California Economic Condition & the Health of Regions John Husing, Ph.D. Economics & Politics, Inc.
SB 350 Fight Reveals Potential For Blunting California’s “Unstoppable” Regulatory Zeal John E....
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Transcript of SB 350 Fight Reveals Potential For Blunting California’s “Unstoppable” Regulatory Zeal John E....
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SB 350 Fight Reveals Potential For Blunting California’s “Unstoppable” Regulatory Zeal
John E. Husing, Ph.D.Chief Economist, IEEP
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Environmental Perfectionvs.
Public Health
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Robert Woods Johnson Foundation
Economic growth and job creation provide more than
income and the ability to afford health insurance and
medical care. They also enable us to live in safer homes
and neighborhoods, buy healthier food, have more leisure
time for physical activity, and experience less health-
harming stress.
In that way, economic policy is, in fact, health policy.
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Key Determinants of Public Health
Causes of Public Health Difficulties
1. Socio-Economics 40%
2. Population’s Health Behaviors Related to Poverty 30%
3. Access to Medical Care Related to Poverty 20%
4. Environmental 10%
Source: Different Perspectives For Assigning Weights To Determinants of Health, University of Wisconsin, Public Health Institute, 2010
90%
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PovertyCalifornia’s Policy Vacuum
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Share of People In Poverty
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Social Justice Issue
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Educational Attainment: High School or Less
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California Environmental PoliciesUnintended Consequences
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PM 2.5: Diesel Pollution
-95.6%
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Job Quality
Mgmt & Professions California: 14.4% Inland Empire: 5.1%
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Gold Mine Theory
Primary Tier
Secondary Tier
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What is Needed To Attack Poverty?
•Sectors With Few Education Barriers to Entry
• Median Incomes Approaching Middle Class Earnings
• Skill Ladders Up Which Workers Can Move To Median Incomes
• Sectors That Are Adding Jobs
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Median Incomes Near To Middle Class Needs, Minimum Entry Level Requirements
Middle Class Earnings, Minimum Skills To
Enter
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Manufacturing
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SB 350Will Worsen This
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CA Is Not Loved By Executives or Entrepreneurs
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CA Just 2.9% of U.S. Manufacturing Job Creation
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CA Sector Growth
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Who Is Hurt?
Workers Whose Jobs Are Never Created
Workers Whose Jobs Are Lost to Other States
Whose Districts? Largely Mod-Democrats
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Logistics
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Industrial Construction, 2015
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CA Sector Growth
8.9% of Total Job Growth
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Indirect Source Rule Proposal
1. New Warehouses Would Pay Fees To Offset Trucks They Might Attract
2. AQMD Study uses 95% Highest Attractor Per Square Foot As The Standard
3. Intent Is To Slow Or Stop Warehousing Development In The Inland Empire
4. Rationale Is AQMD Can’t Meet Its EPA Target Without Cutting Truck Trips
5. Impact Would Hurt The Inland Empire’s Strongest Economic Base Sector
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Who Is Hurt?
Workers Whose Jobs Are Never Created
Workers Whose Jobs Are Lost to AZ or NV
Whose Districts? Largely Mod-Democrats
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Construction
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CA Sector Growth
8.3% of Total Job Growth
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CEQA Repeatedly Abused
• NIMBYS Wanting To Stop Projects, Drive Up Their Costs
• Lawyers Using Threat Of Suits As A Cash Cow
• Business Wanting To Drive Up The Costs Of Their Competitors
• Unions Using Threat of Suits To Force Developers To Use Their Members
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CEQA abuse and ‘social justice’
By San Diego Union-Tribune Editorial Board Aug. 4, 2015
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Whose Is Hurt?Families Forced Inland
Whose Constituents? Democrats
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Energy
SB 350 Would Have Raised Petroleum Prices Dramatically… Affecting Lower Income Families
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Why gas prices in California are so much higher than elsewhere in U.S.
March 31, 2015
Whose Districts? Largely Mod-Democrats
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State Policies
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SB 350 Coalition: A View Of State Power & The Future?
Mod-Democrats … Job Friendly
Republicans … Business Friendly
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www.johnhusing.com