Saint!Andrews!Demographic!Analysis!€¦ · Microsoft Word - demographics.docx Created Date:...
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Saint Andrews Demographic Analysis Southwest New Brunswick Service Commission April, 2018
Transcript of Saint!Andrews!Demographic!Analysis!€¦ · Microsoft Word - demographics.docx Created Date:...
Saint Andrews Demographic Analysis Southwest New Brunswick Service Commission April, 2018
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Age and Sex ................................................................................................................. 3
Housing and Family Structure ...................................................................................... 4
Language, Ethnicity, and Immigration ......................................................................... 5
Income ........................................................................................................................ 6
Employment ................................................................................................................ 7
Education .................................................................................................................... 8
Mobility ....................................................................................................................... 9
Tourism ...................................................................................................................... 10
Census Sources ........................................................................................................... 10
Introduction This demographic analysis of Saint Andrews, New Brunswick has been prepared to assist in municipal planning, but will also be a resource for residents to better understand their community. Demographic data has been drawn from multiple censuses, the most recent being 2016. In order to see trends, that data has been compared to historical census data as well as overall provincial population data. Unless otherwise specified, measures are describing Saint Andrews’ population in 2016.
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1. Age and Sex The overall population (1,786 in 2016) has seen little change over the last 15 years, although it has decreased in the last 5 years. That population is ageing: since 1996 those aged 55-‐74 have increased while those aged 10-‐49 have decreased (with the exception of 20-‐24 year old men). The median age in 2016 was 52.8 – higher than the overall median age of the entire county and the province.
100 80 60 40 20 0 20 40 60 80 100
0 to 4 years 5 to 9 years
10 to 14 years 15 to 19 years 20 to 24 years 25 to 29 years 30 to 34 years 35 to 39 years 40 to 44 years 45 to 49 years 50 to 54 years 55 to 59 years 60 to 64 years 65 to 69 years 70 to 74 years 75 to 79 years 80 to 84 years
85 + years
Male Female
Saint Andrews' Population by Gender
2016 2006 1996
42.9
46.8 48.5
52.8
38.6
41.5 40.6
45.7
38.9
42.2
45.1
47.9
30
35
40
45
50
55
2001 2006 2011 2016
Median Age, Saint Andrews, Charlotte, and New Brunswick
Saint Andrews
New Brunswick
Charlotte
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2. Housing and Family Structure Housing stock has diversified since 2006 when the only dwelling types were single detached homes and apartments. Singe detached homes still make up the majority of housing stock but between 2006-‐2016 semi-‐detached homes, row houses, and duplexes have been built. The average household size in 2016 was 2.1 and the average family size was 2.7 showing little change since 1996. In 2016 renters made up 27.04% of the population compared to 18.41% for Charlotte County and up from 23.42% in 2006 (data not available for 1996).
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
1 person 2 persons 3 persons 4 persons 5 or more persons
# of Persons in Private Dwelling by % of Total Occupied Private Dwelling
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Other single-‐attached house
Semi-‐detached house
Apartment or flat in a duplex
Row house
Apartment in a building that has fewer than five storeys
Single-‐detached house
Dwelling Type by % of Total Occupied Private Dwelling
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3. Language, Ethnicity, and Immigration Saint Andrews is an Anglophone community with little language diversity predominately populated by people of European ethnicity. Visible minorities made up 2.4% of the population in 2016, a decrease from 5.19% in 2006. Immigrants12 have also decreased as a proportion of the population from 10.42% in 1996 to 7.76% in 2016.
English(94%(
French(3%(
(German(1.47%(
(Russian(.29%(
Spanish(.29%(
Italian(.29%(
Cantonese(.29%(
Mandarin(.29%(
Korean(.29%(NonDofficial(
Languages(
%"of"Population"by"Mother3Tongue"
1 Persons residing in Canada who were born outside of Canada, excluding temporary foreign workers, Canadian citizens born outside Canada, and those with student or working visas.
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4. Income
In 2016 Saint Andrews had median individual and household incomes of $33,749 and $63,232 respectively. This is a steady increase from 1996 levels and above Charlotte County’s overall median income. The prevalence of low-‐income3 in 2016 was 6.9%, up from 5.3% in 2006. Given that this rate fell between 1996 and 2006 it is concerning to see it rise again, especially while the overall rate for Charlotte county has continued to drop. This sharp rise coupled with the increase in median income points to increasing economic inequality.
