persona A

Persona B

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70%

8% 6%16%10%

33%

11%

46%

Driving Transit Biking Walking

Going to workHousehold Income Over $75,000

28%

67%38%

24%

Persona A

Persona B

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70%

8% 6%16%10%

33%

11%

46%

Driving Transit Biking Walking

Going to workHousehold Income Over $75,000

28%

67%38%

24%

Persona A

Persona B

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56

7166

62

76

Mode Choice Index

A B C D E

City Average: 72

City Average: 48

Affordability Index

Persona-Tuned Indices 49 49

48

44

48

A B C D E

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Case study: University District

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Mode choice comparisonBaseline

AffordabilityAverage

78Average

64Persona B

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Affordability comparison

Mode choice AffordabilityBaseline

Average

57Average

48Persona B

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Contributions

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Status Quo Frontier

Isolated measurement Granular and comprehensive measurement

Expensive Low cost, scalable, and reproducible

Difficult cross-domain collaboration

Data designed for collaboration and correlation

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Status Quo Frontier

Isolated measurement Granular and comprehensive measurement

Expensive Low cost, scalable, and reproducible

Difficult cross-domain collaboration

Data designed for collaboration and correlation

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Status Quo Frontier

Isolated measurement Granular and comprehensive measurement

Expensive Low cost, scalable, and reproducible

Difficult cross-domain collaboration

Data designed for collaboration and correlation

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35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100

$30K

$40K

$50K

$60K

$70K

$80K

$90K

$100K

$110K

WESTSEATTLE

SEWARDPARK

RAINIERVALLEY

MAGNOLIA

INTERBAY

CENTRALAREA

CASCADE

CAPITOLHILL

UNIVERSITYDISTRICT

QUEENANNE

NORTHGATE

LAKECITY

DOWNTOWN

DELRIDGE

BEACONHILL

BALLARD

HouseholdIncome

Affordability Index

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35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100

$30K

$40K

$50K

$60K

$70K

$80K

$90K

$100K

$110K

WESTSEATTLE

SEWARDPARK

RAINIERVALLEY

MAGNOLIA

INTERBAY

CENTRALAREA

CASCADE

CAPITOLHILL

UNIVERSITYDISTRICT

QUEENANNE

NORTHGATE

LAKECITY

DOWNTOWN

DELRIDGE

BEACONHILL

BALLARD

HouseholdIncome

Affordability Index

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35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100

$30K

$40K

$50K

$60K

$70K

$80K

$90K

$100K

$110K

WESTSEATTLE

SEWARDPARK

RAINIERVALLEY

MAGNOLIA

INTERBAY

CENTRALAREA

CASCADE

CAPITOLHILL

UNIVERSITYDISTRICT

QUEENANNE

NORTHGATE

LAKECITY

DOWNTOWN

DELRIDGE

BEACONHILL

BALLARD

HouseholdIncome

Affordability Index

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35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100

$30K

$40K

$50K

$60K

$70K

$80K

$90K

$100K

$110K

WESTSEATTLE

SEWARDPARK

RAINIERVALLEY

MAGNOLIA

INTERBAY

CENTRALAREA

CASCADE

CAPITOLHILL

UNIVERSITYDISTRICT

QUEENANNE

NORTHGATE

LAKECITY

DOWNTOWN

DELRIDGE

BEACONHILL

BALLARD

HouseholdIncome

Affordability Index

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Next Steps

Add new modesGet full data setfor reliability index Baseline

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Who is this for and how can it be used?

Community organizations &

Nonprofits

Other cities

Transportation researchers&

policy analysts

City of Seattle

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