Seattle Mobility Index Project Final Presentation...
Transcript of Seattle Mobility Index Project Final Presentation...
Mobility
Akoly Vongdala Ryan MaasSteve Barham
Student Fellows
Data ScientistsCity of Seattle
Rebeca de Buen Kalman Darius Irani Hyeon Jeong (HJ) Kim Amandalynne Paullada Woosub Shin
Alex Hagenah Joseph Hellerstein
What is mobility?
The ability to reach everyday destinations with your choice of mode, affordably and reliably.
Google Distance
Matrix API
PSRCHousehold Travel
SurveyCity of Seattle
Open Data
From mobility to mobility
CensusEmployment
Data
Raw Mobility Data: Google Maps APIDistance & duration for multiple destinations and transport modes
Duration and DistanceEstimate travel time and distance based on a
recommended route.
Modes of TransportSpecify the mode of transport to use when calculating distance and travel
time.
TrafficUse current and historical traffic to
predict travel times.
23 Min.4.7 Miles
Calibration and Training Data: PSRC Survey3,000 households30,000 trips
Trip AttributesTime
DistancePurpose
ModeBlock Group
Household AttributesIncome
HomeownershipRace
GenderDistance
Puget Sound Regional CouncilHousehold Travel Survey
Measure and identify disparity in mobility to drive policy
Measure and identify disparity in mobility
§ Understand mobility at a granular level
§ Provide baseline mobility measures
§ Quantify impact of changes in transportation systems
Where do people go?
DestinationsOrigins
Unit of Analysis: Census Block Group
§ Granular geographic division
§ Typically 600-3000 people
§ Seattle: 481 block groups
Origins
school supermarket destination park
post office cafepharmacy
libraryhospitalurban village
LOCAL LOCATIONS CITYWIDE LOCATIONS
employment center
public college
point ofinterest
Destinations
§ Best-scoring combination of destinations informed by PSRC Household Travel Survey and Census employment data
§ Final basket: 12 local and 13 citywide destinations
Market Basket of Destinations
AffordabilityIndex
Mode ChoiceIndex
ReliabilityIndex
Availability of Options Transportation Costs Statistical Variation
Mobility Indices
Availability of modes to reach each destination in the market basket
30 minutes 60 minutes 45 minutes 45 minutes
Travel TimeThreshold
Mode Choice Index
Mode Choice Index
0 100
Relative cost to reach destinations in the market basket
$0.56 / mile+
Parking Cost
$2.75 / trip $0.15 / mile $0 / mile
Affordability Index
$14.10 / hr
Affordability Index
• $$$$ • $0 100
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
Consistency in travel duration at a given time
Reliability Index
Percent under85th percentile
85th Percentile
Travel Time
Minutes
Total trips in one month
0 100
Reliability Index
Seattle Mobility Scores
Average
72Average48
Average
24
0 100
Average
72Average48
Average
24
0 100
Average
72Average48
Average
24
0 100
Case study: University District
Average
78City Average
72
0 100
Average
57City Average
48Average
47City Average
24
Average
78City Average
72
0 100
Average
57City Average
48Average
47City Average
24
Average
78City Average
72
0 100
Average
57City Average
48Average
47City Average
24
Using indices to make predictions
PSRC Travel Survey
Can we predict drive-alone behavior?
Mode choice & affordability 77% Accuracy
80% Accuracy
Predictors
PSRC Travel Survey
Can we predict drive-alone behavior?
Mode choice & affordability 77% Accuracy
80% Accuracy
Predictors
Different people, different needs
5 Travel PersonasUnderstand people with different mobility patterns
K-Means clustering
PSRC household travel survey data
Identified 5 different personas
GOAL
METHOD
DATA
A B
C
D E
RESULT
70%
8% 6%16%10%
33%
11%
46%
Driving Transit Biking Walking
Going to workHousehold Income Over $75,000
28%
67%38%
24%
Persona A
Persona B
70%
8% 6%16%10%
33%
11%
46%
Driving Transit Biking Walking
Going to workHousehold Income Over $75,000
28%
67%38%
24%
Persona A
Persona B
70%
8% 6%16%10%
33%
11%
46%
Driving Transit Biking Walking
Going to workHousehold Income Over $75,000
28%
67%38%
24%
Persona A
Persona B
70%
8% 6%16%10%
33%
11%
46%
Driving Transit Biking Walking
Going to workHousehold Income Over $75,000
28%
67%38%
24%
Persona A
Persona B
56
7166
62
76
Mode Choice Index
A B C D E
City Average: 72
City Average: 48
Affordability Index
Persona-Tuned Indices 49 49
48
44
48
A B C D E
Case study: University District
Mode choice comparisonBaseline
AffordabilityAverage
78Average
64Persona B
Affordability comparison
Mode choice AffordabilityBaseline
Average
57Average
48Persona B
Contributions
Status Quo Frontier
Isolated measurement Granular and comprehensive measurement
Expensive Low cost, scalable, and reproducible
Difficult cross-domain collaboration
Data designed for collaboration and correlation
Status Quo Frontier
Isolated measurement Granular and comprehensive measurement
Expensive Low cost, scalable, and reproducible
Difficult cross-domain collaboration
Data designed for collaboration and correlation
Status Quo Frontier
Isolated measurement Granular and comprehensive measurement
Expensive Low cost, scalable, and reproducible
Difficult cross-domain collaboration
Data designed for collaboration and correlation
35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100
$30K
$40K
$50K
$60K
$70K
$80K
$90K
$100K
$110K
WESTSEATTLE
SEWARDPARK
RAINIERVALLEY
MAGNOLIA
INTERBAY
CENTRALAREA
CASCADE
CAPITOLHILL
UNIVERSITYDISTRICT
QUEENANNE
NORTHGATE
LAKECITY
DOWNTOWN
DELRIDGE
BEACONHILL
BALLARD
HouseholdIncome
Affordability Index
35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100
$30K
$40K
$50K
$60K
$70K
$80K
$90K
$100K
$110K
WESTSEATTLE
SEWARDPARK
RAINIERVALLEY
MAGNOLIA
INTERBAY
CENTRALAREA
CASCADE
CAPITOLHILL
UNIVERSITYDISTRICT
QUEENANNE
NORTHGATE
LAKECITY
DOWNTOWN
DELRIDGE
BEACONHILL
BALLARD
HouseholdIncome
Affordability Index
35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100
$30K
$40K
$50K
$60K
$70K
$80K
$90K
$100K
$110K
WESTSEATTLE
SEWARDPARK
RAINIERVALLEY
MAGNOLIA
INTERBAY
CENTRALAREA
CASCADE
CAPITOLHILL
UNIVERSITYDISTRICT
QUEENANNE
NORTHGATE
LAKECITY
DOWNTOWN
DELRIDGE
BEACONHILL
BALLARD
HouseholdIncome
Affordability Index
35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100
$30K
$40K
$50K
$60K
$70K
$80K
$90K
$100K
$110K
WESTSEATTLE
SEWARDPARK
RAINIERVALLEY
MAGNOLIA
INTERBAY
CENTRALAREA
CASCADE
CAPITOLHILL
UNIVERSITYDISTRICT
QUEENANNE
NORTHGATE
LAKECITY
DOWNTOWN
DELRIDGE
BEACONHILL
BALLARD
HouseholdIncome
Affordability Index
Next Steps
Add new modesGet full data setfor reliability index Baseline
Who is this for and how can it be used?
Community organizations &
Nonprofits
Other cities
Transportation researchers&
policy analysts
City of Seattle