Saurabh Ghosh_submission_72.pdf

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Spread, Volatility and Monetary Policy: Emprical Evidences from the Indian Overnight Money Market Saurabh Ghosh and Indranil Bhattacharyya  Abstract This study uses generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model (Bollerslev, 1986) to estimate conditional volatility in Indian money market. It finds that the spread in the money market was positively related to conditional volatility. However, this relation has undergone a change in recent years and lagged spread plays an important role in modeling spread along with conditional variance of call rate. Regarding monetary policy and money market volatility, the empirical findings indicate that expansionary monetary  policy reduces volatility of spread and weighted call rate. Among individual policy instruments, announcement of CRR changes have a negative impact on the volatility of spread and call rate. The other policy variables like Bank Rate, repo and reverse repo rates have mixed impact on volatility of call rate and spread. Key words: GARCH model, market microstructure, determinants of spread, monetary policy. JEL Classifications: G13, G24,  The authors are Assistant Advisers in the Financial Markets Department and Monetary Policy Department, respectively, of the Reserve Bank of India. They are grateful to Shri Chandan Sinha, Sri H. S. Mohanty for their comments during the presentation of the same in the Financial Markets Department. Views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and not of the institution to which they belong. Other usual disclaimers apply.

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