3 Income levels at which families or persons not in economic families spend 20 percentage points more than average of their after-‐tax income on food, shelter and clothing.
$15,398
$41,165
$29,064
$55,701
$17,531
$49,602
$33,749
$63,232
$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000
$70,000
Individual, 1996 Household, 1996 Individual, 2016 Household, 2016
Median Income, 1996 & 2016
Charlotte County
Saint Andrews
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
1996 2006 2016
popu
lation
, %
Prevalence of low-‐income (LICO-‐AT)
Charlotte
Saint Andrews
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5. Employment Saint Andrews’ labour market has followed the trends of the county as a whole between 1996-‐2016. Participation4 (59.6%) and employment (53.1%) have fallen while unemployment (10.9%) has risen. Fewer Saint Andrews’ residents are working in Saint Andrews and more are working elsewhere in the county or province. Possibly because of this shift fewer people are commuting by carpool, bike, or foot and more are driving personal vehicles.
4 Share of working age (15-‐65) population currently working or actively looking for work.
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6. Education Saint Andrews is a highly educated community. In 2016 69.62% of adults had a post-‐secondary degree compared to 47.4% for all of Charlotte County. Saint Andrews’ numbers are roughly the same as in 1996, but the number of degrees at bachelor level or above has increased.
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7. Mobility
The number of people moving to Saint Andrews from other countries, other provinces/territories, other counties in New Brunswick, and other parts of Charlotte County has decreased. This is consistent with the numbers indicating a declining population.
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
No certificate; diploma or degree
Secondary (high) school diploma or equivalency certificate
Apprenticeship
or trades certificate or diploma
College; CEGEP or other non-‐university certificate or diploma
University certificate or diploma below bachelor level
University certificate; diploma or degree at
bachelor level or above
Highest Educational Certification by % of Population Over 15 Years of Age
1996
2006
2016
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8. Tourism The province of New Brunswick has seen growing shares of tourism and with the decline of manufacturing and resource based economic opportunities the province is aggressively pursuing tourism based economic development. This is good news for Saint Andrews which is already largely a tourism based economy. While specific measures are not available for Saint Andrews, the Fundy Shore region had 96,599 hotel room bookings in 2017, a 5% increase from 2016. In 2017 Kingsbrae Gardens had 32,949 visitors, an increase of 15% from 2016. Increases of this magnitude have been the trend since 20145. Last year USA Today ranked Saint Andrews the #1 Canadian destination for Americans6, which has certainly led to an increase in visitors from the United States. Saint Andrews is also a popular destination for visitors from other Maritime Provinces, Quebec, and Ontario.
Census Sources
Statistics Canada. 2017. Saint Andrews, TV [Census subdivision], New Brunswick and Charlotte, CT [Census division], New Brunswick (table). Census Profile. 2016 Census. Statistics Canada Catalogue no. 98-‐316-‐X2016001. Ottawa. Released November 29, 2017. http://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-‐recensement/2016/dp-‐pd/prof/index.cfm?Lang=E. Statistics Canada. 2007. Saint Andrews, New Brunswick (Code1302026) (table). 2006 Community Profiles. 2006 Census. Statistics Canada Catalogue no. 92-‐591-‐XWE. Ottawa. Released March 13, 2007. http://www12.statcan.ca/census-‐recensement/2006/dp-‐pd/prof/92-‐591/index.cfm?Lang=E. Statistics Canada. 2002. Saint Andrews, New Brunswick (Code1302026) (table). 2001 Community Profiles. 2001 Census. Statistics Canada Catalogue no. 92-‐591-‐XWE. Ottawa. http://www12.statcan.gc.ca/english/profil01/CP01/Details/Page.cfm?Lang=E&Geo1=CSD&Code1=1302026&Geo2=PR&Code2=13&Data=Count&SearchText=saint%20andrews&SearchType=Begins&SearchPR=01&B1=All&Custom=.
5 http://www2.gnb.ca/content/dam/gnb/Departments/thc-‐tpc/pdf/RSP/Indicators_Indicateurs/IndicateursDuTourisme2017TourismIndicators.pdf 6 http://www.10best.com/awards/travel/best-‐destination-‐in-‐canada/
